-----------------------

 

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alien- homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- -SUN SPOT ACTIVITY- 11- years solar cycle- last update: MARCH- 16 - 2012- -07:00 UTC copyright: reserved

background image: Aurora Borealis /COMMONS / wikipedia
open source earthquake forecast project created and provided by: alien-homepage.de-
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2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE
MARCH- 2012

 

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

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PROJECT CENTRAL:

PAGES RELATED TO THIS SOLAR/TERRESTRIAL PROJECT>
ws
>HAVE YOU ANY COMMENT?
               
SOHO REALTIME current view on the Sun
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:

(SUN SPOTS EARTHQUAKE AND VOLCANISM/ ARCHIVE- 2011:)click on the month symbols to get to the specific pages of 2011:

2012 >
MARCH                
2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL APPLY A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on th following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics for global incident map and Earthquake statistic MARCH 2012
   

True and REAL TIME graphic solution, that makes obvious the coincidences of CME impacts and extraordinary natural phenomenons such as heavier Earthquakes, volcano eruptions, hurricanes. sudden ice meltdowns (floddings) and others

( click on the graphic top to enlarge it):

INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

- incident graphic will be completed at the end of the month-

SPACECRAFTS:
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK- MARCH_ 2012:

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK- MARCH_ 2012:

  <<< Probably the most active region I have witnessed so far in the two years since I am daily watching Sun activities for this report rotated into the Earth facing side of the Sun on March 02- 2012. The AR developed quickly from one day to another large sun spots with large penumbras and began to produce a first X class eruption on March 03- Since then, AR 11429 has produced more than 20 C, M and X flares and other eruption types- namely eruptive prominences. These are kind of very fast magnetic explosions, those begin if- in the active regionand look like a underground explosion of a hydrogen bomb. After this explosion sun matter first is thrown upwards by magnetic force of large prominences those appear soon after this type of eruption has taken place. As this Sun matter - due to the images I have seen , erupts not from the Sun surface but explodes above the Sun surface as a CME spreading in all directions. click here for my solar and terrestrial blog for last updates, CME tracking and Earthquake and volcano forecasts  
  On March 04 , AR 11429 sent a first "M class" CME into space which was only partially Earth directed, While AR 11429 is more and more approaching the central meridian ( Earth directed position) an impressive X 1 class eruptive prominence followed on March 5 and an even larger X 5.0 event after a strong flare on March 07 at 1:00 UTC. The first of these CMEs arrived on March 07 after 5.30 UTC, the other will follow the next days.

NOAA has issued and R 3 warning on March 06 and a solar and geomagnetic storm level 1storm warnings early on March 07. For the coming days sudden storms might occure, as well as volcano eruptions, Technical instruments mainly overland grids might suffer electromagnetic induction or high voltages by these CMEs . Experts say, AR 11429 is further capable to produce eruptions and even an X 10 + event on the coming days. However: When the last CME will have arrived, some major Earthquake activities must be expected those will occure the days after that I call " latency period", resp. as soon as the tectonic plates will begin to cool down and contract again. These Earthquakes might easily reach magnitudes of M 8.0 and higher, capable to trigger Tsunamis if they should take place offshore.

 
 

MARCH- 21- 2012: Aurora borealis caused by electron storm as later effect of a solar storm on March 12.

 
   
 

video source >LUNAR AND PLANETARY SCIENCE CONFERENCE/ 2012 - results of the Messenger spacecraft mission to planet Mercury March 18-2011- 2012

 
   
 
 
 

MARCH 30- 2012/ ELGIN WELLHEAD- NORTHERN SEA- UNCONTROLLED METHAN BLOWOUT -

from: Elgin-Franklin Offshore Field, North Sea, United Kingdom, by: offshore-technology.com

Elgin-Franklin reserves offshore reserves Reserves are estimated to be approximately 60 million cubic metres of condensate and 50 billion cubic metres of gas. First production from these two adjacent gas fields was brought on-stream in March 2000 and this is expected to continue until 2022.

Largest high-pressure / high-temperature development: Elgin-Franklin is the world's largest high-pressure / high-temperature (HP / HT) development. Due to the extreme reservoir conditions - an initial pressure of approximately 1,100bar and temperatures of 190°C and complex geological structures - the fields pose a considerable development. challenge In 2003, a new, record-breaking well was developed from the Elgin-Franklin platform to the West Franklin reservoir, which is the hottest, highest-pressure reservoir in the world. The well was drilled to a depth of 6,100m and stepped out 1.5km to tap an accumulation with a temperature of 197°C and a pressure of 1,155bar...read more...

click on the following link and your Google Earth program will automatically find ELGIN FRANKLIN GAS/ OIL FIELD FOR YOU:

TOTAL_ Elgin Wellhead Platform- Northern Sea

 
   
           
 
SITE TRANSLATORS: recommended: install Google toolbar with integrated translator!

 

 

HEADLINES

MAR- 06- 2012: With AR 11429 the largest and most active sun spot regions observed since begin of my documentary is going to rotate into a Earth facing position on March 09. Due to solen.info: "Umbrae near the inversion line are large and the region may be capable of producing an X10+ flare "

TODAYS BLOG MIGHT BE RATHER EMPTY- AS INFORMATION WILL COME IN LATER! SCROLL TO FIND LATEST UP TO DATE REPORTS

    Again, I have changed a little bit my blog template (layout) to make the report shorter and more compact click here to find previous reports of FEBRUARY 2012  

MARCH 2012

 

get more specific Sun data at: solen.info/

SunSpotWatch.com

USGS/ NEIC

EUROPE: EMSC

GLOBAL VOLCANISM PROGRAM (GVP)

*

o

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: INTERNAL (alien-homepage)

please: always calculate with an error of at least one day in the Earthquake predictions

o
click here to open and close collapsible panel: archive of solar and terrestrial blog/ March 22- 31- 2012
/ eruptive proinence / eruptive proinence / eruptive proinence

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

31

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.5 - TONGA - 2012-03-31 17:06 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-30 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 02 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 2.3 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-03-31 11:24 UTC  
                       

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  FUEGO Guatemala 14°28'22"N/ 90°52'49"W MARCH 31- 2012   CENAPRED FUEGO none CENTRAM GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120403 report by:    
 

INSIVUMEH reported that during 31 March-1 April and 3-4 April explosions from Fuego produced ash plumes that rose 500-800 m above the crater and drifted 10 km W and NW. During the night lava fountains rose 100-150 m above the crater and formed avalanches that traveled towards the Río Cenizas drainage. Based on analysis of satellite imagery, the Washington VAAC reported that on 1 April an ash plume drifted 13 km WSW and a well-defined thermal anomaly was observed.

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: insidecostarica.com  

CNE Calls For Caution Visiting Volcanoes

The Comisión Nacional de Prevención de Riesgos y Atención de Emergencias (CNE) has a preventive green alert and restricted access for the perimeter of the Turrialba National Park due to gas emissions from the Turrialba volcano of the last couple of days.The gas emissions are causing problems of access and egress to the park and authorities are asking for visitors not to visit, but if they do to use extreme caution. Towering plumes of smoke were notices by residents of the Turrrialba this week, forcing authorities to take action....read more...

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

 

            www. wunderground.com  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK EMERGED ON: DIRECTION WIND SPEED: COORDINATES GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ COURSE /RMARKS   MEDIA REPORTS  
wunderground.com

TS PAKHAR

MAR- 30

WEST

70 MP/H

9.5N

110.1E 

near the coast of Thailand

     
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: .accuweather.com  

Typhoon Pakhar Aims Rain, Wind towards Vietnam

An unusual late-March tropical cyclone will send torrential rain and strong winds ashore in Vietnam over the weekend. Tropical Storm Pakhar, which took shape over the southern South China Sea Thursday, could landfall in southern Vietnam by Saturday night or Sunday. Excessive rain and flooding is possible over a wide area along and north of Pakhar's direct path. Damaging winds will be possible as well. Friday, the center of Tropical Storm Pakhar was within about 300, or 480 km, east-southeast of Ho Chi Minh City, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. At the time, highest sustained winds were 75 mph, or 120 km/h, with storm movement towards the west at about 3 mph...read more...

 
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS  

METHAN BLOWOUT/ TOTAL Elgin–Franklin OIL/GAS RIG EAST of Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120328 reports by: scotsman.com  

Elgin–Franklin fields/ Wikipedia

no new report found today

TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE has established an information website on the course of the incident. > click here to see their latest update,

> click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

CME STRENGTH:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

MINOR 137 nT

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D <CME IMPACT REGIONS*> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

NASA/ flares

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

31- MARCH - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC

CENTRAL AMERICA/ NASCA  

M 5.5- > 7.0

CME ARRIVAL ( MINOR)  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA

AMERICAS PACIFIC (COAST)  

01- APRIL - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

 

 

02- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
        < see definition below>              

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

 

26/12 (2)

08:00 UTC

   

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    27/ 12 APR 01/02 LOW- MED.  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

         

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120330 26/12 115 nT            
    * ESTIMATED      

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

26/12(2)

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING >

ACE

GOES

 

20120226

< IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
MARCH- 31- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

MAR 30

MAR 30  

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE EST. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  

 

11444 15° - 00° W 20° N   CME during C5.3/1F flare   08:00 UTC   10- 03 UTC( APR-01) 17-20 UTC 137

300

CENTRAL AMERICA  
 

 

PEAKS: 8:00- 13:50 UTC     PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS> WESTERN PACIFIC  
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120331  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

26/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

96

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

326-368

FLARES

C

    :    
SOLAR FLUX

110

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.6

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 137 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH RECCURR. MAR-22 MAR-23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON:         CH 510

30-60° N

RECURR: MAR 28 MAR-30    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 511 00° GROWING MAR 31 MAR 31    
rotating out >

11438

75- 99°89

15°S

 

 

  CH 510/511/ 20130331   RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11443

58 - 72° W

16° S

 

 

    N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11445

32 - 46° W

23° S

 

 

    SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11448

17 - 03° E

17° S

 

APRIL- 01

               
 

11449

45°- 59° W

18° S

 

 

             
NEWLY EMERGED>

11450

37° - 23° E

16° N

  APRIL- 03              
NEWLY EMERGED>

11451

57°- 43° E

18° N

  APRIL- 04              
              STAR MAP: solen.info            
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

30

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                        EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.2 - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2012-03-30 10:55 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-30 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 01 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 2.9 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-03-30 22:32 UTC  
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical cyclone or hurricane

            www. wunderground.com  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK EMERGED ON: DIRECTION WIND SPEED: COORDINATES GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ COURSE /RMARKS   MEDIA REPORTS  
wunderground.com

TS PAKHAR

MAR- 30

NNW direction Thailand

70 MP/H

9.5N

110.1E 

 340 nm east of Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam.

     
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

WARM

HOT

DRY

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

30- MARCH - 2012

 

SUDDEN (ALPINE) MELTING

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

CME ARRIVAL  

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

31- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- > 7.0

2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

01- APRIL - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 7.0

1- 2  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

 

minor

10:30 UTC

8:50 UTC?  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    26/ 12 MAR 30/31 MEDIUM  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

REMARKS:

    27/ 12 APR 01/02 LOW- MED.  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120323 24/12 140 nT            
    * ESTIMATED      

SATELLITE IMAGES

MAR- 30/31 2012       * ESTIMATED  

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

ACTIVE REGION:

CME at:

201213/ 6:39 UTC 20120330/ 18:54 UTC 20120330/14:29 UTC 20120331/2:29 UTC            
S 5160 14:29  

.

 
TRACKING NUMBER 27/12  

(3) A region newly numbered as S 1560 ( which likely was the very active region 11429 during the last rotation) rotated in at the eastern limb and unleashed a significant CME on MAR 30/ at 14: 29 UTC from what seems again to be not a flare but a sudden eruptive prominence. The event was followed by a long filament eruption (4) halfway between S 1560 and CH 510 and what seemed to be a minor Solar storm in CH 510 and around the Western polar regions. Most of both CME seemed to head North and Northweast wards. Minor Parts of it might arrive on Earth on April 1 or 2.

 

SUN COORDINATES:

   
NORTH EAST QUADRANT    

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   

eruptive prominence

     

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

CANC. (1) STEREO- Ahead " (2) STEREO "Ahead " (3) SoHO/ LASCO C3 (4) SDO /AIA( comp.    

ARRIVAL (estimated):

APR- 01        
                             

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS/ ARRIVALS

CME TRACKING >

 

ARRIVAL AT SAT

 

IMPACT >

         

TRACKING NR.:

UNDEF.

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING >

ACE

GOES

 

20120226

< IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  
MARCH- 30- 2012 AR LONG LAT. DATE

EVENT C DESCRIPTION

MAR 30

MAR 30  

> 100 nT

MAIN PEAK VALUE EST. MASS* IMPACT REGIONS  

UNNOTICABLE

        VARIOUS MINOR EVENTS

8:50 UTC

10:30 UTC

 

11-- 24 UTC

ongoing

115

75

CENTRAL EUROPE

 
 

 

PEAKS:       PERIOD SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS>    
                                 
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

79

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

318-392

FLARES

C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

110

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.9

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 122 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH RECCURR. MAR-22 MAR-23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 510

30-60° N

GROWING MAR 28 MAR-30    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
 

11438

61- 75° W

15°S

 

 

        RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11443

43 - 57° W

16° S

 

 

        N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11445

71 - 31° W

23° S

 

 

        SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11448

30 - 16° E

17° S

 

APRIL- 01

                     
NEWLY EMERGED>

11449

32°- 46° W

18° S

 

 

                     
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

29

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 4.9 - BANDA SEA - 2012-03-29 02:52 UTC    
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120326 report by: GVP  

Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

21 March-27 March 2012

New Activity/Unrest: | Ijen, Eastern Java (Indonesia) | Iliamna, Southwestern Alaska | Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia | Pacaya, Guatemala | Soufrière Hills, Montserrat 
Ongoing Activity: | Cleveland, Chuginadak Island | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) | Kizimen, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Puyehue-Cordón Caulle, Central Chile |Reventador, Ecuador | Sakura-jima, Kyushu | Sangay, Ecuador | Santa María, Guatemala | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) | Tungurahua, Ecuador

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity

 
                               

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical cyclone or hurricane

            www. wunderground.com  

TROPICAL STORMS

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK EMERGED ON: DIRECTION CURRENT WIND SPEED: COORDINATES GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ COURSE /RMARKS   MEDIA REPORTS  
wunderground.com Tropical Depression Two MAR- 28

NNW direction Thailand

35 MP/H 9.7N 112.3E          
                               

TECH DISASTERS- Offshore drilling/ METHANHYDRATES

                     
MEDIA REPORTS    

METHAN BLOWOUT ON TOTAL OFFSHORE OIL RIG near Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120328 report by: scotsman.com  

Elgin–Franklin fields/ Wikipedia

Shutting down North Sea gas leak may take entire summer

OIL giant Shell has shut down production on its Shearwater platform as it was revealed that it could take up to six months to quell the uncontrolled leak of toxic, volatile gas at the nearby Total Elgin installation. The energy giant announced plans to suspend production on the Shearwater as North Sea union leaders called for the platform to be completely evacuated because of the risk of a Piper Alpha-type disaster posed by the presence of a massive cloud of explosive gas over the Total installation, just 4.6 miles away....

David Hainsworth, health, safety and environment manager for Total, admitted that the gas leak could go on for months. One estimate is that it could be leaking at a rate of 2kg per second. Mr Hainsworth explained that the company was looking at a number of options to stem the flow of gas....read more...

TOTAL / ELF AQUITAINE has established an information website on the course of the incident. > click here to see their latest update,

> click here for minimal resolution images published by TOTAL on flickr

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

29- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

CME ARRIVAL?  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

30- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

CME ARRIVAL?  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

31- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    26/ 12 MARCH 29- 30 MEDIUM  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
  20120323 24/12 140 nT            
    * ESTIMATED      
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      

SOLAR PARAMETERS

  SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES CLASS TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

100

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

315-368

FLARES

C

05

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

101

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.5

 

M

   

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 122 nT

 

X

    NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT SOUTH RECCURR. MAR-22 MAR-23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   CH 510

30-60° N

GROWING MAR 28 MAR-30    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE                
 

11438

52- 65° W

15°S

 

 

        RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11443

28 - 42° W

16° S

 

 

        N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11445

03 - 17° W

23° S

 

 

        SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
ROTATING OUT>

11447

78 - 92° W

24° S

 

 

                     
 

11448

43 - 29° E

17° S

 

APRIL- 01

                     
NEWLY EMERGED>

11449

 

18° S

 

 

                     
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

28

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.2 - SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA - 2012-03-28 08:54 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OAXACA, MEXICO MAR- 28- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

02

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 4.5 - OAXACA, MEXICO - 2012-03-28 22:33 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-28 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 02 HIGHEST MAGNITUDE: M 3.4 - DODECANESE I., GREECE - 2012-03-28 08:55 UTC  

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
26- CLEVELAND (Aleutians)

52°49'30"N/ 169°56'38"W

MAR- 28- 2012   AVO CLEVELAND NORTHAM GVP  
                      201203xx report by:    

AVO reported that on 28 March the Volcano Alert Level for Cleveland was raised to Watch and the Aviation Color Code was raised to Orange due to the formation of a new lava dome, observed in satellite imagery, which extruded in the summit crater during the previous week. During 29 March-3 April cloud cover prevented observations of the crater. Elevated surface temperatures consistent with a hot lava dome were detected in infrared satellite imagery on 4 April. No seismic information was available because Cleveland does not have a real-time seismic network.

 

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical cyclone or hurricane

        www. wunderground.com  
                               

DISASTER TECHNOLOGIES- Offshore drilling

                       
MEDIA REPORTS    

METHAN BLOWOUT ON TOTAL OFFSHORE OIL RIG near Aberdeen /Scottland

  20120327 report by: bbc.co.uk  

No immediate danger from platform flare, says Total

A flame is still burning in the stack above a North Sea platform from which gas has been leaking for three days. Experts were concerned that if escaping gas connected with the naked flame in the flare stack it could explode. Oil company Total said the cloud of escaped gas was at a lower height than the flare which is still alight on the Elgin platform, 150 miles off Aberdeen. A spokesman for Total told the BBC the flare was "left on deliberately" when the platform was evacuated on Sunday. He said its last report of the flare was at 17:30 on Tuesday and it had "reduced in size" at that time. The spokesman said they "expect it to go out within a few hours.:...read more...

 
                               
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

28- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

29- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

CME ARRIVAL?  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

30- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    26/ 12 MARCH 29- 30 MEDIUM  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

     

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
               

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

  SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES  
            20120323 24/12 140 nT      

SATELLITE IMAGES

      * ESTIMATED  

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

TRACKING NUMBER:

CME at:

    20120328/ 03:06 UTC              
           

.

 
     

SUN COORDINATES:

   
       

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

   

 

     

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

  STEREO- Ahead " STEREO "Behind " SoHO/ LASCO C3 SDO /AIA( comp.    

ARRIVAL (estimated):

         
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

70

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

359-464

FLARE CLASS. C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

107

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.0

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

19

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

20- 105 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT. SOUTH CHANGING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:                
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 T.EQU. CLOSED MAR- 16 M.- 23-26 MAR 26  
 

11438

36° -50° W

15° S

            RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11443

15° -29° W

16° N

            NP-CH-EXT- NORTHERN SP-CH-EXT. SOUTHERN

POLAR CH EXTENSION

 
 

11444

24° - 38° W

20° N

                         
 

11445

12° E -02° W

23° S

  MAR- 29                      
 

11447

66°- 80° W

24° S

                         
NEWLY EMERGED>

11448

56° - 42° E

17° S

 

APRIL- 02

                     
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

27

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.0 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2012-03-27 11:00 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 39.90 N ; 142.08 E 2012-03-27 11:00 UTC M 6.0 10 km     --  

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical cyclone or hurricane

        www. wunderground.com  
                               

DISASTER TECHNOLOGIES- Offshore drilling

                       
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120327 report by: .bellona.org  

Total Gas leak in North Sea out of control for foreseeable future,

A gas cloud has encircled Total's Elgin/Franklin gas production platform in the North Sea after failed attempts to shut a problematic production well caused a leak, an RMT union official said, based on eyewitness accounts from workers on nearby rigs.ccording to reports, the gas cloud surrounding the platform and accompanying sheen contains between two and 23 tonnes of gas condensate, measuring six nautical miles in length. Bellona is deeply concerned about the gas leakage at the platform 240 kilometers east of Aberdeen. A gas cloud was seen rising from Elgin PUQ platform in the North Sea and is visible 11 kilometers away. “This is a gas blowout that is out of control and is going to be so for a long time, Bellona President Frederic Hauge said. The Bellona Foundation ​​has established a special team that is following the leak closely....read more...

 
                               

Marine Protected Areas

                       
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120327 report by: .bbc.co6  

NZ dolphin survival boosted by Marine Protected Area

Hector's dolphins living off the coast of Christchurch, New Zealand have benefitted from the area's special designation, say scientists. Researchers studied the animals, one of the world's most endangered species of dolphin, for 21 years. Their results show that the survival rate of the dolphins has increased by 5.4% since the Marine Protection Area (MPA) was declared. The findings are published in the Journal of Applied Ecology. ...read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

27- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

28- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

29- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER ARRIVAL* STRENGTH*  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    26/ 12 MARCH 29- 30 MEDIUM  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

     

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
               

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

  SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES  
            20120323 24/12 140 nT      

SATELLITE IMAGES

      * ESTIMATED  

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

TRACKING NUMBER:

CME at:

20120327/ 01:25 UTC 20120327/ 4:24 UTC 20120327/ 04:42 UTC 20120327/ 04:26 UTC            

26/12

4:26 UTC  

2 larger eruption were observed on March 27 . The major one at 4: 26 UTC at in AR 11444 , while this almost spotless region just crossed the CENTRAL MERIDIAN as the best " Earth aiming" position. The visual impression of a.large and wide CME was enhanced by a NW directed short surface eruption near ( SW) of a new still unnumbered CH in the NE quadrant

Larger portion of both frontside CMEs- measured as an C 7 class event- however likely will arive on the Earth appr. on March 29- 30 and could cause geomomagnetic storming and other CME effects.

 
     

SUN COORDINATES:

   

15° - 00° W

20° N    

ERUPTION TYPE:

X RAY CLASS:

   

CME during flare

C5.3/1F

   

SIDERIC DIRECTION:

VIRGO STEREOBehind " STEREO "Behind " SoHO/ LASCO C3 SDO /AIA( comp.    

ARRIVAL (estimated):

MAR- 29        
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

63

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

315-407

FLARE CLASS. C

02

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

105

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.6

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

21

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

40- 135 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT. SOUTH CHANGING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:                
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 T.EQU. CLOSED MAR- 16 M.- 23-26 MAR 26  
 

11438

23° -37° W

15° S

            RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11443

02° -16° W

16° N

  MAR- 27         NP-CH-EXT- NORTHERN SP-CH-EXT. SOUTHERN

POLAR CH EXTENSION

 
 

11444

13° - 27° W

20° N

                         
 

11445

26° -12° E

23° S

  MAR- 29                      
NEWLY EMERGED>

11447

55°- 67° W

24° S

                         
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

26

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.0 - NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE - 2012-03-26 18:12 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
EUROPE : > M 5:0 - EASTERN TURKEY - 39.24 N ; 42.27 E 2012-03-26 10:35 UTC M 5.1 7 km no report yet      

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OAXACA, MEXICO MAR- 26- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

00

  ----  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ EASTERN TURKEY/ Near city of VAN MAR-26- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

16

HIGHEST MEASURED MAGNITUDE: M 3.6 - EASTERN TURKEY - 2012-03-26 14:22 UTC  

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
 

PACAYA-Guatemala

14°22'51"N/ 90°36'4"W MARCH- 26- 2012   INSUMVEH none CENTRAM GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120327 report by: GVP  

INSIVUMEH noted in a special report that on 20 March patterns of seismicity and emissions from Pacaya's MacKenney cone changed, although remained characteristic of normal behavior for the volcano. On 26 March avalanches were detected and during 26-27 March gas plumes drifted S and SW. The report noted that after the eruption on 27 May 2010 only fumarolic emissions, mainly composed of water vapor, rose from MacKenney cone.

 
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  TUNGURAHUA/Ecuador 1°28'1"S/ 78°26'30"W MARCH- 26- 2012   igepn.edu.ec none SOUTHAM GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120327 report by: GVP  

IG reported that, although visual observations of Tungurahua during 21-25 March were occasionally limited due to cloud cover, steam plumes rose 0.5-4 km above the crater and drifted SW, W, NW, and NNE. On 21 March incandescence from the crater was observed and roaring noises were noted. The next day a steam-and-ash plume rose to a low height, and during 22-23 March ashfall was reported in Runtún (6 km NNE). Heavy rain during 24-25 March generated lahars in the Pampas area to the S and caused flooding in the sectors of Puela (8 km SW), Palitahua (S) and Ulba (NNE). Activity increased on 26 March. Roaring was heard in multiple areas. An ash plume rose 3 km above the crater and drifted NNE; ashfall was reported in Ventanas, Cusúa (8 km NW), Pondoa (about 8 km N), Baños (9 km N), San Francisco, and Río Verde.

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: volcanodiscovery  

Batu Tara volcano (Indonesia): larger ash eruption

As our colleague Marc from vulkane.net reports, the volcano Batu Tara in the Sunda Sea off the island of Flores in Indonesia had a larger than usual ash eruption today, which triggered an alert of the VAAC Darwin, who raised the aviation color code to "orange", as the drifting ash cloud is be a hazard to local air traffic. ...read more...

 

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

no reported tropical cyclone or hurricane

        www. wunderground.com  

MARIANA TRENCH- DEEPEST POINT ON EARTH- SURFACE (6.78 mi)

              201203xx report by: nationalgeographic.  

He`s back- ALIVE !

James Cameron Completes Record-Breaking Mariana Trench Dive

Ker Than for National Geographic News Updated 11:40 p.m. ET, March 25, 2012 At noon, local time (10 p.m. ET), James Cameron's "vertical torpedo" sub broke the surface of the western Pacific, carrying the National Geographic explorer and filmmaker back from the Mariana Trench's Challenger Deep—Earth's deepest, and perhaps most alien, realm. The first human to reach the 6.8-mile-deep (11-kilometer-deep) undersea valley solo, Cameron arrived at the bottom with the tech to collect scientific data, specimens, and visions unthinkable in 1960, when the only other manned Challenger Deep dive took place, according to members of the National Geographic expedition. After a faster-than-expected, roughly 70-minute ascent, Cameron's sub, bobbing in the open ocean, was spotted by helicopter and would soon be plucked from the Pacific by a research ship's crane....read more.(including video sources)

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

26- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- 7.0

-possible

 

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

27- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

28- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    25/ 12

not geoeffective

 

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

 

     

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
               

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

  SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES  
            20120323 24/12 140 nT      

SATELLITE IMAGES

         

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

TRACKING NUMBER

CME at:

(1) 20120324/ 13:40 UTC (2) 20120325/ 02:10 UTC (3) 20120326/ 01:55 UTC              
no tracking      

 

 
one of many MINOR EVENTs summing up.  

Several minor CMEs could be observed on the Earth facing Sun side between March 24 and 26. One on March 24-(1) associated to a huge backside eruption - has headed Westwards and the other (2) on March 25 to the North. The one on March 26 (3) had its origin in the new critical AR 11445. Allthough none of these CMEs was Earth directed, together these CMEs produced as the many minor eruptions observed recently some additional Sun winds that raise the geomagnetic energy and sustain further seismic activities.

 

LOCATION/SUN COORDINATES

   
       

ERUPTION TYPE

X RAY CLASS

   
       

SIDERIC DIRECTION

  STEREOBehind " STEREO "Behind " STEREO "Behind " SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated)

         
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN sAMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

56

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

310-364

FLARE CLASS. C

02

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

102

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.8

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

05

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 130 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-EXT. SOUTH CHANGING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP-CH-EXT. NORTH GROWING MAR- 19 MAR- 23 MAR-26  
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 T.EQU. RECURR: MAR- 16 M.- 23-26    
 

11438

10° -24° W

15° S

            RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
rotating out >

11440

                NP-CH-EXT- NORTHERN SP-CH-EXT. SOUTHERN

POLAR CH EXTENSION

 
 

11442

                             
 

11443

13° - 01° W

16° N

  MAR- 27                      
 

11444

03° - 17° W

20° N

  MAR- 26                      
 

11445

40° - 26° E

23° S

  MAR- 29                      
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

25

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 7.1 - MAULE, CHILE - 2012-03-25 22:37 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 MAULE, CHILE - 35.18 S ; 72.06 W 2012-03-25 22:37 UTC M 7.1 1 km     --  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120325 report by: heraldsun.com.  

Magnitude 7.2 earthquake strikes Chile

A MAGNITUDE 7.2 earthquake struck central Chile today (yesterday local time), about 250 kilometres southwest of Santiago, according to the US Geological Survey. Its epicenter was located near the city of Talca, about 215km south-southwest of Santiago, at a depth of nearly 30 kilometres, the preliminary report said. Chilean authorities initially ordered people living in coastal areas between Concon and Lebu to evacuate after the quake, but later canceled the order. Local authorities said one person was injured when they had a traffic accident during the earthquake in the Bio Bio region. Their condition was not immediately known......read more...

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120324 report by: edition.cnn.com  

Japanese boat washed away in tsunami spotted more than a year later

CNN) -- A fishing trawler swept away more than a year ago by a tsunami off the east coast of Japan has been spotted floating near British Columbia, Canadian officials said. "It looks fairly sound and has rust streak from being out there for a year," said Marc Proulx, the maritime coordinator of the Joint Rescue Coordination Center in Victoria, British Columbia. The trawler was stable and posed no danger Saturday, officials said. The trawler is part of a giant debris field that was generated by the giant wall of water that struck the east coast of the island nation a year ago following a 9.0 earthquake, sweeping everything from cars to houses into the ocean....read more...

 

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OAXACA,and GUERRERO MEXICO MAR- 25- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

04

  M 4.7 - OAXACA, MEXICO - 2012-03-25 01:55 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-25- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 05 HIGHEST MEASURED MAGNITUDE: M 3.5 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-03-25 17:52 UTC  
                     

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

none
          www. wunderground.com  
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

25- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5- > 7.0

possible  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

26- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- 7.0

-possible

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

27- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1- 2  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

ELECTRON STORM

NONE

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    25/ 12 MARCH- 25-26  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

Minor CMEs impacted on March 22 and March 23

     

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
               

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

  SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES  
            20120323 24/12 140 nT      
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

84

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

352-420

FLARE CLASS. C

02

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

101

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.2

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

07

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

30- 112 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CH-Ext. SOUTH GROWING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP - CH- Ext. NORTH GROWING MAR- 19 MAR- 23    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 T.EQU. GROWING MAR- 16 M.- 23-26    
 

11438

04° E -10° W

15° S

  MAR- 26         RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
rotating out >

11440

79°- 93° W

26° S

            N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11442

08° E- 06° W

12° N                          
 

11443

28° - 14° E

16° N

  MAR- 27                      
 

11444

12° E- 02° W

20° N

  MAR- 26                      
 

11445

52° - 38° E

23° S

  MAR- 29                      
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

24

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 4.8 - IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION - 2012-03-24 05:25 UTC    

UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS

                    EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OAXACA, MEXICO MAR- 24- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

03

HIGHEST MEASURED MAGNITUDE: M 4.9 - OAXACA, MEXICO - 2012-03-24 01:58 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-24- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O: 01 HIGHEST MEASURED MAGNITUDE: M 1.8 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-03-24 03:53 UTC---  

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  SANTA MARIA- Guatemala 14°45'21"N/ 91°33'6"W MARCH- 24- 2012   INSUMVEH   CENTRAM GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120324 report by: GVP  

Based on analyses of satellite imagery and reports from INSIVUMEH, the Washington VAAC reported that on 23 March diffuse gas-and-ash plumes from Santa María's Santiaguito lava-dome complex drifted 33 km SW. Ashfall was noted in areas within 18 km of the volcano. On 24 March an ash plume drifted 26 km SW. The next day rockfalls occurred around the summit area and gas-and-ash plumes drifted 28 km SE, S, and SW. A thermal anomaly was detected in satellite imagery at night.

INSIVUMEH reported that during 25-27 March explosions generated ash plumes that rose 800-900 m above the crater and drifted in multiple directions. Lava flows continued to produce avalanches that descended the flanks. Ashfall was reported 5 km S at Observatory Vulcanológico de Santiaguito (OVSAN), at the El Faro, La Florida, and Patzulin ranches (SW), and in the village of Santa María de Jesús (SE). On 26 March an explosion was followed by a pyroclastic flow that traveled down the W flank of Caliente Cone

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120324 report by: .mauinews.  

Widely felt’ earthquake rattles Hawaiian Islands

HILO (AP) - An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 4.9 rattled a wide area of Hawaii on Saturday but caused no significant damage or injuries, officials said. The quake was "widely felt" throughout the islands, said Dale Grant, a seismologist with the U.S. Geological Survey. The agency's website received more than 600 responses on its "Did You Feel It?" link within an hour after the tremor /...read more...

Earthquake data: M 4.5 - ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII - 2012-03-24 20:47 UTC

 

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

none
          www. wunderground.com  

AGRICULTURE

                  201203xx report by: .euronews.com  

Smart Irrigation bears fruit

A new irrigation system is set to reduce costs and save water. John O’Flaherty, the Waterbee project coordinator, explained: “We’ve developed a smart irrigation system that will save 40% of water in irrigation. And we expect it to have a big impact because 60% of all fresh water globally is used for irrigation.” Water is a precious commodity, especially in regions where rainfall is scarce. For farmers, smart irrigation means better crops for less outlay. Growers in Spain have been among the first to try the new smart irrigation system – it lets them know when to switch their watering system on or off depending on moisture in the soil. It knows exactly how much water any crop needs to be fully grown by the day it is picked....read more...

 

PLANETARY SPACE

                  201203xx report by: bbc.co.uk  

Giant asteroid Vesta 'resembles planet

The giant asteroid Vesta possesses many features usually associated with rocky planets like Earth, according to data from a Nasa probe. Vesta has been viewed as a massive asteroid, but after studying the surface in detail, scientists are describing it as "transitional". The Dawn spacecraft has been orbiting Vesta - one of the Solar System's most primitive objects - since July 2011. They have documented many unexpected features on its battered surface. Mission scientists presented their latest results at the Lunar and Planetary Science Conference (LPSC) in The Woodlands, Texas.

..read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

24- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA  

M 5.5 - 6.5

latency

 

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

25- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

 

M 5.5- > 7.0

2-3

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

26- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2-3?

 
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

ELECTRON STORM

DECREAS.

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    25/ 12 MARCH- 25-26  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

Minor CMEs impacted on March 22 and March 23

     

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
               

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

  SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES  
            20120323 24/12 140 nT   video source >LUNAR AND PLANETARY SCIENCE CONFERENCE/ 2012 - results of the Messenger spacecraft mission to planet Mercury March 18-2011- 2012  

SATELLITE IMAGES

     

Watch live streaming video from lpsc2012 at livestream.com

 

TRACKING NUMBER

CME at:

  AR CH 509 on 20120324    
no tracking        
one of many MINOR EVENTs summing up.  

LOCATION/SUN COORDINATES

 
     

ERUPTION TYPE

X RAY CLASS

 
     

SIDERIC DIRECTION

  STEREO "Ahead " STAR MAP by solen.info SoHO/ LASCO C3  

estimated ARRIVAL TIME

           
       

 

     

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

65

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

325-460

FLARE CLASS. C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

102

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.9

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

16

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 120 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CG-Ext. SOUTH GROWING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP - CH- Ext. NORTH GROWING MAR- 19 MAR- 23    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 T.EQU. GROWING MAR- 16 M.- 23-26    
 

11438

17° -03° E

15° S

  MAR- 26         RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11440

66°- 80° W

26° S

            N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11442

                             
 

11443

39° - 25° E

16° N

  MAR- 27                      
 

11444

26°- 04° E

20° N

  MAR- 26                      
 

11445

66° - 52° E

23° S

critical MAR- 29                      
                                 
REMARKS >    

 

 

                       

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

23

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.5 - SOUTH AUSTRALIA - 2012-03-23 09:25 UTC    
CYCLADE ISLAND / GREECE                       EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OAXACA, MEXICO MAR- 23- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

05

  M 4.7 - OAXACA, MEXICO - 2012-03-23 23:47 UTC  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120322 report by: .volcanodiscovery  

Mexican earthquake might have triggered seismic swarm at San Salvador volcano, El Salvador

The Mexican 7.4 magnitude earthquake near Acapulco on Tuesday might have affected the currently dormant San Salvador volcano in 1000 km distance and triggered an earthquake swarm under the volcano. San Salvador volcano is an active stratovolcano immediately northwest of the capital San Salvador City and last erupted in 1917....read more...

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120324 report by: .globalpost.  

Australia's biggest earthquake in 15 years rattles Outback

Australia's biggest earthquake in 15 years has rattled Aboriginal townships near Ernabella, in the far north of the state of South Australia. Those living near the epicentre of the 6.1-magnitude -- according to the Fairfax media "just south of the border with the Northern Territory, about [195 miles] south-west of Alice Springs, [142 miles] south-east of Uluru and [258 miles north-west of Coober Pedy" -- reported the quake lasting 30 second, but causing no injuries. ...read more...

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
  SOUFRIERE HILLS/ Montserrrat 16°43'0"N/ 62°11'0"W MARCH- 23- 2012   MVO CENTRAM GVP  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120323 report by: GVP  

MVO reported that during 16-23 March activity at the Soufrière Hills lava dome was at a low level, although seismicity increased. Two swarms of volcano-tectonic earthquakes occurred, the first between 1604 and 1651 on 22 March (49 events) and the second between 0310 and 0527 on 23 March (54 events). Earthquakes in the second swarm were markedly larger than those in the first. Several changes on the volcano were observed on 23 March;fumarolic activity had increased and a new fumarole had appeared on the NW face of the lava dome behind Gages Mountain. In addition a vent producing pulsing steam emissions with a small amount of ash had formed in the back of the February 2010 collapse scar. Ash plumes rose 1.8 km (6,000 ft) a.s.l. and very light ashfall occurred on the W flank of the volcano. Audible roaring associated with the venting was heard intermittently from MVO, 5.75 km NW of the volcano. The Hazard Level remained at 2.

Based on a METAR weather report and analyses of satellite imagery, the Washington VAAC reported that on 24 March a gas-and-ash plume drifted 65 km WSW. Later that day the VAAC reported a detached area of ash drifting NW and a second small emission of ash drifting WNW. The next day haze and vog W of Soufrière Hills was detected in satellite imagery and a pilot reported ash at altitudes of 1.5-3 km (5,000-10,000 ft) a.s.l. drifting NW.

On 26 March MVO noted that activity returned to a low level following the ash-venting on 23 March. The report noted that Zone C on the volcanic risk map, which was temporarily closed the previous week due to an increase in volcano-tectonic earthquakes below Soufrière Hills, re-opened for day-time entrance on 27 March. Zone C is to the WNW of Soufrière Hills and includes Cork Hill, Weekes, Foxes Bay, Richmond Hill, and Delvins, and extends 500 m out to sea.

 

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120323 report by: .volcanodiscovery.  

Soufriere Hills volcano (Montserrat): phreatic explosions suggest rising magma

New ash eruptions have occurred at Soufriere Hills volcano on Montserrat. The activity is probably phreatic in origin and caused by rising magma under the volcano. The ash emissions began at around 8 am local time on 23 March, following 2 volcanic earthquake swarms on 22 and 23 March, the Montserrat Volcano Observatory (MVO) reports. ...read more...

 

FLOODINGS

                  20120323 report by: earthobservatory  

The Darling River flows roughly southwest across the Australian state of New South Wales, and in March 2012, the river flooded. On March 14, the State Emergency Service reported major flooding at Louth and warned of an expected floodwater peak at Tilpa over the coming days. Floods were receding, however, at Bourke. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite captured the top image on March 23, 2012. For comparison, the bottom image shows the same region a year earlier, on March 26, 2011. These images use a combination of visible and infrared light to better distinguish between water and land. Water varies from electric blue to navy. Vegetation is bright green. Bare ground is earth-toned. Clouds are nearly white and cast shadows....read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

23- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

ATLANTIC

  CENTRAL AMERICA   M 5.5- 7.0 2-3  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

SOUTH AMERICA

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

24- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

  M 5.5- < 7.0 2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

REGIONS "F" > "A"

 

25- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EURASIA

   

EURASIA

  M 5.5- 7.0 2-3  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

 

This CME arrived on March 22

 

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

ELECTRON STORM

DECREAS.

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    25/ 12 MARCH- 25-26  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 

Minor CMEs impacted on March 22 and March 23

     

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
               

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

           
            20120323 24/12 140 nT            
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

74

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

327-382

FLARE CLASS. C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

104

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2

  M 01  

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

30- 125 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CG-Ext. SOUTH GROWING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP - CH- Ext. NORTH GROWING MAR- 19 MAR- 23    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 T.EQU. GROWING MAR- 16 M.- 23-26    
 

11438

32° - 18° E

15° S

  MAR- 26         RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11440

49°- 63° W

26° S

            N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11441

69°- 83° W

28° S

            SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11442

38°- 24° E

12° N

  MAR- 26                      
 

11443

52° - 38° E

16° N

  MAR- 27                      
NEWLY EMERGED>

11444

38°- 24° E

20° N

  MAR- 26                      
NEWLY EMERGED>

11445

78° - 64° E

23° S

  MAR- 29                      
                                 
REMARKS >    
                         

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

22

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

SOLAR / GEOMAG

       

NASA`s GOEShp satellite had particularly no transmission today and not data at all on x ray flux. For NOAA, this event is obviously not any radio blackout, as not alert was issued. NOAA just left a notice on their website:"

2012-03-"21 21:34 UTC SWPC GOES Data Interruption GOES 15 space weather data has been temporarily interrupted. SWPC alerts, warnings, and watches are unaffected due to the internal use of backup data. Watch here for updates".

But also in most of Germany`s satellite based TV programms had more radio blackouts than transmission throughout March 22. Transmission however did not become better before sunset. The reason might be an " electron storm" reported yesterday as an late efect of the solar storm raging on March 08- 09 ( with some minor effects continuing until today) . The SOLAR STORM on March 08 had not any reported SUDDEN effects. But NASA staff had already warned, there could be a late effects" If these disturbances in satellite transmission are one of those "late effect", then it is indeed the strongest radio blackout I hace witnessed so far yet at least during the two years since I am constantly observing those Sun activities...NASA space labs are also widely run by robots, resp. just offers one of the many automatisized graphs from spacecrafts and computers on those special " electron events" . However: also no" human made" report was found there.

NASA/ "GPL/ TEC" IONOSPHERIC CONDITIONS  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.2 - KEPULAUAN SANGIHE, INDONESIA - 2012-03-22 00:21 UTC  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120320 report by: csmonitor.com  

Mexico earthquake: How quake-prone is the region?

Authorities in Mexico are surveying that damage following a magnitude 7.4 quake that struck the country just after noon on Tuesday local time. The quake was centered some 31 miles north-northeast of the city of Ometepec, in a mountainous region dotted with villages. The rupture occurred at a depth of about 12 miles, according to estimates from the US Geological Survey's Earthquake Information Center in Golden, Colo. Given the size of the quake, the population density, the types of buildings in the area, and factors affecting the intensity of shaking, analysts at the center said the quake had the potential to cause up to $100 million in damage and lead to as many as 100 fatalities. So far, however, no deaths or injuries have been reported. But damage estimates are trickling out from the area. Officials in the town of Igualapa told CNN that more than 800 homes have collapsed. In Ometepec, local officials told the network that roughly half of the homes were heavily damaged./...read more

 
CYCLADE ISLAND / GREECE                       EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-22- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

02

HIGHEST MEASURED MAGNITUDE: M 3.3 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2012-03-22 11:28 UTC  

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              
EVENTS NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL LOCAL SURVEY GOOGLE EARTH WEBCAM

MAP:

SOURCES:  
SANGAY- Ecuador 2°0'9"S/ 78°20'27"W March- 23- 2012   VAAC none SOUTHAM GVP  
                      20120322 report by: GVP  

According to the Washington VAAC, a pilot observed an ash plume from Sangay on 22 March that rose to an altitude of 8.2 km (27,000 ft) a.s.l. Cloud cover prevented satellite observations.

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: .volcanodiscovery.  

Sheveluch volcano (Kamchatka): activity increases with daily ash eruptions

According to the latest activity report provided by USGS / GVP Smithsonian, the activity at Shiveluch has increased since 10 March and consisted of daily explosions that produced ash plumes that rose to altitudes of 3-5 km (10,000-16,400 ft) a.s.l. A small viscous lava flow continued to be active in the crater formed during explosions in 2010, and satellite data show a thermal anomaly from the lava dome in the main crater....read more...

 

ENVIRONMENT

                             
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: .euronews.com  

Rival marches held over Ecuador mining plans

Two rival marches have been held over the Ecuadorian government’s plans to develop large-scale mining in the Amazon region. Indigenous groups from that part of the country arrived in the capital on Thursday to voice their anger after marching for two weeks. They say it will pollute their homelands and displace thousands of people. Supporters of President Rafael Correa held a counter-demonstration to back his plans to open up the mining industry to more foreign investment....read more...

 

ENERGY

                      20120323 report by: euronews.com/  

Shell signs shale gas deal in China

Royal Dutch Shell is pioneering shale gas development in China. In the first deal of its kind, the oil major has signed a production sharing contract with China National Petroleum Corporation. Beijing plans to dramatically boost its shale gas output and said it is looking for foreign firms for product sharing contracts with Chinese companies or to provide engineering services. “China has huge shale gas potential and we are committed to making a contribution in bringing that potential into reality,” Shell CEO Peter Voser said in the statement. China has yet to start commercial shale production, though it is widely believed to hold the world’s largest shale resources. ...read more...

 

NUCLEAR

                      20120323 report by: .bbc.co.uk  

 

Chernobyl sheep controls lifted in Wales and Cumbria

Restrictions on hundreds of Welsh and Cumbrian sheep farms dating back to the Chernobyl nuclear disaster have finally been lifted - 26 years on. The Food Standards Agency (FSA) said the controls were not "proportionate" to the "very low risk" and removing them would not compromise the consumer. The disaster in 1986 affected 10,000 UK farms, including 334 in north Wales. The movement of sheep was heavily restricted after the nuclear disaster. Before farmers could sell livestock, the animals' radiation levels had to be monitored. If they were above a certain level, the sheep were moved to another area and the levels had to subside before they could be sold and consumed....read more..

 

SPACE/ TECH

                      20120323 report by: bbc.co.uk  

Europe's ATV space freighter launches

Europe's ATV space truck has blasted off from the Kourou base in French Guiana. The robotic truck is heading to the International Space Station (ISS) with new supplies of food, water, air, and fuel. It is also carrying experiments and spares for the high-flying astronaut outpost. The ship's Ariane 5 carrier rocket left the ground at 04:34 GMT, with the flight to orbit taking 63 minutes. At 20 tonnes, the ATV is the biggest ship servicing the station now that the US shuttles have been retired....read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:D < see definition below> REGION D >   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

22- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

CENTRAL AMERICA

  CENTRAL AMERICA   M 5.5- 6.5 CME INFLUENCES  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

ATLANTIC

    NASCA/ PACIFIC  

23- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

  M 5.5- < 7.0 2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA

 

24- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EASTERN PACIFIC    

 

  M 5.5- < 7.0 2-3  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

  24/12 21:00 UTC 21:00 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

  CONNECTION LOST TO GOES 15!  

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

ELECTRON STORM

ONGOING

NONE

NASA/ GOES 15

 
    25/ 12 MARCH- 25-26  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
no significant CME arrival on March- 19-. LATENCY Geomagnetic field density has decreased today.      

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
     

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

           
            20120315 20/12 155 nT            

SATELLITE IMAGES

         

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

TRACKING NUMBER

CME (UTC)

20120322/ 4:39 UTC   20120321/ 23:59 UTC 20120321/ 16:00 UTC            
25/12 23:59 (LDE)    

As seen through the SDO spacecraft, the entire Earth facing Sun surface still appeared extraordinary active or unsettled during the last two days! (Mar 20- 22). There were numerous small eruptions going off from several areas , but none has reached the M level so far. By these events however , the density in the geomagnetic field has elevated again since March 20 to values of 70- 120 nT . ("normal" values: 50- 80 nT) This is the potential energy for more volcanic activities- rather EARTHQUAKES to come on the next days! One larger event- an LDE C flare activity was observed since Mar 21/ 23: 59 UTC in new emerged AR 11400, that begun, when it still had no sun spots. The minor flare-CME was associated to a filament eruption on an inversion line between an area with opp.polarity East of AR 11400

 
filament eruption and flare in AR 11400    

LOCATION/SUN COORDINATES

   
inversion line- 45- 60° S 0- 45° W    

ERUPTION TYPE

X RAY CLASS

   
filament ass to flare no data    

SIDERIC DIRECTION

VIRGO STEREO "Ahead " STEREO "Behind " SoHO/ LASCO C3 SDO /AIA( comp.    

ARRIVAL (estimated)

MAR- 25/26      
                         

SECTION 4: CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS

CME TRACKING

        ARRIVAL:            

TRACKING NR.:

 

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING >

ACE

GOES

    < IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  

24/12

AR LONG LAT. EVENT CLASS OR DESCRIPTION ERUPTION DATE TIME

SAT./ ARRIVAL TIMES

FIRST SOLAR WIND SHOCK

 

IMPACT > 100 nT

MAIN IMPACT PEAK VALUE RELATIVE MASS* PRIMARY IMPACT REGIONS (red backcolored)  
CME ARRIVAL 11440

25°- 39° W

26° S

LDE event during flare

MARCH- 21 16:00 UTC MAR 22/ 03:30 UTC   11- 21 UTC 19:00 UTC 140 200    
 

This CME appeared weak but is obviously responsible for radio blackouts on satellite TV on March 21- in Europe on March- 21

PEAKS: 19:00 UTC 19:00 UTC   15° E- 150° W SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS>    
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120322  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

24/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

74

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

345-442

FLARE CLASS. C

01

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

102

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.3

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

57- 147 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   SP-CG-Ext. SOUTH GROWING MAR- 22 MAR 23    
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP - CH- Ext. NORTH GROWING MAR- 19 MAR- 23    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 15° N GROWING MAR- 16 MAR- 25    
rotating out >

11433

82 °- 96° W

12° N

            RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11436

                N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11438

44° - 30° E

15° S

            SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11440

38°- 52° W

26° S

                         
NEWLY EMERGED>

11441

56°- 70° W

28° S

                         
NEWLY EMERGED>

11442

52°- 38° E

12° N

                         
NEWLY EMERGED>

11443

56° - 42° E

16° N

                         
                                 
REMARKS >    
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                 
click here to open and close collapsible panel: archive of solar and terrestrial blog/ March 15- 21- 2012
/ eruptive proinence
                         

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

21

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120321 report by: .spaceweather.com/  

ELECTRON STORM: The number of energetic electrons in Earth's outer radiation belt is significantly elevated. According to analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, the enhancement is caused by the aftermath of recent geomagnetic storms mixed with a high-speed solar wind stream. "Spacecraft at GEO, MEO and other orbits passing through or in the vicinity of the Earth's outer radiation belt can be impacted," they say....read more...

 

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.6- NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA - 2012-03-21 22:15 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.24 S ; 145.98 E 2012-03-21 22:15 UTC M 6.6       --  

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!              

Global volcanism program/ weekly update

                20120321 report by: GVP  

14 March-20 March 2012

New Activity/Unrest: | Iliamna, Southwestern Alaska | Nevado del Ruiz, Colombia 
Ongoing Activity: | Cleveland, Chuginadak Island | Etna, Sicily (Italy) | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) | Kizimen, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Popocatépetl, México |Puyehue-Cordón Caulle, Central Chile | Sakura-jima, Kyushu | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) |Soufrière Hills, Montserrat | Tungurahua, Ecuador | Villarrica, Central Chile

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

none

          www. wunderground.com  
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:E- F < see definition below> REGIONS A/F and E/D   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

21- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

EUROPE

 

EUROPE/AFRICA

  M 5.5 6.5 CME arrival  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

ATLANTIC

    INDO/ AUS  

22- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

  M 5.5- < 7.0 2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA/ N- AMERICA

 

23- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EASTERN PACIFIC     N/ S AMERICA/ PACIFIC   M 5.5- < 7.0 2-3  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

         

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

  22 UTC: CONNECTION LOST TO GOES 15!  

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

 

 

 

 

 
    24/ 12 MARCH- 22-23  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

 

 

 

 

 
no significant CME arrival on March- 19-. LATENCY Geomagnetic field density has decreased today.      

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
     

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

           
                           

SATELLITE IMAGES

     

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

TRACKING NUMBER

CME at:

20120321/ 10:39 UTC 20120321/ 10:30 UTC 201221/ 16:00 UTC

 

 
24/12 16:00 UTC  
MINOR BUT LDE EVENT in AR 11440  

LOCATION/SUN COORDINATES

 

25°- 39° W

26° S

 

ERUPTION TYPE

X RAY CLASS

 

CME during C-flare

C 1.0  

SIDERIC DIRECTION

VIRGO STEREO "Ahead " SoHO/ LASCO C3 SDO /AIA( comp.  

ARRIVAL (estimated)

MAR- 22- 23
 
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120315  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

20/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

62

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

350-403

FLARE CLASS. C

04

  :    
SOLAR FLUX

99

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.0

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 120 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)                
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP - CH- Ext.     MAR- 19 MAR- 23    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 509 15° N GROWING MAR- 16 MAR- 25    
 

11433

69 °- 83° W

12° N

            RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
rotating out >

11434

77°-91 ° W

22° S

            N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11436

04°- 18° W

14° S

  MARCH- 21         SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
NEWLY EMERGED>

11438

57° - 43° E

15° S

                         
NEWLY EMERGED>

11440

25°- 39° W

26° S

                         
                                 
REMARKS >    
                         

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

20

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 6.4 - GUERRERO, MEXICO - 2012-03-20 18:02 UTC    
EARTHQUAKES TODAY NAME of REGION LOCATION (long/lat) DATE AND UTC- TIME MAGNITUDE DEPTH CATHEGORY MAP GOOGLE EARTH:  
GLOBAL > 6.0 GUERRERO, MEXICO 16.72 N ; 98.21 W 2012-03-20 18:02 UTC M 6.4 60 km     --  
GLOBAL E: > M 6:0 PAPUA, INDONESIA - 3.85 S ; 140.26 E 2012-03-20 17:56 UTC M 6.0 - 64 km        
CYCLADE ISLAND / GREECE                       EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ SANTORIN/ GREECE MAR-20- 2012 QUAKES ABOVE M 2.O:

none

HIGHEST MEASURED MAGNITUDE:    
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120320 report by: s.denverpost.com  

STRONGER CONTINENTAL EARTHQUAKE NEAR GUERRERO/ MEXICO

Photos: Mexico City Earthquake on March 20, 2012

MEXICO CITY—A strong, long 7.6 earthquake with an epicenter in Guerrero state shook central southern Mexico on Tuesday, swaying buildings in Mexico City and sending frightened workers and residents into the streets. The U.S. Geological Survey set the intensity at 7.6 and said the epicenter was 11 miles underground. Mexico’s National Seismological Survey said the temblor had an epicenter southwest of Ometepec and was felt strongly in Oaxaca. ...see images...

 

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       201203xx report by: huffingtonpost  

 

Mexico Earthquake 2012: 7.4-Magnitude Quake Rocks Mexico

The Associated Press reports that a "strong" earthquake has hit central southern Mexico, rocking Mexico City. The US Geological Survey recorded a 7.4-magnitude in Oaxaca, Mexico. According to Reuters, Guerrero state governor Angel Aguirre said that about 500 houses were damaged in the quake. "We're talking about more than 500 homes that collapsed, were damaged, and some came down," Aguirre reportedly told Milenio TV./...read more...

 

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

none reported today

             
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:E- F < see definition below> REGIONS A/F and E/D   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

20- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

EUROPE

 

EUROPE/AFRICA

  M 5.5- 6.5 2-3  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

ATLANTIC

    INDO/ AUS  

21- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

  M 5.5- < 7.0? 2-3  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA/ N- AMERICA

 

22- MARCH - 2012

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS?

EASTERN PACIFIC     N/ S AMERICA/ PACIFIC   M 5.5- < 7.0? CME arrivaö?  
                         

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/Magnetometer - GEOMAGNETIC FIELD:

TODAY`s CME ARRIVALS (UTC) :

  NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:  
    NUMBER GOEShp ACE (Mag)            

QUIET

  23/12 21:00 UTC 21:00 UTC  

ALERTS:

CURRENT

LAST 24 h

REPORT/LINK

 

UNSETTLED

       

 

 

 

 

 

MINOR STORM

 

APPROACHING CMEs:

 

SOLAR STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 

MAJOR STORM

  NUMBER EXPECTED ON:  

 

 

 

 

 
    24/12 MAR- 22  

RADIATION STORMS

NONE

NONE

 

 
REMARKS          

 

 

 

 

 
no significant CME arrival on March- 19-. LATENCY Geomagnetic field density has decreased today.      

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE

 

 
     

DATE:

LATEST CME ARRIVAL:

           
           

20120315

MAX VALUE: 155 nT:

           

SATELLITE IMAGES

         

SPACE FOR REMARKS OR VIDEO SOURCES

 

TRACKING NUMBER

CME at:

CH 508 on March- 20- 2012   20120320/ 01:30 (2) 20120320/ 03:59 UTC            
none

3:59 UTC

       
SURFACE ERUTION in AR 11436  

The visible Sun surface was very active and kind of unsettled during the recent days. Many small eruptions were observed from various areas, mainly around and within the large but meanwhile recurrent CH 508. Could be a sign for an upcoming solar storm?

(2) minor (surface) eruption from spotless region AR 11436 on March 20/ 3:59 UTC

 

LOCATION/SUN COORDINATES

   

05° W- 09° E

14° S

   

ERUPTION TYPE

X RAY CLASS

   

minor surface eruption

C 1.0      

SIDERIC DIRECTION

  STAR MAP by solen.info/ STEREO "Behind " SoHO/ LASCO C3 SDO /AIA( comp.      

ARRIVAL (estimated)

                   

SECTION 4: CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS

CME TRACKING

        ARRIVAL:            

TRACKING NR.:

 

SOLAR EVENT DATA

CME EVENT

APPROACHING >

ACE

GOES

    < IMPACT > CME ARRIVAL DATA (EARTH)  

23/12

AR LONG LAT. EVENT CLASS OR DESCRIPTION ERUPTION DATE TIME

SAT./ ARRIVAL TIMES

FIRST SOLAR WIND SHOCK

 

IMPACT > 100 nT

MAIN IMPACT PEAK VALUE RELATIVE MASS* PRIMARY IMPACT REGIONS (red backcolored)  
CME ARRIVAL North of AR 11433     eruption on inversion line in unspotted region MAR- 18/ 4:54 UTC 21:00 21:00 UTC  

CME was minor but elevated geomagnetic field density

 
 

This CME appeared weak but is obviously responsible for radio blackouts on satellite TV on March 21- in Europe on March- 21

PEAKS: 21- 212UTC ongoing   15° E- 150° W SECONDARY IMPACT REGIONS> REGIONS A and B  
   

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT

 
EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/  
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER CME IMPACT (LATENCY!) on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES between the RED and the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Minor ones between the yellow and green regions  

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION "D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

related CME  
  EASTERN EURASIA, S-W ASIA. INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES CENTRAL PACIFIC: KAMCHATKA, JAPAN- AUSTRALIA, NZ, PNG,. VANUATU,. FIJI WESTERN USA AND EASTERN PACIFIC/ CANADA/ ALASKA/ USA WEST COASTS EASTERN AND CENTRAL AMERICA/ CARIBIC/COLUMBIA,/PERU ENTIRE ATLANTIC/ ICELAND, SOUTHERN AMERICA - EASTERN COAST CENTRAL EUROPE/ AFRICA/ ASIA MINOR

ARRIVAL:

 
TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> INDIA/AUSTRALIA> EURASIA >E- AFRICA- ARABIA (RED SEA ) EURASIA NORTH- AMERICA/ NORTH AMERICA> PACIFIC SOUTH AMERICA incl NASCA > PACIFIC EURASIA/ NORTH AMERICA/ AFRICA NORTHERN AMERICA EURASIA > AFRICA/ ARABIA 20120315  
TIME ZONES> UTC + 9 >> UTC + 4 UTC+/- 12 >>> UTC+ 9 UTC- 9 >>>UTC+/- 12 UTC- 4 >>> UTC -9 UTC >> UTC - 4 UTC+ 4 >>> UTC

CME Nr.:

 
LONGITUDES>

120° E- 60° E

180° - 120° E

120° W- 180° W

60° W- 120° W

00° W- 60° W

60° E- 00°

20/12

 
               

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

        solar data by: solen.info      
SOLAR PARAMETERS   SPECIAL SOLAR ACTIVITIES TOTAL:   NOAA/TODAY`S ALERTS:    
SUNSPOT NUMBER

74

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) 376-452 FLARE CLASS. C 01   :    
SOLAR FLUX 99 X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.8

  M    

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     
PLANETARY "A" INDEX 09 GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

45- 105 nT

  X     NUMBER LATITUDE: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING FADING  
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS:       CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS)   CH 507 TRANSEQU. RECURR. MAR- 08 MAR 13- 14 rotating out  
REMARKS: ACTIVE REGION

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES EARTH FACING ON: CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:   NP - CH- Ext.   EXPANDING MAR- 19 MAR- 23    
  LONGITUDE LATITUDE   CH 508 30- 45° S GROWING MAR- 16 MAR- 20    
rotating out >

11432

79°-93° W

32° N

            RECURR.= RECURRENT T.EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL  
 

11433

55 °- 69° W

12° N

            N-P - CH- Ext- NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
 

11434

65°-79 ° W

22° S

            SP - CH- Ext- SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION    
rotating out >

11435

75°- 89° W

25° S

                         
 

11436

09°E- 05° W

14° S

  MARCH- 21                      
NEWLY EMERGED>

11438

70° - 56° E

15° S

                         
NEWLY EMERGED>

11439

80°- 66° W

29° N

                         
                                 
REMARKS >    
                         

2012

MONTH:

MARCH

 

DAY:

19

   

TERRESTRIAL

 
                       

SECTION 1 >

- ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG -

                   
                           

TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!
  EXTERNAL SOURCES  

EARTHQUAKES

                     

by:

EMSC NEIC  

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL > M 5.7 - SAMOA ISLANDS REGION - 2012-03-19 23:46 UTC    
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120319 report by:    
 

Mount ETNA ( Sicil, Italia) had a major eruption early on March- 19: A 7 km high ash cloud rises up into the sky. Lava flowed from the main crater into an unhabited valley. The airport at Catania remained opened.

 

STORMS/ HURRICANES/ CYCLONES>

none reported today

             
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120318 report by: .heraldsun.com.  

Cyclone Lua upgraded to category four

TROPICAL Cyclone Lua has been upgraded to category 4 as communities take shelter along Western Australia's northwest coast following the issue of a red alert. Lua is expected to make landfall some time on Saturday afternoon, bringing with it potentially devastating wind gusts of up to 230km/h along with heavy rain, flooding and a dangerous storm tide. A bulletin issued by WA's Fire and Emergency Services Authority (FESA) at 5.45am (WST) today said a red alert was in place for coastal communities between Wallal and Port Hedland, including 80 Mile Beach, Sandfire, Pardoo and South Hedland in the Pilbara and Kimberley....read more..(including video source)

 
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120319 report by: .cbn.com  

Warm Midwest Braces for Severe Storms

Many areas of the U.S. have been enjoying unseasonably warm weather. But some of those same areas were bracing Monday for the possibility of severe storms. More than a dozen tornadoes moved across the plains over the weekend. The National Weather Service warned a powerful cold front in the West slowly creeping east could trigger severe storms from Nebraska to Texas and bring heavy rains and possible flooding in the coming days as it lingers over Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. ...read more...

 

ENVIRONMENT

                       
MEDIA REPORTS                       20120318 report by: .thestatecolumn  

Insecticide linked to colony collapse; Will Congress take action?

A team of scientists say that the widespread death of bees across the nation is likely linked to insecticide. New research shows a link between an increase in the death of bees and insecticides, specifically the chemicals used to coat corn seeds, according to a report released late this week. The study, titled “Assessment of the Environmental Exposure of Honeybees to Particulate Matter Containing Neonicotinoid Insecticides Coming from Corn Coated Seeds,” was published in the American Chemical Society’s Environmental Science & Technology journal. The study provides insight into colony collapse disorder, and may pressure lawmakers to consider increased regulation of the chemicals. ...read more

 

METHANHYDRATE REALEASES ( after SOLAR CME impacts)

              20120318 report by: .bbc.co.uk  

Climate 'tech fixes' urged for Arctic methane

An eminent UK engineer is suggesting building cloud-whitening towers in the Faroe Islands as a "technical fix" for warming across the Arctic. Scientists told UK MPs this week that the possibility of a major methane release triggered by melting Arctic ice constitutes a "planetary emergency". The Arctic could be sea-ice free each September within a few years. Wave energy pioneer Stephen Salter has shown that pumping seawater sprays into the atmosphere could cool the planet./...read more...

 
                           

SEKTION 2/ 3 (RESEARCH PROJECT) : CME AND OTHER SOLAR EFFECTS

 

 

 

>

 
         

EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

IMPACT REGIONS:

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 
   

EXPECTABLE IN REGION

< GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS >

EXPECTABLE IN REGION:

           
ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES-

REGIONS:E- F < see definition below> REGIONS A/F and E/D   ALERT LEVEL ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)  
 

MAJOR SUDDEN STORMS

     

-RISING TEMPERATURES

GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS:

   

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

19- MARCH - 2012

 

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS

EUROPE

 

EUROPE/AFRICA

  M 5.5- 6.5-LATENCY CME ARRIVAL  

AVALANCHES AND FLOODINGS

ATLANTIC

    INDO/ AUS  

20- MARCH - 2012

 

ELECTROMAGNETIC INDUCTION

CENTRAL AMERICA

   

SECONDARY:

  M 5.5-- 6.5 -LATENCY CME ARRIVAL  

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY:

EURASIA/ N- AMERICA