-----------------------

 

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last update: APRIL- 26- 2012- 10:00 UTC copyright: reserved
bg. image: Nick Russill from Cardiff, UK (Northern Lights, Greenland) [CC-BY-2.0 / Wikimedia Commons
open source earthquake forecast project- Start- page -daily updated project- since May 2010-.created and provided by: alien-homepage.de

 

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2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE
APRIL - 2012

 

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

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PROJECT CENTRAL:

PAGES RELATED TO THIS SOLAR/TERRESTRIAL PROJECT>
ws
>HAVE YOU ANY COMMENT?
               
SOHO REALTIME current view on the Sun
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:

(SUN SPOTS EARTHQUAKE AND VOLCANISM/ ARCHIVE- 2011:)click on the month symbols to get to the specific pages of 2011:

2012 >
APRIL              
2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL APPLY A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on th following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics for global incident map and Earthquake statistic APRIL 2012
   

True and REAL TIME graphic solution, that makes obvious the coincidences of CME impacts and extraordinary natural phenomenons such as heavier Earthquakes, volcano eruptions, hurricanes. sudden ice meltdowns (floddings) and others

( click on the graphic top to enlarge it):

INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

- incident graphic will be completed at the end of the month-

SPACECRAFTS:
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

 

 

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK- APRIL 2012:

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK- APRIL _ 2012:

VIDEO/REPORT OF THE WEEK (APRIL- 15- 2012)

FUKUSHIMA ON HIGH ALERT!

 

 

Mainichi Expert Sr. Writer: Gov’t sources say No. 4 pool a grave concern The storage pool in the No. 4 reactor building has a total of 1,535 fuel rods, or 460 tons of nuclear fuel, in it. The 7-story building itself has suffered great damage, with the storage pool barely intact on the building’s third and fourth floors. The roof has been blown away. If the storage pool breaks and runs dry, the nuclear fuel inside will overheat and explode, causing a massive amount of radioactive substances to spread over a wide area. Both the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and French nuclear energy company Areva have warned about this risk.

watch also:Whole Northern Hemisphere at risk – interview with Dr. Arnie Gundersen

Japan’s former Ambassador to Switzerland, Mr. Mitsuhei Murata, was invited to speak at the Public Hearing of the Budgetary Committee of the House of Councilors on March 22, 2012, on the Fukushima nuclear power plants accident. Before the Committee, Ambassador Murata strongly stated that if the crippled building of reactor unit 4 — with 1,535 fuel rods in the spent fuel pool 100 feet (30 meters) above the ground — collapses, not only will it cause a shutdown of all six reactors but will also affect the common spent fuel pool containing 6,375 fuel rods, located some 50 meters from reactor 4.

" It is no exaggeration to say that the fate of Japan and the whole world depends on NO.4 reactor. This is confirmed by most reliable experts like Dr. Arnie Gundersen or Dr. Fumiaki Koide. Mr. Mitsuhei Murata in a letter to Ban Ki-moon
APRIL- 24- 2012

Mainly steam and sometimes smoke is observed emitting from several also new formed vents on the slope of the Mexican volcano Popocatepetl. Volcanologist therefore concluded the high pressure from the refilled magma chamber might burst parts of the entire visible cone if an widely expected major eruption should occure.

Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report:

CENAPRED reported that multiple gas-and-ash plumes rose from Popocatépetl on 18 April; one of the emissions was accompanied by increased incandescence in the crater. An explosion ejected incandescent fragments that landed on the N and NE flanks as far as 800 m from the crater. The fragments landed on snow and generated small lahars. A dense gas, steam, and ash plume drifted E and SE. On 19 April gas-and-ash plumes rose above the crater and drifted ESE, and incandescent fragments rolled 1 km down the flanks. The next day an episode of spasmodic tremor was accompanied by a dense plume of gas, water vapor, and ash that rose 1.5 km and drifted E. During 21-23 April gas-and-steam emissions that sometimes contained small amounts of ash drifted SE, E, and SW. Seismicity was low during 21-22 April and again increased on 23 April. That same day an ash plume drifted NE and incandescent fragments were ejected W. The Alert Level remained at Yellow Phase Three.

 
VIDEO/REPORT OF THE WEEK (MAY 01- 2012)

The submarine eruption of El Hierro Island (Canary Islands)

report by: volcanodiscovery: The authorities have decided to declare the eruption ended and shut down the web cameras at La Restinga and stop active monitoring of what could still be going on at the sea floor south of La Restinga. 
Volcanic tremor is still present, although at minimal levels and some earthquake activity continues beneath the island. According to our friends at lava cafe, chances are that the eruption continues with little change, despite the official statements which would be mainly motivated by the intention not to scare potential visitors to the island. We are not able to really judge well what is or not going on, but it will be interesting to watch what is going to happen next.  ...read more...

 

 

HEADLINES-

TODAY`S BLOG MIGHT BE RATHER EMPTY- AS INFORMATION WILL COME IN LATER! SCROLL TO FIND LATEST UP TO DATE REPORTS

Again, I have changed a little bit my blog template (layout) to make the report shorter and more compact

click here to find previous reports of MARCH 2012  

APRIL 2012

 

get more specific Sun data at: solen.info/

SunSpotWatch.com

USGS/ NEIC

EUROPE: EMSC

GLOBAL VOLCANISM PROGRAM (GVP)

*

o

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: INTERNAL (alien-homepage)

please: always calculate with an error of at least one day in the Earthquake predictions

o
 
click here to open and close collapsible panel: archive of solar and terrestrial blog/ April 01- 07- 2012
/ eruptive proinence / eruptive proinence / eruptive proinence

 

 

                     

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

07

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.7 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2012-04-07 11:58 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE APR-05 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 04 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.4 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-04-07 06:45 UTC  
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
SANTA MARIA 14°45'21"N/ 91°33'6"W APRIL- 07- 2012   INSUMVEH SANTA MARIA none CENTRAM GVP  
                      20120403 report by: GVP  

Based on analyses of satellite imagery and reports from INSIVUMEH, the Washington VAAC reported that on 7 April multiple ash clouds from explosions at Santa María drifted 37 km SW and 11 km S. INSIVUMEH reported that during 8-10 April explosions from Caliente dome generated ash plumes that rose 600-900 m above the dome and drifted 15 km S and SW. Lava flows continued to produce avalanches that descended the flanks.

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
 

 

 

WEATHER CHANGES: SUDDEN MELTDOWNS

                20120403 reports by: euronews.com  
 

Avalanche traps over 100 Pakistani soldiers – army

ISLAMABAD (Reuters) – An avalanche buried over 100 Pakistani soldiers near the Siachen glacier on the border with India on Saturday, the army spokesman said, adding that casualties were expected. Several Pakistani television channels reported earlier that about 150 soldiers were trapped. “At six o’clock this morning this avalanche hit a (military) headquarters. Over 100 soldiers and personnel are trapped,” said the spokesman, Major-General Athar Abbas, adding that rescue teams were headed to the scene....read more...

 

DOLPHIN BEACHINGS/v Geomag.

                         
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120405 reports by: thewatchers.  

Dolphins dying by the thousands in Peru

More than 3,000 dead dolphins have washed ashore in last 3 months along the stretch of coastline in Lambayeque, north Peru. On March 28, Dr. Carlos Yaipen Llanos of the Peruvian-based marine mammal rescue organization ORCA and Hardy Jones (BlueVoice) counted 615 dead dolphins on 135 kilometers of beach north of San Jose. The representative of the Ecological Reserve Chaparrí, Heinz Plengue, indicated that only in recent days, 418 dolphins appeared stranded along 36 kilometers of the beach of Palo Parado area, opposite the island Lobos de Tierra, in Mórrope. The IMARPE has sampled stranded species to analyze the causes of death. According to a report from Peru 21, local fishermen in Lambayeque, north Peru, were first to notice the inexplicable rise in dead dolphin appearing on shore – averaging roughly 30 per day...read more...

