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24.05.2015
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DATE:
 
last updated on
2015

MAY 24 at: 06: 30 UTC

ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!
important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2015 >

                   

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
    click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2014            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

MAY 2015

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B)

scientific reviews/ NASA solar project(as far as available)

NASA:

unknown
earlier:
 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
3. LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG: special reports    
- find previous events in the "recent event history" below and in myarchives!
 

 

 

 

 
    NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
LATEST EVENTS ( at time of this update)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

MAY

2015

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     find previous report in archive December 2014    
       
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
         

20150512: US battered by severe storms and tornadoes

20150506: German tornado causes mass destruction

euronews/ 20150512: US battered by severe storms and tornadoes

Towns in the US Great Plains have been battered by a series of tornadoes, leaving a trail of destruction in their wake. Six people have died as the severe storms ripped through the area on Sunday night. In Arkansas a young couple were killed protecting their 18-month-old baby when their mobile home flipped over.In Texas, the governor declared a state of emergency due to severe storms and flooding. The residents of Van experienced a killer tornado which ripped up trees, power lines and destroyed homes....read more...

Oklahoma hit by tornadoes

 
 

euronews/ 20150506/ German tornado causes mass destruction

tornado in the north of Germany has caused widespread damage.

A 26-year-old man in Hamburg was killed after debris fell on his car while his pregnant girlfriend was injured. The fire service had to rescue three others from their vehicles and at least 30 people were injured by flying debris. A fallen tree between Hamburg and Luebeck blocked the railway line in both directions and much of the public transport system was brought to a standstill. The epicentre of the devastation was in Buetzow near Rostock in the very north of the country where local media reported winds of around 120 KPH. Many roofs were torn away and a hospital had to be partially evacuated.

One observer said: “I’ve never seen anything like this in my life, it is complete madness. Hundreds of trees have been overturned, completely uprooted, roofs ripped off, what can you say, madness. You don’t experience something like this every day.”

euronews/ 20150507: Oklahoma hit by tornadoes

A series of storms including a major twister have hit the southern United States close to Oklahoma City. At least 13 people were reported injured and damage was widespread. A number of animals briefly escaped from a tiger safari park after the enclosure was hit by a tornado, the Grady County Sheriff’s Office said they were all recaptured without further incident. >>

 

 
 
           
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
         

20160512: NEW serial of strong earthquakes along with a M7.4 quake near Katmandu/ Nepal

20150504: Serial of stronger earthquakes in NEW BRITAIN REGION Eastern Pacific continues/xontinuing serial of earthquakes also in Iran/ Pakistan region

Inhalt
   

 

earthquake.com/ 20150512: Deadly Nepal Gorkha earthquake – At least 8,148 people killed – New massive M7.1 aftershock

Update 07:18 UTC :
Earthquake felt in Nepal / East of Kathmandu

BREAKING NEWS: We have detected a strong readers increase in India / Nepal / Bangladesh, which normally indicates that an earthquake was felt. Are you one of the people who felt the shaking of this earthquake ? If yes, may we kindly request you to let us know what you have felt and if you have damage or not. Please use the form below or click here @ I HAVE FELT AN EARTHQUAKE

Update 04:39 UTC : An update from Anup Kaphle
Bungamati is a medieval village about 45 minutes outside of Kathmandu. The settlement here is so old that some date it back to 6th century Licchavi dynasty, known as the “golden period” in Nepal’s history, during which dozens of temples and monuments were built.
Today, most of that is gone. What remains is a gentle fighting spirit among its residents who are quietly rebuilding their lives. 15 days since the earthquake, the locals here, aided by a group of students from Kathmandu University, are building shelters from corrugated steel sheets and bamboos, structures that will for now keep them away from incessant rain that has been descending upon Kathmandu for the last three nights.
I asked the man who is leading the rebuilding task here how much of the rebuilding support came from the government.
“What? We have a government?” he said.
Januki Mali, 45, worked as a janitor at a school in the village. Only half of her home stands now, the other half looking as if an angry demon smashed it to the ground with a giant hammer. Today, the students from Kathmandu University built this one-room home, so they at least they have a roof to sleep under while they work on building a more permanent home.
Click here for the great Facebook updates from Anup Kaphle

read also:

euronews/ 20150512: Nepal struck again by strong earthquake

 
 

Many very strong damaging earthquakes below and along New Britain, Papua New Guinea

Update 11:42 UTC : The 7.5 magnitude earthquake occurred at Cape Orford in Pomio district, between Wide Bay and Jacquinot Bay.
East New Britian Disaster officer Donald Tokunai said his office was in touch with an agriculture officer in Pomio who reports no major damage, except that people fled to higher ground when they saw the shoreline was unusually very low.
He said after the earthquake nearby areas reported high sea levels along their coastline.
Tokunai said it was normal that earthquakes above 7 magnitude damaged galvanised water tanks and has received reports of two damaged water tanks in the Raluana area.
He also said that it was a normal in Rabaul township when earthquakes above 7 magnitude occurred, the sea level would rise to unusual heights and invade some areas but later subsided.
There were no reports of major damages, expect for landslips along the road, uphill to Vunabakut, Government Hill and another at Blue Lagoon, along the Kokopo/Rabaul road.
More reports from people regarding cracked galvanized water tanks during earthquakes are expected.
Meanwhile, officers are still out, checking out shorelines in Rabaul and Kokopo and other major government facilities in both towns.
Read the full PNG Loop article here

ap...read more...

 

 

 

 
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 
   

ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES/ CURRENT MONTH:

Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.4 - SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2015-05-24 04:53:23 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
16.82 S ; 14.20 W
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.8 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-05-22 23:59:34 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
11.11 S ; 163.21 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.9 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-05-22 21:45:18 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
11.08 S ; 163.55 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-05-21 19:32:59 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
9.78 S ; 160.38 E
DEPTH >
20 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.8 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION - 2015-05-20 22:48:53 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
10.88 S ; 164.14 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - TONGA - 2015-05-20 00:30:50 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.30 S ; 175.47 W
DEPTH >
173 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.5 - PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE - 2015-05-19 15:25:24 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
54.10 S ; 132.16 W
DEPTH >
33 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 7.1 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2015-05-07 07:10:22 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
7.23 S ; 154.56 E
DEPTH >
20 km    

 

 

 

      yet more than 16 afterqaukes/ most higher than M 5.0    
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.0 - NORTHEASTERN IRAN - 2015-05-05 21:28:34 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
35.24 N ; 58.49 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 7.4 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2015-05-05 01:44:05 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
5.46 S ; 151.98 E
DEPTH >
40 km    

 

 

 

      16 afterqaukes/ 9 x < higher than M 5.0    
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.1 - IRAN-PAKISTAN BORDER REGION - 2015-05-04 11:30:37 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
26.34 N ; 61.28 
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.8 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2015-05-01 08:06:06 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
5.16 S ; 151.85 E
DEPTH >
60 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.2 - OFF COAST OF PAKISTAN - 2015-05-17 11:16:51 UTC  

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

> WESTERN TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER 01 M 4.3 - ENGLAND, UNITED KINGDOM - 2015-05-22 01:52:15 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
               
               
        EPICENTER 01 M 2.0 - GERMANY - 2015-05-20 19:36:54 UTC  
               

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER 02 x> M 2 M 2.7 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2015-05-01 21:45:08 UTC  
               
        EPICENTER 01 M 4.5 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2015-05-19 09:06:53 UTC  

(Mnt Barbardunga/ iceland - NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS continuing since 2010-

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

"C"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

 

UNCLEAR ACTIVITY "C" EPICENTER      
    INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKEACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014) "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
        ÊPICENTER   M 4.1 - NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2015-05-22 02:53:00 UTC  
        EPICENTER 7 x > M 2.0 M 4.1 - SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2015-05-21 03:15:29 UTC  
        EPICENTER 13 x > M 2.0 M 3.7 - SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2015-05-06 07:39:46 UTC  
               

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
  • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       

20150519: Oil Pipeline Spills About 21K Gallons off California Coast

20150515: Reactor cover to be dismantled at Japan’s crippled Fukushima nuclear plant

/ABC news/ 20150520:Oil Pipeline Spills About 21K Gallons off California Coast

A broken pipeline spilled 21,000 gallons of crude oil into the ocean before it was shut off Tuesday, creating a slick stretching about 4 miles along the central California coastline, the U.S. Coast Guard said. Authorities responding to reports of a foul smell near Refugio State Beach around noon found a half-mile slick already formed in the ocean, Santa Barbara County Fire Capt. Dave Zaniboni said. They traced the oil to the onshore pipeline that spilled into a culvert running under the U.S. 101 freeway and into a storm drain that empties into the ocean. The pipeline was shut off about three hours later but by then the slick stretched four miles and 50 yards into the water. The 24-inch pipeline is owned by Plains All American Pipeline, which said it shut down the flow of oil and the culvert carrying the oil to the ocean was blocked. "Plains deeply regrets this release has occurred and is making every effort to limit its environmental impact," the company said in a statement....read more...

CNN/ 20150521: Wildlife, pristine beaches focus of 'aggressive' oil spill cleanup

(CNN)Oil pipeline company officials said Wednesday that as many as 105,000 gallons of crude oil may have spilled from a ruptured pipeline on the California coast. The 24-inch pipeline ruptured along the Santa Barbara coast, leaking the oil near Refugio State Beach, a protected state park, just before Memorial Day weekend marks the start of the summer tourist season. Houston-based Plains All American Pipeline based the estimate -- what it called a worst-case scenario -- on the typical flow rate of oil and the elevation of the pipeline, said Rick McMichael, the company's director of pipeline operations

 

euronews/ 20150515: Reactor cover to be dismantled at Japan’s crippled Fukushima nuclear plant

The operator of Japan’s tsunami-crippled Fukushima nuclear power plant has reportedly started work on dismantling a cover placed over a reactor building. It wants to remove radioactive debris and spent nuclear fuel as part of decommissioning efforts at the site. A massive earthquake and tsunami four years ago caused meltdowns at Tokyo Electric Power Co Inc’s (TEPCO) Fukushima reactors. THe UN nuclear watchdog has said that the management of radioactive waste and contaminated water at the plant could be improved despite good progress in cleaning up the site. The operator said in February that it had found a pool of highly contaminated water on the roof of a plant building and that it had probably leaked into the sea through a gutter when it rained. Some of the leaks have been dealt with to avoid a repetition of such incidents, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Measures have included filling and covering of gaps, recovery of contaminated soil and treating surfaces to prevent rainwater leakages.

   

 

ABC/ 20150408:Transformer explosion caused electric grid surge, triggered outages across D.C. and Md.

WASHINGTON (WJLA/AP) - Widespread power outages affected the White House, the Capitol, Smithsonian museums, Metrorail stations, the University of Maryland and other sites across Washington and its Maryland suburbs Tuesday afternoon - all because of an explosion at an electrical station, officials said. Read more: http://www.wjla.com/articles/2015/04/breaking-news-major-power-outages-impacting-d-c-and-maryland-112984.html#ixzz3WhcHBQ4U Follow us: @ABC7News on Twitter | WJLATV on Facebook... read more...

Washington Post/ 20150408:Power surge knocks out electrical service in parts of D.C. region

A piece of metal breaking loose from a power line 43 miles southeast of the District momentarily knocked out electricity to the White House, State Department and wide swaths of the nation’s capital and Maryland suburbs early Tuesday afternoon.

But many in the city barely noticed.

The outage threw scores of public and private office buildings off the grid, but in most cases, the lights stayed on because backup generators kicked in.

That wasn’t true everywhere. A dozen people were trapped in stalled elevators, passengers were left searching for exits in darkened underground Metro stations, and a building full of Department of Energy employees and the main campus of the University of Maryland closed their doors. Thousands of visitors at Smithsonian museums on the Mall had to leave for hours. While the outage caused little more than a blip for many others, it took most of the afternoon to fully restore electricity.

COMPARITION OF GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS DURING 4 MAJOR AIRPLANE INCIDENTS BETWEEN 2013 and 2015: (click on graphs to enlarge them)

 

 

 
                       
 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

20150519: Heavy loss of life in Colombian landslide

20150502: Deadly floods hit Queensland - 277 mm of rain in 3 hours, Australia

 

TROPICAL STORMS/ DECEMBER 2014

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

   

euronews/ 20150519: Heavy loss of life in Colombian landslide

A raging torrent has ripped down a ravine in Colombia’s northwestern mountains and swept the town of Salgar away in a mixture of floodwater and dislodged mud and rock. The deadly landslide has claimed at least 61 lives and the authorities fear the number will rise. “You never imagine that something like this is going to happen and even less to see so many people you know, so many neighbours killed,but thanks to God I am fine along with my daughters and my granddaughter,” said one survivor. Rescue teams are struggling to find any survivors but access is difficult and equipment is slow to arrive to the disaster zone. Many people are working through the rubble with their bare hands in the race against time. President Juan Manuel Santos has flown over the area and has declared a public emergency.

euronews/ 20150516: Turkey: locals ‘terrified’ as giant sinkhole appears

Residents of Konya Province in southern Turkey have spoken of their terror when a giant sinkhole suddenly appeared in a local field. “We are very afraid (for) our lives. It is luck that no one fell into it,” said one local farmer. Measuring 10 metres wide and 90 metres deep, the crater is thought to have formed in the space of 24 hours. No one was injured as a result of the ground caving in.

 

the watchers/ 20150502: Deadly floods hit Queensland - 277 mm of rain in 3 hours, Australia

Queensland felt the full force of the East Coast low on Friday afternoon (local time), May 1, 2015 as the system moved south over the NSW Northern Rivers and Mid North Coasts. Five people have died after being swept away by flood waters. All of them were in vehicles at the time.

Torrential rain, described as "off the scale" by State Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, resulted in deadly flash floods in Australia for the second time in 2 weeks.

The hardest hit area was Caboolture, north of Brisbane, with 333 mm of rain within 24 hours, and 277 mm in just three hours.

On Saturday, May 2, the worst of the storm was over for Queensland, and the severe weather was weakening as it moved south into New South Wales, Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said earlier today.

Some areas of New South Wales have already reported high levels of rainfall and flooding in farmland in northern areas of the state. Several flood warnings have been issued for rivers in New South Wales.

     

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  
                     
EVOLUTION:               TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
      600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO    
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Cyclone Quang

                   
EVOLUTION:

20150430

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN 130 MPH -17.9° N 109.8° E SSE > 500 KM N OF NORTH WESTERN AUSTRALIA 02    

ARCHIVED:

                   

Tropical Cyclone Joalane

                   
EVOLUTION:

20150411

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN 105 MPH -21.1° N 67.7° E SSE 500 KM EAST OF MADAGASKAR 02    
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES - including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS)

       

20150422: Chile's Calbuco Volcano Erupts, 1,500 People Evacuated

Inhalt
 

huffington post/ 20150422: Chile's Calbuco Volcano Erupts, 1,500 People Evacuated

SANTIAGO, April 22 (Reuters) - Volcano Calbuco in southern Chile erupted for the first time in more than five decades on Wednesday, sending a thick plume of ash and smoke nearly 20 kilometers into the sky.

Chile's Onemi emergency office declared a red alert following the sudden eruption at around 1800 local time (2100 GMT), which occurred about 1,000 kilometers (625 miles) south of Santiago, the capital, near the tourist town of Puerto Varas.

As night fell, about 4,000 people had so far moved out of the area, an evacuation radius of 20 kilometers has been established and classes have been canceled in surrounding towns, authorities said.

President Michelle Bachelet is scheduled to travel to the affected area on Thursday.

 

peruthisweek/ 20150415: Moquegua: Ubinas volcano explodes, spreads ashes over nearby village

Nearly on the anniversary of the evacuation of 28 thousand camelids from its pastures, the Ubinas volcano erupts once again. The Ubinas volcano of the Moquegua region erupted this morning at 4:24 a.m. causing a layer of ash to fall over nearby villages minutes later, according to Perú21. On March 31, 2014, the volcano’s eruption caused Querapi residents to be evacuated as it sits just five kilometers from the volcano. Days later on April 21, Peru ordered the evacuation of the camelid animals, as the volcano posed a threat following further activity. Today the Ubinas volcano erupted after about four months of calm. The National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology of Peru (SENAMHI) calculated that the 2.5 km column of ash above the crater could reach more than 15 kilometers to the southeast. Escacha and Ubinas Valley therefore will be receiving a layer of ash on their homes, cars, sidewalks, and buidlings today following the eruption. Scientific institutions advise that the local populations protect themselves with masks and goggles and to protect water resources and food to prevent contamination.

...read more...

OTHER NEWS:

the watchers/ NASA/ 20150413: Sleeping giant Mount Baegdu (Changbaishan) close to eruption, North Korea/China

the watchers, 20150415: JMA issues alert for possible eruption of Mount Zaosan, Japan

 
 

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 13 May-19 May 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Bulusan Luzon (Philippines) New
Calbuco Chile New
Chaiten Chile New
Etna Sicily (Italy) New
Hakoneyama Honshu (Japan) New
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) New
Lokon-Empung Sulawesi (Indonesia) New
Piton de la Fournaise Reunion Island (France) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Ambrym Vanuatu Ongoing
Batu Tara Komba Island (Indonesia) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Manam Papua New Guinea Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Soputan Sulawesi (Indonesia) Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoing
Villarrica Chile Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 6 May-12 May 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Bulusan Luzon (Philippines) New
Calbuco Chile New
Hakoneyama Honshu (Japan) New
Karangetang [Api Siau] Siau Island (Indonesia) New
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) New
Telica Nicaragua New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Batu Tara Komba Island (Indonesia) Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Etna Sicily (Italy) Ongoing
Grimsvotn Iceland Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Manam Papua New Guinea Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 29 April-5 May 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Axial Seamount Juan de Fuca Ridge New
Bulusan Luzon (Philippines) New
Calbuco Chile New
Dempo Indonesia New
Karangetang [Api Siau] Siau Island (Indonesia) New
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) New
Tungurahua Ecuador New
Ubinas Peru New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Asosan Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Manam Papua New Guinea Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Ruapehu North Island (New Zealand) Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoing
Villarrica Chile Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 
       
       

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
     

 

 

   
                     
                     
                     
 

 

20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

 

 

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150515  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150515

 

 

latest RSGA hazard report >
DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
LOW         unclear   G 1 expected
201504514: > 10 MeV Protons > back to normal
(20150522 > 2 MeV ELECTRONS < 1000 pfu
201504512/ after 3 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 7 pfu
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
   
             
   
 
AR and CH (by solen.info):
            electron flux/ 20150510- 12    
     
 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

Active region 12335 - which is just going to rotate out on the western solar limb-produced a major eruptive event that began after 02:25 on 20150512 and which was likely the source of a new SEP. This is uncertain as the CME could have also been triggered by a short impulsive event from the complex sun spot region 12339 around 2:30 UTC . Stereo spacecraft with its infrared filters making at least gases visible heated up by emitting protons ( the only way to locate the region from where a SEP is emitted) is out of service- resp. lost since months. NASA DRAP (image 6) shows heat absorption effects around the Northern ( and not as usual around the Southern pole, which normally only is normally the case after extreme fast SEPs with protons near the speed of light. . Further evolution of proton flux will tell more.

20150505: AR 12339 is rotating in on the eastern solar limb , is very active and produced a serial of flares early on 20150504 and 05 with an X 2.7 flare at around 2300 on 20150504

 
 
WARNINGS/ ALERTS: EARTHQUAKES AND MAGMATIC INTRUSION
20150421: the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects. Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day. Allthough the > 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge) GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings. THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: Reasons are there to be careful especially in the regions of the EASTERN PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
Inh
20150421: the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects. Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day. Allthough the > 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge) GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings. THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: Reasons are there to be careful especially in the regions of the EASTERN PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
alt
 

 

 

     
click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150512  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150505

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
LOW   TYPE II EMISSION   IP Shock Passage Observed: 2015 May 12 0115 UTC unclear   index 4 expected
201504512- 13 : > 10 MeV Protons > 7 pfu
(20150511) > 2 MeV ELECTRONS strong depression after CME impact and SEP
201504512/ after 3 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 7 pfu
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
   
             
20160512/ NEW SEP!
   
              electron flux/ 20150510- 12    
       
 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

an eruption in active region 12335 - which is just going to rotate out on the western solar limb- that began after 02:25 on 20150512 was likely the source of a new SEP. This is uncertain as the CME could have also been triggered by a shprtm impulsive event from the complex sun spot region 12339 around 2:30 UTC . Stereo spacecraft with its infrared filters making at least gases visible heated up by emitting protons ( the only way to locate the region from where a SEP is emitted) is out of service- resp. lost since months. NASA DRAP (image 6) shows heat absorption effects around the Northern ( and not as usual around the Southern pole, which normally only is normally the case after extreme fast SEPs with protons near the speed of light. . Further evolution of proton flux will tell more.

20150505: AR 12339 is rotating in on the eastern solar limb , is very active and produced a serial of flares early on 20150504 and 05 with an X 2.7 flare at around 2300 on 20150504

       
WARNINGS/ ALERTS: EARTHQUAKES AND MAGMATIC INTRUSION
Inh
20150421: the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects. Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day. Allthough the > 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge) GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings. THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: Reasons are there to be careful especially in the regions of the EASTERN PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
alt

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150505  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150505

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
INCREASING X 2.7 flare at 20150505/ 2205 UTC RADIO BURST& TYPR II EMISSION     impact on 20150505 at 0143 UTC   G1 minor
20150428: back to normal
(20150428) > 2 MeV ELECTRONS disturbance after proton event
20150422/ after 18 UTC: Minor SEP
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
     
   
            electron flux/ 20150503- 05 minor SEP, begin: 20160422/ after 18 UTC  
         
 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150505: AR 12339 is rotating in on the eastern solar limb , is very active and produced a serial of flares early on 20150504 and 05 with an X 2.7 flare at around 2300 on 20150504

       
20150421: the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects. Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day. Allthough the > 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge) GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings. THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: Reasons are there to be careful especially in the regions of the EASTERN PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
 

 

 

     

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150315 NEW SEP!

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150515

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
LOW         unclear   G 1 expected
201504514: > 10 MeV Protons > back to normal
(201505114 > 2 MeV ELECTRONS > 10.000 pfu
201504512/ after 3 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 7 pfu
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
   
             
   
              electron flux/ 20150510- 12    
     
 

^

 

       
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
DECREASING   TYPE II/ IV EMISSION     20150312-15: impact of + (positive) proton charged CMEs   G 1 predicted
20150315/ 1 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 4 pfu.
(20150315) 10 MeV electrons : > DEPRESSION
20150315/after 1 UTC: NEW SEP likely from LED in AR 12297
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
   
   
                   
           

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likely also the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise and has reached a maximum yet of 4 pfu. ( at time of this update)

20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9) SeeVideo by solar watcher>:

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME was partial halo- what means: it has Earth- directed parts, those might arrive on March 11 >

20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)

 

   
 

 

 

^NASA D-RAP/ global heat absorption during proton storm ( SEP: begin: after 2 UTC) on 20150315  
INTERNAL SEP TRACKING/ REPORT:
SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS
last update: 20140308
PROTON IMPACT (PHASE I) ELECTRON ACCUMULATION (PHASE II) FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
201504512/ after 3 UTC- 20150513/3 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > (max) 7 pfu (20150513/ 14 UTC) >beginning electron accumulation DELAYED!
GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS:
SOLAR ACCELERATED AND EMMITTED PROTONS IMMIGRATE THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD AND ITS POLAR ORBIT THE PROTONS CREATE AN ADDITIONAL GRAVITY PULL> THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ATTRACKTS AN EQUIVALENT OF ENERGETIC ELECTRONS FROM THE SOLAR MAGNETIC FIELTO NEUTRALISE THIS + CHARGE AFTER THE PROTONS NOW ALSO ELECTRONS HAVE LOST THEIR CINETIC ENERGY THROUGH HEAT FRICTION. THE ACCUMULATION COLLAPSES THE EARTH MANTLE - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.- COOLS DOWN AND CONTRACTS AGAIN.
HEAT EFFECTS ON EARTH CORE AND MANTLE: VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-) TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC SURFACE ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere) > MAJOR AND potential CATASTROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
green = effects over yet yellow/ red = currently active orange= pending/ latent hazard
 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
     
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
ANALYSIS of solar/terrestrial data:
   
ANALYSIS: USAF - daily report on solar and geophysical activity
  NOAA- space weather prediction center

OTHER:

-CODES, TERMINOLOGY AND CLASSIFICATIONS of SUN SPOTS (SIDC)- -Mt Wilson/ Monthly Sunspot Report Legend-

NASA/ INTEGRATED SPACE WEATHER ANALYSIS SYSTEM- Home
click here to find out more about the current NASA/ ESA SOLAR OBSERVATORY PROGRAM (the largest ever in human history) on my page "SOLAR CENTER", that gives you an overview with many usefuls links to NASA/ ESA spacecrafts and webpages with all available archives.
 
 
 
 
 
 
             

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:
     
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 
 

 

     

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

               
1.2.1 GENERAL SOLAR EVOLUTION/ NOTICES:
     
the currently most active region AR 12348 on 20150518:   same AR (12253)previously on 20150104/solen(info)          
         
             
                 

1.2.2 LATEST MAJOR FLARES, CMEs

find previous report in archive January 2015
   
LAST MAJOR EVENTS>
                     
             
           
 
To find d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
       
1.2.3. SOLAR SEPs/ SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA/ weekly report:
             
EARLY WARNING! 20150208: the integral electron flux, that shortly rose again after another- but this time minor slow and uneffective SEP had occured in the only active nested region 12286, began significantly to drop on February 07: This now can mark for the first time since begin of 2014 , that all SEP effects those had ccumulated during this period within the geomagneti field might dcerease now and come to a preliminary end : Due to all collected data during previous SEPs, STRONG AND HEAVY DISASTROUS SUBDUCTION QUAKES MIGHT FOLLOW VERY QUICKLY when the remaining electron charge( accumulation in the geomagnetic field is discharching ( as it seems to be the case since 20150207 ) and tectonic plates and the mantle magma heated up by these SEPs will begin swiftly to cool down part to harden and to CONTRACT : NOTE: this forecast is based on data and analysis of previous socalled solar SEP (proton) events and is nevertheless ( as all foreecasts) WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR GUARANTEE! MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES THOSE ARE LIKELY MOGHT OCCURE DURING THE NEXT DAYS HAVE MOST LIKELY TO BE EXPECTED IN THE REGION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND MAINLY AROUND THE 180° LATITUDES MOST LIKELY AFFECTING THE AMERICAN PACIFIC COAST - Alaska down to California and beyond . with possible effects also to Japan and the east pacific subduction zones ( Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, Hawaii and NZL) ALL SEAQUAKES EXCEEDING MAGNITUDES oF M 8.0 are capable to trigger a widespread TSUNAMI in these regions!  

Active region 12335 - which is just going to rotate out on the western solar limb-produced a major eruptive event that began after 02:25 on 20150512 and which was likely the source of a new SEP. This is uncertain as the CME could have also been triggered by a shprtm impulsive event from the complex sun spot region 12339 around 2:30 UTC . Stereo spacecraft with its infrared filters making at least gases visible heated up by emitting protons ( the only way to locate the region from where a SEP is emitted) is out of service- resp. lost since months. NASA DRAP (image 6) shows heat absorption effects around the Northern ( and not as usual around the Southern pole, which normally only is normally the case after extreme fast SEPs with protons near the speed of light. . Further evolution of proton flux will tell more.

(image 1 below) 20150505: AR 12339 is rotating in on the eastern solar limb , is very active and produced a serial of flares early on 20150504 and 05 with an X 2.7 flare at around 2300 on 20150504

 
  (2) SDO/ 20150512/ 02:53 UTC (3) SDO/ 20150512/ 03:08 UTC (4) SoHO/ 20150512/ 07:16 UTC (5) solen.info/ AR and CH on 20150512: NASA/ DRAP) heat absportion .            
           
                       
   
                       
                       
   

PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES: ( read more in register panel below)

 

 
                   
1.3 SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS
                 

 

 

 
                     
                     
           
                   
click here for previous weekly reports (MAY 2015)

20150315: AR 12297 , still near the central nmeridian produced an impressive LDE after midnight, which was likely the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.

20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9)

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight (image 3) reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

 
(1) GOES xrays- 20150308- 10_ (2) SDO/AR 12297 M6 flare on 20150309/ 23:55 UTC: (3) SDO/AR 12297 M6 flare on 20150310/ 00:11 UTC: (4) AR and CH on 230150309 (by solen.info) (5) same region on Feb 17 during the last rotation period: (6) SoHO/: minor CME on 20150310 at 2:52 UTC (7) SoHO/: minor CME on 20150308 at 0:30 UTC (8) SDO/ X 2.1flare in AR 12297 on 20150311/ 16:14 UTC: (9) SDO/ filament eruption on 20150311 after 23 UTC:      
     
   

20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . (image 9, 10 ) The CME has aeart directed parts those might arrive on March 11

20150306: 20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the easternsolar limb and produced a stronger CME (image 7 below) and continued with an LDE for hours after that( img 8 below) . The region is not numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images 5 and 6 below)

20150304: Y 10 MeV Electrons increased above 1.000 pfu following recent minor proton events. Protons are the reference value for the total electrons charge . But with changing proton values also the electron flux on the measurment devices is kind of altered so the total load cannot really be estimated. after no stronger SEPs have occured since longer time a final discharge with the effects as researched and described in that report becomes more an more probable and would be the frist after one year with continuing and accumlating SEPs activities 20150303: The nested region as observed during the past year and described in the recent reports appeared end of February behind the eastern limb but is currently invisible) .NOAA therefore numbered it just as an spotted S 4254. It was active once with a strong prominence one week ago but seems currently to be inactive and might just have temporarely faded, resp sank deeper into the solar gas hull. This already was the case during 1 rotation period in the second half of 2014 . After it the AR reapperaed in an even larger size and produced X flares. Next rotation period will tell more.. While this region is currently inactive, AR 12290 was quite active during the past days with numerous M flares and CMEs those seem not to have larger earth directed parts.

20150302: solar X ray activity increased over the past days:(image 1 below) On March 01 there were several filament eruptions on different areas of the visible disc and the large RECURRENT CH 657 ( the only currently visible part of the large persistent configuration as described below) produces high speed solar winds . Both has crated a MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM.

(image 2, 3) The nested region as described below has not appeared yet and made have temporary faded below coronal gases as it already did several times in 2014. The region seems empty . Just the coronal hole 657 is still there where it was since this persistent configuration had envolved. AR 12290, which is already going to rotate out on the western limb is currently active and produced- one after another- two minor M flares on 20150202, those have no earth directed parts (image 4)

 
(1) GOES x ray flux/ 20150228- 20150302 (2) active regions and coronal holes on 20150301/ by solen.info (3) coronal hole CH 657on 20150301/ by solen.info (4) SDO/ 20150302/ 15:41 UTC (5) AR and CH on 20150305 by solen.info (6) AR and CH on 20150206 by solen.info (7) SDO/ 20150305/ 05:12 UTC: (8) SDO/ 20150305/ 08:42 UTC: (09) SDO- 20150307/ 2:45    
   
   

PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES:

20150228: Another SEP must have begun late on February 26: Integral proton flux began to rise after 24 UTC on 20150226 and is currently ( at time of this update near to 1.0 pfu)( image 1: GOES Proton plot). This time I could not detect the typical side effect that SEPs accelerate gases upwards from the solar surface and corona on SoHO imagery, Thus this SEP was maybe a backside event. what I can`t proof as well, since both STEREO satellites are still ot of service.

If it was a front side event, ( the SEPs themselves are mostly invisible on light based telescopes anyway ) protons this time would have a rather slow acceleration what makes them rather ineffective in terms that they would heat up the earth mantle over their impact on earth. Nevertheless, the protons that immigrate the Earth,will- as ever - attrackt and accumulate an equivalent number of electrons from the solar magnetic field , those are energetic enough to produce these typical heat / temperature anomalies around an in the Northern pole those cause the weather tubulences wer are facing each time after an SEP on the Northern Hemisphere. THis - as expectable- continuing electron accumulation also supports further volcanic activities.

SDO shows a minor flare in AR and a filament eruption in the nested configuration which has not yet fully rotated in .( These events cannot be seen on a single standby picture and must be watched in a timeline video on SDOs website) and occurerd later , So the cannot be related to that SEP event

 
     

(special& continued report:) THE LARGE AND MYSTERIOUS SOLAR SURFACE REGION THAT HAS A CONFIGURATION THAT REMAINED WIDELY UNCHANGED SINCE at least ONE YEAR!

I yet just traced this large region covering at least a quarter of the solar disc back to May 2011. ( see previous archive reports) This review has shown , that the entire configuration remained almost unchanged since then. On 20141215, the main and mostly only active region on the entire disc, active region 12235 produced an extreme fast filament eruption , AR 12235 is a nested stationary sun spot cluster and forms with another active region and a large coronal hole a very active configuration that persists since at least one year( I have just not traced it further back yet) AR 12235 was AR12209 active during the last rotation period and was AR 12192 two rotation periods earlier, when it produced 4 strong X class flares in a row .The configuration covers more than a quarter of the solar disc and has a kind of gravity center with a coronal hole stretching towards the Northern pole an has also a low spotted area which is also but less active than AR 12235. which is situated 15- 30 ° further in the east . (> images 5 and 6 . During all that time this nested AR was and is only AR on the visible that produced flares and CMEs. Currently the entire configuration seems to be active and produces a type of flaring resp shoots out hot gazes all over the area it covers.. The most active AR in it- AR 12235 became smaller yet during previous periods and then began to grown again., Currently it appears rather small ) . What is it and what does this big are doe next ? Nobody knows...Allthough humans observe the Sun meanwhile day and night, much about our central star is still more a mystery and an still good for some surprises.

( image 4 >) satellite transmissions were repeatedly knocked out between 20141213 and 14 and there was a short rise in integral Proton flux on 20141213/ 6 UTC when values rose to 2,5 pfu until 20141216/ 00 , when vaklues were back again at +/- 0.1 pfu. as usual . But satellite imagery that needs light to make any image cannot cover those proton events and where these SEPs actually occure. However,: STEREO with its infra red usually can at least cover secondary events ( the protons do accelerate and heat up gazes on the solar surface those emit then ) such are gazes hgeated up after the proton explosion by highest accelerated protons. Butr also Stereo has a transmission blackout on December 13 and 14. theavailable images show an intensive flaring activity on the front side . STEREO also observed a strong type of filament eruption heading from the North Polar solar region ( image 4 >)

We might either get a new SEP soon ( an event that comes more or less out of nowhere) or the effects of the previous SEPs will come to an end: When the current electron accumulation ( which is still exceeding temporarely 1.000 pfu.) will drop, as now further SEP has occured during the past 6 weeks , the earth mantle heated up by these SEPs will cool down and STRONG SUBDUCTION quakes will accompony that process.however: magma intrusion creates something like holes ( aou also can call that underpresssure or defizits) within the earth mantle , So the intensive magma intrusion we can observe onm a global scalesince some years will be logically be always accomponied/ followed by subduction quakes, by those new material is pulled- "dives down" into the earth mantle is melted there and will equalize that defizit.( more see right column)>

 

(1) SDO/ 20141214/ 22:24 UTC
(3 GOES shows a slight increase of integral proton Flux during the events on 201212- 20121215:
 
 

(5) STAR MAP on 20121210 by solen.info

(6)STAR MAP on 2014121113 ( one rotation period earlier!)      
   
b                      
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
SEP EVENT LOGS
PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)
PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron acummulation
PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP location
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton impact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150512/ after 03 UTC: uncertain- likely western limb 12335(west) or 12339 20150512/ after 03 UTC ongoing 7 pfu. unknown/ trather high pending        
201504 1- 30 ° behind western limb S4392 20150422/ after 17 UTC 20160528/ 23 UTC > 1 pfu. unknown (LOW= < 30.000 km/s. ) continuing from previous SEPs ongoing > 1.000 pfu   pending!
20150315 near solar meridian AR 20150315 after 03 UTC 20160418 08 pfu high/ unknown 20150419 ongoing > 10.000 pfu accumulated electrons.. Values are likely higher than measured due to protons influcence ( altered potential) pending!
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                   
                       
 
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY APRIL 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 

 

 

 

 

DETAILED REPORT OF LATEST MAJOR SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES ( updated only during major events, such as major flares CMEs or SEPs)

   

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       

AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !

means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013

 
     

 

 

               
                 

2015

MONTH

JANUARY

DAY:

none yet xx

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

201412

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

 

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)  

FLARES >

C

   

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

 

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:    

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:    

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity >    
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
                   
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
               
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX back to normal

 

ELECTRON FLUX  

 

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES 3 day sat environment ( combined plot) GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* integral proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

         

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
       
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD +06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field  
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA PARTICLE ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:
     

20141106

20141107

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

     
s 2 PROTON STORM;

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX           TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:
       

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

       

GEOMAGNETIC STORM/ K INDEX > 4

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

       
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS        
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
               
         
                       
PREVIOUS 1 DAY REPORTS / CURRENT MONTH ( updated during significant activities only)
                 

2014

MONTH

SEPTEMBER

DAY:

06

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140905

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

124

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

340-419

FLARES >

C

22

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

144

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

C 1.1

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

80- 140 nT

CME IMPACT

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12157 60° E 13° S DHC/ EKC          
 
  12158 68° E 14° N CKO/ DKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH 634 CENTRAL/ NORTH GROWING   20140905- 06    
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX INCREASED

RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -09 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 11 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

20140906

20140907

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal back to normal   NONE TYPE II/ IV TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1.000 < 25.000 pfu (+) >4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) dropping after new sEP  

G1 (expected)

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>100< 450 (-) >220 > 750 () rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
       

20140906/ 25: 24 UTC

20140904

LARGE FILAMENT ERUPTION ON NORTHERN SOLAR HEMISPHERE

 
         
                       
                       
alt
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

 

       
         
         

 

 

       
click here for: LATEST SIGNIFICANT SOLAR EVENTS ( earth directed CMEs, SEPs, satellite images and data)
       
WEEKLY SATELLITE REVIEW OF SOLAR ACTIVITIES (AR, flares, CMEs, SEPs)
   
     
LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT/ EVOLUTION

SEPTEMBER 2014

                 
   
LOGS:                    
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 17:45 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

20140910/ 17:45 UTC ERUPTION TYPE: X 1 flare at 17:45 uTC FULLY HALO CME estimated CME arrrival: 20140912      
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR CME/ SEP EVENT LOG :  
       

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 

20140910/ 19:03 (NOAA*)

 
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
AR 12158.  
SUN COORDINATES:
  20140910/ 19:54 UTC 20140911/ 00:30 UTC         PROTON IMPACT: after 21 UTC   02° E- 16° N  
               
* SEP eruption time= time of 10 cm RADIO BURST
 
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 18:59 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

  ERUPTION TYPE:            
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (04) SDO/ AIA (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR SEP EVENT LOG :  
   

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 
20140901/prior to 11: 54?  
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
NORTH POLAR SOLAR REGION  
SUN COORDINATES:
20140901/ 18:59 UTC (SEP) 20140901/ 12:42 20140901/ 10:51 UTC 20140902/ 08:36 UTC 20140901/ 11:54 UTC Proton impact on NASA D-RAP (20140902/ 23UTC)          
                   
     
 

 

 

 

       

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             
LATEST SOLAR SEPS ARTICLE EVENTS: ACCELERATED PROTONS/ ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS : ( event logs)  
SEP EVENT/ event logs this log represents the latest event evolution of terrestrial SEP impacts- earlier events are archived here. NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays  
 
 

ACTIVE SOLAR SEP/ LOG

latest significant SEP >> /20141101/ time: unknown MEDIUM > 1 > 10 pfu. ( 4 days) CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE PARTICLES >> PHASE I (PROTONS) PHASE II (> 10 MeV ELECTRONS)
PHASE III (DISCHARGE)
 
           
previous, accumulated SEPs >> 201400910/ after 18 UTC 20140825/ 18 UTC 20140405/ 12 UTC 20140227 ( X 1.2)  

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS/ CURRENT STATE    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20141101/ time: unknown 201409011/ after 15UTC 20141106/ 00 UTC > 1 < 10 pfu. unknown      
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20141021/ 07 UTC ongoing   20141023/ 18.000 pfu exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141021/ 14 UTC    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20140910/ after 11UTC 201409010/ 18:15 UTC 20140914/ 09 UTC > 1 < 100 pfu.        
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140922/ 10:30 ongoing     exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141001    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION AR 12151/20140901/ after 11UTC 20140901/ after 21 UTC ongoing > 1 < 10 pfu. very low ( 1.000- 3000 km/ s first event in records with unusually extreme slow protons    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140901 ongoing > 10 MeV ELectrons Y 1.000 pfu fluctuating first time that proton and electrons both exceed treshold levels- interrupted by new SEP on 20140910    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION not evaluated yet 20140825/ after 18 UTC 20140827( 00 UTC low (+/- 1 pfu. ( 10 x)   electron breakdown    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
interrupted by new SEP latent ---- > 1.000 pfu. 20140831    
                     
 

 

 

   
PREVIOUS SOLAR SEPS AND SEP SERIALS, those are still active ( effective and interfer/ accumulate ):
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >
 
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160802      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160717      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160618      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140423/ 17 UTC 20140429/00UTC knocked down by protons
20140429/ 00 UTC. E flux was knocked bylate proton activity (SEP/ 20140418)
20140425/ 13 UTC > 1.000 pfu

(20140425/ 13 UTC

 
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
(20140421/ 15 UTC rising
20140426/ 15 UTC > 100.000 pfu
---

(20140421/ 15 UTC

 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140507/ 19 UTC 20140711 low ( > 01. < 0.8 pfu)   electron breakdown  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140418/ after 13 UTC 201404210/ 09 UTC > about 60 pfu. near the speed of light 20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit-  
             

meaning of background colors>

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event        
} orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects
       
         
         
 

 

 

 
CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks  
ELECTRON EFFECTS>

20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.

The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.

might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!

20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space

20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks

20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.

Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes.

 
orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects  
SEP EVENT HISTORY :
   
20140418/
13:19 UTC
complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly
 
20140413- 16
 
The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416
 
20140405
after 12 UTC
Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event
 
20140325
08 UTC
Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.
 
20140317
 
Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.
 
     
20140228
 
Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"
 
                       
                       
 

 

 

   
                       
         
 

 

 

 

 
EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EVENTS: VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKES FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES, GLACIAL MELTDOWN METHANHYDRATES - ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
 

 

 

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 
         
^Barcelona airport/ 20140707 ^Taipeh pLane Crash/ 2014 BBC/ 20150224/ Video: Sinkhole in South Korea 'swallows' 2 pedestrians - BBC News    
 

 

 

 

     
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obvioulsy something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"    

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

 

VARIOUS:

 

 
( September 2014:) Aerial Iceland volcano footage: Lava fountains, huge smoke clouds

 

 

 

 
                       
                       

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

provided by:

alien-homepage.de
Impressum/contact

 

----------------------------

 

 

APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have signifiant and even strongest related geophysical effects.

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I don`t expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluation as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ( solar events with proton emissions) are the almost only geoeffective known type of solar event) those do even have extremely strong and complex effects on the earth body , thos only and best can be descroved described just with the phrase "theoretically can do everything". This is- since SEPs turned out to be the possible cause also for catastrophic earthquakes such as 2014 and 2011 - what this documentary now focussed on. SEPs however do happen MOST frequently during the maximum of the 11 years solar sun spot cycle (last in 2012(13) , but occure also in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany