-----------------------

 

note: with elder machines the page will need some time to load!

alien- homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- -SUN SPOT ACTIVITY- 11- years solar cycle- last update: JULY- 20 2014- -07:00 UTC copyright: reserved

background image: Aurora Borealis /COMMONS / wikipedia
open source earthquake forecast project created and provided by: alien-homepage.de-

note: On November 01 2013 I introduced a new format of this page , which will make it easier to load and watch for people with low resolution monitors-

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This projekt therefore will be prolongued.
 
2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE JULY - 2014

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

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PAGES RELATED TO THIS SOLAR/TERRESTRIAL PROJECT>
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SOHO REALTIME current view on the Sun
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:
2014 >        
2013 >

DEC
2012 >

2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL INTRODUCE A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on the following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics, volcano maps , earthquake statistic- JULY 2014
   
ALL KNOWN VOLCANOES WORLDWIDE, WEEKLY ACTIVITY UPDATES, WEBCAMS, and much more on my "REGIONAL VOLCANO " MAPS:
INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

 

SPACECRAFTS:
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
 
 
 
 
 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX- right image: planetary constellations in March 2013

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

 

VIDEOS/ REPORTS, SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL EVENTS- JULY 2014:

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK

   
 

 

 

   
 

 

 

 
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CMEs :
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       

 

 

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes.

 

click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" JULY 22- 31- 2014
Inhalt
click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" JULY 15- 21- 2014
Inhalt
click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" JULY 01- 14- 2014

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes.

 

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!          
 

 

 
20140715: Siberia/ Large crater (sinkhole) appears at the 'end of the world'

(Sibirian times/ 20140715:) Large crater appears at the 'end of the world'

Mysterious 'gigantic' hole in remote region spotted by helicopters over gas-rich Yamal peninsula...The striking puncture in the earth is believed to be up to 80 metres wide but its depth is not estimated yet. A scientific team has been sent to investigate the hole and is due to arrive at the scene on Wednesday. The cause of its sudden appearance in Yamal - its name means the 'end of the world' in the far north of Siberia - is not yet known, though one scientific claim is that global warming may be to blame. There is additionally speculation it could be caused by a space object - perhaps a meteorite - striking earth or that it is a sinkhole caused by collapsing rock beneath the hole caused by as yet unknown factors. The giant hole appeared close to a forest some 30 kilometres from Yamal's biggest gas field Bovanenkovo. ...read more...

 
   
20140714: Typhoon Rammasun,Philippines' First Typhoon Since Haiyan Approaching

wunderground/ 20140714: Typhoon Rammasun,Philippines' First Typhoon Since Haiyan Approaching

The Philippines Islands are bracing for the impact of Typhoon Rammasun, the islands' first typhoon since the devastating strike by Category 5 Super Typhoon Haiyan in November 2013. Haiyan was the deadliest and most expensive natural disaster in Philippines history. Fortunately, Rammasun is much weaker--a mere Category 1 storm. Top winds were 85 mph (1-minute average from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center), and the central pressure was 975 mb (as rated by the Japan Meteorological Agency) at 8 am EDT on Monday morning--a far cry from the incredible 195 mph sustained winds and central pressure of 895 mb of Haiyan at its peak. Rammasun is intensifying, though. Satellite loops on Monday morning showed a steady increase in the intensity and areal coverage of the typhoon's heavy thunderstorms. With wind shear a light 5 - 10 knots and Sea Surface Temperatures a very warm 30°C, further intensification is likely until landfall occurs. Philippines radar showed the outer spiral bands of Rammasun were already affecting Samar Island, where Haiyan initially made landfall. The core of Rammasun will pass north of Samar Island and strike the main Philippines island of Luzon, with the center passing very near the capital of Manila early Wednesday (local time). The main concern will be flash flooding and mudslides over Luzon and Samar, but wind damage also has the potential to be considerable, since the typhoon is passing over the most heavily populated part of Luzon. ...read more...

 
   
20140714: Yellowstone supervolcano 'turned the asphalt into soup' shutting down Natl. Park's roads

RT/ 20140714: Yellowstone supervolcano 'turned the asphalt into soup' shutting down Natl. Park's road

Extreme heat from a massive supervolcano underneath Yellowstone National Park is melting a major roadway at the popular summertime tourist attraction. Park officials have closed the area to visitors. Firehole Lake Drive, a 3-mile-plus offshoot of the park’s Grand Loop that connects the Old Faithful geyser and the Madison Junction, is currently off limits. Park operators say the danger of stepping on seemingly solid soil into severely hot water is “high.” “It basically turned the asphalt into soup. It turned the gravel road into oatmeal,” Yellowstone spokesman Dan Hottle said.

While thermal activity under the park often gives way to temperature fluctuations that can soften asphalt throughout Yellowstone, Hottle said the latest wave seems worse than usual. “But it’s hard to tell if a thermal area is hotter than normal, because it’s always fluctuating here,” he said, according to the Los Angeles Times. “Road closures are business as usual for us.”

