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2015

AUGUST 30 at: 12 : 00 UTC

ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!
important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2015 >

             

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
    click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2014            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

AUGUST 2015

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

scientific reviews of solar research (as far as available)

by NASA, MPI and others :

 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
(1) LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG:  
NEWS and special reports
   

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

AUGUST

2015

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
     
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
     
 

Temperature anomalies:

Thewatchers/ 20150825: Heavy flooding hits India leaving 18 dead, over 600 000 affected across Assam

20150811/ Spain and portugal wildfires: Forest fires: are some being started deliberately?

Forest fires are raging across the northwestern Iberian peninsula, threatening homes and livelihoods. A large fire in Mangualde in Portugal has now been brought under control.

related:

euronews/ 20150811: Heatwave hits Central and Eastern Europe

euronews/ 20150811/ Wildfires rage in Russia

RECENT HEADLINES(previous month)

the watchers/ 20150730 / 0802:Large meteorite impacts Iran causing serious damage to Qazvin, numerous towns affected

Officials in Iran have confirmed that a meteor has hit somewhere in the northern part of the country on July 30, 2015. The event happened a day before a very large fireball streaked over the sky of Argentina. According to Mohammad Ali Ahani, director of Qazvin Crisis Management Staff, the meteor landed in Avaj, province of Qazvin. There are reports that some pieces of the rock have hit areas in Eshtahard, Alborz Province. Many Iranian news agencies speak of serious damage to Qazvin, which is located not too far from the state capital, Tehran. Injured or victims have not been confirmed, but such rumors are circulating on the Internet. Reports of damage come from multiple locations. Iranian newspapers say the meteor was very large (could be more than two meters long) because there are numerous towns affected by the impact, with shattered windows and damaged fixtures...read more...

the watchers/ 20150731: Slow moving, very bright fireball turns sky green over Argentina

.

 

(click here to see previous natural incident reports of the current month)

 

the watchers/ 20150730 / 0802:Large meteorite impacts Iran causing serious damage to Qazvin, numerous towns affected

Officials in Iran have confirmed that a meteor has hit somewhere in the northern part of the country on July 30, 2015. The event happened a day before a very large fireball streaked over the sky of Argentina. According to Mohammad Ali Ahani, director of Qazvin Crisis Management Staff, the meteor landed in Avaj, province of Qazvin. There are reports that some pieces of the rock have hit areas in Eshtahard, Alborz Province. Many Iranian news agencies speak of serious damage to Qazvin, which is located not too far from the state capital, Tehran. Injured or victims have not been confirmed, but such rumors are circulating on the Internet. Reports of damage come from multiple locations. Iranian newspapers say the meteor was very large (could be more than two meters long) because there are numerous towns affected by the impact, with shattered windows and damaged fixtures...read more...

the watchers/ 20150731: Slow moving, very bright fireball turns sky green over Argentina

Temperature anomalies:

20150731: Iran City Suffers Under Suffocating Heat Wave

RECENT HEADLINES(previous month)

Temperature anomalies:

20150731: Iran City Suffers Under Suffocating Heat Wave

the watchers/ 20150729: Greatest rainfall in 40 years brings Vietnam flood death toll to 11

Floods triggered by heavy rains in northern Vietnam have claimed 11 lives, damaged nearly 3 000 houses and made thousands to fled to safety, authorities said on Tuesday, July 28, 2015. Quang Ninh province received more than 100 mm (3.93 inches) on Monday, July 27, bringing the average 3-day rainfall to more than 500 mm (19.68 inches), the most in the past 50 years. ...read more...

yahoo-news/ 20150728: Cold front brings rare July snow to Northern Rockies

SALMON, Idaho (Reuters) - A freak July cold front brought snow to the Northern Rockies on Monday in a rare weather event that set record-low daytime temperatures across Idaho and could see overnight readings at or near freezing in parts of the region, meteorologists said....read more...

 
 

 

 

 

RECENT HEADLINES:

Temperature anomalies:

<< BBC/ 20150721: Arctic ice 'grew by a third' after cool summer in 2013

weather-underground/ 20150720: June 2015: Earth's Warmest June on Record

June 2015 was Earth's warmest June since global record keeping began in 1880, said NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) on Monday. NASA also rated June 2015 as the warmest June on record. June 2015's warmth makes the year-to-date period (January - June) the warmest such period on record, according to both NOAA and NASA. A potent El Niño event in the Eastern Pacific that crossed the threshold into the "strong" category in early July continues to intensify, and strong El Niño events release a large amount of heat to the atmosphere, typically boosting global temperatures by at least 0.1°C. This extra bump in temperature, when combined with the long-term warming of the planet due to human-caused emissions of heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide, makes it likely that 2015 will be Earth's second consecutive warmest year on record. Four of the six warmest months in recorded history (for departure from average) have occurred this year, according to NOAA: ...read more...

 
 
           
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
       

FoXNews/ 20150811: More than 5,000 earthquakes have hit northwest Nevada since swarm started in July 2014

Seismologists studying a year-long swarm of thousands of mostly minor earthquakes in northwest Nevada say they could be the precursor for a "big one," although speculation that they're related to a series of extinct volcanoes can't be ruled out. The University of Nevada's Reno Nevada Seismological Laboratory announced Tuesday that there have been 5,610 earthquakes in a swarm that started in July 2014 in the Sheldon National Wildlife Refuge near the Oregon border. More than 200 have registered at a magnitude of 3 or greater, which is enough to be felt by ranchers and residents nearby. The largest one hit on Nov. 6 with a magnitude of 4.7, although there's also been a recent flare-up since mid-July. "It's kind of usual that it has lasted so long," said Ken Smith, a seismologist. It's been a topic of discussion whether or not those quakes stem from the extinct volcanos in the Sheldon refuge collectively known as the High Rock Caldera, which is at least 15 million years old. That hasn't been conclusively ruled out yet, but Smith said there's no direct evidence of volcanic activity driving the earthquakes. To rule it out would require more seismic and geodetic measurements....read more...

 

RECENT HEADLINES:

6.4 Magnitude Quake Rocks Barbados - A strong earthquake struck Thursday in the ocean northeast of Barbados and was widely felt throughout the Caribbean, but officials said there were no immediate reports of damage or injuries.
Supermarkets and other businesses were evacuated and people moved away from the shore right after the quake hit. Earthquakes are common in the Caribbean but this was particularly strong and shallow. Residents were urged to be cautious, given the size of the quake. The US Geological Survey said the magnitude-6.4 quake was centered 81 miles (132 kilometers) northeast of Bridgetown at a shallow depth of about 3 miles (5 kilometers). It hit at 11:16 a.m. local time. (15:16 GMT).
The earthquake was felt across much of the Caribbean, from nearby St Visouth.ncent and the Grenadines and to Venezuela, Guyana and Trinidad in the

 

(click here to see previous earthquake reports of the current month)

Inhalt
 
 
 

 

 
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 
   

ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES/ CURRENT MONTH:

Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - MID-INDIAN RIDGE - 2015-08-13 10:39:53 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
37.07 S ; 78.09 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.5 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-08-12 18:49:24 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
9.34 S ; 157.88 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.9 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-08-10 04:12:13 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
9.33 S ; 158.04 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA Earthquake swarm/ begin: 20150712

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

> WESTERN TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

earthquake swarm/ 20150713 (magmatic)

"E"

EPICENTER 4 x > M 4.0 M 5.0 - GULF OF ADEN - 2015-07-13 11:14:03 UTC  
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
               
               
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      
  reports only after events exceed magnitude 2.0 > EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SERIAL GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS 20150716/ continuing since 2010-

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

"C"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

 

ONLY EVENTS > M 4.0 "C" EPICENTER      
    INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKEACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014) "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
    ACTIVITY BEGIN: 20150601   EPICENTER      
  earthquake swarm/ Nevada 20150716   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. EARTRHQUAKE SWARM/ 20150727- possibly related to CLEVELANBD volcanic activity

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
  • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       

20150816: German TV reported Chinese authorities confirmed that a high amount of ammoniumnitrate was among the chemicals, which is( wikipedia ) a basic for fertilizer but also for explosives. During WW 1 it was the usual explosive. On 21. September 1921 happened at  BASF in Ludwigshafen am Rhein/ Germany yet the largest explosion in history , when 4.5000 tons ammoniumnitrate exploded due to a failure when mixing it with other chemicals.So, this one was even bigger..But the question would be: what made it explosive then?.

EXPLOSION IN CHINESE PORT CITY TIANJIN HAD THE EQUIVALENCE OF 220 TONS TNT and TRIGGERED A > MAGNITUDE 4 EARTHQUAKE (internal)

This are the dimensions in a global player economy and production. What is still the same as at the begin of the industrial revolution - about 200 years ago- are the causes for those incidents: JUst and overvoltage in the power supply ( possibly even caused by the ongoing electron accumulation after one of the strongest solar proton events in the last decades had strucked the Earth on June 18 and 21 2015) could have heated up the spool inside the motor of a ventilator.

This device then ( this happened very often especially with the so called tube monitors ands I have no idea how an LCD monitor reacts on that) then starts to burn and before the fire is detected it has already incended high inflammable materials and all begions to burn like a fire stormAnd- as more recently Fukushima has told us: Most of industrial devices are still NOT SECURED against overvoltages!! ( and safety valves are available yet cheaply and in all sizes and quite common yet in privat households)

(china daily/ 20150813) Seven killed, 180 injured in N China blast

BBC/ 20150813: China explosion: Tianjin death toll rises in port blasts

 

 

 

 

(click here to see previous technical reports of the current month)

EXPLOSION IN CHINESE PORT CITY TIANJIN HAD THE EQUIVALENCE OF 220 TONS TNT and TRIGGERED A > MAGNITUDE 4 EARTHQUAKE (internal)

This are the dimensions in a global player economy and production. What is still the same as at the begin of the industrial revolution - about 200 years ago- are the causes for those incidents: JUst and overvoltage in the power supply ( possibly even caused by the ongoing electron accumulation after one of the strongest solar proton events in the last decades had strucked the Earth on June 18 and 21 2015) could have heated up the spool inside the motor of a ventilator.

This device then ( this happened very often especially with the so called tube monitors ands I have no idea how an LCD monitor reacts on that) then starts to burn and before the fire is detected it has already incended high inflammable materials and all begions to burn like a fire storm

And- as more recently Fukushima zhas told us: Most of industrial devices are still NOT SECURED against overvoltages!! ( and safety valves are available yet cheaply and in all sizes and quite common yet in privat households)

(china daily/ 20150813) Seven killed, 180 injured in N China blast

BBC/ 20150813: China explosion: Tianjin death toll rises in port blasts

 

RECENT HEADLINES:

the wathcers/ 20150703: Exxon pipeline spills oil into Yellowstone River in Montana, prompts evacuations

An ExxonMobil pipeline that runs under the Yellowstone River near Billings in south-central Montana ruptured and dumped an unknown amount of oil into the waterway, prompting temporary evacuations along the river Saturday morning.

euronews/ 20150807: Computer glitches hit NYSE, United Airlines and Wall Street Journal

Three major computer glitches in as many hours have hit the US, one of them shutting down the New York Stock Exchange.The halt in trading at 11:30 local time has been described as unprecedented in its scale.. Earlier United Airlines temporarily grounded all of its flights due to a technical problem. The Wall Street Journal website also crashed.

So far there is no indication of a link between the three incidents, but investigations are underway at each location. President Obama has been briefed on the NYSE shutdown and the White House was due to make a statement. The US Department of Homeland Security said there was no indication of anything “malicious” at the NYSE.

The Nasdaq exchange was operating normally....read more & watch vide

 
                     
 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

weather- underground/ 20150828: Current tropical storms:(CURRENTLY NO HRRICANES WITH WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 70 MPH)

NORTHERN ATLANTIC:

Tropical Storm Erika

PACIFIC(EAST):

Hurricane Ignacio

Tropical Depression Thirteen-E


CENTRAL PACIFIC:

Tropical Storm Kilo

Tropical Storm Loke

 

weather-underground/ 20150818: Twin typhoons raking the open waters of the Northwest Pacific Two intense, well-structured typhoons are churning their way toward Asia, posing no immediate threat to large land areas. Typhoon Goni, which surged to Category 4 strength on Sunday, has weakened somewhat as a result of an eyewall replacement cycle, although Goni remains a powerful, well-structured system. Now packing top 1-minute sustained winds of 115 mph, Category 3 Goni was located near 18.7°N, 132.9°E at 1200 GMT Tuesday, moving due west at about 18 mph. Typhoon Atsani is the tortoise to Goni’s hare: though it developed more slowly than Goni, it is now more powerful, with top 1-minute sustained winds of 140 mph. At 1200 GMT Tuesday, Category 4 Atsani was located near 17.0°N, 154.8°E, moving northwest at about 9 mph. Goni is currently traveling near waters that were left slightly cooler in the wake of Typhoon Soudelor, which peaked at Category 5 strength in this region less than two weeks ago.

Strong ridges over China and over the Northwest Pacific east of Japan will help keep Goni traveling on a due-west track until late this week, when the typhoon may attempt to recurve in between ridges. The latest JTWC outlook has recurvature occuring on a northward track just east of Taiwan, which would put the island on Goni’s weaker left-hand side; that would be good news for a population still reeling from Typhoon Soudelor. Meanwhile, Atsani is already traveling over rich oceanic heat content, and with upper-level shear relatively weak, Atsani is predicted in the latest JTWC outlook to reach Category 5 strength (around 160 mph) before recurvature and weakening begin over the weekend. It appears likely that Atsani will recurve before reaching Japan, but residents should not let their guard down just yet.

 

(click here to see previous heavy weather reports of the current month)

 

wunderground/ Dr. Jeff Masters/ 20150802 : Invest 95L Drenches Florida’s West Coast; Super Typhoon Soudelor Threatens Taiwan

Soudelor brings extensive damage to Saipan Trees were snapped and power lines brought down across much of Saipan after a miniscule but mighty Super Typhoon Soudelor (not yet a super typhoon at that point) barrelled into the southern half of the island. At 10:54 pm local time on Sunday (8:54 am EDT Sunday), sustained winds of 54 mph and gusts to 91 were reported at Saipan International Airport, located on the south end of the island and close to the tiny south eyewall of Soudelor. Stronger winds most likely occurred in the north eyewall, where the westward motion of the storm would have added to wind speeds. Soudelor was officially classified as a Category 1 storm at this point, but its small-scale structure was virtually impossible to resolve in standard satellite imagery and the typhoon was already rapidly intensifying, so peak winds on Saipan might have been considerably stronger. The Pacific Daily News reported that about 350 people were in shelters at midday Monday, and a state of disaster has been declared. Fortunately, initial reports listed only a few minor injuries. Part of the U.S. Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas, Saipan extends only about 12 miles from north to south, but Soudelor was even more compact than that....read more...

AP/ 20150731: Raw: Deadly Flash Floods in India >

   
                       
                       

 

TROPICAL STORMS/

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

       

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
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                2    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  

Typhoon Nangka

                   
                TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES -)

       

<< volcano webcam/ cotopaxi >>> view more cotopaxi webcams

volcano-discovery/ 20150824:Coopaxi eruption August 2015 - news & updates

Continuing ash emissions 2 km high

Activity at the volcano remains more or less similar with moderately strong, near continuous ash emissions producing a plume rising approx. 2 km and drifting into westerly directions. 

government ecuador/ COTOPAXI VOLCANO PRESS RELEASE 018:

The Institute of Geophysics of the Polytechnic University reported that the volcanic activity has remained similar to that of the last past days. The evaporative emissions have contained a high presence of ashes which have reached up to 2000 meters over the crater and has been directed towards the West and Southwest side of the volcano.

Throughout the day volcano ash emissions continued to fall in the areas of Tanicuchi, Guaytacama, Chugchilán, Isinlivi, Mulaló, Lasso, Joseguango, Pastocalle and El Chasqui. Due to reports of ash fall over roads and highways the Ministry of Transport and Public Work has recommended the public to drive with caution and to not exceed a speed limit of 30 kilometers per hour.

Continuing with contingency plans, on Saturday night, the Secretary of Risk Management (SGR) coordinated an evacuation drill in the parish of Puerto Napo, district of Tena. While on Sunday, it trained 150 people from Barrio Centro, in the parish of Aláquez, district of Latacunga, and 129 people in the Libertad Bajo Joseguango parish. An evacuation drill was also conducted with 143 people in Quisinche Alto, the parish of Mulaló—Latacunga. Finally the authorities also gave out 1,280 clinical masks in Tanicuhí and 6,160 in Toacazo.... read more...

Sabinosa El Hierro/ Canary islands: larger rockfall causes damages on two roads and a water pipe.

Two larger rocks got lose on a fragile formation on El Hierro: the impact on the road below caused damages on the road and a water piple below and was measured by seismographs. AVCAN rules out, that the event was NOT caused by any earthquake.

On August 18 and 19 two quakes were measured as well on Teneriffe and El Hierro from a depth of now and first time just 3 km, after last similar events about two month ago came from 5 km depth (analog to that, previous events were in 6,7 and 9 km depth!). The cause for the microquakes is therefore likely magma rising up by and by since 2014 with a rate of about 1 km in 1- 2 month.

With a depth of less than 4 km, the magma accumulating within the old caldera between the islnads ( reaching up to 3.700 m below sealevel) reaches more and more critical levels and would now already more and more be pressent/ filling up the islands basements and volcano systems.

So- if the rockfall on August 22 was NOT caused by a quakes it may have been caused by water /increasing humidity , resp steam under pressure from the uprising magma (internal report)

RECENT HEADLINES

 

xx

(click here to see previous volcanism reports of the current month) including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS

Inhalt

 

wirded.com/ 20150815: Sakurajima in Japan Might Be Headed Towards a Large Eruption

OFFICIALS IN JAPAN are preparing for what could be a large explosive eruption from Sakurajima. The Japan Meteorological Agency has raised the alert status to Level 4 after new earthquakes and rapid inflation of the volcano suggest that Sakurajima could be preparing for a repeat of the 1914 explosive eruption that produced numerous fatalities. Level 4 alert means that people living near the volcano need to prepare for evacuation if conditions continue to worsen. Right now that is limited to ~4,000 people on the same island as Sakurajima, but ash from any eruption (depending on the winds) could impact Kagoshima (population ~600,000), located only 10 kilometers from Sakurajima. There is also concern that a large eruption could cause workers at the restarted Sendai nuclear power plant, 50 kilometers from Sakurajima, to need to leave the plant.... read more...

< sakurajima live webcams

volcano- discovery/ 20150804: Raung volcano (East Java, Indonesia): continuing eruption, increasing activity

The eruption at the volcano remains very intense and might have increased during the past days. An ash plume of 200 km length has been drifting south today. According to Indonesian press reports, new fissures have been reported (probably on the western flank) and incandescent ejecta were seen to up to a height of 1500 m. Some of them might have landed on the NE flank, where they probably caused a forest fire observed during 20-25 July.read also. Culture volcan

 

RECENT HEADLINES (previous mopnth)

volcano- discovery/ 20150731: Manam volcano (Papua New Guinea): aftermath of Friday's eruption

It seems that no fatalities have occurred during the large explosion on Friday (31 July). According to news articles, only one child was injured by falling lapilli, but survived and could be treated in a hospital. Up to 2 cm of ash has been deposited over most of the island, destroying or damaging much farmland, many houses and contaminating water sources. Respiratory problems are a major concern in the aftermath of the eruption, which, however, could easily have had a much worse outcome....read more...

volcano- discovery/ 20150731:Piton de la Fournaise volcano (La Réunion): third eruption in 2015

The expected new eruption, the third in 2015, started this morning at 09.20 local time. The eruptive fissure vent is located NE from Piton Kapor and extending towards Nez Coupé de Ste Rose. It feeds a curtain of lava fountains with associated lava flows. Access to the Enclos has been closed.

<< live webcam/ Piton de la Fournaise/ Reunion island

 

xx

 

volcano- discovery/ 20150804: Raung volcano (East Java, Indonesia): continuing eruption, increasing activity

The eruption at the volcano remains very intense and might have increased during the past days. An ash plume of 200 km length has been drifting south today. According to Indonesian press reports, new fissures have been reported (probably on the western flank) and incandescent ejecta were seen to up to a height of 1500 m. Some of them might have landed on the NE flank, where they probably caused a forest fire observed during 20-25 July.read also. Culture volcan

volcano- discovery/ 20150731: Manam volcano (Papua New Guinea): aftermath of Friday's eruption

It seems that no fatalities have occurred during the large explosion on Friday (31 July). According to news articles, only one child was injured by falling lapilli, but survived and could be treated in a hospital. Up to 2 cm of ash has been deposited over most of the island, destroying or damaging much farmland, many houses and contaminating water sources. Respiratory problems are a major concern in the aftermath of the eruption, which, however, could easily have had a much worse outcome....read more...

volcano- discovery/ 20150731:Piton de la Fournaise volcano (La Réunion): third eruption in 2015

The expected new eruption, the third in 2015, started this morning at 09.20 local time. The eruptive fissure vent is located NE from Piton Kapor and extending towards Nez Coupé de Ste Rose. It feeds a curtain of lava fountains with associated lava flows. Access to the Enclos has been closed.

<< live webcam/ Piton de la Fournaise/ Reunion island

RECENT HEADLINES (previous mopnth)

the watchers/ 20150723: Kick'em Jenny underwater volcano on Orange alert, imminent eruption possible - Eastern Caribbean

The Seismic Research Center (SRC) of the University of the West Indies has issued an Orange alert (3 of 4) for the underwater volcano Kick'em Jenny on July 23, 2015, due to strong and continuous seismic signals recorded from 05:25 to 07:00 UTC today. Grenada, as well as St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados and Trinidad & Tobago are particularly on alert as eruption may begin with less than 24 hours notice.

volcano-discovery/ 20150721: Cleveland volcano (Alaska): explosive eruption detected

AVO detected an explosion at Cleveland Volcano in both infrasound (air pressure) and seismic data this morning at 08:17 AKDT (16:17 UTC). Satellite views are obscured by clouds at about 30,000 feet above sea level. No ash has been observed above the clouds at this time. Clouds obscure views by web camera this morning. (AVO / USGS volcano activity notice)...read more...

euronews/ 20150711: Volcanic ash cloud shuts five airports, leaving Bali tourists stranded

A volcanic eruption has shut five airports in Indonesia, leaving thousands of tourists stranded. Mount Raung in East Java has been erupting for nearly a week. The airport on the Indonesian island of Bali – a popular holiday destination for Australians in particular – is among those closed.

 

xx

 

 

                     
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
  volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by: GVP

GVP  

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 5 August-11 August 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) New
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) New
Manam Papua New Guinea New
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia New
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Raung Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing

 

   
 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 29 July-4 August 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) New
Colima Mexico New
Gamalama Halmahera (Indonesia) New
Manam Papua New Guinea New
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia New
Piton de la Fournaise Reunion Island (France) New
Raung Eastern Java (Indonesia) New
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) New
Colima Mexico New
Gamalama Halmahera (Indonesia) New
Manam Papua New Guinea New
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia New
Piton de la Fournaise Reunion Island (France) New
Raung Eastern Java (Indonesia) New
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) New

 

   
 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 22 July-28 July 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) New
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) New
Kick 'em Jenny North of Grenada New
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia New
Raung Eastern Java (Indonesia) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Ambrym Vanuatu Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karangetang Siau Island (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kerinci Indonesia Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Krakatau Indonesia Ongoing
Lokon-Empung Sulawesi (Indonesia) Ongoing
Papandayan Western Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Semeru Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Tengger Caldera Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Ubinas Peru Ongoing

 

   
 

 

 

     
 

 

 

     
         

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
     

 

 

   
                       
                       
                       
 

 

20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

 

 

 

 

(1.1.) LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

   
1.1.2. (related) NASA AND NOAA REAL TIME DATA PLOTS:                  
current sun spots and AR (visible disc):   ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot)   NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o   SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot   NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot )  
         

 

 

             
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >> here you find elder reports and newer ones. Green background means : this event is over/ineffective

LAST MAJOR UPDATE >

20150816

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
SOLAR ACTIVITY:

please note: this section is only updated after significant major events

latest RSGA report of significanr solar activities
DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)
 
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> X- RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
20150721 <last event update > 20150723 20150718 20150721 20150815/ after 10 UTC 20150721 20150828
20150705
20150830
20150701 after 18 UTC -
 
39 last known event >

very low ( B level)

TYPE II EMISSION none minor CME from filament eruption NORMAL

G2 moderate

: > 10 MeV Proton flux back to normal

> 10 Me Electrons > 1.000 pfu. rising after disturbance

3. of 3 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons/ values: > 1.0 < 1.000 pfu
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
 
93.2 sfu. (NEW) background informations>        
 
solen.info/ solar- terrestrial report :

links to related data sources: (NASA/ NOAA / archives ) >

GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150709- 11: GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: * refers not to the deviation but to the total geomagnetic density   (GOES 13/ 15 ) Geomagnetic field density in nanoTesla ( nT)20150825-27 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. deminuishing proton event(/ 20150702- 04): (GOES 13/ 15) integral electron flux in pfu. 20150712- 14 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150630- 0702:  
PLANETARY A INDEX:      
 
03  
Active solar sunspot regions (AR) and Coronal holes (CH)(20150721: satellite measurements plots >
PREVIOUS EVENTS:                
  GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150624- 26:   GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150624- 28: 2 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!  
  significant and still active previous measurements >    
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150826: active region 12403 produced numerous flares during it passed over the solar disc. While none of these flares produced a significant CME, a stronger filament eruption on 20150826 after 19 UTC caused a major geomagnetic storm upon its arrival. I have tracked back AR 12403 to November 2014 when a very active region on the same solar coordinates ( the only region that produced flares and even Xclass flares throughout 2014) last time appeared named as AR 12222 (image 3 below). It maybe that this nested region just dived deeper a into the sun hull for the last half year and is reaapearing now again on the surface.

20150816: a filament eruption on 20160814 has ejected positive charged solar gazes those caused a minor geomagnetic storm upon their arrival on earth on 20150816.

 

 

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 
images of one of the strongest proton events in decades on 20160618/ 20:/ STREO is no functional)
     
AR and CH on 20150828 ( solen .info) SDO/ 20150826/ 19:57 UTC: AR 12222 on 20141129 (solen.info)   SDO( 20150814/ 12:22 UTC STEREO Ahead/ 20150814/ 16:11 SoHO / LASCO C 2/ 20150618/ 01:25 UTC SoHO / LASCO C 3/ 20150618/ 05:06 UTC NASA SDO/ AIO, SoHO and others: SDO/ 20150625/ 08:21  
   
  ^filament eruption near AR 12403 ^AR 12403 may be idenbtical with a nested AR that had dissapeared a half year ago   ^^ difficult to see in still images: filament eruption on 20150814 ^STEREO Ahead has meanwhile been found and tranmission resumed form early august on ^ on 20150618 after 1 UTC as possibe( but rather unlikely ) source of SEP Full halo CME in JUne 21 structure of AR 12371 and the surounding coronal holes ^M 8 LDE flare in AR 12371 on 20150625  
                       
 

 

 

 

       
click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >>    

LAST MAJOR UPDATE >

20150710

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
SOLAR ACTIVITY:

please note: this section is only updated after significant major events

DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)
 
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> X- RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
20150628) <last event update > 20150625 20150625 20150710 20150710 20150711 20150711
20150705
20150716
20150701 after 18 UTC -
 
25 last known event >

 

  Impact of major CME after filament eruption on 20150710 (?) solar wind shock after / after 23:01 UTC ( > 200 nT *) HIGHER (= < 500 km/s)

G 2 (predicted)

: > 10 MeV Proton flux back to normal
> 10 Me Electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu.
3. following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1.0 < 10 pfu
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:  
 
97 sfu. (NEW) background informations>        
 
solen.info/ solar- terrestrial report :

links to related data sources: (NASA/ NOAA / archives ) >

GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150709- 11: GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: * refers not to the deviation but to the total geomagnetic density   (GOES 13/ 15 ) Geomagnetic field density in nanoTesla ( nT)201614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150702- 04: (GOES 13/ 15) integral electron flux in pfu. 20150712- 14 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150630- 0702:  
PLANETARY A INDEX:        
 
06  
Active solar sunspot regions (AR) and Coronal holes (CH)(20150628: satellite measurements plots >
PREVIOUS EVENTS:                    
  GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150624- 26:   GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150624- 28: 2 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!  
  previous measurements >    
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150710/ 23;01 a strong CME impacted from an unknown event on the Sun: Most sources say , the sudden impulse was caused by a high speed solar wind stream produced by recurrent CH 676, which was facing earth on July 8- 9. CH 767 seems completely to have dissolved on July 10. The total geomagnetic density exceeded 200 nT during the impact and caused a G 2 geomagnetic storm.

update/ 20150626: AR 12371 is meanhile at about 60° West and will rotate out until the end of June. On June 26 however- AR 12371 produced another M 8 LDE event, which again was associated to an SEP. Integral proton flux rose again above 10 pfu after the event. The overall situation is of course very strange and difficult to predict : we have still an ongoing S1 protons storm but with > 2 MeV electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu. high electron values at the same time. The impact of the latest CME on June 25 was so strong, that it exceeded far the limits of the graphic

 

 

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

           
SOHO/ 20150711/ 11:30 UTC AR and CH on 20150710 by: solen,.info.     SDO/ 20150702/ 22 UTC: SoHO / LASCO C 2/ 20150618/ 01:25 UTC SoHO / LASCO C 3/ 20150618/ 05:06 UTC SoHO / LASCO C 3/ 20150625/ 12:06 UTC NASA SDO/ AIO, SoHO and others: SDO/ 20150625/ 08:21  
     
major CME on 20150711 heasting NE direction ( no Earth directed parts) CH /&/ obviously completeley dissolved after emmitting a strong stream of its strange matter     ^minor but very geoeffective filament eruption on July 02 ^ on 20150618 after 1 UTC as possibe( but rather unlikely ) source of SEP Full halo CME in JUne 21 ^partial- full halo CME after ;M8 flare on June 25 structure of AR 12371 and the surounding coronal holes ^M 8 LDE flare in AR 12371 on 20150625  

 

 

LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >>

   

LAST MAJOR UPDATE

20150618- 24

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
SOLAR ACTIVITY: 20150620)  

 

 

DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)
 
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> X- RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
89 last known event >

20150622:2 Fully halo CME after + M 5 flare in AR 12371 and 1^filament eruption afterwards 20150618: M3 event in AR 12371/ 20150619: filament eruption; 20150621: M flare - AR 12371

Impact of 2 FULLY HALO CMEs after M + 5 flare and filament eruption on 20150624- 25 2o150622/ 5:45 UTC ( > 250 nT *) HIGHER (= < 700 km/s) on 20150624

20150623- G3 (predicted)

20150623: > 10 MeV Proton flux > 10 pfu (dropping)
20150623:> 2.0 MeV Electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu /beginning disturbance by protons
20150622/ 19 UTC: second SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:  
 
135 sfu. (NEW) background informations>      
 
solen.info/ solar- terrestrial report :

links to site sources: (NASA/ NOAA / archives ) >

GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150624- 26: GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: * refers not to the deviation but to the total geomagnetic density   (GOES 13/ 15 ) Geomagnetic field density in nanoTesla ( nT)201614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150624- 26: (GOES 13/ 15) integral electron flux in pfu. 20150614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150618- 24:  
PLANETARY A INDEX:        
 
02  
Active solar sunspot regions (AR) and Coronal holes (CH)(20150619: satellite measurements plots >
previous measurements >            
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

update/ 20150626: AR 12371 is meanhile at about 60° West and will rotate out until the end of June. On June 26 however- AR 12371 produced another M 8 LDE event, which again was associated to an SEP. Integral proton flux rose again above 10 pfu after the event. The overall situation is of course very strange and difficult to predict : we have still an ongoing S1 protons storm but with > 2 MeV electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu. high electron values at the same time. The impact of the latest CME on June 25 was so strong, that it exceeded far the limits of the graphic

update: 20150622: NEW AND STRONG SEP EVENT!! STRONGEST SEP since September 2014

On 20150621, another stronger SEP followed the first one on June 18 and values are currently exceeding 100 pfu. what is a strong event. Unfortunately, both STEREO Satellites are not available, inoperative or damaged. Their objective can make infrared images of the sun and are therefor the only ones that can make it possible to localise from where about in the Sun and in which direction a SEP occured. The emitted protons are not visible on any telescope, but as they heat up and accelerate gases from the solar corona on that point where they break through it ( what leads to spectacular heat eruptions) these images make it possible to track back from where and at which time about the SEP was radially accelerated ( what for sure happens deeper within the sun , what makes them just totally different to any sun spot related flare activity which always occure on or near to the surface of the Sun)

At that time / sometime prior to 3 UTC) when the first SEP on June 18 occured, there is one hot flare and eruption visible on SoHOs LASCO 3 , which also covers the infrared spectrum. The AR producing the event is AR 12376 on the western solar limb. But no satellite has any image showing the eruption, that might have been the source of the second stronger SEP that occured then sometimes prior to 15 UTC on June 21 . So also the first theory might be false. and the complex structure with several fastly changing Coronal holes around AR 12371 might have been the source of both SEPs. The fact that this region was in an optimal earth facing position during the second SEP ( from where the radial emitted protons have then usually the highest speed up to almost light velocity) also explains why these protons have still no effect on the electron accumulation and flux : they just would be still too fast and therefore would circulate within the geomagnetic field around a wider polar orbit, where the don`t get in touch yet with the deeper laying and yet discharging electrons.

CHECKING out the activities on hot spot volcanoes after the event, first of all Sinabung but also the the canary hotspot seems ( due to my current knowledge) to be the only one those have reacted yet on that. Since June 21 , magmatic quakes near to the hot spot south of El Hierro itself increased again. On June 21, also ith 4 km below sea surface also the MOST shallow quake was registered below EL Teide and near to teneriffe since that new activity phase had begun in December 2013! Until June 25, here where two quakes more at the same location . But IGN couldn`t ( or does not want) tell in which depth these magmatic boosts have occured.Means nothing else thans that magma levels in the volcanic system below the Teide massive first time have reached a level of less than 4 km below sealavel- what is - AS I BELIEVE- very CRITICAL!

HOT SPOT BEHAVIOUR

NASA however published an image that seem to show a magnetic structure around AR 12371, which embraces a quarter of the Sun ( image 3 below)

20150618/ after 3:30 UTC: I have almost overseen that a new medium strong SEP event occured on this day. The density of integral protons rose sharply above 10 pfu soon after the event, dropped first back almost to normal levels late on June 21 ( 20150621) but remained than at an increased level of o.8- 1.0 pfu 24 hours later at time of this update ( 20150621). It can currently also be observed, that the intgegral electron flux and the protons flux are ate higher valires AT THE SAME time, But however: The electron flux is expected to drop on the next days (at least on the instruments) as active protons just neutralize the effects of electrons for a while ..

20150618: a new and unexpected large and active region (AR 12371) has rotated in on the Eastern limb: The AR contains many and relative large sun spots and developed three groups each with with a significant prenumbras, and produced several flares during the past day A major earth directed CME was unleashed during an explosive event that occured on 20150618 after 17: 50 UTC. Another fully halo (= earth directed) CME was produced, while the AR has reached the solar meridian and flaring in this region again exceeded M level on 20150621, shortly before this update. No of both M flares and cMEs was the source of both protons events as decribed above

on 20150619:a large filament eruption occured form the edge of the large Coronal hole just Southwest of Ar 12371 and produced another Earth direceted CME. so there are at least three major CME impacts excpected for June 21, 22 u and 23, those likely will cause major geomagnetic disturbances

20150606: the active sunspot group 12361/62 rotated in on the eastern limb and is producing major flares those are currently- due to the low background x ray flux still on c level but expected to increase in strength

 
SDO/ 20150618/ 17:45 UTC SDO/ 20150619: 08:07 UTC SDO/ 20150621/ 02:08 UTC NASA SDO/ AIO, SoHO and others: SoHO / LASCO C 2/ 20150618/ 01:25 UTC   NASA D-RAP/ 20150622/ 14:11 UTC: : 20150622/ 02:53 UTC 20150622/ 18:24 uTC 20150623/ 08:08 UTC  
   
^M flare and CME on 20150618 ^filament eruption on 20150619 ^M class event of 20150621 structure of AR 12371 and the surounding coronal holes ^ on 20150618 after 1 UTC as possibe( but rather unlikely ) source of SEP   ^global heat absorption after second SEP with values exceeding 100 pfu. beautiful flare from AR 12371 on June 22 that triggered NO CME ^M 5 flare- later on 20150622, that triggered another fully halo CME ^This event was soon followed by a major filament eruption around AR 12371  

^M flar

 

e and CME on 20150618

                     
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
SEP EVENT LOGS
PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)
PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron acummulation
PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP location
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton impact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150512/ after 03 UTC: uncertain- likely western limb 12335(west) or 12339 20150512/ after 03 UTC ongoing 7 pfu. unknown/ trather high pending        
201504 1- 30 ° behind western limb S4392 20150422/ after 17 UTC 20160528/ 23 UTC > 1 pfu. unknown (LOW= < 30.000 km/s. ) continuing from previous SEPs ongoing > 1.000 pfu   pending!
20150315 near solar meridian AR 20150315 after 03 UTC 20160418 08 pfu high/ unknown 20150419 ongoing > 10.000 pfu accumulated electrons.. Values are likely higher than measured due to protons influcence ( altered potential) pending!
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                   
                       
 

 

 

 

 

(3.0) EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST (EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST MAINLY BASED ON SEP EVENTS/ EFFECTS)

 

 

 

ADDITIONAL:

 

(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY JUNE 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
ANALYSIS of solar/terrestrial data:
   
ANALYSIS: USAF - daily report on solar and geophysical activity
  NOAA- space weather prediction center

OTHER:

-CODES, TERMINOLOGY AND CLASSIFICATIONS of SUN SPOTS (SIDC)- -Mt Wilson/ Monthly Sunspot Report Legend-

NASA/ INTEGRATED SPACE WEATHER ANALYSIS SYSTEM- Home
click here to find out more about the current NASA/ ESA SOLAR OBSERVATORY PROGRAM (the largest ever in human history) on my page "SOLAR CENTER", that gives you an overview with many usefuls links to NASA/ ESA spacecrafts and webpages with all available archives.
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

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OTHER NEWS / SOLAR SYSTEM:

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
National monitor/ 20150809: A pyramid deep in space? Bizarre feature spotted on Ceres      
NASA's Dawn spacecraft has been taking some close looks at the surface of the dwarf planet Ceres in the asteroid belt, and it has spotted some astonishing features beyond just the bright white spots -- and one of them is a pyramid that looks like the one in Egypt. The weirdness of Ceres just keeps growing as Dawn takes closer peaks of it on ensuing flybys, and NASA posted its latest video on Thursday, according to a CNET report. It's a high mountain too, rising even higher than Mt. McKinley, the highest peak in the USA at 20,000 feet. There also appear to be bright streaks going down the pyramid's sides. The Dawn mission has also been taking a closer look at those bright spots that scientists have been scratching their heads over. They sit inside a crater that measures about 60 miles in width and is about 2 miles of depth. However, scientists aren't any closer at identifying what they are or what causes them.      
Pluto in a Minute: How Similar are Pluto and Charon to the Earth and the Moon?          
 

20150714/ NASA`s NEW HORIZON reaches planet Pluto

What is beyond Pluto?

NASA celebrates the successful mission of the NEW Horizon spacecraft , which reached the noputmostn planet Pluto on July 14- 2015 . New Horizon has sent first nearby images from the system, thos surely will by published in the coming days.... New Horizon is planned further to explore the Kuiper belt

20150715/ From Mountains to Moons: Multiple Discoveries from NASA’s New Horizons Pluto Mission >

Icy mountains on Pluto and a new, crisp view of its largest moon, Charon, are among the several discoveries announced Wednesday by NASA's New Horizons team, just one day after the spacecraft’s first ever Pluto flyby.

"Pluto New Horizons is a true mission of exploration showing us why basic scientific research is so important," said John Grunsfeld, associate administrator for NASA's Science Mission Directorate in Washington. "The mission has had nine years to build expectations about what we would see during closest approach to Pluto and Charon. Today, we get the first sampling of the scientific treasure collected during those critical moments, and I can tell you it dramatically surpasses those high expectations....read more...

previously published interesting pictures and articles :

Mars and Ceiron as seen from NEW HORIZONS on on 20150709m 5 days priot to flyby (image)

Pluto flyby: Meet the 'King of the Kuiper Belt'(article)

   

 

 

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive

 

     
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
Now we know, how the aliens those once constructed us, really looked like. "the Head of the statue": --- the extraterrists made also Yoga excercises: Statue Of Being In Lotus Position (Indian Style) On Mars Looks Human Possible Egyptian Queen Style Statue Imaged By The Curiosity Rover On SOL 796 ( found by: what`s up in the sky)    
  click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item)    
     
         
what`s up in the sky: Amazing Pyramid & Broken Wall Found On Mars!        
click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item)        
       
         
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obviously something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"  

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 

 

 

VARIOUS:

 

 

 

 

 
                       
                       

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

provided by:

alien-homepage.de
Impressum/contact

 

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APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have signifiant and even strongest related geophysical effects.

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I don`t expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluation as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientific research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ( solar events with proton emissions) are the almost only geoeffective known type of solar event) those do even have extremely strong and complex effects on the earth body , thos only and best can be descroved described just with the phrase "theoretically can do everything". This is- since SEPs turned out to be the possible cause also for catastrophic earthquakes such as 2014 and 2011 - what this documentary now focussed on. SEPs however do happen MOST frequently during the maximum of the 11 years solar sun spot cycle (last in 2012(13) , but occure also in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany