| |
|
NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert : |
|
LATEST EVENTS ( at time of this update) |
|
 |
|
LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL EVENTS |
LAST UPDATE |
20140925 |
|
|
|
SOLAR |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
| AR AND CH/ 20140920 |
AR and CH on: 20140824 |
AR and CH on 20140728 |
AR and CH on 20140701 |
|
|
|
|
|
20140920: ( img 1) a group of active regions has rotated in on the Southeastern limb ans seems to be quite active. AR 12171- 12173 was already there during previous rotation periods (img 2- 4) and is obviously one of the nestled sun spot groups those dive up and fade again and these usually are very active and capable for SEPs. |
|
SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
 |
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(1) electron flux/ 20140921- 24 |
integral proton flux/ 20140922- 24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
20140922: (img 02) another minor SEP occured on September 22. The source is unknown and no related flares activity was observed on the front side . The event likely happened behind the western limb, where SDO noticed a radiation shock at 6:38 on Sep 22. . (img. 3) First protons arrived at Earth after 9 UTC. The event was with 2 pfu. rather weak and values returned back to normal (+/- 0.1 pfu.) on Sep 24, but caused some geomagnetic storming and new turbulences in the electron flux.
20140923: (img. 01) after the > 0.8 Me V Electrons began to increase already on Sep 221, now also the > 10 MeV Electron flux and will likely exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu the next days. The accumulation of electrons from the interplanetary magnetic field follows the 3 recent SEPs on Aug 21, Sep 01 and 11. HOwever. SEPs can put everything upside down....Electrons accumulate then mainly above the Northern pole where they mostly cause temperature anomalies and dramatic turbulences in the Weather systems mainly of the Northern hemisphere, intensice rainfalls on the barrier between vold and hopt air-and e extraordinary warm and weather in other regions . ALso more sudden tornadoes or thunder (storms) with strong and extreme lightenings are likely to occure dutring the nextr days and weels . With values above 1.000 also effects on power grids and other devices capable to accumulate electrons are possible |
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
|
| 20140901/ 11:54 UTC |
INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX after SEP on 20140825 |
INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX after SEP on 20140901 |
INTEGRAL PROTON FLUX after MAJOR SEP on 20140911 |
CME impact ( GOES) on 20140912 |
|
|
^NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o |
|
20140919/ 20 : The fast Protons from the recent SEP on Sep 10 are still active in the geomagnetic field
but are likely still too fast (on an higher orbit ) to get much in friction/ in touch with the geomagetic field to cause the typical effects yet as hot spot volcanism . Hot spot volcanism might therfore more or less suddenly increase in the coming days.
The integral electron flux however is under high tension and electron s again seem even to be in negative values ( what does not mean these electrons are inactive!) These electron can sporadically discharge with major thunderstorms and other features and even cause sporadic overcharges ( induced currents) to installations and devices capable to accumulate electrons.
( 20140920) OTHER NEWS: Some minor CMEs have impacted and at time of this update ( 20140919/ 7:19) another CMEs seems to arrive.
20140915: The integral proton flux that increased again on Sep 10 after 21 UTC has meanwhile eased and values have almost returned back to normal.
20130913: The fully halo CME of the strong X 1 flare from the central meridian on Sep 10 has reached the earth on Sept 12 after 18 UTC and was with more than 200 nT the strongest earth directed CME of the past two years.
20140911: (uncorrected draft) The proton storm caused by an eruption near the Northern solar pole on September 01 has eased after 10 days and values are returning back to normal. The logical consequence of each proton storm ( solar SEP) the accumulation of electrons to balance the powers in matter again, has unusually set in this time already during the Proton strom was still going on, probable by electrons those accumulated from previous SEPs ( last major previous event was a strong serial of SEPs that ended in May 2004). > 2 Me V Electrons have reached almost the NASA defined treshold of 1.000 pfu. and geophysical effects will therefor intensify during the next days and weeks,. Those typical effects are. strong thunderstorms and extreme lightenings, heat anomalies around the Northern pole causing temporary slow downs in then sea currents, with an heat exchange over the atmosphere as consequence ( see earlier reports) Depending on the further intensity of the integral electron flux also induced currents can cause electrical effects with possible overvoltage damages in devices capable to accumulate these electrons such as power grids pipelines or larger ships on high sea. This phase II of an SEP might last for 3- 4 weeks, until these electrons are slown downs so far that they finally discharge to the ground and where they finally will form wit the accumulated protons neutrons isotopes. Usually SEPs occure in serials and further SEPs will follow until the end of 2014, accumulate their energies and charges.What is described as SEP, Phase III ( final discharge) will only occure, if NO further SEPs occursWARNING: This phase III of a solar SEP ( "final discharge) usually comes - if tghen- very apruptly and nmight very likely be accomponied by strong or even extreme earthquakes up to a magnitude of > M 8 on continents and > M 9 subseas. |
|
click here to read more and to find recent event s history
20140907: THe proton storm that started on Sep 01 still continues. It was the event with the lowest protons acceleration I have recorded since 2012. THis low acceleration was, what also caused the electron accumulation to begion and integrakl electrons to rise almost at the same time. Corresponding with the ongoing proton impact with fluctuations , > 10 MeV electrons repeatedly reached treshold levels of > 1.000 pfu during the last days, while the proton storm is still going on. 20140905: a large filament eruption was observed on September 04, with a filament reaching over a quarter of the solar disc was thrown out into spasce., The part of that CME arrived on September 06 and impacted with almost 140 nT. 20140901: (image 05) One SEP ( solar proton event) seldom comes alone. They occure mostly in serials. So- also the SEP on August 25- the first after an half year calmity was followed by a stronger one on September 01.
The SEP- a long duration event- occured most likely already prior to 12 UTC near to the northern pole and the protons acceleration therefore was rather uncommonly low, as not observed before. This might have to do with the sun spot activitydcreasing again after its peak in 2013.NASA D RAP also shows the heat impact of these protons begin much later than usually- more than day after the solar event to heat up the Earts atmosphere and polar regions ( what also indicates that these protons had rather low speed of just 1000- 3000 km/ second) NASAs stereo AHEAD satellite had a blackout after 10:51 UTC. but STEREO Behind shows a large explosion beginning after 11 UTC. . First protons of the event however arrived on September 01 after 21 UTC. Values reached about 1 pfu. ( 10 x higher than normal) on September 02. The proton storm lasts now several days. The impact can cause immidiate heat effects around the (Southern resp Northern Polar region and will lead to a (further) increase of volcanism from hot spots ( magma intrusion)
Allthough such a proton eruption is the strongest known solar energetic event event related to the existence of sun spots , the event itself is hard to detect on satellite images. SEPs those happen deeper with ths suns gas hull- also triggers many secondary effects on the surface , and are so often confused with solar flares. The protons ( hydrogen cores) emmited with that event are accelerated near to the speed of light, Nevertheless they don`t have much (and therefore don`t carry) own energy ( such as electrons do) what makes them almost invisible. The proton impact on Earth is measurable (GOES) and SEPs also get someway visible by their secondary effects such as "snow" ( bright traces of accelerated particles. those hit the lenses of the telescopes mounted on solar satellites.
------------------------------
20140827: The impact of solar protons and CMEs from the events on August 25 has caused minor geomagnetic storming
20140826: (img 4) a minor CME impacted from the solar CME and SEP event on August 25 : protons impacting with the event caused another temporary collapse of the integral electron flux
20140825: A minor SEP occured along with stronger solar flaring and CMEs on August 25. FIrst protons of the event arrived on August 25 after 18 UTC and reached a level of 1 pfu ( 10 x higher than usual). the event that triggered the SEP was likely at 2014 Aug 25 1458 UTC ( time of solar radio burst). The earth directed proton storm ended also already oin day later ( Aug 26) and ( for itself) is not expected to have strong effects. But it meets and environment best describable as " proton charge " and electron anomalities from the serials of strong SEP at begin of the year those are still effective. Thus, this minor sEP might enhance and resume still latent effects such as volcano activities ,mainly magma intrusion . With the final discharge ( should it come so far) the contraction of the heated tectonic plates ( those coold down then) might cause stronger subduction quakes with an likelyness of one event reaching M 9.0 subseas or > M 8.0 on continents.
20140821: (mg. 3)Integral electron flux began to rise again after a temporary disturbance caused by an CME impact on August 17. forecasts : see below
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS: |
|
| ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY |
MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS: |
|
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME: |
IMPACT SIZE |
LATEST CME ARRIVALS:: |
CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). |
GEOMAGNETIC STORMS |
PROTONS (PHASE I) |
ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II) |
FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE II) : |
|
| LOW |
LOW ( B- C LEVEL) |
strong X1 class flares & SEP on 20140910 |
20140912/13 |
> 200 nT |
20140912 ( > 200 nT) |
> 500 km/ s |
G1 |
MINOR SEP (20140922- 24) |
> 2 MeV Electrons pfu. /disturbance) |
NONE YET |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
20140907 (filament eruption) |
|
|
> INCREASE OF VOLCANISM/ MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
20140901 (SEP) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HEADLINES |
SEPTEMBER |
2014 |
click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels! |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
(click here for) DANGEROUS EARTHQUAKES
LATEST: 20140825: California earthquake strikes San Francisco Bay area
BBC/ 20140825: California earthquake strikes San Francisco Bay area
An earthquake with a magnitude of 6.0 has shaken northern California, causing injuries and damage to buildings. The USGS said it struck at 03:20 local time (10:20 GMT) four miles (6km) north-west of the town of American Canyon, at a depth of 6.7 miles. At least 87 people have been taken to hospital in the Napa area, a renowned wine-producing region and tourist area. California Governor Jerry Brown has declared a state of emergency in order to deal with the effects of the quake. Officials in Napa said in a statement that the quake - believed to be the biggest in the region in 25 years - had destroyed four mobile homes and made 16 buildings "uninhabitable", as well as causing "approximately 50" gas main breaks and around 30 leaks from water mains. The clear-up operation will begin in earnest on Monday....find more...
|
|
|
|
| |
|
(click here for) INCIDENTS
LATEST: - (20140916) Wildfires threaten thousands in Northern California
|
|
(FOX NEWS/ 20140916) Rapid Wildfire Shuts Down I-5 in Siskiyou County
WEED- A fast moving wildfire has shut down Interstate 5 in the Siskiyou County town of Weed. In a matter of hours, the Boles Fire has damaged or destroyed over 100 structures. As of 9 p.m. Monday night, the fire is at 15% containment, and has burned 350 acres. CAL FIRE spokesperson Daniel Berlant called FOX40 to share the developing details of the fire. According to Berlant, the fire started near Weed around 1:30 p.m. on Monday. Gusts in the region of 40 miles per hour pushed the fire right into the town, and that is how it damaged so many homes and buildings so quickly. Evacuations are in order for the town of Weed as well as areas throughout the southern part of Siskiyou County. 1,500-3,000 residents have been evacuated already.
|
|
|
|
| |
|
MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS:
LATEST: 20140915: Dangerous Category 3 Odile Bearing Down on Baja
wunderground/ 20140915: Dangerous Category 3 Odile Bearing Down on Baja
Dangerous Category 3 Hurricane Odile is bearing down on Mexico's Baja Peninsula as the storm steams north-northwestwards at 14 mph towards the southwestern tip of Baja. Odile is likely to be the strongest or second strongest hurricane on record to affect Southern Baja. An Air Force hurricane hunter plane was in Odile Sunday afternoon, and measured top surface winds of 125 mph, with a surface pressure of 922 mb. This pressure puts Odile in pretty select company--only two other Eastern Pacific hurricanes have had lower pressures measured in them by the Hurricane Hunters--though a total of eleven Eastern Pacific hurricanes have had lower pressures, if we include satellite-estimated pressures. The only major hurricane on record to affect Southern Baja was Hurricane Kiko of 1989, which moved ashore on the Gulf of California side of the peninsula just south of La Paz as a Category 3 storm with 120 mph winds.....find more...
|
|
(AsiaOne/ 20140915) Typhoon Kalmaegi slams northern Philippines, cuts power lines - See more at: http://news.asiaone.com/news/asia/typhoon-kalmaegi-slams-northern-philippines-cuts-power-lines
MANILA - A strong typhoon slammed into the rice-producing Philippine northern region on Sunday, cutting power and communications lines and forcing people to flee to higher ground, national disaster agency officials said. Packing central winds of 130 kph and gusts of up to 160 kph, Typhoon Kalmaegi made landfall early evening Sunday in Isabela province, dumping heavy rains that soaked farms, said Alexander Pama, executive director of the national disaster risk reduction and management council. Halmaegi, known locally as "Luis", is moving west northwest at 22 kph, but is expected to weaken and lose speed as it will cross a mountainous region before exiting into the South China Sea. - ...read more...
|
| |
|
|
|
|
SEPTEMBER 2014: : LATEST VOLCANO REPORTS
LATEST: 20140928/Over 30 people feared dead near Japanese volcano after eruption
(Russia Today/ 20140928) Over 30 people feared dead near Japanese volcano after eruption
Over 30 people are feared dead near the erupting Ontake volcano in central Japan, police reported. The volcano started erupting on Saturday, sending ash clouds down the mountain’s slope for more than 3 kilometers. Volcano erupts in central Japan, dozens injured (VIDEO, PHOTOS) The people were found by police officers in a state of "cardiopulmonary arrest” near the top of the volcano, NHK national news reported. “We have confirmed that more than 30 individuals in cardiac arrest have been found near the summit,” a spokesman for Nagano prefecture police told AFP. Hundreds of people, including children, were left stranded near the top of the volcano, police told NHK. Most of them made their way down Saturday evening.---read more...
|
|
UPDATE: 20140928: Activity at Bardabunga Caldera is significantly DECREASING since Sep 25/ 26,
while the Yellowstone caldera had on September 27 the most intensive steam emissions since the new activity phase began in 2014. The much steam rising everywhere copuld also be caused by rainfalls falling on a warm ground
(INTERNAL) : 20140923/NEW AND LONG FISSURE OPENED UP in Iceland `s Barbardunga caldera west of the main central eruption hole , emitting steam..
its someway interesting to observe, how and volcanic eruption takes place and developes in an old caldera such as the huge Barbardunga Caldera. In August a long stretched magma bubble had surged up to the surface right through the middle of the former last known crater of the volcano which had collapsed after a major explosion in historical times. After some first had opened up , from those the molten ice boiled up and steam was emitted. Then. in early September a central hole formed out right in the middle of the magma bubble with a continuing lava eruptions emitting smoke steam and unhealthy gazes . The intensity of the eruptions fluctuates ( this kind of pulse is also observable in the Yellostone caldera)
Images of this new fissure are not available yet. I have made continuing video records since the eruption began, but yet had now time to edit these files for a youtube clip.
|
|
|
WallStreetJournal20140911/ Iceland Volcanic Eruption Sending Toxic Gases Throughout Region
Foul-smelling gases from a volcanic eruption in Iceland are pestering the region, reaching Norway and Finland more than a thousand kilometers away. Unusually high concentrations of volcanic gases from the continuing Holuhraun eruption have been detected as far away as Finland. In Iceland, health authorities are urging locals near the volcano to stay inside due to significant levels of sulfur in the air. Gas emissions from the eruption site remain high and can be life-threatening for scientists working there. Unpredictable winds caused by the hot lava can lead to sharp spikes in dangerous gas concentrations. The workers are forced to wear gas masks and personal gas monitors, and have evacuated the site repeatedly...Currently, the Holuhraun eruption is emitting volcanic gases such as sulfur dioxide, carbon dioxide and hydrogen sulfide, which smell of rotten eggs....read all...
|
|
(Dailymail/ 20140911)Residents living in Hawaii prepare for lava flows from nearby erupting Kilauea Volcano to cut off their community on the Big Island
- Lava from a vent has come within a mile of the edge of the Ka'ohe Homesteads subdivision
- Hawaii County Mayor Billy Kenoi declares an emergency, asks Governor Neil Abercrombie for help
- U.S. Geological Survey says the lava could reach a subdivision boundary in less than a week
- No evacuations have been ordered, but access to roadways to the community is restricted
Businesses in a small Hawaii town are facing a slow-motion disaster as lava from Kilauea volcano oozes toward roads connecting them to the rest of the Big Island. Tiffany Edwards Hunt, who owns a surf shop with her husband, said the lava could hit buildings while smoke from fires sparked by the lava cold damage merchandise. If lava crosses the highway leading into town, it could cut the town off. 'There is the threat of his very historic, very quaint, eclectic village becoming a ghost town because of the isolation,' Hunt said after a meeting between merchants and county civil defense authorities. Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2752638/Residents-living-Hawaii-prepare-lava-nearby-Kilauea-Volcano-cut-community-Big-Island.html#ixzz3DXlnD2z0 Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
|
|
|
|
|
Bárðarbunga update 23082014
2014-08-23 15:00 UTC
Bárðarbunga update
Compiled by
Melissa Anne Pfeffer Sara Barsotti Hildur María Friðriksdóttir Kristín Jónsdóttir Kristín Vogfjörð
Bergur Einarsson Benedikt G. Ófeigsson Þóra Árnadóttir Ásta Rut Hjartardóttir Michelle Parks
Based on
Seismic, GPS, water samples
Eruption plume
Height (a.s.l.)
Subglacial eruption, no eruption cloud.
Heading
Subglacial eruption, no eruption cloud.
Colour
Subglacial eruption, no eruption cloud.
Tephra fallout
Subglacial eruption, no eruption cloud.
Lightning
Subglacial eruption, no eruption cloud.
Noise
Subglacial eruption, no eruption cloud.
Meltwater
Hydrological measurements at Jökulsá Á Fjöllum, Upptypingar do not indicate a contribution of
geothermal/volcanic gases to the hydrological system that is outside of the typical range observed
in the last decade until now. Water melting from the glacier/lava interactions could reach this
station after 0-20 hours.
Seismic tremor
Starting at 11:18, seismic tremor was observed at 1 and 1.5 Hz. This is consistent with lava/ice
interaction. and is similar to the tremor observed during the Fimmvörðuháls eruption and the lava
flowing phase of the Eyjafjallajökull eruption. We are not observing explosions in the tremor data,
which suggests it is a relatively small volume of lava in contact with the ice.
Earthquakes
The frequency of earthquakes is so high, that the events are overlapping in time, and it is difficult to
discern individual events. We are currently interpreting the depth of the majority of earthquakes |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
click here for MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS (CURRENT MONTH)
| |
|
|
|
|
TROPICAL STORMS/ SEPTEMBER 2014 |
data by:
wunderground.com |
note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com!
datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over! |
|
 |
|
| |
| CURRENT MAJOR STORMS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> |
|
|
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
|
DIRECTION
|
TYPE/ CATH
|
|
|
|
20140914 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EVOLUTION: |
20130915 |
NORTHERN ATLANTIC |
85 MPH () |
53.3° W |
26.2° N |
800 KM SE OF BERMUDA ISLANDS |
NW |
TS (1) |
|
|
|
There are no tropical cyclones in this region |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
|
DIRECTION
|
TYPE/ CATH
|
|
|
|
20140915 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EVOLUTION: |
20140915 |
WESTERN PACIFIC |
75 MPH () |
117.9° E |
18.0° N |
200 KM EAST OF NORTHERN PHILIPPINES |
W |
TS (1) |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20140914 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EVOLUTION: |
20140915 |
EASTERN PACIFIC |
125 MPH (+) |
109.6° W |
22.6° N |
LANDFALL / LA PAZ BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR |
NNW |
TS (3) |
|
|
INDIAN OCEAN: |
There are no tropical cyclones in this region |
|
|
|
600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO |
|
|
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
|
DIRECTION
|
TYPE/ CATH
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NW |
L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| PREVIOUS MAJOR STORMS/ CURRENT MONTH |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> |
|
|
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
|
DIRECTION
|
TYPE/ CATH
|
|
|
|
20140905 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EVOLUTION: |
20130905 |
NORTHERN ATLANTIC |
25 MPH () |
23.3° W |
14.0° N |
NEAR CAPE VERDE/ WESTERN AFRICA |
W |
L |
|
|
|
There are no tropical cyclones in this region |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
|
DIRECTION
|
TYPE/ CATH
|
|
|
|
20140907 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EVOLUTION |
20140808 |
WESTERN PACIFIC |
55 MPH |
135.5° E |
29.3° N |
600 KM NNE OF NAHA( NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS |
ENE |
TS |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EVOLUTION: |
20140905 |
EASTERN PACIFIC |
90 MPH (+) |
111.4° W |
22.5° N |
100 KM WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS/ GULF OF CALIFORNIA |
NNW |
TS (1) |
|
|
| |
20140907 |
|
45 MPH (-) |
117.9° W |
27.1° N |
400 KM SSW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| NOAA/ Hurricane Center |
NASA/ GOES |
NOAA |
usno.navy.mil |
METEOALARM |
METEOSAT |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for EARTHQUAKES AND VOLCANISM AND TSUNAMI EVENTS- SEPTEMBER 2014
|
|
|
|
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG |
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA |
EARTHQUAKE DATA: |
EMSC |
|
| EARTHQUAKE DATA: |
EMSC |
NEIC |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: |
note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS |
|
update/ last known event |
20140401 |
visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! > |
|
|
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!) |
|
| INITIAL SEAQUAKE > |
|
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
|
DEPTH > |
|
|
|
|
| TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: |
NOAA/ PTWC |
REPORT ISSUED ON: |
|
ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): |
NONE ( Default) |
CANCELLED AT : |
|
|
| EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS) |
|
|
| STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE |
|
LOCATION OF ORIGIN |
|
NR OF WAVES |
|
WAVE HEIGHTS |
|
|
|
| WARNINGS ISSUED FOR: |
|
|
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES > |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
 |
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.2 - SOUTHERN ALASKA - 2014-09-25 17:51:17 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
61.97 N ; 151.79 W |
DEPTH > |
102 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LASTEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES ( last 7 days) |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2014-09-25 09:13:51 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
9.54 S ; 156.40 E |
DEPTH > |
15 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
LASTEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES ( last 7 days) |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.2 - JUJUY, ARGENTINA - 2014-09-24 11:16:12 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
23.79 S ; 66.47 W |
DEPTH > |
186 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LASTEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES ( last 7 days) |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.7 - GUAM REGION - 2014-09-17 06:14:46 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
13.80 N ; 144.44 E |
DEPTH > |
140 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LASTEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES ( last 7 days) |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.0 - TONGA - 2014-09-04 05:33:45 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
21.40 S ; 173.28 W |
DEPTH > |
4 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
LASTEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES ( last 7 days) |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.0 - TONGA - 2014-09-04 05:33:45 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
21.40 S ; 173.28 W |
DEPTH > |
4 km |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 6.0 - OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO - 2014-09-06 19:23:00 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
18.80 N ; 107.07 W |
DEPTH > |
20 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS |
TECTONICS: |
FREQUENCY/ SINCE |
REGION* |
EPICENTER: |
NUMBER |
EVENT ( link to ESMC) |
|
| KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN |
N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. |
magmatic? |
"B" |
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.6 - EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN - 2014-09-16 03:28:31 UTC |
|
| |
|
VOLCANIC |
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| - EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. |
PAC. >< INDO- AUS |
FREQUENT |
"B" |
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.5 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2014-09-16 02:35:19 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| (REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA) |
EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. |
|
"A" |
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.5 - NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA - 2014-09-20 18:27:13 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| EARTHQUAKE SWARN/ MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES |
EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. |
20140531 |
"A" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL) |
AFRICA >< EURASIA |
|
"E" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| > WESTERN TURKEY |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.3 - WESTERN TURKEY - 2014-09-04 21:00:04 UTC |
|
| ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor) |
AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS |
FREQUENT |
"F" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| - AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES |
|
sometimes |
"E" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA |
N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC> |
FREQUENT |
"E"/"F |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD |
EURASIA (volcanic) |
SELDOM |
"E" |
EPICENTER |
|
M 3.0 - GERMANY - 2014-09-11 08:00:17 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 2.8 - GERMANY - 2014-09-15 13:14:34 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 2.6 - GERMANY - 2014-09-19 11:11:47 UTC |
|
| CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION |
N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA |
HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP |
"E" |
EPICENTER |
|
M 2.8 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2014-09-03 19:03:26 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 3.8 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2014-09-03 22:35:56 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 4.5 - AZORES ISLANDS REGION - 2014-09-07 10:31:53 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
for more updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5 |
|
| EARTHQUAKE SWARM)/ ICELAND- NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA |
N & S -AM. ><EURASIA |
volcanic/ 20140824 |
"E" |
EPICENTER |
03 x > M 2 |
M 5.5 - ICELAND - 2014-09-01 11:41:09 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.4 - ICELAND - 2014-09-03 03:09:56 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.1 - ICELAND - 2014-09-05 01:19:38 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.5 - ICELAND - 2014-09-07 07:08:00 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.0 - ICELAND - 2014-09-13 07:58:17 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.3 - ICELAND - 2014-09-15 08:05:01 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.0 - ICELAND - 2014-09-16 21:34:15 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.2 - ICELAND - 2014-09-18 14:21:49 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
M 5.4 - ICELAND - 2014-09-21 10:51:47 UTC |
|
| CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC |
N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. |
HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP |
"E" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC |
N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS |
20140904 |
"C" |
EPICENTER |
27 x > M 2 |
M 3.3 - PUERTO RICO REGION - 2014-09-06 04:08:18 UTC |
|
| PANAMERICA |
N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS |
LIKELY VOLCANIC |
"C" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| REGION PERU- BOLIVIA |
PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA |
20140824 |
"D" |
EPICENTER |
01 |
M 5.9 - EASTER ISLAND REGION - 2014-09-03 20:34:00 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) |
SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA |
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA |
NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC |
SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014 |
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| ANTARCTICA REGION |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK |
N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC |
|
"C" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION |
Its suggested, the eq swarm is a results of gas fracking operations |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
10 X > M 2 |
M 3.3 - OKLAHOMA - 2014-09-17 12:02:55 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
03 X > M 2 |
M 3.9 - OKLAHOMA - 2014-09-18 07:12:40 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
07 X > M 2 |
M 4.0 - OKLAHOMA - 2014-09-19 01:31:53 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT |
N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC |
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
20140915 |
|
EPICENTER |
16 X > M 2 |
M 5.2 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-15 18:27:20 UTC |
|
| |
|
20140916 |
|
EPICENTER |
10X > M 2 |
M 4.4 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-16 16:51:14 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
07 X > M 2 |
M 4.2 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-17 22:13:06 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
05 X > M 2 |
M 3.1 - OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-20 20:33:04 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
06 X > M 2 |
M 2.7 - NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-21 20:17:53 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ LONG VALLEY AREA, CALIFORNIA |
N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC |
20140925- 20140926 |
|
EPICENTER |
12 x > M 2 |
M 3.2 - LONG VALLEY AREA, CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-26 05:46:24 UTC |
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
40 x > M 2 |
M 3.5 - LONG VALLEY AREA, CALIFORNIA - 2014-09-26 04:21:19 UTC |
|
| /NORTHERN ALASKA CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ) |
NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. |
SOMETIMES |
"C" |
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
EPICENTER |
|
|
|
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values |
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report |
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:
|
LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT |
20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 |
01- 04/ 14 |
|
EXPLANATIONS> |
Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT. |
Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ |
Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME. Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS. |
|
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> |
INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! |
STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS |
The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks" |
|
REGIONS |
REGION "A" |
REGION "B"(1) |
REGION "B"(2) |
REGION "C" |
REGION"
D" |
REGION "E" (1) |
REGION "E" (2) |
REGION "F" |
|
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> |
EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST |
JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL |
ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII |
WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA |
GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST |
, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST |
CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA |
INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR |
|
|
|
NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS |
|
|
|
|
N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA |
|
|
|
|
 .. .. |
. . |
|
|
|
 . . . |
|
|
LONGITUDES> |
135° E- 90° E |
135° E- 180° |
180° - 135° W |
90° W- 135° W |
45° W- 90° W |
45° W - 00° W |
00° W- 45° E |
45° E- 90° E |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
|
|
|
|
|
| volcano-discovery/gadget |
note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes! |
|
|
|
report by: |
GVP |
|
|
Activity for the week of 17 September-23 September 2014
The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity. |
|
NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
|
|
|
|
|
| volcano-discovery/gadget |
note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes! |
|
|
|
report by: |
GVP |
|
|
Activity for the week of 10 September-16 September 2014
The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity. |
|
NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
|
|
|
|
|
| volcano-discovery/gadget |
note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes! |
|
|
|
report by: |
GVP |
|
|
Activity for the week of 3 September-9 September 2014
The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity. |
|
NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
|
|
|
|
|
| volcano-discovery/gadget |
note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes! |
|
|
|
report by: |
GVP |
|
|
Activity for the week of 27 August-2 September 2014
The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity. |
|
NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES: |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SIGNIFICANT SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES AND RELATED GEOPHYSICAL DATA (CURRENT MONTH) :
SUN SPOTS- ACTIVE REGIONS/ FLARES- PARTICLE FLUXES- NOAA SPACE WEATHER ALERTS- CME EVENTS INCL SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA- GEOMAGNETIC IMPACTS
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS |
solar data by: |
solen.info |
NASA/ |
|
|
|
latest data (external sources): |
|
|
|
|
SUN OBSERVERS: |
|
|
|
OTHERS: |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !
means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2014 |
MONTH |
SEPTEMBER |
DAY: |
11 |
< date refers to available event data and summaries |
click here for previous days reports |
|
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
|
note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values! |
20140911
|
ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info) |
|
|
|
|
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
|
|
|
164 |
|
AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) |
325-446 |
FLARES > |
C |
08 |
|
|
151 |
|
X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX: |
B 8.7 |
|
M |
02 |
|
|
10 |
|
GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: |
80- 140 nT |
CME IMPACT |
X |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > |
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at 11/1526Z. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Sep, 13 Sep, 14 Sep). |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted) |
EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS): |
CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives) |
|
STATUS : |
ACTIVE REGIONS: |
LOCATION TODAY |
|
|
|
|
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: |
|
|
|
(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC) |
LONGITUDE next 24 h. |
LATITUDE |
|
MAJOR ACTIVITIES: |
CME ERUPTION TIME UTC |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
12158 |
12°W |
16° N |
CKO/ DKC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES > |
|
|
|
|
|
|
--- |
|
|
| solen/info/ active regions> |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|
|
|
| NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> |
|
SOURCE: |
|
|
ABBREVIATIONS> |
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT) |
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH |
RECURR.= RECURRENT |
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PARTICLE TYPE: |
CURRENT |
LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT: |
PARTICLE TYPE: |
CURRENT : |
LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT: |
|
|
| PROTON FLUX |
INCREASED |
RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC |
ELECTRON FLUX |
BACK to NORMAL |
slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| BEGIN/ END: |
|
|
|
BEGIN/ END: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
STATUS: |
Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer |
|
GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* |
proton flux- past 3 days |
|
QUIET |
 |
 |
|
|
|
UNSETTLED |
|
| ACTIVE |
|
| MINOR STORM |
|
MAJOR STORM |
|
| HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS |
|
| CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS |
|
|
|
|
| |
* see also report below! |
|
| USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>> |
|
|
|
|
* graph only during significant events |
|
|
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 404 km/s at 11/0248Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 10/2252Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 11/0356Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 28 pfu at 11/0515Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 154 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (12 Sep), active to severe storm levels on day two (13 Sep) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (14 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on days one and two (12 Sep, 13 Sep) and are expected to cross threshold on day three (14 Sep). |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) |
SOUTHWARDS -07 nT (USAF) |
NEUTRAL |
NORTHWARD +09 nT (USAF) |
The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts |
|
| EFFECTIVE PROTONS |
|
|
GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field |
|
| new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day |
|
|
TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): |
|
|
|
|
|
| INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX: |
|
< NOAA PARTICLE ALERTS > |
GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA): |
|
PARTICLE TYPE: |
20140909 |
20140910 |
20140911 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 0.1 pfu. < 10 pfu. |
> 0.1 pfu. < 28 pfu.(USAF) |
rising |
|
s 2 PROTON STORM; |
|
|
|
|
| > 100 MeV PROTON FLUX |
> 0.01 < 0.1 pfu. |
> 1.0 pfu. (USAF) |
rising |
|
|
|
|
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION |
|
PARTICLE TYPE: |
20140909 |
20140910 |
20140911 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
>1.000 < 250pfu (+) |
>4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) |
dropping after new SEP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
>100< 250 (-) |
>220 >800 (+ ) |
disturbance (protons) |
|
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities ) |
|
| NEUTRON SYNTHESIS |
(3) NO CURRENT DATA |
(3) NO CURRENT DATA |
UNKNOWN |
|
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME) |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs |
|
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending |
|
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu |
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
< NOAA ALERTS > |
CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA): |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
EARTH IMPACT ON |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PREVIOUS 1 DAY REPORTS / CURRENT MONTH ( updated during significant activities only)
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2014 |
MONTH |
SEPTEMBER |
DAY: |
06 |
< date refers to available event data and summaries |
click here for previous days reports |
|
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
|
note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values! |
20140905
|
ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info) |
|
|
|
|
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
|
|
|
124 |
|
AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) |
340-419 |
FLARES > |
C |
22 |
|
|
144 |
|
X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX: |
C 1.1 |
|
M |
|
|
|
06 |
|
GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: |
80- 140 nT |
CME IMPACT |
X |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > |
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep). |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted) |
EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS): |
CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives) |
|
STATUS : |
ACTIVE REGIONS: |
LOCATION TODAY |
|
|
|
|
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: |
|
|
|
(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC) |
LONGITUDE next 24 h. |
LATITUDE |
|
MAJOR ACTIVITIES: |
CME ERUPTION TIME UTC |
|
|
| |
12157 |
60° E |
13° S |
DHC/ EKC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
12158 |
68° E |
14° N |
CKO/ DKC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES > |
|
|
|
|
|
|
--- |
|
|
| solen/info/ active regions> |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|
|
|
| NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
|
| CH 634 |
CENTRAL/ NORTH |
GROWING |
|
20140905- 06 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> |
|
SOURCE: |
|
|
ABBREVIATIONS> |
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT) |
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH |
RECURR.= RECURRENT |
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PARTICLE TYPE: |
CURRENT |
LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT: |
PARTICLE TYPE: |
CURRENT : |
LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT: |
|
|
| PROTON FLUX |
INCREASED |
RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC |
ELECTRON FLUX |
BACK to NORMAL |
slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| BEGIN/ END: |
|
|
|
BEGIN/ END: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
STATUS: |
Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer |
|
GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* |
proton flux- past 3 days |
|
QUIET |
 |
 |
|
|
|
UNSETTLED |
|
| ACTIVE |
|
| MINOR STORM |
|
MAJOR STORM |
|
| HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS |
|
| CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS |
|
|
|
|
| |
* see also report below! |
|
| USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>> |
|
|
|
|
* graph only during significant events |
|
|
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep). |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) |
SOUTHWARDS -09 nT (USAF) |
NEUTRAL |
NORTHWARD + 11 nT (USAF) |
The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts |
|
| EFFECTIVE PROTONS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA): |
|
|
|
|
|
| INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX: |
|
< NOAA ALERTS > |
GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA): |
|
PARTICLE TYPE: |
20140905 |
20140906 |
20140907 |
|
|
20140906 |
20140907 |
|
|
|
> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu. |
> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu. |
+/- 0.1 pfu. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| > 100 MeV PROTON FLUX |
back to normal |
back to normal |
back to normal |
|
|
NONE |
TYPE II/ IV |
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION |
|
PARTICLE TYPE: |
20140905 |
20140906 |
20140907 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
>1.000 < 25.000 pfu (+) |
>4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) |
dropping after new sEP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
>100< 450 (-) |
>220 > 750 () |
rising |
|
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities ) |
|
| NEUTRON SYNTHESIS |
(3) NO CURRENT DATA |
(3) NO CURRENT DATA |
UNKNOWN |
|
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME) |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs |
|
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending |
|
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu |
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
< NOAA ALERTS > |
CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA): |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
EARTH IMPACT ON |
SOLAR EVENT : |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
alt
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
previous alert reports/ this month
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2014 |
MONTH |
SEPTEMBER |
DAY: |
01 |
< date refers to available event data and summaries |
click here for previous days reports |
|
| NOAA REPORT |
PREVIOUS GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DATE: |
PAST 24 h |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20140901 |
NONE |
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities ) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
EARTH IMPACT ON |
SOLAR EVENT : |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
click here for: SIGNIFICANT SOLAR EVENTS IN SEPTEMBER 2014 ( earth directed CMEs, SEPs, satellite images and data)
| |
|
|
|
WEEKLY SATELLITE REVIEW OF SOLAR ACTIVITIES (AR, flares, CMEs, SEPs) |
|
|
| |
|
|
| LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT/ EVOLUTION |
SEPTEMBER 2014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| LOGS: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| DATE and TIME: |
AR/images |
REPORT> |
|
|
|
IMAGES: |
PLOTS and OTHER: |
|
| 20140901/ 17:45 UTC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CME (DATE/ TIME >>) |
20140910/ 17:45 UTC |
ERUPTION TYPE: |
X 1 flare at 17:45 uTC |
FULLY HALO CME |
estimated CME arrrival: 20140912 |
|
|
|
|
|
| (01) SDO/ AIA |
(02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 |
(02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 |
(03) STEREO( Ahead |
(05) SDO/ AIA |
NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS |
(07) SDO/ AIA |
GOES PROTON flux (1) |
GOES X-RAY flux (1) |
SOLAR CME/ SEP EVENT LOG : |
|
| |
 |
 |
|
|
 |
|
|
|
SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT |
|
20140910/ 19:03 (NOAA*) |
|
| TRACKING NR.: |
|
| |
|
| ACTIVE REGION: |
|
| AR 12158. |
|
| SUN COORDINATES: |
| |
20140910/ 19:54 UTC |
20140911/ 00:30 UTC |
|
|
|
|
PROTON IMPACT: after 21 UTC |
|
02° E- 16° N |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* SEP eruption time= time of 10 cm RADIO BURST |
|
| DATE and TIME: |
AR/images |
REPORT> |
|
|
|
IMAGES: |
PLOTS and OTHER: |
|
| 20140901/ 18:59 UTC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CME (DATE/ TIME >>) |
|
ERUPTION TYPE: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (01) SDO/ AIA |
(02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 |
(03) STEREO( Ahead |
(04) SDO/ AIA |
(05) SDO/ AIA |
NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS |
(07) SDO/ AIA |
GOES PROTON flux (1) |
GOES X-RAY flux (1) |
SOLAR SEP EVENT LOG : |
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
 |
|
|
|
SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT |
|
| 20140901/prior to 11: 54? |
|
| TRACKING NR.: |
|
| |
|
| ACTIVE REGION: |
|
| NORTH POLAR SOLAR REGION |
|
| SUN COORDINATES: |
| 20140901/ 18:59 UTC (SEP) |
20140901/ 12:42 |
20140901/ 10:51 UTC |
20140902/ 08:36 UTC |
20140901/ 11:54 UTC |
Proton impact on NASA D-RAP (20140902/ 23UTC) |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| SOLAR SEPS ARTICLE EVENTS: ACCELERATED PROTONS/ ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS IN SEPTEMBER 2014 ( satellite images and data) |
|
| SEP EVENT/ event logs |
this log represents the latest event evolution of terrestrial SEP impacts- earlier events are archived here.
|
|
NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays |
|
| |
|
|
ACTIVE SOLAR SEP/ LOG |
latest significant SEP >> |
201408910/ after 18 UTC |
MAJOR > 10 pfu. |
CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE PARTICLES >> |
PHASE I (PROTONS) |
PHASE II (> 10 MeV ELECTRONS) |
PHASE III (DISCHARGE) |
|
| previous, accumulated SEPs >> |
20140825/ 18 UTC |
20140405/ 12 UTC |
20140227 ( X 1.2) |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACCELERATED PROTONS > |
SOLAR EVENT: |
IMPACT/ BEGIN |
END |
PEAK VALUES: |
APPR. SPEED : |
CURRENT STATE:: |
|
|
| SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION |
/20140910/ after 11UTC |
201409010/ 18:15 UTC |
ongoing |
> 1 < 100 pfu. |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS |
ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: |
END: |
LATEST VALUES: |
PEAK VALUES: |
reaching threshold on > |
|
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
latent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACCELERATED PROTONS > |
SOLAR EVENT: |
IMPACT/ BEGIN |
END |
PEAK VALUES: |
APPR. SPEED : |
CURRENT STATE:: |
|
|
| SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION |
AR 12151/20140901/ after 11UTC |
20140901/ after 21 UTC |
ongoing |
> 1 < 10 pfu. |
very low ( 1.000- 3000 km/ s |
first event in recored with unusually extreme slow protons |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS |
ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: |
END: |
LATEST VALUES: |
PEAK VALUES: |
reaching threshold on > |
|
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
20140901 |
ongoing |
> 10 MeV ELectrons Y 1.000 pfu |
fluctuating |
first time that proton and electrons both exceed treshold levels- interrupted by new SEP on 20140910 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACCELERATED PROTONS > |
SOLAR EVENT: |
IMPACT/ BEGIN |
END |
PEAK VALUES: |
APPR. SPEED : |
CURRENT STATE:: |
|
|
| SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION |
not evaluated yet |
20140825/ after 18 UTC |
20140827( 00 UTC |
low (+/- 1 pfu. ( 10 x) |
|
electron breakdown |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS |
ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: |
END: |
LATEST VALUES: |
PEAK VALUES: |
reaching threshold on > |
|
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
interrupted by new SEP |
latent |
---- |
> 1.000 pfu. |
20140831 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
PREVIOUS SOLAR SEPS AND SEP SERIALS, those are still active ( effective and interfer/ accumulate ):
| ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS |
ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: |
END: |
LATEST VALUES: |
PEAK VALUES: |
reaching threshold on > |
|
 |
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
20140511/ 11 UTC |
repeatedly interupted (by new proton events |
NEW INCREASE ON 20160802 |
|
|
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
20140511/ 11 UTC |
repeatedly interupted (by new proton events |
NEW INCREASE ON 20160717 |
|
|
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
20140511/ 11 UTC |
repeatedly interupted (by new proton events |
NEW INCREASE ON 20160618 |
|
|
|
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu) |
20140423/ 17 UTC |
20140429/00UTC knocked down by protons |
20140429/ 00 UTC. E flux was knocked bylate proton activity (SEP/ 20140418) |
20140425/ 13 UTC > 1.000 pfu |
(20140425/ 13 UTC |
|
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu) |
(20140421/ 15 UTC |
rising |
20140426/ 15 UTC > 100.000 pfu |
--- |
(20140421/ 15 UTC |
|
ACCELERATED PROTONS > |
SOLAR EVENT: |
IMPACT/ BEGIN |
END |
PEAK VALUES: |
APPR. SPEED : |
CURRENT STATE:: |
|
| SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION |
20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 |
20140507/ 19 UTC |
20140711 |
low ( > 01. < 0.8 pfu) |
|
electron breakdown |
|
| SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION |
20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 |
20140418/ after 13 UTC |
201404210/ 09 UTC |
> about 60 pfu. |
near the speed of light |
20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit- |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
meaning of background colors> |
yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant |
red= strong event |
|
|
|
|
} orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS |
May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks |
|
| ELECTRON EFFECTS> |
20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.
The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.
might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!
20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space
20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks
20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.
Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes. |
|
| orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects |
|
SEP EVENT HISTORY : |
|
|
20140418/ |
13:19 UTC |
complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly |
|
20140413- 16 |
|
The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416 |
|
20140405 |
after 12 UTC |
Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event |
|
20140325 |
08 UTC |
Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu. |
|
20140317 |
|
Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures. |
|
| |
|
|
20140228 |
|
Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption" |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EVENTS: VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKES FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES, GLACIAL MELTDOWN METHANHYDRATES - ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
click here to open and close collapsible panel with SELECTED PREVIOUS ENVIRONMENTAL NEWS AND HEADLINES (previous days)
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REPORTS |
2014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
20140517/ Damaging earthquake near Darmstadt, Germany
|
Moderates Erdbeben in Darmstadt (Hessen) – Schäden an Dächern, Risse in Wänden – Damaging earthquake near Darmstadt, Germany
Update 06:13 UTC: Ein Haus in Nieder-Beerbach gilt nach Medienberichten infolge der Erdbebenschäden als unbewohnbar.
Update May 18th, 05:46 UTC: Die Meldung des Hessischen Rundfunks einer eingestürzten Fassade hat sich als Falschmeldung herausgestellt. Dennoch sind die Schäden (für Deutsche Verhältnisse) erheblich: An mindestens 35 Häusern bildeten sich Risse, 10 Schornsteine sind eingestürzt. Die Feuerwehr war bis in die Nacht im Einsatz. Eine Erhöhung der Schadenssumme könnte noch folgen. Verletzt wurde zum Glück niemand.
Update 20:35 Uhr: Stellenweise waren die Schäden schwerer als erwartet. Wie der HR berichtet, ist in Mühltal die Fassade eines Hauses teilweise eingestürzt. Andere Gebäude wurden beschädigt. Statiker überprüfen zur Zeit, wie schwer die Schäden sind und ob Handlungsbedarf besteht.
Update 19:27 UTC: Aus Darmstadt gibt es Meldungen von einem Kamin, der einsturzgefährdet ist, sowie einen Riss in einem Wohnhaus. Auch bei uns unter den Zeugenberichten (Siehe unten) sind Meldungen von leichten Schäden. Es ist typisch, dass das gesamte Ausmaß der Schäden erst Tage nach einem Beben bekannt wird. Entsprechend sind die vorläufigen Angaben von nur einzelnen Schäden nicht als Zeichen anzusehen, dass alles gut ausgegangen ist.
Das Schüttergebiet dieses Bebens reicht beeindruckend weit nach Süden, bis in die Gebiete um Stuttgart (120 km) und Heilbronn (80 km). Im Norden scheint der Taunus (50 km) die Grenze zu bilden. In Bayern wird vor allem im Raum Aschaffenburg (40 km) vom Beben berichtet. Westlich des Epizentrums hingegen gibt es nach 20 bis 25 Kilometern kaum noch Meldungen über Spürbarkeit. Genaues ist in der Karte unter diesem Bericht dargestellt.
Update 18:54 UTC: In Nieder-Beerbach ist die Feuerwehr zur Zeit vor allem mit der Sicherung von beschädigten Schornsteinen beschäftigt, wie Medien berichten. Die Ortseinfahrt wurde zu dem Zweck gesperrt. Glücklicherweise scheinen keine Menschen bei dem Beben verletzt worden zu sein.
Update 18:38 UTC: Ein wenig zur Tektonik dieses Erdbebens: Ursache war eine horizontale Bewegung entlang einer Verwerfung. Das heißt zwei Segmente der Erdkruste haben sich horizontal aneinander vorbei bewegt. Dieser Vorgang ist typisch für Erdbeben an der berühmten San Andreas Verwerfung in Kalifornien und der Nordanatolischen Verwerfung im Norden der Türkei (Istanbul). Das gefährliche an diesen Beben ist, dass sie meist nur wenige Kilometer unter der Erdoberfläche ihren Ursprung (Hypozentrum) haben und somit praktisch “ungebremst” die Oberfläche erreichen und dort zu Schäden führen. Je länger die Verwerfung, an der sich die Erdkruste bewegt, umso stärker ist das Erdbeben. In Deutschland sind diese Verwerfungen nicht so groß, dass die zu katastrophalen Ereignissen führen können. Aber dass dennoch Potential in ihren steckt, wurde heute eindrucksvoll bewiesen.
Update : The Focal Mechanism of this earthquake shows clearly a shallow strike-slip earthquake type. This type of earthquakes is the most dangerous type. At the current Magnitude the damage is luckily limited.
Update 18:28 UTC: Die meisten Einsätze hat die Feuerwehr zur Zeit im Ort Nieder-Beerbach (Ortsteil der Gemeinde Mühltal) südlich von Darmstadt. Dort sollen auch Schornsteine eingestürzt sein.
Update 18:14 UTC: Weiterhin sind nur wenig Details über die verursachten Gebäudeschäden bekannt. Die Feuerwehr hat diese auf jeden Fall schon mal bestätigt. Wie viele es gab und wie schwer diese waren, wurde noch nicht bekannt. Nachdem was bisher bekannt wurde, dürften dutzende Gebäude, vor allem in Darmstadt, betroffen sein.
Update 18:01 UTC: Auch bei uns sind zwei Meldungen über Schäden eingegangen:
Darmstadt – Es hat sich angefühlt als hätte jemand das Haus genommen und es durchgeschüttelt, fanden im nachhinein mehrere risse in den Wänden
Seeheim-Jugenheim – Habe gerade (ca. 18:45 Uhr) draußen auf dem Balkon (Holzbalken) gesessen. Unser Fachwerkhaus wackelte so sehr, dass ich dachte, es klappt zusammen. Viele Leute in unserer Straße liefen aus ihren Häusern heraus. Wir alle waren sehr erschrocken. Im Nachhinein stellten wir fest, dass sich Gegenstände verschoben hatten. Eine Wand wies einen kleinen Riss auf.
Danke an alle Zeugen und Betroffene, die sich bei uns melden. Wir hoffen, dass es keine gravierende Folgen des Erdbebens gibt.
Update 17:55 UTC: Geofon hat das Beben nochmals korrigiert, diesmal wieder auf M 4.2 hochgestuft. Ob 3.9 oder 4.2: Dieses Beben ist das stärkste in Deutschland seit fast 3 Jahren und das stärkste in Hessen seit Jahrzehnten!
Update 17:53 UTC: Auf Twitter gibt es Meldungen, wonach Feuerwehren im Mühltal wegen eingestürzter Schornsteinen und rissigen Wänden im Einsatz sind.
Update 17:49 UTC: Das Landesamt für Geologie und Bergbau Rheinland-Pfalz nennt nun Magnitude 3.9 (wenn auch nur als vorläufige automatische Angabe). Daten lokaler Erdbebendienste sind meist präziser und daher zu bevorzugen.
Update 17:45 UTC: Stichwort Nachbeben: Bei Ereignissen um Magnitude 4 ist es recht wahrscheinlich, dass es in den Stunden / Tagen danach zu spürbaren Nachbeben kommt. Diese dürften im Bereich von Magnitude 2 bis 2.5 liegen. Auch nicht ausgeschlossen werden kann, dass weitere Erdbeben folgen. In den Jahren 1869 bis 1871 spielte sich im Odenwald ein Erdbebenschwarm ab, wo es hunderte Male teils stark bebte. Entsprechend wurden auch einige Schäden rund um Darmstadt und Worms, teils sogar im Rhein-Main Gebiet verursacht.
Update 17:36 UTC: Medien berichten, dass bei Polizei und Feuerwehr zahlreiche Notrufe eingegangen sind. Auch einige Schadensberichte sollen dabei sein, größere Schäden wurden aber noch nicht gemeldet.
Update 17:33 UTC: Wir bitten alle Leser, die dieses Erdbeben gespürt haben, uns dies über das unten auf dieser Seite stehende Kontaktformular mitzuteilen. Dort können sie auch die Meldungen anderer Zeugen lesen, als Liste sowie in einer interaktiven Karte.
Bei den Magnitudenangaben gab es anfangs einige Verwirrung. Während Geofon vorläufig M 4.4 angab, später auf 3.6 korrigierte, nennt USGS Magnitude 4.1. Lokale Erdbebendienste, wie das rheinland-pfälzische Landesamt für Geologie und Bergbau, liefern noch keine Angaben.
Update 17:23 UTC: Viele Zeugen berichten, dass sie das Erdbeben als moderat bis stark empfunden haben. Dies ist zum einen der Magnitude und der flachen Tiefe geschuldet, und zum anderen der Tatsache, dass dieses Beben eines der stärksten in dieser Region seit vielen Jahren war.
Wir erwarten zumindest leichte Gebäudeschäden in Form von Rissen in Wänden, etc.
Update 17:19 UTC: Erst Ende März wurde Hessen von einem leichten Erdbeben mit M 3.2 erschüttert, welches minimale Schäden an einigen Gebäuden verusachte. Das Epizentrum damals lag bei Ober-Ramstadt, südlich von Darmstadt.
Die Region befindet sich am Oberrheingraben, einer Dehnungszone der Erdkruste, die sich Quer durch Deutschland und angrenzende Regionen zieht, wo regelmäßig leichte seismische Aktivität verzeichnet wird.
Update 17:01 UTC : Local GFZ reports a Magnitude of M3.6 at a depth of 10 km. ER considers these preliminary values moderately dangerous for slight damage like cracks in walls, fallen plaster, falling tiles etc.
Ein moderates Erdbeben mit Magnitude 3.6 traf um 18.46 Uhr Ortszeit den Süden von Hessen und angrenzende Regionen. Das Epizentrum des Bebens lag auf dem Stadtgebiet von Darmstadt. Nach Zeugenangaben waren die Erschütterungen des Bebens bis nach Frankfurt am Main, knapp 25 km nördlich des Epizentrums, spürbar.
|
t
|
|
| |
|
20140516 Flaming object falls to Earth over Queensland and 'hits like a bomb'
(ABC- news/ au/ 20140516) Flaming object most likely to be satellite debris falls to Earth over Queensland and 'hits like a bomb'
Residents from across central and northern Queensland have reported seeing a huge flaming object fall from the sky and hit the ground "like a bomb". They say they saw what appeared to be a massive ball with a blue and orange tail in the sky about 6:30pm (AEST) yesterday as it plunged towards the ground. Residents from Cunnamulla to Townsville have reported seeing the object, but there have been no reports of any debris found on the ground. Mount Isa resident Virginia Hills says she accidentally photographed the phenomenon. "Just happened to be - very fluky and one of those multiple shots of the moon that I was taking - rising up coming over the horizon," she said....read more...
(image down: object is in right lower corner)
|
|
|
|
| |
|
10140515/ Deadly floods hit eastern Europe
|
Heavy rainfall has sparked severe flooding across large parts of eastern Europe.
In Serbia, more than four months average of rain fell on Wednesday forcing authorities to declare a nationwide state of emergency.
At least one firefighter was killed during a rescue operation on the Jasenica River. The body of another man was recovered from the Danube in Novi Sad.
Several Bosnian cities have also been badly affected by floods caused by what is thought to be the heaviest rains of the past century....read more...
|
|
|
|
| |
|
(20140515) Watch: amateur footage captures raging Californian wildfires
|
Raging wildfires across southern California have forced thousands of people to abandon their homes.
In San Diego county, authorities are increasingly concerned as the wildfires come in the midst of one of the state’s worst droughts on record.
As temperatures soared, nine fires had burned more than 9,000 acres in the county by late Wednesday.
Another blaze, called Tomahawk, broke out on the Camp Pendleton Marine Base north of San Diego and charred roughly 6,000 acres, prompting the evacuation of military housing and a naval weapons station.
|
|
|
| |
|
LATEST EARTHQUAKE & VOLCANO REPORTS
Volcano- discovery/ 20140509- 12
Cerro Negro de Mayasquer (Colombia): (10 May) The seismic crisis under the volcano continues. Thousands of small earthquakes, both volcano-tectonic (due to rock fracturing caused by magma pressure) and long-period (due to fluid movements) earthquakes continue to be registered.
Colombian and Ecuadorian scientists believe it could be related to shallow magma intrusions. At present, no other signs of unrest that could suggest an eruption in a near or medium future have been detected.
Etna (Sicily, Italy): Near-continuous weak strombolian activity is visible from the New SE crater. Tremor is currently low.
Reventador (Ecuador): (9 May) The activity of the volcano had increased during the past two weeks, producing several lava flows and some relatively strong explosions.
Ubinas (Peru): (9 May) The current eruptive phase might be approaching an end. Since the second half of April, visual and seismic activity at the volcano have been decreasing.
Zavodovski (South Sandwich Islands (UK)): (9 May) A NASA satellite image from 19 April shows that some activity (strombolian explosions, small lava lake?) was present on the remote volcano in the South Sandwich islands
|
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
|
| |
|
Melting of Antarctic ice sheet and 3-meter sea level rise inevitable - study
(RT/ 20140512) Melting of Antarctic ice sheet and 3-meter sea level rise inevitable - study
Massive regions of the ice sheet that makes up West Antarctica have begun collapsing in a process that scientists have worried about for decades and fear is likely unstoppable. Researchers warned that the accelerated pace of disintegration is expected to remain relatively slow over the next 100 years, although after that point it will speed up so fast that it could become a major issue for seaside cities. Ocean levels could rise by at least three meters, according to two papers scheduled for publication this week in the Science and Geophysical Research Letters. “This is really happening,” Thomas P. Wagner, chief of the NASA program on polar ice, told the New York Times Monday. “There’s nothing to stop it now. But you are still limited by the physics of how fast the ice can flow.”...read more...
|
|
|
| |
| |
|
|
| |
|
Turkey mine accident caused by transformer fire : hope of finding new survivors fades
Rescuers pulled more dead and injured from a coal mine in western Turkey after an explosion killed at least 200 people and trapped scores more. Turkey’s energy minister says there is less and less hope of finding new survivors in one of the country’s worst mining accidents. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has cancelled other commitments to travel to the site of the disaster. The blast is thought to have been caused by an electrical fault which then triggered a power cut making the lifts unusable and leaving miners stranded some two kilometres underground. |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
VARIOUS: |
|
| EARTHQUAKE & VOLCANO REPORTS/ 20140509- 10: |
Volcano- discovery/ 20140509- 12
Cerro Negro de Mayasquer (Colombia): (10 May) The seismic crisis under the volcano continues. Thousands of small earthquakes, both volcano-tectonic (due to rock fracturing caused by magma pressure) and long-period (due to fluid movements) earthquakes continue to be registered.
Colombian and Ecuadorian scientists believe it could be related to shallow magma intrusions. At present, no other signs of unrest that could suggest an eruption in a near or medium future have been detected. |
|
Etna (Sicily, Italy): Near-continuous weak strombolian activity is visible from the New SE crater. Tremor is currently low.
Reventador (Ecuador): (9 May) The activity of the volcano had increased during the past two weeks, producing several lava flows and some relatively strong explosions.
Ubinas (Peru): (9 May) The current eruptive phase might be approaching an end. Since the second half of April, visual and seismic activity at the volcano have been decreasing.
Zavodovski (South Sandwich Islands (UK)): (9 May) A NASA satellite image from 19 April shows that some activity (strombolian explosions, small lava lake?) was present on the remote volcano in the South Sandwich islands
|
|
| LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY [2014] (APRIL) |
^sakurajjima/ 20140512 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Did technical failures such as GPS blackouts and induced currents cause the Corean ferry disaster?
COREAN Ferry came out of course and collided with and rock, say the survivors of the second big ship disaster in two years that was very similar as the Costa concordia incident:
( read BBC/ 20140417) South Korea ferry: Messages from a sinking ship
here just two citations from this article confirmiung that obvioulsy a colission caused the sinking of the ship::
Student: "The ship ran into something and it's not moving. They say the coast guard just arrived."
"There was a really loud noise and then the boat immediately began to shift to one side," said rescued passenger, Kim Song-Muk. "People were scrambling to get to the upper decks, but it was difficult with the deck slanted over."-
and again responsibles and investigators ignore any possibility of any technical failure ( are our technics today really unfailable or do they just want to make sure to cash the insurances?)
HOWEVER At at time with so many geological events and changes as now every possibility must be considered and proven
here some very strange facts saying at least clearly: THERE WAS A TECHNICAL MALEFUNCTION!! |
|
The arrested female 3. officer who had the command at that time declared:"The ship came our of Course ( autopilot/ GPS But when I tried to correct the course , the ship " reacted and beganto turn much faster as it normally would ( source german TV I have not find an online article yet I could post)
have the electric controllers received an induced current ( overvoltage at that time as it was measured within the geomagnetic i field and reacted much stronger pushing the engines to higher performance than intended? However all technical devices wouldrund faster or perform stronger if they receive higher currents than by default?!
Or: Have the diesel engines swallowed some methangas that came up from the ocenas floor gas along with the air, and was this, why the engines ran faster than a than usual or even ran wild? There are lots of volcanic events and earthquakes in that region!
Its the same as with the Malaysian aircraft AH 370 which - as I believe and as would perfectly match to the course of the incident came into a volcanic ashcloud or rather in one of the many pyroclastic clouds mount Sinabung emitted at thar time ( of course a volcanic features never observed before) so what gases do these cloud contain maybe also some carbonhydrates? noone kniosws everone turns a bind eye to that
However : There will be no proof for those theories as long as no measure instrument control these paramemeter like solar induced cuurents or methan emissions from ocean floors and jet none event wants to consider or research that pssibility.
and: no insurance would pay in such a case of " higher natural force |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(volcano-discovery/ 20140414) Hekla volcano (Iceland): earthquake swarm
A shallow (around 8 km depth) earthquake swarm including two quakes at 2.7 and 2.9 magnitude has started in an area 12 km to the south of Hekla volcano. Latest GPS measurements suggest a slight trend of inflation is occurring as well, which could be related to magma intrusion into shallow magma chambers. We don't know whether these earthquakes are volcanic in origin or could be a precursor to a new eruption in a near future (probably not). On the other hand, since one is being considered "due" by many scientists, it would not be very surprising either. Another earthquake swarm has been occurring off the SW tip of Iceland on the Reykjanes ridge, the submarine continuation of the active western rift zone
(20140414)Ubinas volcano (Peru): activity increases, constant ash emissions and explosions
The volcano's activity increases. As more magma arrives to build up the new lava dome in the summit crater, more gasses are being released as well and cause near-constant explosive activity with moderately strong ash emissions at the moment (see video) |
 |
<< NASA NEO-LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY map
for March 2014 shows , that the temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continued. Global warmists may claim now, this is caused by carbondioxides. But also also NASA remarked in an artuicle last year: This polar heating is tempoeorarely caused by electrons, those accumulate around the Northen pole typically after a solar SEP event ( this are event, when the sun exclusively emmits higher amounts of protons/ hydrogen cores).
These electrons are atrackted by the gravitational pull, the initial proton event/ impact ( typically impacting at the Earth " negative" Southern Pole) adds as an positive charge to the geomagnetic field,. These electrons from the solar interplanetary field are quite" energetic" and transform their energy when atrrackted into the geomagnetic field in form of friction that creates high amounts of heat mainly in the atmosphere around the Northern pole. These electrons also cause strong and sudden thunderstorms and/ tornadoes. They also have ionisation effects, or can induce / accumulate as significant and harmful charges in satellites, but likely also airplanes ships and terrestrial power grids. |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
EPICENTER/ MAP |
|
|
HIGHEST MEASURED GLOBAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE TODAY: |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> |
|
|
|
|
|
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME |
M 8.0 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-04-01 23:46:49 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
19.72 S ; 70.86 W |
DEPTH > |
32 km |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
last update |
20140402/ 06 UTC |
visit NOAA REAL TIME ALERTS for latest updates! > |
|
|
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!) |
|
| INITIAL SEAQUAKE > |
M 8.0 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-04-01 23:46:49 UTC |
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > |
19.72 S ; 70.86 W |
DEPTH > |
32 km |
|
|
|
| TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: |
NOAA/ PTWC |
REPORT ISSUED ON: |
0344Z 02 APR 2014 |
ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): |
YES |
CANCELLED AT : |
NOT yet |
|
| EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS) |
|
|
| STRONGEST INITIALREGIONAL TSUNAMI WAVE |
IQUIQUE CL |
REGION OF ORIGIN |
OFFSHORE CNTRl.CHILE |
TOTAL NR. OF WAVES |
16 |
WAVE HEIGHTS |
0.16- 2.11M |
|
|
| MAJOR WARNINGS ISSUED FOR: |
CHILE |
PERU |
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES > |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
APRIL 01- 2014: A Major Earthquake occured OFF the Coast of Taracapa /Chile:
M 8.0 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-04-01 23:46:49 UTC
internal remarks ( ap) The region was the site of an intensive Earthquake swarm that continues since several weeks, and the 8.0 quake just marks a new peak . The activity seems to be related to ( or to be the rsult of) intensified tectonic movements and changes all along the entire Pacific coast as well as on a wider global scale
NOAA issued a Tsunami warning
000 WEPA40 PHEB 020344 TSUPAC
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 006 PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0344Z 02 APR 2014
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA... WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA. ... A TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ... A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CHILE / PERU FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2347Z 01 APR 2014
COORDINATES - 19.8 SOUTH 70.8 WEST DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN CHILE
MAGNITUDE - 8.2
EVALUATION SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY HAVE BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER AND COULD ALSO BE A THREAT TO MORE DISTANT COASTS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SEA LEVEL DATA TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT AND SEVERITY OF THE THREAT....read more... |
|
| |
| ^YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK/ old faithful live webcam |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
/daily_mail/ 20140331) Yellowstone National Park hit by 4.8-magnitude earthquake after California is shaken by major tremor
/ The weather channel/ 20140331)Yellowstone Earthquake: Volcanic Eruption Not Expected After Strongest Tremor in 34 Years
Yellowstone National Park was shaken by its largest earthquake in 34 years Sunday, but scientists say there is no concern that the quake will lead to an eruption of the Yellowstone Caldera, a supervolcano located in the park.
(MORE: Yellowstone's Magma Chamber Larger Than Once Thought)
/CBS/ 20140330) Earthquake rattles Yellowstone National Park
YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK, Wyo. - A 4.8 earthquake shook the northern part of Yellowstone National Park early Sunday. The University of Utah Seismograph Stations reports the earthquake occurred at 6:34 a.m. about 4 miles north-northeast of the Norris Geyser Basin. The university reports it was felt in the Montana border towns of West Yellowstone and Gardiner, both about 20 miles from the epicenter. There were no immediate reports of damage. There are few visitors in the park this time of year. Yellowstone sees frequent small earthquakes. Since Thursday, there have been at least 25 recorded in the nation's first national park. Yellowstone National Park sits on top of a "supervolcano" that last erupted on a massive scale about 640,000 years ago. Scientists have estimated the chance of another super eruption happening at about 0.00014 percent yearly -- i.e. it's almost certainly not going to happen. |
|
| |
| ^^ Extremely dangerous Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Hellen |
^YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK/ old faithful live webcam |
|
|
Extremely dangerous Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Hellen is bearing down on Madagascar after an extraordinary burst of rapid intensification brought the cyclone from a 60 mph tropical storm to a high-end Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds in just 24 hours. That 90 mph increase in winds in 24 hours is not far below the record intensification rate of Hurricane Wilma in 2005, which was 110 mph in 24 hours. Official bulletins from La Réunion indicate the central pressure dropped 61 mb in 24 hrs, from 986mb at 1800 UTC Saturday to 925mb at 1800 UTC Sunday. They warn in their 18 UTC Sunday advisory:
HELLEN IS LIKELY TO BE ONE OF THE MOST POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONES EVER SEEN OVER THE NORTHERN CHANNEL SINCE THE SATELLITE ERA (1967). THE LIKELIHOOD IS INCREASING FOR AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TROPICAL CYCLONE LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COASTLINE OF MADAGASCAR BETWEEN CAPE SAINT-ANDRE AND MAHAJONGA. |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
(BBC/ 20140322) Guinea deaths: Ebola blamed for deadly fever outbreak
The Ebola virus has been identified as the cause of an outbreak of haemorrhagic fever now believed to have killed nearly 60 people in southern Guinea, government officials say.Scores of cases have been recorded since the outbreak began early last month.There is no known cure or vaccine for the highly contagious Ebola virus.
It is spread by close personal contact with people who are infected and kills between 25% and 90% of victims.Symptoms include internal and external bleeding, diarrhoea and vomiting.Outbreaks of Ebola occur primarily in remote villages in Central and West Africa, near tropical rainforests, the World Health Organization says.
(BBC/ 20140323) Rare earths: Neither rare, nor earths
You have probably never heard of most of the rare-earth elements yet they have insinuated themselves deep into the fabric of modern life - in ways of which most of us are completely oblivious. There are between 15 and 17 of them (depending how you classify them), including such exotic sounding substances as holmium, praseodymium, cerium, lutetium, ytterbium, gadolinium or - my own personal favourite - promethium. They may be obscure but they have been transforming all sorts of industries. Wind turbine manufacture is a good example |
 |
/thewatchers/ 20140321- Very strong and shallow M 6.5 earthquake struck Nicobar Islands, India
Seismotectonics of the Sumatra Region The plate boundary southwest of Sumatra is part of a long tectonic collision zone that extends over 8000 km from Papua in the east to the Himalayan front in the west. The Sumatra-Andaman portion of the collision zone forms a subduction zone megathrust plate boundary, the Sunda-Java trench, which accommodates convergence between the Indo-Australia and Sunda plates. This convergence is responsible for the intense seismicity and volcanism in Sumatra. The Sumatra Fault, a major transform structure that bisects Sumatra, accommodates the northwest-increasing lateral component of relative plate motion.
(dailycaller/ 20140320) Number of hurricanes reaches 30-year low
The “hurricane drought” in the U.S. continues, as last year saw the lowest number of hurricanes since 1982, according to government storm data.
For the 2013 hurricane season — which runs from June 1st to November 30th — thirteen named storms formed in the North Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico. Only two of those storms reached hurricane strength, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The National Hurricane Center reports: “BASED ON THE 30-YEAR CLIMATOLOGY… THE AVERAGE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY IN THE BASIN IS 12 NAMED STORMS…6 HURRICANES…AND 3 MAJOR HURRICANES. FOR 2013…THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS WAS NEAR AVERAGE…BUT THE NUMBERS OF HURRICANES AND MAJOR HURRICANES WERE WELL BELOW AVERAGE.” |
|
| |
| |
^^ NASA EARTH OBSERVATORY/ FEBRUARY- MARCH 2014/- land surface temperature anomaly |
|
| |
|
|
|
These temperatrure anomalies are caused by the impact of solar SEPs (protons> Southern Pole) and the subsequent ELECTRON ACCUMULATIONS ( electrons> Northern Pole) |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(BBC/ 20140302) Thousands in Guatemala facing evacuation as Pacaya volcano erupts
A volcano has erupted in Guatemala, prompting the authorities to consider the evacuation of some 3,000 people living in the area. The Pacaya volcano began spewing ash and lava after a powerful explosion on Saturday afternoon. New explosions were seen on Sunday, with ash clouds reaching a height or at least 4km (3 miles). Flights have been diverted from the area, some 50km (30 miles) south of the capital, Guatemala City. The Pacaya is one of three active volcanoes in the Central American nation. The other two are the Fuego and the Santa Maria.
(earthquake report/ 20140302) Very strong dangerous earthquake near the Nicaragua coast
Update : The Nicaraguan press is reporting continuous aftershocks in the greater epicenter area Update : It is estimated that tens of millions of people have felt this earthquake at various intensities. A lot of people will have been interrupted from their sleep. The reason that so many people have felt it is the depth of the hypocenter. At earthquake-report.com we know from our experience that earthquakes in between 50 and 80 km depth are being felt as strong up to several hundred kms from the epicenter. This is also the reason that we are receiving “I Have Felt It” reports from all the neighboring countries (luckily without serious damage so far).
(BBC/ 20140303) Europe-wide flood losses to 'increase four fold' by 2050
According to the most accurate model yet developed, flood damage losses across Europe are expected to increase four fold by 2050. The scientists believe that the continent's annual flood costs may be 23.5bn euros by the middle of the century. Two-thirds of the projected increase in flood damage will be caused by human development, not climate change. The study has been published in the journal Nature Climate Change.
(the watchers/ 20140302) ibonacci alignments of the Azores Pyramid & submerged city of Poseida
An impressive new discovery in the Azores Islands occurred in early May 2013, and was announced to worldwide media coverage on September 19th. This unusual discovery took place by sheer accident. When local yachtsman Diocleciano Silva was deep-sea fishing between São Miguel and Terceira Islands he noticed a perfectly geometric formation on his high-accuracy depth-finder device. Silva's video of the odd sonar data reveals a large pyramid with 4 perfectly flat faces like those of the Great Pyramid....Height estimates for the submerged Azores pyramid provided in every article on the discovery claim a figure of 60m, which is suspiciously inaccurate in light of the original high-resolution depth-finder data provided as evidence (composited above). Clearly, the depth-finder data displays the base of the pyramid sitting on a small level plain at 360' below sea level. The apex of the pyramid is shown at just 136' below sea level, providing for a total height of 224' (360 - 136 = 224) or about 74m --not 60m. >> |
 |
|
| |
| |
^Maritime archeology off the Florida coast has indeed uncovered the megalithic remains of an ancient Atlantean road that has been censored by decades of corporate media disinformation programming. |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
 |
THREE MINOR SOLAR SEP EVENTS ON FEB 19 and 20:
followed one another on February 19 and 20. Out of my own observation , most of SEP remain rather invisible on Satellite images. Most experts however suggest, that these SEPs occure along with stronger solar flares.
The related solar event however was an M 2 flare around 7 UTC. As the first protons of that event arrived ( the goes plot has a bad time resolution) about at the same time ( lets say- due to EInsteins laws, at least some minutes later) the Protons speed this time ( while the Proton density this time was rather low and the duration of the entire proton storm rather short ) would have reached again almost the speed of light
< The event seems not to be very strong but hast reached its peak yet at time of this update. The NASA DRAP plot on 20140220 however shows a rather strong heat effect proton impact as typical on the Southern pole that even penetrates through the Earth interior up to the Northern pole, what means that . allthough the entire event has a minor intensity, the protons had an high speed >>
TYPICAL AND IMMIDIATELY EXPECTABLE EFFECTS OF SEP EVENTS ARE:
> increase of volcanic hot spot activities , mainly on the main impact longitudes
> Temperature anomalies with temporary rapide meltdown processes around the Southern pole and weather effects around the globe
The integral proton flux ( protons impacting into the geomagnetic filed) increased above 10 pfu on Feb 20. NASA RAP shows a typical intensive impact on the Southern Pole, where the highly accelerated solar protons transform their cinetic energy into friction and heat in the atmosphere as well as on the surface . Solar protons move along the magnetic field lines of the geomagnetic field into the Earth interior, where they mainly are slown down by the Earth`s strong gravity their , transforming their high cinetic energy into heat ( > what leads- in relation to the intensity of the proton storm most immidiataly to hot spot activities sonn after impact begins.) Later the geomagnetic field attrackts an equivalent of electrons from the interplanetary field to equal their positive charges. ( SEP Phase II) Finally protons are slown down enough to combine again with electrons to neutrons those further form isotopes.
ACCUMULATING SEPS : SEPS following one another can further accumulate theior energies within the earth body.
The cooling down of the tectonic plates then regularly causes major as extreme earthquakes. ( Phase III) . Yet one SEP followed another since months and this finally "cooling downprocess" had no chance to happen yet , what creates - so my research- a major and latent risk for a major earthquake event with magnitudes up to M 9.0
I dont know, whether these protons would - if fast enough- rotate for a while along their impact longitudes around the earth core and surface core as there also is no specific secientific research available resp. possible on that . Only the Max Planck Instuitute in Munich has researched those effects yet and described it as a" cosmical shoprt circuit between the Earth`s and solar magnetic field that can heat up the Earth axis like a stove" . I thought, I had posted a link to this very interesting essay by the MPI anywhere on my evaluation pages, but couldn`t find it again myself yet.This theory is supported by the fact, that these solar protons have the strongest effects along the related impacts latitudes where values were highest ( measured by GOES). This I evaluated just by comparision of SEPs in the past years and I am continuing to do so. In all cases of SEP impacts I have compared and evaluated yet, the coincidences are 100 % and regularly, thus they are evaluable for further prediction.
the main and most instant effect of impacting proton storms is a general rise involcanic "hot spot activities" ( volcano systems dstributed all around the globe, where magma can directly rise up from the Eart mantle in 30- 80 km depth... (continued in colum left from here) |
|
 |
...THUS, as the latest proton boost seems to diminuish since Feb 20/ 9 UTC, THE CURRENT PREDICTION would be, that the strongest effects of this minor S 1 protons storm would be expectable in the regions of the 90° longitude EAST, what would be the region between INDONESIA, INDIA and THE RED SEA. The magmatic activities near the AFAR depression ongoing since 2005 might intensify But LIKELY also aneighbored hot spot volcanoes such as Sinabung or Kelut mightincrease their activities soon. The event seems not to be a " big deal" The event intensity is minor but the protons seem to have an very high speed ( what then counts up to the total anmount of effective impact energy) |
| ^X ray flux/ February 18- 20- 2014 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
( MODIS/ 20140217)February 20, 2014 - Haze over India and Bangladesh |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
(yahoo/ 20140213/ Fukushima should eye 'controlled discharges' in sea: IAEA
Tokyo (AFP) - The UN nuclear watchdog on Thursday urged Japan to consider "controlled discharges" intothe sea of contaminated water used to cool the crippled reactors at Fukushima. The proposal was among recommendations outlined in a report by the International Atomic Energy Agency after its latest inspection of the worst nuclear accident in a generation. "The IAEA team believes it is necessary to find a sustainable solution to the problem of managing contaminated water," the 72-page report said. "This would require considering all options, including the possible resumption of controlled discharges to the sea."
(xinuanet:/ 201401212) TEPCO detects record levels of radioactive cesium near Pacific, more errors add to NRA's wrath
TOKYO, Feb. 13 (Xinhua) -- Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO), the operator of the stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear complex, said Thursday that samples of water tested contained radioactive cesium at levels never seen before by the embattled utility. TEPCO, while admitting there may be a new leak at the site of a well located just 50 meters from the adjacent Pacific Ocean, confirmed that the levels of cesium found in its groundwater samples were as high as 54,000 becquerels per liter of cesium 137 and 22,000 becquerels per liter of cesium 134. The levels of cesium detected in the latest readings, according to TEPCO, are 600 times higher than the government regulation for contaminated wastewater allowed to be released into the ocean, with the samples testing 30,000 times higher for cesium 137, compared to samples taken just a week earlier. A spokesperson for TEPCO said that radioactive water is probably leaking from underground trenches that link the stricken reactor buildings to the sea. The utility has failed to locate the source of the leak, in another major failing of TEPCO to contain the worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl in 1986.
LONDON, England, Wednesday February 12, 2014 – The Caribbean could be at risk from a mega-tsunami that scientists warn could devastate coastlines from Florida to Brazil following a volcanic eruption in the Canary Islands. The monster wave generated by part of a mountain collapsing into the sea would be the biggest ever recorded and would be an unstoppable force, travelling at speeds of up to 500mph. |
 |
|
| ^(BBC/ 20140214) Mass evacuation in Indonesia as Java volcano erupts |
( thewatchers) In a report published yesterday, new research suggests the enigmatic “ribbon” of energetic particles discovered at the edge of our solar system by NASA’s Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) may be only a small sign of the vast influence of the galactic magnetic field. |
IBEX research shows influence of galactic magnetic field extends well beyond our solar system |
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
<<< ( NASA EarthOb/ January 2014) Winter Heat Swamps Alaska
Winter Heat Swamps Alaska
While much of the continental United States endured several cold snaps in January 2014, record-breaking warmth gripped Alaska. Spring-like conditions set rivers rising and avalanches tumbling. This map depicts land surface temperature anomalies in Alaska for January 23–30, 2014. Based on data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite, the map shows how 2014 temperatures compared to the 2001–2010 average for the same week. Areas with warmer than average temperatures are shown in red; near-normal temperatures are white; and areas that were cooler than the base period are blue. Gray indicates oceans or areas where clouds blocked the satellite from collecting usable data. A persistent ridge of high pressure off the Pacific Coast fueled the warm spell, shunting warm air and rainstorms to Alaska instead of California, where they normally end up. The last half of January was one of the warmest winter periods in Alaska’s history, with temperatures as much as 40°F (22°C) above normal on some days in the central and western portions of the state, according to Weather Underground’s Christopher Bart
(NASA EarthOb/Global surface temperature anomalies/ latest image: December 2013
About this dataset:
Land surface temperature is how hot or cold the ground feels to the touch. An anomaly is when something is different from average. These maps show where Earth’s surface was warmer or cooler in the daytime than the average temperatures for the same week or month from 2001-2010. So, a land surface temperature anomaly map for May 2002 shows how that month’s average temperature was different from the average temperature for all Mays between 2001 and 2010
|
 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
find all previous reports in my 2014 event logs and associated archives |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
click here to open and close collapsible panel with SELECTED PREVIOUS ENVIRONMENTAL NEWS AND HEADLINES (previous days)
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
REPORTS |
2014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(BBC/ 20140302) Thousands in Guatemala facing evacuation as Pacaya volcano erupts
A volcano has erupted in Guatemala, prompting the authorities to consider the evacuation of some 3,000 people living in the area. The Pacaya volcano began spewing ash and lava after a powerful explosion on Saturday afternoon. New explosions were seen on Sunday, with ash clouds reaching a height or at least 4km (3 miles). Flights have been diverted from the area, some 50km (30 miles) south of the capital, Guatemala City. The Pacaya is one of three active volcanoes in the Central American nation. The other two are the Fuego and the Santa Maria.
(earthquake report/ 20140302) Very strong dangerous earthquake near the Nicaragua coast
Update : The Nicaraguan press is reporting continuous aftershocks in the greater epicenter area Update : It is estimated that tens of millions of people have felt this earthquake at various intensities. A lot of people will have been interrupted from their sleep. The reason that so many people have felt it is the depth of the hypocenter. At earthquake-report.com we know from our experience that earthquakes in between 50 and 80 km depth are being felt as strong up to several hundred kms from the epicenter. This is also the reason that we are receiving “I Have Felt It” reports from all the neighboring countries (luckily without serious damage so far).
(BBC/ 20140303) Europe-wide flood losses to 'increase four fold' by 2050
According to the most accurate model yet developed, flood damage losses across Europe are expected to increase four fold by 2050. The scientists believe that the continent's annual flood costs may be 23.5bn euros by the middle of the century. Two-thirds of the projected increase in flood damage will be caused by human development, not climate change. The study has been published in the journal Nature Climate Change.
(the watchers/ 20140302) ibonacci alignments of the Azores Pyramid & submerged city of Poseida
An impressive new discovery in the Azores Islands occurred in early May 2013, and was announced to worldwide media coverage on September 19th. This unusual discovery took place by sheer accident. When local yachtsman Diocleciano Silva was deep-sea fishing between São Miguel and Terceira Islands he noticed a perfectly geometric formation on his high-accuracy depth-finder device. Silva's video of the odd sonar data reveals a large pyramid with 4 perfectly flat faces like those of the Great Pyramid....Height estimates for the submerged Azores pyramid provided in every article on the discovery claim a figure of 60m, which is suspiciously inaccurate in light of the original high-resolution depth-finder data provided as evidence (composited above). Clearly, the depth-finder data displays the base of the pyramid sitting on a small level plain at 360' below sea level. The apex of the pyramid is shown at just 136' below sea level, providing for a total height of 224' (360 - 136 = 224) or about 74m --not 60m. >> |
|
|
| |
| |
^Maritime archeology off the Florida coast has indeed uncovered the megalithic remains of an ancient Atlantean road that has been censored by decades of corporate media disinformation programming. |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
(volcano- discovery/ 20140227) Popocatépetl volcano (Mexico): surge in activity destroys existing lava dome and leaves new crater
The volcano's activity increased yesterday. CENAPRED counted no less than 544 small to moderate emissions during the 24 hours between 25-26 Feb. An overflight with the support of the Navy yesterday afternoon showed that the most recent lava dome (number 48) had been destroyed by this activity. At its place, a new funnel shaped pit, approx 80 m deep was seen. At the bottom of this crater, a new lava dome of 20-30 m diameter already made its appearance. 
(abc.net.au/ 20140228) Fiji hit by heavy rains and flooding as tropical depression approaches country
Fiji will likely be spared the worst of a tropical depression that's formed over the country. Heavy rain over the past two days has brought flooding to several parts of the main island of Viti Levu, including the capital Suva. At 6am local time, the tropical depression was located about 170 kilometres north-northeast of Labasa, and was moving north-east at about 14 kilometres an hour.
<< (the watchers/ 20140301) The Hummingbird Pyramid discovered in La Maná, Ecuador among 17 ancient temples
A monumental discovery was recently made south of La Maná, Ecuador on November 17, 2013 while exploring low mountains along the Calope River. The megalithic ruins of an ancient temple have been partially exposed by the dynamite blasts of roadworkers and the erosive action of water, uncovering large sections of basalt foundations along two sides of a structure exceeding 70m in height. |
 |
|
|
|
| |
^Popocatepetl webcam / Mexico |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
(volcano-discovery/ 20140225) Volcanic activity worldwide 25 Feb 2014: Etna, Marsili Seamount, Pacaya, Kelud, Ibu, Tungurahua, Kilauea
Etna (Sicily, Italy): Mild strombolian activity from the New SE crater and weekly alimented lava effusion from the fissure vents at its eastern base continue.
Marsili Seamount (Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy): A recently published study shows that submarine explosive eruptions have occurred at the underwater volcano in historical times. Therefore, the volcano should be included as one of Italy's still active volcanoes.
 >>
Kelud (East Java): An areal photo from 23 Feb shows no signs of a new lava dome, at least not near the surface of the new crater.
Ibu (Halmahera, Indonesia): A thermal anomaly remains visible at the volcano on satellite data, suggesting that there is some sort of ongoing eruptive activity. This could likely be from a slowly growing lava dome.
Kilauea (Hawai'i): (24 Feb) The Kahauale`a 2 lava flow reached 7.8 km (4.8 mi) northeast of Pu`u `O`o by mid-January before stalling. Recent surface flows have been active as small scattered breakouts behind the flow front.
|
/sciencedirect/ First documented deep submarine explosive eruptions at the Marsili Seamount (Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy): A case of historical volcanism in the Mediterranean Sea
The Marsili Seamount (MS) is an about 3200 m high volcanic complex measuring 70 × 30 km with the top at ~ 500 m b.s.l. MS is interpreted as the ridge of the 2 Ma old Marsili back-arc basin belonging to the Calabrian Arc–Ionian Sea subduction system (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy). Previous studies indicate that the MS activity developed between 1 and 0.1 Ma through effusions of lava flows. Here, new stratigraphic, textural, geochemical, and 14C geochronological data from a 95 cm long gravity core (COR02) recovered at 839 m bsl in the MS central sector are presented. COR02 contains mud and two tephras consisting of 98 to 100 area% of volcanic ash. The thickness of the upper tephra (TEPH01) is 15 cm, and that of the lower tephra (TEPH02) is 60 cm. The tephras have poor to moderate sorting, loose to partly welded levels, and erosive contacts, which imply a short distance source of the pyroclastics. 14C dating on fossils above and below TEPH01 gives an age of 3 ka BP. Calculations of the sedimentation rates from the mud sediments above and between the tephras suggest that a formation of TEPH02 at 5 ka BP MS ashes has a high-K calcalkaline affinity with 53 wt.% < SiO2 < 68 wt.%, and their composition overlaps that of the MS lava flows. The trace element pattern is consistent with fractional crystallization from a common, OIB-like basalt. The source area of ashes is the central sector of MS and not a subaerial volcano of the Campanian and/or Aeolian Quaternary volcanic districts. Submarine, explosive eruptions occurred at MS in historical times: this is the first evidence of explosive volcanic activity at a significant (500–800 m bsl) water depth in the Mediterranean Sea. MS is still active, the monitoring and an evaluation of the different types of hazards are highly recommended.
|
|
|
|
|
| ^NASA | SDO Observes Strong X-class Solar Flare |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
THREE MINOR SOLAR SEP EVENTS ON FEB 19 and 20:
followed one another on February 19 and 20. Out of my own observation , most of SEP remain rather invisible on Satellite images. Most experts however suggest, that these SEPs occure along with stronger solar flares.
The related solar event however was an M 2 flare around 7 UTC. As the first protons of that event arrived ( the goes plot has a bad time resolution) about at the same time ( lets say- due to EInsteins laws, at least some minutes later) the Protons speed this time ( while the Proton density this time was rather low and the duration of the entire proton storm rather short ) would have reached again almost the speed of light
< The event seems not to be very strong but hast reached its peak yet at time of this update. The NASA DRAP plot on 20140220 however shows a rather strong heat effect proton impact as typical on the Southern pole that even penetrates through the Earth interior up to the Northern pole, what means that . allthough the entire event has a minor intensity, the protons had an high speed >>
TYPICAL AND IMMIDIATELY EXPECTABLE EFFECTS OF SEP EVENTS ARE:
> increase of volcanic hot spot activities , mainly on the main impact longitudes
> Temperature anomalies with temporary rapide meltdown processes around the Southern pole and weather effects around the globe
The integral proton flux ( protons impacting into the geomagnetic filed) increased above 10 pfu on Feb 20. NASA RAP shows a typical intensive impact on the Southern Pole, where the highly accelerated solar protons transform their cinetic energy into friction and heat in the atmosphere as well as on the surface . Solar protons move along the magnetic field lines of the geomagnetic field into the Earth interior, where they mainly are slown down by the Earth`s strong gravity their , transforming their high cinetic energy into heat ( > what leads- in relation to the intensity of the proton storm most immidiataly to hot spot activities sonn after impact begins.) Later the geomagnetic field attrackts an equivalent of electrons from the interplanetary field to equal their positive charges. ( SEP Phase II) Finally protons are slown down enough to combine again with electrons to neutrons those further form isotopes.
ACCUMULATING SEPS : SEPS following one another can further accumulate theior energies within the earth body.
The cooling down of the tectonic plates then regularly causes major as extreme earthquakes. ( Phase III) . Yet one SEP followed another since months and this finally "cooling downprocess" had no chance to happen yet , what creates - so my research- a major and latent risk for a major earthquake event with magnitudes up to M 9.0
I dont know, whether these protons would - if fast enough- rotate for a while along their impact longitudes around the earth core and surface core as there also is no specific secientific research available resp. possible on that . Only the Max Planck Instuitute in Munich has researched those effects yet and described it as a" cosmical shoprt circuit between the Earth`s and solar magnetic field that can heat up the Earth axis like a stove" . I thought, I had posted a link to this very interesting essay by the MPI anywhere on my evaluation pages, but couldn`t find it again myself yet.This theory is supported by the fact, that these solar protons have the strongest effects along the related impacts latitudes where values were highest ( measured by GOES). This I evaluated just by comparision of SEPs in the past years and I am continuing to do so. In all cases of SEP impacts I have compared and evaluated yet, the coincidences are 100 % and regularly, thus they are evaluable for further prediction.
the main and most instant effect of impacting proton storms is a general rise involcanic "hot spot activities" ( volcano systems dstributed all around the globe, where magma can directly rise up from the Eart mantle in 30- 80 km depth... (continued in colum left from here) |
|
|
...THUS, as the latest proton boost seems to diminuish since Feb 20/ 9 UTC, THE CURRENT PREDICTION would be, that the strongest effects of this minor S 1 protons storm would be expectable in the regions of the 90° longitude EAST, what would be the region between INDONESIA, INDIA and THE RED SEA. The magmatic activities near the AFAR depression ongoing since 2005 might intensify But LIKELY also aneighbored hot spot volcanoes such as Sinabung or Kelut mightincrease their activities soon. The event seems not to be a " big deal" The event intensity is minor but the protons seem to have an very high speed ( what then counts up to the total anmount of effective impact energy) |
| ^X ray flux/ February 18- 20- 2014 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
|
( MODIS/ 20140217)February 20, 2014 - Haze over India and Bangladesh |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
(BBC/ 20140216) UK floods: Army to carry out 'rapid inspection' of defences
The Army is to carry out a "rapid inspection" of England's flood defences within five weeks to assess the damage left by unprecedented flooding. Defence Secretary Philip Hammond said the work would normally take two years. He also said in future the military might step in sooner. David Cameron said the floods had been a "tragedy for all those affected". The widow of a cruise ship passenger who died when it was hit by storms said the vessel was "badly maintained".
(BBC/ 20140216) Japan hit by deadly snowstorms
At least 11 people have killed by a record-breaking snowstorm in Japan, according to local media. Hundreds of people have been evacuated from their homes and hundreds more injured, as more than one metre (three feet) of snow fell in some areas. The snow forced airports to cancel flights and closed roads as it barrelled past Tokyo on Saturday. Forecasters are warning of blizzards and avalanches later, as the storm moves north towards Hokkaido. Kyodo news agency reported deaths in several prefectures near Tokyo, and other deaths as far south as Oita on Kyushu island.
(BBC/ 20140215) US storm that left traffic misery hits eastern Canada
A giant winter storm that gridlocked traffic, left flights cancelled, and knocked out power in the US East Coast has pushed into eastern Canada. As much as 60cm (24in) was expected to fall in some areas by the end of Friday, blown about by heavy winds, from Quebec to Newfoundland. Authorities closed a 200km (124 mile) section of the Trans-Canada Highway in Quebec. The storm has been blamed for the deaths of more than two dozen people.
(BBC/ 20140215) Wavier jet stream 'may drive weather shift
New research suggests that the main system that helps determine the weather over Northern Europe and North America may be changing. The study shows that the so-called jet stream has increasingly taken a longer, meandering path. This has resulted in weather remaining the same for more prolonged periods. The work was presented at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in Chicago.The observation could be as a result of the recent warming of the Arctic. Temperatures there have been rising two to three times faster than the rest of the globe.
The jet stream, as its name suggests, is a high-speed air current in the atmosphere that brings with it the weather. It is fuelled partly by the temperature differential between the Arctic and the mid-latitudes. If the differential is large then the jet stream speeds up, and like a river flowing down a steep hill, it ploughs through any obstacles - such as areas of high pressure that might be in its way. If the temperature differential reduces because of a warming Arctic then the jet stream weakens and, again, like a river on a flat bed, it will meander every time it comes across an obstacle....read more...
|
 |
|
| |
|
^( NASA/) Sochi, Russia Winter Olympic Sites (Mountain Cluster) |
|
|
|
(yahoo/ 20140213/ Fukushima should eye 'controlled discharges' in sea: IAEA
Tokyo (AFP) - The UN nuclear watchdog on Thursday urged Japan to consider "controlled discharges" intothe sea of contaminated water used to cool the crippled reactors at Fukushima. The proposal was among recommendations outlined in a report by the International Atomic Energy Agency after its latest inspection of the worst nuclear accident in a generation. "The IAEA team believes it is necessary to find a sustainable solution to the problem of managing contaminated water," the 72-page report said. "This would require considering all options, including the possible resumption of controlled discharges to the sea."
(xinuanet:/ 201401212) TEPCO detects record levels of radioactive cesium near Pacific, more errors add to NRA's wrath
TOKYO, Feb. 13 (Xinhua) -- Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO), the operator of the stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear complex, said Thursday that samples of water tested contained radioactive cesium at levels never seen before by the embattled utility. TEPCO, while admitting there may be a new leak at the site of a well located just 50 meters from the adjacent Pacific Ocean, confirmed that the levels of cesium found in its groundwater samples were as high as 54,000 becquerels per liter of cesium 137 and 22,000 becquerels per liter of cesium 134. The levels of cesium detected in the latest readings, according to TEPCO, are 600 times higher than the government regulation for contaminated wastewater allowed to be released into the ocean, with the samples testing 30,000 times higher for cesium 137, compared to samples taken just a week earlier. A spokesperson for TEPCO said that radioactive water is probably leaking from underground trenches that link the stricken reactor buildings to the sea. The utility has failed to locate the source of the leak, in another major failing of TEPCO to contain the worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl in 1986.
LONDON, England, Wednesday February 12, 2014 – The Caribbean could be at risk from a mega-tsunami that scientists warn could devastate coastlines from Florida to Brazil following a volcanic eruption in the Canary Islands. The monster wave generated by part of a mountain collapsing into the sea would be the biggest ever recorded and would be an unstoppable force, travelling at speeds of up to 500mph. |
|
|
| ^(BBC/ 20140214) Mass evacuation in Indonesia as Java volcano erupts |
( thewatchers) In a report published yesterday, new research suggests the enigmatic “ribbon” of energetic particles discovered at the edge of our solar system by NASA’s Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) may be only a small sign of the vast influence of the galactic magnetic field. |
IBEX research shows influence of galactic magnetic field extends well beyond our solar system |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
earthquake report com/ STRONG M 6.9 Earthquake hit Xinjiang reagion China
Update 11:33 UTC : Official statement from the Xinjiang Earthquake authority : Yutian County, 7.3 magnitude earthquake. The Xinjiang autonomous Seismological Bureau immediately launched an emergency plan. We try to quickly find out what happened in the epicenter area and called Yutian County by telephone. Locations in Yutian county felt the earthquake strongly. Buildings in Yutian are reported with cracks. No word of casualties so far. Officers have been send to the epicenter area to investigate the disaster. Autonomous Region Seismological Bureau intends to sent a 23 people on-site work team with a flight to conduct field work. Hotan Prefecture Earthquake Seismic Bureau has rushed staff to the quake zone to report on the disaster. China Seismological Bureau will sent 13 people for earthquake fieldwork and to assist the local governments to carry out emergency work days. Update 10:27 UTC: A rescue team was sent by the Xinjiang government to check the affected area. Update 09:54 UTC : An aftershock of M5.7 @ 5 km depth is just reported by one of my colleagues. Such an aftershock alone can be damaging in China! Update 09:53 UTC : Max Wyss reports that he expects 0 to 50 fatalities and 0 to 120 injured but his data is based on the USGS data who report a Magnitude of 6.8 at 2 km. Chinese data are more dangerous at 7.3 at 12 km deep. Max Wyss also reports that only 1 small settlement is located within the 50 km radius around the epicenter.
(BBC/ 20140212)Storm affecting US east coast as havoc persists in South
A huge winter storm is affecting the densely populated US north-east, after wreaking havoc in the South. Across the typically mild South, more than half a million homes and businesses lack power, and more than 3,300 US flights have been cancelled. The mammoth storm has affected people in 22 states from Texas to Maine and caused at least 10 deaths. The most crowded swath of the US - between Washington DC and Boston - is bracing for up to 8in (20cm) of snow.
(volcano-discovery/ 20140212) Etna (Sicily, Italy): A (for Etna standards) very large pyroclastic flow descended this morning on the eastern flank from the area of the new vents that opened yesterday on the eastern side beneath the summit of the New SE crater. Most likely, explosive lava-snow interaction and destabilization of this area where new magma was pushing its way outside caused a sector to collapse and descend the Valle del Bove flank as a hot turbulent avalanche (=pyroclastic flow).It reached the bottom of Valle del Bove in less than 3 minutes and traveled about 3 km length, which implies an average speed of 60 km/h, with maximum speed probably in excess of 100 km/h (approx. 65 mph). |
 |
|
|
|
( Bendbulletin/ 20130209)3rd quake in 10 days serves as a reminder
A shallow magnitude 3.0 earthquake that was centered near Hollywood and shook parts of the Los Angeles basin Saturday morning was the third temblor to hit the area in the last two weeks. The latest quake occurred at 10:13 a.m. at a depth of five miles and was felt from the west side to East L.A., said Anthony Guarino, a seismologist at Caltech. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the epicenter was near the intersection of Melrose and Virgil avenues, on the eastern edge of Hollywood. It was the third magnitude 3.0 or greater quake to hit that area in the last 10 days. “It’s pretty standard for L.A.,” Guarino said. “There are a lot of different faults there.” Clusters of small quakes are common in the Los Angeles basin and generally don’t signify that the “big one” is coming, Guarino said. Every earthquake has a one in five chance of being a foreshock for a larger quake, he added. The odds of that decline quickly as time goes by. The region remains overdue for a massive quake. The southern section of the San Andreas Fault, which starts near the Salton Sea and runs north to Palmdale, has historically caused a large earthquake every 150 years on average. It has not ruptured since 1680.
(volcano_discobvery/ 20140211) Volcanic activity worldwide 11 Feb 2014: Kelud, Mammoth Mountain, Etna, Kilauea
Kelud (East Java): (11 Feb) VSI raised the alert status to the second highest level 3 (out of 4), "Siaga" (meaning eruption warning). In its latest report, VSI informs that an ongoing slight deformation, suggesting magma intrusion, has been detected since September and that a strong increase in seismic activity started on 7 February.
Mammoth Mountain (California, USA): An small earthquake swarm at shallow depths (around 5 km) occurred east of Mammoth Mountain during the past week. The largest quake was a magnitude 3.0 event on 5 Feb.
This latest (of many in the past years) seismic swarm is weak in terms of number and energy of earthquakes compared to long-term averages of seismic activity at the Long Valley caldera, an active volcanic system that is capable to erupt (probably not in a near future, though) and is being closely monitored by very experienced staff from USGS.
Etna (Sicily, Italy): A (for Etna standards) very large pyroclastic flow descended this morning on the eastern flank from the area of the new vents that opened yesterday on the eastern side beneath the summit of the New SE crater. |
 |
|
| (NASA/ )NASA SDO - Year 4 |
|
(NASA/ MODIS) February 11, 2014 - Tropical Cyclone Edilson (13S) over Reunion and Mauritius |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
<<< ( NASA EarthOb/ January 2014) Winter Heat Swamps Alaska
Winter Heat Swamps Alaska
While much of the continental United States endured several cold snaps in January 2014, record-breaking warmth gripped Alaska. Spring-like conditions set rivers rising and avalanches tumbling. This map depicts land surface temperature anomalies in Alaska for January 23–30, 2014. Based on data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite, the map shows how 2014 temperatures compared to the 2001–2010 average for the same week. Areas with warmer than average temperatures are shown in red; near-normal temperatures are white; and areas that were cooler than the base period are blue. Gray indicates oceans or areas where clouds blocked the satellite from collecting usable data. A persistent ridge of high pressure off the Pacific Coast fueled the warm spell, shunting warm air and rainstorms to Alaska instead of California, where they normally end up. The last half of January was one of the warmest winter periods in Alaska’s history, with temperatures as much as 40°F (22°C) above normal on some days in the central and western portions of the state, according to Weather Underground’s Christopher Bart
(NASA EarthOb/Global surface temperature anomalies/ latest image: December 2013
About this dataset:
Land surface temperature is how hot or cold the ground feels to the touch. An anomaly is when something is different from average. These maps show where Earth’s surface was warmer or cooler in the daytime than the average temperatures for the same week or month from 2001-2010. So, a land surface temperature anomaly map for May 2002 shows how that month’s average temperature was different from the average temperature for all Mays between 2001 and 2010
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
find all previous reports in my 2014 event logs and associated archives |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
| SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY LIGHTENINGS (June 2014) |
|
find more on RT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
VARIOUS:
changes/ January 25- 2014:
2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have strongest related and signiciant geophysical effects.
Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I dont expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.
Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluationas as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research
Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ,this documentary has focussed on, as being the strongest and most geoeffective known type of solar event) do happen MOST frequently during the solar max, but are als present in the same strength all 11 years in between but just in lower number.
So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..
so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:
H. Hummel Munich/ Germany |
|
|
| |
|
|
click here to expand and close this panel to read previous posts with: LATEST SIGNIFICANT SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL EVENTS
| |
|
SDO- 20140120/ 22:11 |
|
|
JANUARY 21- 29 2014:
most of the experts believe,"the sun is turning silent". But this statement refers only to the sun spot/ x ray activity ( which is just a highest in the entire spectrum) Ths activity in the average, t indreed was lower during the 24 solar cyle compared to the previous ones. But all these examinations only regard the number of sun spots( related to the solar flux) but not- for instance - the size of single sun spots. However. in October 2012, more and more single sun spots appeared on another significantly increasing in seize, and became the dominant - often even the only source of flares on the visible sun disc. Some of them were sparkling with hundreds of flares around the clock for weeks , others produced 4 x flares in a row. This trend continues since then and increased so far,as there were recently more and more entire complex single active regions, "doing the job" The most massive was AR 11944/43 that involved in zje first week of 2014 at least 1/ 8 of the solar disc in its activities and was the source of the strongest SEP) (ass to an X 1.2 flare) observed in the last years ( Jan 07), with a proton speed higher then 1/ 2 c and a density of 1000. pfu the strongest since? (years?) After that powerful perfomance the solar disc turned again quite for about 14 days (until January 20). Yet on January 19 2014, a new region ( AR 11959/ 60) rotated in on the eastern limb and began with intensive flares. A major flare on Jan 20 was likely then source of an ( if so...)high speed CME flanc impact today.- Jan21 , that has a significant positive polarity or proton overcharge, knocking down again a bit the integral electron flux and geomag field intensity. AR11959/ 60 will accompony us until end of January 2014, and will for sure have some surprises such as SEPs. >> |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
JANUARY 07- 2014:
The largest sun spot observed during the 24 11 years cycle max (complex region AR 11944 and 34 )now produced also the strongest Earth directed CME event observed in the last two years while just crossing the central solar meridian. It was just the strongest event amonng an entire serial of flares and CMEs typically following major SEP events. The flare was classified as X1.2/2N but was also very intensive, large and wide . The CME was associated to an increase of the ongoing proton storm from about 20 pfu ( January 06) to1000 pfu (!!) on January 08. Due to solen.info, the CME has a record exit speed of about 2500 km/s will arrive likely early on January 09 and will have largest and major geophysical effects My alert warning is on highest ed alert: More updates as weell as a video will follow later that day. if the time of the X1.2/2N solar event is also the time of the SEP event, Protons had again a speed near to the speed of light! first images and data from the large solar event ( the strongest SEP and Earth directed ( X class flare) and CME observed during the last 2 years- without regarding previous events )>> |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
JANUARY 02- 2014- a new minor proton event ( SEP) was observed late on January 04. Ths source was likely AR 11936 , that produced an M1.9 flare at 22:52 UTC while at the southwest limb >
NEW ACTIVE REGION (AR) 11944 rotated in on the eastern limb on Jan 02. AR 11844 has the largest sun spots I have seen during the last two years maximum. The region is already busy in producing flares and has the capability for X+ flares and similar events (SEP?). Solar (xray bg.) activity is still on C level, since recent flares could not really unleash the energy and tension into space by CMEs >>
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
update/ JANUARY 02- 2014 : AR 11 11936 produced two massive M flares-: A M 3 flare December 31 and a M 9 flare on January 01. Increased solar activity has followed the SEP twin events on December 26 and 28 with x ray background flux exceeding C level on Dec 31. . AR 11936 had already produced several flares and CMEs in the days after Dec 26. The first had a weak earth directed component, that neverthelsse fully impacted into the geomagnetic field with it currently positive charge given by the latest SEP. The second CME observed on December 31was stronger and just began to impact today on January 02 at time of this update. The latest CMEs observed yesterday and today were quite stronger and also fully halo, and will also most likely impact with their fully force into the geomag. field on January 02- 3 and deliver even more energy into the volcanic systems those became active after the latest SEPs ( mainly El Hierro- Canary Islands. The new magmatic activity episode from the hotspot resumed again on January 01 . THe inflation process lifted up the Western edge of El Hierro shield volcano ( that had already began to deflate/ subsizide and sink for 2 cm on Jan 31) for 2 cm in just one day. Its wellknown that esp. in the Atlantic with its massive plates , stronger earthquakes are rather seldom . But - as volcanic eruptions if, stronger events would occure very suddenly and with almost NO prewarning signs. as they might be strong and long even at lower magnitudes |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NOTICES/ OBSERVATIONS/ SUMMARIES OF SOLAR ACTIVITY- 2013.click here to expand register card to read more...
2013- SOLAR ACTIVITY/ CHARACTERISTICS: |
| SOLAR ACTIVITY - NOVEMBER 2013The activity is currently also high due to a periodical fluctuation that reaches its peak about each 1/2 year, shortly before the two annual sun soltices. All solar emissions move radial from the solar core. This means such a periodical stronger x ray flux and flaring measured around the soltice is perharps just measured not in any other directions than on Earth .Its mainly suggested that peaks of gravitational forces such as during planetary and larger stellar alignments might cause the highly sensible solar electromagnetic field to fluctuate in different waves and frequencies, what mainls results in flare activity. Thus the alignment with the galactic core during both soltices mightly likely e responsible for for this regular half year fluctuation, that can be observed each year. ) There are two other periodical fluctuations: The one is what I call 30 days short period fluctuation (its irregular and takes 20- 35 days). Another long term fluctuations, resp solar cycle , the current 24. 11 years sun spot cycle is believed to interfer with , is not really explored yet, but suggested to take 60 or 120 years.This two cycle interference leads- so NASA. to a double peak of this 24. 11 year sun spot cyclem with the second peak expected in 2015). Current solar data seem to confirm that suggestion. |
| SOLAR EVENT- OCTOBER- 23 - 2013 solar sun spot activity reached with more than 180 sun spots and background x ray flux on C level the second highest value in 2013, Rising sun pots are related to low eruptive activities and will drop when some of the accumulating energy will be relaeased by significant eruptions and CMEs. Major event- likely another SEP becomes imminent for the next 1- 7 days. AR 11875 with its many tiny spots formed with corresponding AR 11837 and 11830 a line with numerous flare activity . AR 11875 was the most active AR. and produced many flares including two M flares-during the past days. One flare associated with a filament eruption North of AR 11875 on Oct 22 seems to have earth directed parts and likely is the source of the minor geomagnetic impact found on GOES. on Oct 23. Interesting is also that single sun spots continuously increased in size since 2012. Sun spot activity has much to do with dense matter and its gravity . There is nothing known about out of what sun spots consist. I call them antimatter also as the reactions they cause are just those exepectable for master with opposite polarity. |
| AUGUST- 28- 2013: A new very active region AR 11836 rotated in on August 27. The regions was very active yet and produces one flare after another. Proton values are elevated on ACE since August 17, and indicates that the most of these flares observed since then are indeed proton flares- have an alpha polarity- what means, that alpha particles /hydrogen core/ positive charges were ejected with an higher energy than their electron equivalant. The nature of these proton flares and the fact that these protons flares ar most frequent in thelast year of the solar 11 year cycle maxima, is not fully understood yet but has obviously to do with what NASA calls the all 11 year " flipping of the solar magnetic field". The impact of solar matter is however always a question OF ENERGY- means: how energetic this material is (by temperature and acceleration). A shower of cold water wouldn`t effect on the Earth at all, while especially CMEs with positive polarities impact fully in to the geomagnetic field, developing always an entire cascade of effects, those cuurently just accumulate energy on a steady rising POTENTIAL OF ENERGY within the earth body ( that works like a capacitor) that will become effective when these solar activities will decrease resp come to a halt any time after. . |
NEW SOLAR SAP ("solar accelerated protons") EVENT ON AUGUST 17-. 2013!
SEVERAL SAPS HAD ACCUMULATED THEIR ENERGIES( SINCE MARCH 2013) . THE SAP RELATED ELECTRON ACTIVITY GRADUALLY BEGAN TO DECREASE AFTER JULY 30 AND DROPPED FIRST TIME SINCE MONTH BELOW 100 pfu. on AUGUST 12- 2013. AUG 15: The cooling down process of tectonic plates affected by the previous SAPs in 2013 was disturbed and finally interupted by a new INCREASE IN GEOEFFECTIVE ELECTRONS after serial of CMEs ass. with an HSS on AUGUST 15.
ON AUGUST 17/ 18:32 UTC even another SOLAR SAP shook the planetary environment associated with a major M 3 flare from large AR 11818, that was FULLY HALO (Earth directed) on SoHO imagery. Introgeomagnetic PROTON flux increased aftergeomagnetic effects typical for SAPs will start all over again, and accompony us (at least!) throughout August 2013 |
| NOTICES/ OBSERVATIONS/ SUMMARIES OF SOLAR ACTIVITY- 2013 AUGUST 15- 2013: Solar Sun Spot activity resumed again after the period of every year`s " midsummer low" lasted longer than in previous years. NASA predicted the" all 11 years" flip of the NORTHERN (+) and SOUTHERN(-) magnetic poles to complete in the coming months until winter soltice 201, while - due to recent observations- the expected main eruptive activity ( mainly done by solar electrons) has already shifted to the SOUTHERN hemisphere, while the Northern solar corona is almost calm and inactive. |
| MAR- 12- 2013 :a new very active group of sun spots AR ( 11692- 95) rotated into sight in the Eastern solar limb.AR 11692 was sprinkling with flares and might produce M class events over the coming 10 days. |
FEBRUARY 2013 ACTIVITY CHARACTERISTICS: |
INCREASING NUMBER OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS?
Protons do not carry or emit energetic particles , thus their source mostly remains invisible on satellite imagery. But- as measurable on specific instruments on ACE and GOES, interplanetary PROTONFLUX began to increase on February 02/ 15 UTC. This proton increase peaked on Feb 03, is slowly dropping since then, but was still elavated on Feb 07- 2013. Another slight increase in PROTON FLUX was measured on Feb 07also within the geomag field caused by the arrival of a CME from a seldom proton flare on Feb 08 ( AR 11667) >>
Regarding the low x ray values ( B- C class only( during the latest solar eruptions might easily make believe and lead to the error , that the eruptive activity in our central star is very low. The partial impact of the recent CMEs observed on FEB 06 however was much stronger than the solar eruption had indicated before. Only ACE EPAMp and SIS ata reveal: AR 11667 had produced sveral minor proton flares , those are the strongest type of solar eruptions, though they appear as rather small in imageries and x- ray measurements. Protons are invisible for cameras and the free eye and what was visible during of eruption are the initial nuclear reaction and the electrons activited and emitted with that proton event. Another sudden increase of interplanetary proton even was measured after an unknown unspecific event by ACE EPAMp and SIS on February 08. AR 11667 only produced a minor B 2 flare on February 08 while a LDE flared over 2 days on the backside of the Sun. Several rythmical events were observed on STEREO during these the Sun emitted particles and solar wind pulses in all directions. Interplanetary proton flux began to decrease afterwards and was on Feb 11 almost back to normal levels. Moscow cosmic ray stations that measures Neutron flux , registered an increase in neutrons since January 2013 to highest levels measured in the past two years.beisde. Electron and proton flux always is correlated and the measured values show that these free proton usually combine with free electron to Neutrons already in the planetary medium and impact as neutrons then. Neutrons are energetic particles , those have no charge - as their electron activity is neutralised / surpressed by the proton gravity and cannot escape from the neutron . in other words. Neutrons are particles those store their electron energy like an accumulator . No energetic or paradox effects would be expected by neutrons. However nothing is known yet how neutron might or do effects the Earth environment . What is known is that neutrons integrate in other atoms and alter them first temporarely into isotopes , those later change their element in terms of the elements periodic system . Best known example is the C 14 ( carbon 14) isotope produced by solar neutron impacts , used for to determine the age of organic substances. C 14 decays in a halflife time of 5,730±40 years to Nitrogen , when the absorbed additional neutron (as it has no proton and electron pair as equivalent) deacys into a proton and electron again. C14 halftime method"
The i ncreasing number of- allthough still minor- proton flares and events observed since January 2013 indicate : the Sun obviously entered a new phase in its 11 year sunspot cycle activity, suggested to peak around March 21- 2013- producing more and more proton flares. The most real AR 11667 produced only proton flares during the past week. Any protons emissions however reduce/ swallow much of the electron and x ray emission of the eruption and give us by their PARADOX EFFECTS by altering measurements, based on electron activity (magnetometers, radiation etc.) easily a false impression of these events, those have therefore carefully to be observed
|
FEB 02- 06/ 07 and 09 / 2013:
Protons do not carry or emit energetic particles , thus their source mostly remains invisible on satellite imagery. But- as measurable on specific instruments on ACE and GOES, interplanetary PROTONFLUX began to increase on February 02/ 15 UTC. This proton increase peaked on Feb 03, is slowly dropping since then, but was still elavated on Feb 07- 2013. Another slight increase in PROTON FLUX was measured on Feb 07also within the geomag field caused by the arrival of a seldom proton flare on Feb 08 ( AE 11667) >> |
FEBRUARY- 06 2013:
An impulsive C 8 class.(PROTON?) flare took place in AR 11667 on Feb- 06- 2013 after 00: 15 UTC and created an impresssive magnetic arc ( prominence) after 3 UTC to new AR 11699. The associated fast CME was partial- fully halo on SoHo and will arrive appr. on Feb- 08. AR 11699 rotated in at the eastern limb and appears to be the currently most active regions (AR) on the visible Sun disc. |
FEBRUARY 10- 2013:
An impressive eruption - was observed on February 09 after 06:11 (4) in the spotted region S 2212 between AR 11667 and AR 11670 accompanied by magnetic arcs and prominences. Interplanetary Proton flux already increased after on February 08, then dropped again . The interplanetary increase of electrons measured shortly before the minor CME arrrived on Feb 11 indicated that this CME has a negative polarity/ charge |
| |
JANUARY 2013- last observed activity characteristics : |
|
An significant increase in solar activity was noticed since begin of 2013. Since the Sun more and more makes "summersets" in activity. Last event images above) was another seldom SOLAR PROTON OUTBREAK "PROTON STORM" that began on Jan- 17 after 00 UTC and is ONGOING. ( the 5fth within the last year). What appears as a malefunction is just a dark matter effect caused be the proton eruption that obviously began after 18 UTC ( 4) at the Western limb from where it typically ran like a shock wave through and over the entire Sun ( solar proton storm) . I will try to get a video version of the events soon. SOON after the event solar surface activity also inmcreased an unleashed a stronger CME form MINOR spotted AR 11550. Protons flux into the geomagnetic filed increased on January 17- after 00 UTC.(read more and see realted sat- plot below) |
From November - December 2012 a new type of solar activity characteristic related to the upcoming 11 year sun spot peak could be observed on satellite imageries: Coronal Holes- known to be layers out of higher, heaver and denser solar fusion elements pushed upwards to to the solar surface by convection- began to appear dissapear and somertimes reappear in a quicker rate than ever observed before during the last 2 years. This might be related to the 2 solar proton outbbreaks registered in Nov and Dec- 2012.
During winter soltice solar activity parameters were as low as in all previous years, a phenomenon that is rather mysterious. At all, the solar activity parameters ( sun spot number, bg x ray flux) were unusual LOW especially during the year 2012 and did not meet the expectations, scientists had into their giant solar observer program, lounched fo this 11 years cycle peak. Its suggested that two solar acticvity cycles (caused by somewhat still totally unknown! maybe any cosmical influence? ) interfer with one another , the 11 years cycle with another 60 year cycle.
|
(last update- SEPTEMBER- 21 - 2013:Solar activity was low very since End of August with less sun spots on the visible disc and almost no surface eruption on the entire sun. X ray emission dropped even to A level from September 07- 16. .On Sept 17, solar activity then resumed again first with several filament eruptions, newly emerging sun spot and active regions, producing solar flares. |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| MORE ABOUT THIS PROJECT/ PROJECT STATUS: |
|
GREAT PROGRESS IN MY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST? ARE ALL THREE MAJOR QUESTIONS RESOLVED! expand/collapse panel to read more
WHAT CAUSES ESP. THE LARGE EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS? Fluctuations in Solar (CME) activity (= energetic output") contributes much to the energetic changes within the earth, necesseary to cause volcanism (when heating up) and earthquakes ( when cooling down again) But only socalled "SEP events" seem to have the power to cause catastrophic events . Evaluation of recent major events however show: All these large Earthquake events ( Sumatra 2004, Japan 2011) were related to prior MAJOR SEPs as all SEPs are followed by stronger quakes and volcanism
WHERE WILL THEY OCCURE? Almost 100 % of examined cases showed, that ALL CME EFFECTS occure exactly on the latitudes ( those also are GEOMAGNETIC FIELD LINE PARALLELS, on which solar wind moves) were prior CMEs ( resp. SEPs) impacted.
WHEN WILL THEY OCCURE ( +/- 1 - 2 days)? Here I think , that I am on the right trace. The main indicator for Earthquakes likely seem to be changes in the electron activity- mainly whene- values are suddenly dropping, ( even if by a proton impact) But this needs more evaluations:.
|
CURRENT MAIN RESEARCH FOCUS: |
ARE SOLAR PROTON STORMS (SAP) RESPONSIBLE FOR MEGAQUAKES/ TSUNAMIS SUCH AS 2004 ( SUMATRA) and 2011 ( JAPAN?)click here to read more (expand and collapse register card)
GENERAL REMARKS TO THE LONG TERM EFFECTS OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS/ STORMS ( by: alien-homepage.de) :
: Several stronger earthquakes happen regularly immidiately during/ after Proton Storms (those themselves likely are also caused by kinds of solar quakes. Otherwise during that first phase, more exactly: DURING the proton storms when proton flux is elavated- as a typical antienergetic effect Protons have, everything that requires cinetic energies to work such as storms or volcanic activities are rather very low.
Entire storms systems as statistics indicate seem to can come to a stillstand by such a proton impact. Other data show that protons can even swallow electrons ( memory charges) from harddiscs as more as if these ar plugged to the grid or connected to the web. and surely proton storms do interrupt all kinds of radio transmissions. After the proton storm itself has decreased regularly an electron storms sets in that last again for some days. During that time, all kind of cinetic effects set in: Mainly sudden thundestorms, and increasing volcano activities preferently those of hot spot volcanoes. Induced currents effecting down to the Earth surface with potential of heavy damage to power grids are seldom, but TYPICALLY OCCURE ESPECIALLY AFTER PROTON EVENTS when the proton and succeeding electron storms( impact reaches certain strength. This phase now last normally not more than 10 days until the affected tectonic plates would cool down again and contract, what leads to the second and final phase with the chance for another STRONG EARTHQUAKES. The described single phase are prolongued amplified or mindered WHEN NEW CME events occure , those might contain more protons or electrons. Its hardly then to forecast but current data show, that by the fact that protons shift the geomagnetic charge temporarely to positive values, that short circuit that lets flow solar energies right through the magnetic field lines (MPI MUnich) into the Earth core, the Earth can likely sum up and even store these energies for a long time ( by forming neutrons) what includes the risk of a concentrated energetic breakouts in different forms.
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| |
| |
|
|
IMPORTANT NOTES AND UPDATES ON THIS PAGE : : This page is under steady development and layout may change from time to time. Reports on related events may be added at any time and will be posted to that day`s blog on which these events happened- click here to read more....
| IMPORTANT NOTES: |
| CONTENTS: |
This page is under steady development and layout may change from time to time. Reports on related events may be added at any time and will be posted to that day`s blog on which these events happened, finally providing good and overseeable evidence that support the projects goal- how solar activities ( esp. resp CMEs) are correlated with terrestrial effects. .( mainly volcanisms storms, and later destructive "friction(/ contraction earth quakes- but also technical reports are added if there might be a coincidence) |
| LAYOUT |
This blog requires to check much data sometimes and therefore sometimes also much time. LAYOUT will be adjusted to the needs, resp the progress in understanding a make while proceeding this research |
| ERRORS, |
Sometimes- esp, if I am busy with other things, it also happens, that I leave quite a few typing or grammatical mistakes ( my native language is German) in the first daily blogs or: I forget to update the one or other section/ field. However: all daily blogs are AT LEAST ONCE revised at that time before I archive them . Doing this, most errors or failures left on this project page will (as I hope) become obvious during this final revision and will be corrected then in the archived reports! Thanks- alien -homepage.de |
| |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
TEMPLATES
|
|
|
|
|
GLOBAL WATCH:LATEST SIGINIFICANT EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS- INCLUDING TSUNAMI ALERTS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEW: EVALUATIONS: On the following page I will give and overview/ summary on the most interesting solar and terrestrial events during this 24 th Solar cycle maximum ( 2010- 2013)- not established yet- available sometime in 2014:
data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