In March, a viral video of bison stampeding through the park gave rise to rumors of an imminent eruption:

 
   
20140709/ Emergency warnings extended in Bulgaria after hailstorms+ Floods in Northern Italy

(euronews/ 20140709/ Emergency warnings extended in Bulgaria after hailstorms

Emergency “code yellow” warnings in northern Bulgaria have been extended to several new areas after a violentstorm caused widespread flooding and damage. “Code yellow” suggests weather conditions might pose danger to people. This week’s hailstorms and torrential rain were described as “unprecedented”. At Lovech in the north, the water level reached 1.5 metres in some places. A state of emergency was declared in the town. Earlier this week a hailstorm killed one person and injured 40 in the capital Sofia

Euronews/ 20140709/ Two bodies found in northern Italy floods

Two people are reported to have died in this week’s flooding in northern Italy. Residents of Milan and several other towns have been clearing up after Monday night’s severe storms, and the alarm has been lifted. Reports say the body of an 85-year-old woman was found in a canal at Inzago between Milan and Bergamo. Another body was said to have been spotted overnight in a pipe in the river Lambro. The storms came suddenly after a period of hot weather. In Milan the river Seveso burst its banks, causing streets to be flooded and serious transport problems. Several towns suffered power cuts as heavy rain and strong winds uprooted trees and damaged buildings.

 
 
   
20140706: July 7, 2014 – Very dangerous earthquake close to the Mexico (Chiapas)

Earthquake- report/ 20140706: – Very dangerous earthquake close to the Mexico (Chiapas) / Guatemala coast – Damage expected. The localities Solala and San Marcos are being hit seriously. Injured people and a lot of .

Update 20:01 UTC:
Chiapas, Mex.:  
3 people are missing in Cacahoatan.

Update 19:54 UTC: 6 fatalities have now been confirmed, 3 in San Marcos, Gt, 1 in Quetzaltenango, GT, one in Huixtla, Mex. and one in a road of Motozintla, Mex.

Update 17:59 UTC : Always chaos after an earthquake. It will take another 6 to 8 hours before a more to be trusted record of the fatalities is being reported. Although local press reports did indicate 4 fatalities in Guatemala, the President only reported 2 (a baby and and a woman). 35 people are treated for injuries.
In Mexico we are sure of 2 fatalities and (new) 6 injured.
So the best and officially confirmed toll is now 4 fatalities and 41 people injured + a lot of damage.

Update 17:46 UTC : The Guatemala President reports at least 35 people injured

Update 17:37 UTC : Mexican SSN reports many aftershocks, the strongest one measuring 4.5 (below damage level for not yet damaged buildings)

Update 17:28 UTC : Schools in Chiapas Mexico are closed until the school buildings are being inspected for structural damage by engineers

Update 17:24 UTC : The death toll has increased to 7 people (4 of them in Guatema and 3 in Mexico)

 

 
   
20140709: Typhoon Neoguri Weakens to Category 3, But Still a Major Flood Threat to Japan

wunderground/20140706: July 7, 2014 – Very dangerous earthquake close to the Mexico (Chiapas)

The outer spiral bands of Typhoon Neoguri are lashing the large southern Japanese island of Kyushu as the storm heads north at 15 mph towards Japan. Despite seemingly favorable conditions for intensification on Monday and Tuesday morning, with low wind shear, very warm sea surface temperatures of 30 - 31°C, very warm waters extending to great depth, good upper-level outflow, and only modest amounts of dry air, Neoguri mysteriously weakened from a 155 mph super typhoon to a Category 3 storm with 120 mph winds in the 30 hours ending at 11 am EDT Tuesday morning. Satellite images Tuesday morning showed a continued reduction in the intensity and areal coverage of Neoguri's heavy thunderstorms. Neoguri passed through Japan's Ryukyu Islands over the past day, killing one person and injuring 25, but the eyewall missed making a direct hit on any island. Some notable wind and rainfall reports from the islands:

wunderground/ 20140705: Category 4 Typhoon Neoguri a threat to Japan


In the Western Pacific, Typhoon Neoguri has strengthened into a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds this Saturday morning, and is headed northwest towards a Tuesday rendezvous with Okinawa in Japan's Ryukyu island chain. Satellite images show a huge and well-organized system, with a prominent eye, and very intense eyewall thunderstorms with cold cloud tops. WInd shear is light, 5 - 10 knots, and Neoguri is expected to be a Category 5 storm by Sunday. Neoguri will get caught by a trough of low pressure on Monday and begin curving to the northwest. The 00Z Saturday runs of our two top track models, the GFS and European models, showed Neoguri passing about 50 - 100 miles south of Okinawa near 00 UTC Tuesday, then curving to the north and hitting the Japanese island of Kyushu, where the city of Nagasaki lies, between 10 - 22 UTC on Wednesday. Neoguri is the 7th named storm and 3rd typhoon of the 2014 Western Pacific typhoon season. The other two typhoons of 2014--Typhoon Faxai and Typhoon Tapah--were both Category 1 storms. Neoguri is named after the Korean word for raccoon dog, and was also used for a 2002 typhoon that passed near Japan, and a 2008 typhoon that hit China. 

 
   
20140704: Holiday mood sinks in northern Spain as a level one flood alert is declared

euronews/ 20140704: Holiday mood sinks in northern Spain as a level one flood alert is declared

It’s not a usual Spanish summer for some residents of the north of the country. Storms have caused the Baztan river to burst its banks, flooding homes and other buildings in the Navarrese valley. Several people have had to be rescued, while numerous cars have been washed away. The local government has declared a level one alert – the highest for this type of incident.

 

 

 

 
20140704: LATEST VOLCANO REPORTS
 

Stromboli volcano (Eolian Islands, Italy): new lava flow on the Sciara del Fuoco

A new and relatively well-fed lava flow started to flow onto the Sciara del Fuoco early this morning (from around 4:45 local time). The vent of the overflow is again the NE hornito. At the moment, the flow is still active and has a length of approx 2-300 m on the upper Sciara beneath the NE crater.

video below: Stromboli/ Italy- 20140627

Nyamuragira (Nyamulagira) volcano, DR Congo: new eruption forms lava lake in summit crater

A new eruption is occurring at the volcano. A lava lake has appeared in the main pit inside its summit caldera, but so far, reports of lava flows (presumably from flank vents) on the northern slope of Nyamuragira could not be verified. A recent Landsat satellite image shows the new lava lake, and thermal anomalies as well as increased SO2 concentrations above the close-by Nyiragongo and Nyamuragira have been detected over the past days.

Tacana volcano (Mexico / Guatemala): shallow earthquakes

A number of shallow earthquakes has occurred recently under the volcano. The largest was a magnitude 4.0 event at 5 km depth under the eastern flank. No reports of unusual activity at the volcano are available.

JMA reported that deformation of Kusatsu-Shiranesan’s crater and the elevated temperatures which began earlier in March, continued during 25-30 June.

Ubinas volcano (Peru): small explosion

A small explosion occurred this morning (09:15 local time) at the volcano and produced a small ash plume: ...more

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

               
   

 

 

               

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

14- 15

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

 

     

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.3 - MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES - 2014-07-14 08:00:01 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
5.75 N ; 126.57 E
DEPTH >
40 km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER   M 5.5 - JAVA, INDONESIA - 2014-07-14 05:05:06 UTC  
REGION PERU- BOLIVIA PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA FREQUENT

"D"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.4 - EASTER ISLAND REGION - 2014-07-14 05:44:14 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - OFF COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU - 2014-07-14 11:24:37 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
       
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY            
         
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Invest 90E

20140715 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH () 135.0° W 12.0° N
1300 KM WEST OF GUADALAJARA/ MEXICO
W
     

Typhoon Rammasun

20140715 WESTERN PACIFIC 115 MPH () 124.7° E 13.0 ° N
LANDFALL ON NORTHERN PHILIPPINES
WNW
TS (3)
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140714

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

70

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

288-384

FLARES >

C

01

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

109.4

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 4.0

 

M

01  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 80- 180nT CME IMPACT

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 14/1246Z from Region 2109 (S08W86). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (15 Jul, 16 Jul, 17 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
            22:23 UTC      
 
                   
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
SP CH EXT NORTHWEST     20140708    
NO CH EXT SOUTHEAST     20140710    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 390 km/s at 14/1514Z. Total IMF reached 15 nT at 14/2058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 13/2112Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (15 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (16 Jul, 17 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -05 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 15 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>3.500 < 23.000 pfu (+) >1.000 > 20.000 pfu (-) rising after disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 50 (-) >- xx< 35 (+) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

08- 09

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.3 - TONGA - 2014-07-10 07:16:18 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.84 S ; 175.70 W
DEPTH >
223km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2014-07-10 19:24:45 UTC  
ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor) AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS FREQUENT

"F"

EPICENTER 01 M 4.5 - RED SEA - 2014-07-10 21:53:58 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

159

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

349-396

FLARES >

C

10

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

177.4

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 9.2

 

M

01  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 40- 105 nT  

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at 10/0253Z from Region 2106 (N16W75). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul, 13 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12106 75° - 89° W 07 ° S CAO/ AXX

 

       
 
  12108 52° - 66° W 14 ° N EKC

M1.5 flare

22:23 UTC      
 
  12113 24°- 10° E 09° N DAI          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

southwest limb filament eruption   20140710 partial 20140712 ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
SP CH EXT NORTHWEST     20140708    
NO CH EXT SOUTHEAST     20140710    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 420 km/s at 10/1858Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 10/0036Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 10/0035Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (11 Jul, 12 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (13 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul, 13 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 09 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>2.5 <5.000 pfu (+) >04 < 2.800 pfu (-) disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 10 (-) >- xx< 11 (-) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

07- 08

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - VANUATU - 2014-07-08 12:56:27 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
17.66 S ; 168.40 E
DEPTH >
118 km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. magmatic?

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.5 - HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION - 2014-07-08 09:05:23 UTC  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS - 2014-07-08 14:35:38 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - FIJI REGION - 2014-07-08 13:33:29 UTC  
(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - KEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA - 2014-07-08 01:23:24 UTC  
CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC> FREQUENT

"E"/"F

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA - 2014-07-08 21:52:48 UTC  
REGION PERU- BOLIVIA PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA FREQUENT

"D"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - CENTRAL PERU - 2014-07-06 03:08:47 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC January 08- 2014 "C" EPICENTER 01 M 3.2 - NEVADA - 2014-07-08 00:16:47 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

197

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

274-335

FLARES >

C

10

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

197.9

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

C 1.2

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

01

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 45- 120 nT  

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M6/2B event observed at 08/1620Z from Region 2113 (N10E48) with associated type II and type IV radio sweeps. Initial observations showed an associated CME over the northeast limb which does not appear to be earthward-directed. There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul, 11 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12108 26° - 40° W 07 ° S EKC

 

       
 
  12009 06°- 20° W 08° S DKC          
 
  12113 50°- 36° E 09° N CSI/ DAC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
SP CH EXT NORTHWEST     20140708    
NO CH EXT SOUTHEAST     20140710    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 357 km/s at 07/2310Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 07/2213Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 08/0542Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled levels on day one (09 Jul) and quiet levels on days two and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul, 11 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -07 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 09 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>100 < 2.500 pfu (-) >800 < 7.000 pfu (+) disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 11 (-) >- xx< 25 (+) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

06- 07

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.7 - VANUATU REGION - 2014-07-06 22:11:31 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
21.08 S ; 173.86 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - FIJI REGION - 2014-07-06 15:37:43 UTC  
REGION PERU- BOLIVIA PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA FREQUENT

"D"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - CENTRAL PERU - 2014-07-06 03:08:47 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
       
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY            
         
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Invest 98E

20140706 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH () 106.0° W 11.5° N 700 KM SWW OF ACAPULCO/ MEXICO WNW L    

Invest 99E

20140706 EASTERN PACIFIC 25 MPH () 119.1° W 9.4° N 1.500 KM SWW OF COLIMA/ MEXICO W L    

Typhoon Neoguri

20140705 WESTERN PACIFIC 125 MPH (-) 126.2° E 23.7 ° N
900 km SOUTH OF JAPAN
NNW
TS (3)
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT  
     

 

 

 

 

             
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

256

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

273-307

FLARES >

C

12

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

201.0

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

C 1.2

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

03

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 80- 120 nT  

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 06/0025Z from Region 2109 (S08E21). There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (07 Jul, 08 Jul, 09 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12107 13° - 27° W 19 ° S EHI/ DHI

 

       
 
  12009 21°- 07° E 08° S EKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
CH 626 CENTRAL GROWING 20140701 20140705    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 303 km/s at 06/1229Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 06/2034Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 06/0958Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (07 Jul, 08 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (09 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -03 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>800 < 7.000 pfu (+) >02 < 7.000 pfu (+) disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 25 (+) >- xx< 22 (+) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

05- 06

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
     

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01    

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
       
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY            
         
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     

Typhoon Neoguri

20140705 WESTERN PACIFIC 140 MPH () 132.9° E 18.0 ° N
900 kmEAST OF PHILIPPINES
WNW
TS (4)
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT  
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

213

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

273-312

FLARES >

C

09

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

193.0

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B9.6

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

02

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 80- 115 nT  

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 05/0554Z from Region 2108 (S08E16). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12104 13° 27° W 11 ° S DKC

 

       
 
  12009 37°- 23° E 08° S DKC/ EKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
CH 626 CENTRAL GROWING 20140701 20140705    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 325 km/s at 05/2104Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 05/1802Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 05/1802Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -05 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 05 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>02 < 7.000 pfu (+) >400 < 4.500 pfu (+) disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 22 (+) >- xx< 20 (-) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

03- 04

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     

LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL EVENTS

LAST UPDATE

20140629  

find all previous reports in my 2014 event logs and associated archives

 

 

                   
         
(04) AR and CH on 20140316 SDO/ 20140701/ 07:08 UTC         ^NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o  

^20140702: AR 12102/06 rotated in on the Eastern limb which was already there during previous rotation periods and was recently AR 12055 on May 09 and AR 12005 on April 16 ( images 01- 04).The region in currently the most active one on the solar disc. The large sun cluster below ( AR 12104) was not yet visible during the previous rotation periods. It is very large but has yet still just low activity.

 
               

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.3 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2014-07-03 19:50:02 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
30.56 S ; 176.36 W
DEPTH >
02 km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.6 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2014-07-03 09:35:49 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.0 - FIJI REGION - 2014-07-03 07:50:45 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.0 - SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS - 2014-07-03 01:25:32 UTC  
(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - PAPUA, INDONESIA - 2014-07-03 22:30:34 UTC  
> WESTERN TURKEY       EPICENTER 01 M 4.5 - WESTERN TURKEY - 2014-07-03 05:04:46 UTC  
CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC> FREQUENT

"E"/"F

EPICENTER 02 M 5.8 - KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION - 2014-07-03 12:05:22 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.7 - KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION - 2014-07-03 02:56:38 UTC  
/NORTHERN ALASKA CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ) NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER 02 M 5.7 - RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2014-07-03 19:06:48 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.2 - RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2014-07-03 04:43:42 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
         
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY            
         
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Storm Arthur

20140629 NORTHERN ATLANTIC 70 MPH + 79.1° W 30.6° N
200 KM EAST OF JACKSONVILLE / USA
N
TS
   
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Storm Douglas

20140629 EASTERN PACIFIC 40 MPH (-) 116.3° W 20.2° N

500 KM WEST OF CABO S. LUCAS (GULF OF CA)

NNW
TS
   

Tropical Depression Eight

20140701 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH () 146.8° E 8.9° N
400 km SSW OF GUAM/ MARIANA ISLANDS
WNW
TD
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT  
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

179

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

294-349

FLARES >

C

07

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

178.1

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 8.8

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 40- 110 nT  

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at 03/0359Z. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Jul, 05 Jul, 06 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12104 12° E 02° W 11 ° S DKC

 

       
 
  12009 62°- 48° E 08° S DKC/ EKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
CH 626 CENTRAL GROWING 20140701 20140705    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 392 km/s at 03/0450Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 03/0235Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 03/0457Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (04 Jul, 05 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (06 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -07 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 07 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>02 < 4.000 pfu (+) >400 < 2.800 pfu (-) disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 25 (-) >- xx< 28 (+) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

02

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.1 - BALLENY ISLANDS REGION - 2014-07-02 05:53:29 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
62.34 S ; 155.07 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. magmatic?

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - WEST OF MARIANA ISLANDS - 2014-07-02 20:52:12 UTC  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION - 2014-07-02 10:02:34 UTC  
(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA - 2014-07-02 07:24:29 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
         
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY            
         
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Storm Arthur

20140629 NORTHERN ATLANTIC 70 MPH + 79.1° W 30.6° N
200 KM EAST OF JACKSONVILLE / USA
N
TS
   
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Storm Douglas

20140629 EASTERN PACIFIC 40 MPH (-) 116.3° W 20.2° N

500 KM WEST OF CABO S. LUCAS (GULF OF CA)

NNW
TS
   

Tropical Depression Eight

20140701 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH () 146.8° E 8.9° N
400 km SSW OF GUAM/ MARIANA ISLANDS
WNW
TD
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT  
     

 

 

 

 

             
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

180

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

303-364

FLARES >

C

07

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

169.4

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 8.9

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: 80- 120 nT  

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 02/1453Z from Region 2100 (N10W14). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jul, 04 Jul, 05 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12107 37°- 23° E 20° S DHO/ DHC

 

       
 
  12016 34°- 20° E 19° S DAO/ DAI          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
CH 626 CENTRAL GROWING 20140701 20140705    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 337 km/s at 02/1935Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 Jul, 04 Jul, 05 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -04 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>400 < 2.800 pfu (-) >350 < 3.000 pfu (-) disturbance

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 28 (+) >- xx< 25 (-) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

2014

MONTH

JULY

DAY:

01

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

     
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.0 - CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2014-07-01 12:39:07 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
8.73 N ; 39.74 W
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

               
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.2 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2014-07-01 18:11:48 UTC  
REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA  

"D"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE - 2014-07-01 14:22:08 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
         
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY            
         
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Storm Arthur

20140629 NORTHERN ATLANTIC 60 MPH + 79.1° W 28.4° N
150 KM EAST OF FLORID/ USA
N
TS
   
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Storm Douglas

20140629 EASTERN PACIFIC 45 MPH (+) 116.0° W 16.9° N

600 KM WEST OF CABO S. LUCAS (GULF OF CA)

NW
TS
   

Post-Tropical Cyclone Elida

20140629 EASTERN PACIFIC 30 MPH () 103.0° W 16.9° N
250 KM WEST OF ACAPULCO/ WEXICO
SE
L
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT  
     

 

 

 

 

             
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140701

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

152

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

303-364

FLARES >

C

09

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

151.8

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B9.6

 

M

01  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

03

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 115 nT

 

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 01/1123Z from Region 2106 (N15E46). There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12107 48°- 434 E 20° S DHI/ DC part of larger sunspot cluster        
 
                   
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH 625 CENTRAL GROWING 20140629 20140630    
CH 626 CENTRAL GROWING 20140701 20140705    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX BACK TO nORMAL

CME ON 20140613/ 04 UTC- 20140621

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
MINOR CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 439 km/s at 01/0500Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/2130Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 01/0146Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (02 Jul, 03 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (04 Jul).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -04 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             

 

 

  GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX   back to normal back to normal
NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>350 < 3.000 pfu (-) > 03 < 5.800 pfu (-) disturbance

G1 (EXPECTED)

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- xx< 25 (-) >- xx< 60 (-) disturbance  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 

 

 

       
         

 

 

     
                       
                       

 

 

 

appendix:

some remarks on my solar and terrestrial blog:

The NOAA and its associated institutes produce their daily "space weather forecast " basically to protect all kinds of satellites necessary for GPS, airplane navigation, radio transmission or for military purposes., Additional to that , special warnings are issued also for operators of power stations and related installations,. those unfortunately are not much noticed yet by responsible people in charge of ( for instance) nuclear power stations all over the world ( compare Fukushima report on page 3) .

As it is easyly imaginable, a satellite with its sensitive instruments is just a tiny thing in space, which might therefore receive just a tiny portion of any Earth directed CME. The CME mass ( so called Plasma) itself is so energetic like nothing we know on Earth. A small impact of a large CME might cause irreversible damages on those satellites . The Earth as final destination of a Earth directed CME is an uncomparably larger object on which such a CME will finally impacts with all its mass and energetic capibilities. However. the superquake on December 26- 2004/ SouthWest of Sumatra( see here my special report on page 3) - also triggered by several large CMEs the day before ( possibly after an x flare) has shown: their energy can be so high that entire continental plates seems to become temporarely fluid and even began to drift. But: tis is the worst case which might occure only once in decades,.

However: CMEs which are not considered NOTv as " important" by NOAA or solen, info ( as they are no expected to be capable to cause damages on satellites a.o.) might have( and do have- as my first own research on all CMEs showed) significant effects on Earth ). Therefore-( thanks to NASA and SoHO who sent me links to their elder data archives)- since July 15,. I began to examine SoHo images on a daily basis my own . These CMEs ( which due to the fact that out eye cannot distinguish smaller changes in images following each other) can only be observed when animating the LASCO images by the player provided on the SoHO data website.

All these CMEs found will from now on be noticed (withrelated LASCO Images as evidence) daily in this report allthough they might not be listed by solen. info or NOAA The three day GOES hp magnetometer chart( data plot will also be added each three days now to prove and show which of these CMEs had any impacts on the geomagnetical field and/ or is related to any natural anormalities..

I apologize if these charts change from time to time due to the requirements of this project and my own process of learning and understanding. . The first ones in 2010 might have appeared a little bit chaotic From August on however I hope to be able to present this chart below in a more or less comprehensible form with an easy understandable content

Thanks!alien-homepage.de

not to confuse my visitors too much, you find only the last 3-5 days displayed on the page itself ! reports of previous days of this current month you find in the register card just below ( click on "archived reports" below to open and close register card. All previous months reports for 2011 you find in: archives 2011

 

Did you have any strange experience possible related to a CME impact, you want to share with others? an Earthquake or volcano eruption, extreme weathers like intensive thunderstorms . Or was there something strange- any technical failure on your flight, holiday place or at home? Maybe any larger electrical outage in your town, on the metro or on a train or a transformer fire. Or just repeated radio blackouts on your TV or handy? If so please feel free to leave a comment on my Google blog!

I am wondering: 9000 people already visited my blog but just one ore two ever left a comment there. All you need is a Google acount free of any charge that gives you also a central access to many social features, from youtube to Google Earth or you can create an own blog site and even earn some money with!Google is not the kind of spying organisation collecting adresses or creating any trouble with!. : okay? so just click on the button left or here to get to my blog about sun activities thanks!

 

ABOUT THIS PROJECT:

Sun Spots , prominences , flares a.s.o. - dependent on their intensity- oftenly trigger so called CMEs ( Coronal mass ejections) These CMEs are accelerated enough to escape the Sun`s strong gravity and travel then as Sun winds through space. Some of these CMEs - referred as " Earthh directed "CMEs" make their way to Earth, triggering an entiere agenda of effects by and after their impact .

The intention of this project is not to be an astrophysical research project as such.. For years I observed global Earthquake activities. Seismic activities - at least measured Earthquakes occure in a kind of irregular waveform during the timeline. This means Their total activity energy more slowly decreases over different long time periodes and then raises again to maximum values , The fact that there seems to be a certain amount of " total " energy" available in the Earts interior to trigger those Earthquakes and volcano eruptions , the number of extreme Earthquakes as those which happened just during the last 10 years also have prooved that many imaginations sustained by geology due to elder imaginations, fransfered generations ago, must be revised. In other words: The earth cannot be the only producer of these energies necessary to trigger at all 3 huge quakes with magnitudes above 9.0 , as recorded since 2001 and most likley it never did. IT is/ was the sun, resp the SUN wind , that tranfers these energies into the Earth.

For a while I have researched planetary constellations those could as I imagined by their gravity contribute something to these earthquakes. but some years statistics have shown: their is no real constant coincidence to the wave form in which earthquakes and volcanisms occures/appears .

The real break through came in 2010 when I became aware of the solar projects by ESA and NASA. First statistic comparations I started in May 2010 , soon showed there is a clear coincidence betweeen the sun activity as such ( sun spots background flux or solar flux) and the larger seismic activities on Earth. First time, both curves covered each other more or less perfectly .Also the irregularities found in the seismic activities were identical with the irregularities in which the sun activity generally fluctuates. Further evaluations in 2011 showed- simply explained as it generally is- that there is a direct relation between th so called "sun wind" and these seismic events. In Other words. The Sun wind delievers that energy that creates most of seismic activities on Earth!!

There is a constant average of sun wind flowing from the Sun towards the earth. Sun spots create flares and can trigger CMEs . Both events ( beside them also some effects by Coronal Holes) result from an unknown mechanism inside the sun but at oleast Earth directed CMEs raise the intensity of solar winds and create the fluctuations observed.

I would like to say, that not only the extreme events but even the low level fluctuations in the seismic activities on Earth go synchronously ( with some days delay caused by the speed of solar winds) with similar eruptions, resp activity fluctuations on the Sun . But I have not made an general eveluation of that that I could present evidence right now. What I am doing is to research first the larger events.

A CME however is a large eruption of sun mass, accelerated so much that it can escape the Sun`s immense gravity, which alone contracts it like a spring, This energy as well as the immense heat turning atomes into a soup of electrons protons and neutrons is effective in any CME escaping from the sun into space and creates a mediu that can have the equivalent of one nuclear bomb up to thousands of .

In the Earth interior however it sums up with the usual sun wind but creates the energy necessary for the strong Earthquakes we had in Sumatra 2004, in Chile 2008 or in Japan, March of this year and eslewhere No doubt: CMEs can transfer energies into the Earth, enough to move entire continental plates. ( remark, the mechanism how CMEs heat up the Earth is well documented and described by the Max Planck University for Solar Physics in Munich (pdf/ German)

So after this explanations I hopw it is understood that the intention of this project is to research those effects.

The observation of the Sus activity brings in people`s minds that our central star, that makes our lives possible has also the capability to destroy it. All kown about what is going on on the Sun during that 11 year solar cycle, depends first on ever more complex and sensible techniques, while it became also clear that these techniques exposed especially to those phenomenons are also vulnerable to natural- here: rather " cosmical" influences, those are greater than menkind can create.

As scientist believe, the relative extreme Sun activity during the maxima of the so called " 11 years solar cycle" ( of course- there are also several other "Solar cycle"known yet ) could create of the most serious threats to Earth, more even to our technical world . For the current sun maximum expected in March 2013 the NASA/ ESA expected ( out of any reason?) an extraordinary extreme sun activity and has founded to research that, an own program to observe the Sun`s activity on a regular base this time. A part of it is administered by NOAA and called " Space Weather prediction" . This is done with a number of ( currently around 5) orbital stationary space Satellites and a network of go eostationary ( GOES) satellites and also ground observatories. On of their special tasks is, to get aware early enough on those " halo"- Earth directed CME to react early enough- such as switching off vulnerable devices . The NOAAspace weather prediction is especially designed to issue comprehensive warnings on CME and other sun features those( depending on their strength) pose a severe thread to navigation and communication satellites.

You find a large collections of these Space observatories, scientific working institutions, and their associated networks on my page " solar control" with some - hopefully useful descriptions links and explanations also to all items used in usual solar terrestrial reports .

Despite of all these phantastic most update techniques used with SDO and other spacecrafts, the tracking of an CME is still not an easy thing ( one problem occuring ever again is the steady changing "Sun wind speed" and other unpredictable space conditions) and has to be done by human beings by Scientists and others, Also a software recently introduced on the NOAA website, obiously cannot really do it. The first feature experiment however failed and the predicted impact time of an CME on June 07- 2011 turned out to by false.

Earth directed - so called " Holo" CMEs are ejected while an active region on the Sun surface is in an Earth facing position. CME, resp Sun wind matter is no light but hot solid but subatomar matter in a so called "Plasma state"and has therefore a varying speed (initial acceleration ). Depending on that particular initial acceleration ( by the intensity of sun spot quality and the flares they produce in active regions) impact on the Earth appr. 2 - 5 days later .

WHAT DOES THIS REPORT?

This project does NOT research orbital "space weather" condition in satellite environments (for that, visit the website of NOAA) , but researches ( possibly as the only current "open net source"?) as part of my "cosmogenic Weather forecast" begun in 1999 (I provide here since 2004) statistical coincidences between these Sun features and related extraordinary Earthquakes and meanwhile also other climatical effects on Earth. Note: due to my free time it will not be possible to cover all these severe weather events. But in such a open source project interested people are invited to join in.The related experimental "Earthquake forecasts" uses these and other ( such as geological data ) evaluation data and makes predictions based on Eartz directed CME s observed ( by the NASA/ ESA space satellites) on the Sun and arrival data especially those measured by megnetometers measuring the Earth`s magnatic field.

notes: >The terms of my personal copyright you find here: copyright at alien-homepage.de

> The appearance and content of my graphs on this pages might change due to requirements of the project itself or for better web presentation

 

latest news/ informations on this project:

Some remarks on NOAA space weather prediction and related issues:

5 special geosynchronous Solar observatory spacecrafts observe the Sun. Several more satellites measure all kind of values , how solar activities affect the Earth. Several " Space weather reports" are in place now. Here some general but important issues and problems still not solved .

HOW FAR IS SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION REALYY?

1.Operators have TO JUDGE with their Eyes and experience data and images by SohO or Stereo images. WHETHER, HOW FAR and WHEN any CME impacts on Earth, There isyet alöso no instrument in place which can measure especially the strength of a CME that with the necessary reliability.

All these t parameters would be essiential to work out a highly reliable Space weather forecast, without the risk of fail warnings, may this be for airoplanes nuclear power stations or wahtever.

2 there is no way to measure the strength of any CME or of that part which will arrive on Eare strength of a CME 2. this also only can be JUDGED- as we say: "pi times thumb"- E

Here an example what such a weather prediction will make: Anyone thought about highest ALERT" after reading that a " fast fully halo CME was observed associated with a X 6.9 flare !!) in August 2011 on rpeorts by NOAA NASA and other institutes. As it turned out later ( and was announced by NASA two weeks later) the Earth directed CME created by this X flare ( 100 times stronger than usual C flares) was not even "measurable"!

If there would not be anyone at NASA or SoHO who can judge with that " pi times thumb method" what this CME actually can do you, wehen it will arrive and how string it is, there would have 80 % false alarms. Soon, noone would react anymore on those warnings: planes would neither make an emergency landing . Would Operators and shareholders of Nuclear Power Station shut down thier plants , due to the high probability that CME cause high overvoltage currents on overland power grids those can destroy all pumps and electrical devices and instruments in an NPS , as it was the case in Forsmark sweden 2006 and very likely also in Fukushima March this year?

To what situation a CME impact not recognized as dangerous would lead, in fact leads , showed the "almost meltdown" that occured in Forsmark 2006 and the second real meltdown in nuclear history in Fukushima 2011)Mission impossible!

While any unreliable warnings would be ignored ( on day shutdown of an NPS costs the electricity companies also Millions of dollars which they then would like to charge from those who issued the overestimated alert) , the next CME can be so strong that destroys all or will cause a huge catastrophy ( compare.: Japan- NOAA has issued prior to March 11 2011 ( "311") prior to the arrival of two strong CMEs a "G1 alert" , which was too low for an shutdown of Japans nuclear power stations . These were "shutdown" then by the Tsunami instead.

3. NONE of these instruments and machines- and as it turned out also no software or human operator can.predict the real ARRIVAL TIME of a CME ON Earth! In all previous predictions- , NOAA went up to 90 % wrong Why?: The Sun is 150 mio. km away and SoHO orbits in 1.2 Mio km distance. The speed of an CME is determined by the Sun creating the steady changing solar wind speed (SWS) . If you measure close to the Earth 400 km/s the SWS speed close to the Sun might have changed to 700 km/s during a CME ejection .Any satellite close enough to the sun would just burn or even melt - at least be destroyed by the heat or would we unable to transsmit data beacause of disturbances created by Sun radiation. The Satellites in space however only can bring these necessary updates to us with a delay of appr. 2 days later. This is why the arrival of a CME cannot be exactly predicted .If it has arrive the strength can be s estimated by geomagnetometers such as those one on GOES satellites. After measured by GOES, any CME will impact on Earth just minutes later. Too late to issue necessary warnings.

SDO or STEREO for example makes it possible to recognize whether a flare or CME goes off on the front side of the sun or on its back. The instruments also might be perfect for astrophysical studies . But at all his huge solar project has nor brought this improvement yet what would be essential for for better at least reliable CME forecast. Nothing else is supposed to be, what NOAA calls " space weather prediction.

 

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