-----------------------

 

note: with elder machines the page will need some time to load!

alien- homepage.de- Earth quake statistics- -SUN SPOT ACTIVITY- 11- years solar cycle- last update: MARCH - 22- 2014- -07:00 UTC copyright: reserved

background image: Aurora Borealis /COMMONS / wikipedia
open source earthquake forecast project created and provided by: alien-homepage.de-

note: On November 01 2013 I introduced a new format of this page , which will make it easier to load and watch for people with low resolution monitors-

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This projekt therefore will be prolongued.
 
2012/ 13 - MAXIMUM OF 11- YEAR SOLAR CYCLE
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

ARCHIVE MARCH - 2014

NASA STEREO BEACON

alien-homepage.de / internal links:

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PROJECT CENTRAL:

PAGES RELATED TO THIS SOLAR/TERRESTRIAL PROJECT>
ws
>HAVE YOU ANY COMMENT?
               
SOHO REALTIME current view on the Sun
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ ARCHIVES:
2014 > MARCH                
2013 >

2012 >

2011 >
2010 >
NOTE: I WILL INTRODUCE A NEW ARCHIVE SYSTEM IN 2012. CLICK ON THE BUTTON (right) FOR THE NEW ARCHIVE DIRECTORY! >

Note: Due to the high data amount in these monthly archives, I am currently trying to improve this by putting the single archives into collapsible panels.

Also I will split the monthly archive into 4 weekly ones. click on the following tabs to open the collapsible panels. You can report to my blog, if you should still experience problems when loading this page.

click here to open panel with graphics, volcano maps , earthquake statistic- MARCH 2014
   
ALL KNOWN VOLCANOES WORLDWIDE, WEEKLY ACTIVITY UPDATES, WEBCAMS, and much more on my "REGIONAL VOLCANO " MAPS:
INTERNAL MAPS: click on the images or links below to get to my large regional maps, where you find all volcanoes around the world with descriptions , webcams and much more such as ancients sites! . Weekly regular activity updates, special earthquakes events with many functions

world volcano map 1.0

world volcano map version 2.0

Europe and Western Asia Africa and Arabic peninsula Central America and Mexico South America- Northern part South America- Southern part Central America and Mexico Northern America Kamchatka peninsula Japan region Indonesia and Philippines Australia and Southern Pacific

 

SPACECRAFTS:
SoHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory
SDO /AIA
Solar Dynamics Observatory
STEREO
Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory
GOES
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites

ACE

 
 
 
 
 
 
Advanced Composition Explorer

^^ internal Earthquake statistics- with Sun activity curves : green = SUNSPOT NUMBER, Pink= SOLAR FLUX, blue= PLANETARY A INDEX- right image: planetary constellations in March 2013

click here to see some of the paradox observations made during that solar cycle first possibly by observatory sopacecrafts: : CORONAL HOLES THOSE REAPPEAR DURING SEVERAL SOLAR ROTATION PERIODS ON THE SAME HELIOGRAPHIC POSITION

 

VIDEOS/ REPORTS, SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL EVENTS- MARCH2014:

VIDEOS/ REPORTS OF THE WEEK

   
 

 

 

   
 

 

 

 
MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CMEs :
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       

 

 

 

click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" MARCH 22- 31- 2014
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

31

 

       

 

 

               

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.6 - EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G. - 2014-03-31 13:41:00 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
8.26 S ; 147.10 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.2 - NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND - 2014-03-31 01:01:20 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.6 - EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G. - 2014-03-31 13:41:00 UTC  
(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. 20140203

"A"

EPICENTER 08 M 5.0 - SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA - 2014-03-31 04:14:05 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
 
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY          
         
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   
Tropical Cyclone Hellen 20140329 INDIAN OCEAN 50 MPH (-) 46.1° E 17`N
ABOVE NORTH WESTERN MADAGASKAR
SSE
TS
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT

 

 
     

 

 

 

 

             
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140331

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

129

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

366-440

FLARES >

C

13

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

152.4

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 9.1

 

M

01  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

05

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

60- 115 nT

 

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 31/0807Z from Region 2014 (S13W91). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (01 Apr, 02 Apr, 03 Apr).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
largest region> 12021 10° E - 04° W
12° S
DAI/ DAC          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
CH 609 CENTRAL SMALL/ UNCHANGED 20140327 20140328- 29    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGH/ DECREASING

stronger rise after event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 
 
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

 
 
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
              ^INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX/ 20140326  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

> 0.1 < 3 pfu

> 0.1 < 0.7 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX about normal about normal slightly increased NONE TPYE II/ TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>2.000< 8.000 pfu (-) >2.800< 18.000 pfu (-) under proton influence  

NONE

G1 predicted

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- -xx <40 (+) >- -10 <150 (+) under proton influence  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 441 km/s at 31/1722Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 31/1757Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 31/1629Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (01 Apr, 03 Apr) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day two (02 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (01 Apr, 02 Apr, 03 Apr).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 07 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

30

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 

/daily_mail/ 20140331) Yellowstone National Park hit by 4.8-magnitude earthquake after California is shaken by major tremor

/ The weather channel/ 20140331)Yellowstone Earthquake: Volcanic Eruption Not Expected After Strongest Tremor in 34 Years

Yellowstone National Park was shaken by its largest earthquake in 34 years Sunday, but scientists say there is no concern that the quake will lead to an eruption of the Yellowstone Caldera, a supervolcano located in the park.

(MORE: Yellowstone's Magma Chamber Larger Than Once Thought)

/CBS/ 20140330) Earthquake rattles Yellowstone National Park

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK, Wyo. - A 4.8 earthquake shook the northern part of Yellowstone National Park early Sunday. The University of Utah Seismograph Stations reports the earthquake occurred at 6:34 a.m. about 4 miles north-northeast of the Norris Geyser Basin. The university reports it was felt in the Montana border towns of West Yellowstone and Gardiner, both about 20 miles from the epicenter. There were no immediate reports of damage. There are few visitors in the park this time of year. Yellowstone sees frequent small earthquakes. Since Thursday, there have been at least 25 recorded in the nation's first national park. Yellowstone National Park sits on top of a "supervolcano" that last erupted on a massive scale about 640,000 years ago. Scientists have estimated the chance of another super eruption happening at about 0.00014 percent yearly -- i.e. it's almost certainly not going to happen.

 
 
^^ Extremely dangerous Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Hellen ^YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK/ old faithful live webcam    
Extremely dangerous Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Hellen is bearing down on Madagascar after an extraordinary burst of rapid intensification brought the cyclone from a 60 mph tropical storm to a high-end Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds in just 24 hours. That 90 mph increase in winds in 24 hours is not far below the record intensification rate of Hurricane Wilma in 2005, which was 110 mph in 24 hours. Official bulletins from La Réunion indicate the central pressure dropped 61 mb in 24 hrs, from 986mb at 1800 UTC Saturday to 925mb at 1800 UTC Sunday. They warn in their 18 UTC Sunday advisory:

HELLEN IS LIKELY TO BE ONE OF THE MOST POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONES EVER SEEN OVER THE NORTHERN CHANNEL SINCE THE SATELLITE ERA (1967). THE LIKELIHOOD IS INCREASING FOR AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TROPICAL CYCLONE LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COASTLINE OF MADAGASCAR BETWEEN CAPE SAINT-ANDRE AND MAHAJONGA. 
 
         

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.4 - WESTERN XIZANG - 2014-03-30 17:10:15 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
31.49 N ; 86.73 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

20140226

"E"

EPICENTER 01 M 4.5 - ERITREA - 2014-03-30 03:53:58 UTC  
GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD EURASIA (volcanic) SELDOM

"E"

EPICENTER 01 M 3.2 - GERMANY - 2014-03-30 15:57:59 UTC  
CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP( DEC 26)

"E"

EPICENTER   M 3.8 - AZORES ISLANDS REGION - 2014-03-30 15:16:29 UTC  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014   EPICENTER 11 x > M 2 M 4.3 - OKLAHOMA - 2014-03-30 06:51:56 UTC  
YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC 20140108

"C"

EPICENTER 6x > M 2.0 M 4.8 - YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING - 2014-03-30 12:34:42 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC January 08- 2014 "C" EPICENTER 14 M 3.3 - GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. - 2014-03-30 05:51:22 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
 
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY          
         
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   
Tropical Cyclone Hellen 20140329 INDIAN OCEAN 95 MPH () 45.9° E 16.2`N
LANDFALL MADIROVAIO/ NORTHERn MADAGASKAR
SSE
TS (2)
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT

 

 
     

 

 

 

 

             
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140329

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

122

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

350-445

FLARES >

C

11

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

148.4

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 8.9

 

M

01  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

60- 115 nT

 

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at 30/1155Z from Region 2017 (N10W49). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr, 02 Apr).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
largest region> 12017 49° - 63° W
10° N
DAC/ DAI          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
CH 609 CENTRAL SMALL/ UNCHANGED 20140327 20140328- 29    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGH/ DECREASING

stronger rise after event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 
 
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

 
 
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
              ^INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX/ 20140326  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

> 0.1 < 3 pfu

> 0.1 < 0.7 pfu.

NONE

EXCEEDED X 1

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX about normal about normal slightly increased TPYE II/ TPYE II TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

1746 UTC

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>2.800< 18.000 pfu (-) >900< 22.000 pfu (-) rising

G1 predicted

G1 predicted

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- -10 <150 (+) <- 00 <220 (+) rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 480 km/s at 30/0434Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 29/2220Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 29/2121Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3 pfu at 29/2230Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (31 Mar), quiet to active levels on day two (01 Apr) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (02 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr, 02 Apr).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -03 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 05 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

29

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 

(yahoo.com / 20140330) Another earthquake rattles southern California following 5.1 quake

(Reuters) - Residents of southern California were rattled by a 4.1 magnitude earthquake Saturday afternoon, the largest of more than 100 aftershocks following Friday's 5.1 rumbler that caused light scattered damage around the Los Angeles area. Saturday's quake rippled through an area near Rowland Heights, California, about 2:32 p.m., according to the U.S. Geological Survey. The temblor was considered relatively shallow with a depth of 5.6 miles, the USGS said. Aftershocks are expected following earthquakes, according to the USGS. Seismologists said there was about a 5 percent chance that Friday's quake, which struck at 9:09 p.m., was a foreshock to a bigger temblor....read more...

(ABC- news/ 20140326)Chileans Worry Over String of 300 Quakes in North

More than 300 earthquakes have shaken Chile's far-northern coast the past week, keeping people on edge as scientists say there is no way to tell if the unusual string of tremors is a harbinger of an impending disaster. The unnerving activity began with a strong magnitude-6.7 quake on March 16 that caused more than 100,000 people to briefly evacuate low-lying areas, although no tsunami materialized and there was little physical damage from the shaking. But the land has not settled down. More than a dozen perceptible quakes were felt in the city of Iquique just on Monday. "The situation is out of the ordinary. There's a mix of a string of tremors and their aftershocks that make things more complex to evaluate," Mario Pardo, deputy head of the Universidad de Chile seismology center, told the local newspaper La Tercera. "We can't rule out a larger quake." Chile is one of the world's most earthquake-prone countries. A magnitude-8.8 quake and ensuing tsunami in central Chile in 2010 killed more than 500 people, destroyed 220,000 homes, and washed away docks, riverfronts and seaside resorts. The strongest earthquake ever recorded on Earth also happened in Chile — a magnitude-9.5 tremor in 1960 that killed more than 5,000 people.

 
 
(cyclocane.com) REAL TIME / satellite image of Tropical Cyclone " Hellen" ^/ NASA/ MODIS) LANDSLIDE AND BARRIER LAKE NEAR OSO, WASHINGTON    

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.8 - CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2014-03-29 07:46:50 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
0.91 S ; 21.94 W
DEPTH >
77 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC> 20140308

"E"/"F

EPICENTER 01 M 4.7 - ROMANIA - 2014-03-29 19:18:05 UTC  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
AFTERQUAKES/ TARAPACA, REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA 20140322

"D"

EPICENTER 14 x > M 2 M 4.4 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-29 10:02:46 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC   "C" EPICENTER   M 5.1 - GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. - 2014-03-29 04:09:42 UTC  
        EPICENTER 24 X > M 2.0 M 4.1 - GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. - 2014-03-29 21:32:46 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     

 

 

   
 
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY          
         
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   
Tropical Cyclone Hellen 20140329 INDIAN OCEAN 105 MPH () 43.9° E 14.1`N
260 KM EAST OFF THE COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE( EAST AFRICA)
SE
TS (2)
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT

 

 
     

 

 

 

 

             
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140329

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

132

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

372-479

FLARES >

C

14

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

142.7

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 7.3

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

49- 110 nT

 

X

01

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at 29/1748Z from Region 2017 (N10W34). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
largest region> 12017 22° - 36° W
10° N
DAO/ DAI          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
X1.0/2B at 17:48 UTC HALO 20140401
LIBRA
   

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. S P- CH EXT CLOSING 20140326 20140326- 28    
CH 609 CENTRAL   20140327 20140328- 29    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGH/ DECREASING

stronger rise after event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 
 
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

 
 
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
              ^INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX/ 20140326  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 < 3 pfu

+/- 0.1pfu.

> 0.1 < 1 pfu.

EXCEEDED X 1

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX about normal back to normal slightly increased TPYE II/ TPYE II TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

1746 UTC

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>900< 22.000 pfu (-) >1.500< 10.000 pfu (-) rising

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- 00 <220 (+) >- 00 < 18 (+) rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 450 km/s at 29/0321Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 28/2127Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 29/0203Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (30 Mar, 31 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day three (01 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -04 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 07 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

28

 

       

 

 

               

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.6 - NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA - 2014-03-28 14:36:10 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
11.64 N ; 86.60 W
DEPTH >
77 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.2 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2014-03-28 16:14:59 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.4 - FIJI REGION - 2014-03-28 14:37:12 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
   
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140326

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

135

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

400-511

FLARES >

C

04

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

146.4

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 7.3

 

M

02  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

62- 110 nT

 

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at 29/1748Z from Region 2017 (N10W34). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
largest region> 12017 22° - 36° W
10° N
DAO/ DAI          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
M2.0 at 19:18, M2.6 at 23:51 UTC HALO 20140331
LIBRA
   

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. S P- CH EXT CLOSING 20140326 20140326- 28    
CH 609 CENTRAL   20140327 20140328- 29    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGH/ DECREASING

stronger rise after event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 
 
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

 
 
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
              ^INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX/ 20140326  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1pfu.

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

+/- 0.1pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

TYPE II

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>900< 22.000 pfu (-) >1.200 < 10.000 pfu (-) rising

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- 00 < 180 (+) >- 00 < 10 (+) rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 460 km/s at 28/0250Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 28/0100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 28/1832Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (29 Mar, 30 Mar, 31 Mar).hysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (28 Mar, 29 Mar, 30 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -04 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 07 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

27

 

       

 

 

               

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2014-03-27 03:49:47 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
12.04 S ; 166.57 E
DEPTH >
125 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. 20140203

"A"

EPICENTER   M 5.4 - NORTH INDIAN OCEAN - 2014-03-27 04:00:15 UTC  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
AFTERQUAKES/ TARAPACA, REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA LIKELY VOLCANIC?

"D"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.6 - LA RIOJA, ARGENTINA - 2014-03-27 23:50:50 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140326

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

145

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

357-471

FLARES >

C

02

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

144.8

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 5.5

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

62- 110 nT

 

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 27/2029Z from Region 2010 (S15W68). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (28 Mar, 29 Mar, 30 Mar).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
largest region> 12017 08° - 22° W
10° N
DSI/ DAI          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. S P- CH EXT CLOSING 20140326 20140326- 28    
CH 609 CENTRAL   20140327 20140328- 29    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGH/ DECREASING

stronger rise after event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
     
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>  
 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

   
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

 
 
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
               
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1pfu.

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

+/- 0.1pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1.200 < 10.000 pfu (-) >03< 3.000 pfu (-) rising

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- 00 < 10 (+) >- 00 < 07 (-) rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 450 km/s at 27/0458Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 26/2310Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 27/0804Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (28 Mar, 29 Mar, 30 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -05 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 08 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

26

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 
 

(NASA/ 20140327) Hubble spots Mars-bound comet Siding Spring sprout multiple jets

NASA released Thursday an image of a comet that, on Oct. 19, will pass within 84,000 miles of Mars -- less than half the distance between Earth and our moon. The image on the left, captured March 11 by NASA's Hubble Space Telescope, shows comet C/2013 A1, also called Siding Spring, at a distance of 353 million miles from Earth. Hubble can't see Siding Spring's icy nucleus because of its diminutive size. The nucleus is surrounded by a glowing dust cloud, or COMA, that measures roughly 12,000 miles across. The right image shows the comet after image processing techniques were applied to remove the hazy glow of the coma revealing what appear to be two jets of dust coming off the location of the nucleus in opposite directions. This observation should allow astronomers to measure the direction of the nucleus’s pole, and axis of rotation....read more...

(volcano-discovery/ 20140327)Grímsvötn volcano (Iceland): small glacial flood and earthquake swarm

A small jökulhlaup (glacier outburst flood) started yesterday from the subglacial lake Grímsvötn and has been discharging into the river Gígjukvísl. The event, which could have been triggered by normal fluctuations of hydrothermal activity under the ice is expected to be small.

Etna (Sicily, Italy): During the night, the lava effusion and persistent mild explosive activity from the New SE crater ceased, after being nearly continuously active for over two months.

Karkar (Northeast of New Guinea): Several ash plumes at estimated altitude of 8,000 ft (2.4 km) were spotted during the past 2 days. This suggests a new eruptive phase could have started at the remote volcano.

Merapi (Central Java, Indonesia): A possibly strong eruption was reported from the volcano this afternoon (13:55 GMT). Satellite data showed an ash and SO2 plume drifting SW at estimated 32,000 ft (9 km) (VAAC Darwin).

Ubinas (Peru): The volcano's new lava dome continues to grow slowly within the crater. New field observations published yesterday in a detailed report showed that the lava dome is now approx. 120 m in diameter and has completely filled the inner pit left by the explosive activity in 2006 (as of 19 March). Visible glow (even in daylight) indicates very high temperatures....read more...

 
 
^^ (NASA/ MODIS) FIRST IMAGES FROM THE GLOBAL PRECIPITATION MEASUREMENT MISSION      
         

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.3 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2014-03-26 03:29:35 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
26.17 S ; 179.42 E
DEPTH >
479 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER   M 5.6 - SOUTHEAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS - 2014-03-26 08:49:42 UTC  
AFTERQUAKES/ FIJI ISLANDS (EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC) PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER   M 5.7 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2014-03-26 04:23:12 UTC  
YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC higher than usual

"C"

EPICENTER 01 M 3.0 - YELLOWSTONE NAT. PARK, WYOMING - 2014-03-26 19:14:36 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC Since Jan 2014 "C" EPICENTER 10 x > M 2.0 M 3.1 - CENTRAL CALIFORNIA - 2014-03-26 23:50:53 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140326

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

123

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

350-499

FLARES >

C

06

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

153.2

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B6.8

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

09

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

30- 110 nT

under CME influence

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 26/1102Z from Region 2014 (S13W19). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (27 Mar, 28 Mar, 29 Mar).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
largest region> 12017 07° E - 07° W
10° N
DSI          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. S P- CH EXT GROWING 20140326 20140326- 28    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGH/ DECREASING

stronger riseafter event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
     
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>  
 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

   
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

 
 
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
               
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

+/- 0.1pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>03< 3.000 pfu (-) >150< 6.000 pfu (-) knocked down(protons)

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- 00 < 07 (-) >- 00 < 15 (+) knocked down(protons)  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 554 km/s at 26/0049Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 26/1121Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 26/0055Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (27 Mar, 28 Mar, 29 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -07 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 09 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

25

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 
   

(BBC/ 20140325) Dissent among scientists over key climate impact report

Senior scientists and government officials are meeting in Japan to agree a critical report on the impact of global warming. Members of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will publish their first update in seven years on the scale of the threat. Leaked documents speak of significant effects on economies, food supplies and security. But some attendees say the summary, due out next Monday, is far too alarmist. This will be the second of a trilogy of reports on the causes, effects and solutions to climate change, from a body made up of some of the leading researchers in the world.

Long-term perspective

Last September in Stockholm, they produced a summary on the physical science of climate change, arguing that it was real, and humans were the "dominant cause".

Now in Yokohama, the second IPCC working group will set out the impact that rising temperatures will have on humans, animals and ecosystems over the next century.p...read more...

(BBC/ 20140325/ Guinea Ebola outbreak: Bat-eating banned to curb virus

Guinea has banned the sale and consumption of bats to prevent the spread of the deadly Ebola virus, its health minister has said. Bats, a local delicacy, appeared to be the "main agents" for the Ebola outbreak in the south, Rene Lamah said. Sixty-two people have now been killed by the virus in Guinea, with suspected cases reported in neighbouring Liberia and Sierra Leone.

 
 
    (NASA/ Spitzer) Catching a GLIMPSE of the Milky Way    

(BBC/ 20140325) Washington landslide death toll rises to 1

Authorities in the US state of Washington have found six more bodies after Saturday's huge landslide, bringing the number known to have been killed to 14, say police. Officials now say as many as 176 people may remain unaccounted for after the 177ft (54m) wall of mud hit near the town of Oso, north of Seattle. Search crews have worked day and night, using helicopters and laser imaging. But officials admit they have little hope of finding survivors.

(wunderground/ 20140324) Meteorological Bomb Brewing for Canada on Wednesday

The most powerful Nor'easter of the year will gather strength over the waters offshore of Virginia on Tuesday, then head northeast and bring damaging winds, heavy rain and snow, and a substantial storm surge to Nova Scotia and Newfoundland Canada on Wednesday. The storm will brush Cape Cod, Nantucket, and Martha's Vineyard,

 

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.3 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-25 00:15:13 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.81 S ; 70.76 W
DEPTH >
18 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.2 - TONGA - 2014-03-25 04:08:48 UTC  
CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP( DEC 26)

"E"

EPICENTER 01 M 3.4 - AZORES-CAPE ST. VINCENT RIDGE - 2014-03-25 04:27:16 UTC  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
REGION PERU- BOLIVIA PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA FREQUENT

"D"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - SOUTHERN PERU - 2014-03-25 14:38:25 UTC  
AFTERQUAKES/ TARAPACA, REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA LIKELY VOLCANIC?

"D"

EPICENTER 34 M 4.5 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-25 06:31:22 UTC  
CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ) NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS. - 2014-03-25 17:37:47 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
     
 
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY          
         
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   
Tropical Cyclone Gillian 20140320 INDIAN OCEAN 45 MPH (+) 103.5° E 21° N
700 KM W OFF THE COAST OF NORTH WESTERN AUSTRALIA/ KARIJNI NATIONAL PARK
SSW
TC
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT

 

 
     

 

 

 

 

             

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

   

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 19 March-25 March 2014

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

 
Copahue Central Chile-Argentina border New
Fuego Guatemala New
Ubinas Peru New
Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Etna Sicily (Italy) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Rabaul New Britian (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Shiveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Batu Tara Komba Island (Indonesia) Ongoing
Tungurahua Ecuador Ongoing
 
     
 

 

 

                   
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140319

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

114

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

346-516

FLARES >

C

03

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

152.8

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B6.8

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

08

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 160 nT

CME IMPACT

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 25/0610Z from Region 2010 (S14W41). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (26 Mar, 27 Mar, 28 Mar).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
  12010 39° - 53° W 12° N DAI          
 
largest region> 12014 07° - 21° W 12° S ESC/ EHI          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. SOUTHERN SMALL/ DEACAYING 20140321 20140323    
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

LOW

SOURCE:

decaying CH 608

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGHTENED (x100)

stronger riseafter event on 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               
   

 

 

                 

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
     
               
SEP EVENT/ event log       INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX>>  
 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS:    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

no researched yet

20140425/05:00 UTC 20140426/ 12 UTC 1 pfu (minor) not evaluated protons still active within Earth environment    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION

20140225/ =.49 UTC X 4.2/ 2B event on eastern limb

20140225/ 06 UTC

20140307

> 0.1 > 20/ 100 pfu.

20.661 - 26.000 km/ s

proton flux exceeded 100 pfu upon CME arrival on 20140228

   
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS BEGIN: END: PEAK VALUES:   REMARKS:    
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

 
 
INTEGRAL 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold= E > 1.000 pfu)
knocked down  
 
 

interfered by interplanetary protonflux

   
        D_RAP/ GLOBAL PROTON IMPACT >    

orange background = actitiy is PENDING, LATENT OR INTERFERED BY NEW SEP event-

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event    
               
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140325/ 08 UTC: Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.

20140317: Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 < 1 pfu

+/- 0.1 pfu.

> 0.1 < 0.5 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>150< 6.000 pfu (-) >1.800< 5.000 pfu (-) knocked down(protons)

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- 00 < 15 (+) >- 00 < 10 (-) knocked down(protons)  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 503 km/s at 25/2042Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 25/1938Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 25/1938Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (26 Mar) and quiet levels on days two and three (27 Mar, 28 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -10 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 13 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

24

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 
   

(BBC/ 20140325) Dissent among scientists over key climate impact report

Senior scientists and government officials are meeting in Japan to agree a critical report on the impact of global warming. Members of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will publish their first update in seven years on the scale of the threat. Leaked documents speak of significant effects on economies, food supplies and security. But some attendees say the summary, due out next Monday, is far too alarmist. This will be the second of a trilogy of reports on the causes, effects and solutions to climate change, from a body made up of some of the leading researchers in the world.

Long-term perspective

Last September in Stockholm, they produced a summary on the physical science of climate change, arguing that it was real, and humans were the "dominant cause".

Now in Yokohama, the second IPCC working group will set out the impact that rising temperatures will have on humans, animals and ecosystems over the next century.p...read more...

(BBC/ 20140325/ Guinea Ebola outbreak: Bat-eating banned to curb virus

Guinea has banned the sale and consumption of bats to prevent the spread of the deadly Ebola virus, its health minister has said. Bats, a local delicacy, appeared to be the "main agents" for the Ebola outbreak in the south, Rene Lamah said. Sixty-two people have now been killed by the virus in Guinea, with suspected cases reported in neighbouring Liberia and Sierra Leone.

 
 
    (NASA/ Spitzer) Catching a GLIMPSE of the Milky Way    
         

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.7 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-24 15:45:32 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.59 S ; 70.75 W
DEPTH >
30 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA LIKELY VOLCANIC?

"D"

EPICENTER 49 M 5.7 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-24 11:26:38 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140319

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

132

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

354-478

FLARES >

C

07

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

158.6

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B6.8

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

03

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

75- 110 nT

MINOR HSS

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 24/0010Z from Region 2014 (S14E06). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar, 27 Mar).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
  12010 25° - 39° W 12° N DAK/ DKC          
 
largest region> 12014 07° E- 07° W 12° S DSC          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. SOUTHERN SMALL 20140321 20140323    
CH 608 CENTRAL FADED 20140317 20140318- 19    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

LOW

SOURCE:

decaying CH 608

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGHTENED

strongly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               

 

 

               
ACTIVE SEP EVENTS:
 

 

         

 
SEP ( SOLAR ENERGETIC PROTONS: PROTON IMPACT begin / duration: ELECTRON ACCUMULATION begin / duration: PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

> 10 MeV PROTONS maximum: 100 pfu > 2 MeV ELECTRONS (+) < 1000 pfu currently increasing  
  latestSEP: 20140225/ 1:29 UTC 20140307 none yet RISING a major SEP was observed aalong with the X4.9/2B at 0.49 UTC. ÜPrptpn flux increased further on February 28  
    20140218- 20 / 06 UTC 20140221/ 06 UTC 20140220/ 18 UTC RISING 3 minor SEP occured on 20140218- 20, while previous major SEP is still active  
    20140107/ 6:00 UTC/ 20140107/ 20140114 (> 1000.pfu!) INTERFERED BY SUCCEEDING SEP       ^GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140317: INtegral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu +/- 0.1 pfu +/- 0.1 pfu

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1.800< 5.000 pfu (-) >800< 6.000 pfu (-+) slowly RISING

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>- 00 < 10 (-) >00 < 10 (+) knocked down(protons)  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
MINOR CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 521 km/s at 23/2318Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (25 Mar), quiet to active levels on day two (26 Mar) and quiet levels on day three (27 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -10 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 13 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

23

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 

/BBC/ 20140324) US landslide: Rising death toll in Washington state disaster

At least eight people have been killed by a huge landslide in the north-western US state of Washington. Rescuers pulled five bodies from the debris on Sunday, adding to three found on Saturday. Officials say there are still a number of people registered as missing, but search teams said they had not seen or heard any signs of survivors. The 54m (177ft) deep landslide destroyed 30 houses near the town of Oso, about 90km north of Seattle. Rescue teams have only just been able to properly search the site. It was deemed too dangerous to access the worst-affected areas on Saturday. 'Wall of mud' An eyewitness told the Daily Herald that he was driving on the road and had to quickly brake to avoid the mudslide.

(Ilovechile/ 20140323) Earthquake near Iquique causes Power Outage and Rock Slides

A STRONG EARTHQUAKE MEASURING 6.1 ON THE RICHTER SCALE WAS REPORTED  NEAR IQUIQUE AT 3:20 PM THIS AFTERNOON. REPORTS FROM BOTH THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY AND CHILE’S CENTRO SISMÓLOGICO NACIONAL PLACE THE QUAKE 97 KM (60 MILES) WNW OF IQUIQUE AT A DEPTH OF 6 KM.

Twitter users in the area ‘tweeted’ that southern parts of the city were without power.  Onemi reported that 22,500 customers were without service but stated that service was fully restored within 32 minutes.Onemi also stated that the quake caused no disruption to basic services or infrastructure and there were no reports of injuries.  According to the Onemi website this event does not meet the conditions that would generate a tsunami.Since March 16 there has been a lot of seismic activity in the area with more than 300 seismic events being recorded, 28 of those have been felt by residents with seven having been classed as medium intensity...read more...

 

(BBC/ 20130325)Canadian man in hospital with Ebola-like virus

A man is in hospital in Canada with symptoms of a haemorrhagic fever resembling the Ebola virus, a health official has said. The man had recently returned from Liberia in the west African region, currently suffering a deadly outbreak of an unidentified haemorrhagic fever. He is in isolation in critical condition in Saskatoon, the largest city in Saskatchewan province. A provincial medical official said there was no risk to the public. Dr Denise Werker, the province's deputy chief medical officer, declined to say how long the man had been in Africa but said he only fell ill after returning to Canada.

(xinhuanet/ 20140323) Tibet records rising temperatures and extreme weather

LHASA, March 23 (Xinhua) -- Global warming has reached the snow-capped Himalayas in south China's Tibet, with rising temperatures and more extreme weather, according to an official climate report. The report on climate change and environmental monitoring in Tibet was published by Tibet Climate Center this week. The report is based on analysis of climate data collected between 1961 and 2013, showing that the average temperature in Tibet has been rising by 0.31 degrees Celsius every decade. Tibet is the highest region in the mid-latitude regions, and seen as a barometer of global warming. Du Jun, deputy director of the center, said on Saturday that rising temperatures have been accompanied by increased precipitation, up by 6.6 millimeters every 10 years for the past five decades. There is also a trend of more severe extreme weather. Both the record low temperature of -36.7 degrees Celsius and the record high temperature of 32.3 degrees Celsius were logged in Tibet last year.

 
 
         

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.3 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-23 18:20:04 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.90 S ; 70.90 W
DEPTH >
12 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER   M 5.9 - FIJI REGION - 2014-03-23 04:31:03 UTC  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA LIKELY VOLCANIC?

"D"

EPICENTER 41 x > M 2/ 3 x > M 5 M 5.0 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-23 22:04:26 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
 
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS
wunderground.com NO REPORTED TROPICAL STORMS TODAY          
         
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
TYPE/ CATH
   
Tropical Cyclone Gillian 20140320 INDIAN OCEAN 140 MPH (+) 103.5° E 17.2° N
700 KM NW OFF THE COAST OF NORTH WESTERN AUSTRALIA/ KARIJNI NATIONAL PARK
WSW
TC (4)
   
                       
NOAA/ Hurricane Center NASA/ GOES NOAA usno.navy.mil METEOALARM METEOSAT

 

 
     

 

 

 

 

             
RECENT SOLAR ACTIVITY
   
               

CME (DATE)

CME AT (UTC) NONE- Satellite Date and Time >              
SDO/ AIA SDO/ AIA SDO/ AIA SDO/ AIA SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux: GOES X-ray flux:  
 
 
 
 
 
 
active regions( map by solen.info) 20140318/ 21:44 UTC 20140320/ 04:42 UTC 20140320/ 08:10 UTC 20140323/ 03:40 20140323/ 09:09 UTC      

REPORT ON LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CME OR SEP >

 
NOAA ALERTS:

March 23:AR 12014 produced a stronger eruption and possible CME during an LDE event. The event was succedeede by another short flare in AR 12010, There was no radio sweep with the event its unlcear weather it really produced any earth direceted cME

March 21- 2014: Solar eruptive activity further decreased during the plastg month. sighted sunspot number is still higher than during the most time of the 11 years peak around 2012/13. but active regions are smaller and less active now. On March 20, AR12014on the Eastern limb was the source of an simulatous flaring in several ARs all across the solar equator ( trailing spot). Just some hours later on March 20 , an LDE prominence activity in AR12005 created impressive magnetic structures and arcs and peaked with an CME eruption at 8:10 UTC, Several type II and IV radio sweeps were noted by NOAA along with that event

 
 
 
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140319

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

159

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

402-524

FLARES >

C

14

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

157

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B7.1

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 110 nT

MINOR HSS

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at 23/0348Z from Region 2014 (S14E20). There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Mar, 25 Mar, 26 Mar).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
  12010 31° - 27° W 12° N DAK/ DKC          
 
largest region> 12014 21°- 07° E 12° S DSC   C5.0 LDE at 03:48 UTC fully halo 20140326 VIRGO
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. SOUTHERN SMALL 20140321 20140323    
CH 608 CENTRAL FADED 20140317 20140318- 19    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

LOW

SOURCE:

decaying CH 608

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX HIGHTENED

strongly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               

 

 

               
ACTIVE SEP EVENTS:
 

 

         

 
SEP ( SOLAR ENERGETIC PROTONS: PROTON IMPACT begin / duration: ELECTRON ACCUMULATION begin / duration: PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

> 10 MeV PROTONS maximum: 100 pfu > 2 MeV ELECTRONS (+) < 1000 pfu currently increasing  
  latestSEP: 20140225/ 1:29 UTC 20140307 none yet RISING a major SEP was observed aalong with the X4.9/2B at 0.49 UTC. ÜPrptpn flux increased further on February 28  
    20140218- 20 / 06 UTC 20140221/ 06 UTC 20140220/ 18 UTC RISING 3 minor SEP occured on 20140218- 20, while previous major SEP is still active  
    20140107/ 6:00 UTC/ 20140107/ 20140114 (> 1000.pfu!) INTERFERED BY SUCCEEDING SEP       ^GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140317: INtegral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu +/- 0.1 pfu +/- 0.1 pfu

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>800< 6.000 pfu (-+) >800< 5.000 pfu (-) slowly RISING

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>00 < 10 (+) >00 < 08 (-) knocked down(protons)  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
MINOR CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 525 km/s at 23/0044Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 22/2129Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 23/1746Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (24 Mar, 26 Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (25 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -04 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 09 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

22

 

       

 

 

               

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC      

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP    
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY:
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>
   

 

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-22 12:59:58 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.81 S ; 70.92 W
DEPTH >
12 km    

 

             

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

NONE ( DEFAULT) REAL TIME ALERTS>  
 
   
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ SINCE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER   M 5.4 - IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 2014-03-22 14:18:48 UTC  
            for updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  
REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA LIKELY VOLCANIC?

"D"

EPICENTER 44 X > M 2.0 M 5.0 - OFF COAST OF TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-03-22 22:14:55 UTC  
CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014   EPICENTER 05 M 4.0 - OKLAHOMA - 2014-03-22 03:05:59 UTC  
EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC   "C" EPICENTER 07 M 5.3 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA - 2014-03-22 00:58:14 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.2 - SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2014-03-22 00:59:39 UTC  

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       
         

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140319

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

159

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

402-524

FLARES >

C

14

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

157

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B7.1

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

04

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

70- 125 nT

minor CME impact

X

   
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 22/0702Z from Region 2011 (S07W77). There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (23 Mar, 24 Mar, 25 Mar).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

   

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MERIDIAN

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

IMPACT SIZE:

 
  12005 59° - 73° W 12° N HSX/ CHO   C4.8/1Fat 09:07 UTC. partial halo 20140324- 25 SCORPIUS
 
rotating out > 12011 77°- 91° W 07° S DHO/ DSO          
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                 
           
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH UNN. SOUTHERN SMALL 20140321 20140323    
CH 608 CENTRAL DECAYING 20140317 20140318- 19    
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 
           
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays ^  

 

 

           
 
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
       
 
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

slightly rising since 20140324/ 00 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END: 20140201- 10

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
               

 

 

               
ACTIVE SEP EVENTS:
 

 

         

 
SEP ( SOLAR ENERGETIC PROTONS: PROTON IMPACT begin / duration: ELECTRON ACCUMULATION begin / duration: PHASE I (PROTONS)

PHASE II / ELECTRONS

PHASE III
 

ACTIVE SEPs:

SEP/status

> 10 MeV PROTONS maximum: 100 pfu > 2 MeV ELECTRONS (+) < 1000 pfu currently increasing  
  latestSEP: 20140225/ 1:29 UTC 20140307 none yet RISING a major SEP was observed aalong with the X4.9/2B at 0.49 UTC. ÜPrptpn flux increased further on February 28  
    20140218- 20 / 06 UTC 20140221/ 06 UTC 20140220/ 18 UTC RISING 3 minor SEP occured on 20140218- 20, while previous major SEP is still active  
    20140107/ 6:00 UTC/ 20140107/ 20140114 (> 1000.pfu!) INTERFERED BY SUCCEEDING SEP       ^GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days  
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 

20140317: INtegral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands.

The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in abiout 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.

20140228: Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"

2014022-. AR 11990 rotated in on the eastern limb and is very active. On 20140225, AR 11990 produced a LDE flare with a significant and fast CME, that peaked with an X4.9/2B event at 0:49. The event however was associated to a typical wide angled SEP Proton emission, that became obvious at 1:25 UTC ( image 1) Its unclear weather parts of this CME might reach the Earth. . As usual, the major SEP event triggererd numerous secondary minor eruptions in its neighborhood, those formed at all a fully halo CME on SoHO. First protons arrrived two hours later after the X 4.0 event shortkly after 03 UTC and would have had had therfore a speed of appr. 20.661 km/ second. CME and SEPs dn`t occure simultanously as SEPs also don`t cause X ray bursts.Thus, the appearance of the SEP on the solar surface at 1:25 might rather be the begin of the proton emission. Ifs this is correct Protons would have a reached a speed of 27.000 km/ sec

 
             

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): server currently unavailable

     
 
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

THIS DAY (2)

PAST 24 h

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

+/- 0.1 pfu +/- 0.1 pfu +/- 0.1 pfu

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal   NONE NONE TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

YESTERDAY UNTIL 24 UTC (3):

PREVIOUS DAY`S VALUES ( pfu)

TODAY:(2)

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>800< 5.000 pfu (-) > 06 <7.000 pfu (+) RISING

NONE

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>00 < 08 (-) >00 < 09 (+) RISING?  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA

NO CURRENT DATA

UNKNOWN    
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
(2) values due to readings at time of this update ( daily average: see USAF report) (3) yesterday average values  

10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS& Coronal Mass ejections

 
(4) treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu   the hp index shows how far the geomagnetic electron flux is disturbed by solar influences  

 

 

       

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

ACE Real time plot (interpl. > 10 MeV Protons):    

QUIET

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field
 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds.
 
MINOR CME arrival  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>                  
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 550 km/s at 22/1736Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 22/1521Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 22/1222Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (23 Mar, 25 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day two (24 Mar).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -04 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARDS + 10 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
                       
         
         

 

note:soprry, but blogs from March 08- 16 were unfortunately destroyed/ erased with a shutdown during the last update

     
                       

 

click here to open and close collapsible panel with the archived "SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG" MARCH 15- 21- 2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

MONTH:

MARCH

DAY:

21

 

       

 

 

               

HEADLINES

2014

 

 

         
                 

(BBC/ 20140322) Guinea deaths: Ebola blamed for deadly fever outbreak

The Ebola virus has been identified as the cause of an outbreak of haemorrhagic fever now believed to have killed nearly 60 people in southern Guinea, government officials say.Scores of cases have been recorded since the outbreak began early last month.There is no known cure or vaccine for the highly contagious Ebola virus.

It is spread by close personal contact with people who are infected and kills between 25% and 90% of victims.Symptoms include internal and external bleeding, diarrhoea and vomiting.Outbreaks of Ebola occur primarily in remote villages in Central and West Africa, near tropical rainforests, the World Health Organization says.

(BBC/ 20140323) Rare earths: Neither rare, nor earths

You have probably never heard of most of the rare-earth elements yet they have insinuated themselves deep into the fabric of modern life - in ways of which most of us are completely oblivious. There are between 15 and 17 of them (depending how you classify them), including such exotic sounding substances as holmium, praseodymium, cerium, lutetium, ytterbium, gadolinium or - my own personal favourite - promethium. They may be obscure but they have been transforming all sorts of industries. Wind turbine manufacture is a good example

/thewatchers/ 20140321- Very strong and shallow M 6.5 earthquake struck Nicobar Islands, India

Seismotectonics of the Sumatra Region The plate boundary southwest of Sumatra is part of a long tectonic collision zone that extends over 8000 km from Papua in the east to the Himalayan front in the west. The Sumatra-Andaman portion of the collision zone forms a subduction zone megathrust plate boundary, the Sunda-Java trench, which accommodates convergence between the Indo-Australia and Sunda plates. This convergence is responsible for the intense seismicity and volcanism in Sumatra. The Sumatra Fault, a major transform structure that bisects Sumatra, accommodates the northwest-increasing lateral component of relative plate motion.

(dailycaller/ 20140320) Number of hurricanes reaches 30-year low

The “hurricane drought” in the U.S. continues, as last year saw the lowest number of hurricanes since 1982, according to government storm data.

For the 2013 hurricane season — which runs from June 1st to November 30th — thirteen named storms formed in the North Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico. Only two of those storms reached hurricane strength, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The National Hurricane Center reports: “BASED ON THE 30-YEAR CLIMATOLOGY… THE AVERAGE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY IN THE BASIN IS 12 NAMED STORMS…6 HURRICANES…AND 3 MAJOR HURRICANES. FOR 2013…THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS WAS NEAR AVERAGE…BUT THE NUMBERS OF HURRICANES AND MAJOR HURRICANES WERE WELL BELOW AVERAGE.”

 
 
  ^^ NASA EARTH OBSERVATORY/ FEBRUARY- MARCH 2014/- land surface temperature anomaly  
        These temperatrure anomalies are caused by the impact of solar SEPs (protons> Southern Pole) and the subsequent ELECTRON ACCUMULATIONS ( electrons> Northern Pole)  
         

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC