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alien- homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- -SUN SPOT ACTIVITY- 11- years solar cycle- last update:JULY- 01- 2013- -07:00 UTC copyright: reserved

background image: Aurora Borealis /COMMONS / wikipedia
open source earthquake forecast project created and provided by: alien-homepage.de-

 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This projekt therefore will be prolongued.
 
2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE JUNE - 2013

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

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PAGES RELATED TO THIS SOLAR/TERRESTRIAL PROJECT>
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SOHO REALTIME current view on the Sun
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:
2013 >

JUNE

         
2012 >

2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL INTRODUCE A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on the following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics, volcano maps , earthquake statistic- JUNE- 2013
   

True and REAL TIME graphic solution, that makes obvious the coincidences of CME impacts and extraordinary natural phenomenons such as heavier Earthquakes, volcano eruptions, hurricanes. sudden ice meltdowns (floddings) and others

( click on the graphic top to enlarge it):

 
INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

 

SPACECRAFTS:  
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
 
 
 
 
 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX- right image: planetary constellations in March 2013

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

 

VIDEOS/ REPORTS, SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL EVENTS- JUNE- 2013:

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK- JUNE -2013:

  video/ 20130617- Popocatépetl volcano (Mexico): video of strong explosion on June- 17/ 13:23 local time:
 

   
   
 
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CMEs IN JUNE 2013:
Inhalt
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME):

JUNE- 2013

 
TODAY`S SOLAR CME EVENTS:                  

20130628

CMEs at:

01:59

EST. ARRIVAL:

JUNE- 30- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

ACE/ SIS: /INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

28/13

20130628/ 02:39 20130628/ 05:42 UTC 20130628/ 01:44 UTC 20130628/ 02:11 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11777

 

 

PARTIAL HALO CME

 

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

22° - 36° W

15° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

LDE FLARE

C 4.4  
CME COULD NOT BE ANALIZED* (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 32 (2) SDO /AIA-comp

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: *INTERNAL

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
   
EARTH DIRECTED SOLAR CME EVENT S                  

20130618

CMEs at:

20:43 UTC

ARRIVAL:

uncertain

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

27/13

20130618/ 20:39 UTC 20130618/ 20:43 UTC 20130618/ 03:42 UTC    

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11773?

   

 

Earth directed?

halo  

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

38° - 24° E

04° N

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

FLARE

C 5  
  (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
   
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

27/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE):

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH: MINOR (1-2)  

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT (SOUTH)

- 5 nT at 12: 43

MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130620

11773

38° - 24° E

04° N

C5 event from CENTRAL MERIDIAN REGION

20130618

20.43 unclear ( 02 UTC?) 155 nT   12- 24 UTC 18- 19 UTC IMPACT POLARITY : BETA CENTRAL AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  
REMARKS:       00- 180° W 90- 105° W E internal (relatiuve CME mass value:      
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
 
CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
 

330

WESTERN EUROPE
ATLANTIC
 
SOLAR CME EVENT (REPORT):                  

201306 03

CMEs at:

00:12/ 07:24 UTC

ARRIVAL:

JUNE 05- 06- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

25/13

20130602/ 23:39 UTC 20130603/ 07:28 UTC 20130603/ 05:42 UTC 20130602/ 05:28 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11762

 

 

Earth directed?

partial?  

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

19° - 33° W

28° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

impulsive LDE flare

C 9  
unclear event that however caused a significant impact on June- 06- 2013 (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

     
a minor flare( rather an eruptive prominence -as typically without significant rise of x- ray flux) was observed on June 02 2013: STEREO had first no transmission from 20130602/ 17: 42 UTC- 23:39 UTC, images resumed days later. The C 9 class flare on JUNE 03 at around 10 UTC has- due to SoHO and STEREO images not produced a CME at all,. The events will further be analysed if any CME impact should become obvious  
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

25 & 26/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE)

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH:    

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT > SOUTHWARDS MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130606.

11762/60?

19° - 33° W

28° S

2-3 CME in AR 11762

20130602/03? 05:28 (main) 14 UTC 165 nT   13- 20 UTC 15 UTC IMPACT POLARITY > (+) positive ATLANTIC AMERICAS WEST  

20130607

11762

   

CME in AR 11672

20130605

  03 UTC 130 nT   09 - 02 UTC ( JU-08) 16- 21 UTC   unknown US WEST COAST EASTERN PACIFIC  
REMARKS: INTERFERING AND SUMMING UP WITH PREVIOUS EVENTS! > 150 nT     45° E- 180°- 150° E 60°- 135° W internal (relatiuve CME mass value EASTERN EURASIA WESTERN PACIFIC  
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
 
FURTHER CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
 

WESTERN EURASIA

   
                                 
                                 
                                 
 
 
SIGNIFICANT SOLAR AND TERESTRIAL EVENT LOGS - JUNE- 2013
 

WAITING FOR THE BIG(GER) ONE

*AFTER THE LONG TERM ENERGETIC EFFECTS OF THE RECENT STRONG SEPs * BEGAN TO DECREASE AFTER JUNE 17- 20 - JUST A NEW SEP EVENT CREATED ANOTHER PROTON STORM ON JUNE 21. AS IN PREVIOUS CASES, THE SEP IMPACTED ON AND HEATED UP THE POLAR REGION, MAINLY THE NORTHERN ONE AND ALL BEGAN ANOTHER TIME...WITH STRONG WINDS AND RAIN FROM THE NORTHERN POLE.

THE PROTON STORM DECREASED UNTIL JUNE 28, THE SUBSEQUENT ELECTRON INCREASE AROUND THE NORTHERN POLE STARTED ALREADY DURING THE PROTON IMPACT. ELECTRON VALUES LIKELY ROSE EARLIER; AS ELECTRONS WERE STILL ACTIV THERE FROM THE PREVIOUS SEP. AGAIN, NEW THUNDERSTORMS , TORNADOES AND VOLCANO ACTIVITIES ARE EXPECTABLE FOR THE NEXT 1- 2 WEEEKS.

SOLAR:

ACTIVE REGION 11777 produced several short impulsive flares the days after the SEP on JUNE- 21 with two minor CMES on June 27 that hade an easy and significant impact into the geomag field, by the positive charge created by the proton storm. A major G 1 GEOMAGNETIC STORM began on June 28 and increased to a G 3 Geomagnetic storm on June 29. AR 11777 produced a another CME during a LDE flare on JUNE 28 which was partial halo on SoHO and will have an geoeffective impact likely on June 30.

   

MINOR SEP/ JUNE- 21- 2013 / 03: 42

THE LARGE CLUSTER OF ACTIVE REGIONS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SOLAR QUADRANT INCREASED ITS ACTIVITY: ON JUNE 21 at 03:42 UTC , AR 11777 PRODUCED A STRONG SUB SURFACE ERUPTION THAT WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A MINOR SAP. LOWER ACCELERATED PROTONS ARRIVED ON JUNE- 21 AFTER 15 UTC. THIS NEW PROTON STORM IS ONGOING AND REACHED LEVELS > 1.0 < 10 pfu. .

JUNE 15- 2013: SOIAR SUN SPOT NUMBER AND RELATED X RAY ACTIVITY HAS BEGAN TO INCREASE AGAIN, DUE TO USUAL 20- 30 DAYS FLUCTUATIONS AND IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FORTHER IN THE COMING 7. 10 DAYS! MAJOR FLARES CMES OR SAP MIGHT OCCURE.

 

SOLAR: ( PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENT)

MAY 22- 2013: STRONGEST PROTON STORM RECORDED EVER?

large AR 11745 ( aneighbored and corresponding with AR 11748) produced on May 22 its first real eruption since it began to move over the visible sun disc. The LDE ( long duration event) peaked at 13 UTC with class M 5 but was in real THE STRONGEST PROTON FLARE ( acceleration) observed in the last 2 years. Protons showered onto SOHO almost simultanously with the arriving light bulb of the flare and CME what means; these protons were accelerated near to the speed of light ! Introgeomagnetic > 10 MeV Proton flux however rose just minutes later ABOVE 1000 pfu ( in words: one thousand) !! what is an ABSULUTE record high!

