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Alien-Homepage.de- Earth quake statistics

Alien-Homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- last update: OCTOBER- 01 - 2011- --copyright: reserved

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SUN SPOT ACTIVITY ARCHIVE- SEPTEMBER 2011

click here to the archive directory for 2011

What you find on these related pages:

 

> STATISTIC RESEARCH ON THE RELATION BETWEEN SOLAR FEATURES/ ACTIVITIES TO EARTHQUAKES AND VOLCANISM AND OTHER CLIMATICAL EFFECTS

>EXPERIMENTAL "2 DAYS EARTHQUAKE AND VOLCANISM FORECAST" PROJECT BASED ON SOLAR ACTIVITY, resp these evaluation-

click here to get to the latest reports of the current month/year

 

SUN SPOTS EARTHQUAKE AND VOLCANISM/ NEW MONTHLY ARCHIVES:

This page had to be divided into monthly sections due to the high data load

< click on the buttom left for the archive page of 2010 (no monthly pages were made for 2010 yet)
click on the button ( left) for my NEW central archive with all monthly solar terrestrial blogs and related informations
                         

 

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

click here to get to the main page of this project>

HOME/ NAVIGATION default earthquake time is: UTC (GMT)>
       
       
        tzcon
       
Weathercenter reports and archives with maps, links, videos of earthquake disasters
    reports and archives with maps, links, videos of volcano disasters
ws     << Earthquake Statistics- START- with archives from 2004- 2010
     

image above by: NASA: STEREO ( two satellites - one called "AHEAD" the other: " BEHIND") observe the Sun`s surface from both opposite directions (at an ankle of 90° degrees to the line from Sun to Earth). The live feed is no more available. NASA claims to have problems with transmission of both stallites data streams and problems when processing the images. You tube user claim, NASA would censor the publications , since they hade discovered strange objects on the edges of the images ( click here for a youtube video that shows those strange objects )

NEW on my pages: volcano- earthquake and disaster maps:

on my regional maps you can find the current volcanic activites-updated weekly on Thursdays- and many more information

Kamchatka peninsula and Aleutian islands
Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands
Indonesia and Philippines
Australia and Southern Pacific
Northern America
Central America and Mexico
South America- Northern part
South America- Southern part
Africa and Arabic peninsula
Europe and Western Asia

 

TRANSLATOR use the new improved Google translator for any site translations>>>  
NEW: VISIT my new site on Volcano activities ; begun in Oct 2010! On this page I want to create a timetable with worldwide volcano activities in 2010 and 2011. The site will also contain a list of volcanoes , a volcano map and other useful informations such as links to special reports or webcams: >just click here>> volcano activity timetable 2010/11
you must add 1 hour to the event dates, if you use my time converter as the converter default time is UTC+ 1
 

This page had to be divided into monthly sections due to the high data load

 

SUN SPOTS EARTHQUAKE AND VOLCANISM

ARCHIVE- SEPTEMBER 2011:

 

click on the tabs below to open and close the registercards for the single months archives:

click here to, open register card:

SOLAR AND ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG- ARCHIVE/ SEPTEMBER 2011

 

 

( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( (

for items and theur explanations, click here or on the button on the right side >>>

EXPLANATIONS OF ITEMS used in this report: :

on my page " Sun control center" you find the explanations of all items used in my reports here as used also in Solar physics! With links to special educational sources by NASA, wikipedia and others!

This page is based on a large map with all satellites and their instruments in space , those observe the Sun. each with register cards you just can open by a click containing real time images data plots and links as provided by NASA ESA NOAA with links also to their data and image archives!

   

 

* alert level 1: (row is backcolored green): low power Earth- quake above 6.0 with no or only little surface damages
    **alert level 2: (row is backcolored yellow): medium power Earth- quake above 6.0- 7.x - with expectable local surface damage
    **alert level 3: (row is backcolored red): high power Earth- quake above 7.0- with the possibility of regional wide ranged damages
currently active regions ( SDO/HMI internal Earthquake statistics- SEPTEMBER 2011 with sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX   current Boulder planetary K prediction data by:NOAA- Space Weather prediction center   CURRENT Solar wind speed by ACE Proton Flux from GOES-13, Electron Flux and GOES Hp from GOES-13 & GOES-15  
     

SEPTEMBER 2011

 

note: Daily reports such as the average daily value of the socalled "Planetary A index can be calculated only at the end of a single day. Though the day, when I update this report, is the present date (as posted on top of this page) , the reports taken from solen.info, all solar data in the left rows ( "Summary of Yesterday`s solar data") are summaries of the previous day`s values. Note also: CMEs will need- depending on the current "Solar Wind Speed" between 1 ( rather seldom) 1 days and 4 days ( average is 2 days) to arrive on ! This is the time when IMMIDIATE effects of those CMEs set in ( as noted in the reports) Earthquakes set in rather later: If only one CME impacts, appr one day later, if more CMEs follow one another, , some 2- 4 days after the last has impacted. For space environment conditions and related issues (hazards for satellites etc) visit , NOAA- Space Weather prediction center click on images to enlarge them!

General notices:

On August 01- 2011, I applied a new layout of the data tables. Further adjustments and changes are possible. SEP- 29: -I made today some changes in the layout of this report-

 
SOURCES
solen.info solar terrestrical activity report (SUMMARY OF YESTERDAYS SOLAR DATA

*

o

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST (alien-homepage)

o

EMSC/ USGS: (EARTH QUAKE REPORTS WORLDWIDE)

GLOBAL VOLCANISM PROGRAM ( wekly reports on each Thursday)

SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC OBSERVATORIES

find all information about these spacecrafts on my page "Central Control ">>

 

LAST UPDATE

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

(YESTERDAY`s SUMMARY by:solen.info

GEOMAGNETIC CORONAL HOLES  

TODAY S SITUATION (Internal):

 

ESTIMATED MAXIMUM MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED SEVERENESS ( 1-3)  

EARTHQUAKES

AND VOLCANISM:

SoHO

Solar and Heliospheric Observatory

 

SDO /AIA

Solar Dynamics Observatory

STEREO

Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory

GOEShp

Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

 
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary by:solen.info)

visit solen.info for more informations   EARTHQUAKE FORECASTS*       ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   OCT- 01- 2011: magnitudes alert level  

DIVERSE

LATEST KNOWN VOLCANO ACTIVITY REPORTS:

FUKUSHIMA REPORT/ "DIARY"- part 10

SEP- 30- 2011

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 RECURRENT   GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

 

2011- October -01   NEWS: ( Costa Rica News- Sep- 30- 2011): Costa Rica's Rincon de la Vieja Volcano Awakens

Dormant for more than a decade, the Rincon de la Vieja volcano surprised area residents and tourists with its a phreatic eruption last August 19 and then again on September 16 and 22.read more...

report by Smithsonian institute/ USGS:

RINCON DE LA VIEJA set on red alert

On 30 September, OVSICORI-UNA reported phreatic eruptions from Rincón de la Vieja's active crater during the previous six weeks.Scientists conducting fieldwork during 27-29 September observed that the hot lake was convecting and grayish in color due to the suspended sediments.

 

(Smithsonian/USGS): The Alert Level of KRAKATAU ( Inonesia, Sundra street)was increased to 3 (on a scale of 1-4) on 30 September based on an increase in seismic activity and widespread fumarolic activity.

 

( continued from part 8 to be found in my report of SEP- 25- unfortunately this report is archived yet: click here for my archive 2011 . (you find all previous parts of this report there by clicking on /opening the register card for " September 2011)

Meanwhile also some 100 becquerels of Strontium 90 has been found inside and near to the evacuation zone . Strontium 90 is an" alpha radiator" and behaves similar as chalk ( Ca). ST 90 is, if eaten or drunk, therefore mainly incorporated in bones.
Others of these " nuclides" such as " Strontium 90" turned out to be more instable, resp to have instable nuclear cores, from those split off again entire fragments of " 2 Proton- Neutron pairs" called " alpha particles". Once incorporated by food or breath their are far more dangerous as they decay then to 4 Electrons 4 Protons 4 gamma quants each. Their impacts then damage body cells - "cutting through" DNA as well as all other molecules, This is called "ionisation effect"- in technical terms: " radiolyse"

DECAY RATE...With a Geiger counter was measured then- lets say - that from the 25 abundant Neutrons of Jod 131 (compared to 53 Protons and 53 Electrones = 106) the half of have decayed within 8 days. This value is called " HALF- LIFE PERIO". Whether that "decay rate" in those nuclides then continues or later would slow down or accelerate is not known for sure, as that can`t be measured now. Also, whether they will get ever stable again at all or even decay down to Hydrogen If doing so, these nuclides would steady change to another element. The storage of nculear Isotope waste is the greatest still unsolved problem resulting from the nuclear fission.60 years since it was begun ,no country still has found such a form of disposal, where it could be stored without steady observation, as. by any probabiity- the nuclear content in any deposit could also more and more turn into pure toxical gases in a longer term.

For the first time that waste would be sure in strong hermetic closed bunkers or granit caves. In Sweden the highradioactive nuclide waste is for example stored in cavesbelow the sea level that the content would by itself be cooled when that cave would anytime collapse or that it must be cooled in case of emergency.
I think this is still a rather APPROPRIATE SOLUTION

Concentrated, the socalled " " highly radioactive" or "primary" nuclear waste developes temperatures of between 250 and 300 degrees and more. My proposal since years therefore is to use that nuclear waste in specially built reactors to produce again electricity while then those reactors producing that primary waste could be shutdown. None can claim that would not be possible! Such a " nuclide" reactor would be less dangerous than any normal reactor but also would have a much stronger containment than any storage. The nuclear waste would be under control/ observation and may deliver 100 of years certain amounts on energy for any special needs .

continued in report of OCT- 02

  39     -- QUIET 6.0- 7.5 2- 3

BBC.com/ Oct- 01-2011: Typhoon Nalgae batters flood-hit Philippines

The second typhoon to hit the Philippines in less than a week has been battering northern areas, with ferocious winds and heavy rain.

At least one person died as Typhoon Nalgae hit regions still waterlogged by the earlier storm Nesat, and officials warned of flash floods and landslides. rad more...

 

SOLAR FLUX:

  EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 UNSETTLED

2011- October -02

 

  138 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (solen.info): 427 - 564 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   MINOR STORM 6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
  PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

seems as if CH 477 partially decays and rebuilts again. (on the images of the last 3 days it grew larger than became smaller and now larger again)   MAJOR STORM 2011- October -03  
 

08

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

*CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

MAJOR FLARES- CLASS* SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: CME IMPACTS: 6.0- 7.0 2- 3
  impact time: TODAY`s MOST PROBABLE CME EFFECTS (traffic light):
11301 75°- 90° W (20° N) SEP- 25             currently none IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:* EARTHQUAKES/ VOLCANO ERUPTIONS:  
11302 30°- 45° W (N 13°) SEP-28 OCT-01/ 8:44 UTC C 4.1 PISCES fully halo OCT-03 strong CME
11305 0°- 15° W (12° N) SEP-30 OCT-01/ 9:58 UTC M1.2/2N PISCES fully halo OCT-03 strong CME
11305 0°- 15° W (12° N) SEP-30 SEP- 30/ 19:06

M1.0/1F

PISCES partial OCT- 02/03 slow weak CME
11306 45°- 30° E(13° N) OCT- 01            
^STAR coronal hole and active region map by: solen.info 11307 60°- 45° E (N15°)   18:47 C3.4 at        
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs > 3               NOAA/ Top News of the Day: SEP- 29- 2011
active regions rotating out of view today>             geomagnetic storms:   solar radiation storms: R1
SATELLITE IMAGES- SEP- 30- 2011 SoHO STEREO- "Ahead" STEREO-"Behind" SDO /AIA   GEOMAGNETIC FIELD all 3 days: GOEShp 3 days data plot: SEP 28- 30- 2011: EXISTING FILES:    

> Nothing is visible on that single images taken by LASCO C 3 at 19: 06. Only in the motion mode on SoHo website some cloud appears behind the protection shield . STEREO AHEAD shows the narrow flare and the fully Earth directed , but rather weak CME >>>STEREO BEHIND had a transmission problem after 17:40

>unclear is the source of the geomagnetic disturbance observed today>. Its source most likely is the solar wind stream observed on Sep 28 emmitted from CH 477.>>

current number of CORONAL HOLE ( by NOAA)

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

extremely active regions ( date when in 0° E position)

next time when in earth position: activity description/ remarks

 

The flare activity in AR 11305 continued today- Oct- 01 .

The second flare is a new activity of AR 11302that also began after midnight ( see SDO Images right side)

SDO HMI shows clearly the flares have their source in AR 11305.

Some minor kind of filament eruption in aneighbored AR 1130 interacted with the one on AR 11305

 

PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
(Nr. 1): AR 11302- 20110928 20111025  
PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 2 ( internal) will be filled in soon!          
PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 3 ( internal) will be filled in soon!          

PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 4 ( internal)

CH 477/ 20110929

20111026        
explanations, shortcuts, foot notes etc..>>        

  **GVP= global volcanism program ( Smithsonian/ USGS) *** archived report of Sep 01 not yet available       **** 1 day is added all 4 rotation periods  
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary by:solen.info)

visit solen.info for more informations   EARTHQUAKE FORECASTS*       ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   SEP- 29- 2011: magnitudes alert level  

EARTHQUAKES TODAY:

LATEST KNOWN VOLCANO ACTIVITY REPORTS:

SOME IMPORTANT REMARKS ON MY EARTHQUAKE FORECASTS:

SEP- 29- 2011

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 RECURRENT?   GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

 

2011- September -30     EL HIERRO / CANARY ISLANDS As I truely believe and as my statistics ( and even the recent developement on el Hierro) clearly show, there is a clear relation of CME impacts and seismic activities . resp that CMEs can ( in 90 % of all examined cases they did) enhance or even trigger Volcano eruptions and Earthquakes in their aftermaths. . Even experts meanwhile confirm that these quakes and volcanism effects setting in after CME impacts are caused by heating effects of CMEs onto the tectonic plates. Max Planck institute In Munich / Germany even has already examined these effect and says: CME can heat up the earth interior like a gigantic stove.

As all examinations showed, (different to volcanic effects) Earthquakes rather occure later (after the CME impact) when the plates start to cool down again , whereby they also contract( movement) and harden,. In this way they definitely cause more friction, which logically rather creates typical seimic waves and Earthquakes than hot and soft stone would do .This explains why earthquake always happen at least one after any single significant CME has impacted.

The forecast method is very easy and also very correctly , if just on CME impacted. In almost all of the examined events ( I can`n t even tell one when this was not so) .Earthquakes mostly occured one or two days after.

But i n August and again in September , due to the increasing CME activity towards the maximum of this 11 years solar cycle ( expected by NASA in March 2013) we had meanhwile three combined events when 3- 6 CMEs impacted one after another in intervals of at most 1-2 days even interfering with the previous one. During the first event in August, I had issued an earthquake warning yet when suddenly another Earth directed CME was observed and heated the plates up again...so this alert had to be cancelled again , what makes the impression these forecasts were uncertain or wrong

It was soon clear that also this cooling down effect would therefore delay until the last CME has impacted and the frist events in August and September gave evidence, that this this suggestion. was right.

What cannot be measured( by the instruments in place) is the total amount of energy a CME tranmits into the Earth, how much energy is heating up the earthcrust during these impacts . I would have to ask an expert for those energy calculations if there would be any instrument yet to measure that amount of energy what unfortunately is not the case. But without those exact mathematical measures and values also no expert would be able to say how long plates will need to cool down or these energy are trasnformed or emitted again . Therefor it becomes after those combined CME events also difficult at least to estimate, when exactly these quakes will set in.

So - since those multiple CMEs showed up this problem, I was searching for a way how to to issue an general Earthquake warning, without definitely saying this must happen exactly, whether soon or inner the next days .The earthquakes alert currently issued after this multiple CME impacts however have an uncertainty of 2 days up to one week until the Earthquakes will indeed happen and set in. The events in August and September have generally prooved the theory, when the earthquake activity afterwards was peaking in the high energy earthquake that rattled Sikkim and large areas of the Himalaja massive(!!) .This quake occured appr 4 days after the last of three stronger CME had impacted and - obvioulsy released the most of this energy, so afterwards no further earthquake occured ....Thanks for understanding that-

  99     -- QUIET 6.0- 8.0 3

 

.

The number of swarm earthquakes has decreased since yesterday. At all- 24 tremor quakes were listed by EMSC yesterdayand 18 today (until the time of this update)

highest magnitude: M 3.3 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2011-09-30 15:38 UTC

also the steam emissions surging obviously out of a large hole, cave or small crater in the rock along the valley el Golfo that was observed on the webcam during the last days has stopped and was no more visible today.

 

SOLAR FLUX:

  EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 UNSETTLED 2011- October -01
  136 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (solen.info): 429 - 587 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   MINOR STORM 6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
  PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

seems as if CH 477 partially decays and rebuilts again. (on the images of the last 3 days it grew larger than became smaller and now larger again)   MAJOR STORM 2011- October -02  
 

15

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

ERUPTION TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: CME IMPACTS: 6.0- 7.0 2- 3
  impact time: TODAY`s MOST PROBABLE CME EFFECTS (traffic light):
  11301 60°- 75° W (20° N) SEP- 25             currently none IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:* EARTHQUAKES/ VOLCANO ERUPTIONS:  
11302 15°- 30° W (N 13°) SEP-28 3 C 5.6          
  11304 45° - 60° W ( 12° N ---            
  11305 15°- 0° E (12° N) SEP-30 C 5.6 18:05        
  11306 45°- 30° E(13° N) OCT- 01              
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs > none               NOAA/ Top News of the Day: SEP- 29- 2011
active regions rotating out of view today>           AR 11305 is at a position[N12E15] a consists out of one sunspot almost as large as the major one of AR 11302 geomagnetic storms: G2 solar radiation storms: --
SATELLITE IMAGES- SEP- 29- 2011             EXISTING FILES: CORONAL HOLES ACTIVE REGIONS

A strong CME was observed on SoHO after 20: 50 UTC and seemed forst to be Earth directed

STEREO shows that this event was on the backside of the Sun and none of the flares on the earth facing side had caused this CME

   

current number of CORONAL HOLE ( by NOAA)

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

extremely active regions ( date when in 0° E position)

next time when in earth position: activity description/ remarks
Sep 29 after: 19:00 UTC an extremely strong and long lasting multiple eruption began to merge on the backside of the Sun with a stron CME , likely on the filament of the Northern Polar CH and continued until Sep- 30    

PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
(Nr. 1): AR 11302- 20110928 20111025  
PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 2 ( internal) will be filled in soon!          
PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 3 ( internal) will be filled in soon!          

PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 4 ( internal)

CH 477/ 20110929

20111026        
explanations, shortcuts, foot notes etc..>>        

  **GVP= global volcanism program ( Smithsonian/ USGS) *** archived report of Sep 01 not yet available       **** 1 day is added all 4 rotation periods  
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary by:solen.info)

visit solen.info for more informations   EARTHQUAKE FORECASTS*       ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   SEP- 29- 2011: magnitudes alert level  

VOLCANO REPORTS:

EL HIERRO / CANARY ISLANDS

space for reports and other issues.

SEP- 28- 2011

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 RECURRENT?   GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

 

2011- September -29  

by. Smithsonian institute/ USGS:

NABRO / ERITRA

According to NASA's Earth Observatory, satellite images of Nabro acquired on 28 September showed heat from the vent in the central crater, and from an area 1.3 km S of the vent that indicated an active lava flow. A small and diffuse plume rose from the vent. A region of seemingly thicker black ash (that completely covered the sparse vegetation) was noted S of the crater and thinner layers of ash (with some areas of visible vegetation) flanked either side of the region.

-------

 

.

latest report by GVP**- SEP- 27- 2011: Instituto Geográfico Nacional (IGN) reported more than 900 new seismic events at Hierro during 20-26 September, five of them felt by residents. The maximum magnitude recorded was 3.4. The total number of located events had reached more than 8,100 since the anomalous activity began on 16 July. The rates of both GPS deformation and seismic energy release had significantly increased during the previous seven days. On 23 September, the Canarian Autonomous Government raised the Alert Code to Yellow

volcano activity reports for the time after the impact of the latest CMEs will be available next week!

I found a very ambitious article about the volcanism on the canary islands especially about El Hierro: Earthquakes under El Hierro in the Canary Islands: What can we expect?

 
  116     -- QUIET 6.0- 8.0 3
 

SOLAR FLUX:

  EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 UNSETTLED 2011- September -30
  132 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (solen.info): 390 - 529 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   MINOR STORM 6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
  PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

seems as if CH 477 partially decays and rebuilts again. (on the images of the last 3 days it grew larger than became smaller and now larger again)   MAJOR STORM 2011- October -01    
 

24

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

ERUPTION TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: CME IMPACTS: 6.0- 7.0 2- 3
  impact time: TODAY`s MOST PROBABLE CME EFFECTS (traffic light):
  11301 45°- 60° W (20° N) SEP- 25             currently none IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:* EARTHQUAKES/ VOLCANO ERUPTIONS:    
11302 0°- 15° W (N 13°) SEP-28 3 C flares 1 M flare M 1.2/1N at 13:28 UTC        
  11304 30° - 45° W ( 12° N ---             examined object 4: CH 477 RESEARCH ON POSSIBLY ENDURANT OR PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH- Research and comparations of Coronal holes at the same heliographic positions during previous rotation periods ( synodic rotation= 27,23... days)
  11305 30°- 15° E (12° N) SEP-30             - appr. current centered position (Sep- 29- 2011): = 0° E/ 45°S rotation period: (-27 days): - AUG- 31- 2011 ( solen.info)*** rotation period: (-54 days): -AUG- 05- 2011 ( solen.info) rotation period: (-81 days): -JULY- 09- 2011 ( solen.info rotation period: (-109 days)****: -JUNE- 11- 2011 ( by: solen.info) rotation period: (-136 days)****: MAY- 15- 2011 (by solen.info)
  11306 60°- 45° E(13° N) OCT- 01            
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs >                   NOAA/ Top News of the Day: SEP- 29- 2011
active regions rotating out of view today>             geomagnetic storms: G2 solar radiation storms: --
SATELLITE IMAGES- SEP- 28- 2011       GEOMAGNETIC FIELD all 3 days: GOEShp 3 days data plot: SEP 27- 29- 2011: EXISTING FILES: CORONAL HOLES ACTIVE REGIONS

> A small, weak CME rather an intensive , Earth directed Sun wind stream was observed on STEREO after 16:00 UTC most likely related the M flare in AR 11302. The Sun wind stream may have been accelerated by CH 477

current number of CORONAL HOLE ( by NOAA)

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

extremely active regions ( date when in 0° E position)

next time when in earth position: activity description/ remarks

The CME arrival observed on SoHo on Sep 29 after midnightoday was an event on the backside of the Sun. likely a filament eruption along the Northern Coronal Holöe extension>

 

PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
(Nr. 1): AR 11302- 20110928 20111025  
  PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 2 ( internal) will be filled in soon!          
  PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 3 ( internal) will be filled in soon!          
 

PERMANENT CORONAL HOLE Nr. 4 ( internal)

CH 477/ 20110929

20111026        
explanations, shortcuts, foot notes etc..>>      

  **GVP= global volcanism program ( Smithsonian/ USGS) *** archived report of Sep 01 not yet available       **** 1 day is added all 4 rotation periods  
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 28- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

Sep- 28: no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today until the time of this update!

SEP- 27- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 RECURRENT  

SEPTEMBER 28

The geomagnetic field was this morning still on the minor stormy conditions duringb the last days. . The geomagnetic storm of the last days seems to diminuish.

 

 

 

2011- September -28   EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

activity report EL HIERRO/ Canary Islands/ Spain:

Earthquake swarm activity continued yesterday until midnight and began again this morning after 5:00 UTC:

M 3.3 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2011-09-28 05:00 UTC

As Earthquake maps shows, the activity has moved yesterday from land to offshore locations near to the Bay el Golfo, which is supposed to be the rest of a former crater edge.

In its last bulletin, the cabildo El Hierro maintained their yellow "traffic light alert", saying, people around the affected region can stay at home but should remain prepared for an evacuation at any time.>>

 

^live images of Webcam las Puntas / El Hierro/ Islas Canarias/ Spain

   
82     -- 6.0- 7.5 2- 3

the 4 CMEs following one another have generally impacted on a global scale.Seismic activities in their aftermath can therefore happen anywhere Some regions listed below however have receive the most energy.

Earthquake and volcanic activities in the aftermath of this CME should be expected from Sep 28 on and will continue for some days , while their strength will by and by decrease.

The events will likely take place in the regions reps at the tectonic boundaries listed below:

WESTERN EUROPE/AFRICA incl the ATLANTIC OCEAN

SOUTH AMERICA. incl SW Pacific

NORTH AMERICA

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 2011- September -29
139 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 483 - 708 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 8.0 3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

    2011- September -30      

30

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

ERUPTION TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2- 3
SPECIAL REMARKS:
  11301 30°- 45° W (20° N) SEP- 25            

 

No further CMEs were observed since Sep 25.Heavier EARTHQUAKES must therefore be expected from Sep 28- 30 ( maybe some days longer) with highest magnitudes expectable for Sep 29

     
    11302 15°- 0° E (N 13°) SEP-28          
  11304 15° - 30° W ( 12° N ---          

>> EL HIERRO/>>

Before the cabildo had declared their findings: The activity that started midst of July has lifted up the affected parts of ths island above the suggested magma chamber for some centimeters yet. Also the ground becomes increasingly warmer. CO2 emissions continued.

Yesterday- so the webcam images let conclude - obvioulsy the first time steam has emmitted from a vent in the valley el Golfo.( see also: yesterday`s report)

   
  11305 45°- 30° E (12° N) SEP-30              
    11306 60°- 45° E(13° N) OCT- 01              
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs >                    
active regions rotating out of view today> 11303 75- 90° W ( 28° S ---          
GOEShp- Sep 26- 28- 2011

 

   
EARTHQUAKES TODAY:            
 

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*
  diminuishing 1-2   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
 

 

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

 

     
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 27- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

Sep- 27: no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today until the time of this update!

SEP- 26- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 RECURRENT  

SEPTEMBER 27 :

the geomagnetic field was still rather turbulent this morning., but the major geomagnetic storm seems to be over for now.

some effects of two weak CMEs on SEP 125 ( AR 11303) will again cauise some fluctuations , and I have taken them into account., as they will delay the cooling down of the tectonic plates and the expectaböe Earthquakes until Sep- 28

Heavy Earthquakes must be expected form SEP 28 and SEP 29!

The next volcanism report will be issued on SEP 28.

 

 

 

2011- September -27   EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

SITUATION EL HIERRO:

Just yesterday volcanologists had said El Hierro migh calm down soon. But today a new phase of a volcanic Earthquakes began in 10 km depth below the island of El Hierro / Canary islands/Spain with magnitudes all higher than M 2.0, from which on they are also listed by EMSC
Until today- 19:00 UTC , at all 20 quakes were registered magnitudes heights between M 2.5 and M 3.8 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2011-09-27 15:44 UTC

Likely for the first time since the activities began, a long flag of steam was visible on the webcam situated above las Puntas ( in the El Golfo valley the edge of the Hierro volcano) . Steam is a sign that water gets into the volcanic chimneys. So long as this steam can get out the danger is rather low . But steam ( mostly then hydrogen and sulfonhydrogen) explosions were the reason of the gratest volcano catastrophies known in histiory ( compare: Thera also known as " Santorin")

^live images of Webcam las Puntas / El Hierro/ Islas Canarias/ Spain

   
114   --

6.0- 7.0 (alert level)

2- 3

Two weak CMEs ffrm AR 11303 on SEP 25 had to be taken in account for this report, as they will delay Earthquake effetcs until Sep- 28°

Earthquake and seimic activities in the aftermath of this CME should be expected from tomorrow - Sep 28 on and might likely take place in the regions reps at the tectonic boundaries listed below:

WESTERN EUROPE/AFRICA incl the ATLANTIC OCEAN

SOUTH AMERICA. incl SW Pacific

NORTH AMERICA

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 2011- September -28
148 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 282 - 370 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

SEP- 26: the second of Three CMEs has arrive today after 4.00 UTC. It can`t be said whether this was the second or third, Both most likely intefer with another.   2011- September -29      

59

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

ERUPTION TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2- 3
SPECIAL REMARKS:
  11301 15°- 30° W (20° N) SEP- 25            

The last two of the 5 CMEs following one another has arrived today- Sep- 27 . The first after after 12:00 UTC the second after 17:00 UTC.These CME were ejected by Region 11303 while it was already on the 75! position on the western limb. AR 11303 has meanwhile rotated out of sight.

the impacts were unexpectedly strong resp significant -maybe as they interfered with the last impacts of the 2 strong CME yesterday- Sep 2 those had already highly charged the geomagnetic field .

No further CMEs were observed since Sep 25.Heavier EARTHQUAKES must therefore be expected from tomorrow- Sep 28 ,increasing in strength on Sep 29

 

     
    11302 30°- 15° E (N 13°) SEP-28          
  11304 0° - 15° W ( 12° N ---          

^single image taken today after 17:00 UTClikely showing emitting steam (?)

   
  11305 60°- 45° E (12° N) SEP-30           VOLCANISM    
    11306 75°- 60° E(13° N) OCT- 01          

Due to yesterday`s reports by RSOE/HU new activities wer observed on Mt St Helens / USA. On webcam images lots of clouds obscure the volcano . No official report was issued yet.

POPOCATEPETL México: ( Smithsonian/ GVP*): An explosion on 26 September ejected incandescent fragments and produced an ash plume that rose 2.5 km above the crater.

 

 

GVP= global volcanism program

 

   
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs > 2 11303( 1 and 2) two weak halo CMEs ( not listed by NOAA) M1.3 / M 1.5- / M 1.3 SEP- 25 07:05 / 09:35 / 16:18 UTC appr. S of TAURUS/ GEMINI partially Earth directed

Arrived: SEP- 27: 12:00 UTC/ 17:00 UTC

   
active regions rotating out of view today> 11303 75- 90° W ( 28° S ---          
GOEShp- Sep 25- 27- 2011

 

   
EARTHQUAKES TODAY:            

M 5.3 - CRETE, GREECE - 2011-09-27 12:08 UTC

(Earthquakes worldwide > 6.0. in Europe > 5.0

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*
  higher 2-3 SIKKIM/ INDIA EARTHQUAKE (Aftermath) AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
 

INDIA- Two quake-hit villages yet to be reached. A week after a devastating earthquake hit Sikkim, claiming 77 lives, the Herculean task of reconstruction has begun...( read morer at Global Disaster Watch- blogspot

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

 

     
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 26- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level   Volcanism reports: Sep- 26: no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today until the time of this update!

SEP- 25- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 RECURRENT  

SEPTEMBER 26 :

the geomagnetic field itself was quite this morning. A sharp rise and drop of values followed the 1. of 3 anticipated CME impacts yesterday.

The CME reached its peak from 16:30 - 17:30 UTC above longitude 60°- 80 W- mainly North America, SW Pacific , parts of South America ) .Highest value there was almost 140 nT.

update: 17:31 UTC:

large turbulences and a sudden geomagnetic storm began after 11:00 UTC possibly by the influence of the second CME

 

 

 

2011- September -26  

by Smithsonian institute/ USGS:

VILLARRICA/ CHILE

According to Projecto Observación Visual Volcán Villarrica (POVI), an image from 17 September showed the inner SSW wall of the crater covered with snow and ice, and a thin layer of ash. A rapid rise in the level of the lava lake (in a pit about 40 m wide) on 19 September caused much of the snow and ice to melt, especially on the southern inner wall. Strombolian explosions from the crater were observed on 26 September, and tephra deposits on the E edge of the crater were noted. On 27 September incandescence from the lava lake were reflected in the cloud cover above.

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 8 (part 6 you find in my report of Sep- 20 > previous parts in the daily report of Sep 2011 either displayed here or yet archived :click on the register card above titled " archive of the current month" above thie reports! THis part is taken from my notices and daily updates during that time:

update:April 01- 2011:

NHK published yesterday some measurements, made by the IAEA and the Japanonese nuclear safety commission. Measurements were taken in a village outside the 20 km zone:
IAEA measured radioactive JOD 131. JOD 131 is not much above environental conditions/ temperatures a gas and is transported by the wind and washed out by the rain. JOD 131 has a preferemce to attach itself (rather to "clue" by its electromagnetic qualities as an isotope) on all LEAFS of all plants. This makes possible to remove it rather good by cutting off and disposing contaminated leafs The Japonese nuclear safety agency measured the contamination with Caesium 234 and 137. Caesium istopes go dissolved in rain /water into the ground. They have similar qualities as Kalium (Potassium) and are therefore easily built into all parts of plants in which Kalium usually makes the hard parts such as wood or roots. Caesium activities are measured in units of 1 kg of soil whereby the grass layer is removed before. The JNSA found 163 kilobecquerel ( kilo = 1000) per kg ( kilogram) soil The Japonese nuclear safety agency measured the contamination with Caesium 234 and 137. Caesium istopes go dissolved in rain /water into the ground. They have similar qualities as Kalium (Potassium) and are therefore easily built into all parts of plants in which Kalium usually makes the hard parts such as wood or roots. Caesium activities are measured in units of 1 kg of soil whereby the grass layer is removed before. The IAEA found 163 kilobecquerel ( kilo = 1000) per kg ( kilogram) soil .During a " nuclear fission" the Uranium and the even more dangerous Plutonium 239 atoms split into smaller fragments. These " nuclides" are then identified and named after the natural non radioactive elements of the period system with the same " mass number" (speak: number of Protons) in their cores. But though they have then mostly similar qualities as their natural reference elements , these nuclides or " Isotopes" have "abundand Neutrons" (= more Neutrons than Proton/ Electrone pairs) those make them instable.

 

108   --

6.0- 7.0 (alert level)

2- 3

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 2011- September -27
168 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 282 - 370 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

SEP- 26: the second of Three CMEs has arrive today after 4.00 UTC. It can`t be said whether this was the second or third, Both most likely intefer with another.   2011- September -28  

04

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

ERUPTION TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2- 3
SPECIAL REMARKS:
  11301 00°- 15° W (20° N) SEP- 25        

the second of three awaited CMEs has arrived today. The first solar wind shock must have been after 3:00 UTC. The values rose sharply afterwards

It can`t be said now whether this was CME 11302(2) or 11302(3). The second CME was expected to be rather weak, the third one to be the strongest of all three.

Further values will show ,whether and how both CMEs interfer with another.

The main peak impact of this first CME however began again over WESTERN EUROPE and reached its peak with 170 nT above longitude 15° W. The impact zone moves currently ( 13:32 UTC) over the ATLANTIC.

EARTHQUAKE OR VOLCANISM ALERTS:

Earthquake and seimic activities in the aftermath of this CME should be expected from tomorrow - Sep- 27- but rather from Sep 28 on and might likely take place in the regions reps at the tectonic boundaries listed below:

WESTERN EUROPE/AFRICA incl the ATLANTIC OCEAN

SOUTH AMERICA. incl SW Pacific

NORTH AMERICA

 

 
    11302 45°- 30° E (N 13°) SEP-28 7 flares(C 5.7.- M 7.4 M7.4/1N at 04:50      
  11303 75- 90° W ( 28° S --- M1.3 / M 1.5- / M 1.3 07:05 / 09:35 / 16:18 UTC      

continued... FUKUSHIMA REPORT

update. April 14:
Meanwhile also some 100 becquerels of Strontium 90 has been found inside and near to the evacuation zone . Strontium 90 is an" alpha radiator" and behaves similar as chalk ( Ca). ST 90 is, if eaten or drunk, therefore mainly incorporated in bones. update. April 14:
Meanwhile also some 100 becquerels of Strontium 90 has been found inside and near to the evacuation zone . Strontium 90 is an" alpha radiator" and behaves similar as chalk ( Ca). ST 90 is, if eaten or drunk, therefore mainly incorporated in bones. update. April 14:
Meanwhile also some 100 becquerels of Strontium 90 has been found inside and near to the evacuation zone . Strontium 90 is an" alpha radiator" and behaves similar as chalk ( Ca). ST 90 is, if eaten or drunk, therefore mainly incorporated in bones.
Others of these " nuclides" such as " Strontium 90" turned out to be more instable, resp to have instable nuclear cores, from those split off again entire fragments of " 2 Proton- Neutron pairs" called " alpha particles". Once incorporated by food or breath their are far more dangerous as they decay then to 4 Electrons 4 Protons 4 gamma quants each. Their impacts then damage body cells - "cutting through" DNA as well as all other molecules, This is called "ionisation effect"- in technical terms: " radiolyse" DECAY RATE...With a Geiger counter was measured then- lets say - that from the 25 abundant Neutrons of Jod 131 (compared to 53 Protons and 53 Electrones = 106) the half of have decayed within 8 days. This value is called " HALF- LIFE PERIO". Whether that "decay rate" in those nuclides then continues or later would slow down or accelerate is not known for sure, as that can`t be measured now. Also, whether they will get ever stable again at all or even decay down to Hydrogen doing so, these nuclides would steady change to another element. The storage of nculear Isotope waste is the greatest still unsolved problem resulting from the nuclear fission.60 years since it was begun ,no country still has found such a form of disposal, where it could be stored without steady observation, as. by any probabiity- the nuclear content in any deposit could also more and more turn into pure toxical gazes in a longer term For the first time that waste would be sure in strong hermetic closed bunkers or granit caves. In Sweden the highradioactive nuclide waste is for example stored in cavesbelow the sea level that the content would by itself be cooled when that cave would anytime collapse or that it must be cooled in case of emergency.
I think this is still a rather APPROPRIATE SOLUTION Concentrated, the socalled " " highly radioactive" or "primary" nuclear waste developes temperatures of between 250 and 300 degrees and more. My proposal since years therefore is to use that nuclear waste in specially built reactors to produce again electricity while then those reactors producing that primary waste could be shutdown. None can claim that would not be possible! Concentrated, the socalled " " highly radioactive" or "primary" nuclear waste developes temperatures of between 250 and 300 degrees and more. My proposal since years therefore is to use that nuclear waste in specially built reactors to produce again electricity while then those reactors producing that primary waste could be shutdown. None can claim that would not be possible! Such a " nuclide" reactor would be less dangerous than any normal reactor but also would have a much stronger containment than any storage. The nuclear waste would be under control/ observation and may deliver 100 of years certain amounts on energy for any special needs .

Thism report will be continued if there is space left between the sun activity reports!

new emerged> 11304 15° - 0° W ( 12° N ---          
new emerged> 11305 75°- 60° E (12° N) SEP-30          
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs > 5 11303( 1 and 2) two weak halo CMEs ( not listed by NOAA) M1.3 / M 1.5- / M 1.3 SEP- 25 07:05 / 09:35 / 16:18 UTC appr. S of TAURUS/ GEMINI partially Earth directed

Arrived: SEP- 27: 12:00 UTC/ 17:00 UTC

    11303( 1 and 2) two weak halo CMEs M1.3 / M 1.5- / M 1.3 07:05 / 09:35 / 16:18 UTC appr. S of TAURUS/ GEMINI partially Earth directed

SEP- 27

    11302(3)

fully halo CME

will interfer with CME 2

M7.1/1B SEP- 24 13:20 appr. N of CAPR./ AQU. with Earth directed parts

arrived (after 1:00 UTC resp. 20:00 UTC)

  11302(2) fully halo CME X1.9 2B/ Sep 24- 09:41 appr. N of CAPR./ AQU. with Earth directed parts arrived:SEP- 26/ after 3:00 UTC
active regions rotating out of view today> 11295 75°- 90° W (N 24) SEP 18       GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*
GOEShp- Sep 24- 26- 2011

 

higher 2-3
   

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  

 
^Star coronal hole and active region map 20110926 by solen.info ^   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
Active region AR 11302 [today`s position: N13E37] on its transit over the visible disc. Note the extraordinary large sun spots resp densely spottet region! Today, the sun was rather quite, resp exhausted for the moment. While rotating into an Earth position, AR 11302 is still capable to produce further M and X flares in the coming days! NOAA today G* 2 R* 2  

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      

G* = geomagnetic storm

R*= Solar Radiation storms

 

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

 

     
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 25- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

 

SEP- 24- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

CH 477 DEVELOPING  

SEPTEMBER 25 :

The geomagnetic field itself was some unsettled this morning. with minor fluctuations , those began on Sep 24 after 22:00 UTC

A solar winds shock after 8:40 indicated the arrival of the first of three CMEs following one another from AR 11302.

This CME has rather minor- medium strength as expected.

The CME impact reached 100 nT at 11:00 UTC and seemed to have reached its peak with 125 nT at 15:00 UTC, when impacting above the Atlantic.

Currently its as at UTC -6 (105° W >( USA) with values still rising ( currently: 137 nT)

Affected maybe the Atlantic , North and South America)

 

X ray flux increased yesterday after 9.00 UTC from 0,000050 to 0,0001 W/squaremeter

 

 

2011- September -25   SEISMIC ACTIVITIES / EL HIERRO/ CANARY ISLAND  
88   -- 6.0- 7.0 1- 2

 

Seismic tremors on the island El Hierro( Islas Canarias/ Spain: began already in July 2011 and began temporarely to increase by number on Aug- 28. The low magnitude swarms continued below the shield volcano E Hierro throughout September . During September, activities decreased by number but have reached a new strength with Magnitudes of 3.1 and 3.4 on Sep- 25

M 3.3 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2011-09-24 21:24 UTC

direct informations ( >government of the Canary islands ( only in Spanish! ):

Cabildo de El Hierro/ Hierro volcanism on yellow alert level

This notifications translated is as follows:

the community of El Hierro issued a yellow alert: This means

the population is aksed,regularly to listen to latest radio news or stay informed about the volcano status by the website of the authorities.

the population is further asked to make preparations for an evacuation at any time. To have personal documents and other main important things at hand if any evacuation should be prompted.

This report will be continued if news are available-> webcam>>

--------

 

 

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 477 SEP- 28 2011- September -26
168 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 313 - 357km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

(Sep- 25-14:31 UTC): The first CME 11203(1) arrived today after 8:40 and is rather weak as expected! The impact peaked with > 125 nT over the longitude 30° W and might effect from the Atlantic to South America and to the Western European and African coasts.   2011- September -27   SEP-25:^a M 1.0 flare-erupted in AR 11303 on Sep 24 at 23:54 . The image above was taken bei STEREO AHEAD at 1:54 UTC after a data gap that began at 00:09 UTC... ...^the event produced a medium but significant CME with some Earth directed parts. this flare in the new formed AR 11303 was observed at time of this update . these images made by SoHO arrived later today and show, that this CME ejected after a longer M--flare in AR 11295 headed into South- Western direction ( appr LIBRA) and was NOT MAINLY EARTH DIRECTED!

04

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

ERUPTION TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2- 3
SPECIAL REMARKS:
11295 75°- 90° W (24° N)          

Sep 25: The first of three CMEs (described as ar 11203(1) left side ) has arrived today and is ratzer weak as expected .

It will reach its peak values over the regions UTC- 2 - UTC + 6 ( 30° W- 90° W) and might therefore cause some imidiate effects ( see textfield below) in the regions: ATLANTIC WITH EASTERN COASTS OF EUROPE AND AFRICA/ WEST COAST OF USA AND SOUTH AMERICA

Volcanic activities might increase soon and even today- Heavier Earthquakes should be expected around this regions from SEP 27/ 28 on . HOWEVER: when the last in a new serial of CMEs has arrived.

  allthough the source was on the Southweatern limb, its xray flash caused major disturbances on LASCO C 3.- indicating that a flank of thie CME may hit the Earth    
    11301 00°- 15° E (20° N) SEP- 25          
11302 60°- 45° E (N 13°) SEP-27 M1.7/ M 1.9 9:41/ 13:20 2 CME see below SEP- 26/27
new emerged> 11303 60- 75° W ( 28° S ---              
new emerged>                     images left and right above: AR 11303 produced a second flare visible after 9:00 UTC      
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs > 3 11302(3)     M7.1/1B SEP- 24 13:20 appr. N of CAPRICORN AQUARIUS fully halo with Earth directed parts SEP- 26/27        
  11302(2)     X1.9 2B/ Sep 24- 09:41 appr. N of CAPRICORN AQUARIUS fully halo with Earth directed parts SEP- 26/27        
  11302(1)   X 1.4/2N SEP-22 11:01 appr. N of SAGITTARIUS Fully halo CME with Earth- directed parts

ARRIVED:

SEP- 25/ 8:40 UTC

       
active regions rotating out of view today> 11295 75°- 90° W (N 24) SEP 18    

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*          
           
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:                

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
         

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      
       

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

 

     
  O
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 24- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

 

SEP- 23- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

(CH468?) *not numbered DEVELOPING  

SEPTEMBER 24 :

The geomagnetic field itself was rather quiet again this morning.

 

The geomagnetic field density ranged yesterday between 80 and 112 nT..

This indicates there is still enough energy to trigger some medium Earthquakes up to M 7.5

 

2011- September -24        
90     -- 6.0- 7.0 1- 2  

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH468* SEP- 23 2011- September -25  
158 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 342 - 373 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.0 1- 2    
PLANETARY A INDEX:

notices

  high flare intensity in region 11295 and 11302 >>   2011- September -26     Sep- 24: this image left, taken by STEREO AHEAD at 1:54 UTC show a faint CME into Earth direction. STEREO BEHIND shows at 1:55 UTC two weak CMEs, going off at the same time from AR 11302 ( appr 75° E) and AR 11295 on the Western limb SDO shows one CME with an X1.9/2B flare at 9: 41 UTC, erupting, from the most western spot - the largest sun spot in AR 11302 SDO/ HMI Intensitygram of SEP- 24- 2011. showing the three large Sun Spot in AR 11203 rotating in from the eastern limb not much away from the Sun equator. While most of other ar decayed this region remained and is further capable for producing more x flares

03

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

MAJOR FLARES TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2- 3  
SPECIAL REMARKS:

(spiegel-online) Stromausfall legt große Teile Chiles lahm

latina-press- SEP- 24- 23:30 UTC: Chile: Neun Millionen Menschen nach Blackout ohne Strom

 

BBC- wordblog: Power blackout hits Chile, halts copper mines

------

( Pagasa/ Philippines gov website):Tropical Storm "PEDRING" has gained strength slightly as it slowed down and continues to move towards Isabela-Aurora

 

(Philstar) Tropical storm 'Pedring' enters Philippines

    11295 60°- 75° W SEP 18 3 flares ( C 2.3-9.6) M1.6/1N at 2:00 UTC ---          

 

 
    11296 60°- 75 ° W SEP- 19          
    11301 30°- 15° E            
11302 75°- 60° E SEP-27 4flares (C 3.4- 9.6) M 1,6/22:15 - M 1.9/M1/22:15 UTC      
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>> 11302   SEP 27

M 1.9

M 7.1

SEP 24/ 09:41 appr. N of SAGITTARIUS/ CAPRICORNUS fully halo with Earth directed parts SEP- 26/27 Sep 24: another stronger CME was observed qith a M7.1/1B long duration event after 13:00 UTC in AR 11302 On LASCO C 3 it appeared fully halo with some Earth directed parts On STEREO AHEAD, this CME also appeared fully halo as observed on STEREO BEHIND    
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>> 11302 75°- 60° E SEP-27 X 1.4/2N SEP 24/ 11:01 appr. N of SAGITTARIUSI Fully halo CME with Earth- directed parts SEP- 24/ 25

more images are currently not available ( transmission problem by xray radiation? )but likely will be available later!

 
active regions rotating out of view today> 11299 90°- 105° W SEP- 18    

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*    
GOEShp- Sep 22- 24- 2011    
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:     ^AR 11302: M3.0 flare at 19:21 UTC ° AR 11302. M3.0 flare at 19:21 This event produced another Earth directed CME STEREO BEHIND Had a data gap beginning Sep/ 17:50 until Sep- 25- 1:10 UTC    

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES     AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
         

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      
       

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

 

     
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 23- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

Sep- 23: no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today until the time of this update!

SEP- 22- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

(CH468?) *not numbered DEVELOPING  

SEPTEMBER 23 :

The geomagnetic field itself was rather quiet again this morning.

A larger anomality was observed yesterday after 18:00 likely an (immidiate proton?-) effect of the unusual eruption event yesterday

This indicates that also its CME could have effects on Earth.

The geomagnetic field density ranged yesterday between 80 and 110 nT..

This indicates there is still enough energy to trigger some medium Earthquakes up to M 7.5

 

2011- September -23   --      
86     -- 6.0- 7.5 2

Volcano eruptions:

LEWOTOBI/Flores Island (Indonesia)was set on alert level 2 of 4

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH468* SEP- 23 2011- September -24
150 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 344 - 412 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.0 2  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

1 large eruption that engulfed the entire Sun!   2011- September -25   Sep- 23: images above: a long duration flare began as observed on SDO ( right upper quadrant)to emerge above AR 11295 after 12:40 UTC.. At 17:00 the flare has reached a larger (M class?) size.        

05

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.0 2
SPECIAL REMARKS:

 

    11295 45°- 60° W SEP 18 5 flares ( C 6.5- M 1.1) M1.1 at 10:00 UTC         the CME after the X 1.4/2N flare in AR 11302 yesterday after 11:01 seems to have caused a solar storm. Most of the CME however went off into North Eastern direction. Arrival data have to be awaited on Sep 24/25, as it can`t be said right now, whether a flank of this CME will arrive or effect the Earth.    

<<<video left: a video compilation of the " unusual" event observed on Sep 22 , as seen by various telescopes onboard of the solar observatories /spacecrafts STEREO, SoHO and SDO

 

click here to get to my youtube website:

 
    11296 45°- 60 ° W SEP- 19          
    11298 60- 75° W SEP- 19     dissolved    
    11299 75°- 90° W SEP- 18          
    11301 45°- 30° E            
11302 75°- 60° E SEP-27 X 1.4/2N 11:01 appr. N of SAGITTARIUS Fully halo CME with Earth- directed parts SEP- 24- 25
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -            
active regions rotating out of view today>          

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:                

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
         

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      
       

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

 

     
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 22- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

SEP- 21- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

(CH468?) *not numbered DEVELOPING  

SEPTEMBER 22 :

The geomagnetic field itself was rather quiet again this morning .

The DEVELOPING CH ( not numbered- here 468) obviouosly creates fluctuationa/vibrations as observed and a low speed Sun wind stream .

The geomagnetic field density ranged yesterday between 80 and 112 nT- 20 % above the average level.

This indicates there is still enough energy to trigger some medium Earthquakes up to M 7.5

 

 

2011- September -22   M 6.5 - TONGA - 2011-09-22 23:07 UTC

, >> next images below, same event as observed by STEREO "A" and "B":>>  
108^     -- 6.0- 7.0 2

M 5.6 - EASTERN TURKEY - 2011-09-22 03:22 UTC

( remark: Earthquakes on the EURASIAN plate are listed from a magnitude higher than 5.0 on. The Eurasia plate is the most massive. Therefore any earthquake with M5.0 will effect as one with M 6.0 elsewhere.

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH468* SEP- 23 2011- September -23
144 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 331 - 370 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.5 2  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

1 large eruption that engulfed the entire Sun!   2011- September -24  

images above: A large and impressive X 1.4/2N flare shoots out form the new formed and not even yet nu,bered AR 11302, a region out of just two or three, but extraordinary large Sun spots- as you can see on my youtube video above ( in the rpeort of Sep- 23). There were first two data gaps in SoHo transmissions - one after midnight, the other after 6.30 UTC. But these missing images came in late. today on Sep 24,. The reason is not ( as I had aasumed) that SohO`n s instruments are switched out by automatics, if any stronger x ray wave approaches. As it seems , the x- ray shock wave accomponying any of these eruption has the capability to disturb and interrupt the radiotranmission ( at least) from these satellites.

05

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.0 2
SPECIAL REMARKS:

 

    11295 30°- 45° W SEP 18 5 flares ( C 1.9- 1.8) M flare possible        

the image above- provided by solen.info-shows AR 11302 that has enourmous large sun spots which large penumbras.

 

.

>>these two images taken by STEREO`s EUVI 195 telecope prior and after the second eruption show that it really came from the newly formed AR 11302  
    11296 30°- 45 ° W SEP- 19     partial halo CME partial arrived
    11298 45- 60° W SEP- 19          
    11299 60°- 75° W SEP- 18          
    11300 90°- 105° W             Comparision project ( CH region 3) : same longitude ( merdian ) on Sun surface during previous synodic rotation periods ( = 27.23... days)
    11301 60°- 45° E              
11302 90°- 75° E SEP-27 X 1.4/2N SEP- 22/ 11:01 appr. North of SAGITTARIUS full halo CME with Earth directed parts SEP- 24- 25
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -            
active regions rotating out of view today> 11300 90°- 105° W      

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*
equanox constellation: date: sideric position: 6.0- 7.0 2 CORONAL HOLES Sep-22. 2011 (solen.info) same Sun-meridian- one rotation period earlier (August- 26- 2011) same Sun-meridian- two rotation period earlier (July- 30- 2011) same Sun-meridian- three rotation period earlier (July- 03- 2011) same Sun-meridian- fout rotation period earlier (June- 05- 2011)*  

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
         

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      
         

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

* one day as added to each 4 rotation periods, as the sinodic conjunction period is 27, 23.... days

_ same meridian during the 5th and 6 th previous rotation period >

 
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 21- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

Sep- 21: no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today at time of this update!

SEP- 20- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

  --  

SEPTEMBER 21 :

The geomagnetic field itself was rather quiet again this morning .

The magnetic field density ranged yesterday between 80 and 105 nT- 20 % above the average level.

This indicates that despite several harder Earthquakes hit India and today also Guatemala , there is still Earthquake energy!! Further Earthquakes must be expected also in coming days !

 

 

2011- September -21    

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 7

...Some rather gracy ones had now the idea, to cover all the plant with an concrete sarcopharce similar as in Chernobyl. ONe problem is: The more than 80 tons of nuclear fuel in two of the three havarised reactors , contain not 4 but almost 10 % of fissionable material ( 3-5 % U 235 and 4-6 % PU 239) and this all concentrated area in the very small area of the reactor cor with a diameter of around 4.6 meters . As Russian sources claimed, the pressure could rise below such a sarcopharge and the melting mass could as the worst case from a critical mass for a nuclear explosion. . Each reactor has alone the potential energy equivalence of 500 Nakasaki PU 239 bombs, additional to more than hundred Hiroshima bombs whereby onehas the equivalence to 40- 50 kg U 235. All reactors types (excluded HWR) were designed to breed Bomb Plutonium and so they do! " The Earth own rotation however distributes all what goes into the atmosphere all over that planet. Radioactive measures are kept secretly as ever, but first particles from F have arrived in Europe just on week later. Suddenly, even German CDU hardliners got week in their knees want suddenly to " step out from nuclear energy". A Reflex? One month later they had alrready prepared a plan how to do so.
. This is under the current circumstance understandable. However there is no way to step out from that planet! Germany`s intention to "step out" , regarding the total global thread created both by nuclear facilities and stockpiles- will not effect much more than the drop on a glowing stone on the global thread that knows no borders or frontieres.

. The German government. says its a beginning. Germany wants to show the world in the coming years, , that there is already techniques available to replace nuclear energy with regenerative ones all over the world. despite the increasing need for electric energy.

JAPAN WANTS TO REPLACE NUCLEAR ENERGY BY GEOTHERMAL ONE

Month after the accident, Japan`s former government declared, it wants tom replace nuclear energy with geothermal produced energies.. Well:The countrywith its almost hundred volcanoes has enough geothermal energy to provide half Asia with . Again, the Japonese might " make the best of th worst and could take the chance to bring forward gethermal energy production techniques. and could emerge there as the world`s leading producer.. Its is urgently needed toimprove these techniques, even stop the way geothermal energy is won today due to a silly invention ( which isn`t one) in Los Alamos, drillling for steam bladders just like as it would be oil.. Instead, a closed system must be developed , that runs wtaer in a circle an just heats it in then deep. through a heat exchanger.. .MARCH- 30: INCREDIBLE!! The 60 heroes working inside the plant on that mission impossible day and night to save our all asses have to sleep in the power plant but have not even got matrazes there, have no water to drink ,no water to shower to wash their contaminations away!!

101     -- 6.0- 7.5 2-3

(BBC- Sep- 20- 2011) Japan urges mass evacuation ahead of Typhoon Roke

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >   -- 2011- September -22
147 AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 349 - 434 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.0 2  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

1 partial halo CME after LDE in region 11296   2011- September -23  

07

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 7 (part 6 you find in my report of Sep- 18 > previous parts in the daily report of Sep 2011 either displayed here or yet archived :click on the register card above titled " archive of the current month" above thie reports!

---The report will be at that point continued with the first response on the disaster in form of a diary--

MAR- 26- 2011: The radiation (mainly X- ray) measured around F. ( as reported these measures are taken in a radius of 200 meterrs to the reactors) increased from MAR 19 ( 200 Microsivert)- exponentially to 2 Millisievert on March 23rd and rose further 200 Millisievert on MAR 26, without any more radioactive matter was released during that time by another explosion or emission. Until the e nd of April it had increased almost 1 Sievert ( 1000 Millisievert). This peak value was a told by TEPCO measured near to a reported crack in the basement of (?)the plant, where obvioulsy water penetrates from leaks out from the reactor core . Soon after the incident began, TEPCO had no other choice to prevent further parts from melting down as permanently to pump water through all thre reactor cores ( Block 1- 3) . THis water used for cooling is highly radiacative contaimanted, as with the first partial meltdown, also a still unknown number of the socalled "Circonium hulls" around the nuclear fuel rods was melted or damaged

  11292 15°- 30° W SEP 17              
    11295 15°- 30° W SEP 18 critical           REPORT:  
    11296 0°- 15 ° W SEP- 19 4 flares C 1.6- 9.6 C9.5/F1 at 5: 13 UTC partial halo CME partial SEP 22

A new CME is approaching and will raise the energetic level of the geomagnetic field again .

The currently lowered Earthquake alert level will remain in place

A new alert level estimation will be issued again after the CME arrival.

    11298 30- 45° W SEP- 19          
    11299 45°- 60° W SEP- 18          
    11300 75°- 90° W            
    11301 75°- 60° E  

C2.0 C1.7 C2.5

6:56... 12:34.. 13:53

     
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -              
active regions rotating out of view today>          

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

GOEShp- Sep 20- 22- 2011  
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:         (Sep- 21-22) images above: major eruption on the backside of the Sun, beginning on Sep- 21/after 23:00 UTC

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15    
     

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?      
     

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( ( (
SOURCES
solen.info solar terrestrical activity report (SUMMARY OF YESTERDAYS SOLAR DATA

*

o

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST (alien-homepage)

o

EMSC/ USGS: (EARTH QUAKE REPORTS WORLDWIDE)

GOEShp - Magnetometer-(daily gemoagnetic status.)

STEREO SoHO SDO /AIA  

LAST UPDATE

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

(YESTERDAY`s SUMMARY by:solen.info

GEOMEGNETIC CORONAL HOLES  

TODAY S SITUATION (Internal):

 

ESTIMATED MAXIMUM MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED SEVERENESS ( 1-3)  

EARTHQUAKES AND VOLCANISM:

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD all 3 days: GOEShp 3 days data plot

IMAGES

IMAGES

SPACE FOR REMARKS  
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 20- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

Sep- 20: no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today.

SEP- 19- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

  --  

SEPTEMBER 20 :

The geomagnetic field itself was rather quiet again this morning .

The magnetic field density ranged yesterday between 80 and 112nT- 20 % above the average level.

This indicates that despite several harder Earthquakes hit India and today also Guatemala , there is still Earthquake energy!! Further Earthquakes must be expected also in coming days next days , Those quakes can still reach high magnitudes!

(remark: Those" multi quakes" often follow one another in intervals , usually with one quiet day in between.)

 

2011- September -20     < a minor flare on Sep 19 after 23:00 UTC produced a weak CME heading Eastern direction  
128     -- 6.0-> 8.0 2-3 (BBC- Sep- 20-2011) four earthquakes rattle Guatemala in under three hours  

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >   -- 2011- September -21  

140

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 359 - 424 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.5 2-3    
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

1 partial halo CME after LDE in region 11296   2011- September -22  

 

( Sep- 20) beginning significant activities were observed in a new formed region S1226 on the Eastern limb today at 11:00 UTC at the time of this update, The source could also be AR 11301 on the 90° - 75° Eastern position.    

03

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*

 

  11292 0°- 15° W SEP 17              
    11293 60- 75 ° W SEP- 13 decayed           -- --  
    11294 30°- 45° W SEP-16 decayed                      
    11295 15°- 30° W SEP 18 critical         REPORT: STEREO images like this one taken at 16:09 UTC however show, that most of the activities on SEP 20 were on the backside of the Sun >>    
    11296 15°- 00 ° E SEP- 19 C2.4 04:59 partial halo CME   SEP 22

A new CME is approaching and will raise the energetic level of the geomagnetic field again .

The currently lowered Earthquake alert level will remain in place

A new alert level estimation will be issued again after the CME arrival.

    11297 90- 105 ° W new decayed        
    11298 15- 30° W SEP- 19          
    11299 30°- 45° W SEP- 18          
    11300 60°- 75° W new            
    11301 90°- 75° E new C6.9 C1.3

15:41- 18:47

       
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -            
active regions rotating out of view today> 11297 90- 105 ° W new    

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 6- additional remarks( 2)

Due the may propaganda arund nuclear fission it was also proposed, " the nuclear fission" in any LWR would automatically stop if the water ( " moderator) would have evaporated off the nuclear core. In Japan however TEPCO did not let it comes so far. Indeed ,the incidents have shown it does not need more than an electric outage to cause a meltdown in an LWR ! Countries like GER, FR or Japan have evacuation plans. ( for what?) But there is no existing response plan no preperation at all for that case of an "creaping meltdown" as in Japan now. The one and only essay I remember describing the events as they took place now at F. was a SciFi roman I have read as a child 40 years ago. I dont remember the title , Maybe it was by H Dominik: "The scientists were clueless, when the reactor overreacted . Because of the increasing radiation, it was nio more possible to approach the reactor. Tge later state after the first melotdown was imagined described at this time as follows. "Finally all the scientist and crew only could run away and saw from tha far how the reactor by and by began to glow like the Sun.
 
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:      

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):  
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
       

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    
       

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 19- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

SEP- 19 several flares and one significant Earth directed CME were observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery

only a small " puff" erupted from the Eastern limb early this morning - most likely from AR 11301. SoHo had a data gap from SEP 18- 23: 30 UTC - Sep 19- 5: 28 UTC

SEP- 18- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

  --  

SEPTEMBER 19 :

The geomagnetic field was quiet again this morning , but remained on a hightened energy level, that will most likely persist and decharge by and by during the next weeks

So long further higher Earthquake activities must be expected especially in the coming days those will surely decrease by and by in terms of their magnitudes and severness.

 

2011- September -19   (only Earthquakes above magnitude 6.0)

<<"Star coronal hole and active region map"- SEP- 18- 2011 by: solen,.info

>> solen,.info: New region 11301 [N21E79] rotated fully into view revealing a region with polarity intermixing and at least C class flare potential. >
144^     -- 6.0-> 8.0 2-3

BBC. Sep- 19.- 2011:Deadly earthquake rocks India, Nepal and Tibet

Earthquake data report see Sep- 18)

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >   -- 2011- September -20

150

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 351 - 651km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0-> 8.0 2-3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

        2011- September -21   << an eruption on the Eastern limb became visible on LASCO C 3 on Sep- 19 after 1:30 UTC . Its source was AR 11301, which just comes into view on the Eastern Sun horizon ( click on image above to enlarge it)Its large penumbra indicates that its is critical to produce flares soon

Soon, it turned out , that this CME is very weak and directed into 75° bis 90° East , currently the region of GEMINI.* >>

 

<< a region behind the Western limb (AR 11289?)11289 shoots out a minor solar flare towards the West into the direction where currently SAGITTARIUS MUST BE (* is around waiting for the Earth to enter it on Nov. 19

05

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2-3
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*

* remarks*: I note the current constellation for orientation. This is part of my project and serves as the sideric, as usual in Astronomics.

I had not an idea yet how to implement an exact graphic of the sideric constellationsn into these maps. So the noted constellations are my best possible estimation due to astronomical calendar with the real piositions of planets and Sun in 2011

Reason: It appeared on the first view, as if the some active regions begin to increase their acftivities, mainly, when the are directed into Sagitarrius . Exactly there is on the ecliptic plane is the core of the Milky way, an huge black hole with estimated more than 200 Billion Sun-masses Its enourmous gravity which enforces the entire galaxy into an orbital plane around its equator ) most likely effects much onto our Sun and may be one of the forces that trigger the eruptions. Exactly on the oppiste direction , also GEMINI might have some influence on our Sun as it already has on our planetary system The course of that irritaions is ( so I am conviced of) the SIRIUS A, B, C.. System in CANIS MAJOR

  11289 90- 105 ° W SEP- 13                
  11292 0°- 15° W SEP 17            

 
    11293 60- 75 ° W SEP- 13                              
    11294 30°- 45° W SEP-16            

<< (Sep- 19) after 6:00 UTC AR 11301 already produced a second eruption...

...soon joined by a new eruption and flare that rather came from a not yet numbered behind the Eastern limb heading again into the region of GEMINI* >>>

.

<< after 9:00 the small weak CME cloud of these synchronous eruptions ( rather its UV resp. x- ray signature?) had expanded so far, that it became obvious , minor parts from it may reach the Earth
    11295 0°- 15° W SEP 18 critical          
    11296 30°- 15 ° E SEP- 19            
    11297 90- 105 ° W new            
    11298 0- 15° W SEP- 19 decaying          
    11299 15°- 30° W SEP- 18     newly emerged        
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -               << (Sep- 19) After 10:00 UTC an eruption became visible behind the Western limb   As STEREO proves, the CME came form an eruption within the long duration flare beihind the western limb- likely in AR 11289 (?)- that begun as observed on SEP 18
active regions rotating out of view today> 11297 90- 105 ° W new    

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

 

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 6- additional remarks( 1)

In the "Felmy" ( =graphit) reactors like Chernobyl the nuclear core is much larger and so, the "total meltdown of the reactor fuel into the ground could be stopped with a great effort, Lightwater reactors were first built and tested by the USA in occupied countries such as Japan and Germany . LWR fuel has the highest percentage of fissionable U 235 enrichment of all types and is concentrated on a much smaller area.(also > critical mass) Though claimed to be most safe a total meltdown in an LWR can`t be stopped that way and would most likely have even larger consequences.

The only halfway safe reactor in which such a meltdown with the realease of deadly nuclides can be excluded is the socalled Werner Heisenberg Deuterium heavy water reactor The patent was confiscated by the US resp Canada after WW2 and "CANDU" reactors are since then exclusively produced in Canada .

BUT: Japan has unlimited amounts of geothermal energy and just would have to dig their reactor cores ( without the Uranium) into the slope of any volcano to have unlimited steam and energy. Same as in Germany, Lightwater reactors were ever described as the most safe nuclear technology of all!!
What was to prove and turns out now is that these " LWR" are the most dangerous types of reactor built ever . They have with 3-5 fissionable U 235 and ( added since the 80th) additional 4-6 PU 239 (MOX) the highest enrichment of all ! ( compare: CANDU- 1 U 235- Graphit /LMPR; : 2-4 U 235)

 
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:  

PISCES appr. 5 °

SEP-21 about 0° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):  
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
       

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    
       

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 18- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

no significant flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today at time of this update!

SEP- 17- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

  --  

SEPTEMBER 18 :

The geomagnetic field was quiet again this morning except some minor vibrations caused by the CME impact yesterday

 

2011- September -18   (only Earthquakes above magnitude 6.0) <<(SEP 18) flare activities could be observed those started after 3:00 UTC most likely in AR 11289 and an unknown second unnumbered source in the South- as STEREO showns heading about into the direction of SAGITTARIUS* The activities intensified continued until Sep 20 peaking in several larger eruptions and CMEs on Sep 19
138     -- 6.0- > 7.5 2- 3

M 6.8 - SIKKIM, INDIA - 2011-09-18 12:40 UTC

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >   -- 2011- September -19

144

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 346 - 535 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0-> 8.0 3  

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 6

part 5 you find in my report of Sep- 16 > previous parts in the daily report of Sep 2011 either displayed here or yet archived :click on the register card above titled" archived reports of the current month

2011- March- 16. The safety overprsssure valves on the Reactor vessels are concipated to open at a lower pressure mark than that pressure that would endager the iegrity of the "primary water cycle"s that transports the steam from inside the reactor cores to the turbines and back ( priciple of a boiling water reactor BWR ). At this time the heat created by the reactor had made already impossible any apporach. But- most likely TEPCO had already before these primary pipe systems bursted pumped water around the cores. But due to leaks caused by at least a partial meltdown ( what is meanwhile confirmed to have occured soon after the incident began) the water had significantly dropped inside all thre reactors and that cooling was not more effective. Until the explosion made an opeining inton the reactors cores by themselves, it would also not have been possible to open the high pressured pipes without risking an immidiate explosion caused by steam that would dissociate to hydrogen and oxygen above 3oo° CC.

>

PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

-       2011- September -20  

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 6>

None of the reports issued by TEPCO or the Japonese government however contained any details about the real state of the reactor or the ongoing operations . Anything about must be logically assumed and assembled. ( report continued as the diary made during this time) The primary cycle leads the steam to a seperated turbine hall. Either from there or by the water that ran automatically into the reactor cores now ( where the pipe might have had bursted on the reactor core or within the prssure vessel itself, TEPCO Now started to pump sea water through the reactor cores. to cool it and to prevent the total meltdown

2011-MAR- 23 :Most vegetables from Fukushima were taken out of the marketing yesterday due to high radioactive contamination The radius around F. where groundwater is contaminated with Caesium 134/ 137 and Jod 131 is continously widening: Today, also the concentration of radioactive Jod 131 in the drinking water of Tokyo has reached levels above limits .That contamination as believed was caused by radioactive fallout and sank meanwhile ( MAR 24) below the limits

2011 MAR 24 > 3 Japonese workers at the plant were hospitalised after being exposed to 200 Millisievert radiation on their "mission impossible" today

US General electrics (GE) -the constructor and designer of the Fukushima plants sent a warning today: Emergency cooling of the reactor cores with seawater would leave a salt crust on the rods inside what would make cooling finally impossible . I am wondering why they did not know that when THEY constructed the plant in 1971!!

The only "luck"in all that misery might be, that Japan consists out of three major and many minor islands.and it is rather unlikely that the part of nuclear fuel which melted in the ground on the Southeastern coast of Honshu island would contaminate other islands or the mainland of Eurasia.The 11.000 meter deep Mariana fault hopefully also will swallow most of sea contamination

The Superquake has shortly shocked the world and even halted UN plans to attacks Libya. When a nuclear incident was confirmed, most foreign Earthquake rescue teams fled the region, believing it would be secure most far away. As I believe- only to flood the entire plant with seawater (and later to built a water basin around?) could stop the final disaster.(plan "B") But not even technical help such as ships with really powerful salt resistant waterpumps were sent to the absolute overcharged Japonese governent since then!! The firework trucks with their "water pistols" just dont make it!

 

32

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- 7.5 2-3
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*
  11289 75- 90 ° W SEP- 13                
  11290 90- 105° W SEP- 11          

 
  11292 15°- 0° E SEP 17              
    11293 45- 60 ° W SEP- 13                
    11294 15°- 30° W SEP-16            
    11295 15- 0° E SEP 18 critical          
    11296 45°- 30 ° E SEP- 19            
    11297 75- 90° W new            
    11298 15- 00° E SEP- 19 decaying          
    11299 0°- 15° W SEP- 18     newly emerged      
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -              
active regions rotating out of view today> 11290 90- 105° W

---

--

   

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

 
<< Goeshp- Sep- 16- 18- 2011  
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:      

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):  
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
11290 SEP- 18- 3:00UTC  

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    
     

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 17- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

no significant Earth directed flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today a last portion of the CME might have hit the protections shield of the LASCO C 3 imager. The SoHo crew sometimes switches off the device to prevent damage on this unique LASCO C3 , which is meanwhwile 15 years operating in space

SEP- 16- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

  --  

SEPTEMBER 17

A stronger medium solar wind shock after 8:00 UTC indicated the arrival of one of the CMEs ( eruption time on sun: Sep- 13) , that created a minor geomagnetic storm . This CME arrived later than expected. the second is rather unimportant. Values rose over the day to a maximum of 130 nT at13.30 UTC . The main impact region therefore is around the longitude 20° W (Western Europe South America the Atlantic towards USA

(see graphic left below)

remarks:

It is one of the unsolved problems with space weather prediction that the solar wind measured today represents about the real solar wind speed near to the SUN about 2 days earlier, what is about that time when the CMEs were released.

No satellite can be positioned so close to the sun to measure that in real time!.

2011- September -17   no Earthquakes above M 6.0 registered at the time of this update ( Sep- 17- 8 UTC) < significant CME eruption could be observed on Sep 17shortly after 00:00 UTC far off any Earth directed position most likely from AR 11290 in a position about 75- 90 ° W.Only a bit of solar wind from this CME may reach the Earth.
173^     -- 6.0-7.0 2

Highest measured magnitude worldwide today:

M 5.6 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2011-09-17 07:33 UTC

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >   -- 2011- September -18

143

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 347 - 453km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- > 7.5 2- 3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

-       2011- September -18  

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 5

part 4 you find in my report of Sep- 15 > previous parts in the daily report of Sep 2011 either displayed here or yet archived :click on the register card above titled" archived reports of the current month

The report will be at that point continued with the first response on the disaster in form of a diary. Its not known or told whether TEPCO was successfull in opening the overpressure valves at one of the three reactor cores by hand or other means.

2011-March- 13- Japonese authorities report, that hydrogen has assembled below the roof of containment of reactor 1 and might cause an explosion ( The " containmment" is in Fukushima that reactor building as visible from outside. The socalled pressure vessel (the first saftey hull around the reactor core) is- as later pictures show in Fukushima obviously not made out of steel but out of reinforced concrete. The entire planet at all is obviously desigend as a socalled convoi reactor, The three emergency cooling systems, those all failed to operate- one sprinkler , one heat exchanger and one condenser system are obvioulsy that was is described as the new safer reactor design known as european reactor.

2011- March 13- 16 the overpressure and heat in the 3 reactors has reached the critical limits . On March 13 first most likely the primary water cycle, leading form the reactor core to the turbines and back bursts under the pressure built up inside the reactor. The hydrogen explosion destroyes most of the roof top on the containment building.

2011- March 14 and 15- Just one day later the containment of reactor 2 - due to its larger design and much more critical reactor fuel load bursts under a tremendous explosion, that destroys most of the building and throws the debris hundreds of meters into the air. Later images show that the explosion came from inside the concrete pressure vessel, where the hydrogenobviously first had assembled until it made its way out and reacted with the oxygen in the reactor containment.

2011 March 15 A camera team of the Japonese TV station NHK films the explosion of reactor 3, Much was not to see, as either the partial meltdown at reactor three or the explosion of reactor 3 had engulfed the entire region kilometers around the plant with a thick layer of steam. The helicopter had to turn away as the steam took all the sight. ( watch these events in my youtube video in the report of September- 15 below)

 

 

02

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0-> 8.0 3
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL OF IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS*

Fukushima report /additional informations: a short essay about what likely was the course iof the incident:

( I had first added this essay as annotation to my youtube video (part 1 of 2) below

In Fukushima they had the problem that the control rods could not be driven in COMPLETELY during shutdown.
That caused a "PARTIAL MELTDOWN" in more than one of the reactor blocks 1-4- which also had set in already 30 minutes after shutdown on March- 11. The melt ran down in between the fuel elements and might most likely have destroyed portions below where the control rods still interrupt the reactivity. After that , the partial nuclear melt leaked through the reactor core vessel. This led to the problem that the reactor lost by and by its water content . Whether or how far the Neutron absorber is still intact in the major portions of the reactor core is unknown. But the activity indicates some "Neutron holes" where the nuclear fission continues. All depends now that the total temperature inside these reactors does not reach a critical height , from that on a so called " performance excursion" ( compare: Chernobyl) would occure, which would melt here the entire reactor fuel within seconds. To prevent that, the following measures were taken: After the primary water cycle/ pipes were exploded, the workers tried to pump seawater directly through the reactor core using these openings to prevent the reactor core from overheating. Everything there now depends on : 1Whether and how many control rods were damaged and 2. whether the rest of the control rods WILL remain intact. Permanent cooling is required now to prevent the subsequent risk of a total meltdown by all means , which would have most likely consequences beyond imagination. If a permanent cooling is installed, the reactivity inside the reactors would diminuish after several months so that the cores can be opened and the nuclear material be recovered to a safe place

continued right side>>

  11289 60- 75 ° W SEP- 13 C 2.6 23: 51 UTC       SEP- 17 2  
  11290 75- 90° W SEP- 11 3 C flares( 1.4. 9.3)        

 
  11292 0°- 15° W SEP 17              
    11293 45- 60 ° W SEP- 13                
    11294 45°- 60° W SEP-16            
    11295 30- 15° E SEP 18/19 C 4.5 2: 57 UTC        
    11296 60°- 45 ° E SEP- 19 C 2.2. 17: 21 UTC        
    11297 75- 90° W new 4 flares( C 1.5- 7.8)          
    11298 30- 15° E SEP- 19 decayed          
    11299 15°- 0° E SEP- 18     newly emerged      
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1 11296   SEP- 15 00:15 UTC PISCES partial Earth directed arrived: SEP 17- 8:00 UTC  
active regions rotating out of view today>

11291

90°- 105° W

---

--

   

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

 
<< Goeshp- Sep- 15- 17- 2011  
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:      

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):  
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
11294 SEP- 15 00:15 UTC    

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    
       

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 16- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

Earthquake reports:

no significant flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today at time of this update!

SEP- 15- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

  --  

SEPTEMBER 16 :

the geomagnetic field was quie this morning at the time of this update

 

2011- September -16  

M 6.6 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2011-09-16 19:26 UTC

>>>continued ...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 4.

Nevertheless the Japonese public TV NHK and TEPCO soon later published their frist incident report, still claiming that the emergency shutdown by the control rods was fully successfull while" just" all three water cooling systems had failed to cool the reactors "after decay heat".Though Fukushima was with 170 km distance to the epicenter the nuclear facility along the coast of Honsuhu that was first hit by the Tsunami, this report claimed, that cooling functions were working more than one hour after shutdown until " the tsunami hit the plan" one hour after the M 9.0 quake had occured! A typical Tsunami has however an average speed of almost 800 km/ hour and would have hit the plant already appr 12 minutes later and not one hour. ( just a transformer station some 50 km further North- most likely the one supplying Fukush. with electricity- was hit before, what therefore led to the eletric outage and the the most probable overvoltage that destroyed all decices in Fuikushima, as TEPCO found out one month later after having reinstalled electrical supply to the plant . I don`t know what this lie was good for, but it constructed an image of the incident much more harmless than it really was at that point in time. Still much could have been done to prevent the worst : To flood all reactor cores from outside ( within the so called pressure vessel that was still intact on these days. ) with sea water to cool it down below critical meltdown temperatures. It is possible , that this wasn`t possibly anymore as a partial meltdown had already damaged the reactor cores and without water inside an outisde cooling was no more effective . And the German government minister for reactor security - Mr ... even believed and stated they would have done so ( what would be the standard emergency cooling procedure for Germany`s nuclear reactors) and declared that even at a first press. conference where he declared the incident as very serious . But as if the Japonese who run all kinds of nuclear techniques available ( incliding a quick breeder) would not even have a clue what happened nor what was to do in such a emergency situation!

watch here part 1 of my video to the Fukushima incident ( the report will be continued in the following days)

 

167^     -- 6.0- 7.5 2-3

(2011-Sep- 07)Seismic activity increases at Iceland volcano

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >   -- 2011- September -17

ABC news: Blasts from massive chemical fire rock Canberra ( incl video)

140

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 406 - 471 km/s.

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- > 8.0 3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

2 full Earth directed CME from AR 11289 partially Earth directed CME from AR 11296   2011- September -18  

What is about Chevrons oil leak in the GOM?

Also one day after the first report no more detailled informations were available:

(cited by Reuthers.com): "Chevron did not reply to several requests for additional information about the leak and its operations in the Main Pass Area....Chevron has two offshore platforms in the Main Pass 299 block, according to the company's website. The site is located in shallow waters about 40 miles east of Venice, Louisiana, and has produced heavy oil, natural gas and sulfur, according to government records.

Chevron said the leak was from a 10-inch riser pipelines in Main Pass Block 299. Riser pipelines normally carry crude from the seabed to production platforms." ( cite end)

- So due to this barely informations, the oil leak seems not to be at the largest drilling site of Chevron in the GOM, the Tahiti oilfield:

( from Chevrons website):"Tahiti is located at Green Canyon Blocks 596, 597, 640 and 641, approximately 190 miles (305 kilometers) south of New Orleans, and in approximately 4,100 feet (1,250 meters) of water. Primary pay sands are Lower to Middle Miocene from 23,000 to 28,000 feet and lie below a salt canopy ranging from 8,000 to 15,000 feet thick. The deepest producing well is more than 26,700 feet, a record for the Gulf of Mexico. Production is from two subsea drill centers tied backed to a floating production facility supported by a truss spar."

06

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- > 8.0 3
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*
  11292 30°- 15° E SEP 17           SEP- 16 2  
  11291 75°- 90° W ---           CME STATUS:  
  11290 60- 75° W SEP- 11          

 
  11289 45- 60 ° W SEP- 13 C 2.9 SEP- 14-00:05 UTC AQU/ PISCES O° (fully) arrived SEP- 16 after 12:00 UTC    
    11293 30- 45 ° W SEP- 13            
 
    11294 30°- 45° W SEP-16            
    11295 45- 30° E SEP 18/19            
    11296 90°- 75 ° E SEP- 19 critical SEP- 15/ 00: 15 UTC PISCES partial Earth directed SEP 16- 17  
    11297 75- 90° W new            
    11298 45- 30° E SEP- 19            
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1 11296   SEP- 15 00:00 15 UTC PISCES partial Earth directed SEP 16- 17  
active regions rotating out of view today> 11297 75- 90° W new    

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

 

continued story...FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 4

part 3 you find in my report of Sep- 10 >find the previous parts in the daily report of Sep 2011 either displayed here or yet archived :click on the register card above titled" archived reports of the current month-----

-On March 13. TEPCO and the Japonese government announced the pressure and heat inside the reactor cores of block 1- 3 is still rising, without the overpressure safety valves on the reactor cores did open automatically. (After nuclear nobles gases like Argon Krypton and others had caused an overpressure with a subsequent overreactivity in the Three Mile Island "pressurised water reactor" (PWR) in Harrisburg on March 28- 1979. overpressure valves were prescribed for all nuclear reactors around the world). For all these valves failing to open on all three reactors , anyone would ask about an explanation, what heat would be necessary to deform these stell valves . Those temperatures would not arrise with any after decay heat of radio isotopesbut only with an ( at least) partial meltdown that- as TEPCO found out month later- occured within the estimated timeline soon after the reactor cooling system failed. On March 13, TEPCO said it wants to try to open these valves byany kind of manual override what logically failed due to the heat and rising radiation near to the reactors>> continued right side>>

 
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:  

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):

cartoon of the month:by: Titanic.de

I know its not funny, but wasn`t it also state enforced? (blog)

active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
     

(BBC-Sep- 15- 2011):At least two die in fire on Norwegian cruise ship

(cited) Police believe there was an explosion, but do not know what caused the blast. Some people were taken hospital for treatment for smoke inhalation"

Other sources (liveleak.com/ incl video) say, the fire broke out in the engine room

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    
     

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 15- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

 

no significant flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today at time of this update!

SEP- 14- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

     

SEPTEMBER 15 :

 

2011- September -15  

... continued...New oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico?

Now it ( normally as everyone would imagine) should also be of interest,: "what had caused such an immense pressure from the oil rsservoir below?" But this question was not even asked once and not by one of the three commitees" investigating" the incident, most probably as the insurances would not have payed anything.

But this is nothing for people sitting in a congress and thinking about morals. or what they hold up as morals. BP had just drilled within an ancient geologic fault ( the Alleghian "Florida fault") into a vertical salt doom ( which was a still active volcano chemney millions years ago ) and as Matt Simmons clearly had proved, the problem occured not at well B where the DWH stood but just 1700 feet away at well "A" drilled in 2009 into a depth of 13.500 meters ( = 35.000 feet) below zero . The US congress however did not take notice of that or of any temporary magmatic processes in the depth of the GOM or whatever had caused that immense overpressure and blowout, no material and no Blow out Preventer would have resisted. And BP used a BOP with 15.000 Psi maximum - 3000 Psi higher than prescribed by law for drilling operations in the GOM!. ( see here the last part of my full report in German) . Simmons even told that the BOP at well A was just torn apart. Parts of it where found in a distance of more than 5 miles on the sea ground. >>

<< another flare appeared on Sep 14 after 23:00 UTC and dissolved with a partial halo CME on SEP 15 after midnight. On STEREO AHEAD it appeared on SEP 14 after 20:00 UTC
144^       6.0- > 8.0 3

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >     2011- September -16

142

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 453 - 557 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   6.0- 7.5 2-3  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

2 full Earth directed CME from AR 11289     2011- September -17  

 

<<ON STEREO BEHIND it also seems that this CME fully Earth directed.

SDO shows activities in AR 11296, which just rotated into view on SEP 14 on the Eastern limb. beginning already after 15:00 UTC>>

< and a major eruption shortly after midnight.

But the weakCME visible on SoHo above came from AR 11294 in the South-Western quadrant

Emitting radially from the SUN this CME will likely only strive the Earth.

04

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: 6.0- > 8.0 3
GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*
  11292 45°- 30° E SEP 17           SEP- 16 2  
  11291 60°- 75° W ---           CME STATUS:  
  11290 45- 60° W SEP- 11          

 

... continued...New oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico?

The blowout on April 20 2011 and before were most likely connected small tectonic movement registered at this time in that region of the GOM possibly even related to sun activity peaks or earlier CME influences ) After reelected all safety purposes were forgotten and the US Congress did not prescribe by law the use of so called downhole safety valves which have successfully prevented an oil spill after several blowouts also had occured on three offshore oil rigs near in Norway in 2010. GOD BEWARE! And this year, EXXON, CHEVRON and Brother SHELL want to start the exploitation of the largest combined offshore oilfield disovered ever ( a multiple times larger than the one deep below the GOM!!) in the European/ Russian Artic Sea!

Already on July 6 Exxon hat a oil spill at a pipeline that flew in the pristine Yellowstone river in Montana ( report: Reuthers) . Another question is: Are the pipelines safe against the wellknown disastrous effects especially CMEs can have on pipelines especially now, during that XTREME maximum in the 11 year solar activitycycle we obvioulsy experience just now towards 2012?? What can, what must be done to prevent further damage?

There was a significant un unusual tectonic moverment in the near of Cuba: M 6.0 - CUBA REGION- 2011 September 15 08:43:07 UTC. (EMSC: M 5.4 )

  11289 30- 45 °W SEP- 13 C 2.9 SEP- 14-00:05 UTC LEO( VIRGO O° (fully) SEP- 15- 16    
    11293 15- 30 ° W SEP- 13            

 
    11294

15°- 30 °W

SEP-16          
    11295 60- 45° E SEP 18 C 1.8/ 3.1 4:18UTC- 12:34UTC VIRGO    
    11296 90°- 75 ° E SEP- 19 critical SEP- 15 00:00 15 UTC VIRGO partial Earth directed SEP 16- 17
    11297 80- 75° W new 5 flares C1.9- 9.2/1F 8:30 UTC- 20: 15 UTC        
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1              
active regions rotating out of view today> 11287 75° - 90 ° W SEP- 08/09    

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

 

Chevron confirms oil leak in " riser pipeline" in the Gulf of Mexico.

more details are not known yet: But German TV channel N 24 reported today , that 1 1/2 years after the largest oil drilling incident in US history another oil spill incident occured in the Gulf of Mexico yesterday- The extent of the incident is still unknown.. But certainly the leak is anywhere on a oil rig or installation of Rockefella`s Chevron- BP`s competitor and one of the big four who formerly had accused BP before the US Congress for its mistakes ensuring and sworing " they would make all better!"

Sep- 14- 2011-Chevron Confirms Gulf of Mexico Oil Leak

One year after the huge incident, still a failure of cement seals within the production lines and therefore BP and its contractors are held responsible for the incident at the Deepwater Horizon in April 2010. >>>

.Chevron Announces First Oil From Tahiti Field in Gulf of Mexico

But noone ever listened to Matt Simmons, who suddenly died, after he had uncovered the truth about the Deepwater Horizon incident and its real extend as well as failures at the US Congress and administration and its geology department. Matt Simmons knowledge has never made its way to the US Congress and its investigations. Simply explained he had resumed: : Never such a pressure was experienced during a oil drilling as it was at the Macondo well. In a depth of 4000 meters the pressure was three times higher than ever experienced before".

 

 
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

Earthquakes:

   

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W M 6.1 - NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2011-09-14 18:10 UTC

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES): M 6.2 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2011-09-15 08:00 UTC(
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES     AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
      M 6.0 - CUBA REGION- 2011 September 15 08:43:07 UTC. (EMSC: M 5.4 )

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    
      M 7.2 - FIJI REGION - 2011-09-15 19:31 UTC

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 14- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

All 4 larger Columbian volcanoes on higher alert

!

SEP- 13- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 14 :

The geomagnetic field was almost quiet this morning.

field density fluctuates between 75 and 112 nT

 

2011- September -14-  

INGEOMINAS ( Instituto Columbiano de Gelogica y Mineria) has raised the alert levels of Columbia`s 4 most active volcanoes to yellow:NEVADO DEL RUIZ, MACHIN, ( both on the more active area/fault in the Northern part of the country- latidude 4-5 ° N ) and NEVADO DEL HUILA ( about 3° N) and GALERAS, (1° 13`N) at the Southern border to Ecuador.

see internal map for Southern America)

Global disasterwatch writes , that the volcano CERRO MACHIN would be the most interesting one of the chain. Machin was already believed to become active or to erupt soon in December 2010, when also multiple seismic activities were registered around the volcano.

A new eruption of Machin would be its first one since 900 years.

 

<< Earth

a large and fast CME erupted today ( Sep- 14) shortly after midnight from ar 11289 and is fully Earth directed. images of SoHo are not available yet. < Soho had a data gap in the time when this CME erupted. SoHO`s LASCO C3 took the first image about 75 minutes after the event was visible on STEREO. At this time the most of the fast CME had already dissolved.
118^     6.0- 8.0 3
        2011- September -15

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON >     6.0- > 8.0 3+ highest alert

129

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 492 - 585 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -16  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

1 full Earth directed CME from AR 11289     6.0- 7.5 2-3     SoHO`s LASCO C1 took a last image at 00: 48 UTC- about 30 minutes after the event was visible on STEREO. After that it also had a data gap until 1:30 UTC. The CME had at this time either not fully expanded yetand is just behind the protection shield ( and therefore fully Earth directed) . Or this CME ia much weaker as it appears on STEREO imagery

17

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*
  11292 60°- 45° E SEP 17                  
  11290 30- 45° W SEP- 11          

CME STATUS:

   
  11289 0- 15 ° E/appr. 30° N SEP- 13 C 2.9 00:05 UTC LEO( VIRGO O° (fully) SEP- 15- 16  

  NEWS AND WEATHER ALERTS
  11287 75° - 90 ° W SEP- 08/09          

 

FLOODINGS IN PAKISTAN CONTINUE

News say the Intensive "rainfalls" in Pakistan continue, same as with the reported floddings in China this year. Summer Monsoon is usually some time between mid ( 15.) of July until mid (11th?) of August. I am asking myself how much that all might have to do with any ice-melt on the Himalaja mountains. And further: How much glacial or polar ice can one or two solar CMEs just melt away ?

( read: NASA/ Flooding in Pakistan caused by higher-than-normal monsoon rainfall

 

 

    11293 0- 15 ° W SEP- 13                

>> INDONESIA discovers..

.I myself don`t believe in the theory of a "global warming by CO2" . But CO2 has something to do with these extreme differences in temperature, either by regions or by day and night, we similarly also witness in Europe. One possible related phenomenon is, that rain clouds example more or less form thick local clusters. Intensive rain here while just some kilometers away there is not even a rain cloud in the sky but sunshine. But the reason for the drought around the horn of Africa as well as Indonesia might rather be an increasing kind of underground volcanism. I don`t want to cause panic or spread apocalptic visons such as in Emmerich`s "2012" . But- as you can see on my map for Indonesia,: Especially around Indonesia more and more volcanoes wake up and become active : Almost each weak another ancient calcera or volcano erupts or makes signs of new activities. Some even locals might not know yet. The date of the last eruptions of many of these volcanoes is unknown or is believed having been in the halocene. Also, the Ethiopian volcano NABRO broke out in 2011 after being 11.000 years inactive. Geologists just did t trust their eyes.

But the difference to the scenes in Roland Emmerich`s film "2012" is. These meanwhile more than 50 active volcanoes don`t erupt at the same time, nor that they ever could . The activity currently more or lesse shifts from one volcano to another and in between.( see also the global activity statistic on my page " volcano watch)At least a clear sign that channels were opened into the Earth mantle where magma can surge up. Possibly one explanation for the many fires.

    11294 0°- 15 ° W SEP-1 5              
    11295 75- 60° E SEP 18              
    11296 105°- 90 ° E SEP- 19              
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1                
active regions rotating out of view today>      

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

   

<< Goeshp- Sep- 12- 14- 2011

INDONESIA discovers more than " 1.200" hotspots

equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

(wikipedia:) hotspots or hot spots in geology are volcanic regions thought to be fed by underlying mantle that is anomalously hot compared with the mantle elsewhere. They may be on, near to, or far from tectonic plate boundaries. For the main German telephone provider " Telecom" , a hotspot is a public place with internet access, while Japonese children are meanwhile told: hotspots are areas on the island of Honshu more radioactive contaminated than others.

As disasterwatch writes today, now also Indonesia has found 1200 "hotspots" on their island of Sumatra, and more also on other islands such as Borneo. Similar to the aneighbored horn of Africa, also these regions reportedly suffer an more or less unexpected drought this year after the tropical country obviously had no monsoon (summer rain period) this year or just not enough rain. By the way: Indonesia has less. Indonesia holds meanwhile the sad record that nowhere ever so much rain forest had been cut ( to plant oil palms for " biodiesel instead) within one years such as there in 2010/ 2011!. Meanwhile numerous fires broke out creating a blaze that reaches over to into Malaysia. These burning areas are called " hot spots" now. While Pakistan obvioulsy had ( and has?) too much monsoon, That is neither good for their new agricultural products such as oil palms for " Biodiesel" nor good for tourism, and this might be the reason why not anything was reported yet about that drought in Southeastern Asia. But hot spot could have in Indonesia as well as in the horn of Africa a synergetic meaning as regions with currently high volcanic activity in the underground, those cause wells and agricultural areas to dry out or even set them on fire. >>

SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W  

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):  
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  

 

   

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
ARIES?    

 

  examination of region 2 / 127. 7 ° East of region 1( above) same longitude during the last synodic rotation periods ( 27, 23 Earth days)
 

region 2 on 20110624- 1 day added- ( archive/ solen.info)

region 2 on 20110721( archive/ solen.info)

region 2 on 20110817( archive/ solen.info)

region 2 on 20110914

comparision of CH ( not numbered yet -CH 476) during the last rotation periods
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 13- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level   -EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS no significant flare or CME was observed in SoHO or STEREO imagery today at time of this update!

SEP- 12- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 13 :

The geomagnetic field was still very unsettled this morning by the impacts of the last two CMEs yesterday on SEP 12.

The large CH 475 has almost dissapeared. The last high wind solar wind streams created by the release of pressurised gazes below are still streaming towards Earth.

 

2011- September -13  

MOUNT TAMBORA GOING TO ERUPT SOON?

Mount Tambora is situated on the island of Sumbawa ( Sundra Islands, Indonesia) and was the source of history's largest explosive eruption, in April 1815.Tambora Indonesia ( wikipedia)

(click here to find M Tambora on my internal map).

Globaldisasterwatch reports today: " Provincial authorities raised the alert level of Mount Tambora to the second-highest available as observers noted an increase of volcanic activity in the volatile mountain, following a series of eruptions and tremors over the weekend. “On August 30, we recorded seven volcanic earthquakes and since Sept. 8 the frequency of the quakes rose substantially, to between 12 and 16 per day.read more...

 

one minor flare over the western limb associated with a weak CME was observed on Sep- 13 after 6:00 UTC

one major CME eruption became visible after 13:00 UTC

97 CH 476 DECAYED 6.0- 7.5 WATCH!
    CH 475 DECAYED 2011- September -14-

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > ----   6.0- 8.5 3+ highest alert

123

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 559 - 636 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -15- 17  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

-       6.0- 8.0 3  

Hurricane " Maria" has moved NW near to the European coast, where it will influence the weather during the next days.NOAA sas there is little change in strength yet.

last geographic position: SEP- 12-2011/ 00:00 UTC :

.TROPICAL STORM MARIA:

NEAR 20.2N 65.9W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC

27

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*
  11295 90- 75° E SEP 18 C9.9 20:51 UTC            
  11294 15- 0° E SEP-15          

CME STATUS:

 
  11293 0° E SEP- 13          

  STEREO AHEAD proves that both eruptions occured on the western limb most likely in AR 11283
  11292 75°- 60° E SEP 17 2 C flares        

 

The last two CMEs seem to have arrived: As expected they were rather weak: the first one arrived early on SEP- 12 after 6:00 UTC and produced at almost 130 nT from 13:00 - 14:0 UTC.

The second / from the filament eruption arrived after 19:00UTC.

No further CMEs were observed since Sep 10. From Sep 13 on more even the days after, , when the tectonic plates now can begin to cool down again, major Sea or Earthquakes should be expected, those can reach magnitudes above 8.0 and might have the force to create a significant Tsunami after

 

M 6.1 - NEAR N COAST OF NEW GUINEA, PNG. - 2011-09-12 22:44 UTC

 
  11290 15- 30° ° W SEP- 11              
  11289 15- 0° E SEP- 13            

 

 
  11287 60° - 75 ° W SEP- 08/09            

HEADLINES

 
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER >                

(BBC-Sep- 12- 2011) Kenya fire: Nairobi pipeline blaze 'kills at least 75'

First reports claim, the pipeline "exploded" While first reports claimed, inhabitants from the nearby slums would repeatedly have broen of the pipeline and stolen gasoline,. newer reports say the explosion occured at a nearby pump station. The gasoline ran into a waste water channel of the slum and people got killed when trying to get themselves gasoline from that channel. The reports is so far relevant as also pipelines suffer different effects from the electric induction by CMEs. One is a faster corrosion, the other rising pressure , as pipelines are also intensively heated up by CMEs.

(BBC- Tuesday, 26 December 2006) Lagos pipeline blast kills scores

active regions rotating out of view today> 11283 120- 135 ° W  

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

 

EARTH- and SEAQUAKES might occure already during the impact time but will with magnitudes between 6.0 and 7.0 rather be minor.

AT LEAST ONE MAJOR OR EVEN XTREME EARTH/ SEA QUAKE above M 8.0 with the possibility of a subsequent Tsunami must be expected in the aftermath of the last of 4 CME impact after SEP 13, when tectonic plates will cool down and contract again!

equanox constellation: date: sideric position:  

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

right column: next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
     

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

20111003
SAGITTARIUS?   flare with CME on SEP- 13- after 18:00 in ar 11283 at 135° W
     

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 12- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level        

SEP- 11- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 12 :

the geomagnetic field was still quite to unsettled this morning still under the influence of the latest CMEs and a high speed solar wind stream from dacaying CH 475.

 

 

2011- September -12   Immidiate effects of these CMEs might be radio blackouts, but also high voltages in overland power grids. sudden (thunder-) storms with intensive lightenings and sudden volcano eruptions EARTH- and SEAQUAKES might occure already during the impact time but will with magnitudes between 6.0 and 7.0 rather be minor. AT LEAST ONE MAJOR OR EVEN XTREME EARTH/ SEA QUAKE above M 8.0 with the possibility of a subsequent Tsunami must be expected in the aftermath of the last of 4 CME impact after SEP 10/11 ( most likely on SEP 12 or 13)when tectonic plates will cool down and contract again!

Deutsch:

spiegel.de/ Sep- 12_2011- Starkgewitter richten schwere Schäden an

Ein Toter bei Explosion in französischer Atomanlage

AKW-Betreiber rätselt über Explosionsursache

Hurrikan "Katia" schwächer- Sturm trifft Montag Schottland
<< only an extreme faint CME was visible on Sep 11 after 8:00 UTC
94^ CH 476 RECURRENT 6.0- 7.5 rising alert
    CH 475 RECURRENT 2011- September -13

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 476 SEP 11 6.0- 8.5 higher activity
expectable!

121

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 539 - 608 km/ s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -14- 16  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

2       6.0- 8.5 3+ highest alert  

Hurricane " Maria" has moved NW near to the European coast, where it will influence the weather during the next days.NOAA sas there is little change in strength yet.

last geographic position: SEP- 12-2011/ 00:00 UTC :

TROPICAL STORM MARIA:

NEAR 20.2N 65.9W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC

 

09

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*

NEWS AND WEATHER ALERTS

HEADLINES

 
  11292 90°- 75° E SEP 17                

spiegel.de/ Sep- 12 2011-Pakistan- Mehr als 200 Tote bei Überschwemmungen

English:

BBC- Sep- 12- 2011- France nuclear: Marcoule site blast kills one

BBC/ Marcoule's long nuclear history

 
  11290 0- 15 ° E SEP- 11          

SEP 09- 11

2-3    
  11289 30- 15° E SEP- 13          

CME STATUS:

   
  11287 45° - 60 ° W SEP- 08/09          

   
  11283 60° - 75° W SEP- 09   after 7:00 UTC PISCES WEAK with E directed parts SEP- 12- after 6:00 UTC, peak: 130 nT at 13:30 UTC  

.update- 19: 00 UTC:

The last two CMEs seem to have arrived today: As expected they were rather weak: the first one arrived early on SEP- 12 after 6:00 UTC and produced at almost 130 nT from 13:00 - 14:0 UTC

the second / from the filament eruption, seems just begin its impact now after 19:00UTC, due to a solar winds shock just registered by GOES. No further CMEs were observed since Sep 10. From Sep 13 on more even the days after, , when the tectonic plates now can begin to cool down again, major Sea or Earthquakes should be expected, those can reach magnitudes above 8.0 and might have the force to create a significant Tsunami after.

     
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1

2 filament eruptions on Northwest edge of CH 475

SEP 10/00: 59 UTC

AQUARIUS

Partial halo

partially Earth directed

arrived after13:30 UTC    

<< many new sun spots appeared on the visible sun disc on Sep 10- 2011. Star Map with active regions by:solen.info

remark: solen has not yet archived the Star Map of Sep 06, wch would shwon exact the same longituden at the 0 ° position,. I will replace it later with the one from Sep- 06.

active regions rotating out of view today> 11283 105- 120 ° W  

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

GOES hp SEP- 10- 12-2011

equanox constellation: date: sideric position: STAR MAP by solen.info/ APRIL- 24- 2011 STAR MAP by solen,.info/ MAY- 21- 2011

STAR MAP by solen.info/ JUNE-18- 2011 ( on day added)

STAR MAP by solen.info/ JULY- 15- 2011 STAR MAP by solen.info/ AUG- 11- 2011 STAR MAP by solen.info/SEP-12-2011  

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W

image above: same Sun longitude during the last synodic rotations ( left- AUG- 11- 2011) and on SEP- 11 ( right) with CH 471 and active regions.

Interestingly all coronal holes were transequatorial and have a similar form. This longitude was extremely active during its last rotation period Aug 12 - Sep 06 and is part of the project to find permanent active regions and Coronal Holes.(right side)

remarks: conjunction periods: The sideric rotation period of the Sun is ( wikipedia) 25 days and 9 hours

The sinodic rotation period, when the same geographic position on the sun again appears at 00:00 UTC over the same Earth longitude ( 0° position)therfore is : 27. 2379746835443 days.

to correct the uncertainty, one quarter day will be added to each synodic rotation- period of 27 days , resp 1 day after all 4 rotation periods.

current number od CH or active region/ by NOAA

last date on sun longitude 0° ( = Earth facing position)

next date when in 0° position

Coronal Holes and active regions on the same heligraphic position ( here as reference named 0° pos) during previous rotation periods:

appr. sideric position of today`s activity

appr.next alignment of sideric region with EARTH: activity description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110908 AR 11270/ CH 472 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
11287 SEP- 12  

20110906/CH 475- (ar 11283 - 11290?)

PERMANENT ACTIVE REGION Nr. 1 ( internal)

20110906

next: 20111003

20110812/CH 471-

ARIES?   Region 11283 rotated to the northwest limb. Flares: C6.6 at 08:51, C1.9 at 13:26, C1.7 at 19:49, C1.1 at 21:25 UTC
     

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH

  O
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 11- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 3

( find the previous parts in the daily reports of Sep 2011 either here or click on the register card above titled" archived reports of the current month

On March 12- 2011, the Japonese government had to confirm, that there is a serious problem with at least 1 overheated reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear power plant. Overheating and rising pressure first was reported ton have occured on reactor 1, as all the others, a boiling water reactor, but the eldest of the 6 built by general electrics in 1971 with an electrical output of 360 MW and driven with Uranium fuel without additional Plutonium enrichment.

The other 5 reactors were built later by Japonese companies, in a double size with an output of 720 ME and fueled with MOX elements , delivered by a subcompany of France "Framatom". That " MOX" fuel contains additional to the usual Uranium enrichment of appr 3- 5 % , needed to drive an ligh water reactor , also up to 6 % Plutonium 239, which fissions only sporacic by " quick neutrons, but poses a high thread, expecially in the nuclear waste as it can`t be slown down with a moderator like water or graphit . Burned down Uranium rods usually develope not more than 50 ° C. Since the nuclear weapon powers and producers like US, UK and France reduce their weapon Plutonium stockpiles that way, the so called " waste fuel storage pools" ( where the fuel rods are brought in until radiation sinks below a certain limit that transport is possible) have to be extra cooled with electric pumps. If these fail such as after an electric outage as happened in Fukushima - the storage pools would start to boil up within 40 hours.Three of the 6 reactors at the site were operational on March 11. Reactor 4 was shut down and emptied for revision. Nothing concretely was reported on the reactors 5 and 6 but weeks later claimed,

 

SEP- 10- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 11 :

The geomagnetic field was rather calm todays expecting for the 3 of 6 CMEs to arrive. THe thrid one will be stronger Nr 4 and 5 rather weak.

Yesterday after 9:00 UTC, the first parts of the second CME ( from the X 2.1 flare on Sep 06) arrived , while the geomagnetic field was already at storm condition. The main impact region was again quite over Western Europe, the Atlantic including Africa and South America and western parts of North America.

STRONGER EARTHQUAKES SHOULD THEREFORE BE EXPECTED FROM appr. SEP- 12/13 on EXSP. IN CHILE ARGENTINA AND OTHER PARTS OF SOUTH AMERICA!

The impact reached with 170 nT its peak between UTC- 2 and UTC- 4 (long. 30° W - 60° W). Lets see in two days where again the CMEs main impact region are identical with the ones where the most after effects such as earthquakes occure!

 

2011- September -11   a minor flare was observed after 7:00 UTC over the Eastern limb most ikely from AR 11292   no anomalities such as CMEs were observered on the visible sun disc today
77 CH 476 RECURRENT 6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!
    CH 475 RECURRENT 2011- September -12

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 476 SEP 11 6.0- 7.5 2-3 rising alert

116

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 433-579 kn/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -13- 16  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

3 CME 1 has major Earth directed parts CME 2 is halo   6.0- 8.5 3+ highest alert            

33

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*

continued....FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 3

... also the reactors 5 and 6 had been shut down and not operational on March 11 . Later that day Tokyo electric power company ( TEPCO) confirmed, rising temperatures also reactors 2 and 3 , those alike reactor 1, allthough all three reactors were believed been successfully shut down on March 11.

Soon many " experts" appeared on TV and political press conferences all over the world, with a kind of far away diagnosis, soon after also supported by the International Atomic Energy Association IAEA, claiming , the problems a on the three overheated reactors would be minor and just a result of the so called "after decay heat" the secondary process following the nuclear fission, when the nuclides reuslting form the primary fission start to decay , what runs faster during the reactor is under pressure and causes an additional source of heat while the reactors is shut down.

Not even one of these experts even mentioned the possibility that the essential shutdown process, that stops the nuclear fission itself - the insertion of so called "control rods" between the "fuel rods"since Enrico Felmy built the first nuclear reactor known as the only effective and safe possibility to stop again the fission when it is once triggered. ( neutron absorbers are special materials those swallow for a short time all extracted Neutrons,. Without the neutrons magnetic energy neutralised- no new Neutrons are set free form the intact Uranium - the fission stops.

Believing however, that the nuclear fission itself had stopped and the problems only occured as the cooling system failed after shutdown to transport away the after decay heat, all experts expected the temperature to drop soon. The IAEA most likely adviced the clueless Japonese government, no immidiate action would be necessary . TEPCO even prepared all to restore electricity to the Fukushima site,believing they would be able soon to put all three reactors back online again! Worthful times was lost, in which the next steps of the partial meltdown still could have been stopped.

When it turned out days later that the problems was more serious than expected , it became obvious. that there was a default evacuation plan for each nuclear power station around the world but not any concept to respond on such a complication. and situation. If there would have been one the following disaster most likely could still have been prevented at this time. .- well be continued in my daily envorinmentla blog of Sep- 2011

  11290 30°- 15° E SEP- 11          

SEP 09- 11

2-3  
  11289 45- 30° E SEP- 13          

CME STATUS:

 
  11287 30° - 45 ° W SEP- 08/09          

 
  11283 60° - 75° W SEP- 09   after 7:00 UTC PISCES WEAK with E directed parts SEP- 11- 12  

The third of 5 CME has arrived on Sep 11 after 11: 40 UTC . The impact was partially and therefore as weak as expected. The geomagnetic field intensity shortly rose to 125 nT. Main impact region was again Europe Africa and the Western Atlantic with likely strong effects on the SOUTHAMERICAN PLATE!

Seimic activities throughout Europe have slightly risen since Sep- 09 .

again we have a situation where ( meanwhile!!) 4 major CMEs follow one another.

The first parts of the first CME from an M 5.3 flare on Sep- 06 arrived on Sep- 11 after 2:30 UTC. the main impact was after 11: 30 UTC with a peak of 195 nT what is xtremely high and caused a severe geomagnetic storm.

 
  11283 45° - 60° W SEP- 07 impulsive X1.8 22: 38 UTC PISCES WEAK/ HALO SEP- 11- after 11:40 UTC    
  11283 30 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 X 2.1 22: 20 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS HALO SEP-10: 9:00 UTC ( 170 nT at 14:00 UTC)    
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1

2 filament eruptions on Northwest edge of CH 475

SEP 10/00: 59 UTC

AQUARIUS

Partial halo

partially Earth directed

SEP- 12    

-EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS

New warning on Arctic sea ice melt      
active regions rotating out of view today> 11283 90- 105 ° W  

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

M 6.0 - VANUATU - 2011-09-11 23:37 UTC

       
         
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position of activity

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 (?) 20110904/ 30° E SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
11283 SEP- 10- 75- 90° W ar 11280 SEP- 08 135- 150 ° W      
M1.1 07:40 UTC                

Region 11283 continued to decay slowly with a decrease in flare intensity. There's a slight chance of an additional minor M class flare as the region rotates around the northwest limbM1.1 at 07:40 UTC

 

 

* immidiate effects can be: volcano eruptions, heavy thunderstorms, radio blackouts,induction effects on wired grid networks ( surge overvoltages)

Immidiate effects of these CMEs might be radio blackouts, but also high voltages in overland power grids. sudden (thunder-) storms with intensive lightenings and sudden volcano eruptions

EARTH- and SEAQUAKES might occure already during the impact time but will with magnitudes between 6.0 and 7.0 rather be minor.

AT LEAST ONE MAJOR OR EVEN XTREME EARTH/ SEA QUAKE above M 8.0 with the possibility of a subsequent Tsunami must be expected in the aftermath of the last of 4 CME impact after SEP 10/11 ( most likely on SEP 12 or 13)when tectonic plates will cool down and contract again!

  O
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 09- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

SDO /AIA

STAR Map- by solen.info
<< images left: image of the Sun- Sep- 09- 2011/ image right: << active regions Sep- 09- 2011

SEP- 09- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

 

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 10 :

The geomagnetic field was at severe storm conditions this morning with extrem turbulances on an high energetic level

2011- September - 10   << another flare eruption occured in ar 11283 on Sep- 09 after 7: 30 UTC. LASCO 3 showns that obviously a partial halo CME is just heading into space, that contains - as STEREO shows- Earth directed parts.
65     6.0- 7.5 2
    CH 475 DEVELOPING 2011- September -11

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!

111

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED:  

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -12- 14  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

3 CME 1 has major Earth directed parts CME 2 is halo   6.0- 8.5 3+ highest alert  

 

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 10- 2011:

36

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*

NEWS AND WEATHER ALERTS

HEADLINES

a filament eruption occured along the Northwestern edge of CH 475 on Sep- 10- after 0:59 UTC. Allthough the most of its ejected mass is heading Northwards, the intensive effect on SoHo and the distribution of the CME cloud show, that a flank of it will reacgh the Earth appt. on Sep- 12- 13.
  11290 45°- 30° E SEP- 12     emerged and was numbered by NOAA two days later    

SEP 09- 11

2-3    
  11289 60- 45° E SEP- 13          

CME STATUS:

 
  11288 15° - 30° W SEP- 09     has decayed    

again we have a situation where ( meanwhile!!) 4 major CMes follow one another.

The first parts of the first CME from an M 5.3 flare on Sep- 06 arrived yesterday after 2:30 UTC. the main impact was after 11: 30 UTC with a peak of 195 nT what is xtremely high and caused a severe geomagnetic storm.

It will be difficult to say when exactly the following CMEs will arrive, as their effects will interfer with those of the previous ones.

    begin of filament eruption after 3:00 UTC expansion after 4:45 UTC ( STEREO AHEAD) as seen by STEREO BEHIND at 6:55 UTC ( Earth >>>) row below: filament eruption as observed on SDO>>
  11287 15° - 30 ° W SEP- 08/09            
  11283 60° - 75° W SEP- 09   after 7:00 UTC PISCES WEAK with E directed parts SEP- 11- 12     other links:
  11283 45° - 60° W SEP- 07 impulsive X1.8 22: 38 UTC PISCES WEAK/ HALO SEP- 10-11     pdf/ Max Planck Insitutut Für Sonnenforschung/ zu: Weltraumwetter
  11283 30 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 X 2.1 22: 20 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS HALO SEP-09- latter half      
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1

filament eruption

Northern edge of CH 475 SEP 10/00: 59 UTC still uncertain    

-EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS >>

-none

M 6.4 - VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION - 2011-09-09 19:41 UTC    
active regions rotating out of view today> 11283 75° - 90° W  

sideric activities at node point ( Pisces)

and while Earth crosses the Sun equator (autumn equanox )

HURRICANES:

       

GOES hp SEP- 08- 10

 

Hurricane KATIA- one of the three current tropical Atlantic Hurricanes (currently West of Vermont/USA )might cross the Atlantic to Europe and arrive somewhere North of Ireland on Monday with a strength of a Orcane.

The second- " MARIA" is currently near the WEST INDIE islands but might again take a course Northern along the US West coastline. The third- "NATE will make landfall in Mexico soon. EFFECTS OF THE CURRENTLY IMPACTING CME could likely increase the powers of the three hurricanes again!!

       
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

BACKSIDE ACTIVITIES

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position of activity

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 (?) 20110904/ 30° E SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
11283 SEP- 10- 75- 90° W ar 11280 SEP- 08 135- 150 ° W      
      UPDATES ON CME IMPACTS:            

Region 11283 decayed slowly losing spots and penumbral areaFlares: C1.2 at 02:03, M2.7/1N at 06:11, M1.2/1F at 12:49, C3.2 at 14:59, C1.1 at 23:09 UTC

 

 

* immidiate effects can be: volcano eruptions, heavy thunderstorms, radio blackouts,induction effects on wired grid networks ( surge overvoltages)

Immidiate effects of these CMEs might be radio blackouts, but also high voltages in overland power grids. sudden (thunder-) storms with intensive lightenings and sudden volcano eruptions

EARTH- and SEAQUAKES might occure already during the impact time but will with magnitudes between 6.0 and 7.0 rather be minor.

AT LEAST ONE MAJOR OR EVEN XTREME EARTH/ SEA QUAKE above M 8.0 with the possibility of a subsequent Tsunami must be expected in the aftermath of the last of 4 CME impact after SEP 10/11 ( most likely on SEP 12 or 13)when tectonic plates will cool down and contract again!

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 08- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

NONE of the latest CME has arrived yet. The first of three CME is expected to impact on the first half of today`s September 09. The secondCME will likely arrive on latter half today.

The transequatorial Coronal Hole 475 has grown to an immense size , and is currently slowing down solar wind speed at least in its near.

While Earth facing from Sep 98- 10, CH 475 might influence the Wather with droppping temperatures

 

SEP- 08- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 09 :

The geomagnetic field was still quite today- at the time of this update ( 06:00 UTC).

A minor solar wind shock causing a turbulence occured after 4:00 UTC

The impacts of the first two CMEs will interfer with one another!

2011- September - 09   The strong fast and fully halo Earth directed CME observed on Sep- 07 after 22;00 UTC from ar 11283 also heads 45° into NorthWest direction but has Earth directed components
47     6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!
    CH 475 DEVELOPING 2011- September -10

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!

110

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 293 - 362 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -11  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

3 CME 1 has major Earth directed parts CME 2 is halo   6.0- 8.5 3+ highest alert  

 

the flare and CME in ar 11283 after :0:00 UTC was rather strong and seems to have Earth directed parts. CME as it spreads into space as seen STEREO AHEAD this morning    

04

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*

NEWS AND WEATHER ALERTS

HEADLINES

a flare was observed at the backside of the Sun on SEP 08 after 22:00 UTC releasing a CME, which heads away from the Earth into North Western Direction
  11289 75- 60° E SEP- 13 C2.5 18:46 UTC      

SEP 09- 11

2-3  

Earthquake M 4.3 - THE NETHERLANDS - 2011-09-08 19:02 UTC/ borderregion Germany Netherlands near Eindhoven

  11288 0° - 15° W SEP- 09          

again we have a situation where 3 major CMes follow one another. The general alert level is rather high,immidiate effects will set in with the arrival of the first CME expected for today- Sep- 08 and will continue until Sep 11.

SIGNIFICANT EARTH- and SEAQUAKES with magnitudes between 6.0 and 7.0 might occure already on SEP 08- 11

AT LEAST ONE MAJOR OR EVEN XTREME EARTH/ SEA QUAKE above M 8.0 with the possibility of a subsequent Tsunami must again be expected in the aftermath of the last of 3 CME impact after SEP 10/11 ( most likely on SEP 12 or 13)when tectonic plates will cool down and contract again!

 
  11287 0° - 15 ° W SEP- 08/09            

The following volcanoes erupted or were set on alert level 3 ( of 4) on September- 08- 2011:

CLEVELAND ( Aleutian) was eruptive before but had stronger eruption on this day

ETNA ( Sicil, Italy)

EL HIERRO (Shield volcano, Canary Islands)

MERAPI ( Indonesia)

RANAKAH ( Indonesia)

SOPUTAN ( Indonesia)

TAMBORA ( Indonesia)

     
  11283 45° - 60° W SEP- 07 impulsive X1.8 22: 38 UTC PISCES WEAK/ HALO SEP- 10-11    

Leichtes Erdbeben erschüttert Westen Deutschlands

<< SEP- 08 after 7:00 UTC- A smaller CME was ejected after a long duration flare in ar 11287. AR 11287 has decayed now.
  11283 30 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 X 2.1 22: 20 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS HALO SEP- 09     Power back on for most in Arizona, California and Mexico after outage left millions without electricity
  11283 15 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 M 5.3 /1 B 1:50 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS ALMOST FULLY

SEP- 08-afterv 14:50 UTC/peak on Sep- 09 11:00 UTC

peak value: 195 nT

     
active regions rotating out of view today>            

-EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS

-none

POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1

HURRICANES:

BATA TARA( Ind) was set on yellow alert
GOES hp SEP- 07- 09   additional project in September:

 

Hurricane KATIA- one of the three current tropical Atlantic Hurricanes (currently West of Vermont/USA )might cross the Atlantic to Europe and arrive somewhere North of Ireland on Monday with a strength of a Orcane.

The second- " MARIA" is currently near the WEST INDIE islands but might again take a course Northern along the US West coastline. The third- "NATE will make landfall in Mexico soon. EFFECTS OF THE CURRENTLY IMPACTING CME could likely increase the powers of the three hurricanes again!!

       
  equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:
 

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-09 about 6° W

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position of activity

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
flare active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 (?) 20110904/ 30° E SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
        ar 11280 SEP- 08 135- 150 ° W      
C1.1., M 6.7 AR 11283 20110909 60°- 75° W UPDATES ON CME IMPACTS:            
 

 

 

* immidiate effects can be: volcano eruptions, heavy thunderstorms, radio blackouts,induction effects on wired grid networks ( surge overvoltages)

The first CME ( M 5.3 flare on Sep- 06) has impacted today- SEP- 09- after 11:00 UTC. ( see GOES magnetometer left side). Its main impact region wasthe 15° longitude West: CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA. This CME seems mainly to consists out of Neutrons(?) as there was only a significant rise in Neutrons at time of this update

The impact value was very strong and created a major geomagnetic storm . CME usually have multiple immidiate and subsequent impacts on both nature and man made techniques . These will be rather strong and will likely extend on a global scale during the following days and the impaczs of another 3 CMEs yet to come:

sudden storms/ thunderstorms or tornadoes- volcano eruptions- damages by inducted surges (overvoltages) on overland power grids or train grids. electric devices, possible transformer fires

Minor Earthquakes might occure around Europe and Africa and where the next CMEs will impact Major Earthquakes - mainly seaquakes up to M 8.0 with a strength to produce a Tsunami must be expected days after the last CME had arrived.

  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   NOTE!! SPECIAL INFORMATION:

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 07- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level      

SEP- 07- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 08 :

the geomagnetic field appeared rather quite this morning, There was a rise in field density while GOES was in the magnetopause after 2:30 UTC, which could be the arrival of the first CME on Aug- 06

2011- September - 08  
60     6.0- 7.0 2
    CH 475 DEVELOPING 2011- September - 09

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!

112

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 352 - 391 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September -10  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

3 CME 1 is major Earth directed CME 2 is weak,halo with Earth directed core CME 2 is rather strong , halo with Earth directed parts.   6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!   a later flare and CME observed on SEP 07 after 15: 00 UTC intensified after 19:00 UTC> on LASCO it seemed to have Earth directed parts but STEREO shows; The origin was on the back side of the Sun a strong Earth directed CME was observed after 22:00 UTC

06

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR CME REFERRING to IMMIDIATE EFFECTS*

 
  11289 90- 75° E SEP- 13          

SEP 09- 11

2-3    
  11288 15° - 0° E SEP- 09          

again we have a situation where 3 major CMes follow one another. The general alert level is rather high,immidiate effects will set in with the arrival of the first CME expected for today- Sep- 08 and will continue until Sep 11.

SIGNIFICANT EARTH- and SEAQUAKES with magnitudes between 6.0 and 7.0 might occure already on SEP 08- 11

AT LEAST ONE MAJOR OR EVEN XTREME EARTH/ SEA QUAKE above M 8.0 with the possibility of a subsequent Tsunami must again be expected in the aftermath of the last of 3 CME impact after SEP 10/11 ( most likely on SEP 12 or 13)when tectonic plates will cool down and contract again!

   
  11287 15° - 0 ° E SEP- 08/09             a minor eruption was observed after 7.00 UTC in the northern hemisphere at the backside of the Sun heading into Northern direction  
  11283 45° - 60° W SEP- 07 impulsive X1.8 22: 38 UTC PISCES WEAK/HALO SEP- 10-11      
  11283 30 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 X 2.1 22: 20 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS HALO SEP-09    
  11283 15 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 M 5.3 /1 B 1:50 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS ALMOST FULLY SEP- 09    
active regions rotating out of view today>              
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER >  

additional project in September:
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

NEWS AND WEATHER ALERTS

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W

EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position of activity

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 (?) 20110904/ 30° E SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
ar 11280 SEP- 06 105- 120 ° W              
2 M flares                  

flares as reported by NOAA issued by solen.info:

[Region 11280 produced several C flares and 2 M flares (M1.6 at 04:08, M1.2 at 07:52 UTC) from behind the northwest limb.

 

 

* immidiate effects can be: volcano eruptions, heavy thunderstorms, radio blackouts,induction effects on wired grid networks ( surge overvoltages)        
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   NOTE!! SPECIAL INFORMATION:

SATELLITE IMAGES - SEP- 06- 2011:

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

 

 

A fast CME was observed today- Sep- 06 after 1:50 UTC associated with an M 5/B1 from ar 11283, that occured while ar 11283 had rotated to the coordinates 0° E/15° N . Being the optimal effective Earth facing position, any CME unleashed from there will fully head towards the Earth and impact with its full force!!

SEP- 06- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 07 :

 

2011- September - 07-  

(images first row) The xray flash was too strong that SoHo did not capture the event

Both STEREO A and B however captured the event, which is fully Earth directed and must be regarded as a serious threat. On SDO composite imagery the event was visible as a short and tiny flash, the typcical indicator for a CME- what allows to determine that the CME was unleashed at 1: 50 UTCSoHo however was either turned off before or was knocked out by this event and had a transmission gap between these two images ( left side) taken at 0:18 UTC and 7: 06 UTC .

93     6.0- 7.0 2
    CH 475 DEVELOPING 2011- September - 08

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.0 2-3

111

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 351 - 431 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

---   2011- September - 09  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

2 CME 1 has major Earth directed parts CME 2 is halo   6.0- 7.5 2-3 high alert!!  

07

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: REMARKS:
  11289 90- 75° E SEP- 13          

The CME after an M 5 flare in ar 11283 is one of those rather seldom events, when an CME is unleashed from an active region while it is with the coordinates 0° N° / 15° N in the exact Earth facing position!

The CME cloud seemed to move rather North. but the most of its core will likely hit the Earth.

A second wide halo CME was observed later on SEP 06 at 22: 20 UTC after an X 2.1 flare ar 11283

CMEs ejected radially on the 0° longitude will have the multiple effects than any other ejected from a location farther away form that 0° coordinate!

The is higher risk for strong volcano eruptions, those as well as other effects such thunderstorms or radioblackouts will set in soon after the impact

High magnitude ( mainly: Sea- )quakes with possible Tsunamis might occure after; from SEP 09 on, most likely on SEP 10 - 11

 

 
  11288 30° - 15° E SEP- 09            
  11287 30 °- 15° E SEP- 08/09            
  11283 30 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 X 2.1 22: 20 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS HALO SEP- 09     (^second row) The second image however shows already another event today: a M1.6 flare at 04:08, and a M1.2 at 07:52 UTC. STEREO images right) prove, these flares came from ar 11280 which is already appr 105- 120° behind the Western limb. This CME will not be effective on Earth
  11283 15 °E/ 15° N SEP- 06 M 5/1 B 1:50 UTC appr 15° AQUARIUS ALMOST FULLY SEP- 09    

3 row: s The second CME at 22:20 UTC after a long duration C 2,1 flare in AR 11283 again ( compare X 6.9 flare on Aug- 08) seems not to be as strong as the earlier one after the M5/1B at 1: 50 UTC. The most pressure from below most likely was released already with the long lasting flare itself.

images of the event by STEREO A and B, SDO /AIA and SoHO

  11281 60- 75 ° W              
active regions rotating out of view today>              
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > -

all flares and associated CMEs always emit radially away from the Sun. The concentration of plasma mass and energy is highest in a CME`s core.

GOES hp-Sep- 05- 07 2011

additional project in September:
equanox constellation: date: sideric position:

EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:

PISCESappr. 5 °

SEP-04 about 15° W

EARTHQUAKES ABOVE M 6.0 ON SEP- 02: ( byEMSC/ USGS)

NEW VOLCANO ERUPTIONS ( if available on Media and news.)

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position of activity

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 (?) 20110904/ 30° E SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15  
ar 11280 SEP- 06 120- 135 ° W              
                   

 

 

 

         
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   NOTE!! SPECIAL INFORMATION:

SATELLITE DATA

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

highest alert for major seaquakes from SEP- 09/ 10on!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS

(01) a large CME ( not classified yet) shot out from ar soon after 0:30 UTC on Sept- 05.

SEP- 05- 2011

 

SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 06 :

The geomagnetic field was almost quiet this morning except some minor fluctuations/ vibrations caused by streams from developing CH 475 and other activities

 

2011- September - 06-   (01)

<< SDO Composite shows clearly that the first activity origined in ar 11282 at around 90° W/ 15° N which is just going to rotate out of view,. Ar 11282 remained very active throughout that day.

 
102 CH 474
DISSOLVED
6.0- 7.0 2
    CH 475 DEVELOPING? 2011- September - 07-

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.0 2

118

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 299 - 403 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

POS.   2011- September - 08  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

CME on longitude 0° position has Earth directed parts   6.0- 8.5 2-3  

06

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

EARTH

DIRECTED?

STATUS:/ ARRIVAL: REMARKS: (2) << (2) Another CME, very likely a filement eruption along the Northern edge of CH 475 associated with critical ar 11283 appeared on the Eastern limb onSep- 05 after 4:00 UTC embracing then the l half solar disc . This images just came in at the time of this update. The events was clearly visible on STEREO A and B and created a good portion of CME sun winds that might very likely effect on Earth on Sept 07- 08 .Alert level remain therefor at medium alert. However.- the developing Transequatorial CH 475 , thatb uis just rotating in, appears large on STEREO EUVI an stretches form the South alomost to the Noprthrn pole  
  11288 45° - 30° E SEP- 08              
  11287 45 °- 30° E SEP- 08/09              
  11283 0°- 15° W SEP- 06 M 5/1 B 1:50 UTC AQUARIUS EARTH / SEP- 07- 08  

 

  M 6.6 - NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA - 2011-09-05 17:55 UTC
  11281 75- 90 ° W               M 6.2 - TONGA - 2011-09-05 09:51 UTC
active regions rotating out of view today> 11281 75- 90 ° W           Other heavy weather reports: << I could not discover the real tiny flash as indicator for a CME in ar11283 on SDO images published later today. Ar is just very active with magnetic loops and prominences . A larger filament activity observed around CH 475 early on Sep 5 ( after 2:00 UTC) beginning behind the eastern limb moving from threre westward seems most likely to be the source of that eruption
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1

>> (2) Another minor CME, If not combined to a filament eruption, wnt of from ar 11283 and appeared on the Eastern limb onSep- 05 after 3:00 UTC embracing then the l half solar disc . As the event occured directly on th 0° longitude and even in ar not more than 15 ° South, even parts of these CME will have siginificant effects on Earth and weather from appr SEP- 07 on.

stärkster Taifun seit 40 Jahren strongest Typhoon since 40 years!

BBC- Typhoon Talas kills at least 19 people in Japan

video (spiegel-online)

Dutzende Menschen sterben bei Unwetter in Japan

GOES hp-Sep- 03- 05 2011 additional project in September:          
constellation: date: sideric position:

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:
PISCES 0-5 ° SEP-04 about 15° W

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position of activity

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 (?) 20110904/ 30° E SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15 extreme activities in or around that region set in again after Sept 01 . large flares and CMEs followed another almost daily combined with an intensive sun wind stream emitting towards Gemini. The eruption were so strong that they caused a visible x ray signature all around the Sun. Two of the largest events ( SEP 02/ Sep 04 after were associated with similar but weaker events on the diametral opposite - the Eartth facing side creating CMEs with significant effects on Earth  
ar 11280 SEP- 05 90°- 105 W            
5 flares/ C5- M1                

flares as reported by NOAA issued by solen.info):

 

 

       
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*    

SATELLITE DATA

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 2 ( part 1 you find in the report of Sep 03)

>>While the Tsunami still swept over the coastal regions of Honshu, about 1 hours after the quake, Japonese TV NHK showed images of a fire that has broken out most likely at the transformer building at the nuclear powerplant Onigawa which is on the Northern part of the Honshu island and more inland , and seemed due to the images not been affected itself by the earthquake or the Tsunami.

The reasons for transformer fires are oftenly overvoltages as described in part 1 below. They were in recent times ( due to the high sun activity during the current maximum of the 11 years solar cycle) quite oftent also a result of CME impacts if these charge expecially overland grids (those work just as perfect antennas) with high amounts of electricity at high voltages.( compare: Carrington event page 2) But however Japoneese TV made not any remarks on what cause the fire, but showed pictures of another destroyed and smoldering transformer station someway between Onigawa and Fukushima on that part of the coast with the shortest direct line to the epicenter which therefor must have been hit first by the Tsunami wave.

Same time Japonese TV reported all nuclear power plants along the coast of ionshu had been successfully shut down by an automatic Earthquake warning system soon after the M 9.0 seaquake had occured about 175 km SSW offshore of Fukushima It needed one hour more until the first report came in that the Fukushima Nuclear power plant had problems during shutdown. Fjkushima Dajichi ( not to confuse with Fukushima Dajini which is not far away from there but obviously a geothermal plant?? ) is a combination of at all 6 boiling water reactors with each 720 MW ( reactor 1 is elder and has only 360 MW). The authorities as well as the operator TEPCO at this time believed , the control rods were fully driven in and the reactors just would "only"experience what is called " Isotope after decay heat" because of a failure of one of the emergency cooling systems. . But as officials claimed a battery still kept up one sprinkler system, ( which was as it turned out the next day not the case)

.a long duration flare in ar at 90° W that began on Sep 03 peaked in a major- CME that became obvious after 9:00 UTC on Aug- 04, heading into western direction ( NOT EARTH directed). The events was associated with another CME that appeared over the NorthEast quadrant. STEREO images proved that both events were on the backsided half of the Sun:
SEP- 04- 2011 SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 05 :

The geomagnetic field appeared rather quiet today.

Field density seems to return to normal values after the impact of a minor CME ,.

That CME on SEP 02 was detected late due to a transmission problem and late arrival of Data from STEREO. The rather weak CME in Earth direction was associated with much more intensive flare and CME activities at the backside of the sun, those knocked out STEREO vor a while and created significant X ray signatures all around appearing as well on the front side.

2011- September - 05:  

 
114 CH 474
DISSOLVED
6.0- 7.0 2
  current position: 60°- 45° E/ 0- 15° N ( equatorila) CH 475 DEVELOPING? 2011- September - 06-

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.0 2

119

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 307 and 402 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

POS.   2011- September - 07-  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

none ----   6.0- 7.0 2  

08

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC EARTH DIRECTED CMEs: STATUS:/ ARRIVAL:    

 

SEP-04 another minor solar flare headed into Western direction after 12:00 UTC.. STEREO AHEAD again proved that this large flare occured on the backcside of the sun where currently out of any unknown reason a large firework is going on,

  11287 45 °- 60° E SEP- 08/09           REMARKS:      
  11283 0 °- 15° E SEP- 05/06 critical        

 

 
  11281 30- 45 ° W              
  11277/79 60- 75 ° W       none      
active regions rotating out of view today> ar 11282 75- 90° W          

The incident was not regarded as severe as the after decay heat was expected to drop below critical temperatures within 6 or 8 hours .Just after the first shock if the entire disaster was over, Premier Khan had to admit that larger complications occured at the Fukushioma power plant during shoutdown and that the reactors1, 2 and 3 are still overheated ( Reactors 4-6 were offline due to revision Their nuclear fuel was stored during that revision in the spent fuel storage pools, where already hundreds of tons spent fuel rods are stored since years.).

will be continued the next days!

   
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > none

   

GOES hp-Sep- 03- 05 2011

additional project in September:          
constellation: date: sideric position:

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:
PISCES 0-5 ° SEP-04 about 15° W

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position:

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES AR 11270/ CH 472 20110830/ 135° W SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15 strong activities between Aug- 25 and 29  
ar 11280 SEP- 05 90°- 105 W              
5 flares/ C5- M1     EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS              

flares as reported by NOAA issued by solen.info):

 

 

M 6.1 - VANUATU - 2011-09-04 21:44 UTC          
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   NOTE!! SPECIAL INFORMATION:

SATELLITE DATA

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

remark: The Fukushima report will be continued the next days!

VERY IMPORTANT IS TO KNOW, that the Earth is currently moving towards that region in PISCES, where it crosses the equatorial plane of the Sun., also known as the "descending node" or "autumn equanox".

independant how many sun spots or activities are on the Sun itself, this is one of the most critical times of the year when also any Sun activity effects most intensively on Earth.

another part of this research is, how the Sun itselfs "behaves" resp whether activities esspecially increase on certain longitudes, possibly influenced by planetary nodes soltices and their gravity effects or constellations.

Regions were more flares and CMEs seem to occure are possibly the two equanox regions in Pisces and Virgo I want also observe the two longitudes about 90 degrees to that equanox axis- facing Gemini and sagittarius reffered as "soltice regions or axis " This is the axis from Sirius to the galactic core behind Sagittarius where all planets reach their highest*/ lowest *points ( = distance or height to the Sun equator) on the planetary plane while they orbit around the sun .Its just much work to make an additional table based on archived data to give evidence for.>>

 

     
SEP- 03- 2011 SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 04 :

the geomagnetic field was rather unsettled to a minor storm this morning caused by several interfering activities

Reveiving the STEREO images of the recent days days this evening on SEP- 04, I discovered an overseen significant flare associated with a CME that went off on SEP- 02 after 10.00 UTC in Earth direction an which is the cause for the secind CME imopact noted by solen,. info today. The event was associated with a much larger activity on the opposite backsite on the sun ( likely again around CH 472 and ar 11270).

Most likely radio transmission was heavily disturbed by the backside event and its intense x ray background flux This is why these images arrived later I discovered them when reviewing the images of today.

2011- September - 04:   << minor CME wind stream

SEP-04 as major flare occured form ar after 12:00 UTC

releasing a mmajor flare uinto space

 

139

CH 474
RECURRENT
6.0- 7.0 2
  current position: 75°- 60° E/ 0- 15° N ( equatorila) CH 475 DEVELOPING? 2011- September - 05-

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 475 SEP 08- 10 6.0- 7.0 2

118

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 291-426 km/s

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

POS.   2011- September - 06-  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs: >>>

minor CME on SEP 02 arrived todayand interfered with the previous one impact region: EUROPE / ATLANTIC OCEAN/ SA   6.0- 7.0 2  

13

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC EARTH DIRECTED CMEs: STATUS:/ ARRIVAL:     The main part of the activity however seem still to play a regions numbered ar 11270 while it was on the visible disc. This active region interacts with aneighbored CH 472 which has rebuilt itself after it already had dissappeared. This complex began to shoot with one hell fire after another for meanwhile more than one week since it rotated towards the backsite of the Sun. Its part of my survey on possible permanent active regions and CHs ( see below).
  11287 60 °- 75° E SEP- 08/09           REMARKS:   img 3

<< img 3 left: This is SDO composite on Sept 03: the active regions 11280 and ar 1128 are very active as solen,. info remarks: At the moments they produce rather prominences and magnetic loops but no major flares yet or CMEs. Both regions however will rotate out of view until tomorrow

same or even more active prominences and magnetic can be observed in ar 11287 associated to the DEVELOPING CH 475. Both regions are currently between 75° and 90! E and will be Earth facing on Sep 8- 10 .First filament events can be observed along the southern edge ov deveoping CH 475

 
  11283 15 °- 30° E SEP- 05/06          

CURRENT ANOMALITIES: After some mails were we discussed about. Jan Alvestad- a real solar expert who makes the solar terrestrical activity report for NOAA and others, agreed to put the weak CME on Sep- 01 after midnight on his list.>> Of course there were several anomalities observed during the last days those again interfer with one another such as it was with the 5 CMEs following one another from Aug 02- 09 . Its not really obvious yet what exactly caused these anomalities.

 
  11282 75°- 90° W              
  11281 15- 30 ° W   C2.4 07:56 UTC        
  11277/79 45- 60 ° W       none      
active regions rotating out of view today> 11280 75- 90 ° W see special report below        

>>Evaluations of all previous years show that when the Sun stands in Sagitarrius, there seems to by an activity hole, with lowest activities. Nevertheless an extreme CME was triggered 2004 from that region and caused the disastrous M 9.6 quake Tsunami on Dec 26- 2004 ( rea my special report on page 4)

* depends whether been seen from the Northern or Southerns Earth hemisphere

POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > short CME report > 1

the minor CME on SEP 02 after arrived early today interfering with the previous one on SEP 01 ( after 1:00 UTC) a reached a maximum peak value of 125 at 16:00 UTC. Main impact region was therefore EUROPE AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE GENERAL ALERT LEVEL FOR THIS REGION WAS SET ON 2 (of 3)

GOES hp-Sep- 03 2011 additional project in September:            
constellation: date: sideric position:

EARTHQUAKE VOLCANISM REPORTS

AUGUST- 30- 2011

NEW: SURVEY OF POSSIBLY PERMANENT ACTIVE REGIONS AND CH:
PISCES 0-5 ° SEP-04 about 15° W

EARTHQUAKES ABOVE M 6.0 ON SEP- 02: ( byEMSC/ USGS)

NEW VOLCANO ERUPTIONS ( if available on Media and news.)

active region/ former number/ NOAA

appr. heliographic position /SUN

rotating in Earth position:

appr. sideric position:

appr.alignment with EARTH: description/ remarks  
flare activity on the sun longitude currently facing the planetary node resp. equanox axis / (VIRGO/>PISCES):
active region/CH: date position Sun-/longitude facing 5° PISCES   AR 11270/ CH 472 20110830/ 135° W SEP- 13 GEMINI DEC 19- JAN 15 strong activities between Aug- 25 and 29  
ar 11280 SEP- 04 75°- 90 W                
                     

flares as reported by NOAA issued by solen.info):

ar 11280/ Flares: C1.0 at 03:22, C1.0 at 14:12, C2.5 at 17:36, C1.2 at 20:10 UTC. The region was the source of a C8.3 flare at 01:07 UTC on September 4.

 

           
  O

SOLAR DATA (Yesterday`s summary)

visit solen.info for more informations   FORECASTS*   ENVIRONMENT BLOG

SATELLITE DATA

date Solar special reports: GEOMAGNETIC FIELD: CORONAL HOLES (CH):   TODAY` S SITUATION magnitudes alert level  

>>THE FUKUSHIMA REPORT part 1

Back to the report: When the Tsunami hit the plant- so that report claims- a two of three emergency cooling systems. which have to cool that reactors socalled " after decay heat " had already failed working - and just the last one, a heat exchanger system was working but already had to be supplied with electricity not coming from the external grid but form the emergency power generators within the plant itself driven by Diesel motors.

AFTER DECAY HEAT :

a nuclear fission process once started indeed never really< stops again. the so called "Isotopes decay of the fissioned Uranium products is a secondary process in the conseqeuence of a nuclear fission: That after decay of the fission products inside the reactor core still most intensive soon after the fission itself has been interrupted, esp. if the reactor is shutdown not slowly but in an emergency situation ( emergency or quick shutdown)

However_ that after decay heat usually is said to diminuish within hours below uncritical values . But- until that uncritical state is achieved this after decay ( depending on the enrichment of fuel and the design of the plant itself ) can potentially produce so much heat enough to melt the reactor`s interior, the "overcritical" arrangement of fuel rods and the control rods , what would result in a disastrous nucelar meltdwon ) This is why reactor core has to be cooled after such a quick emergency shutdown for several hours depending on the size of the installation.

So what he have heard is that this last of three cooling systems also failed when the Tsunami as the report claims hit the plant one hour later swept through the hall where the diesel generators are and stopped them.

First of all: Different to the inland of Tsunamis such Tsunami wave would hit anything at the coast only twice when going inland and while it retrats again but would not cause higher sea level there. There fore its very unlikely that the Tsunami damaged the default waterproofed desig of the emergenxy system within the plant

The Japonese military has overflown the reactor just one hour after the quake and there was not any damage on the plant itself, nor that it suffered any structural damage yet by the more than 200 after sea quakes above M 6.0 during the weeks later. >>>

 

 

real time data and images of September 02: ENVIRONMENT BLOG  
SEP- 02- 2011 SUNSPOTS:

NOAA: internal:  

SEPTEMBER 03 :

the geomagnetic field was unsettled this morning in tha aftermath of a strange CME phenomenon on Aug 28, I call not knowing another term for " fireball"

The major disturbance of a not well, defined source was reported by solen.info on SEP 02 after 22:_00 UTC that continues today

Possibly the early solar wind shock of the two reported CME combines with the strong solar Streams which found a way through and are currently dissolving recurrent CH 474 in the Southern Sun hemisphere

.

 

 

2011- September - 03  

active regions behind the western limb EUVI 185)

 

103

CH 474
RECURRENT
6.0- 6.5 1- 2
        2011- September - 04:

SOLAR FLUX:

EARTH FACING ON > CH 474 SEP- 01/02 6.0- 7.0 2

115

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED: 271 - 302km/s (LOW)

OTHER EFFECTIVE CH:

POS.   2011- September - 05-  
PLANETARY A INDEX:

CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs:

the weak CME on SEP 01 arrived after 22:00 UTC--- Main impact region was NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA   6.0- 7.0 2  

03

ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY (appr.)*

EARTH FACING ON.

FLARE- CLASS**

TIME UTC EARTH DIRECTED CMEs: STATUS:/ ARRIVAL:    

As far as I remember there was either a data gap or no data available Otherwise myself or solen,. info would have discovered that flare activity on the images above earlier:

SEP- 02/ after 7:00 UTC-THe flare was most likely a filament eruption near to near the developing and very active region 11283 and was associated with a not Earth directed CME heading into Southeastern direction As the main CME mass ever will take a course radially away from the Sun, this event will not have effects on Earth

 

>FUKUSHIMA REPORT..

THE REAL COURSE AND CAUSE OF THE EVENTS :

1. a usual Tsunami howver travels with the speed of around 800km/ sec) and would have reached Fukushima not later then 13 minutes after the initial quake ( and not one hour after as the report claims) But FUKushima howver was the plant most close to the epicenter and this is why already the emergency shutdown process failed at a time, when the control rods were not driven in fully.

2. Due to the fact that the plant is so Earthquake resistent it will also not expose it electrical devices to any Tsunami those happen quite often in Japan.

What most likely really happend was that the Tsinami first stroke the Tranformer station between Onigawa and Fukushima ( which is 90 degrees to the epicenter. First reports even showed the destruction such as mast fallen over on this transformer yard before any critical situation a was reported from Fukushima . This most likely caused a two or three phases short circuit within the three phases current, which then results with an double or almost triple overvoltage running through all electric consumers and transformers those are online after within not even one second , destryoing them totally and all at once. The transformers burn as the spools overheat. motors just stop as the wires on the spools melt. This is the end.

.. But not to this story! It will be continued on the next days" Thanks for reading!

 
  11283 60° -45° E SEP- 06 not listed after 07 :00 major but not Earth directed CME     REMARKS:  
  11282 30°- 45° W SEP-01          

 

 
  11281 0° E SEP-02/03 C1.8 a 15:16 UTC        
  11280 45- 60° W AUG-28     none      
  11277/79 30- 45 ° W SEP- 01 --   none      
POSSIBLE EFFECTIVE CMEs NOT LISTED BY SPACE WEATHER CENTER > 1

Reveiving the STEREO images of the recent days on SEP- 04, I discovered an overseen significant flare associated with a CME that went off on