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alien- homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- -SUN SPOT ACTIVITY- 11- years solar cycle- last update: FEB- 15- 2013- -07:00 UTC copyright: reserved

background image: Aurora Borealis /COMMONS / wikipedia
open source earthquake forecast project created and provided by: alien-homepage.de-

 

 

2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE
FEBRUARY - 2013

 

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

TRANSLATORS
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PROJECT CENTRAL:

ws

PAGES RELATED TO THIS SOLAR/TERRESTRIAL PROJECT>
>HAVE YOU ANY COMMENT?
               
SOHO REALTIME current view on the Sun
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:
2013 > FEB                  
2012 >

2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL APPLY A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on the following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics, volcano maps , earthquake statistic- FEBRUARY- 2013
   

True and REAL TIME graphic solution, that makes obvious the coincidences of CME impacts and extraordinary natural phenomenons such as heavier Earthquakes, volcano eruptions, hurricanes. sudden ice meltdowns (floddings) and others

( click on the graphic top to enlarge it):

INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

- incident graphic will be completed at the end of the month-

SPACECRAFTS:
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

 

 

 

 

click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" FEBRUARY 22- 28- 2013

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

28

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP AS SOON AS RECEIVABLE

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 6.9 - KURIL ISLANDS - 2013-02-28 14:05:52 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

50.96 N ; 157.39 E

DEPTH >

60 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

03

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.9 - VANUATU - 2013-02-28 03:09:44 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

MAP

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - PAPUA, INDONESIA - 2013-02-28 03:11:54 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012

"C"

MAP

05

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA M 4.2 - NEVADA - 2013-02-28 15:29:25 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

04

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.9 - NORTHEASTERN SAKHA, RUSSIA - 2013-02-28 00:33:14 UTC  

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012

"D"

MAP

05

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 4.0 - ATACAMA, CHILE - 2013-02-28 23:27:12 UTC  
GENERAL LIST OF OTHER MAIN EARTHQUAKE REGIONS as observed and monitored in this report: ( listed from longitude 180 ° E on WESTWARDS). Events: > M 2.0 < M 5.0    
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS FREQUENCY/ SINCE REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS:  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

see above

02

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL.  

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN

FREQUENT

"F"

--

00

AFRICA >< EURASIA><INDO-AUS  

AFRICA- MAINLY RED SEA REGION & INDIAN OCEAN

SELDOM

"F"

--

00

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA<>INDO AUS  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT

"F"

below M 3.0

03

ARABIA><EURASIA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011)

"F"

below M 3.0

07

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

"F"

below M 3.0

01

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA  

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM

"E"

--

00

EURASIA (volcanic) MODIS- 20130228 / SHARP LINE IN THE CLOUDS  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT

"E"

M 3.4

11

AFRICA >< EURASIA    

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012

"E"

--

00

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012

"E"

-

00

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT

"D"

--

00

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING

"D"

M 3.5

05

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  

PANAMERICA

FREQUENT SINCE 2012

"D"

--

00

N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES

"C"

M 3.8

02

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX increased x 10 on Feb 27- 28    
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
ECUADOR TUNGURAHUA 1°28'1"S/ 78°26'30"W 0502- 08= Stratovolcano Hi* TUNGURAHUA

FEBRUARY- 28- 2013

 

SOUTHAM-N

igepn.edu.ec

 

Wikipedia:

         

 

           

20130305

report by:

GVP  

IG reported that seismicity at Tungurahua increased on 28 February. The next day an increase in the number of long-period earthquakes was accompanied by small explosions, roaring, and ash emissions. At around 1600 on 1 March a plume of water vapor and gas containing small amounts of ash rose a few hundred meters above the crater and drifted WNW. Ashfall was reported in areas on the SW flank including Choglontús (SW) and Manzano (8 km SW). On 2 March an explosion at 1106 produced noises from blocks rolling down the flanks. Instruments detected deformation on the NW flank. Cloud cover during 1-2 March inhibited visual observations.

At night during 2-3 March incandescent blocks were ejected from the crater and rolled 300 m down the flanks. Seismicity again increased on 3 March. Ash plumes rose from the crater and produced ashfall in Manzano and Penipe (15 km SW). Cloud cover prevented views on 4 March, however ashfall was reported in Manzano. On 5 March explosions produced an ash plume that rose 1-1.5 km above the crater and drifted W.

 

                             

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Rusty

FEB- 23

INDIAN OCEAN

85MPH (-)

119.8° E

20.3° S

LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA SSE

TC (1)

   
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

TROPICAL CYCLONE RUSTY. GAINED 109 MPH

            20130301

report by:

.thejakartaglobe.com  

Extreme Weather Leaves Thousands Without Power in NTT

The extreme weather of tropical cyclone Rusty has damaged the power infrastructure in East Nusa Tenggara (NTT), leaving thousands without electricity, officials of state electricity firm Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) said on Thursday. The proximity of cyclone Rusty, which passed over the Indian Ocean just south of the province, has led to extreme weather across NTT in the past few days. Several PLN executives said that fallen trees and high winds have led to power outages in almost all districts...read more...

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE RUSTY POWERS OUT ABOVE NW AUSTRALIA

          20130301

report by:

nzherald.co.nz  
 

Cyclone Rusty causes flooding problems

The remnants of tropical cyclone Rusty are causing major flooding in the Pilbara catchment areas and river levels are expected to remain high for days. Around 4pm yesterday, two hours after all cyclone warnings were cancelled, emergency services said minor to major flood levels had been reached in the Nullagine, Oakover, Coongan and De Grey rivers, with further peaks possible in coming days....read more...

 

                                 
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

63

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

287-340

FLARES >

C

 

 

CH 557 CENTRAL/N GROWING FEB- 24- 2013 MAR- 01 RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX

105.5

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.7

 

M

 

 

CH 556 CENTRAL GROWING FEB- 22- 2013 FEB- 27 RECURR:

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

30- 135 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH CLOSING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
faded( Feb- 25)

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

   

 

 

 

 

CH 556 and 557 strongly grew on Feb 27 and are now quite dominant on the solar surface

 

faded( Feb- 25))

11676

23° - 37° W

18°  S

   

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

faded( Feb- 25))

11677

11°  - 25° W

26°  S

            ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( Feb- 25)

11672

15 °  -29° W

13°  S

            LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11680

13 E°  -01° W

28°  S

 

FEB- 28

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
 

11681

36 °- 22° E

16°  S

 

MAR 02

 

 

 

 

       

 

 

11682

16 °  - 30° W

19°  S

 

 

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
NEWLY EMERGED

11683

82 °  - 68° E

17°  S

 

 

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
                *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

05

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX

RISING

FEB 24- 2013/ after 10 UTC: INCREASE OF INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX

 

 

 

 

          ELECTRON FLUX INCREASE INTERPLANETARY ELECTRON FLUX INCREASED ON FEB 28 after 10 UTC DUE TO PRIOR CME EVENTS  

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

FEB- 27- 2012: GOES 13 MEASURED A SLIGHT INCREASE OF PROTON FLUX INTO THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD. LIKELY INDICATING ANOTHER MINOR SOLAR PROTON STORM/ . Two large coronal holes- CH 556 and 557- strongly grew on Feb 27 and are now quite dominant on the northern solar surface. Its not very well researched, but coronal holes- mainly when Earth facing- might very well, resp. seem ( as some comparable cases showed) effect in form of cooling temperatures on Earth

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (01 Mar, 02 Mar, 03 Mar).

 

 

                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130221- 25

int. CME Nr. >>

11- 13 /13 (LDE /CLUSTER)

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

N- AMERICA/ WEST COAST

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs LONGITUDES : 60°- 155° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

CME +PROTON STORM SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS SOUTH AMERICA/ W- COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

MINOR PROTON STORM

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><CARRIB ><AFRICA

 

28 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WEST & CENTR. PACIFIC

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

AUS .><NASZA>< PAC

 

M 5.5- > 7.0(POTENTIAL: > 7.5)

3 (possible after PROTON EVENT!)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

SECONDARY REGIONS :

SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

01- MARCH- 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS 135° W- 120° E LONGITUDES: 135° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- > 6.0 (POTENTIAL: > M7.5)

2-3/ LATENCY (preliminary)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) CNTR. - WESTERN PACIFIC

INDO AUS/ >< PACIFIC

 

02- MARCH 2013

 

PARADOX PROTON EFFECTS!

LOWER:

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 6.0 (POTENTIAL: > M7.5)

2-3/ LATENCY (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY GLOBALLY *REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : GLOBALLY

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: STRONGER QUAKES POSSIBLE ON FEB 28- 29 IMMIDIATELY AFTER PROTON EVENT    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES SAT ENV. / geomagnetic field:

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

unprecedented CME arrival on Feb 16/ from latest LDE flare activity in AR 11671

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

> 1000 < 100.000 pfu

>1000 <100. 000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu < 1000

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM(ENDED:06 UTC) x (times) 10 x (times) 10 INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

FEB- 24-27- 2013: VARIOUS STRONG BACKSIDE ERUPTIONS AND WIDE CMES OCCURED IN AN UNNUMBERED REGION THAT WILL ROTATE INTO SIGHT IN THE NEXT DAYS. STEREO IMAGES INDICATE, THESE EVENTS WERE ASSOCIATED TO A SOLAR QUAKE AND AN MINOR OVERALL PROTON EMISSION . AR 11671-WHILE FADING BEHIND THE WESTERN LIMB- PRODUCED SEVERAL STRONG PROTON FLARES. THESE EVENTS HOWEVER WERE ASSOCIATED TO A SLIGHT BUT GEOEFFECTIVE INCREASE IN TERRESTRIAL PROTON FLUX ON FEB 27 AFTER 10 UTC.

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

.IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 374 km/s at 28/1956Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 28/1735Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 28/1917Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (01 Mar) and quiet levels on days two and three (02 Mar, 03 Mar).

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

27

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP AS SOON AS RECEIVABLE

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.2 - OFF COAST OF OREGON - 2013-02-27 22:25:44 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

43.26 N ; 126.50 W

DEPTH >

10 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

03

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2013-02-27 04:27:07 UTC  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012

"C"

MAP

03

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA M 5.2 - OFF COAST OF OREGON - 2013-02-27 22:25:44 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 
               

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

03

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.6 - NORTHEASTERN SAKHA, RUSSIA - 2013-02-27 18:23:35 UTC  
LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS:    

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

"F"

MAP

04

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA M 4.3 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2013-02-27 22:05:58 UTC  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012

"E"

MAP

03

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA M 3.4 - AZORES-CAPE ST. VINCENT RIDGE - 2013-02-27 17:43:30 UTC  
GENERAL LIST OF OTHER MAIN EARTHQUAKE REGIONS as observed and monitored in this report: ( listed from longitude 180 ° E on WESTWARDS). Events: > M 2.0 < M 5.0  
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS FREQUENCY/ SINCE REGION* HIGHEST MAGN. NUMBER TECTONICS:  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

M 4.8

03

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL.  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

M 4.5

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA  

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN

FREQUENT

"F"

--

00

AFRICA >< EURASIA><INDO-AUS  

AFRICA- MAINLY RED SEA REGION & INDIAN OCEAN

SELDOM

"F"

--

00

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA<>INDO AUS  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT

"F"

below M 3.0

16

ARABIA><EURASIA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011)

"F"

below M 3.0

19

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM

"E"

M 1.9

01

EURASIA (volcanic) ^White island Volcano webcam / geonet.nz. ^FUEGO volcano /Guatemala) live webcam  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT

"E"

below M 3.0

11

AFRICA >< EURASIA    

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012

"E"

below M 3.0

02

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT

"D"

M 4.5

01

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012

"D"

M 4.1

08

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING

"D"

M 3.8

03

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  

PANAMERICA

FREQUENT SINCE 2012

"D"

--

00

N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES

"C"

M 3.2

11

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^MINOR SOLAR PROTON STORM / 10X increase in geomagnetic proton flux    
               

 

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. Eventual Media reports will be posted in section "various reports"

< stats

 

This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to find more detailled internal reports: volcano watch (global statistics) and regional volcano maps (all volcanoes worldwide and current activities)

maps >

 
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

     

20130219

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

20 February-26 February 2013

New Activity/Unrest: | Cleveland, Chuginadak Island | Etna, Sicily (Italy) | Karkar, Northeast of New Guinea (SW Pacific) | Sabancaya, Perú | Sangay, Ecuador | Soufrière Hills, Montserrat |Tangkubanparahu, Western Java (Indonesia) | White Island, New Zealand 
Ongoing Activity: | Chirpoi, Kuril Islands (Russia) | Karymsky, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) | Kizimen, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) | Popocatépetl, México | Sakura-jima, Kyushu |Santa María, Guatemala | Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia) | Tolbachik, Central Kamchatka (Russia)

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY

 

Italy/ Europe STROMBOLI 38°47'22"N/ 15°12'47"E 0101-04= Stratovolcano Hi* STROMBOLI

FEBRUARY- 27- 2013

 

Europe

INGV-CT

 

Wikipedia:

                   
           

20130305

report by:

GVP

 

Stromboli again produced small lava overflows from the crater terrace on the afternoon of 27 February through the following night, after an interval of 10 days of normal Strombolian activity. A second episode of lava overflow started on the evening of 1 March and ceased the next afternoon. Both overflows were fed by continuous spattering fromvent N2, which lies at the top of a hornito perched on the N rim of the crater terrace.

 

                               
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Rusty

FEB- 23

INDIAN OCEAN

110MPH (+)

119.1° E

19.3° S

< 50 km NORTH OFF THE COAST OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA N

TC (1)

   
wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Eighteen

FEB- 24

INDIAN OCEAN

35 MPH (-)

98.6° E

15.3° S

600 KM SW OFF JAKARTA/ JAVA ISL: ENE

TS

   
                     
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

61

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

291-336

FLARES >

C

 

 

CH 557 CENTRAL/N GROWING FEB- 24- 2013 MAR- 01 RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX

102

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.0

 

M

 

 

CH 556 CENTRAL CHANGING FEB- 22- 2013 FEB- 27 RECURR:

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

03

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

50- 127 nT

< proton influence

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH CHANGING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
rotated out on FEB 23>

11671

146° - 160° W

13°  N

 

FEB 26/08UTC

VIRGO

uncertain

 

 

 

faded( Feb- 25)

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

   

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

faded( Feb- 25))

11676

23° - 37° W

18°  S

            ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( Feb- 25))

11677

11°  - 25° W

26°  S

            LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded( Feb- 25)

11679

15 °  -29° W

13°  S

   

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
NEWLY EMERGED

11680

24 °  -11° E

28°  S

 

FEB- 28

 

 

 

 

       

 

NEWLY EMERGED

11681

47 °- 33° E

16°  S

 

MAR 02

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
NEWLY EMERGED

11682

03 °  - 17° W

19°  S

 

FEB- 27

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
                *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

05

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX

RISING

FEB 24- 2013/ after 10 UTC: INCREASE OF INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX

 

 

 

 

          ELECTRON FLUX INCREASE INTERPLANETARY ELECTRON FLUX INCREASED ON FEB 28 after 10 UTC DUE TO PRIOR CME EVENTS  

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

FEB- 27- 2012: GOES 13 MEASURED A SLIGHT INCREASE OF PROTON FLUX INTO THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD. LIKELY INDICATING ANOTHER MINOR SOLAR PROTON STORM

Stronger solar eruption regularly cause temporary transmission blackouts at all solar observer satellites. Thus some events remain undetected until images resume. Review on Feb 27 however unveiled, that several dramatic eruptions occured between February 25 and 27 with several earth directed CMEs ( what explains the CME arrival on February 25) including what appears to be another seldom SOLAR PROTON STORM beginning on February 24 after 12 UTC. The main event was NOT RECORDED ON ACE

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Feb, 28 Feb, 01 Mar)

 

 

                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130221- 25

int. CME Nr. >>

11- 13 /13 (LDE /CLUSTER)

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

N- AMERICA/ WEST COAST

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs LONGITUDES : 60°- 155° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

CME +PROTON STORM SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS SOUTH AMERICA/ W- COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

MINOR PROTON STORM

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><CARRIB ><AFRICA

 

27 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WEST & CENTR. PACIFIC

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

AUS .><NASZA>< PAC

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL: > 7.0)

3 (possible after PROTON EVENT!)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

SECONDARY REGIONS :

SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

28 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS 135° W- 120° E LONGITUDES: 135° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL: > 7.5)

3 (possible after PROTON EVENT!)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) CNTR. - WESTERN PACIFIC

INDO AUS/ >< PACIFIC

 

01- MARCH- 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE

LOWER:

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 6.0 (POTENTIAL: > M7.5)

2-3/ LATENCY (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY GLOBALLY *REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : GLOBALLY

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: STRONGER QUAKES POSSIBLE ON FEB 28- 29 IMMIDIATELY AFTER PROTON EVENT    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES 13/ PROTON FLUX (geomagnetic field)

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

MINOR PROTON STORM (10X)

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

> 1000 < 100.000 pfu

>1000 <100. 000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu < 1000

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM-BEGIN: 01 UTC x (times) 10 DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

FEB- 24-27- 2013: VARIOUS STRONG BACKSIDE ERUPTIONS AND WIDE CMES OCCURED IN AN UNNUMBERED REGION THAT WILL ROTATE INTO SIGHT IN THE NEXT DAYS. WAVES RUNNING FROM THE BACKSIDE ALL OVER THE SUN SURFACE ON STEREO H1 MAGNETOGRAPHIC IMAGES AND AN MINOR OVERALL PROTON EMISSION( INTO ALL DIRECTIONS) INDICATE, THESE EVENTS WERE ASSOCIATED TO STH. such AS A SOLAR " GRAVITY QUAKE" . ON FEB- 27 AFTER 01 UTC- A SLIGHT BUT GEOEFFECTIVE INCREASE (10x) OF PROTONS WAS MEASURED BY GOES ALSO WITHIN THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD.

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 358 km/s at 27/2035Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 27/0758Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 27/0314Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and three (28 Feb, 02 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (01 Mar) with a chance for active levels..

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

26

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP AS SOON AS RECEIVABLE

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.7 - FIJI REGION - 2013-02-26 19:57:57 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

21.53 S ; 179.39 W

DEPTH >

643 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

04

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.3 - NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2013-02-26 21:43:48 UTC  

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

02

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.2 - TONGA - 2013-02-26 15:57:27 UTC  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING

"D"

MAP

03

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA M 5.1DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REGION- 2013/02/26 17:07:35   

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

MAP

03

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.1 - JAVA, INDONESIA - 2013-02-26 14:06:03 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

04

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.7 - TURKMENISTAN - 2013-02-26 13:54:40 UTC  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012

"C"

MAP

02

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA M 3.6 - GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. - 2013-02-26 20:18:50 UTC  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES

"C"

MAP

06

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE M 4.7 - UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA - 2013-02-26 09:11:52 UTC  
GENERAL LIST OF OTHER MAIN EARTHQUAKE REGIONS as observed and monitored in this report: ( listed from longitude 180 ° E on WESTWARDS). Events: > M 2.0 < M 5.0  
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS ( FROM 180° E=WESTWARDS:_ FREQUENCY/ SINCE REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS:  

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN

FREQUENT

"F"

 

01

AFRICA >< EURASIA><INDO-AUS  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT

"F"

 

11

ARABIA><EURASIA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011)

"F"

 

13

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM

"E"

 

01

EURASIA (volcanic)  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT

"E"

 

20

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012

"E"

 

01

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012

"E"

 

01

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT

"D"

 

02

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012

"D"

 

11

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^stuff.co.nz( 20130227: Towns shut down as Cyclone Rusty rolls in  
               

 

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. Eventual Media reports will be posted in section "various reports"

< stats

 

This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to find more detailled internal reports: volcano watch (global statistics) and regional volcano maps (all volcanoes worldwide and current activities)

maps >

 
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY

 

ADMIRALTY ISLANDS KARKAR- 4°38'55"S/ 145°57'50"E 0501-03= Stratovolcano Hi* KARKAR NASA/ MODIS

FEBRUARY- 26- 2013

 

Australia RVO

 

Wikipedia:

                 
           

20130226

report by:

GVP

 

Based on analyses of satellite imagery and wind data, the Darwin VAAC reported that on 26 February an ashplume from Karkar rose to an altitude of 9.1 km (30,000 ft) a.s.l.

 

                               
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
COSTA RICA RINCON DE LA VIEJA 10°49'48"N/ 85°19'26"W 1405-02= Complex volcano Hi* RINCON DE LA VIEJA
NONE

FEBRUARY- 26- 2013

 

CENTRAM

OVSICORI-UNA

 

Wikipedia:

                 

 

           

20130305

report by:

GVP  

OVSICORI-UNA received reports at 0530 on 26 February of pulsing white plumes rising from Rincon de la Vieja's active crater about every four minutes. The seismic records showed no signals associated with a phreatic eruption or sudden gas output. Cloud cover prevented views of the active crater during an overflight later that day, however clear views of the N and S flanks and areas SW showed no changes.

 

                             

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Rusty

FEB- 23

INDIAN OCEAN

75 MPH ()

119.2° E

19.4° S

< 50 km NORTH OFF THE COAST OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA SSW

TC (1)

   
wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Eighteen

FEB- 24

INDIAN OCEAN

45 MPH ()

97.9° E

14.9° S

800 KM NNW OFF THE COAST OF NW- AUSTRALIA WSW

TS

   
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

TROPICAL CYCLONE "RUSTY" HEADING TOWARDS AUSTRALIAN DESERT REGION

     

20130227

report by:

.stuff.co.nz  

"Cyclone-Rusty "We-are-talking-Noahs-Ark-here" ....Towns shut down as Cyclone Rusty rolls in

People in Western Australia sheltering from a category four cyclone in the Pilbara are likely to be stuck inside for some time as the intense weather system, bringing destructive winds and dangerous flooding with it, makes its way across the region very slowly. It's one of two duelling weather systems wreaking havoc on the east and west coasts of Australia. People in the Pilbara from Pardoo to Whim Creek including Port Hedland and South Hedland, are on "red alert" as cyclone Rusty moves towards the area. It is likely the alert will not be downgraded for some time and they may have to stay sheltered for up to 36 hours. The Department of Fire and Emergency Services has urged people to be patient, saying the weather poses a threat to lives and homes...read more...

 

                                 
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

95

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

286-347

FLARES >

C

 

 

CH 557 CENTRAL/N GROWING FEB- 24- 2013 MAR- 01 RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX

98.7

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.8

 

M

 

 

CH 556 CENTRAL CHANGING FEB- 22- 2013 FEB- 27 RECURR:

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

45- 125 nT

PROTON INFLUENCE

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH CHANGING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
rotated out on FEB 23>

11671

146° - 160° W

13°  N

 

FEB 26/18UTC

VIRGO

uncertain

 

 

 

faded( Feb- 25)

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

   

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

faded( Feb- 25))

11676

23° - 37° W

18°  S

            ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( Feb- 25))

11677

11°  - 25° W

26°  S

            LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded( Feb- 25)

11679

15 °  -29° W

13°  S

   

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
NEWLY EMERGED

11680

37 °  -13° E

28°  S

 

FEB- 27

 

 

 

 

       

 

NEWLY EMERGED

11681

61 °  -47° E

16°  SN

 

FEB- 30

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
NEWLY EMERGED

11682

10 ° E - 04° W

16°  SN

 

FEB- 26

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
                *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

05

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX INCREASE

ACE EPAMp : FEB 24 after 10 UTC:INCREASE IN INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX (ongoing)

 
      ELECTRON FLUX INCREASE INTERPLANETARY ELECTRON FLUX INCREASED ON FEB 28 after 10 UTC DUE TO PRIOR CME EVENTS  
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Feb, 28 Feb, 01 Mar).

 

 

     
EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME):

this section will always appear, when a significant CME event was noticed and data have to be updated. You find more information about recent CME events in " today`s preliminary report"

 

(date)

CMEs at:

after 09 UTC

ARRIVAL: UNCERTAIN POLARITY: ALPHA (PROTONS) BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

prelim.

20130226/ 12:09 UTC 20130226/ 12:42 UTC 20130226/ 21:22 UTC 20130227/ 08:18 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11671

 

 

partially Earth directed?

 

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

> 90° W (behind western limb)

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

(PROTON) FLARE

B 0.8  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 3 (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 3

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 3

 

 

Abbreviations >

LDE=

Long Duration Event

 

 

 

 

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

internal remarks

PRELIMINARY REPORT

               

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

Feb- 27: AR 11671-,while already behind the western limb- produced 2 stronger (proto?) flares and eruptions on February 27 ( another one early on Feb 2- > see img. 04 7), from those the first one ( which occured sometime after 12 UTC,) was very wide and might have Earth directed components, those might. if- then arrive some time on February 28- March 01.

FEB- 24-27- 2013: VARIOUS STRONG BACKSIDE ERUPTIONS AND WIDE CMES OCCURED IN AN UNNUMBERED REGION THAT WILL ROTATE INTO SIGHT IN THE NEXT DAYS. WAVES RUNNING FROM THE BACKSIDE ALL OVER THE SUN SURFACE ON STEREO H1 MAGNETOGRAPHIC IMAGES AND AN MINOR OVERALL PROTON EMISSION( INTO ALL DIRECTIONS) INDICATE, THESE EVENTS WERE ASSOCIATED TO STH. such AS A SOLAR " GRAVITY QUAKE" . ON FEB- 27 AFTER 01 UTC- A SLIGHT BUT GEOEFFECTIVE INCREASE (10x) OF PROTONS WAS MEASURED BY GOES ALSO WITHIN THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD.

 
                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130221- 25

int. CME Nr. >>

11- 13 /13 (LDE /CLUSTER)

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

N- AMERICA/ WEST COAST

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs LONGITUDES : 60°- 155° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

EFFECTIVE CME

SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS

SOUTH AMERICA/ W- COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

LATENCY AFTER CME CLUSTER

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><CARRIB ><AFRICA

 

26 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WEST & CENTR. PACIFIC

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

AUS .><NASZA>< PAC

 

M 5.5- 6.5

(IMPACT OF CME/LDE )

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

SECONDARY REGIONS :

SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

27 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

135° W- 120° E LONGITUDES: 135° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- 7.0

3 (POSSIBLE /NEW PROTON EVENT!)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) CNTR. - WESTERN PACIFIC

INDO AUS/ >< PACIFIC

 

28 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE

LOWER:

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 7.5 (POTENTIAL: < M7,5)

2-3 (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY GLOBALLY *REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : GLOBALLY

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: LATENCY UNTIL FEB 28? (CME CLUSTER IMPACT-FEB 21-25/ PROTON IMPACT    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES SAT ENV. / geomagnetic field:

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

unprecedented CME arrival on Feb 16/ from latest LDE flare activity in AR 11671

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

> 1000 < 100.000 pfu

>1000 <100. 000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu < 1000

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 362 km/s at 25/2104Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 26/0913Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 26/1225Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 114 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (27 Feb, 28 Feb) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (01 Mar).

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

25

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP AS SOON AS RECEIVABLE

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.7 - EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-02-25 07:23:56 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

36.90 N ; 139.24 E

DEPTH >

10 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

06

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 4.6 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-02-25 03:45:10 UTC  

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

05

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.5 - FIJI REGION - 2013-02-25 02:59:43 UTC  

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012

"D"

MAP

08

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 5.4 - SOUTHERN PACIFIC OCEAN - 2013-02-25 23:37:59 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

05

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 5.5 - WESTERN XIZANG - 2013-02-25 05:11:10 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012

"C"

MAP

01

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA    

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES

"C"

MAP

02

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE M 4.6 - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION - 2013-02-25 13:41:27 UTC  

NORTH OF CANARY ISLANDS

NOVEMBER - 14-2012 "E" MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA M 3.4 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2013-02-25 15:26:26 UTC  
LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS:    
LIST OF OTHER MAIN EARTHQUAKE REGIONS as observed and monitored in this report: ( listed from longitude 180 ° E on WESTWARDS)

 
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS ( FROM 180° E=WESTWARDS:_ FREQUENCY/ SINCE REGION* EPICENTER:

Nr (>5.0)

TECTONICS:  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

 

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA  

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN

FREQUENT

"F"

 

01

AFRICA >< EURASIA><INDO-AUS  

AFRICA- MAINLY RED SEA REGION & INDIAN OCEAN

SELDOM

"F"

 

00

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA<>INDO AUS  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT

"F"

 

06

ARABIA><EURASIA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011)

"F"

 

15

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

"F"

 

01

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA  

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM

"E"

 

00

EURASIA (volcanic)  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT

"E"

 

12

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012

"E"

 

01

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT

"D"

 

01

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING

"D"

 

01

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  

PANAMERICA

FREQUENT SINCE 2012

"D"

  01 N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report POPOCATEPETCL/ pop 1 webcam ^ MODIS/ 20130225: ANOTHER SNOWSTORM STRIKES WESTERN STATES  
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Haruna

FEB- 19

INDIAN OCEAN

40 MPH (-)

57.5° E

27.0° S

600 KM SEE OF SOUTHERN MADAGASKAR

ENE

TC

   
wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Rusty

FEB- 23

INDIAN OCEAN

75 MPH (+)

119.0° E

18.2° S

100 KM NORTH OFF THE COAST OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA SE

TC (1)

   
wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Eighteen

FEB- 24

INDIAN OCEAN

45 MPH ()

98.3° E

13.5° S

1000 KM NNW OFF THE COAST OF NW- AUSTRALIA SSE

TS

   
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
                   
     
                     
   

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES

             

20130226

report by:

volcanodiscovery.com  

Sabancaya volcano (Peru): seismic swarm triggers eruption warning

A strong seismic swarm and increased fumarolic activity triggered an eruption warning for Sabancaya volcano (Arequipa, Peru) and the Civil Defense of the Regional Government of Arequipa raised the alert level to yellow, which involves implementing actions to prepare for a probable volcanic eruption. On 24 Feb INGEMMET reported a seismic swarm with 536 earthquakes between 22 and 23 February (more than 20 per hour) and continuous fumarolic emissions from the volcano. INGEMMET is intensifying the monitoring of seismic and degassing activity as well as condicuting GPS deformation monitoring, and visual surveillance with cameras and monitors, and has started to set up an observation camp near the volcano...read more...

 

                                 
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

59

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

285-338

FLARES >

C

 

 

CH 557 CENTRAL/N GROWING FEB- 24- 2013 MAR- 01 RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX

95.4

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.2

 

M

 

 

CH 556 CENTRAL GROWING FEB- 22- 2013 FEB- 27 RECURR:

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

03

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 145 nT

CME IMPACT!

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH CLOSING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
 

11673

48° - 62° W

09°  S

 

FEB- 21

 

 

 

 

 

 

faded( FEB- 16

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

 

 

AR and CH on: 20130225

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

rotating out

11675

79°  -93° W

12° N

 

 

  ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
 

11676

23° - 37° W

18°  S

 

FEB- 23

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded (FEB- 24)

11677

11°  - 25° W

26°  S

 

FEB- 23

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
reemerged (Feb- 24)

11679

15 °  -29° W

13°  S

 

FEB- 23

 

       

 

             

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
           

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
          ^ STARMAP by: solen.info *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

04

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX INCREASE

ACE EPAMp : FEB 24 after 10 UTC:INCREASE IN INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX,

 

REMARKS

UNIQUE EVENT! Between February 25 and 26, almost simultanously, all active sun spots faded/ dissapeared!   ELECTRON FLUX ALMOST NORMAL

INCREASE FEBRUARY 14- 1( CME impact)- decreasing on FEB 17(possible proton activity)

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (26 Feb, 27 Feb, 28 Feb).

 

 

                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130221- 25

int. CME Nr. >>

11- 13 /13 (LDE /CLUSTER)

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

N- AMERICA/ WEST COAST

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs LONGITUDES : 60°- 155° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

EFFECTIVE CME

SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS

SOUTH AMERICA/ W- COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

UNEXPECTED CME ARRIVAL

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

CENTRAL AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><CARRIB ><AFRICA

 

25 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WEST & CENTR. PACIFIC

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

AUS .><NASZA>< PAC

 

M 5.5- 6.5

(CME ARRIVAL)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

SECONDARY REGIONS :

SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

26 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

135° W- 120° E LONGITUDES: 135° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL: < M7,5)

1- 2 (LATENCY )

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) CNTR. - WESTERN PACIFIC

INDO AUS/ >< PACIFIC

 

27 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE

LOWER:

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL: < M7,5)

1-2 (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY GLOBALLY *REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : GLOBALLY

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: LATENCY UNTIL FEB 28? (CME CLUSTER IMPACT-FEB 21-25)    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES SAT ENV. / geomagnetic field:

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

 

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

> 1000 < 100.000 pfu

>1000 <100. 000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu < 1000

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

FEB- 19-25 2013: Another CME from the multi flares in AR 11671 unexpectedly arrived on Earth on Feb 25 >

large AR 11671 produced a major LDE event with flares beginning on Feb 19 after 10.42 UTC . The activity in this region continued on Feb 22 when the western region of AR 11671 had reached the western limb and will get out of view. On Feb 25. AR 11671 was still the most active region on the visible disc and produced another single LDE C 8 flare on Feb 25, while it already dissapeared behind the western limb

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 369 km/s at 25/1527Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 25/1320Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 25/1548Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 364 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (26 Feb, 27 Feb, 28 Feb)..

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                       

TODAY`S CME ARRIVALS:

ARRIVAL DATE:

20130221- 25

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT:

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

 

STRENGTH:    

>TRACKING NR

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN POLARITY: REL. MASS VALUE* MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

11- 13 / 13

11671

32° - 46° W

13°  N

CME CLUSTER FROM LDE FLARE ACTIVITY IN AR 11671

20130219- 24

MULTIPLE EVENTS 20130221/ 09 UTC 145 nT   not measurable multiple events CME has normal neutral - negative - charge unmeasurable N & S- AMERICA /WEST -- EAST &CENTR:.PACIFIC  
REMARKS:

 

ONGOING ON FEB 26!    

long/lat:

long/lat:

*internal

SECONDARY GEOGR. IMPACT REGIONS  
        global 00°- 135° W     global  
               

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

orange= medium impact

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME. Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E"

REGION "F"

RELATED CME EVENT

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA- CHINA- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

WESTERN ATLANTIC/ PANAMERICA/ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH AMERICA

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ CANARIES/ ICELAND ETC.

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

LDE FLARE ACTIVITIES IN AR 11671- Feb 19- 25( rotated out)

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC (E)

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/WESTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

CME CLUSTER INTERFERING WITH PREVIOUS IMPACTS

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

.......

...

...

......

..

20130221- 25

 

LONGITUDES>

120° E- 90° E

135° E- 180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

Nr.: 11- 13/ 13

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

24

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

 

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 -TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!

 

 

          Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC  

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . !

SELFCHECK NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.6 - OFF COAST OF HOKKAIDO, JAPAN - 2013-02-24 21:02:31 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

41.48 N ; 147.30 E

DEPTH >

10 km

 

TSUNAMI WARNINGS > ISSUED AT: --- --- WARNING CANCELLED AT:

---

 

MEASURED TSUNAMI  WAVE >> --- WAVE/HEIGHT: --- FREQUENCY ---   EPICENTER/ MAP  

 

      note: Tsunami alert here might not be up to date!           Space for ESA: Our Colourful Planet  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ OBSERVED ON:

click for epicenter map:

NUMBER( >M 2) TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

P.N.G (PAPUA NEW GUINEA (AFTERQUAKES)

FEB- 24- 2013 MAP

02

AFRICA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.5 - SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS - 2013-02-24 20:54:04 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ P.N.G

FREQUENT MAP

05

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.2 - KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA - 2013-02-24 14:51:22 UTC  

P.N.G (PAPUA NEW GUINEA (AFTERQUAKES)

FEB- 24- 2013 MAP

01

AFRICA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.1 - EAST TIMOR REGION - 2013-02-24 13:01:57 UTC  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT MAP

04

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 3.9 - NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2013-02-24 09:18:51 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM MAP

02

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.5 - EASTERN KAZAKHSTAN - 2013-02-24 06:10:30 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

PANAMERICA

FREQUENT SINCE 2012 MAP   N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS    

INDIA REGION ( AFTERQUAKES ANDAMAN ISLANDS)

FEB- 23- 2013 MAP

01

INDO AUS >< EURASIA ><PAC, M 4.6 - ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA REGION - 2013-02-24 14:33:22 UTC  

INDIA REGION / MAINLAND

FEB- 24- 2013 MAP 01 INDO AUS >< EURASIA M 3.8 - RAJASTHAN, INDIA - 2013-02-24 00:57:26 UTC  
LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS:

 

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012  

12

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING  

05

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT  

08

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

 

06

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011)  

18

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT  

11

ARABIA><EURASIA  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012 MAP  

07

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES  

00

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012  

00

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA  

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012  

00

AFRICA >< EURASIA  
           

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*MAP MAY NOT BE UP TO DATE!

 

      ^WEBCAM/ ETNA SICIL ITALY ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
      click on images to enlarge them!  
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Haruna

FEB- 19

INDIAN OCEAN

50 MPH (-)

51.0° E

26.2° S

220 KM SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHERN MADAGASKAR E

TC (1)

   
wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Seventeen

FEB- 23

INDIAN OCEAN

40 MPH ()

118.1° E

16.7° S

220 KM NORTH OFF THE COAST OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA SSE

TS

   
                           
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

25

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

282-346

FLARES >

C

02

 

CH 556 CENTRAL GROWING FEB- 22- 2013 FEB- 27 RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX

94.9

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.9

 

M

 

 

CH UNN. NORTH CLOSING FEB- 19 FEB- 20  

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

03

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

49- 105 nT

 

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH CLOSING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
 

11673

34° - 48° W

09°  S

 

FEB- 21

 

 

 

 

 

 

faded( FEB- 16

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

 

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

 

11675

65°  -79° W

12° N

 

 

        ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
 

11676

12°   - 26° W

18°  S

 

FEB- 23

        LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
reemerged (FEB- 21)

11677

11°  - 25° W

26°  S

 

FEB- 23

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
faded (Feb- 22)

11679

22°  -08° E

13°  S

 

FEB- 23

 

 

 

 

       

 

                   

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
           

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
                *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

04

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX INCREASE

ACE EPAMp : FEB 24 after 10 UTC:INCREASE IN INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX,

 

REMARKS

ACE EPAMp MEASURED ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT RISE IN INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX, BEGINNING ON FEB 24 AFTER 10 UTC.   ELECTRON FLUX ALMOST NORMAL

INCREASE FEBRUARY 14- 1( CME impact)- decreasing on FEB 17(possible proton activity)

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 24/1435Z. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26 Feb, 27 Feb).

 

 

                 
PROTON EVENTS FEBRUARY 24/ after 02 UTC. MAJOR PROTON FLARE AND ASSOCIATED CME ( under analysis) about:  
20130224/ 02:24 UTC       ACE/ IP PROTONS- 20130221-27 GOES 13/ PROTONS- FEB 24- 27- 2013  

 

           
(1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 3 (3) SDO /AIA-comp (4) SDO/ HMI ^ACE/ INTERPLANETARY PROTONS ACE/ INTERPLANETARY ELECTRONS GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX GOES 13/ GEOMAGNETIC ELECTRON FLUX  
      SoHO / REAL TIME SOLAR WINDS MOSCOW STATION FOR COSMIC RAYS/ NEUTRONS  

ABOUT: SOLAR PROTON EMISSIONS (proton flares or storms etc. ) ARE RARE EVENTS . But- differently to the mostly of negative charged (electrons) CMEs , PROTON CMEs effect (finally by associated energetic events) until deep into the ground and the Earth`s interior. Proton emissions impact fully into the (negatively charged) geomagnetic field by their positive electric charge and add a positive component to it, what makes the geomag. field TEMPORARELY then also vulnerable especially for following negatively charged CMEs . The protons themselves have paradox effects: first they swallow many electrons (likely reacting with them to neutrons what causes first a "geomagnetic depression" with lower field density (lessactive, free electrons) and paradox ANTIENERGETIC effects (best describable as the "calm prior to the storm" ) .. read more in text box above

 
     
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130211 /

int. CME Nr. >>

10- 12 /13 (no changes)

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

PRIMARY REGIONS

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

60°- 105° W

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

CME ARRIVAL!

SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS

NORTH AMERICA

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

 

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

SOUTH AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><NASZA>< PAC

 

24 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

AMERICAS/ WEST COASTS

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

J. D. FUCA >< AMER>< NASZA

 

M 5.5 - 7.5

2- 3

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

PACIFIC (EAST )

PACIF. >< INDO/AUS

 

25 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

M 5.5- 7.0

2

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG)

15° E- 180° W

15° E- 180° W

 

26 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE WESTERN EUROPE EURASIA><AFRICA>< N- AM.

 

M 5.5- 6.5

1-2 (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY ATLANTIC *REGIONS> see definition below EURASIA ><AMER.><AFR.

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: INCREASING AFTER FEB- 22    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES SAT ENV. / geomagnetic field:

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

 

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

> 1000 < 100.000 pfu

>1000 <100. 000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu < 1000

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

.IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 381 km/s at 23/2105Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 133 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 Feb, 26 Feb, 27 Feb).

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

23

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

 

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 -TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!

 

 

          Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC  

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . !

SELFCHECK NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.9 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2013-02-23 08:59:09 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

10.61 S ; 165.33 E

DEPTH >

10 km

 

TSUNAMI WARNINGS > ISSUED AT: --- --- WARNING CANCELLED AT:

---

 

MEASURED TSUNAMI  WAVE >> --- WAVE/HEIGHT: --- FREQUENCY ---   EPICENTER/ MAP  

 

      note: Tsunami alert here might not be up to date!           February 22, 2013 - Dust storm, White Sands, New Mexico (morning overpass) February 23, 2013 - Tropical Cyclone Haruna (16S) over Madagascar  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were collected on a sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0 then above M 4.0 as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events -From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exeeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ OBSERVED ON:

click for epicenter map:

NUMBER( >M 2) TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT MAP

04

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.7 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2013-02-23 14:31:03 UTC  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT MAP

02

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 5.3 - CENTRAL PERU - 2013-02-23 20:07:45 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ P.N.G

FREQUENT MAP

03

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.8 - EAST TIMOR REGION - 2013-02-23 11:09:20 UTC  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES MAP

06

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE M 5.1 - ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS. - 2013-02-23 17:04:44 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM MAP

02

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.3 - TURKMENISTAN - 2013-02-23 23:12:33 UTC  

AFRICA- MAINLY RED SEA REGION & INDIAN OCEAN

SELDOM MAP

02

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA<>INDO AUS M 4.5 - GULF OF ADEN - 2013-02-23 00:04:35 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT MAP

03

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL.    
LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS :(magnitudes above M 2.0)

 

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM MAP

00

EURASIA (volcanic)  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING MAP

08

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT MAP

08

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

MAP*

07

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011) MAP*

10

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT MAP*

12

ARABIA><EURASIA  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012 MAP MAP

03 (M4.3)

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012 MAP

00

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA  

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012 MAP*

00

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012 MAP 14 SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*MAP MAY NOT BE UP TO DATE!

 

      NASA/ MODIS: GYPSUM ON EARTH AND MARS ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
      click on images to enlarge them!  
               

 

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. Eventual Media reports will be posted in section "various reports"

< stats

 

This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to find more detailled internal reports: volcano watch (global statistics) and regional volcano maps (all volcanoes worldwide and current activities)

maps >

 
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
NEW ZEALAND WHITE ISLAND 37°31'0"S/ 177°11'0"E 0401-04= Stratovolcano Hi* WHITE ISLAND

FEBRUARY- 23- 2013

 

Australia

GEONET. NZ

 

Wikipedia:

               

 

           

20130223

report by:

GVP  

GeoNet Data Centre reported that ash venting from White island occurred at about 1130 and 1330 on 23 February. The Aviation Colour Code was raised to Orange and the Volcanic Alert Level was raised to 2 (on a scale of 0-5). During a field investigation on 25 February scientists observed that ash emissions had ceased and small scale steam-and-gas explosions were occurring at the active vent. Volcanic tremor had also increased.

 

                             

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Haruna

FEB- 19

INDIAN OCEAN

105 MPH (-)

43.0° E

22.2° E

MAKING LANDFALL SOUTH OF MADAGASKAR E TC (2)    
                           
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

NEW VOLCANIC TREMORS NEAR NEW ZEALAND`S LAKE TAUPO SV- CALDERA

         

20130223

report by:

gisborneherald.co.nz  

Wairoa quake swarm

Saturday, February 23, 2013 • Murray Robertson and Marino Harker-Smith WAIROA was hit by a swarm of 15 earthquakes overnight and this morning, the heaviest of which was felt strongly in Gisborne at 7.21am today. The quake was felt in Gisborne as a short jolt, followed by a swaying motion. GNS Science geo-net duty seismologist Caroline Little said the swarm started at 5.36pm yesterday with a shake measuring 3.1 on the Richter scale. “There were 14 more between then and one at 7.33am this morning, which measured 3.4,” she said. The heaviest shake at 7.21am, felt widely around this district, measured 4.8, at a depth of 67 kilometres. “It was felt so strongly onshore because of the depth,” Ms Little said. “The quakes were all offshore, and centred in the same general area, between 25 and 40 kilometres south and south-east of Wairoa,” Ms Little said. Apart from the biggest one, the others varied in depth between 15 and 22km. ...read more...

 

                                 
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

56

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

323-381

FLARES >

C

02

 

CH 556 CENTRAL GROWING FEB- 22- 2013 FEB- 27 RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX

99.6

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.8

 

M

 

 

CH UNN. NORTH DECAYING FEB- 19 FEB- 20  

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

40- 105

 

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH CLOSING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
rotating out >

11671

87° - 101° W

13°  N

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

faded( FEB- 16)

11672

14°  - 28° W

17°  S

   

CH and AR on 20130223

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

 

11673

23° - 37° W

09°  S

 

FEB- 21

 

    ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

DECREASING

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( FEB- 16

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

 

 

    LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11675

51°  -64° W

12° N

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
 

11676

02° E  - 12° W

18°  S

 

FEB- 23

 

 

       

 

reemerged (FEB- 21)

11677

20°  - 06° E

26°  S

 

FEB- 23

   

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
rotating out >

11678

82°  -96° W

10°  N

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
faded (Feb- 22)

11679

22°  -08° E

13°  S

 

FEB- 23

  *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

03

 

    STAR MAP by: solen.info/        

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX NORMAL

last event: increase of interplanetary proton flux - begin: FEB 08 until FEB 11 and FEB 13-16

 

REMARKS

    ELECTRON FLUX ALMOST NORMAL

INCREASE FEBRUARY 14- 1( CME impact)- decreasing on FEB 17(possible proton activity)

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 23/1609Z from Region 1678 (N08W93). There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Feb, 25 Feb, 26 Feb).

 

 

                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130211 /

int. CME Nr. >>

10/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

PRIMARY REGIONS

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

60°- 105° W

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

CME ARRIVAL!

SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS

NORTH AMERICA

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

 

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

SOUTH AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><NASZA>< PAC

 

23 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

AMERICAS/ WEST COASTS

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

J. D. FUCA >< AMER>< NASZA

 

M 5.5 - 7.5

2- 3

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

PACIFIC (EAST )

PACIF. >< INDO/AUS

 

24 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

M 5.5 - 7.5

2- 3

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG)

15° E- 180° W

15° E- 180° W

 

25 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE WESTERN EUROPE EURASIA><AFRICA>< N- AM.

 

M 5.5- 7.0

1-2 (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY ATLANTIC *REGIONS> see definition below EURASIA ><AMER.><AFR.

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: INCREASING AFTER FEB- 22    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES SAT ENV. / geomagnetic field:

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

 

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

> 1000 < 100.000 pfu

>1000 <10000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 432 km/s at 23/1450Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 23/1449Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 23/1449Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (24 Feb) and quiet levels on days two and three (25 Feb, 26 Feb)..

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

22

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

 

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 -TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!

 

 

          Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC  

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . !

SELFCHECK NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 6.1 - SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO, ARGENTINA - 2013-02-22 12:01:59 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

27.89 S ; 63.18 W

DEPTH >

588 km

 

TSUNAMI WARNINGS > ISSUED AT: --- --- WARNING CANCELLED AT:

---

 

MEASURED TSUNAMI  WAVE >> --- WAVE/HEIGHT: --- FREQUENCY ---   EPICENTER/ MAP  

 

      note: Tsunami alert here might not be up to date!           20130222: video: Torrential rain floods Sicily and Athens  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were collected on a sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0 then above M 4.0 as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events -From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exeeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ OBSERVED ON:

click for epicenter map:

NUMBER( >M 2) TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT MAP

02

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.3 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2013-02-22 18:21:49 UTC  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT MAP

02

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 5.2 - SOUTHERN PERU - 2013-02-22 21:50:48 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ P.N.G

FREQUENT MAP

01

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 4.9 - KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESIA - 2013-02-22 15:14:31 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM MAP

06

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.7 - NORTHEASTERN SAKHA, RUSSIA - 2013-02-22 09:31:55 UTC  

AFRICA- MAINLY RED SEA REGION & INDIAN OCEAN

SELDOM MAP

01

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA<>INDO AUS M 4.9 (USGS: 5.1) - INDIAN OCEAN TRIPLE JUNCTION - 2013-02-22 16:25:56 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION

FREQUENT SINCE 2012 MAP

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUS >< AFRICA M 4.4 - NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION - 2013-02-22 09:29:15 UTC  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT MAP

13

AFRICA >< EURASIA M 4.5 - NORTHERN ALGERIA - 2013-02-22 12:30:48 UTC  
LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS:

 

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM MAP

00

EURASIA (volcanic)  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING MAP

00

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  
           

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

MAP*

11

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011) MAP*

11

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT MAP*

09

ARABIA><EURASIA  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012 MAP  

03

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES MAP*

03

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012 MAP

00

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA  

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012 MAP*

00

AFRICA >< EURASIA  
           

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*MAP MAY NOT BE UP TO DATE!

 

      ^VOLCAN PACAYA (Guatemala)- MODIS sensor heat sources last 7 days (Univ. Hawaiʻi)(refresh rate: daily) ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
               

 

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. Eventual Media reports will be posted in section "various reports"

< stats

 

This section therefor can only refer to changes in "ALERT LEVELS" as published by GVP. Click on the buttons (right) to find more detailled internal reports: volcano watch (global statistics) and regional volcano maps (all volcanoes worldwide and current activities)

maps >

 
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
ECUADOR SANGAY 2°0'9"S/ 78°20'27"W 0502- 09= Stratovolcano Hi* SANGAY  

FEBRUARY- 22- 2013

 

SOUTHAM-N

VAAC

igepn

 

Wikipedia:

        MODIS sensor heat sources(last 7 days)

 

           

20130226

report by:

GVP  

According to the Washington VAAC, on 22 February a pilot observed an ash plume from Sangay that rose to an altitude of 7.6 km (25,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted SW. Due to cloud cover in the area, neither satellite image analysis nor the Instituto Geofísico-Escuela Politécnica Nacional (IG) could confirm an ash emission. Ash plumes were not detected in cloudy satellite image views during 23-24 February, but a thermal anomaly was detected on 24 February.

 

                             

 

REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
PERU SABANCAYA 15°47'0"S/ 71°51'0"W 1504-006 Stratovolcano Hi* SABANCAYA
NONE

FEBRUARY- 22- 2013

 

SOUTHAM-N

  NONE

 

Wikipedia:

         

 

           

20130222

report by:

GVP  

According to news articles, INGEMMET recorded 536 earthquakes from Sabancaya, or about 20 per hour, during 22-23 February. About 80 homes were damaged by the earthquakes, causing some evacuations. A plume rose 100 m; plumes had been intermittently visible since 15 January.

 

                             

 

      click on images to enlarge them!  
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Haruna

FEB- 19

INDIAN OCEAN

105 MPH (-)

43.0° E

22.2° E

MAKING LANDFALL SOUTH OF MADAGASKAR E TC (2)    
                           
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

THE FORGOTTEN HERITAGE OF THE COLD WAR

         

20130223

report by:

bbc.co.uk  

Washington State nuclear waste tanks 'leaking'

Six underground storage tanks at a nuclear site in the US state of Washington are leaking, authorities say. Governor Jay Inslee described the situation at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation as "disturbing news". But he stressed that there was no current risk to human health. Nearly 200 ageing containers hold millions of litres of radioactive waste left from decades of plutonium production for nuclear weapons. "There is no immediate or near-term health risk associated with these newly discovered leaks, which are more than five miles (8km) from the Columbia River," Mr Inslee said in a statement. Established as part of the Manhattan Project in 1943, Hanford was home to the world's first full-scale plutonium production facility. It was part of America's bid to build the world's first nuclear weapon during World War II. The site produced the plutonium for the bomb that was dropped on the Japanese city of Nagasaki. Production at Hanford continued until 1989. Under a costly clean-up proposal, the waste will eventually be treated in a special plant. It will then be safely disposed of underground in stainless steel canisters...read more...

< click on map top enlarge it!

 
                     
   

 

NEW WEATHER PATTERN WITH COLD ARCTIC AGAINST HOT SOUTHERN FRONT

     

20130223

report by:

euronews.com  
 

Torrential rain floods Sicily and Athens

Violent thunderstorms and torrential rains have caused chaos across southern Europe. In Italy, much of the Sicilian city of Catania was turned into a raging river with strong waters carrying away vehicles. Some 50 litres per square metre of rain fell in just half an hour. Hundreds of firefighters were scrambled but only one person was injured. The situation was worse in Greece where one woman died and dozens of commuters were trapped in their cars after a torrential downpour swamped the capital Athens. Police said a 27-year-old woman died of a suspected heart attack after being trapped in her car in the northern suburb of Halandri Power outages darkened large parts of the city during the overnight cloudburst, a river broke its banks and traffic jams brought much of Athens to a standstill in the morning rush hour....read more...

 

                                 
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

79

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

353-395

FLARES >

C

01

1

CH UNN. NORTH DECAYING FEB- 19 FEB- 20  

 

SOLAR FLUX

107.0

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.3

 

M

 

 

           

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

10

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

32- 107 nT

turbulence

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH GROWING FEB- 14 FEB 16- 25  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
 

11671

73° - 87° W

13°  N

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

faded( FEB- 16)

11672

14°  - 28° W

17°  S

   

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

 

11673

10°   - 24° W

09°  S

 

FEB- 21

        ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

HIGHER

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( FEB- 16

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

 

 

        LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130214

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11675

37°  -51° W

12° N

 

 

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

20130203

 
 

11676

16°  - 01° E

18°  S

 

FEB- 23

 

 

 

 

       

 

reemerged (FEB- 21)

11677

20°  - 06° E

26°  S

 

FEB- 23

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

15678

68°  -82° W

10°  N

 

 

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
NEWLY EMERGED

11679

22°  -08° E

13°  S

 

FEB- 23

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

01

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX NORMAL

last event: increase of interplanetary proton flux - begin: FEB 08 until FEB 11 and FEB 13-16

 

REMARKS

    ELECTRON FLUX ALMOST NORMAL

INCREASE FEBRUARY 14- 1( CME impact)- decreasing on FEB 17(possible proton activity)

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 22/1222Z from Region 1678 (N10W80). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (23 Feb) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days two and three (24 Feb, 25 Feb).

 

 

                       

TODAY`S CME ARRIVALS:

ARRIVAL DATE:

20130221

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT:

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

 

STRENGTH:    

>TRACKING NR

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN POLARITY: REL. MASS VALUE* MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

12/ 13

11671

32° - 46° W

13°  N

2 day lasting LDE ACTIVITY

20130219

10. 42 UTC 09 UTC not measurable   not measurable about 125 nT (Feb 21/ 19- 21 UTC CME flank caused geomagnetic turbulences   global impact- no changes in earthquake forecast  
REMARKS:

 

end: app on Feb 23    

long/lat:

long/lat:

*internal

SECONDARY GEOGR. IMPACT REGIONS  
        global global        
               
      STRENGTH   REMARKS: LATEST CME IMPACT MAP (internal):  
                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130211 /

int. CME Nr. >>

10/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

PRIMARY REGIONS

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

60°- 105° W

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

CME IMPACT!

SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS

NORTH AMERICA

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

 

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

SOUTH AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><NASZA>< PAC

 

22 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

AMERICAS/ WEST COASTS

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

J. D. FUCA >< AMER>< NASZA

 

M 5.5 - 6.5

2- 3 (CME arrival )

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

PACIFIC (EAST )

PACIF. >< INDO/AUS

 

23 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

M 5.5 - 7.5

2- 3

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG)

15° E- 180° W

15° E- 180° W

 

24 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE WESTERN EUROPE EURASIA><AFRICA>< N- AM.

 

M 5.5- 7.0

1-2 (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY ATLANTIC *REGIONS> see definition below EURASIA ><AMER.><AFR.

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: WILL IKELY INCREASE AFTER FEB- 22    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ ELECTRON FLUX/ geomagnetic field

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

 

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

 

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

 

>1000 <10000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

FEB- 21- 2013/ after 09 UTC: geomagnetic values indicated the arrival of a flank of the LDE observed on Feb 19- 21 in AR 11671 CME (Nr 12/13) already on Feb 21 after 09 UTC. The geomagnetic field reacted with a minor disturbances on the intensive sun winds emitted with that event mainly on Feb 19 but continuing until Feb 22. ACE measured high densities Interplanetary protons were back to normal on Feb, while electron flux began to increase on Feb 22 after 12 UTC in the geomag field. . SoHo images however suggest a solar particle storm

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 433 km/s at 22/0435Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 21/2321Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 21/2138Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (23 Feb, 24 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (25 Feb)..

 

     
click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" FEBRUARY 15- 21- 2013

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

21

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

 


Video streaming by Ustream

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 -TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!

 

 

          Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC  

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . !

SELFCHECK NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.4 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2013-02-21 19:50:03 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

6.31 S ; 154.94 E

DEPTH >

49 km

 

TSUNAMI WARNINGS > ISSUED AT: --- --- WARNING CANCELLED AT:

---

 

MEASURED TSUNAMI  WAVE >> --- WAVE/HEIGHT: --- FREQUENCY ---   EPICENTER/ MAP  

 

      note: Tsunami alert here might not be up to date!              
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were collected on a sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0 then above M 4.0 as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events -From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exeeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ OBSERVED ON:

click for epicenter map:

NUMBER( >M 2) TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT MAP

03

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.4 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2013-02-21 19:50:03 UTC  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT MAP

03

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.2 - EAST OF KURIL ISLANDS - 2013-02-21 17:20:53 UTC  

DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL:

JULY 2012

MAP*

11

EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA M 4.5 - DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE - 2013-02-21 10:18:51 UTC  

MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL)

FREQUENT MAP

10

AFRICA >< EURASIA M 4.4 - CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA - 2013-02-21 05:54:37 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

PANAMERICA

FREQUENT SINCE 2012 MAP

01

N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS M 4.6 - OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO - 2013-02-21 17:27:19 UTC  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT MAP

03

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 4.8 - TAIWAN - 2013-02-21 18:35:57 UTC  
LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS:

 

GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD)

SELDOM MAP

00

EURASIA (volcanic)  

GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION

VARYING MAP

03

CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA  

WESTERN TURKEY

PERMANENT( higher since 2011) MAP*

15

ARABIA>< EURASIA  

EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN

PERMANENT MAP*

13

ARABIA><EURASIA  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012 MAP  

02

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES MAP*

06

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012 MAP

00

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA  

NORTHERN ITALY

SINCE MAR 2012 MAP*

01

AFRICA >< EURASIA  
           

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*MAP MAY NOT BE UP TO DATE!

 

      ^ CURIOSITY/ NASA jpl/ Mars Rock Takes Unusual Form ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
      click on images to enlarge them!  

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS >

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

click here for today`s European Weather situation - provided by: METEOALARM

www. wunderground.com

 

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 

wunderground. com Tropical Depression Two

FEB- 19

WESTERN PACIFIC

30 MPH ()

112.8° E

7.3° N

200 KM NORTH OF MALAYSIA W TD    
wunderground. com Tropical Cyclone Haruna

FEB- 19

INDIAN OCEAN

110 MPH ()

41.4° E

22.5° E

< 100 KM WEST OF MADAGASKAR SE TC (2)    
                           
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
                   
     
                     
   

 

"The rusty planet"- MARTIAN SURFACE OXIDATED BEFORE WATER DISSAPEARED

     

20130220

report by:

nasa.gov/  

02.20.2013/ NASA Hosts Teleconference Today About Curiosity Rover (for this, just watch video above!)

NASA Curiosity Rover Collects First Martian Bedrock Sample

PASADENA, Calif. -- NASA's Curiosity rover has, for the first time, used a drill carried at the end of its robotic arm to bore into a flat, veiny rock on Mars and collect a sample from its interior. This is the first time any robot has drilled into a rock to collect a sample on Mars. The fresh hole, about 0.63 inch (1.6 centimeters) wide and 2.5 inches (6.4 centimeters) deep in a patch of fine-grained sedimentary bedrock, can be seen in images and other data Curiosity beamed to Earth Saturday. The rock is believed to hold evidence about long-gone wet environments. In pursuit of that evidence, the rover will use its laboratory instruments to analyze rock powder collected by the drill. "The most advanced planetary robot ever designed is now a fully operating analytical laboratory on Mars," said John Grunsfeld, NASA associate administrator for the agency's Science Mission Directorate. "This is the biggest milestone accomplishment for the Curiosity team since the sky-crane landing last August, another proud day for America." For the next several days, ground controllers will command the rover's arm to carry out a series of steps to process the sample, ultimately delivering portions to the instruments inside....read more...

 

                                 
THE CURRENTLY CONTINUING LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY INDICATES THE PROBABILITY OF UPCOMING PROTON ERUPTION / STORM

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

75

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

360-424

FLARES >

C

03

 

CH UNN. NORTH EQUAL FEB- 19 FEB- 20  

 

SOLAR FLUX

108.5

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.7

 

M

 

 

           

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

32- 120 nT

 

X

 

 

CH 555 (EXTENDED) SOUTH GROWING AGAIN FEB- 14 FEB 16- 18  

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (observed at 00:00 UTC)

 

 

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) JAN/07 CLOSING

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

   

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
 

11671

60° - 74° W

13°  N

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

faded( FEB- 16)

11672

14°  - 28° W

17°  S

   

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) :

 

 

11673

05° E  - 09° W

09°  S

 

FEB- 21

        ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

MODERATE

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( FEB- 16

11674

08°  - 22° W

17°  N

 

 

        LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130124

 

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11675

23°  -37° W

12° N

 

 

 

 

 

  LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20121230

20130108

 
 

11676

28°  - 14° E

18°  S

 

FEB- 22

 

 

 

 

       

 

faded (FEB- 20)

11677

40°  -26° E

26°  S

 

FEB- 22

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11678

55°  -69° W

10°  N

 

 

 

 

 

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, Cso etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
NEWLY EMERGED

11679

35°  -21° E

13°  S

 

FEB- 23

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson

NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

0

 

               

CMEs FROM FILAMENT ERUPTIONS:

CME Nr.:

            PROTON FLUX NORMAL

last event: increase of interplanetary proton flux - begin: FEB 08 until FEB 11 and FEB 13-16

 

REMARKS

    ELECTRON FLUX ALMOST NORMAL

INCREASE FEBRUARY 14- 1( CME impact)- decreasing on FEB 17(possible proton activity)

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2012 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 21/0505Z from Region 1678 (N10W66). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one and two (22 Feb, 23 Feb) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (24 Feb).

 

 

                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note,, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

 

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130211 /

int. CME Nr. >>

10/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

PRIMARY REGIONS

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS

60°- 105° W

INTERFERS WITH PREVIOUS CMEs

PLATE BOUNDARIES OF

 

ALERT LEVEL

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES

ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3)

 

 

SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS

NORTH AMERICA

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

AMERICAS>< PACIFIC

 

 

 

SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS

SOUTH AMERICA

SOUTH

S-AM.><NASZA>< PAC

 

21 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

AMERICAS/ WEST COASTS

These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp

J. D. FUCA >< AMER>< NASZA

 

M 5.5 - 6.5

2- 3 (CME arrival?? )

 

INDUCED CURRENTS

PACIFIC (EAST )

PACIF. >< INDO/AUS

 

22 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

M 5.5 - 6.5

2- 3 (CME arrival )

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG)

15° E- 180° W

15° E- 180° W

 

23 -FEBRUARY - 2013

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS AFTER P- FLARE WESTERN EUROPE EURASIA><AFRICA>< N- AM.

 

M 5.5 - 7.5

2- 3 (preliminary)

 

HIGH SUN SPOT NUMBER/ EFFECTS (REGIONAL): HOT & DRY ATLANTIC *REGIONS> see definition below EURASIA ><AMER.><AFR.

 

 

LATE CME EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES* CURRENT DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: LIKELY TO INCREASE AFTER FEB- 22    

 

*BY TECTONICS COOLING DOWN = RELATED TECTONIC PLATES ARE EXPECTED  TO BE HEATED BY CME IMPACT

 

geomagnetic field density still on elavated levels- further quakes> M 6.0 likely

 

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ ELECTRON FLUX/ geomagnetic field

 

INFLUENCES> ACTIVE ELECTRONS MINOR PROTON STORM

 

 

 

EFFECTING AS > EARTHQUAKE LATENCY  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS/ LATENCY

 

QUIET

 

* note: reports by NOAA are sometimes published later resp. backdated

 

UNSETTLED

 

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:*

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

ACTIVE

 

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

SOURCES/ REPORTS /LINKS:

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

 

S. RADIATION STORM:

NONE NONE REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

MAJOR STORM   RADIO BLACKOUTS NONE NONE  

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  

internal remarks:

 

SOLAR STORMS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

 

 

> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

 

>1000 <10000 pfu INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA  

 

2 MeV ELECTRONS

>100 pfu

  INTERNAL REPORT /GOES  DATA

 

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

.IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 454 km/s at 21/0100Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 21/0432Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 21/0026Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (22 Feb, 23 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (24 Feb). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one and two (22 Feb, 23 Feb).

 

     

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

FEBRUARY

 

DAY:

20

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

 

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 -TODAY`s EVENTS:

MORE SPECIAL REPORTS WILL FOLLOW LATER DURING THE DAY AND LATER AS SOON AS PUBLISHED!

 

 

          Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC  

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . !

SELFCHECK NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> -- REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.7 - OFFSHORE MICHOACAN, MEXICO - 2013-02-20 21:23:09 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

18.66 N ; 103.76 W

DEPTH >

15 km

 

TSUNAMI WARNINGS > ISSUED AT: --- --- WARNING CANCELLED AT:

---

 

MEASURED TSUNAMI  WAVE >> --- WAVE/HEIGHT: --- FREQUENCY ---   EPICENTER/ MAP  

 

      note: Tsunami alert here might not be up to date!           KANSASA/ USA/ 20130220:2/20/2013 Wichita, KS Snow Storm  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 4.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  

MAIN EARTHQUAKE REGIONS

FREQUENCY/ OBSERVED ON:

click for epicenter map:

NUMBER( >M 2) TECTONICS:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 4.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT MAP

02

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.6 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2013-02-20 00:09:20 UTC  

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012 MAP

08

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 5.2 - CATAMARCA, ARGENTINA - 2013-02-20 11:18:53 UTC  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012 MAP MAP

 

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA M 4.3 - OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2013-02-20 12:22:01 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ P.N.G

FREQUENT MAP

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 4.4 - KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA - 2013-02-20 10:22:37 UTC  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT MAP

06

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 4.7 - RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN - 2013-02-20 17:44:32 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM