-----------------------

 

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alien- homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- -SUN SPOT ACTIVITY- 11- years solar cycle- last update: JULY- 22- 2013- -07:00 UTC copyright: reserved

background image: Aurora Borealis /COMMONS / wikipedia
open source earthquake forecast project created and provided by: alien-homepage.de-

 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This projekt therefore will be prolongued.
 
2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE JULY - 2013

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

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SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:
2013 >

JULY        
2012 >

2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL INTRODUCE A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on the following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics, volcano maps , earthquake statistic- JULY- 2013
   
ALL KNOWN VOLCANOES WORLDWIDE, WEEKLY ACTIVITY UPDATES, WEBCAMS, and much more on my "REGIONAL VOLCANO " MAPS:
INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

 

SPACECRAFTS:  
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
 
 
 
 
 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX- right image: planetary constellations in March 2013

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

 

VIDEOS/ REPORTS, SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL EVENTS- JULY- 2013:

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK- JUNE -2013:

   
   
   
   
 
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CMEs IN JULY 2013:
Inhalt
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME):

JULY- 2013

 
   
NONE
                       
                                 
                                 
 
SIGNIFICANT SOLAR AND TERESTRIAL EVENT LOGS - JULY- 2013

LATEST SOLAR EVENTS (last update-: JULY- 24- 2013: Solar activity is on very low level since July 21

Regularly and almost each year, solar x ray and sun spot activity sinks to a minimum twice per year at then time of summer` s and winter`soltice around June 23 and December 23. This year this phase was later and began at that time when (due to the egypt calendar) the SIRIUS year begins ( around 21. of July) This is, when Sirius appears again behind the sun shortly and becomes therefore visibly shortly before sunrise. There is not doubt about that nearby planets influence or even can trigger or amplify eruptions form sunspots and ARs. Its might be suggested , but there is no real proof whether and how nearby massive stars such as Sirius or the galactic center , those are both aligning with the Sun and Earth during each soltice influence the sun or especial sun spot and x ray activity.

JULY- 22- 2013): NEW STRONG SOLAR SEP EVENT BEGINNING ON JULY 22 after 9:00 UTC

A NEW active region 11793 has rotated towards the solar meridian . Until July 21 it was rather quiet but had an extreme polarity without intermixing. The smaller AR 1180 is currently the most actiove region on the visible disc. As previously mentioned , the longer period of very low solar eruptive activity might likely lead to another SEP event. ( SAP/SEP = solar accelerated/ energetic protons), the strongest known form of solar eruption. On July 22 after 15 UTC introgeomagnetic PROTON FLUX began slightly to rise after a strong backside event

SOLAR (last update;: JULY- 06- 2013) :

A new sunspot cluster more than 30° to the South that rotated in in the first days of July 2013 and will pass the solar meridian between July 07 and 09 . The Sun spot regions 11785 and 11787 with their corresponding activities are still growing quite active yet with more than 40 C flares between Jul 04 and 06. One minor and partial earth directed CME was observed with an LDE flare in AR 11787 on July 04/ 19:46 UTC and had a minor impact on July 06. SDO images show the most C flares originate from the main spot in AR 11785. M flares are possible- so solen. info. Due to the rising high x ray flux with rather low eruptive activities, the Sun also might produce another SEP event during the next week

 

 

 
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS (last update, JULY- 25- 2013: A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).
 

JULY- 09- 2013:

A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 20:49 UTC, the arrival of an unknown event (proton flare) that occured- so ACE- on July 08 after 2 UTC. The emitted solar wind contained mainly protons- likely the reason why the event was invisible on satellite imagery- what caused another minor geomagnetic storm and geomag depression, that continued at time of this update.

 

SOLAR (last update;: JULY- 06- 2013) :

A new sunspot cluster more than 30° to the South that rotated in in the first days of July 2013 and will pass the solar meridian between July 07 and 09 . The Sun spot regions 11785 and 11787 with their corresponding activities are still growing quite active yet with more than 40 C flares between Jul 04 and 06. One minor and partial earth directed CME was observed with an LDE flare in AR 11787 on July 04/ 19:46 UTC and had a minor impact on July 06. SDO images show the most C flares originate from the main spot in AR 11785. M flares are possible- so solen. info. Due to the rising high x ray flux with rather low eruptive activities, the Sun also might produce another SEP event during the next week

 

JULY- 06- 2013) :

A minor CME arrived on July 06 after UTC from and LDE activity in AR 11787 on July 04. Impact parameters were quite the same as during recent events. Forecast regions have therefore not changed and were centered along the 90° longitude WEST. Related volcanic events and later stronger EARTHQUAKES(!!) are still expectable to INCREASE ALONG THE ENTIRE WESTERN COAST of NORTH, CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA stretching into the Eastern Pacific.

 
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CMEs IN JUNE 2013:
Inhalt
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME):

JUNE- 2013

 
TODAY`S SOLAR CME EVENTS:                  

20130628

CMEs at:

01:59

EST. ARRIVAL:

JUNE- 30- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

ACE/ SIS: /INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

28/13

20130628/ 02:39 20130628/ 05:42 UTC 20130628/ 01:44 UTC 20130628/ 02:11 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11777

 

 

PARTIAL HALO CME

 

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

22° - 36° W

15° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

LDE FLARE

C 4.4  
CME COULD NOT BE ANALIZED* (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 32 (2) SDO /AIA-comp

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: *INTERNAL

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
   
EARTH DIRECTED SOLAR CME EVENT S                  

20130618

CMEs at:

20:43 UTC

ARRIVAL:

uncertain

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

27/13

20130618/ 20:39 UTC 20130618/ 20:43 UTC 20130618/ 03:42 UTC    

 

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11773?

   

 

Earth directed?

halo  

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

38° - 24° E

04° N

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

FLARE

C 5  
  (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
   
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

27/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE):

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH: MINOR (1-2)  

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT (SOUTH)

- 5 nT at 12: 43

MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130620

11773

38° - 24° E

04° N

C5 event from CENTRAL MERIDIAN REGION

20130618

20.43 unclear ( 02 UTC?) 155 nT   12- 24 UTC 18- 19 UTC IMPACT POLARITY : BETA CENTRAL AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  
REMARKS:       00- 180° W 90- 105° W E internal (relatiuve CME mass value:      
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
   
CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
 

330

WESTERN EUROPE
ATLANTIC
 
SOLAR CME EVENT (REPORT):                  

201306 03

CMEs at:

00:12/ 07:24 UTC

ARRIVAL:

JUNE 05- 06- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

25/13

20130602/ 23:39 UTC 20130603/ 07:28 UTC 20130603/ 05:42 UTC 20130602/ 05:28 UTC  

 

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11762

 

 

Earth directed?

partial?  

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

19° - 33° W

28° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

impulsive LDE flare

C 9  
unclear event that however caused a significant impact on June- 06- 2013 (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

     
a minor flare( rather an eruptive prominence -as typically without significant rise of x- ray flux) was observed on June 02 2013: STEREO had first no transmission from 20130602/ 17: 42 UTC- 23:39 UTC, images resumed days later. The C 9 class flare on JUNE 03 at around 10 UTC has- due to SoHO and STEREO images not produced a CME at all,. The events will further be analysed if any CME impact should become obvious  
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

25 & 26/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE)

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH:    

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT > SOUTHWARDS MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130606.

11762/60?

19° - 33° W

28° S

2-3 CME in AR 11762

20130602/03? 05:28 (main) 14 UTC 165 nT   13- 20 UTC 15 UTC IMPACT POLARITY > (+) positive ATLANTIC AMERICAS WEST  

20130607

11762

   

CME in AR 11672

20130605

  03 UTC 130 nT   09 - 02 UTC ( JU-08) 16- 21 UTC   unknown US WEST COAST EASTERN PACIFIC  
REMARKS: INTERFERING AND SUMMING UP WITH PREVIOUS EVENTS! > 150 nT     45° E- 180°- 150° E 60°- 135° W internal (relatiuve CME mass value EASTERN EURASIA WESTERN PACIFIC  
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
   
FURTHER CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
   

WESTERN EURASIA

   
                                 
                                 
                                 

 

 

 

 

click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" JULY- 22- 31- 2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

31

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

CANCELLED AT:

 

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

NOAA TSUNAMI ALERT REPORT:

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.1 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-07-31 00:14:14 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

38.13 N ; 142.03 E

DEPTH >

10 km

WAVE/HEIGHT

 

FREQUENCY

 

 

 

                 

note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!

 
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

02 X > M5

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.0 - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-07-31 05:40:51 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

MAP

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - MOLUCCA SEA - 2013-07-31 00:36:56 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT/ 20130730

"D"

MAP

03

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 4.8 - NEAR COAST OF NORTHERN PERU - 2013-07-31 10:28:09 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

     

20130619

report by:

GVP  

 

24 July - 30 July 2013

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: Ambrym (Vanuatu)- Karangetang [Api Siau] (Sangihe Islands) Ketoi (Kuril Islands)- Popocatépetl (México)- Shiveluch (Kamchatka Peninsula)- Tungurahua (Ecuador) White Island (New Zealand)

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: Chirinkotan (Kuril Islands)- Chirpoi (Kuril Islands)- Kilauea (Hawaiian Islands)- Kizimen (Kamchatka Peninsula)- Pacaya (Guatemala) Reventador (Ecuador)- Sakura-jima (Ryukyu Islands and Kyushu)- Tolbachik (Kamchatka Peninsula) Veniaminof (Alaska Peninsula)

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Invest 90E

JULY- 30- 2013

EASTERN PACIFIC

30 MPH ()

110.5° W

12.1° N

600 km SWW OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO

W

L

   
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Gil

JULY- 29- 2013

EASTERN PACIFIC

45 MPH (+)

117.6° W

13.1° N

800 km W OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO

WNW

TS

   
wunderground.com Tropical Depression Nine

JULY- 30- 2013

WESTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH ()

116.1° E

15.0 ° N

250 KM NWW OF MANYLA/PHILIPPINES

WNW

TD    

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

 

 

 

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
       
   
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

94

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

328-394

FLARES >

C

01

 

CH 577 NORTHERN GROWING JULY- 27- 2013 JULY 31- AUG- 01  

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

108.76

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.4

 

M

 

 

CH UNN. SOUTH GROWING JULY- 27- 2013 AUG- 02- 2013  

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

62- 105 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
faded (JUL- 27)

11799

33° - 47° W

18° S

 

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

rotated out ( JU 30)

11800

     

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

 

11801

22° - 36° W

20° N

HSX/ CSO

JULY 29

       

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
rotated out (Ju-27)>

11802

88° - 102° W

13° N

 

          LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

HIGHER < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded (JUL- 28)

11803

43° - 57° W

09° S

BXO

JULY- 24

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
rotated out

11804

85° - 99° W

09° S

 

JULY- 24

     

 

 

 

 

11805

71° - 85° W

06° S

DAO

JULY- 24

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11806

24° - 10° E

15° S

DAO/ DRI

JULY- 24

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11807

29°- 43° W

28° N

CAO/ DRI

JULY- 24

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11808

41° - 27° E

14° N

DSO/ CAO

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11809

79° - 65° E

13° N

HSX/ CAO

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

04

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

SHORT PEAKS SINCE 20130726

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

 

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                      INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  
LATEST SOLAR EVENTS 20130731 AFTER A TYPICICAL ANNUAL MIDSUMMER LOW ( THIS YEAR LATER THAN USUALLY) SOLAR SUNSPOT ACTIVITY BEGAN TO RESUME AGAIN AFTER JULY 27 WITH SUN SPOT NUMBER FIRST TIME RISING AGAIN ABOVE 100 ON JULY 30- 2013  
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 30/2219Z from Region 1809 (N12E65). There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (01 Aug, 02 Aug, 03 Aug).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-01 nT at 10:15 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 3 nT at 08:13 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

last published values (20130716) < -8.4 > -9.2 < today`s data not available

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1

> +/- 0.1

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>8.0< 40.000 pfu (decreasing)

>1000< 80.000 pfu (dropping

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>40 < 2000pfu (decreasing)

>200 < 1200pfu (dropping)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 437 km/s at 31/0433Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 31/0340Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 31/1631Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 852 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (01 Aug), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (02 Aug) and quiet to active levels on day three (03 Aug).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130731 GEOMAGNETIC AND HIGH ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX BEGAN DECREASE ON JULY 30 AND CONTINUED TO DO SO ON JULY 31. THE LONG TERM SAP EFFECTS GOING ON OVER MORE THAN TWO MONTHS OBVIOUSLY BEGIN TO DIMINUISH RIGHT NOW WITH THE TYPICAL FINAL PHASE OF STRONGER ( TECTONIC CONTRACTION) EARTHQUAKES EXPECTABLE FOR THE COMING DAYS  
       

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (-) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
ACTIVE ELECTRONS/ END SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

SEP/SAP END!

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

31. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 ( LATENCY ENDING)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

01. AUGUST 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

02. AUGUST 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 7.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 (PRELIMINARY)

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

DECREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>>

INCREASING!! LATENCY ENDED

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >                   (TODAY`S EQ FORECAST IS ONLY PRELIMINARY AND MIGHT BE REVISED LATER TODAY)  

WARNING! JULY- 30- 2013:

SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT DAYS WITH THE CHANCE OF MAJOR QUAKES > M 8.0 , AS THE SAP RELATED ELECTRON ACTIVITY ACTUALLY SLOWLY BEGAN TO DECREASE >:

remarks: during geomagnetic storms and turbulences such as in tha past days its difficult to say how strong the geomag. electron flux really is and when it indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day! ON JULY 30 geomag activity began to drop first time after being for more than 3 month on constant high- extreme high levels. Without the presence of active influences such as HSS or CMEs this reading on July 30 seemed to be correct and valuable for eveluation . Values on early July 31 confirm the tendency of an actual gradually AND SLOW drop of electron flux back to normal. In geophysical terms this also is the begin of a cooling down and contraction process of those tectonic plates, affected be the strong SEPs/ SAPs since January 2013 with the strongest major SAP events in Mai and June 2013. ATMOSPHERIC HEAT EFFECTS (HEATWAVES CAUSED BY these electrons CAN ALREADY BE FELT TO EASE

The electron drop goes rather slowly due to the long time is has been so high. HORIZONTAL FRICTION QUAKES ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN THE COMING DAYS WITH A HIGH CHANCE OF ONE OR MORE MAJOR QUAKES WITHIN THE NEXT WEEK.!! (This cooling down/ contraction process of tectonic plaates heated up by the SAPs before results as a friction between continental plates ; it at all seems to be very likely that those cooling down processes cause many of the strongest disastrous quake - those mainly are HORIZONTAL QUAKES. Earthquake Alert will be maintained at least until Aug 07- 2013. alien-homepage.de

 

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

30

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

CANCELLED AT:

 

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

NOAA TSUNAMI ALERT REPORT:

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.2 - CHIAPAS, MEXICO - 2013-07-30 13:30:02 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

15.89 N ; 92.72 W

DEPTH >

150 km

WAVE/HEIGHT

 

FREQUENCY

 

 

 

                 

note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!

 
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

EARTHQUAKE SWARM AEGEAN SEA

20130730

"E"

MAP

17 (M2-M4)

AFRICA >< EURASIA M 4.9 - AEGEAN SEA - 2013-07-30 05:33:09 UTC  

PANAMERICA

FREQUENT SINCE 2012

"D"

MAP

02

N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS M 4.4 - CHIAPAS, MEXICO - 2013-07-30 17:27:47 UTC  

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

01

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.5 - CROATIA - 2013-07-30 12:58:33 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Invest 99E JULY- 29- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC 25 MPH ()

110.4° W 

10.6° N

750 km SWW OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO W L    
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Flossie JULY- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH (-)

150156.5° W

21.3° ° N

< 100 km EAST of HONOLULU/ HAWAII ISLANDS

WNW

TS    

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

 

 

 

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
       
   
                           
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

105

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

334-407

FLARES >

C

04

 

CH 577 NORTHERN GROWING JULY- 27- 2013 JULY 31- AUG- 01  

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

113.1

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 4.7

 

M

 

 

           

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

05

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

55- 102 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
faded (JUL- 20)

11798

28° - 14° E

13° S

AXX/ HRX

JULY 21

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded (JUL- 27)

11799

33° - 47° W

18° S

 

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

rotating out >

11800

83° - 97° W

19° S

DAO/DAI

 

       

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
 

11801

08° - 22° W

20° N

HSX/ CSO

JULY 29

        LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

INCREASING < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
rotated out (Ju-27)>

11802

88° - 102° W

13° N

 

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
faded (JUL- 28)

11803

43° - 57° W

09° S

BXO

JULY- 24

     

 

 

 

rotated out

11804

85° - 99° W

09° S

 

JULY- 24

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11805

58° - 72° W

06° S

DAO

JULY- 24

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11806

36° - 22° E

15° S

DSO/ DAI

JULY- 24

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
NEWLY EMERGED

11807

17° - 31° W

28° N

DAO

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11808

55° - 41° E

14° N

DSO/ DAI

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

03

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

SHORT PEAKS SINCE 20130726

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

 

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at 29/2318Z from Region 1800 (S07W95). There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (31 Jul, 01 Aug, 02 Aug).

 

 

         
               
             
 
 
 
 
 

ongoing event

(1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C32

SoHO/ LASCO C 3 ^GOES/ introgeomagnetic proton Flux ^ ^GOES/ X Ray flux ^  
                 
 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-01 nT at 10:15 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 3 nT at 07:50 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

last published values (20130716) < -8.4 > -9.2 < today`s data not available

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1

> +/- 0.1

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>1000< 7.500 pfu (decreasing)

>8.0< 40.000 pfu (decreasing)

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>1000 < 1500pfu

>4.0 < 1050pfu (decreasing)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 418 km/s at 30/0015Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/1309Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 30/1607Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 906 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (31 Jul, 01 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (02 Aug).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130725 A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).  
       

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (-) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
ACTIVE ELECTRONS/ END SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

SEP/SAP END!

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

30. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 ( LATENCY END))

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

31. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5- > 7.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

01. AUGUST 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 8,0? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 (PRELIMINARY)

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

DECREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>>

INCREASING!! LATENCY ENDED

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >                   (TODAY`S EQ FORECAST IS ONLY PRELIMINARY AND MIGHT BE REVISED LATER TODAY)  

WARNING! JULY- 30- 2013:

SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . PROBABILITY OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) LIKELY TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 1- 7 DAYS, AS ELECTRON ACTIVITY ACTUALLY DECREASES BY NOW:

remarks: during geomagnetic storms and turbulences such as in tha past days its difficult to say how strong the geomag. electron flux really is and when it indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day! ON JULY 30 geomag activity began to drop first time after being for more than 3 month on constant high- extreme high levels. Without the presence of active influences such as HSS or CMEs this reading on July 30 seemed to be correct and valuable for eveluation . Values on early July 31 confirm the tendency of an actual gradually drop of electron flux back to normal. In geophysical terms this also is the begin of a cooling down and contraction process of those tectonic plates, affected be the strong SEPs/ SAPs since January 2013 with the strongest major SAP events in Mai and June 2013, and makes HORIZONTAL FRICTION QUAKES LIKELY TO OCCURE IN THE COMING DAYS!! (This cooling down/ contraction processand the resulting friction between continental plates is what likely causes the strongest - mainly HORIZONTAL QUAKES). Earthquake Alert will be maintained at least until Aug 07- 2013. alien-homepage.de

 

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

29

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

CANCELLED AT:

 

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

NOAA TSUNAMI ALERT REPORT:

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.1 - FIJI REGION - 2013-07-29 08:12:26 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

17.01 S ; 177.06 W

DEPTH >

2 km

WAVE/HEIGHT

 

FREQUENCY

 

 

 

                 

note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!

 
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

03 x> M4

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 5.0 - HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN - 2013-07-29 08:07:59 UTC  

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

03

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2013-07-29 18:27:41 UTC  
            M 5.1 - FIJI REGION - 2013-07-29 08:12:26 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

NOVEMBER - 14-2012

"E"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA M 2.6 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2013-07-29 14:11:40 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY

 

CONGO DR/ Africa NYIRAGONGO 1°31'0"S/ 29°15'0"E 0203-03= Stratovolcano Hi* NYIRAGONGO
NONE

JULY- 29- 2013

ACTIVE

Africa

TOULOUSE VAAC

 

Wikipedia:

                MODVOLC  
           

20130806

report by:

GVP

 

According to NASA's Earth Observatory, a satellite image of Nyiragongo acquired on 29 July showed a red glow coming from the active lava lake in the summit crater. A diffuse blue plume drifted N.

 

                               
                                 
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
CONGO DR/ Africa NYAMURAGIRA 1°24'30"S/ 29°12'0"E 0203-02= Shield volcano Hi* NYAMURAGIRA
NONE

JULY- 29- 2013

ACTIVE

 

GORILLA. CD.ORG

 

Wikipedia:

                MODVOLC

 

           

20130806

report by:

GVP  

According to NASA's Earth Observatory, a satellite image acquired on 29 July showed a dense, white plume rising from Nyamuragira likely consisting of large amounts of water vapor.

 

                             

 

                                 
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Invest 91L JULY- 28- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC 35 MPH ()

59.5° W

19.3° N

300 km SEE of BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS W L    
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Flossie JULY- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

55 MPH (-)

150.2° W

19.6° ° N

< 300 km EAST of HAWAII ISLANDS

W

TS    

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

 

 

EARTHQUAKE WARNING

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
 

(BBC- 20130730) Explosions rock Florida gas plant

At least seven people were injured by a series of explosions at a gas plant in the US state of Florida, officials say. The explosions continued for about an hour and caused a large fire. The cause of the initial blast is not yet known

Human. or: ELECTRONIC FAILURE?:

(euronews/ 20130730) Swiss rail collision leaves one dead and dozens injured

Two trains collided head-on in western Switzerland on Monday evening, killing the driver of one and injuring at least 35 passengers....A spokesperson for the Swiss rail company CFF said the two trains should have crossed at the station, thanks to a track system that allows them to pass one another.

compare: BBC/20130728) Spain train crash: Driver Garzon provisionally charged

 
^ELECTRON FLUX ON JULY 27- 30- 2013 compare: values on MAY 29- JUNE 02- 2013

(internal report) GEOMAGNETIC ELECTRON FLUX: >>

With several following major SEP events ( Mai 21,June- 11, June 21) the flux of electrons within the geomagnetic field (mainlay around the Northern poles) was elevated for month. > M2 MeV electrons temporarely had reached values above 100.000 pfu while > 0.8 MeV Electrons were above 1.000.000, The last SEP on July 21 mainly missed the Earth. Now on July 30- electron levels sank first time below treshold levels ( the mainly observed > 2.0 MeV electrons sank below 1000 pfu) , For me a clear indicator that the strong effects of these electron accumulation is going to end right now while the danger of late CONTRACTION EARTHQUAKES as the last episode of such an SEP/ SAP event is llikely just beginning now!

A major warning for major earthquakes ( estimated magnitudes: up to higher than Magnitude 9.0) goes out to the entire region of the EASTERN PACIFIC including the NORTH AND SOUTH- AMERICAN WEST COASTS AND JAPAN ( see experimintal earthquake forecast below) . But also Eurpope will be affected- with minor quakes.

- mainly producing heat within the Earth atmosphere (> storms), the Northern pole (surface temperature anomalies those led to anomalities in the gulf current causing temperature axchange through the atmosphere those cause the strange weather situation in Europe beginning after May 21 ) ) and the Earth core (volcanic mainly hotspot activities)

(BBC- 20130730) Tornado sweeps through Grezzago, Milan                
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

97

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

358-435

FLARES >

C

04

 

CH 577 NORTHERN GROWING JULY- 27- 2013 JULY 31- AUG- 01  

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

112.1

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 4.1

 

M

 

 

           

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 110 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
faded again(JUL- 25)

11795

57° - 71° W

06° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11797

14° - 31° W

19° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11798

28° - 14° E

13° S

AXX/ HRX

JULY 21

       

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
faded (JUL- 27)

11799

33° - 47° W

18° S

 

 

        LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

  < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11800

70° - 84° W

19° S

DAO/DAI

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11801

05 E - 09° W

20° N

HSX/ CSO

JULY 29

     

 

 

 

rotated out (Ju-27)>

11802

88° - 102° W

13° N

 

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
faded (JUL- 28)

11803

43° - 57° W

09° S

BXO

JULY- 24

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
rotated out

11804

85° - 99° W

09° S

 

JULY- 24

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11805

43° - 57° W

06° S

DAO

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11806

47° - 33° E

15° S

DSO/ DAI

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

07

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

SHORT PEAKS SINCE 20130726

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

 

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 29/1651Z from Region 1800 (S08W84). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul, 01 Aug).

 

 

 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-01 nT at 10:15 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 3 nT at 07:50 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

< -8.3 > -9.1 < -8.4 > -9.2 < available values always minus 7 days

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1

> +/- 0.1

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>8.0< 40.000 pfu (decreasing)

>200< 90.000 pfu (disturbance)

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>4.0 < 1050pfu (decreasing)

>0.3 < 2500pfu (disturbance)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 468 km/s at 28/2240Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 29/1301Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 29/0126Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1035 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul, 01 Aug).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130725 A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).  
       

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (-) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
ACTIVE ELECTRONS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

ACTIVE ELECTRONS

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

29. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 ( LATENCY))

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

30. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5- 6.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 ( LATENCY))

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

31. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 ( PRELIMINARY))

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

DECREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>>

LATENCY ( EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS)

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >                   (TODAY`S EQ FORECAST IS ONLY PRELIMINARY AND MIGHT BE REVISED LATER TODAY)  

JULY- 29- 2013: SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY IS LIKELY TO INCREASE WHEN ELEVATED SEP/ ELECTRON ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO DROP/ DECREASE.( its difficult to say when electron flux indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day!

