NOTE: I WILL APPLY A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >
Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.
Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on the following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.
click here to open panel with graphics for volcano maps map , Earthquake statistic OCTOBER 2012
True and REAL TIME graphic solution, that makes obvious the coincidences of CME impacts and extraordinary natural phenomenons such as heavier Earthquakes, volcano eruptions, hurricanes. sudden ice meltdowns (floddings) and others
( click on the graphic top to enlarge it):
INTERNAL MAPS:
click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions
^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX
click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION
OCT- 23- 2012: a strong X 2 event occured this morning from AR 11598 after 3:00 UTC without a CME emitting form the event NASA issued an R 3 xray Radio blackout warning Further stronger flares and CMEs are possible for the next days°
October 20/21- 2012
On October 20/21 a new extremely active and eruptive region ( AR 11598) rotated in from the Eastern limb and produced two M flares ( M 9) and several C flares associated with type II radio emisssions (sweeps) indicating Coronal mass ejections since it became visible. Allthough these CMEs from AR 11598 have yet no real Earth directed parts, their X ray emissions were so strong that they triggered an R 2 solar radiation alert on Oct 20- 21. AR 11598 is situated near the Sun equator ( at 12° S) will rotate into a central Earth facing position on Oct 27. AR 11598 is currently still growing and capable for M or even X class events. There is no indicator yet,that AR 11598 is producing most dangerous PROTON events ( read more in blog of Oct 20- 23)
TERRESTRIAL HEADLINES
OCT- 31- 2012: an CME- stronger than anticipated - impacted today at around 15:00 UTC . The impact began above the Western and central Atlantic and was ongoing at time of this update . With the first impact shock, the geomagnetic field density reached a maximum of 162 Nano Tesla (nT) = strong ( 2-3)
OCT- 28- 2012
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARING CENTER (LATEST) : OCT- 28/ 03:58 HST/ THE TSUNAMI ADVISORY IS ENDED FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII EFFECTIVE AT 0358 AM HST
OCT- 28- 2012. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS: ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012 LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION/ MAGNITUDE - 7.1. TSUNAMI WARNIG FOR US COAST: A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA. THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
TSUNAMI WARNING IN EFFECT FOR HAWAII ISLANDS ! A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED THAT COULD CAUSE DAMAGE ALONG COASTLINES OF ALL ISLANDS IN THE STATE OF HAWAII. URGENT ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY.
OCT- 21- 2012:
The continuing earthquakes swarm along the San Andreas fault resumed on October- 21 in the Los Angeles region. Since Aug- 31- 2012 , seismic activities significantly have increased from the Gulf of California through the San Andreas fault between the NA and Pacific plate- envolving the Cocosplate in the South ) up to the cascadian subduction zone on the bundaries to the Juan de Fuca plate . The entire average magnitudes of tremors and swarm quakes in the region exceeded in 2012 5.0- and were therefore 1- 2 magnitudes higher than 2010/ 2011 (1 magnitude = x factor 10- /2 magnitude difference equals a factor x100 a.s.o.) .
A similiar increase of average Earthquake activity was observed throughout the year 2012 along the plate boundaries of the northern Eurasian and North- American plate SPREADING ZONE in the northern Atlantic and arctic sea, I would interprate as an accelerated cntinental drift. On Oct- 21, seismic activity first time exceeded magnitude M 5.0 also on the Northern shelf of Iceland itself. Its unclear whether this activity ALSO is related to volcano activities The new swarm on October 21 took place offshore in the Tjörnes Fracture Zone mainly between the Northern Coast of Iceland and the small island of Grimsey and reached a highest magnitude of M 5.2 ( the highest value measured in at least 10 years.) . volcanodiscovery writes,a submarine volcano is known from a location north of Grimsey that erupted in 1372.
click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" OCTOBER 22- 31- 2012
note: allthough CME impacts are regularly coincident at least with TEMPORARY volcano acticity increases, my time does not allow to introduce such
< stats
DETAILLED resp. "FINE TUNED"statistic reports as required to communicate this!. This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to findat least more detailled internal reports >
SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Regions 1596 (N06, L=152) and 1598 (S11W65) both produced C1 flares at 31/0507Z and 31/1139Z respectively. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed during the reporting period. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-flare activity.
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, ote, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED TO COVER ALL ENTROPIC UNCERTAINTIES . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121031
int. CME Nr. >>
81/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
45°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
ICELAND/ CANARIES
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
31- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. A sudden impulse of 13 nT was observed at the Boulder magnetometer at 31/1539Z due to the arrival of a CME. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated
OCT- 31- 2012: an CME- stronger than anticipated - impacted today at around 15:00 UTC . The impact began above the Western and central Atlantic and was ongoing at time of this update . With the first impact shock, the geomagnetic field density reached a maximum of 162 Nano Tesla (nT) = strong ( 2-3)
3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT
EXPLANATIONS>
Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.
Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./
Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>
INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!
STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS
The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"
REGIONS
REGION "A"
REGION "B"
REGION "C"
REGION"
D"
REGION "E"
REGION "F"
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>
EASTERN EURASIA- CHINA- INDONESIA- PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST
SDF Number 304 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1598 (S11W51) produced a B8 flare at 0137Z. A filament eruption occurred from 0640Z to 0855Z near S32E07 with a heliographic extent of 24 degrees. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for low level activity.
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
NONE
ARRIVAL:
(estimated): Oct- 25- 26
POLARITY:
UNKNOWN
BETA
ALPHA (PROTONS)
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, ote, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED TO COVER ALL ENTROPIC UNCERTAINTIES . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
30- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
OCT- 30: The geomagnetic field is still under influence of hightened electron flux that is no more that typical late effect of the last proton event but likely origins from solar wind streams.
SDF Number 303 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The largest and only event of the period was a B6 flare at 29/0302Z from Region 1596 (N05W79). Regions 1601 (S10E11) and 1602 (S17E65) were numbered today. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected during the reporting period. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for M-class flares.
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
ARRIVAL:
(estimated): Oct- 25- 26
POLARITY:
UNKNOWN
BETA
ALPHA (PROTONS)
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, ote, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED TO COVER ALL ENTROPIC UNCERTAINTIES . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
29- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA. THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED THAT COULD CAUSE DAMAGE ALONG COASTLINES OF ALL ISLANDS IN THE STATE OF HAWAII. URGENT ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY.THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME IN HAWAII OF THE FIRST TSUNAMI WAVE IS 1028 PM HST SAT 27 OCT 2012 MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS WARRANT
EVALUATION TSUNAMI WAVE HEIGHTS ACROSS THE STATE OF HAWAII ARE NOW BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AND ARE CONTINUING TO DIMINISH. BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IS NOW CANCELLING THE TSUNAMI ADVISORY. SMALLER SEA LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL CURRENTS MAY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL ADDITIONAL HOURS AND APPROPRIATE CAUTION SHOULD BE EXERCISED BY BOATERS AND SWIMMERS. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL MESSAGE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED.
:
UNDER SURVEY: EARTHQUAKE SWARMS
NAME OF REGION:
FIRST OBSERVED ON:
click for epicenter map:
EVENTS WITH PARTICULAR QUAKESHIGHER THAN M 2 AND EXCEEDING M 3.0:
'Our hearts are still beating fast' Magnitude 7.7. quake recorded off Haida Gwaii At least four communities evacuated
A magnitude 7.7 earthquake centered in the Queen Charlotte Islands region was felt across the province late Saturday evening, a reminder for British Columbians to be prepared for ‘the Big One.The quake, which hit at 8:04 p.m. Saturday, originated in Haida Gwaii, about 199 kilometres west of Prince Rupert, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. Up to eight aftershocks followed including an initial magnitude 5.8 aftershock at 8:14 p.m. and a magnitude 4.8 aftershock later at 8:52 p.m. Communities were evacuated on Hawaii Gwaii and at Port Edward on the mainland. Tsunami warnings were extended for the Queen Charlotte Islands, the north coast of B.C. including Bella Bella and Bella Coola stretching down to the northern tip of Vancouver Island. Tsunami advisories, a lower category of warning, were put out for the rest of Vancouver Island into the Capitol District.“At first, we thought that it was the beginning of a storm or a large military vehicle passing by,” he told the Province. “We ran to the nearest doorway and felt the whole room sway and shake.” After the initial shaking stopped, Querengesser said he and others quickly drove to a tsunami evacuation zone. ...read more...
(CNN) -- A tsunami warning for Hawaii, triggered by a powerful earthquake in Canada, proved nothing more than a pre-Halloween scare for thousands of people this weekend. "The tourists are doing their best Chicken Little impressions," one CNN iReporter in West Maui, Hawaii, wrote early Sunday. Sirens announced the tsunami warning across Hawaii on Saturday night, as thousands of revelers packed streets in Honolulu for the annual Hallowbaloo festival and many others in costumes headed to Halloween parties. Restaurants, clubs and the festival immediately shut down and the parties turned into bumper-to-bumper traffic jams as residents headed to higher ground. Visions of the devastating quake and tsunami that killed thousands in Japan in March 2011 fueled the fright, but the waves proved to be smaller and less powerful than feared. While the warning said waves could surge between 3 and 6 feet, the largest wave, measured in Kahului on the island of Maui, was about 2.5 feet above ambient sea level, according to Gerard Fryer, senior geophysicist at the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center. The evacuation orders for coastal residents and the tsunami warning were canceled by 1 a.m. in Hawaii (7 a.m. ET) and a tsunami advisory was put in its place. That advisory was lifted three hours later...read more...
SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: Solar activity was low. The only C class event, a long duration C1 flare was observed at 28/0805Z. An active region around the west limb appears to have been the source of the event and LASCO C2/C3 indicate an associated CME occurred. Analysis of the CME via LASCO and STEREO indicate that the transient should not affect Earth. However, further analysis of the CME noted in the forecast yesterday has determined that there were two separate events, both from filament eruptions, and both with Earthward trajectories. A new, but unnumbered region, is beginning to rotate around the Southeast limb of the disk. All regions currently on the disk were unchanged or in decay. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low for days one through three (29-31 October).
try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, ote, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED TO COVER ALL ENTROPIC UNCERTAINTIES . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
28- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated
note: allthough CME impacts are regularly coincident at least with TEMPORARY volcano acticity increases, my time does not allow to introduce such
< stats
DETAILLED resp. "FINE TUNED"statistic reports as required to communicate this!. This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to findat least more detailled internal reports >
AVO reported that during 24-30 October seismicity at Iliamna remained slightly elevated. Clear satellite and web camera views showed nothing unusual. The Alert Level remained at Advisory and the Aviation Color Coderemained at Yellow.
OVSICORI-UNA reported that a phreatic eruption at Poás was recorded at 1120 on 27 October. A phreatic eruption later that day (at 1757) ejected water, sulfur-rich sediments, and rock fragments out of the lake. The ejecta landed on the S and SW edges of the crater floor. According to a news article, local residents heard a loud rumble at about 0100 on 28 October; a phreatic eruption ejected sediment 500 m above the lake, and produced ashfall several hundreds of meters away.
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >
no tropical storm reported so far
click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM
SDF Number 301 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Three low-level C-class flares were observed from behind the west limb, likely from old Region 1594 (S27, L=200). Region 1598 (S11W10), a Dkc/Beta-Delta spot group, remained the most magnetically complex region on the visible disk and produced a B9/Sf flare at 27/1235Z. Region 1596 (N08W48), a Dao/Beta-Gamma spot group, has shown signs of penumbral decay, mainly in its trailer spots. The remaining two spot groups were stable and unremarkable. A CME was observed in STEREO Ahead COR 2 imagery at 27/1824Z. Further analysis will be performed to determine its geo-effectiveness as data becomes available. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for isolated M-class flares for the next three days (28-30 October).
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
18:42 UTC
REVIEW/ update:
CMEs observed between OCT 22 and 28 were minor geoeffective/ but raised geomag field density
try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!
internal remarks
2012
alien-homepage.de
T(4) A kind of strange filament eruption was observed on Oct 27 beginning after 19 UTC: A strange black cloud or filament erupted North of AR 11596 on the southern edge of the currently large Northern polar CH extension and formed a black plume when collapsing again.(4) he event ended with a minor flare in AR 11596 . PROTON FLUX SLIGHTLY INCREASED AFTER 22:30 UTC
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, ote, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED TO COVER ALL ENTROPIC UNCERTAINTIES . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
27- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, remained steady at approximately 350 km/s. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field had minor deflections of +/- 5 nT while the total field remained steady at 5 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated
OCT- 27: A minor disturbance was observed after 02 UTC, possibly the arrival of a portion of numerous minor- mainly filament eruptions observed during the past days (mainly around unspotted region AR 11596- meanwhile spotted ) or an CH HS Solar wind Stream from a closing CH.
- A slight rise in GEOMAGNETIC FIELD DENSITY accomponied by minor tremors oserved during tha last two days likely was likely caused by some solar wind streams crossing the earth`s path from minor filament eruptions and CMEs during the past days
3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT
EXPLANATIONS>
Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.
Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./
Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>
INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!
STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS
The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"
REGIONS
REGION "A"
REGION "B"
REGION "C"
REGION"
D"
REGION "E"
REGION "F"
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>
EASTERN EURASIA- CHINA- INDONESIA- PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST
ROME (Reuters) – A magnitude 5 earthquake struck north of Cosenza in southern Italy early on Friday, and police said a hospital had been evacuated after cracks were found in its structure, but there were no reports of injuries. The quake hit at 1:05 a.m. (2305 GMT on Thursday) about 6.3 km (3.9 miles) underground, north of Cosenza in the Pollino mountains area on the border of the southern regions of Calabria and Basilicata, according to data from the Italian Geophysics Institute (INGV). It said on its website that at least 14 other tremors followed the initial earthquake...read more...
Hurricane Sandy could merge with a winter storm to create what they have dubbed "Frankenstorm" as it churns towards the US, forecasters warn. Sandy has weakened to a category one hurricane, but is still packing maximum sustained winds of 75mph (120km/h). Sandy reportedly caused up to 40 deaths as it tore through the Caribbean on Thursday and Friday. The storm is projected to hit the US late on Monday, a week before the presidential election. States of emergency have been declared in Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Washington and a coastal county in North Carolina.
. On Thursday, Sandy caused a storm surge leading to severe flooding along Cuba's south-eastern coastline. Civil emergency authorities said 11 people had died as the storm lashed the island - nine of those in Santiago province and two in Guantanamo province, despite Cuba's well-rehearsed hurricane preparations. Most victims were killed by falling trees or collapsing buildings. "The hurricane was very big. I have never seen anything like it in my 54 years," said Santiago resident Reinaldo Rivas. Elsewhere, 20 deaths were reported in Haiti - where much of the infrastructure remains in a poor condition following a massive earthquake in 2010. More than 1,000 people sought refuge in shelters there, as Sandy caused widespread power outages, flooded streets and damaged buildings. Four fatalities were reported across the Dominican Republic, Jamaica and the Bahamas.... read more...
SDF Number 300 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 1598 (S12E04), a Dko/Beta-Delta spot group, remained the most magnetically complex region, yet only produced a C1/Sf flare at 26/1607Z. The most active region was an area of enhanced plage near S27W87, formerly Region 1594, where three low-level C-class flares originated. Region 1596 (N08W35) showed signs of umbral separation, and new Region 1600 (N09W14) was numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for M-class flares for the next three days (27-29 October).
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
NONE
ARRIVAL:
(estimated): Oct- 25- 26
POLARITY:
UNKNOWN
BETA
ALPHA (PROTONS)
ELECTRON FLUX reached 1000 pfu.
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
(In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
26- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, remained relatively steady at 350 km/s. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field remained mostly positive, with minor deflections of +/-4 nT, while the total field held steady at 4 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated
OCT- 23: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit increased on OCT 08 following the proton events end of Sept 2012 and remained at high levels until Oct- 23. This Electron flux began to DECREASE again significantly on OCT 23. As expected, major Earthquakes activities set in along the recent CME impact zone soon after and may likely continue for the coming days. OCT- 24: A new increase in solar activity became significant on October 20 and will likely reach its peak INCREASE in the coming days . The extreme AR 11598 rotated into view after Oct 20 and will be in a centrally EARTH FACING position on Oct 26. AR 11598 still increases in size and activity with several flares and CME per day and after amajor X 1.8 flare ( without CME) on OCT 23. It might be capable for DANGEROUS PROTON EVENTS
SDF Number 299 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 1598 (S12E18) produced a few low-level C-class events throughout the period, and remains the most magnetically complex region on the disk. Although Region 1598 continues to decay, a weak Delta magnetic configuration was still observed in the regions trailer spots. Region 1596 (N07W21) is a moderately sized region with some magnetic complexity, but did not produce any flares during the period. The other regions on the disk were either stable or decaying. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate with a chance for M-class events for the next three days (26 - 28 Oct) with Region 1598 the most likely source.
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
NONE
ARRIVAL:
POLARITY:
UNKNOWN
BETA
ALPHA (PROTONS)
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
(In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
ACTIVE ELECTRONS-END!
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
25- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, was predominately steady around 350 km/s. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field ranged between +/- 4 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated
The geomagnetic field was under the influence of weak solar wind streams from the filament eruption observed on OCT-22 ( 80/12) and field density rose for some percentage. The strong X 1.8 class explosive flare on OCT- 23 HAD NOT PRODUCED ANY CME:
SAN JOSE, Costa Rica (AP) — A powerful earthquake struck Costa Rica’s Pacific coast on Tuesday, swaying buildings and sending people running into the streets in the nation’s capital of San Jose. The 6.5-magnitude quake was centered in the Guanacaste region of the Central American country, only 5 miles (8 kilometers) from the popular tourist town of Nicoya, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. It had a depth of 24.5 miles (39.5 kilometers), according to a preliminary report. At the beach of Matapalo, an hour drive from Nicoya, residents said they heard a roaring sound when the quake struck.The original quake was felt in San Jose, where people ran out of buildings fearing they would collapse. Vanessa Rosales, president of Costa Rica’s National Commission for Emergencies, said no one had reported serious damage from Tuesday’s quake. Red Cross officials also said no damages had been reported yet. Rosales said that on Wednesday they will have a more complete picture of what the quake did....read more...
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>
note: allthough CME impacts are regularly coincident at least with TEMPORARY volcano acticity increases, my time does not allow to introduce such
< stats
DETAILLED resp. "FINE TUNED"statistic reports as required to communicate this!. This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to findat least more detailled internal reports >
One person killed as Hurricane Sandy batters Jamaica
A man has been crushed to death by boulders as Hurricane Sandy sweeps across Jamaica, moving north to Cuba. The category one hurricane struck the island on Wednesday, unleashing heavy rains and winds of 125km/h (80mph). Schools and airports are closed, and a curfew has been imposed in major towns. A police officer was shot and injured by looters in the capital, Kingston. A hurricane warning has also been issued in Cuba, where Sandy is expected to make its next landfall. Moving at 22km/h, the hurricane struck Kingston on Wednesday evening and headed north, emerging off the island's northern coast near the town of Port Antonio. Sandy has prompted a hurricane watch in the Bahamas, while Florida has been placed on tropical storm watch...read more...incl. video source!
SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: Solar activity has been low. Region 1598 (S12E29) has produced numerous C-class events throughout the period, and remains the most magnetically complex region on the disk. Although slight decay was noted in Region 1598s trailer spots, it still maintains a Delta magnetic configuration. Region 1596 (N08W08) is moderately sized with some magnetic complexity, but did not produce any flares during the period. The other regions either remained stable or were decaying.IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate to high with occasional M-class events, and a slight chance for an isolated X-class event for the next three days (25 - 27 Oct) with Region 1598 the most likely source.
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
REVIEW/ update:
CMEs observed between OCT 22 and 28 were minor geoeffective/ but raised geomag field density
try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!
internal remarks
2012
alien-homepage.de
(4, 5) impulsive ( class C 2) flare with large associated filament eruption in unspotted AR 11593/ S 1997 on Oct 24/ after 01:19 UTC ( no associated x ray emmission). Other Satellite images were not available yet at the time of this update: SoHO had a transmission gap between 0: 54 and 09:30, STEREO Behind ws knocked out yesterady at 16: 42 UTC until today9:25 UTC and STEREO Ahead has no images between 16: 42 ( Oct 23) and 3:54 ( Oct- 24) . The event obviously has unleashed a major CME. Its course and size can be analysed if Sat transmission will resume or upon arrival at Earth
LAST CME ARRIVALS:
DATE OF LAST CME ARRIVAL >
20121009
NUMBER > 79/ 12
filament eruption
STRENGTH >
165 nT (LDE)
CURRENTLY APPROACHING CMEs
01
ACTIVE>
LATEST CME EVENTS:
LATENCY EFFECTS
ERUPTION DAY >
20120927/ 17:20
20120927/ 23:42
20121005/ 04 UTC
20121007/ 7:00 UTC
20121022/ 18:59 UTC
(this section refers to parameters known to influence terrestrial CME effects, such as: . paradox proton effects , CH a.o.)
CMEs BY TRACKING NRS.>
not numbered
77/ 12
78/ 12
79/12
80/12 partial?
FIRST IMPACT
LAST IMPACT
LATENCY:
PROTONLATENCY /END *
ELECTRONS EFFECTIVE UNTIL:
ERUPTION TYPE:
C4 flare in AR 11579
PROTONS
CH (magnetic eruption?) (LDE)
filament eruption South of CH 538
impulsive M5 flare in AR 11598
OCT- 08
OCT- 10?
CME CLUSTER
NONE
NONE
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL
SEP 09- 10
OCT- 03
OCT- 08?
OCT- 10
OCT- 24- 25
SEP- 30
single CME
PROTONS
OCT- 09
OCT- 09- 23: : Electron 2MeV Integral Flux > 1000pfu
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, decreased slowly throughout the period from around 370 km/s to around 340 km/s. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field ranged from +/- 2 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated
OCT- 23: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit increased on OCT 08 following the proton events end of Sept 2012 and remained at high levels until Oct- 23. This Electron flux began to DECREASE again significantly on OCT 23. As expected, major Earthquakes activities set in along the recent CME impact zone soon after and may likely continue for the coming days. OCT- 24: A new increase in solar activity became significant on October 20 and will likely reach its peak INCREASE in the coming days . The extreme AR 11598 rotated into view after Oct 20 and will be in a centrally EARTH FACING position on Oct 26. AR 11598 still increases in size and activity with several flares and CME per day and after amajor X 1.8 flare ( without CME) on OCT 23. It might be capable for DANGEROUS PROTON EVENTS
3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT
EXPLANATIONS>
Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.
Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./
Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME or CME cluster/
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>
INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!
STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS
The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"
REGIONS
REGION "A"
REGION "B"
REGION "C"
REGION"
D"
REGION "E"
REGION "F"
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>
EASTERN EURASIA- CHINA- INDONESIA- PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST
84 Million Stars are visible on a panorama image with a dimension of 9 Giga pixels. The image was made with the infrared telescope of the Paranal observatory situated in the in the desert of Atacama/ Chile. Its not possible to make and image of the entire Mikay Way galaxy from the earth . The image shows the outher spiral arm, we are living in. However- it just covers 1 % of the night sky and just a little portion around the center of our spiral galaxy. The massive black hole there forming the rotation center in in each Galaxy is what the scientist are most interested in.Click here or or the thumb ( left) for a zoomable version published by ESO/ Garching/ Munich/ Germany . The European Southern Observatory celebrates its 50th anniversary this year.
India files biopiracy lawsuit against Monsanto, says biotech giant is stealing nature for corporate gain
(NaturalNews) Representing one of the most agriculturally bio-diverse nations in the world, India has become a primary target for biotechnology companies like Monsanto and Cargill to spread their genetically-modified (GM) crops into new markets. However, a recent France 24 report explains that the Indian government has decided to take an offensive approach against this attempted agricultural takeover by suing Monsanto for "biopiracy," accusing the company of stealing India's indigenous plants in order to re-engineer them into patented varieties. Brinjal, also known in Western nations as eggplant, is a native Indian crop for which there are roughly 2,500 different unique varieties. Millions of Indian farmers grow brinjal, which is used in a variety of Indian food dishes, and the country grows more than a quarter of the world's overall supply of the vegetable.And in an attempt to capitalize on this popular crop, Monsanto has repeatedly tried to commercially market its own GM variety of brinjal called Bt brinjal. But massive public outcry against planned commercial approval of Monsanto's "frankencrop" variety in 2010 led to the government banning it for an indefinite period of time. ...read more...
SDF Number 297 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Oct 2012 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been high. Region 1598 (S12E44) produced an X1 event with an associated Tenflare and Type-II radio sweep at 23/0317Z. There was no CME observed in association with this event. Region 1598 remains the most threatening region on the disk and appears to have a Delta magnetic configuration within its trailer spots. Region 1596 (N07E06) is also moderately sized and has some magnetic complexity, but did not produce any flares during the period. Region 1593 (N15W33) produced a long-duration C3 event at 23/0821Z with an associated CME seen on STEREO-A imagery. There is not enough data available to model the CME, but at this time it does not appear likely to be geoeffective. Newly numbered Region 1599 (S09E73) appears to have a simple alpha magnetic class. The other regions on the disk either remained stable or were decaying.
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME)
(date)
CMEs at:
NONE
REVIEW/ update:
CMEs observed between OCT 22 and 28 were minor geoeffective/ but raised geomag field density
try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!
internal remarks
2012
alien-homepage.de
OCT- 23- 2012: a strong X 2 event occured this morning at 3:17 UTC. NASA issued an R 3 x- ray radio blackout warning on Oct- 23 .(4) No rise in Earth directed proton flux was observed after the event. Only SDO submitted images of the event. Its likely but not sure whether this CME has Earth directed components. o CE was obviously emitted wit that event STEREO shows just a small CME, which seems to be associated to another minor flare in AR 11593 ( see USAF report above) . This small CME was fully halo,but almost uínvisibe on SoHO
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
(In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>
20121008
int. CME Nr. >>
78/ 12
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:
EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:
PRIMARY REGIONS
CME STRENGTH:
PRIMARY REGIONS
ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT: LARGER EVENTS ARE LIKELY WITH LATENCIES
ALERT LEVEL
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS
60°- 135° W (120° W)
MEDIUM
PLATE BOUNDARIES OF
ALERT LEVEL
ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES
ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)
(THUNDER-) STORMS
EASTERN PACIFIC
< VOLCANISM/ QUAKES >
N- AMERICA >< EURASIA
ACTIVE ELECTRONS (DECREASE)
WARM
HOT
DRY
USA- WEST
< GEOGRAPHIC >
N/S- AMERICA >< PACIFIC
23- OCTOBER - 2012
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS
CALIFORNIA
These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured at the ACE spacecraft, remained steady throughout the period at approximately 370 km/s. The Bz component o
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