   
 

FORECASTS- JUNE- 06- 2013:

VOLCANISM ( Mainly on hotspot volcanoes will INCREASE OVER THE ENTIRE TIME the ELECTRON STORM WILL LAST AND WILL LIKELY HAVE DANGEROUS LEVELS.

, TERRESTRIAL RADIO BLACKOUTS ARE LIKELY IN in the next days) >

HIGH INDUCED CURRENTS ON POWER GRIDS, THOSE LEAD TO TRANSFORMER FIRE AND WORSE!

MAJOR CONTINUED WARNING ALSO FOR SUDDEN STORMS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUDDEN GLACIAL MELTDOWNS AND FLOODINGS!

   

 THE LARGE NORTHAMERICAN PLATE AS THE MOST AFFECTED BY ALL RECENT CMEs LIKELY JUST WILL NEED SOME TIME LONGER TO COOL DOWN. I CAN`T EVALUATE EXACTLY, ON WHICH DAY !

JUNE 15- 2013: MAJOR WARNING!

ONGOING ELECTRON STORM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED ON JUNE 14. TECTONIC PLATES HEATED UP BY THE LATEST SAP EVENT WILL COOL DOWN NOW, WHAT MIGHT CAUSE STRONGER HORIZONTAL QUAKES IN THE AFFECTED REGIONS MAJOR EARTHQUAKES VERY LIKELY MIGHT OCCURE NOW IN THE COMING DAYS!

remark: This forecast is made upon my statistical research on physical terrestrial effects especially of SAP events. Allthough my statistical research shows clear coincidences in hundred % of cases, I CAN`T GIVE YOU ANY GUARANTEE ON THESE FORECASTS!

   
 

MAJOR WARNINGS:

JUNE- 06- 2013: ONGOING TERRESTRIAL ELECTRON IMPACT! electron impact level decreased during the geomagnetic storm (June 01- 03) and rose again afterwards.

update/ MAY 27: Equivalant to the proton storm reached the subsequent electron storm which set in on May, 25/ 26- when the proton storm had decreased- a new record height of 10.000- 100.000 ( > 10 MeV electrons) and 100.000- 1.000.000 ( > 0.8 MeV Electrons),Read forecasts right column

OUTLOOK NEXT 2 WEEKS:

EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY WILL BE LOW DUE TO THE CURRENT ELECTRON STORM. BUT: STRONG EARTHQUAKES ARE EXPECTABLE WHEN ELECTRON STORM WILL DECREASE AGAIN( follow my updates!)

THE LAST PHASE OF A TYPICAL PROTON/ CME EVENT ARE STRONG EARTHQUAKES THOSE WILL OCCURE, WHEN TECTONIC PLATES WILL BE ABLE TO COOL DOWN AGAIN. DUE TO THE EVENT STRENGTH, THESE LATE QUAKES THIS TIME MIGHT EXCEEED MAGNITUDE OF M 9.0 ( INCLUDING MAJOR TSUNAMI RISKS!) ( read more in right column >>

         

JUNE- 01- 2013:

A sudden stronger GEOMAGNETIC STORM set in on the latter half of JUNE- 01 AND WAS ACTIVE UNTIL JUNE 04

 

MAY- 29: NOAA warns on electron accumulation in the earth near satellite environment ( electron storm)

         
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
 
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CMEs IN JUNE 2013:
Inhalt
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME):

JUNE- 2013

 
TODAY`S SOLAR CME EVENTS:                  

20130628

CMEs at:

01:59

EST. ARRIVAL:

JUNE- 30- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

ACE/ SIS: /INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

28/13

20130628/ 02:39 20130628/ 05:42 UTC 20130628/ 01:44 UTC 20130628/ 02:11 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11777

 

 

PARTIAL HALO CME

 

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

22° - 36° W

15° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

LDE FLARE

C 4.4  
CME COULD NOT BE ANALIZED* (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 32 (2) SDO /AIA-comp

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: *INTERNAL

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
   
EARTH DIRECTED SOLAR CME EVENT S                  

20130618

CMEs at:

20:43 UTC

ARRIVAL:

uncertain

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

27/13

20130618/ 20:39 UTC 20130618/ 20:43 UTC 20130618/ 03:42 UTC    

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11773?

   

 

Earth directed?

halo  

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

38° - 24° E

04° N

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

FLARE

C 5  
  (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
   
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

27/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE):

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH: MINOR (1-2)  

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT (SOUTH)

- 5 nT at 12: 43

MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130620

11773

38° - 24° E

04° N

C5 event from CENTRAL MERIDIAN REGION

20130618

20.43 unclear ( 02 UTC?) 155 nT   12- 24 UTC 18- 19 UTC IMPACT POLARITY : BETA CENTRAL AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA  
REMARKS:       00- 180° W 90- 105° W E internal (relatiuve CME mass value:      
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
 
CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
 

330

WESTERN EUROPE
ATLANTIC
 
SOLAR CME EVENT (REPORT):                  

201306 03

CMEs at:

00:12/ 07:24 UTC

ARRIVAL:

JUNE 05- 06- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

25/13

20130602/ 23:39 UTC 20130603/ 07:28 UTC 20130603/ 05:42 UTC 20130602/ 05:28 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11762

 

 

Earth directed?

partial?  

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

19° - 33° W

28° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

impulsive LDE flare

C 9  
unclear event that however caused a significant impact on June- 06- 2013 (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SDO /AIA-comp (3) SoHO/ LASCO C 2

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

     
a minor flare( rather an eruptive prominence -as typically without significant rise of x- ray flux) was observed on June 02 2013: STEREO had first no transmission from 20130602/ 17: 42 UTC- 23:39 UTC, images resumed days later. The C 9 class flare on JUNE 03 at around 10 UTC has- due to SoHO and STEREO images not produced a CME at all,. The events will further be analysed if any CME impact should become obvious  
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

25 & 26/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE)

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH:    

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT > SOUTHWARDS MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  

20130606.

11762/60?

19° - 33° W

28° S

2-3 CME in AR 11762

20130602/03? 05:28 (main) 14 UTC 165 nT   13- 20 UTC 15 UTC IMPACT POLARITY > (+) positive ATLANTIC AMERICAS WEST  

20130607

11762

   

CME in AR 11672

20130605

  03 UTC 130 nT   09 - 02 UTC ( JU-08) 16- 21 UTC   unknown US WEST COAST EASTERN PACIFIC  
REMARKS: INTERFERING AND SUMMING UP WITH PREVIOUS EVENTS! > 150 nT     45° E- 180°- 150° E 60°- 135° W internal (relatiuve CME mass value EASTERN EURASIA WESTERN PACIFIC  
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
 
FURTHER CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
 

WESTERN EURASIA

   
                                 
                                 
                                 

 

 

 

 

click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" JUNE- 22- 30- 2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

30

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 4.9 - NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL PERU - 2013-06-30 16:39:14 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

14.67 S ; 75.50 W

DEPTH >

49 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

NEW EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ NORTHERN ITALY

JUNE- 30- 2013

"E"

MAP

11 (> M 2.0)

AFRICA >< EURASIA M 4.5 - NORTHERN ITALY - 2013-06-30 14:40:08 UTC  

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN

FREQUENT

"F"

MAP

01

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS M 4.5 - SOUTHERN IRAN - 2013-06-30 16:25:34 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Rumbia JUNE- 27- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

45 MPH (+)

119.9° E

14.7 ° N

100 KM WETS OF MAYNILA/ PHILIPPINES WNW TS    
wunderground.com Tropical Depression Four-E JUNE- 27- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH (+)

103.0° W

13.7° N

320 KM S- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO N TD    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

               

various/ 20130630

 
http://www.cnn.com/video/data/2.0/video/us/2013/07/01/lemon-bpr-morrison-19-firefighters-killed.cnn.html 

(BBC- 20130630)India floods: 'Thousands still missing' in Uttarakhand

Nearly 3,000 people are still missing following floods and landslides which hit India's Uttarakhand state a fortnight ago, the chief minister of the state has said.More than 800 people are reported to have been killed so far but Vijay Bahuguna said the exact number of deaths may never be known....read more...