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120402 reports by: no report found  
  click here for the TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE information website on the incident > click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr GREENPEACE.DE/ Elgin Wellhead  
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:F- C

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: D >Cand F > A

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

07- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

US PACIFIC COAST CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 7.0

CME ARIVAL/ LATENCY?  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  

08- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.5

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

CENTR. EUROPE/AFRICA

 

08- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

US PACIFIC COAST  

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3 (decreasing)  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    30/12 APR 09-10 2  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

    29/12 APR 07-08 2  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120405 28/12 (1/ 2) 130 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          

SATELLITE IMAGES

APRIL- 07 2012          

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

20120407/ 20:54 UTC   20120407/ 18:30 UTC 20120407/ 18:59 UTC            
filament between AR 11450/51 18:30

STEREO Behind" and SoHO:

Transmission gap after 16:30 UTC

 

.

 
TRACKING NUMBER 30/12  

> a stronger eruption occured during the ongoing activities on the magnetic filament East of AR 11450 that opeaked with a CME after 18: 30 UTC. The LDE event was measured as an C 1.5 event only , but is much to be much stronger by its long duration The main event region was not far to the equator. SoHO and both Stereo suffered a transmission gap . Parts of this CME will reach the Earth appr. on April 09- 10.

 

SUN COORDINATES:

   
W47 N14    

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   
magnetic filament LDE C 1.5      

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

LIBRA (1) STEREO- Ahead " (2) STEREO Behind " (4) SDO /AIA( comp. (4) SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated):

APR-09        
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120404  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

28/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

38

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

310-353

FLARES

C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

97

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.5

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

14

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

27- 112 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 512 T.EQU. GROWING APR- 05 APR 09    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
 

11448

faded

17° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11450

62° -76° W

16° N

 

 

        N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11451

faded

18° N

 

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11452

23° -37° W

17° N

 

 

                 
 

11453

faded

17° S

 

 

               
                           
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

06

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.1 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2012-04-06 16:15 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G 4.50 S ; 153.52 E 2012-04-06 16:15 UTC M 6.1 100 km unknown -- --  

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ EASTERN TURKEY/ NEAR CITY OF VAN APR-06 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 08 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.7 - EASTERN TURKEY - 2012-04-06 20:38 UTC  
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
                        20120403 reports by: wunderground.com/blog  
 

 

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120402 reports by:

no report found

 
  click here for the TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE information website on the incident > click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr GREENPEACE.DE/ Elgin Wellhead  
                        20120402 reports by: triplepundit.com  
"Fracking" Wikipedia

New USGS Report Links Fracking and Earthquakes

The US Geological Survey (USGS) will be presenting a paper next month at the annual meeting of the Seismological Society of America in San Diego. The paper will directly link an “unprecedented” increase in frequency and magnitude of earthquakes to drilling for oil and gas. This link is not a new one. The USGS already linked about 50 earthquakes in Oklahoma due to fracking. Their investigation found that the earthquakes had a magnitude ranging from 1.0 to 2.8. In January, a single earthquake of the magnitude of 4.0 was strong enough that it was felt in Toronto. The bulk of these occurred within 2.1 miles of Eola Field, a fracking operation in southern Garvin County. From the report: Our analysis showed that shortly after hydraulic fracturing began small earthquakes started occurring, and more than 50 were identified, of which 43 were large enough to be located. Most of these earthquakes occurred within a 24 hour period after hydraulic fracturing operations had ceased. There have been previous cases where seismologists have suggested a link between hydraulic fracturing and earthquakes, but data was limited, so drawing a definitive conclusion was not possible for these cases...read more

 

TECH DISASTERS- OVERVOLTAGES/ NUCLEAR POWER STATIONS

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120402 reports by: http://thewatcher  

Nuclear event – Nuclear power plant Penly in France automatically shut down after detection of smoke

Penly Nuclear power station (French: Centrale nucléaire de Penly) located 6 miles (9.7 km) northeast of Dieppe, Normandy, France was automatically shut down on April 5, 2012 at 11:20 UTC. Operating company EdF reported two small oil fires inside the reactor building from a leaking oil pipe. This is third nuclear event in less than 24 hours. The detection of smoke caused nuclear reactor 2 to automatically shut down. EdF spokeswoman said there was no injuries and no impact on the environment. By late afternoon, a defect was identified on a joint of one of the four cooling pumps of the nuclear reactor 2, causing a leak of radioactive water collected in tanks designed for this purpose. By lowering the pressure and temperature of the primary circuit, the Central teams were able to reduce dramatically the water leak, which will ultimately lead to the start of construction expertise and repair the pump. This event has been classified as level 1 on the INES scale, international classification ofnuclear events, which has seven levels..read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:F- C

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: D >Cand F > A

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

06- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

US PACIFIC COAST CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  

07- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

CME ARIVAL/ LATENCY?  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

CENTR. EUROPE/AFRICA

 

08- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS

EURASIA

US PACIFIC COAST  

M 5.5- 7.5

2-3  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    28/12 APR-06 1-2  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

    29/12 APR 07-08 2  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120405 28/12 (1/ 2) 130 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120404  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

28/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

39

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

302-360

FLARES

C

 

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

97

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.6

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 125 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 512 T.EQU. GROWING APR- 05 APR 09    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
 

11448

faded

17° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11450

47° - 61° W

16° N

 

 

        N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11451

27° - 41° W

18° N

 

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11452

10° -24° W

17° N

 

APRIL- 06

                 
 

11453

faded

17° S

 

 

               
                           
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

05

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 4.9 - TIMOR REGION, INDONESIA - 2012-04-05 01:44 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARMs/ EASTERN TURKE/ NEAR city of VAN APR-05 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 23 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.5 - EASTERN TURKEY - 2012-04-05 15:02 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE APR-05 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 01 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 2.1 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-04-05 11:59 UTC  
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
                        20120403 reports by: .bbc.co.uk  

Buenos Aires hit by deadly storm

At least 14 people have been killed in severe storms in Argentina. Most of the victims died in the province of Buenos Aires, where winds reached speeds of more than 100km (60 miles) an hour, toppling trees and causing roofs to cave in. A teenager was electrocuted in the city of Santa Fe, in the north-east, when he stepped on a downed power cable. Many neighbourhoods in the capital, Buenos Aires, were left without power as cables snapped in the strong winds. Residents said unseasonably hot and humid weather gave way to the violent storm....read more...

 
                               

CLIMATE CHANGE

 

               
                        20120405 reports by: heraldsun.com.  

Vast ice shelf in Antarctic has shrunk by 85pc since 1995

A VAST ice shelf in the Antarctic peninsula, a hotspot for global warming, has shrunk by 85 per cent in 17 years, the European Space Agency (ESA) says. Images taken by its Envisat satellite show that the so-called Larsen B ice shelf decreased from 11,512 square kilometres in 1995 to only 1670 sq km today. Larsen B is one of three ice shelves that run from north to south along the eastern side of the peninsula, the tongue of land that projects towards South America. From 1995 to 2002, Larsen B experienced several calving events in which parts of the shelf broke away. It had a major break-up in 2002 when half of the remainder disintegrated. Larsen A broke up in January 1995....read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:F- D

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: B>C and F > A

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

05- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

US PACIFIC COAST SOUTH AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

CME ARRIVAL  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA CENTRAL AMERICA  

06- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

CENTR. EUROPE/AFRICA

 

07- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

US PACIFIC COAST  

M 5.5- 7.5

12-3  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

  28/12 (2)   9:00 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

arrival of 2 CME

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    28/12 APR-06 1-2  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

    29/12 APR 07-08 2  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120330 26/12 (2) 135 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      

SATELLITE IMAGES

APRIL 05 2012          

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

20120405/ 21:54 201120405/ 23:54 UTC 20120406/ 00:18 UTC 20120405/ 20:59 UTC            
AR 11450 21:10*  

A significant CME was observed on April 05 after 21:00 UTC inAR 11450, currently the largest active region on this visible Sun disc. (AR 11450 likely emerged from what was AR11429 during the rotation period before). I will try to track the next months, whether (what is now) AR 11450 is one of PERMANENT active Sun spot regions on the Sun. Most interestingly - and visible on animated STEREO images- all recent eruptions on the magnetic filament East if in 11450(all connected to AR 11451 were associated to stronger events on the DIAMETRAL OPPOSITE SIDE of the Sun( currently the backside)

 
TRACKING NUMBER 29/12    

SUN COORDINATES:

   
NORTH EAST QUADRANT    

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   

magnetic filament

C 1.5    

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

LIBRA (1) STEREO- Ahead " (2) STEREO "Behind " (3) SoHO/ LASCO C3 (4) SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated):

APR 07-08        
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

28/12 (2)

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING > ACE (Mag) GOEShp   UTC/ long. < IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
APRIL 05- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

  first solar wind shock(UTC):  

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE REL. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  

> arrived on APR 04>

11450

54°-40° E

18° N

MAR 02/appr. 4.00-     APR 04           CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA  
 

11450

54°-40° E

18° N

MAR 02/appr. 16.00- CME LDE filament eruption   APR 05/ 9:00 UTC   13:30- 01:00 (APR-06) 19- 21 UTC 128 nT 168 WEST PACIFIC COAST  
 

 

PEAKS: 14- 20 UTC     PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS> CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA  
                    internal value      
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120404  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

28/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

39

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

281-366

FLARES

C

03

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

100

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.0

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

18

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

27- 130 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 512 T.EQU. GROWING APR- 05 APR 09    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
 

11448

 

17° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11450

33° - 47° W

16° N

 

21:00 UTC   APR- 07/08   N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11451

07° - 21° W

18° N

 

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11452

05°E - 09° W

17° N

 

APRIL- 06

                 
 

11453

41°- 55° W

17° S

 

 

               
                           
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

04

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.3 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2012-04-04 20:27 UTC    
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  ASKJA 65°2'0"N/ 16°45'0"W APRIL- 04- 2012 PENDING vedur.is ASKJA none EUROPE

various

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120403 report by: volcanodiscovery  

Askja volcano (central Iceland): caldera lake ice-free, unusually high water temperatures

Some news has appeared about a sudden warming of the Askja volcano caldera lake. It seems that a melt of ice in the caldera lake started in the beginning of March and by the end of March, the lake was completely ice free. This is highly unusual and it is not known to have happened before. Such increase in hydrothermal activity is probably caused by a heat source at the bottom of the lake, although so far, there are no other changes visible around Lake Askja. Hydrothermal areas around Askja are active recent reports confirm. Whether the raised temperature of Askja lake is a precursor to a new eruption in the foreseeable future is speculation at this point....read more

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120403 report by: GVP  

Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report28 March-3 April 2012

New Activity/Unrest: | Cleveland, Chuginadak Island | Fuego, Guatemala | Iliamna, Southwestern Alaska |Lewotobi, Flores Island (Indonesia) | Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia | Soufrière Hills, Montserrat | Sundoro, Central Java (Indonesia) 
Ongoing Activity: | Etna, Sicily (Italy) | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) |Popocatépetl, México | Puyehue-Cordón Caulle, Central Chile | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) |Tengger Caldera, Eastern Java (Indonesia) | Tungurahua, Ecuador

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
                        20120403 reports by: wunderground.com/blog  
 

At least three tornadoes have ripped through the Dallas metro area this afternoon, one passing between Dallas and Fort Worth, bearing down on the Dallas-Fort Worth airport but narrowly missing to the east. The other two tornadoes passed east of Dallas, one touching down near the town of Forney, where there were reports of impacts to the high school. The DFW airport issued a ground stop for all incoming flights and grounded all planes at their airports, and a spokesman said they were sheltering passengers. The airport is now closed while they inspect the planes for hail damage, and can accept no incoming flights for lack of a place to put them....read more...

 
                        20120404 reports by: .bbc.co.uk  

Four killed as powerful storm hits Japan.

A typhoon-strength storm in Japan has left at least four people dead and dozens injured. Strong winds and rain hit the country on Tuesday in what was said to be the biggest storm in decades. In the north, mobile phone networks were cut off and flights and trains disrupted. Weather officials are warning those on the central Sea of Japan coast and in the north to remain alert for gusts and high waves. The storm hit Japan's main island of Honshu and parts of Hokkaido in the north, with gales of 156 km/hour (97mph) recorded....read more...

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120402 reports by: offshore-technology  

from: Elgin-Franklin Offshore Field, North Sea, United Kingdom, by: offshore-technology.com

Elgin-Franklin reserves offshore reserves Reserves are estimated to be approximately 60 million cubic metres of condensate and 50 billion cubic metres of gas. First production from these two adjacent gas fields was brought on-stream in March 2000 and this is expected to continue until 2022.

Largest high-pressure / high-temperature development: Elgin-Franklin is the world's largest high-pressure / high-temperature (HP / HT) development. Due to the extreme reservoir conditions - an initial pressure of approximately 1,100bar and temperatures of 190°C and complex geological structures - the fields pose a considerable development. challenge In 2003, a new, record-breaking well was developed from the Elgin-Franklin platform to the West Franklin reservoir, which is the hottest, highest-pressure reservoir in the world. The well was drilled to a depth of 6,100m and stepped out 1.5km to tap an accumulation with a temperature of 197°C and a pressure of 1,155bar...read more...

 
  click here for the TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE information website on the incident > click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr GREENPEACE.DE/ Elgin Wellhead  
     

NUCLEAR

                         
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120402 reports by: .bbc.co.uk  

RWE and E.On halt UK nuclear plans at Wylfa and Oldbury

There has been a setback to the government's plan to attract investment in new nuclear power stations. Two key players, RWE Npower and E.On, have announced they will not develop new nuclear power projects in the UK. The two were planning to invest in new plants in Anglesey and Oldbury-on-Severn, near Bristol, under a joint venture called Horizon Nuclear Power. The government says it is disappointed but there remains "considerable interest" in the project. The firms blamed problems raising finance for power projects and costs associated with decommissioning nuclear power plants in Germany....read more...

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:F- D

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: C > D and F > A

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

04- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC

CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

WEAK CME ARRIVAL?  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  

05- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

CENTRAL EUROPE

 

06- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

AFRICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

  28/12 11:00 (peaks) 6:00 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    28/12 APR- 04 WEAK  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

         

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120330 26/12 (2) 135 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      

SATELLITE IMAGES

  2012          

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

20120404/ 11:54 UTC     20120404/04:00 UTC            
         

.

 
TRACKING NUMBER    

The long duration filament activity between AR 11451 and AR 11450 continued on April 04 with magnetic eruptions that peaked at 4:00 UTC . AR 11450 is identical with AR 11429 observed during the last rotation and is the most active region I have observed in 2 years since beginning this documentary. The CME will be further tracked if a portion of it should arrive some time on April 06- 07

 

SUN COORDINATES:

   
NORTH EAST QUADRANT    

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   
         

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

  (1) STEREO- Ahead " (2) STEREO "Ahead " (3) SoHO/ LASCO C3 (4) SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated):

         
                           

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

28/12 (1)

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING > ACE (Mag) GOEShp   UTC/ long. < IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
APRIL 04- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

  first solar wind shock(UTC):  

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE EST. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  
ongoing CME impact ( MINOR- 1-2

11450

54°-40° E

18° N

MAR 02/appr. 4.00- CME LDE filament eruption 02 UTC? APR-04/6:00 UTC   12- 22 UTC 13-20:00 UTC 125 nT   CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA  
 

11450

54°-40° E

18° N

MAR 02/appr. 16.00- CME LDE filament eruption   APR 05/ 9:00 UTC   see APR 05       WEST PACIFIC COAST  
 

 

PEAKS: 1100/ 17:00 UTC ongoing   PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS> CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA  
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120404  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

28/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

60

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

275-341

FLARES

C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

102

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.5

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

49- 130 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 512 T.EQU. GROWING APR- 05 APR 09    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
rotating out

11445

86 -100° W

23° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11448

34 - 48° W

17° S

 

 

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11450

19° - 33° W

16° N

 

 

    SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11451

03° E- 11° W

18° N

 

APRIL- 05

               
 

11452

19° - 05° E

17° N

 

APRIL- 06

             
 

11453

   

 

 

             
                           
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

03

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.7 - KEPULAUAN KAI, INDONESIA - 2012-04-03 23:42 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARMS CANARY ISLANDS APR-03 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 02 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 2.5 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2012-04-03 06:55 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE APR-03 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 03 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.0 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-04-03 02:18 UTC  
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
                  GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120403 report by: volcanodiscovery.  

Ambrym volcano (Vanuatu) activity update: lava lakes still active

Ambrym (Vanuatu) is showing signs of activity. After a longer period of silence on Modvolc, a strong thermal signal is again visible at Marum and Benbow craters on the MODIS Global Hot Spot monitoring tool from the University of Hawaii (ModVolc). It is difficult to obtain reliable information about the lava lakes of Ambrym during cyclone season (November until March). ...read more...

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
                               

DOLPHIN/ WHALE BEACHINGS

                         
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120403 reports by: thinkprogress.org  

April 3 News: Massive Dolphin Die-Offs In Gulf Of Mexico Have Researchers Looking At Link To BP Oil Spill

The dolphins in the Gulf of Mexico are in the midst of a massive die-off. The reasons why remain a complicated and mysterious mix of oil, bacteria, and the unknown. Normally an average of 74 dolphins are stranded on the northern shore of the Gulf of Mexico each year, especially during the spring birthing season. But between February 2010 and April 1, 2012, 714 dolphins and other cetaceans have been reported as washed up on the coast from the Louisiana/Texas border through Franklin County, Florida, reported the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). 95 percent of the mammals were dead. ...read more...

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120402 reports by: Greenpeace.de  

( sorry - no report found in English!)

TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE has established an information website on the course of the incident. > click here to see their latest update,

> click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr

 
     

OUTER SPACE

                         
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120402 reports by: science.nasa.gov  

Venus Invades the Pleiades

April 2, 2012:  Watch out Seven Sisters, Venus is coming. This week the second planet from the sun will pass directly in front of the Pleiades star cluster. It's a rare sunset conjunction that's easy to find with the unaided eye, but best seen through binoculars or a small telescope. The action begins on Monday evening, April 2nd, when Venus enters the outskirts of the little dipper-shaped asterism. Look west at sunset for Venus--it's the brightest thing around--then scan the area using binoculars. The conjunction will be immediately clear. The best evening to look is Tuesday, April 3rd, when the brilliant planet glides just south of the dipper's bowl ....read more...

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D <CME IMPACT REGIONS*> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

03- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC

CENTRAL AMERICA/ NASCA  

M 5.5- 6.0

1- 2  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA

AMERICAS PACIFIC (COAST)  

04- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

WEAK CME ARRIVAL?  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

 

 

05- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    28/12 APR- 04 WEAK  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

         

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120330 26/12 (2) 135 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      

SATELLITE IMAGES

APRIL- 02 2012      

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

20120403/ 15:57 UTC        
         
TRACKING NUMBER    

SUN COORDINATES:

 
NORTH EAST QUADRANT  

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 
     

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

  (4) SDO /AIA( comp. (2) STEREO "Ahead " (3) SoHO/ LASCO C3  

ARRIVAL (estimated):

            ELGIN WELLHEAD/ Animation of Total's gas leak in North Sea  
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120331  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

26/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

74

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

276-342

FLARES

C

    :    
SOLAR FLUX

103

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.2

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

45- 105 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 510

30-60° N

  MAR 28 MAR-30    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 511 00° CLOSED MAR 31 MAR 31    
 

11445

73 -87° W

23° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11448

23 - 37° W

17° S

 

APRIL- 01

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11450

04° - 19° W

16° N

 

APRIL- 03

    SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11451

17°- 03° E

18° N

 

APRIL- 04

               
 

11452

33° - 19° E

17° N

 

APRIL- 06

             
 

11453

10° - 24 ° W

17° S

 

 

             
                           
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

02

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.1 - GUERRERO, MEXICO - 2012-04-02 17:36 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 GUERRERO, MEXICO 16.60 N ; 98.30 W 2012-04-02 17:36 UTC M 6.1 10 km     --  
EUROPE : > M 5:0                  

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE APR-02 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 01 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 2.4 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-04-02 13:43 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ GUERRERO/ OAXACA- MEXICO APR-02 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 05 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 5.0 - OAXACA, MEXICO - 2012-04-02 23:55 UTC  
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
                  GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by:    

 

   
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

 

            www. wunderground.com  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK EMERGED ON: DIRECTION WIND SPEED: COORDINATES GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ COURSE /RMARKS   MEDIA REPORTS  
wunderground.com

TS PAKHAR

MAR- 30

NW

40 MP/H

 11.5N  

106.7E

near the coast of SOUTHERN VIETNAM

     
wunderground.com Tropical Cyclone Daphne

APR.- 01

SE

40 MPH

19.8S

172.7E

SOUTH PACIFIC/ near VANUATU/ FIJI      
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: .heraldsun.com.au  

 

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120402 reports by: Greenpeace.de  

Elgin-Unfall: Feiner Ölfilm auf dem Wasser: Das Öl treibt an der Oberfläche der Nordsee. Es ist ein feiner Ölfilm, der mit gelben butterartigen Flocken durchsetzt ist. Von diesen Flocken war in den Mitteilungen des Ölkonzerns Total bisher keine Rede und ich bin gespannt, was die Analysen an Land ergeben werden. Das Labor wird außerdem fünf Säcke mit Luft bekommen, die wir am Morgen im Leeder Plattform gefüllt haben. Jeder Sack ist mit Uhrzeit und genauer Position der Probenahme beschriftet, so dass sich anschließend hoffentlich Rückschlüsse auf die Größe der Gaswolke ziehen lassen, die von der Plattform zu uns herüberweht....lesen Sie mehr im blog.greenpeace.de


( sorry - no report found in English!)

TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE has established an information website on the course of the incident. > click here to see their latest update,

> click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

MINOR 137 nT

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D <CME IMPACT REGIONS*> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

02- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC

CENTRAL AMERICA/ NASCA  

M 5.5- 7.0

1- 2  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA

AMERICAS PACIFIC (COAST)  

03- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

 

 

04- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

  27/12 4:10 UTC 4:30 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    28/12 APR- 04 WEAK  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

         

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120330 26/12 (2) 135 nT            
    * ESTIMATED      

SATELLITE IMAGES

APRIL- 02 2012          

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

20120302/ 04:24 UTC 20120402/ 04:25 UTC 20120402/ 07:42 UTC              
11450 4.00 / 16:00 UTC malefunction  

.

 
TRACKING NUMBER 28/12(1,2)  

a minor CME was observed today early after midnight near AR 11450 on the quadrant. The first obviously xtreme fast event (allthough measured as a C class even), left a data gap on GOES x ray data but likely continued then until 16:00 UTC when SDO suffered a data blackout- likely by s x- ray y emissions of the CME itself and no mor by the eruption). This is an indicator that this faint CME might by more geoeffective than the C class event lets assume. Parts of it might reach Earth on April 04- 05.

 

SUN COORDINATES:

   
2 CMEs duringLDE filament eruption    

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   
filament LDE C    

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

VIRGO (1) STEREO- Ahead " (2) STEREO "Ahead " (3) SoHO/ LASCO C3 (4) SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated):

APR-04        
                           

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

27/12

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING > ACE (Mag) GOEShp  

20120226

< IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
APRIL 02- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

     

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE EST. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  

not noticable

11450

53° E

19° N

MARCH- 30-2012/ 14:29 UTC

eruptive prominence

4:10 UTC

4:30 UTC

 

ongoing

unacountable

not effective  
 

 

PEAKS: 8:00- 13:50 UTC     PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS>    
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120331  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

26/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

67

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

279-354

FLARES

C

    :    
SOLAR FLUX

105

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.9

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

11

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

45- 105 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 510

30-60° N

RECURR: MAR 28 MAR-30    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 511 00° GROWING MAR 31 MAR 31    
 

11445

58 -72° W

23° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11448

06 - 20° W

17° S

 

APRIL- 01

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11449

73°- 87° W

18° S

 

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11450

09° E - 05° W

16° N

C flare LDE filament eruption

APRIL- 03

4:00 UTC VIRGO MAR-04              
 

11451

54°-40° E

18° N

 

APRIL- 04

               
NEWLY EMERGED>

11452

48° - 34° E

17° N

 

APRIL- 06

               
NEWLY EMERGED>

11453

03°E -11 ° W

17° S

 

 

               
                           
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

01

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.8 - EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN - 2012-04-01 14:04 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/CANARY ISLANDS/ APR-02 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 01 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 2.7 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2012-04-01 22:03 UTC  
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  

PAGAN 18°8'0"N/ 145°48'0"E MARCH-30- 2012   USGS PAGAN none JAPAN GVP  

Clear-to-partly-cloudy satellite images of Pagan showed a gas-and-steam plume extending downwind from the summit vent during 30 March-6 April. The Aviation Color Code remained at Yellow and the Volcano Alert Levelremained at Advisory. According to the Washington VAAC a pilot observed a plume containing a small amount ofash that rose to an altitude below 1.5 km (5,000 ft) a.s.l. on 7 April. Satellite imagery showed a gas-and-steam plume, with possible ash content, drifting 204 km SSW.

 
                               
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  ETNA- SICIL/ ITALY 37°44'3"N/ 15°0'16"E APRIL- 01- 2012   INGV-CT ETNA EUR GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS

Sezione di Catania - Osservatorio Etneo reported that the twenty-third paroxysmal eruptive episode since January 2011 took place at New SE Crater (New SEC) of Etna during the morning of 1 April following two weeks of quiescence. The episode was characterized by tall lava fountains from vents within the crater and on the SE flank of its cone, a gas-and-tephra plume, and lava flows descending toward the Valle del Bove. The paroxysmal phase lasted about 1.5 hours and ended just before daybreak. Ash and lapilli fell over the SE sector of the volcano, affecting mainly the area between Monterosso and Zafferana Etnea, but also the area between Acireale and Giarre, further downslope

 
                      201203xx report by: itn.co.uk  

Mount Etna spews fiery lava for the fifth time this year

Europe's tallest and most active volcano, Mount Etna, has erupted for the fifth time in 2012, spewing hot lava and ash in the early hours of Sunday. The lava, which could be seen moving down the mountain's side just after 4am local time, continued to spew until around 5.30am, according to local news reports. Ash from the eruption landed on the villages at the foot of the volcano, however no damage was reported and nearby airports remained open.http://w...read more...

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

 

            www. wunderground.com  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK EMERGED ON: DIRECTION WIND SPEED: COORDINATES GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ COURSE /RMARKS   MEDIA REPORTS  
wunderground.com

TS PAKHAR

MAR- 30

WEST

45 MP/H

 9.8N

108.9E 9

near the coast of VIETNAM

     
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: .heraldsun.com.au  

Fiji floods forces 7000 evacuations

NEARLY 7000 people have been displaced in flood-stricken Fiji, with conditions set to worsen. Two people have died in the floods, which have damaged homes and forced nearly 7000 people into evacuation centres. Fiji officials are considering declaring a state of emergency. A severe flooding warning remained in place with heavy rain and squally thunderstorms forecast to hit the island group on Sunday, the Fiji Village website reported. Heavy rain continued in Nadi, which was under about 1.8m of water, with levels still rising. The town of Ba was similarly inundated. On Sunday morning there were 6800 evacuees in 56 evacuation centres in Fiji's Western Division, the website reported....read more...

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120328 reports by: Greenpeace.de  

( sorry - no report found in English!) Knapp eine Woche nach Entdeckung des Gaslecks an der Erdgas-Plattform Elgin in der Nordsee haben sich am Samstag Greenpeace-Experten aus Cuxhaven auf den Weg gemacht, um sich vor Ort selbst ein Bild zu machen. Unterdessen hat die Betreiberfirma Total erklärt, dass eine zuletzt noch brennende Fackel auf der Plattform von selbst erloschen sei. Es war befürchtet worden, dass die austretende Gaswolke an der Fackel, die normalerweise überschüssiges Gas verbrennt, explodieren könnte.

Die Greenpeace-Experten wollen in der Nordsee konkrete Informationen zur Lage einholen: Anhand von Luftmessungen und der Entnahme von Wasser- und Bodenproben wollen sie die Belastung der Umwelt dokumentieren. Mithilfe einer Infrarotkamera soll außerdem geprüft werden, ob die Angaben von Total zur undichten Stelle auf der Plattform stimmen. ...read more at Greenpeace.de...

TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE has established an information website on the course of the incident. > click here to see their latest update,

> click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

MINOR 137 nT

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D <CME IMPACT REGIONS*> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

01- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC

CENTRAL AMERICA/ NASCA  

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA

AMERICAS PACIFIC (COAST)  

02- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

1- 2  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

 

 

03- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
        *REGIONS> see definition below              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ERUPTION ARRIVAL*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    27/ 12 MAR- 30 APR 01/02  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

         

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120330 26/12 (2) 135 nT            
    * ESTIMATED      
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120331  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

26/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

50

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

309-357

FLARES

C

    :    
SOLAR FLUX

107

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.9

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

09

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

76- 110 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH     APRIL 03    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 510

30-60° N

RECURR: MAR 28 MAR-30    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 511 00° GROWING MAR 31 MAR 31    
 

11443

72 - 86° W

16° S

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11445

45 - 59° W

23° S

 

 

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11448

17 - 03° E

17° S

 

APRIL- 01

    SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11449

59°- 73° W

18° S

 

 

               
NEWLY EMERGED>

11450

23° - 37° E

16° N

 

APRIL- 03

             
NEWLY EMERGED>

11451

40°- 54° E

18° N

 

APRIL- 04

             
                           
REMARKS >    
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
click here to open and close collapsible panel: archive of solar and terrestrial blog/ April 08-14- 2012
/ eruptive proinence / eruptive proinence

 

 

                     

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

14

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.3 - VANUATU - 2012-04-14 22:05 UTC          
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 VANUATU   2012-04-14 22:05 UTC M 6.3          

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
RINCON DE LA VIEJA 10°49'48"N/ 85°19'26"W APRIL- 14   (OVSICORI-UNA) RINCON DE LA VIEJA none CENTRAM GVP  

OVSICORI-UNA reported that a small phreatic eruption occurred within and around the hot acidic lake of Rincon de la Vieja at 1400 on 14 April. Observers from nearby communities N of the volcano reported some sediment deposition along the outer N flanks of the main active crater and a white steam plume rising to a considerable height above the crater.

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

          www. wunderground.com  
                        20120403 reports by: spc.noaa.gov  

Apr 14, 2012 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (NOAA):

SPC AC 140543 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1243 AM CDT SAT APR 14 2012 VALID 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA AND PARTS OF ADJACENT NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS/WESTERN IA... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA...WESTERN IOWA...NORTHWEST MISSOURI...CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS...AND PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS.....read more

 
             

           
                         

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

   

>

       
               

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS: C - E

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: C ><B

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     
 

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

 

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

14- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC AMERICA- WEST COASTS  

M 5.5- >7.5

2-3  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

ENTIRE AMERICA EAST PACIFIC  

15- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

EASTERN PACIFIC

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA >< INDO/AUS

 

16- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS

 

REGIONS F >< A

 

M 5.5- 6.5

2-3  
        *REGIONS> see definition below        

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
           

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

           

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE G 1

SCALE (NOAA)

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120412 31/12 135 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          

SATELLITE IMAGES

  2012          

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

20120414/ 10:24 UTC 20120414/ 12:54 UTC   20120414/ 07:45 UTC            
       

.

 
TRACKING NUMBER    

< For some days, the Sun was very quiet. New active spotterd regions began to form out during the last two days and a minor flare was observed today- in the currently largest AR 11455 and a small filament activity near CH 512 (4) released a portion of sun wind after 7: 45 .

 

SUN COORDINATES:

   
       

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   
         

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

  (1) STEREO- Ahead " (2) STEREO Behind " (3) SoHO / LASCO C3 (4) SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated):

         
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> EASTERN EURASIA, E AFRICA . INDONESIA /INDIAN OCEAN CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN USA- CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> AFRICA(E)>< EURASIA>< ARABIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC (E) NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/WESTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA >< EURASIA / ARABIA >< AFRICA 20120412  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9>> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12>>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>>UTC- 9 UTC>>UTC- 4 UTC+ 4>>>UTC

CME Nr.:

 

LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

31/12

 
             

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info        

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:        
SUNSPOT NUMBER

65

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

537-586

FLARES

C

 

     
SOLAR FLUX

98

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.5

 

M

    NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:  
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

16

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

62- 105 nT

 

X

       

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:

     

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

  CORONAL HOLES:      
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
       

 

 

        CH 512 T.EQU. RECURR. APR- 05 APR 09    
 

11454

13°E -01° W

13° S

 

 

        CH 513 T.UQU. RECURR. APR- 10 APR- 13    
 

11455

33°- 47° W

07° N

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11457

27°- 13° E

22° N

 

 

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
NEWLY EMERGED

11458

69°- 55° E

07° N

 

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
NEWLY EMERGED

11459

80° - 66 ° E

16° S

               
                             
REMARKS >    

 

 

                     

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

13

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.7 - OAXACA, MEXICO - 2012-04-13 10:10 UTC          
     

CLIMATE/ WEATHER CHANGES/ Sun activity

                20120410 reports by: motherjones.com  

MAPS: March Was an Epically Weird Weather Month

March was a whole new breed of insane for the record books according to NOAA's State of the Climate report for the month. First up, the mega tornado outbreak early in the month spawned 2012's first billion-dollar disaster, as warmer-than-average conditions created a juicy environment for severe weather. There were 223 preliminary tornado reports in March, a month that averages 80 tornadoes. The majority occurred during the 2-3 March outbreak across the Ohio Valley and the Southeast. Forty people died and damages exceeded $1.5 billion. Other March *highlights:* It was the warmest March on record for the contiguous United States, a record that dates back to 1895....read.more

 

CLIMATE/ WEATHER CHANGES/Sun activity

                20120410 reports by: .heraldsun.com.au  

Sea level ‘rising fastest in SW Pacific'

SOUTHERN Australia and nearby Pacific nations are likely to be the most seriously affected in the world by the continuing rise in sea levels, according to new research. Since the late 19th century the sea level in the southwest Pacific has risen about 20 centimetres with the fastest rate occurring in the early decades of the 20th century, says Dr Patrick Moss of the University of Queensland. Sea levels around the world rose at an average rate of 1.5 millimetres a year since 1880, but studies of tidal marshes in Tasmania show a rise of 4.2mm a year between 1900 and 1950....read more...

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

          www. wunderground.com  
                        20120413 reports by: .msnbc.msn.com  

Tornado hits Norman, Okla.; more severe weather forecast for weekend

By msnbc.com news services Updated at 11:55 p.m. ET: Forecasters are warning of a major tornado outbreak in Kansas and Oklahoma this weekend, with Oklahoma getting a first taste of it on Friday with a tornado touching down near the National Weather Service office in Norman. A tornado touched down near the University of Oklahoma campus in Norman just after 4 p.m. local time - the same town that holds the National Storm Prediction Center, the National Weather Service confirmed. An operator at the University of Oklahoma said people had been warned to get to a basement or low floor. "I was watching this tornado on TV, which was neat until I realized it was right here in Norman," said the operator, who did not give a name....read more...

 
             

           
                         

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

   

>

       
               

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS: C - E

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: C ><B

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

 

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

13- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC AMERICA- WEST COASTS  

M 5.5- >7.5

2-3  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

ENTIRE AMERICA EAST PACIFIC  

14- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

EASTERN PACIFIC

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- >7.5

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA >< INDO/AUS

 

15- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS

 

REGIONS F >< A

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  
        *REGIONS> see definition below        

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
           

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

           

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

G 1 G 1

SCALE (NOAA)

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120412 31/12 135 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> EASTERN EURASIA, E AFRICA . INDONESIA /INDIAN OCEAN CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN USA- CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> AFRICA(E)>< EURASIA>< ARABIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC (E) NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/WESTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA >< EURASIA / ARABIA >< AFRICA 20120412  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9>> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12>>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>>UTC- 9 UTC>>UTC- 4 UTC+ 4>>>UTC

CME Nr.:

 

LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

31/12

 
             

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info        

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:        
SUNSPOT NUMBER

50

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

530-687

FLARES

C

 

     
SOLAR FLUX

97

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.5

 

M

    NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:  
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

26

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

25- 105 nT

 

X

       

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:

     

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

  CORONAL HOLES:      
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
       

 

 

        CH 512 T.EQU. RECURR. APR- 05 APR 09    
 

11454

27° - 13° E

13° S

 

 

        CH 513 T.UQU. RECURR. APR- 10 APR- 13    
 

11455

18°- 33° W

07° N

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11456

faded

19° S

 

 

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
NEWLY EMERGED

11457

44°- 30° E

22° N

 

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
                             
REMARKS >    

 

 

                     

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

12

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.9 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA - 2012-04-12 07:15 UTC          
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 GULF OF CALIFORNIA 28.70 N ; 113.10 W 2012-04-12 07:15 UTC M 6.9 10 km unknown      
  - BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO - 28.78 N ; 113.28 W 2012-04-12 07:05 UTC M 6.2 2 km unknown      

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  ETNA 37°44'3"N/ 15°0'16"E APRIL- 12- 2012   INGV-CT ETNA EUROPE GVP  
 

Sezione di Catania - Osservatorio Etneo reported that the twenty-fourth paroxysmal eruptive episode since January 2011 took place at New SE Crater (New SEC) of Etna during the morning of 12 April following about 10 days of quiescence. The episode was characterized by lava fountains, emissions of ash and lapilli, and lava flows that descended the Valle del Bove and explosively interacted with snow cover.

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120412 report by: volcanodiscovery  

Etna volcano - current activity: new paroxysm at NSEC on 12 April

Update Thu 12 Apr 17:44 The eruption is more or less over. Some sporadic ash emissions and the still active lava flow descending into Valle del Bove are all what is left of one of the probably most violent recent paroxysms of Etna. Correspondingly, the tremor signal has dropped sharply back down....read more...

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120410 report by: GVP  

Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

4 April-10 April 2012

New Activity/Unrest: | Cleveland, Chuginadak Island | Fuego, Guatemala | Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia |Soufrière Hills, Montserrat 
Ongoing Activity: | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) | Pagan, Mariana Islands | Puyehue-Cordón Caulle, Central Chile | Ranakah, Flores Island (Indonesia) | Santa María, Guatemala | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) | Tambora, Sumbawa Island (Indonesia) |Tungurahua, Ecuador

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

        www. wunderground.com  
             

           
                         

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

   

>

       
                   

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS: C - E

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: C ><B

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

 

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

12- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC AMERICA- WEST COASTS  

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

ENTIRE AMERICA EAST PACIFIC  

13- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

EASTERN PACIFIC

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- >7.5

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA >< INDO/AUS

 

14- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

 

REGIONS F >< A

 

M 5.5- >7.5

2-3  
        *REGIONS> see definition below        

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

  31/12 04:00 UTC 10:00 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    31/12 APR- 11-12 2  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

           

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

G 1

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120405 28/12 (1/ 2) 130 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

31/12

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING > ACE (Mag) GOEShp   UTC/ long. < IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
APRIL 12- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

  first solar wind shock(UTC):  

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE EST. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  
 

11450/51

75- 90° W

N 14 APRIL- 09- 2012/ 13: 54 UTC LDE eruptive prominence 04- 08 UTC 10:00   12- 24:00 UTC 15- 20 UTC 137 222 REGIONS D and E  
 

 

PEAKS:   ongoing   PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS> USA WEST- CNTR. PACIFIC  
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> EASTERN EURASIA, E AFRICA . INDONESIA /INDIAN OCEAN CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN USA- CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> AFRICA(E)>< EURASIA>< ARABIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC (E) NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/WESTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA >< EURASIA / ARABIA >< AFRICA 20120412  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9>> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12>>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>>UTC- 9 UTC>>UTC- 4 UTC+ 4>>>UTC

CME Nr.:

 

LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

31/12

 
             

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info   CH 513 on 20120412    

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:      
SUNSPOT NUMBER

50

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

297-626

FLARES

C

 

     
SOLAR FLUX

95

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.2

 

M

    NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:  
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

19

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

35- 137 nT

 

X

       

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:

     

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

  STAR MAP by: solen.info      
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
       

 

 

        CH 512 T.EQU. RECURR. APR- 05 APR 09    
 

11454

41° - 27° E

13° S

 

 

        CH 513 T.UQU. RECURR. APR- 10 APR- 13    
 

11455

05°- 19° W

07° N

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11456

17°- 31° W

19° S

 

 

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
         

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
                             
REMARKS >    

 

 

                     

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

11

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 8.7 - OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA - 2012-04-11 08:38 UTC        
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 - MICHOACAN, MEXICO - 18.50 N ; 102.65 W 2012-04-11 22:55 UTC M 7.0 80 km 2   --  
  - OFF COAST OF OREGON - 43.62 N ; 127.55 W 2012-04-11 22:41 UTC M 6.0 20 km unknown      
                    click on the underlining links to see all specific reports:  

SEAQUAKE AND TSUNAMI

TSUNAMI STATUS:

14:30 UTC>
CANCELLED
      20120411 report by: NOAA USGS  
DATE
UTC INITIAL SEA QUAKE MAGNITUDE DEPTH COORDINATES NOAA TSUNAMI WARNING ISSUED: CANCELLED REGIONS  
08:38 OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA M 8.7 10 km 2.34 N ; 93.16 E 11 Apr 2012 WATCH 11:51 UTC 13:18 UTC ALL INDIAN OCEAN  
09:27 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN - M 6.3 10 km 1.17 N ; 91.68 E            
10:43 - OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA - M 8.0 10 km 0.81 N ; 92.45 E            
   
EVALUATION A SIGNIFICANT TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED BY THIS EARTHQUAKE. HOWEVER...SEA LEVEL READINGS NOW INDICATE THAT THE THREAT HAS DIMINISHED OR IS OVER FOR MOST AREAS. THEREFORE THE TSUNAMI WATCH ISSUED BY THIS CENTER IS NOW CANCELLED. FOR ANY AFFECTED AREAS - WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES HAVE OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS AFTER THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS. AS LOCAL CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE....read all...  
EVALUATION: SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY ALREADY HAVE BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG SOME COASTS. BASED ON THESE DATA THE THREAT CONTINUES FOR ALL COASTAL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN. FOR THOSE AREAS - WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES HAVE OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS AFTER THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS. AS LOCAL CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIESP...read all...  

media reports

                      report by: 20120412 chicagotribune.com  

Indonesia quake a record, risks for Aceh grow

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The powerful undersea earthquake off the Indonesian island of Sumatra this week was a once in 2,000 years event, and although it resulted in only a few deaths, it increases the risks of a killer quake in the region, a leading seismologist said. Wednesday's 8.6 magnitude quake and a powerful aftershock were "strike-slip" quakes and the largest of that type recorded, Kerry Sieh, director of the Earth Observatory of Singapore, told Reuters."It's a really an exceptionally large and rare event," he said. "Besides it being the biggest strike-slip earthquake ever recorded, the aftershock is the second biggest as far as we can tell," said Sieh, who has studied the seismically active, and deadly, fault zones around Sumatra for years. Strike-slip quakes involve the horizontal movement of colliding earth plates, and are typically less powerful than those where there is vertical movement...read more...

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
                               

CLIMATE CHANGE- TECTONIC PLATES WARMING BY SUN ACTIVITIES?

          report by: 20120411 guardian.co.uk  

No more rain in UK? Drought in England: how is the water shortage affecting you?

With hosepipe bans now in effect for 20 million people in south-east England and fish being rescued as rivers dry up, the worst drought since 1976 is hitting home. Tell us how it's affecting your local area Open the map on Google and click edit. Search for your location and add a pin to the map. Edit the description of the pin to tell us more - if you need help adding a photo here's some instructions from Google...read more..

 
^surface temperatures(NASA)                   report by: 20120412 .mirror.co.uk  

Drought and floods fears: Experts warn of extreme weather shift Two unusually dry years have left large parts of England suffering from drought or dry conditions

The drought conditions gripping swathes of England could increase the risk of flash flooding in the face of heavy rain, the Environment Agency warned today. Two unusually dry years have left the whole of the South East, East Anglia and parts of Yorkshire in a state of drought, with parts of the South West and the Midlands also suffering from dry conditions. Seven water companies introduced hosepipe bans in a bid to conserve supplies in the face of low river, reservoir and groundwater levels - a move that was followed by widespread rain, which proved a welcome relief for gardeners...read more

 
^global fires (NASA)                    

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS: A- E

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: F ><A

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

   

11- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

INDONESIA INDONESIA  

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

INDIAN OCEAN EAST AFRICA  

12- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

EAST AFRICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

CME ARRIVAL/ LATENCY  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA

 

13- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

REGION "D"  

M 5.5-> 7.5

2-3  
        *REGIONS> see definition below     The large CH 512 might lead to SINKING TEMPERATURES from APR 08- 10  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
           

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

    31/12 APR- 11-12 2  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

APRIL- 12- 2012: a serial of extreme strong Earthquakes has occured around the PACIFIC OCEAN. The Earthquakes followed a longer period of smaller and larger SOLAR ERUPTIONS in AR 11450/51 that had ended on April 10. Intense SOLAR WIND STREAMS created a high GEOMAG field load and heated up tectonic plates . NEW STRONGER EARTHQUAKES HAVE TO BE EXPECTED FOR APRIL 13- 14- due to today`s CME impact

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
20120405 28/12 (1/ 2) 130 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
  * ESTIMATED      
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

   
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> EASTERN EURASIA, E AFRICA . INDONESIA /INDIAN OCEAN CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR DUE TO GEOMAG FIELD DENSITY  
RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> AFRICA(E)>< EURASIA>< ARABIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC (E) NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/WESTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA >< EURASIA / ARABIA >< AFRICA    
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9>> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12>>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>>UTC- 9 UTC>>UTC- 4 UTC+ 4>>>UTC

CME Nr.:

 

LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

various

 
             

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info        

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:        
SUNSPOT NUMBER

24

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

283-353

FLARES

C

 

     
SOLAR FLUX

93

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.1

 

M

    NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:  
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

65- 125 nT

 

X

       

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:

     

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

  CORONAL HOLES:      
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
       

 

 

        CH 512 T.EQU. RECURR. APR- 05 APR 09    
 

11454

68° - 51° E

13° S

 

 

        CH 513 T.UQU. GROWING APR- 10 APR- 13    
 

11455

08°E

07° N

 

 

      RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
         

 

      N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
         

 

      SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
                             
REMARKS >    

 

 

                     

2012

MONTH:

APRIL

 

DAY:

10

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.8 - NORTH OF ASCENSION ISLAND - 2012-04-10 05:09 UTC          
                     

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN APRIL 10- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 03 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.7 - DODECANESE ISLAND-2012-04-10 06:01 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ EASTERN TURKEY( near city of Van) APRIL 10- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 12 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.1 - EASTERN TURKEY - 2012-04-10 16:39 UTC  
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120403 report by: volcanodiscovery.com  

Krakatau volcano (Sunda Strait, Indonesia): new ash venting

It appears that a new vent has opened at the new lava dome of Anak Krakatau volcano and started to emit ash, as Øystein Lund Andersen reports from a recent visit: "The crater was illuminated by lava (dome) in the night, the location of the light is the southern part of the crater. On the morning of the 7th April 2012 Anak Krakatau started to produce small eruptions from the southern part of the crater. The location of the eruption was on the same side of the crater, that of the growing lava dome, which several sources have reported about during the last few weeks.

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical storm so far....

            www. wunderground.com  
     

TECH/ DEVELOPMENT

                         
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120410 reports by: bbc.com  

Disaster zone robot competition announced by Pentagon

A competition to develop next-generation robots capable of saving lives in disaster zones has been unveiled by the Pentagon's advanced research laboratory. Darpa says it wants "adaptable robots with the ability to use human tools - from hand tools to vehicles". It plans to hold a series of emergency response physical challenges. A $2m (£1.3m) prize is being offered to the team with the best technology. The competition begins in October. The agency says it hopes software engineers, video game developers and other experts from fields outside robotics will take part "to increase the diversity of innovative solutions". Radiation-resistant Robots have already been deployed into danger zones. After the Fukushima nuclear plant meltdown in 2011, Japanese authorities used unmanned vehicles and "first responder" robots developed by the British firm Qintetiq to move heavy debris and measure radiation levels....read more...

 

DRUGS/ MEDICINE

                         
MEDIA REPORTS  

 

  20120410 reports by: euronews.com  

Getting high to lower Spanish debt

The people in the Spanish town of Rasquera are going to the polls. Its a referendum which could solve their debt problems, bypass austerity measures and create new jobs. The ballot asks for a simple yes or no to a plan which the seven-member town council came up with last month. If 75 percent are in favour beating the recession could for some reach a new high. Its simple but controversial, grow marijuana. The town seems divided on the plan.“It is another chance of production that can get us out of the crisis. It could be good,” said one person while another man was against the idea. “It is a bad drug that’s what we have been taught and what I believe,” he said. “Now Rasquera is known worldwide so it is a positive move”..read more...

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120402 reports by: no report found today  
  click here for the TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE information website on the incident > click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr GREENPEACE.DE/ Elgin Wellhead  
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

LOW- MEDIUM

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:F- C

< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >

REGIONS: D >C and F > A

  ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

10- APRIL - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

US PACIFIC COAST CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

CME ARRIVAL/ LATENCY  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  

11- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

CENTR. EUROPE/AFRICA

 

12- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

US PACIFIC COAST  

M 5.5- 7.0

INCREASING  
        *REGIONS> see definition below     The large CH 512 might lead to SINKING TEMPERATURES from APR 08- 10  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER ACE (Mag) GOEShp            

QUIET

  30/12 3:00 UTC 01:30 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

     

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    30/12 APR 09-10 2  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

    31/12 APR- 11-12 2  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120405 28/12 (1/ 2) 130 nT    

see also >

spaceweather.com  
    * ESTIMATED      
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

30/12

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING > ACE (Mag) GOEShp   UTC/ long. < IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
APRIL 10- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

  first solar wind shock(UTC):  

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE EST. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  
Minor impact- almost unnoticable 11451 W 47 N 14 APRIL- 08- 2012/ 18: 59 UTC LDE filament eruption between AR 11450 and 11451 3:00 1:30   14:00- 24:0O 15- 21 UTC 120 nT 60 no change  
 

 

PEAKS: 3:00 ongoing   PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS>    
                           
* DAY TIME: UTC DAY                          
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F" related CME  
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> AFRICA(E)>< EURASIA>< ARABIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC (E) NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/WESTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA >< EURASIA / ARABIA >< AFRICA 20120404  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9>> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12>>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>>UTC- 9 UTC>>UTC- 4 UTC+ 4>>>UTC

CME Nr.:

 

LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

28/12

 
             

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info        

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:        
SUNSPOT NUMBER

24

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

294-354

FLARES

C

 

     
SOLAR FLUX

93

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.1

 

M