 

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  

GENERAL REMARKS TO THE LONG TERM EFFECTS OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS/ STORMS ( by: alien-homepage.de) : : Several strong earthquakes happen regularly immidiately during/ after Proton Storms (those themselves likely are also caused by kinds of solar quakes. Otherwise during that first phase, more exactly: DURING the proton storms when proton flux is elavated- as a typical antienergetic effect Protons have, everything that requires cinetic energies to work such as storms or volcanic activities are rather very low. Entire storms systems as statistics indicate seem to can come to a stillstand by such a proton impact. Other data show that protons can even swallow electrons ( memory charges) from harddiscs as more as if these ar plugged to the grid or connected to the web. and surely proton storms do interrupt all kinds of radio transmissions. After the proton storm itself has decreased regularly an electron storms sets in that last again for some days. During that time, all kind of cinetic effects set in: Mainly sudden thunderstorms, and increasing volcano activities preferently those of hot spot volcanoes. Induced currents effecting down to the Earth surface with potential of heavy damage to power grids are seldom, but TYPICALLY OCCURE ESPECIALLY AFTER PROTON EVENTS when the proton and succeeding electron storms( impact reaches certain strength. This phase now last normally not more than 10 days until the affected tectonic plates would cool down again and contract, what leads to the second and final phase with the chance for another STRONG EARTHQUAKES. The described single phase are prolongued amplified or mindered WHEN NEW CME events occure , those might contain more protons or electrons. Its hardly then to forecast but current data show, that by the fact that protons shift the geomagnetic charge temporarely to positive values, that short circuit that lets flow solar energies right through the magnetic field lines (MPI MUnich) into the Earth core, the Earth can likely sum up and even store these energies for a long time ( by forming neutrons) what includes the risk of a concentrated energetic breakouts in different forms.

 
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

28

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

CANCELLED AT:

 

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

NOAA TSUNAMI ALERT REPORT:

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.5 - VANUATU REGION - 2013-07-28 20:16:25 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

20.52 S ; 174.68 E

DEPTH >

60 km

WAVE/HEIGHT

 

FREQUENCY

 

 

 

                 

note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!

 
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.0 - IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 2013-07-28 11:36:00 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

CANARY ISLANDS REGION

IRREGULARLY

"E"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA M 2.8 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2013-07-28 01:40:34 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Invest 90L JULY- 27- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC 30 MPH

73.1° W

35.1° N

150 KM OFF THE COAST OF EASTERN CAROLINA/ USA NNE L    
wunderground.com Remnants of Dorian JULY- 22- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC

40 MPH (-)

54.7° W

18.9° N

500 km East of BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

W

TS

   
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Flossie JULY- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

50 MPH (-)

143.2W

19° .0° N

600 km EAST of HAWAII ISLANDS

W

TS    

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

20130728

 

 

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
 

(CNN- 20130728) flooding in North Carolina kills 2

 

 

   
   
                           
       
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

68

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

358-471

FLARES >

C

07

 

           

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

109.4

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.8

 

M

 

 

CH 576 TRANSEQU. CLOSING 20130719 20130722- 23 RECURRENT

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

05

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

55- 102 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
faded again(JUL- 25)

11795

57° - 71° W

06° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11797

14° - 31° W

19° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11798

28° - 14° E

13° S

AXX/ HRX

JULY 21

       

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
faded (JUL- 27)

11799

33° - 47° W

18° S

 

 

        LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

  < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11800

56° - 70° W

19° S

DAO/DAC

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11801

18° - 04° E

20° N

HSX/ CSO

JULY 29

     

 

 

 

rotated out (Ju-27)>

11802

88° - 102° W

13° N

 

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11803

43° - 57° W

09° S

BXO

JULY- 24

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
rotated out

11804

85° - 99° W

09° S

 

JULY- 24

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11805

29° - 42° W

06° S

CSO/DAI

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11806

58° - 44° E

15° S

AXX/CRO

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

03

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

SHORT PEAKS SINCE 20130726

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

 

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 28/1221Z from Region 1800 (S08W74). There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (29 Jul) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul)

 

 

         
               
             
 
 
 
 
 

ongoing event

(1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C32

SoHO/ LASCO C 3 ^GOES/ introgeomagnetic proton Flux ^ ^GOES/ X Ray flux ^  
                 
 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

NONE  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-01 nT at 11:30 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 3 nT at 07:50 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

< -8.3 > -9.1 < -8.4 > -9.2 < available values always minus 7 days

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1

> +/- 0.1

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>200< 90.000 pfu (disturbance)

>0.25< 30.000 pfu (disturbance)

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>0.3 < 2500pfu (disturbance)

>0.4 < 800pfu (disturbance)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 521 km/s at 28/1328Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 28/0621Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 27/2116Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 365 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul, 31 Jul).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130725 A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).  
       

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
CME EFFECTS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

CME EFFECTS ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

28. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- 6.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 ( CME EFFECTS)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

29. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5- 6.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 ( EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

30. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 6.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

INCREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> HIGHER

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >    
JULY- 2013: SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . PROBABILITY OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) LIKELY TO INCREASE WHEN THE SEP / ELECTRON ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE.( its difficult to say when electron flux indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day!  

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

27

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

CANCELLED AT:

 

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

NOAA TSUNAMI ALERT REPORT:

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.4 - GUAM REGION - 2013-07-27 04:24:40 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

13.22 N ; 145.43 E

DEPTH >

47 km

WAVE/HEIGHT

 

FREQUENCY

 

 

 

                 

note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!

 
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.4 - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-07-27 01:09:04 UTC  

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

MAP

02

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - KEP. TANIMBAR REGION, INDONESIA - 2013-07-27 22:18:31 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

NORTHERN EUROPE/ ARCTIC SEA

JULA- 15- 2013

"E"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA M 4.6 - SVALBARD REGION - 2013-07-27 16:22:51 UTC  

EURASIA / EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ BULGARIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

10

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.0 - BULGARIA - 2013-07-27 03:21:54 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Dorian JULY- 22- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC

40 MPH (-)

48.1° W

17.9° N

900 km East of BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

WNW

TS

   
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Flossie JULY- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

55 MPH (+)

135.7° W

17.0° N

1300 km EAST of HAWAII ISLANDS

WNW

TS    

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

20130727

 

 

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
 

Namibia: Hundreds of thousands affected by drought (OCHA- July- 2013)

A prolonged dry season has resulted in widespread crop failure across the country. The Government estimates that the 2013 harvest will produce 42 per cent less than the 2012 harvest. An estimated 4,000 livestock have died. The situation is particularly severe in the north of the country, and along the Caprivi strip – the thin sliver of Namibia that is wedged between Botswana, Angola and Zambia.eread more...

Temperatures soar as heatwave hits Germany (guardian.uk- 20130726)

Europe's heatwave has led to melting autobahns, spoilt crops, widespread respiratory problems and record runs on mineral water, beer and ice cream. In Berlin, where temperatures reached 38C (100F), throngs at open-air swimming pools have led authorities to ban long swimming trunks, claiming they soak up too much water. In the city's canals and rivers, fish have been dying due to lack of oxygen....read more...

NEW ZELAND: Report confirms drought worst in nearly 70 years

A comparative study on the 2013 drought released today by the Ministry for Primary Industries (MPI) confirms it was one of the most extreme on record for New Zealand and the worst since 1945-46. The 2013 drought was also one of the most widespread New Zealand has experienced with only the drought of 1972-73 that affected Wairarapa, Tasman, Otago and Southland coming close to its geographical spread. The report states that the cause of the drought was not El Niño but in fact slow-moving or ‘blocking’ high pressure systems over the Tasman Sea and New Zealand over summer....read more...

(BBC- 20130728) Passengers escape car swamped by landslide in China

 

^^^heatwave in Germany

(MODIS- 20130708) DROUGHT DRIES ELEPHANT BUTTE RESERVOIR
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

64

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

385-480

FLARES >

C

01

 

           

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

107.9

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.7

 

M

 

 

CH 576 TRANSEQU. CLOSING 20130719 20130722- 23 RECURRENT

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

09

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

55- 112 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
 

11793

68° - 82° W

19° N

ESO

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

fadede again(JUL- 25)

11795

57° - 71° W

06° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11797

14° - 31° W

19° S

BXO

         

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
faded (JUL- 20)

11798

28° - 14° E

13° S

AXX/ HRX

JULY 21

        LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

  < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded (JUL- 27)

11799

33° - 47° W

18° S

 

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11800

42° - 56° W

19° S

 

 

     

 

 

 

 

11801

32° - 18° E

20° N

 

JULY 29

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
rotating out>

11802

88° - 102° W

13° N

         

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11803

29° - 43° W

09° S

 

JULY- 24

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
rotated out

11804

85° - 99° W

09° S

 

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11805

15° - 29° W

06° S

 

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

05

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

20130717/10 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 26/2149Z from Region 1800 (S08W60). There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (28 Jul, 29 Jul, 30 Jul).

 

 

         
               
             
 
 
 
 
 

ongoing event

(1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C32

SoHO/ LASCO C 3 ^GOES/ introgeomagnetic proton Flux ^ ^GOES/ X Ray flux ^  
                 
 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE

K-index 4- 5  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-02 nT at 18:00 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 3 nT at 07:50 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

< -8.4 > -9.2 < -8.4 > -9.2 < available values always minus 7 days

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1 < 0,6 pfu

> +/- 0.1 < 0,6 pfu

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>0.25< 30.000 pfu (disturbance)

>03< 70.000 pfu (disturbance)

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>0.4 < 800pfu (disturbance)

>03 < 3000pfu (disturbance)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 553 km/s at 26/2141Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 27/1628Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 27/1606Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1430 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28 Jul) and quiet levels on days two and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130725 A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).  
       

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
CME EFFECTS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

CME EFFECTS ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

27. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- > 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 ( CME EFFECTS)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

28. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5- 6.9 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 ( DECREASING

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

29. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 6.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1-2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

INCREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> HIGHER

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >    
JULY- 2013: SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . PROBABILITY OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) LIKELY TO INCREASE WHEN THE SEP / ELECTRON ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE.( its difficult to say when electron flux indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day!  

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

26

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

NONE

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP  
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 6.3 - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION - 2013-07-26 21:33:08 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

57.86 S ; 24.56 W

DEPTH >

28 km

 

 

                   
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 6.1 - VANUATU - 2013-07-26 07:07:17 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

15.38 S ; 167.66 E

DEPTH >

132 km

 

 

                  ° MODIS/ 20130723/ AMSTERDAM, THE NETHERLANDS  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

04

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.2 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2013-07-26 19:08:30 UTC  

CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

SOMETIMES

"C"

MAP

01

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE M 5.0 - VANCOUVER ISLAND, CANADA REGION - 2013-07-26 12:57:25 UTC  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.1 - OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2013-07-26 08:31:32 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

04

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.8 - SICHUAN-GANSU BORDER REG, CHINA - 2013-07-26 16:25:07 UTC  

REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS)

AUGUST- 28- 2012

"C"

MAP

 

SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA M 3.6 - OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2013-07-26 08:32:36 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY

 

Indonesia/Sangihe islands KARANGETANG [API SIAU]- pos 2°47'0"N/ 125°24'0"E 0607-02= Stratovolcano Hi* KARANGETANG [API SIAU]

none

JULY- 26- 2013

  Indonesia CVGHM ANON/ VAAC

 

Wikipedia:

                 
           

20130730

report by:

GVP

 

Based on reports from the observation post in Salili, CVGHM stated on 26 July that the occurrence of rock avalanches descending Karangetang’s flanks decreased during 2013; the last one occurred on 7 July, and traveled 2 km down the Batuawang and Kahetang (E) drainages. Although fog often prevented visual observations, white plumes were sometimes seen rising up to 500 m from two craters. Incandescence from the lava dome was reflected in the plume at night. Seismicity fluctuated, but signals indicating avalanches declined. Based on the cessation of avalanches, visual observations, and decreasing seismicity, the Alert Level was lowered to 2 (on a scale of 1-4) on 26 July.

 

                               
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY

 

VANUATU AMBRYM 16°15'0"S/ 168°7'0"E 0507-04= Pyroclastic shield Hi* AMBRYM
 

JULY- 26- 2013

 

Australia

geonet.org.nz

 

Wikipedia:

                MODIS ( MODVOLC)  
           

20130730

report by:

GVP

 

The Vanuatu Geohazards Observatory reported that activity at Ambrym slightly increased to a minor eruptive phase, and a seismic swarm was detected between 2400 and 0700 on 26 July. The Alert Level remained at 1 (on a scale of 0-4).

 

                               
REGION:
NAME/USGS datalink:
GEOGRAPHIC POSITION: LAT. / LONG.
VOLCANO NUMBER
VOLCANO TYPE
WEBCAM DATE AND UTC- TIME: ALERT LEVEL MAP: LOCAL SURVEY  
NEW ZEALAND WHITE ISLAND 37°31'0"S/ 177°11'0"E 0401-04= Stratovolcano Hi* WHITE ISLAND

JULY 25- 26- 2013

 

Australia

GEONET. NZ

 

Wikipedia:

              MODIS/ MODVOLC

 

           

20130730

report by:

GVP  

GeoNet Data Centre reported that volcanic tremor levels at White Island increased overnight during 25-26 July; the increased seismicity and images of activity on web cameras prompted volcanologists to visit the volcano on 26 July. They noted audible jets of gas venting through the small lake, broader expanding “bubbles” of dark lake sediments, and debris ejected 20-30 m vertically. The Volcano Alert Level remained at 1 (on a scale of 0-5) and the Aviation Colour Code was increased to Yellow (on a four-color scale).

 

                             

 

                                 
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Invest 99L JULY- 23- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC

25 MPH ()

59.6° W

34.2° N

400 km NEE of BERMUDA

NW

L

   
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Dorian JULY- 22- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC

50 MPH ()

41.5° W

17.1° N

1500 km East of BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

WNW

TS

   
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Flossie JULY- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

50 MPH (+)

130.6° W

15.4° N

1600 km EAST of HAWAII ISLANDS

W

TS    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

20130726

 

 

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
 

Natural Gas Well Bridged; Hercules Rig Fire Continues (rigzone.com)

The flow of natural gas has been contained at a natural gas well located in 154 feet of water 55 miles offshore of Louisiana at South Timbalier, Block 220, the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) said in a statement to the press July 25. The A-3 natural gas well, owned by Walter Oil & Gas Corp. and located 55 miles offshore Louisiana, stopped flowing natural gas after the well bridged after the owner and other parties injected sand and sediment into the well path, BSEE said. A small flame continued to burn from residual gas at the top of the well. The owner was still making preparations to drill a relief well, if necessary, according to Reuters. BSEE and the U.S. Coast Guard are continuing flyovers to assess the situation at the well. gz...read more...

Arctic drilling: UK 'complacent', say MPs (BBC- 20130726)

The UK is "complacently standing by" as firms start drilling for oil and gas in the Arctic, a group of MPs has said. The Environmental Audit Committee said this was despite oil companies being unable to prove "they could clean up an oil spill in such harsh conditions". Members renewed their call for a halt to new drilling, saying it was risky for the climate and the environment. The government said it was not its place to tell Arctic states which resources they could extract....read more...

 
                    ° MODIS/ 20130719/ July 27, 2013 - Cyclonic eddies north of Sicily  
       
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

58

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

481

FLARES >

C

 

 

CH 575. NORTH ROTATED OUT 20130711 20130714- 17 RECURRENT

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

110

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.3

 

M

 

 

CH 576 TRANSEQU. CLOSING 20130719 20130722- 23 RECURRENT

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

14

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

50- 120 nT

CME INFLUENCE

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
 

11793

68° - 82° W

19° N

ESO

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

fadede again(JUL- 25)

11795

57° - 71° W

06° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11797

14° - 31° W

19° S

BXO

         

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
faded (JUL- 20)

11798

28° - 14° E

13° S

AXX/ HRX

JULY 21

        LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

  < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11799

33° - 47° W

18° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11800

31° - 45° W

19° S

DAO/DAI

 

     

 

 

 

 

11801

45° - 31° E

20° N

HSX/CSO

JULY 29

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11802

74° - 88° W

13° N

AXX

       

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11803

15° - 29° W

09° S

BXO

JULY- 24

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
rotating out

11804

85° - 99° W

09° S

HSX

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11805

02° - 16° W

06° S

CSO/ CRO

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

05

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

20130717/10 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 25/2244Z from Region 1800 (S08W46). There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

K-index of 4- 5 G 1 expected  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-02 nT at 18:00 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 2 nT at 10:50 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

< -8.4 > -9.2 < -8.4 > -9.2 < available values always minus 7 days

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1 < 0,6 pfu

> +/- 0.1 < 0,6 pfu

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>03< 70.000 pfu (disturbance)

>11.000< 50.000 pfu (dropping)

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>03 < 3000pfu (disturbance)

>250 < 3000pfu (dropping)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 623 km/s at 26/0823Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 26/0225Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 25/2222Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 289 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (27 Jul), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (28 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (29 Jul).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130725 A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).  
       

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
CME ARRIVAL + HSS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

CME ARRIVAL + HSS ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

25. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- > 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

Its difficult to see when electron flux indeed begin to decrease

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

26. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5-> 7.0- (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 ( CME EFFECTS)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

27. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 (PRELIMINARY)

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

INCREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> HIGHER

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >    
JULY- 2013: SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . PROBABILITY OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) LIKELY TO INCREASE WHEN THE SEP / ELECTRON ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE.( its difficult to say when electron flux indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day!  

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

25

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report

 

CANCELLED AT:

 

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS >

NOAA TSUNAMI ALERT REPORT:

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.1 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2013-07-25 13:25:34 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

28.42 S ; 177.82 W

DEPTH >

85 km

WAVE/HEIGHT

 

FREQUENCY

 

 

 

                 

note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!

 
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

01

N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. M 5.0 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-07-25 19:05:07 UTC  

REGION PERU- BOLIVIA

FREQUENT

"D"

MAP

01

PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA M 5.0 - SOUTHERN PERU - 2013-07-25 02:07:23 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Invest 99L JULY- 23- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC

25 MPH ()

57.8° W

32.0° N

450 km East of BERMUDA

NW

L

   
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Dorian JULY- 22- 2013 NORTHERN ATLANTIC

50 MPH (+)

33.2° W

15.1° N

500 km West of CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

WNW

TS

   
wunderground.com Tropical Depression Six-E JULY- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH (+)

122.0° W

15.2° N

1000 km SWW of GUADALAJARA Mexico

WNW

TD    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

20130725

 

 

       

2013

  VARIOUS SOURCES  
 

Central NZ hit by more than 1500 aftershocks (nzherald/ 20130726)

Central New Zealand has been rattled by more than 1500 aftershocks in the past week as a previously unknown section of faultline under Cook Strait shakes out the last of its stress. Three aftershock sequences caused by large quakes on Friday morning, Sunday morning and Sunday evening are still rumbling under Wellington and Marlborough, producing more than 200 quakes a day....read more...

2010-2013 Cetacean Unusual Mortality Event in Northern Gulf of Mexico (NOAA)

Under the Marine Mammal Protection Act of 1972 (as amended), an Unusual Mortality Event (UME) has been declared for dolphins and whales (cetaceans) in the northern Gulf of Mexico (Texas/ Louisiana border through Franklin County, FL) from February 2010 through the present....read more...

<< Feds declare Indian River Lagoon dolphin deaths as unusual(florida .today.com/ 20130724)

NASA's Spitzer Observes Gas Emission From Comet ISON ( NASA/ jpl)>

 
   
                           
 
^(BPPTK) MERAPI/ INONESIA- webcam views ( note: webcams are down form time to time)

<< ^^ MOUNT MERAPI/ JAVA/ INDONESIA- eruption/ live webcams ^^>>

Gambar 1. Kondisi Puncak G. Merapi Paska hembusan asap 22 Juli 2013 Dusun Stabelan, Desa Tlogolele.  
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

71

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

283-450

FLARES >

C

02

 

CH 575. NORTH FADED/ ROTATED OUT 20130711 20130714- 17 RECURRENT

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

106.9

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.9

 

M

 

 

CH 576 TRANSEQU. DECAYING 20130719 20130722- 23  

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

12

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 150 nT

CME IMPACT

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>    
 

11793

55° - 69° W

19° N

ESO

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

reemerged(JUL- 21)

11795

57° - 71° W

06° S

BXO

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

faded (JUL- 20)

11796

66°- 80° W

12° S

AXX/ BXO

         

X-RAY/ SUNSPOTS

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

< FLARES AND ERUPTIONS

 
faded (JUL- 20)

11797

14° - 31° W

19° S

BXO

          LAST X RAY MINIMUM

20130611

  < LASTX-RAY MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded (JUL- 20)

11798

28° - 14° E

13° S

AXX/ HRX

JULY 21

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11799

17° - 31° W

18° S

AXX

 

     

 

 

 

 

11800

17° - 31° W

19° S

DSO/DAI

 

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11801

57° - 43° E

20° N

HSX

JULY 29

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11802

60° - 74° W

13° N

BXO

        *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11803

03° E- 17° W

09° S

BXO

JULY- 24

             
NEWLY EMERGED

11804

71° - 85° W

09° S

BXO/ CRO

JULY- 24

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

03

 

        INTERPLANETARY. CURRENT STATE:    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

NORMAL

20130717/10 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 
              ELECTRON FLUX

NORMAL

20130719 /00 UTC

< RISING ON DROPPING UNTIL>

20130722/ 18 UTC

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 24/2143Z from Region 1800 (S09W32). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul).

 

 

 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

G 1

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

G 1 expected on JULY 26 (HSS) NONE  
               

CME IMPACT (MEDIUM)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-02 nT at 18:00 UTC) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 1 nT at 14:45 UTC)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS***

< -8.4 > -9.2 < -8.4 > -9.1 < available values always minus 7 days

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

TODAY/ PARTICLES**

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC: PREVIOUS DAY    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (ip+)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

> +/- 0.1 < 0,6 pfu

> +/- 0.1 < 0,6 pfu

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing >1.000.000

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

>11.000< 50.000 pfu (dropping)

>9.000< 80.000 pfu (dropping)

   

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END:

ongoing

>10.000

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS*

>250 < 3000pfu (dropping)

>900 < 4000pfu (dropping)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

  ** TODAY/ PARTICLES status premiminary due to readings at time of this update *** NEUTRON ALWAYS 4 DAYS BACK!  
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 498 km/s at 25/2024Z. Total IMF reached 15 nT at 25/1946Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 25/1946Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2586 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (26 Jul), quiet to active levels on day two (27 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (28 Jul).

 

 

 

             

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  
                   
LATEST TERRESTRIAL EVENTS 20130725 A SUDDEN IMPULS (solar wind shock) was observed on GOES after 06:00 UTC. Its origin is the strong SEP event/ eruption not far behind the western limb on July 22, which sent a part of its CME into Earth direction and accelerated (>see Stereo img. ) solar sun winds on the earth facing side of the Sun. Geomagnetic density rose to 155 nT.The impact regions were the same as in previous CME.( North- and Southamerica until Western/ Central Pacific) The arrival is coincidentwith a high speed solar wind stream from the quickly decaying CH 576, what created conditions for geomagnetic storming (NOAA).  
       
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

31 /13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE):

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH:    

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT - 11 nT/ 19:46 UTC MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130725

  > 90° W   FARSIDE SEP EVENT 20130722 after 22 UTC

after 4 UTC

150 nT   12- 01 UTC (JU26) 15- 21 UTC IMPACT POLARITY : POSITIVE (+) WESTERN ATLANTIC ALL AMERICAS  
REMARKS:       00° W- 165° E 30° - 135° W E internal (relatiuve CME mass value EASTERN PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC  
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
 
CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
earthquake forecast parameters did not change!

WESTERN EUROPE/& AFRICA

WESTERN PACIFIC

 
         

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130718

EFFECTIVE CMEs/ int. Nrs. >

Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13/ CME 26/13- 30/ 13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

CME EFFECTIVITY:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA LONGITUDES: 30° W- 150° E ACCUMULATING SAP events (HIGH!)

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
CME ARRIVAL + HSS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

IMPACT HEMISPHERE:

 

CME ARRIVAL + HSS ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

GLACIAL MELTDOWNS/ FLOODINGS

SECONDARY REGIONS : SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH

 

25. JULY 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

WESTERN EUROPE LONGITUDES : 10° E- 30° W

EXTENDED WARNING!

 

M 5.5- > 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

Its difficult to see when electron flux indeed begin to decrease

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW )

EASTERN ATLANTIC EURASIA/ >< AFRICA >< N- AMERICA SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

 

26. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN & CENTRAL- PACIFIC LONGITUDES: 150° W- 150° E

 

M 5.5-> 7.0- (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 ( CME EFFECTS)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) WESTERN PAFICIC EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & INDO-AUS

 

27. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

2-3 (PRELIMINARY)

 

SEP EFFECTS:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA EAST

LONGITUDES : 150- 15° E *REGIONS> see definition below

 

LATENCIES:
 
TECTONICS ELECTRONS HEATING UP TECTONICS

VOLCANO/ HOT SPOT ACTIVITY >

INCREASING

  EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

EARTHQUAKES

TECTONICS COOLING DOWN (+) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> HIGHER

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  
NEXT TIME OUTLOOK >    
JULY- 2013: SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . PROBABILITY OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) LIKELY TO INCREASE WHEN THE SEP / ELECTRON ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE.( its difficult to say when electron flux indeed starts to decrease. This must be checked out several times per day!  

abbreviations:

 

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

 

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

 
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JULY

 

DAY:

24

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

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- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERT ISSUED AT:

 

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP AFFECTED REGION(S)

 

 
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report