( MSNBC- 20130630) 19 firefighters killed battling Arizona wildfire

YARNELL, Ariz. — Gusty, hot winds blew an Arizona blaze out of control Sunday in a forest northwest of Phoenix, overtaking and killing 19 members of an elite fire crew in the deadliest wildfire involving firefighters in the U.S. for at least 30 years....The fire started after a lightning strike on Friday and spread to 2,000 acres on Sunday amid triple-digit temperatures, low humidity and windy conditions....read more...

(by: volcano-discovery.com) Volcanic activity worldwide 29 Jun 2013: Fuego

Fuego (Guatemala): Explosions have become more violent, the latest special bulletin of INSIVUMEH indicates. Mild strombolian eruptions have turned into more powerful vulcanian-type explosions, which eject dense ash plumes rising to 800 m and produce numerous avalanches of blocks around the crater, especially on the southern flank.

30 JUne 2013: Tungurahua (Ecuador): IGPEN reports an increase of seismic activity over the past days which might herald a new phase of activity in the near future.
The number of earthquakes associated with fluid movement within the volcano has risen from 10 daily earthquakes on June 20 to 54 earthquakes on 29 June.

 
                       

there has been no more monthly update on surface temperature anomalies by NASA Earth Observatory since April 2013. This image is supposed not to be the current map

 

               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

85

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

456-592

FLARES >

C

05

 

CH UNN.

NORTH

GROWING

JUNE- 27- 2013

JULY- 02 2013

 

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

102.8

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.4

 

M

 

 

CH 574

T-EQU.

CLOSING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 25-26- 2013

RECURR.

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

10

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

60- 112 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> LOW CH 574
rotated out (25)>

11772

74° - 88° W

21° S

HAX

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 25)

11773

56° - 70° W

04° N

AXX

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

rotated out (25)>

11774

64° - 78° W

14° S

CAO/ BXO

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
rotating out (-29)

11775

                LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

DECREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
rotated out (25)>

11776

75° - 89° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11777

49° - 63° W

15° S

HSX

JUNE- 25

     

 

       

 

 

11778

17° - 31° W

16° S

CSO/ BXI

JUNE- 28

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11779

00° -14° W

16° N

AXX

JUNE- 29

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11780

32° - 46° W

09° S

CRO

JUNE- 29

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
NEWLY EMERGED >

11781

18° - 32° W

20° N

DAI

JUNE- 29

             
NEWLY EMERGED >

11782

32° - 18° E

16° S

HRX/ AXX

JUNE- 29

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

01

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

DECREASING

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ Dropping since June 22/ 18 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX DECREASING.

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ dropping since June- 24

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 30/1517Z from Region 1780 (S13W45). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (01 Jul, 02 Jul, 03 Jul).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

G 2 G 3  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-02 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 5 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

< -08 > -09 < -07 > -10 < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

CURRENT IMPACTS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
  TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  TODAY: YESTERDAY:    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (-)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

+/- 0.1 pfu

+/- 0.1 pfu

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (+):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing  

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

DISTURBANCE (CME, HSS?)

DISTURBANCE (CME)

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END: ongoing

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS

DISTURBANCE (CME, HSS? )

DISTURBANCE (CME)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

   
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 601 km/s at 30/1649Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 29/2204Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 29/2158Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 934 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (01 Jul, 03 Jul) and quiet levels on day two (02 Jul).

 

               

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(+) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

DISTURBANCE ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

 

30. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (+)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

01. JULY 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

02. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE CME EFFECTS>

EARTHQUAKES (-) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> LOW/ LATENCY   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS >

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES, MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) ARE LIKELY WHEN SAP EFFECTS WILL DECREASE WITH THE END OF ELECTRON ACTIVITY  
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  

GENERAL REMARKS TO THE LONG TERM EFFECTS OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS/ STORMS ( by: alien-homepage.de) : : Several strong earthquakes happen regularly immidiately during/ after Proton Storms (those themselves likely are also caused by kinds of solar quakes. Otherwise during that first phase, more exactly: DURING the proton storms when proton flux is elavated- as a typical antienergetic effect Protons have, everything that requires cinetic energies to work such as storms or volcanic activities are rather very low. Entire storms systems as statistics indicate seem to can come to a stillstand by such a proton impact. Other data show that protons can even swallow electrons ( memory charges) from harddiscs as more as if these ar plugged to the grid or connected to the web. and surely proton storms do interrupt all kinds of radio transmissions. After the proton storm itself has decreased regularly an electron storms sets in that last again for some days. During that time, all kind of cinetic effects set in: Mainly sudden thunderstorms, and increasing volcano activities preferently those of hot spot volcanoes. Induced currents effecting down to the Earth surface with potential of heavy damage to power grids are seldom, but TYPICALLY OCCURE ESPECIALLY AFTER PROTON EVENTS when the proton and succeeding electron storms( impact reaches certain strength. This phase now last normally not more than 10 days until the affected tectonic plates would cool down again and contract, what leads to the second and final phase with the chance for another STRONG EARTHQUAKES. The described single phase are prolongued amplified or mindered WHEN NEW CME events occure , those might contain more protons or electrons. Its hardly then to forecast but current data show, that by the fact that protons shift the geomagnetic charge temporarely to positive values, that short circuit that lets flow solar energies right through the magnetic field lines (MPI MUnich) into the Earth core, the Earth can likely sum up and even store these energies for a long time ( by forming neutrons) what includes the risk of a concentrated energetic breakouts in different forms.

 
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

29

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.1 - SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE - 2013-06-29 02:16:57 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

50.50 S ; 111.08 E

DEPTH >

10 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

02

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2013-06-29 06:34:41 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Rumbia JUNE- 27- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH ()

104.6° W

10.8 ° N

LANDFALL NEAR TACLOBAN/ NORTHERN PHILIPPINES W TS    
wunderground.com Invest 96E JUNE- 27- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH (+)

104.6° W

10.8° N

600 KM S- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO WNW L    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
                 

NEW FEATURE BY NASA : AURORA BOREALIS PREDICTION >> ( SOUTHERN POLE only ) >>

< JUNE 29- 2013- DIFFICULT TO SAY...What appears on the current mage of the NASA POES satellite as " aurora borealis" is not only caused by a currently ongoing HSS and/ or minor CME, but likely and mainly by electrons (NORTH) and protons (South)those those assembled there after the SEP on June 21.

Erupting Volcano Blankets Kamchatka Villages in Ash >

An ash cloud from the erupting Shiveluch volcano is spreading over the Kamchatka Peninsula in Russia's Far East covering several local villages in ash and disrupting local aviation services, a news report said Thursday. Showers of ash were reported in the village of Klyuchi in the Ust-Kamchatsky district forcing authorities to distribute gas masks among residents, Interfax said.in ...read more...

SOUTHERN USA: Summer Danger: Extreme Nighttime Heat

Extreme heat is on the way for Arizona, California and Nevada, as a large, hot dome of high pressure builds over the region, according to weather.com meteorologist Chris Dolce. In Death Valley, Calif., searing temperatures could even reach 130 degrees Saturday and Sunday. The most densely populated area affected, Phoenix, Ariz., won't even see relief at night. With daytime temps expected to hit the mid- to upper 110s this weekend, overnight and early morning lows are only forecast to drop into the low 90s through early next week, Dolce said...read more...

read also: (BBC) Dozens succumb to heat in western US

(other) BBC/ 'Twisted light' idea makes for terabit rates in fibre

Meteor shockwave circled globe twice

The shock wave from an asteroid that burned up over Russia in February was so powerful that it travelled twice around the globe, scientists say...read more...

 
       
                       
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

67

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

339-529

FLARES >

C

01

 

CH UNN.

NORTH

GROWING

JUNE- 27- 2013

JULY- 02 2013

 

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

100.2

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 1.9

 

M

 

 

CH 574

T-EQU.

CLOSING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 25-26- 2013

RECURR.

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

46

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

35- 125 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT)    

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT)    

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> LOW CH 574
rotated out (25)>

11772

74° - 88° W

21° S

HAX

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 25)

11773

56° - 70° W

04° N

AXX

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

rotated out (25)>

11774

64° - 78° W

14° S

CAO/ BXO

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
rotating out (-29)

11775

                LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

DECREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
rotated out (25)>

11776

75° - 89° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11777

36° - 50° W

15° S

HSX/ CSO

JUNE- 25

     

 

       

 

 

11778

03° - 17° W

16° S

EAO/ DRI

JUNE- 28

       

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11779

16° - 02° E

16° N

AXX

JUNE- 29

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11780

15° - 29° W

09° S

AXX

JUNE- 29

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
NEWLY EMERGED >

11781

03° - 17° W

20° N

CRO/ DRI

JUNE- 29

             
NEWLY EMERGED >

11782

48° - 24° E

16° S

HRX/ CRO

JUNE- 29

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

01

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

DECREASING

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ Dropping since June 22/ 18 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX DECREASING.

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ dropping since June- 24

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 29/1609Z from Region 1781 (N22W17). There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (30 Jun, 01 Jul, 02 Jul).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

 

 

 

 

 

        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

G 3 G1  
               

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-09 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 5 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

< -08 > -09 < -07 > -10 < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

date/ SOLAR SEP event >

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak values (pfu):

CURRENT IMPACTS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 
  TERRESTRIAL/ GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS

END of SEP impact >

ongoing

  TODAY: YESTERDAY:    

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (-)

> 10 MeV PROTONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130622/ 15 UTC

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

+/- 0.1 pfu

+/- 0.1 pfu

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (+):

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN >

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing  

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

DISTURBANCE (CME, HSS?)

DISTURBANCE (CME)

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS INCREASE/ BEGIN: >

20130622/ 13 UTC

END: ongoing

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS

DISTURBANCE (CME, HSS? )

DISTURBANCE (CME)

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

   
* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to severe storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed at the ACE spacecraft reached a peak of 492 km/s at 29/1735Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 29/1122Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at 28/2143Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak flux of 695 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (30 Jun), quiet to active levels on day two (01 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (02 Jul).

 

               

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

          (INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS  

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(+) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

DISTURBANCE ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

 

29. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- > 7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (POSSIBLE)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (+)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

30. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

01. JULY 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE CME EFFECTS>

EARTHQUAKES (-) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> LOW/ LATENCY   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS >

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

* SAP/SEP = Solar Accelerated /Energetic PARTICLES (Protons, Electrons)

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES, MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) ARE LIKELY WHEN SAP EFFECTS WILL DECREASE WITH THE END OF ELECTRON ACTIVITY  
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!  
     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

28

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.4 - TAIWAN REGION - 2013-06-28 23:51:52 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

24.18 N ; 122.26 E

DEPTH >

33 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

01

EURASIA>< AF><ARA.><INDO/AU><N-A M 5.0 - NEPAL - 2013-06-28 11:40:47 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Depression Six JUNE- 27- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH ()  

129.2° E

9.3° N

300 KM SE OF TACLOBAN/ NORTHERN PHILIPPINES W TD    
wunderground.com Invest 96E JUNE- 27- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC 25 MPH ()

103.3° W

10.5° N

500 KM S- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO WNW L    
wunderground.com Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme JUNE- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH (-)

122.6°W

20.9° N

800 KM WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS/ GULF OF CALIFORNIA WNW TS    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
                 
       
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

83

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

346-553

FLARES >

C

03

 

CH UNN.

NORTH

GROWING

JUNE- 27- 2013

JULY- 02 2013

 

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

110.0

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.0

 

M

 

 

CH 574

T-EQU.

CLOSING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 25-26- 2013

RECURR.

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

20

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

55- 140 nT

CME & proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> LOW CH 574
rotated out (25)>

11770

76° - 90° W

14° S

AXX

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 18)

11771

31° - 17° E

12° S

 

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

rotated out (25)>

11772

74° - 88° W

21° S

HAX

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( June- 25)

11773

56° - 70° W

04° N

AXX

          LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

DECREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
rotated out (25)>

11774

64° - 78° W

14° S

CAO/ BXO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
rotating out (-29)

11775

82° - 96° W

27° S

HSX

       

 

       

 

rotated out (25)>

11776

75° - 89° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11777

22° - 36° W

15° S

HSX/ CSO

JUNE- 25

01:59 UTC SAGITTAR. JUNE- 30?

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11778

13° E- 01° W

16° S

ESO/ DRI

JUNE- 28

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11779

29° - 14° E

16° N

AXX

JUNE- 29

             
NEWLY EMERGED >

11780

03° - 17° W

09° S

AXX/ HRX

JUNE- 29

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

06

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

DECREASING

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ Dropping since June 22/ 18 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX DECREASING.

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ dropping since June- 24

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at 28/0337Z from Region 1778 (S17W01). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 01 Jul).

 

 

TODAY`S SOLAR CME EVENTS:                  

20130628

CMEs at:

01:59

EST. ARRIVAL:

JUNE- 30- 2013

POLARITY: ALPHA BETA UNKNOWN  

ACE/ SIS: /INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX

GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares)  

TRACKING NR.:

27/13

20130628/ 02:39 20130628/ 05:42 UTC 20130628/ 01:44 UTC 20130628/ 02:11 UTC  

 

ACTIVE REGION:

11777

 

 

PARTIAL HALO CME

 

 

SUN COORDINATES:

 

 

22° - 36° W

15° S

 

 

ERUPTION TYPE:

X-RAY CLASS:

 

 

LDE FLARE

C 4.4  
  (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 32 (2) SDO /AIA-comp

(4) SoHO/ LASCO C 32

 

 

TYPE II RADIO EMISSION << NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS NOAA/ X RAY EVENTS: NOAA/ SAP:

 

 

try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION

 

   

Abbreviations:

LDE

= Long Duration Event

2013

alien-homepage.de

 

10 cm RADIO BURST  

 

   

SAP

= Solar Accelerated Particles/ Protons

       
RELATED TERRESTRIAL CME TRACKING REPORT                

ONGOING CME ARRIVAL

CME/ Nr.:

/13

CME TRACKING >

APPROACHING >

ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC):

 

TERRESTRIAL IMPACT >

SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES (JUNE):

> 15° S- > 45° N

STRENGTH:    

ARRIVAL DATE:

AR LONG LAT.

SOLAR CME EVENT

CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN)

ACE/ GOES

PEAK VALUE

 

> 100 nT

MAIN/ UTC GEOMAGNETIC HZ COMPONENT   MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS  
APPROACHING...                       IMPACT POLARITY :        
REMARKS:           E internal (relatiuve CME mass value      
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS:
 
CMEs/ APPROACHING:
01
 
     

 

 

                 
   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

           

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(+) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

 

28. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (+)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

29. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

30. JUNE 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE CME EFFECTS>

EARTHQUAKES (-) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> LATENCY( ELECTRONS)   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS >

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

SAP = Solar Accelerated PARTICLES /or: SEP= Solar Energetic Particles

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES, MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) ARE LIKELY WHEN SAP EFFECTS WILL DECREASE WITH THE END OF ELECTRON ACTIVITY  
        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

G 1 NONE  
       
GEOMAG SEP *IMPACT: < SOLAR STORMS/ SEP* EVENTS >

START of solar SEP event:

20130621

23:42 UTC

peak value:

PARTICLE IMPACTS:

SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE EMISSIONS OF HIGH ACCELERATED SOLAR PARTICLES

 

EFFECTIVE PROTONS (-)

FIRST PROTON ARRIVAL ( EARTH)

20130622/15 UTC

11 pfu

END:

30120628

11 pfu > 10 MeV PROTONS

+/- 0.1 pfu

>0.1< 1.0 pfu

.  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (+):

ELECTRON > 0.8 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

20130621/ 10 UTC

END: ongoing  

>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS

DISTURBANCE (CME)

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

ELECTRON> 2.0 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

20130622/ 13 UTC

END: ongoing

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRONS

DISTURBANCE (CME)

> 1000 < 12.000 pfu

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

   

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-1 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 5 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

< -07 > -10 < -08 > -09 (rising) < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

* SAP OR:" SEP" = SOLAR ACCELERATED (OR: ENERGETIC) PARTICLES (PR., EL.) treshold for electron storm = > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 pfu < ABBREVIATIONS/ CLASS.  

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 444 km/s at 27/2200Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at 28/1617Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at 28/1906Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1393 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 01 Jul).

 

     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

27

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.7 - HALMAHERA, INDONESIA - 2013-06-27 08:38:09 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

1.16 N ; 127.17 E

DEPTH >

128 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

MAP

01

EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA - 2013-06-27 19:04:31 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Hurricane Cosme JUNE- 21- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC

50 MPH (-)

117.6° W

19.6° N

600 KM SWW OF CABO SAN LUCAS/ GULF OF CALIFORNIA WNW TS (1)    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

LATEST MODIS IMPRESSIONS:

       

JUNE- 2013

images by:

NASA/ MODIS  
 
MODIS/ June 28, 2013 - The Azores MODIS/ June 24, 2013 - Storm over the northeastern United States MODIS/ June 26, 2013 - Sea ice in the East Siberian and Laptev Seas  
                   

HEADLINES

                 

Torrential rains prompt flood warnings in Midwest

<<(NASA/ EARTH /20130610- 19) Each of these fire maps accumulates the locations of the fires detected by MODIS on board the Terra and Aqua satellites over a 10-day period. Each colored dot indicates a location where MODIS detected at least one fire during the compositing period

Mummified women, human sacrifices discovered in ancient Peruvian tomb >>

LIMA (Reuters) - Archaeologists in Peru on Thursday said they have unearthed a massive royal tomb full of mummified women that provides clues about the enigmatic Wari empire that ruled the Andes long before their better-known Incan successors.

NASA's Voyager 1 Explores Final Frontier of our 'Solar Bubble'

PASADENA, Calif. -- Data from Voyager 1, now more than 11 billion miles (18 billion kilometers) from the sun, suggest the spacecraft is closer to becoming the first human-made object to reach interstellar space. Research using Voyager 1 data and published in the journal Science today provides new detail on the last region the spacecraft will cross before it leaves the heliosphere, or the bubble around our sun, and enters interstellar space. Three papers describe how Voyager 1's entry into a region called the magnetic highway resulted in simultaneous observations of the highest rate so far of charged particles from outside heliosphere and the disappearance of charged particles from inside the heliosphere....read more...

 
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

71

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

348-464

FLARES >

C

02

 

CH 574

T-EQU.

GROWING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 25-26- 2013

RECURR.

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

99.5

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 2.6

 

M

 

 

CH 573

NORTH

FADED/ ROTATED OUT

JUNE- 14- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

80- 140 nT

minor CME

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> NONE  
rotated out (25)>

11770

76° - 90° W

14° S

AXX

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 18)

11771

31° - 17° E

12° S

 

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

rotated out (25)>

11772

74° - 88° W

21° S

HAX

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

LOW ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( June- 25)

11773

56° - 70° W

04° N

AXX

          LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

INCREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
rotated out (25)>

11774

64° - 78° W

14° S

CAO/ BXO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11775

69° - 83° W

27° S

CSO/ HSX

       

 

       

 

rotated out (25)>

11776

75° - 89° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11777

10° - 24° W

15° S

HSX/ CSO

JUNE- 25

     

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11778

25° - 11° E

16° S

CSO/ DAI

JUNE- 28

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11779

41° - 27° E

16° N

BXO

JUNE- 29

             
NEWLY EMERGED >

11780

11° E- 03° W

09° S

BXO

JUNE- 29

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

04

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ Dropping since June 22/ 18 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX DECREASING.

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ dropping since June- 24

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 27/0814Z from Region 1778 (S17E11). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (28 Jun, 29 Jun, 30 Jun).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

           

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(+) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

 

27. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (+)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

28. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

29. JUNE 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE CME EFFECTS>

EARTHQUAKES (-) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY >>> LATENCY( ELECTRONS)   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS >

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

SAP = Solar Accelerated PARTICLES /or: SEP= Solar Energetic Particles

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  SEVERAL SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES, MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) ARE LIKELY WHEN SAP EFFECTS WILL DECREASE WITH THE END OF ELECTRON ACTIVITY  
        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  
       

SAP/ SEP * EVENTS:

 

time of solar SAP event:

20130621

23:42 UTC

SOLAR STORMS/ SAPS:

(INTERNAL) SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

EEFFECTIVE PROTONS (-)

FIRST PROTON ARRIVAL ( EARTH)

20130622

after 15 UTC

END:

dimin.

 

> 10 MeV PROTONS

>0.1< 1.0 pfu

>1< 10 pfu

. S 1

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (+):

ELECTRON > 0.8 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END: rising >0.8 MeV

> ELECTRON STORM*

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

ELECTRON> 2.0 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END: rising

>2.0 MeV

ELECTRON STORM*

> 1000 < 10.000 pfu

> 1000 < 10.000 pfu

 

EVENT REPORT:

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruption was associated with a low- medium SEP- event

   

CME IMPACT (NOAA)

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-1 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 1 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

 

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

< -08 > -09 < -08 > -09 (rising) < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

* SAP = SOLAR ACCELERATED PARTICLES (PROTONS) OR:" SEP"= S. ENERGETIC P. treshold for electron storm = > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update ** S1=protons =< 10 pfu      

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 478 km/s at 27/1556Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 27/2046Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 27/2033Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 17632 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (28 Jun), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (29 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (30 Jun).

 

     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

26

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.7 - MOLUCCA SEA - 2013-06-26 22:59:04 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

0.18 S ; 125.09 E

DEPTH >

60 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA

FREQUENT

"A"

MAP   EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.2 - NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION - 2013-06-26 05:48:47 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

     

20130619

report by:

GVP  

 

19 June - 25 June 2013

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES : Ambrym Vanuatu- Chirinkotan/ Kuril Islands- Pavlof/ Alaska Peninsula- Veniaminof/ Alaska Peninsula

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: Copahue/ Central Chile and Argentina- Karymsky/ Kamchatka Peninsula- Kilauea/ Hawaiian Islands- Kizimen/ Kamchatka Peninsula- Manam/ Northeast of New Guinea- Pagan/ Izu, Volcano, and Mariana Islands- Paluweh/ Lesser Sunda Islands- Popocatépetl/ México- Reventador/ Ecuador- Sakura-jima/ Ryukyu Islands and Kyushu- Santa María/ Guatemala- Shiveluch/ Kamchatka Peninsula- Tolbachik/ Kamchatka Peninsula-

This page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Hurricane Cosme JUNE- 21- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC

85 MPH (+)

113.3° W

17.9° N

500 KM SOUTHWEST OF GULF OF CALIFORNIA S TS (1)    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           

HEADLINES

               
 

<< 3 D model of Earth`s topography

NASA/ IRIS- 20130625- Launch of NASA's New Solar Mission Rescheduled to June 27 > >

WASHINGTON -- The launch of NASA's Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) mission is being delayed one day to 7:27 p.m. PDT (10:27 p.m. EDT) Thursday, June 27, from Vandenberg Air Force Base in California. Live NASA Television launch coverage begins at 6 p.m. PDT. 
Because of a significant power outage at Vandenberg earlier this week, certain Western Range facilities will not be ready to support the original June 26 launch date. For complete details on media registration, media events, and live launch coverage on NASA TV, visit:  http://go.nasa.gov/13L6djG

---

MSNBC/ 20130625: Storms, floods threaten vast swath of US

(BBC- 20130626) Nerve cells 're-grown' in rats after spinal injury

   
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

75

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

392-472

FLARES >

C

02

 

CH 574

TRANSEQU:

GROWING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 25- 26- 2013

RECURR:

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

106.5

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.4

 

M

 

 

CH 573

NORTH

CLOSING?

JUNE- 14- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

2

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

85- 105 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> NONE  
faded( June- 17)

11769

24° - 10° E

23° S

HSX/ CRO

JUNE- 18

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

TRANSEQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

rotated out (25)>

11770

76° - 90° W

14° S

AXX

 

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

faded( June- 18)

11771

31° - 17° E

12° S

 

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

HIGHER ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
rotated out (25)>

11772

74° - 88° W

21° S

HAX

          LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

INCREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
faded( June- 25)

11773

56° - 70° W

04° N

AXX

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
rotated out (25)>

11774

64° - 78° W

14° S

CAO/ BXO

       

 

       

 

 

11775

55° - 69° W

27° S

DSC/ DSO

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
rotated out (25)>

11776

75° - 89° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

       

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
 

11777

03° E- 11° W

15° S

HSX/ CSO

JUNE- 25

      *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11778

38° - 24° E

16° S

CAO

JUNE- 28

             
NEWLY EMERGED >

11779

54° - 40° E

16° N

CAO

JUNE- 29

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

02

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ Dropping since June 22/ 18 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX DECREASING.

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ dropping since June- 24

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 26/0017Z from Region 1776 (N11, L = 253). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (27 Jun) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (28 Jun, 29 Jun).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

           

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS (+) N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
PROTON IMPACT SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(+) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

PROTON IMPACT(SAP) ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

 

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

26. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- >6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

27. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- 6.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (LATENCY/ NEW SAP)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

28. JUNE 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- 6.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 2 (PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (-)

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES (-) ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: DECREASING( SAP)   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS (decreasing) PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

SAP / or SEP = Solar Accelerated /solar Energetic Particles ( PROTONS)

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  AFTER MORE SAPS HAVE ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES, MAJOR EARTHQUAKES (>< M 9!) ARE LIKELY WHEN SAP EFFECTS WILL DECREASE WITH THE END OF ELECTRON EFFECTIVENESS  
        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment - (PROTONS)

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

NONE NONE  
       

SAP* EVENTS:

 

time of solar SAP event:

20130621

23:42 UTC

SOLAR STORMS/ SAPS:

(INTERNAL) SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

EEFFECTIVE PROTONS (+)

FIRST PROTON ARRIVAL ( EARTH)

20130622

after 15 UTC

END:

dimin.

 

> 10 MeV PROTONS

>01< 10 pfu

> 10 < 100 pfu

. S 1

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

ELECTRON > 0.8 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END: rising >0.8 MeV

> ELECTRON STORM*

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

ELECTRON> 2.0 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END: rising

>2.0 MeV

ELECTRON STORM*

> 1000 < 10.000 pfu

> 1000 < 10.000 pfu

 

NOAA ALERTS:

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-1 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 2 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruptions a was associated with a low- medium SAP

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

< -08 > -09 (rising) dropping < -10 > -11 < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

* SAP = SOLAR ACCELERATED PARTICLES (PROTONS)   treshold for electron storm = > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update ** S1= < 10 pfu      

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 507 km/s at 25/2130Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 17677 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (27 Jun, 28 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (29 Jun).

 

     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

25

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.0 - NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA - 2013-06-25 16:10:01 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

2.46 S ; 140.20 E

DEPTH >

12 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Cosme JUNE- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

65 MPH (+)

107.9° W 

15.9° N

250 KM SW OF MANZANILLO/ MEXICO

NW TS    
wunderground.com Invest 95E JUNE- 21- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC

30 MPH (+)

114.0° W

13.1° N

600 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO/ MEXICO S L    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
         

NASA/ COMPARITION OF SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITY SAME PERIODS/ IN 2011 AND 2013:

 

<< CASSINI soltice mission/ Cassini is Going to Compose a Special Portrait of Saturn

- Tropical Storm Cosme likely to become hurricane in the next 24 hours -

Gliese 667C: Star is crowded by super-Earths

   
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

91

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

458-560

FLARES >

C

01

 

CH 574

cENTRAL

GROWING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

109.2

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 3.8

 

M

 

 

CH 573

NORTH

CLOSING?

JUNE- 14- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

62- 90 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> NONE  
rotated out >

11768

     

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 17)

11769

24° - 10° E

23° S

HSX/ CRO

JUNE- 18

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

 

11770

76° - 90° W

14° S

AXX

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

HIGHER ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( June- 18)

11771

31° - 17° E

12° S

 

          LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

INCREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11772

74° - 88° W

21° S

HAX

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11773

56° - 70° W

04° N

AXX

       

 

       

 

 

11774

64° - 78° W

14° S

CAO/ BXO

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11775

43° - 57° W

27° S

DSC/ DSO

       

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
>

11776

75° - 89° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

        *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11777

17° - 03° E

15° S

HSX/ CSO

JUNE- 25

             
 

11778

50° - 36° E

16° S

CAO

JUNE- 28

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

07

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013/ Dropping since June 22/ 18 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (26 Jun) and likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day two (27 Jun) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (28 Jun).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

           

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS - N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
PROTON IMPACT SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

PROTON IMPACT(SAP) ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

 

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

25. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- >7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- LIKELY)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

26. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- >7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- LIKELY)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

27. JUNE 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- >6.5? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION ()

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES () ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: HIGHER!   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS (decreasing) PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

SAP / or SEP = Solar Accelerated /solar Energetic Particles ( PROTONS)

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  MORE MAJOR EARTHQUAKES POSSIBLE SOMETIMES THE NEXT DAYS. I CAN`T EVALUATE EXACTLY, WHEN!  
        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment - (PROTONS)

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

UNKNOWN WARNING  
       

SAP* EVENTS:

 

time of solar SAP event:

20130621

23:42 UTC

SOLAR STORMS/ SAPS:

(INTERNAL) SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

EEFFECTIVE PROTONS (+)

FIRST PROTON ARRIVAL ( EARTH)

20130622

after 15 UTC

END:

decreasing

 

> 10 MeV PROTONS

>01< 10 pfu

> 10 < 100 pfu

. S 1

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

ELECTRON > 0.8 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END: rising >0.8 MeV

> ELECTRON STORM*

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

ELECTRON> 2.0 MeV INCREASE/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END:  

>2.0 MeV

ELECTRON STORM*

> 1000 < 10.000 pfu

> 100 < 10.000 pfu

 

NOAA ALERTS:

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-1 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 2 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruptions a was associated with a low- medium SAP

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

< -10 > -11 dropping < -10 > -11 < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

* SAP = SOLAR ACCELERATED PARTICLES (PROTONS)   treshold for electron storm = > 1000 pfu   * at time of this update ** S1= < 10 pfu      

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 590 km/s at 25/0812Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 24/2130Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 24/2147Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2 pfu at 24/2300Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 17149 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (26 Jun) and unsettled to active levels with a chance for minor storm levels on days two and three (27 Jun, 28 Jun).

 

     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

24

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 6.5 - NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2013-06-24 22:04:13 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

10.75 N ; 42.60 W

DEPTH >

10 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

PACIFIC/ EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

4 x > M 4.5

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.6 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2013-06-24 08:01:40 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Depression Three-E JUNE- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH (+)

104.4° W 

12.6° N

450 KM SW OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO

NW L    
wunderground.com Invest 95E JUNE- 21- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC

30 MPH (+)

113.5° W 

13.1° N

350 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO/ MEXICO SE L    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
NASA/ NOAA: D-RAP Global (1 dB ABS) IMPACT OF SOLAR PROTONS AND X- RAYS                

Global D-Region Absorption Prediction Documentation:

Long-range communications using high frequency (HF) radio waves (3 - 30 MHz) depend on reflection of the signals in the ionosphere. Radio waves are typically reflected near the peak of the F2 layer (~300 km altitude), but along the path to the F2 peak and back the radio wave signal suffers attenuation due to absorption by the intervening ionosphere.

Absorption is the process by which the energy of radio waves is converted into heat and electromagnetic (EM) noise through interactions between the radio wave, ionospheric electrons, and the neutral atmosphere (for a more extensive description of the absorption process see Davies, 1990). Most of the absorption occurs in the ionospheric D region (50–90 km altitude) where the product of the electron density and the electron-neutral collision frequency attains a maximum...

The precipitation of protons (as well as other ions) into the earth’s atmosphere during the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events can also create significant enhancements of ionospheric electron densities in the D region. Solar protons with energies between 1 to 200 MeV are primarily responsible for most of ionization of the D region and, consequently, for the ionospheric absorption of HF radio waves. Because of shielding of the earth by its magnetic field SEPs find easy access to the atmosphere only in high latitude regions around the earth’s geomagnetic poles. Such occurrences are therefore termed Polar Cap Absorption (PCA) events....read more...

-----

satellite images below: Global heat transformation of impact of SAP events on May 22. 2013 ( max: > 1000< 10.0000 pfu.!!) and on June 21- 2013 ( Max: > 10 < 100 pfu.)

 

solar eruptive activity was low again after the SAP(SEP) on June 21.AR 11777 continued to produce extreme short impulsive flares

 

^GLOBAL PROTON ABSORPTION AFTER SAP EVENT ON 20130522

^NORTHERN POLAR (ELECTRONS) EFFECTS OF SAP EVENT ON 20130522

^SOUTHERN POLAR (PROTON?) EFFECTS OF SAP EVENT ON 20130522

^NORTHERN POLAR (ELECTRONS) EFFECTS OF SAP EVENT ON 20130621

^SOUTHERN POLAR (PROTON?) EFFECTS OF SAP EVENT ON 20130621

^GLOBAL PROTON ABSORPTION AFTER SAP EVENT ON 20130621

 
               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

81

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

472-570

FLARES >

C

05

 

CH 574

cENTRAL

GROWING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

120.6

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 4.7

 

M

 

 

CH 573

NORTH

GROWING

JUNE- 14- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

13

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

60- 90 nT

under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> NONE  
rotated out >

11768

     

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 17)

11769

24° - 10° E

23° S

HSX/ CRO

JUNE- 18

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

 

11770

63° - 77° W

14° S

HSX/ HAX

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

HIGHER ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( June- 18)

11771

31° - 17° E

12° S

 

          LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130611

INCREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11772

62° - 76° W

21° S

CAO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11773

42° - 56° W

04° N

BXO/ AXX

       

 

       

 

 

11774

49° - 63° W

14° S

HRX/ DRO

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11775

31° - 17° W

27° S

DSC

       

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
>

11776

63° - 77° W

12° N

DSO/ DAO

        *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11777

30° - 16° E

15° S

HSX/ CHO

JUNE- 25

             
 

11778

62° - 48° E

16° S

CAO/ DAI

JUNE- 28

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

07

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C9 event observed at 24/1132Z from Region 1778 (S16E49). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for isolated M-class flares on day one (25 Jun) and expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day two (26 Jun) and likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (27 Jun).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

           

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS - N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
PROTON IMPACT SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

PROTON IMPACT(SAP) ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

 

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

24. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- >7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- LIKELY)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

25. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- >7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- LIKELY)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

26. JUNE 2013

 

ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM (-)

LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS:

 

M 5.5- >8.0? (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- PRELIMINARY)

 

OTHER:

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION ()

EURASIA WEST

*REGIONS> see definition below LONGITUDES : 45° E- 30° W

 

LATENCIES:
 

LATE EFFECTS

EARTHQUAKES () ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE  EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: HIGHER!   EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > ACTIVE ELECTRONS (decreasing) PROTON STORM (diminuishing)  

TECTONICS

HEATING UP ( ELECTRON STORM) (+) COOLING DOWN AFTER SAP EVENT UNCERTAIN    

 

EFFECTING AS > INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW  PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS)  

abbreviations:

SAP / or SEP = Solar Accelerated /solar Energetic Particles ( PROTONS)

(+) means: this activity is INCREASING

(-) means: This activity is DECREASING

  MORE MAJOR EARTHQUAKES POSSIBLE SOMETIMES THE NEXT DAYS. I CAN`T EVALUATE EXACTLY, WHEN!  
        * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weather alerts are oftenly BACKDATED!  

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment - (PROTONS)

NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!)

ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES

 

QUIET

ALERTS:

SOLAR INFLUENCES

CURRENT

PAST 24 h

REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA

 

UNSETTLED

 

X RAY EVENT (FLARES)

NONE NONE

 

ACTIVE

CME

TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION NONE

NONE

 

MINOR STORM (CME)

R 1

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

NONE

NONE

 

MAJOR STORM

 

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

WARNING WARNING  
       

SAP* EVENTS:

 

time of solar SAP event:

20130621

23:42 UTC

SOLAR STORMS/ SAPS:

(INTERNAL) SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS

 

EEFFECTIVE PROTONS (+)

FIRST PROTON ARRIVAL ( EARTH)

20130622

after 15 UTC

END:

ongoing

S 1

> 10 MeV PROTONS

> 10 < 100 pfu (SAP)

> 1.0 < 10 pfu

. S 1

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS (-):

ELECTRON > 0.8 MeV IMPACT/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END: not yet >0.8 MeV

> ELECTRON STORM*

> 10.000 < 100.000 pfu

(disturbance) > 10.000 pfu

   

GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION

ELECTRON> 2.0 MeV IMPACT/ BEGIN:

interfering with previous SAP events

END:  

>2.0 MeV

ELECTRON STORM*

> 100 < 10.000 pfu

(disturbance)> 100 < 100 pfu

 

NOAA ALERTS:

. GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT* SOUTHWARDS (-1 nT) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS(+ 2 nT)  
  EFFECTIVE PROTONS   EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS  

AR 11777 produced an M 2.7 flare on 20130621/ the eruptions a was associated with a low- medium SAP

NEUTRONS-P/E SYNTHESIS*

dropping < -10 > -11 < -06 > -07 < significant changes only (no alerts)

 

* SAP = SOLAR ACCELERATED PARTICLES (PROTONS)       * at time of this update ** S1= < 10 pfu      

Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >>

 

       

 

PROTON STORM * compared to " normal" values INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 618 km/s at 24/1112Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 23/2107Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 23/2115Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 14 pfu at 24/0520Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10700 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (25 Jun, 26 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day three (27 Jun). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (25 Jun), have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two and three (26-27 Jun).

 

     

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

MONTH:

JUNE

 

DAY:

23

 

EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY:

alien-homepage

 

 

this day`s update is under procedure.-...

click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed!

 

- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG

TODAY`s EVENTS

REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED

 

      RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

 

GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS

Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS >  

 

EPICENTER/ MAP TSUNAMI WARNINGS    
Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! click here for MEDIA report ISSUED AT:   CANCELLED:  

 

highest global measured Earthquake magnitude:

GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0

DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>   REPORTS > FOR REGIONS:  

 

EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > M 5.0 - NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2013-06-23 22:43:19 UTC LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

31.68 N ; 40.93 W

DEPTH >

30 km

WAVE/HEIGHT   FREQUENCY  

 

 

                  note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website!  
listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all  related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on.  
NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0!  

TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS :

FREQUENCY/ SINCE: REGION* EPICENTER: NUMBER TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0):

 

PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

FREQUENT

"B"

MAP

01

PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA M 5.0 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2013-06-23 15:19:25 UTC  

PANAMERICA

JUNE- 23- 2013

"D"

MAP

01

N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS M 5.1 - COSTA RICA - 2013-06-23 20:00:38 UTC  

WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS:

NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS

numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0.

 

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

SELDOM

"E"/"F

MAP

01

EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA M 4.5 - UKRAINE - 2013-06-23 21:16:34 UTC  

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ NORTHERN ITALY

JUNE- 21- 2013

"E"

MAP

15

AFRICA >< EURASIA M 4.6 - NORTHERN ITALY - 2013-06-23 15:01:33 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia)  
 
                       

maps >

 

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >

< statistics

 

         

TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
SOURCES>> NASA/ GOES EUMETSAT METEOSAT (EUROPE)

NOAA/ Atlantic and Pacific Hurricane Center

METEOALARM

usno.navy.mil NOAA  

REPORT BY:

NAME/ TRACKING LINK

EMERGED ON:

REGION

WIND SPEED

COORDINATES

appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS

DIRECTION STORM CATHEGORY

MEDIA REPORTS

 
wunderground.com Tropical Storm Bebinca JUNE- 20- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC 40 MPH ()

111.3° E

19.6° N

200 KM SOUTH OF HAI PHONG( VIETNAM W TS    
wunderground.com Invest 94E JUNE- 21- 2013 EASTERN PACIFIC

35 MPH (+)

103.0° W 

12.0° N

450 KM SW OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO

W L    
wunderground.com Invest 95E JUNE- 21- 2013 WESTERN PACIFIC

30 MPH (+)

107.7° E 

19.3° N

700 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO/ MEXICO W L    
                     

VARIOUS REPORTS:_

                   
                           
                   

(BBC- 20130622) Mysterious Voynich manuscript has 'genuine message'

The message inside "the world's most mysterious medieval manuscript" has eluded cryptographers, mathematicians and linguists for over a century. And for many, the so-called Voynich book is assumed to be a hoax. But a new study, published in the journal Plos One, suggests the manuscript may, after all, hold a genuine message. > download Voynich manuscript from Yale university) note: loading this 34 MB pdf takes a while

(BBC- 20130620) Scientists create first 3D digital brain >>

Researchers have created the first high-resolution 3D digital model of the human brain, which they have called "Big Brain". The reconstruction shows the brain's anatomy in microscopic detail, enabling researchers to see features smaller than a strand of hair. It will be made freely available to neuroscientists to help them in their research

Other headlines: Minnesota/ USA. Sunday storms add to danger, misery; 99,000 lack power

   

^a short X ray impulse occured on June 23 after 21 UTC: The source was a strange type of matter erupting in AR 11777

               
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

solar data by: solen.info

 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

NUMBER

POSITION*:

STATUS:

FIRST OBSERVED:

EARTH FACING

MAG &remarks

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

118

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

542-721

FLARES >

C

 

 

CH 574

cENTRAL

GROWING

JUNE- 20- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

SOLAR FLUX (SFU)

128.2

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 4.8

 

M

01

 

CH 573

NORTH

GROWING

JUNE- 14- 2013

JUNE- 20- 2013

 

 

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

16

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

49 - 60 nT

<under proton influence

X

 

 

         

 

 

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC):

CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

 

           

 

STATUS

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

ACTIVITIES/ CONF.*

appr. EARTH FACING ON:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

 

NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) JAN/ 14 FADED

 

 

LONGITUDE

LATITUDE

 

SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) MARCH- 06 FADING

 

CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> NONE  
rotated out >

11768

     

 

 

 

 

 

RECURR.= RECURRENT

T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL

ext= extended

UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH

 

faded( June- 17)

11769

24° - 10° E

23° S

HSX/ CRO

JUNE- 18

 

 

 

 

OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (SHORT PERIOD FLUCTUATION) :

 

 

11770

49° - 63° W

14° S

HSX/ HAX

          ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>>

HIGHER ()

X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS

 
faded( June- 18)

11771

31° - 17° E

12° S

 

          LAST MINIMUM (appr.)>

20130603

INCREASING

< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.)  
 

11772

51° - 65° W

21° S

DKO/ DAO

 

 

 

 

  PREVIOUS

20130422 (MIN)

20130517 ( MAX)

 
 

11773

32° - 46° W

04° N

DSO/ DRO

       

 

       

 

 

11774

36° - 50° W

14° S

CRO/ CAO

         

abbreviations and markups ( solar section left):

red letters = currently most active region  
 

11775

18° - 32° W

27° S

DHC/ DAC

       

abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class

alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type**
>

11776

49° - 63° W

12° N

DAI

        *==according to Zurich sun spot classification **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson
 

11777

43° - 29° E

15° S

CSO

JUNE- 25

             
NEWLY EMERGED >

11778

77° - 63° E

16° S

HSX/ CAO

JUNE- 28

             

SPOTTED REGIONS (S)

05

 

        INTERPLANETARY. REMARKS    

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

          PROTON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013

 

 

 

 

 

      ELECTRON FLUX

HIGHER

RISING AFTER M 3 FLARE ON JUNE 20- 2013

 

internal remarks:

 

 

       

 

PROTON STORM ENDED DECREASING INTERNAL  REPORT / GOES DATA  

 

 
                 

 

 

 

USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity:    

 

 

 

    2013 NOAA/ RSGA

 

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at 23/2056Z from Region 1778 (S16E61). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one and two (24 Jun, 25 Jun) and expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on day three (26 Jun).

 

 

   

- 3 - TERRESTRIAL

(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS

 

 

NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!

 

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

           

 

LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>>

20130517- 20130606-07

int. CME Nr. >>

INTERFERING EVENTS: Nr. 23 & 24 /13 /SAP &CME Nr 25/13

EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST:

 

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS:

PRIMARY REGIONS

CME STRENGTH:

IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES:

 

ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS  WiTH THE ESTIMATED  MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY-

 

ALERT LEVEL

VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS - N- AMERICA WEST COAST , CA ACCUMULATING SAP events LONGITUDES : 60° W- 135° W

 

ALERT LEVEL

* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable

 
PROTON IMPACT SUDDEN (THUNDER-) STORMS/ TORNADOES(-) SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST COAST

MAIN HEMISPHERE:

PACIFIC ><S & N- AMERICA

 

PROTON IMPACT(SAP) ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) hh

 

RAPIDE POLAR MELTDOWNS (SAP)

SECONDARY REGIONS : NORTH SECONDARY REGIONS :

 

23. JUNE 2013

 

METHANHYDRATE RELEASES

EASTERN AN CENTRAL- PACIFIC

EXTENDED WARNING!

LONGITUDES: 180° W- 120° E

 

M 5.5- >7.5 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- LIKELY)

 

INDUCED CURRENTS (LOW)

ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA/ JAPAN SEVERAL RECENT SAP EVENTS AND CMES HAVE ACCUMULATED A HIGH POTENTIAL OF (HEAT-) ENERGY WITHIN THE EARTH BODY!

AMERICAS >< EURASIA-E >< PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

 

24. JUNE 2013

 

RADIO BLACKOUTS (LOW)

EASTERN ATLANTIC LONGITUDES: 30°W- 60° W

 

M 5.5- >7.0 (POTENTIAL= > M 9.0)

1- 3 (POSSIBLE- LIKELY)

 

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) EURASIA EAST

EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA

 

25. JUNE 2013