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last updated on

2016

May 27 2016/ 04:40 UTC
ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!

important notices >

20160504: I am very busy at the moment, Updates may therefore be derlayed!

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2016 >

                   

2015 >

   

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

 

MAY 2016

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

for basic informations about this project scroll down to the bottom of this page!

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

scientific reviews of solar research (as far as available)

by NASA, MPI and others :

 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -
jjj

20160314/ 20160416. CONTINUED ALERT:

SIGNIFICANT BUT SLOW ELECTRON DISCHARGE INDICATES  MAJOR EARTHQUAKES  LIKELY TO OCCURE WITHIN  THE NEXT DAYS AND WEEKS . SINGLE EVENTS POSSIBLE WITH MAGNITUDES  EXCEEDING M 8!!

 

 

 

 

 

                 
(SECTION 1) SOLAR AND ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG:  
NEWS and special reports
   

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

MAY

2016

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!        
       
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
     
     

euronews/ 20160504:Fires threaten to engulf Canadian city >

Wildfires are threatening to engulf the remote city of Fort McMurray in western Canada. One neighbourhood of the city has already been destroyed. Local authorities say others have been badly damaged. Hot, dry winds have been forecast and the fear is they could fan the flames further. Nine air tankers, more than a dozen helicopters and around 150 firefighters are on the scene. The province of Alberta has asked for help to bring the blaze under control.... find more...

euronews/ 20160504:80,000 flee as inferno threatens Canadian oil hub >>

The entire population of Fort McMurray in Alberta, Canada, is fleeing in an evacuation ahead of a wall of flames now entering the city limits

     

(click here to see previous natural incident reports of the current month)

 

 

MAY 2016
                   

euronews/ 20160504:Fires threaten to engulf Canadian city >

Wildfires are threatening to engulf the remote city of Fort McMurray in western Canada. One neighbourhood of the city has already been destroyed. Local authorities say others have been badly damaged. Hot, dry winds have been forecast and the fear is they could fan the flames further. Nine air tankers, more than a dozen helicopters and around 150 firefighters are on the scene. The province of Alberta has asked for help to bring the blaze under control.... find more...

euronews/ 20160504:80,000 flee as inferno threatens Canadian oil hub >>

The entire population of Fort McMurray in Alberta, Canada, is fleeing in an evacuation ahead of a wall of flames now entering the city limits

     
                       
                       

 

 
           

 

 
 

 

 

 

     
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
 

 

   
         
earthquake-report/ 20160518: Dangerous earthquake(s) below Ecuador      
             
         
ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:
       
current Tsunami alerts >
NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
               
                       
 

(click here to see the report of the latest known previous TSUNAMI EVENT

Inh

ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS/ DETAILLED:
               
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known REAL TSUNAMI event

  visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
 
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES:
click here for data/ links of ALL AFTERQUAKES (> M4)
 
DATA BY EMSC)              
   
click here for LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXTFORMAT:
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

 

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT : 20170417/ 2:56 UTC  
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

 

 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                   
                 
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known REAL TSUNAMI event

20160417: visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
 
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES:
click here for data/ links of ALL AFTERQUAKES (> M4)
 
DATA BY EMSC) NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR
2016-04-16 23:58:36 UTC

0.38 N ; 79.88 W

M 7.4

unknown ( 10 km)

1 x ( M 5.4)  
   
click here for LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXTFORMAT:
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

20160417/ 00: 04 UTC

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT : 20170417/ 2:56 UTC  
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

(Update/ 20170417/ 2:56 UTC:) TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED --------------------------------- * THE TSUNAMI THREAT HAS NOW LARGELY PASSED.

( statement for Pacific and Hawaiion 20160416) BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII.

( INITIAL ALERT/ 20160417/ 00: 04 UTC:) * HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA

 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
                       
                       
find previous Tsunami reports in my archives
             
 
       

ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here forEARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES and previous reports (CURRENT MONTH ONLY):

Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

BBC/ 20160416: Deadly earthquake hits Ecuador >

A powerful 7.8-magnitude earthquake has killed at least 28 people in Ecuador, Vice-President Jorge Glas says. A state of emergency was declared in six provinces and the National Guard has been mobilised. The quake, centred near the coastal town of Muisne, destroyed an overpass in the city of Guayaquil about 300km (190 miles) away, local media say. The tremor also shook buildings in the capital Quito, forcing residents to flee their homes. "We have 16 people dead in the city of Portoviejo, 10 in Manta and two in the province of Guayas," Mr Glas said at a news conference....read more...

euronews/ 20160416: Double earthquakes devastate southern Japan > video >>

earthquake- report/ 20150414: Deadly earthquake Kyushu, Japan - NEW violent aftershock - Tsunami advisories LIFTED

earthquake- report/ 20150413:Massive deep and dangerous earthquake below Myanmar - 2 persons killed

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - NORTHERN TERRITORY, AUSTRALIA - 2016-05-20 18:14:04 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
25.59 S ; 129.85 E
DEPTH >
10 km (= unclear)    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.9 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-05-18 16:46:43 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
0.43 N ; 79.71 W
DEPTH >
30 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.7 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-05-18 07:57:04 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >

0.45 N ; 79.84 W
DEPTH >
40 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
30 km      

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS afterquakes

"B"

EPICENTER 11 x > M 2 M 3.6 - NORTHERN TERRITORY, AUSTRALIA - 2016-05-20 18:40:08 UTC  
    afterquakes   EPICENTER 22 x > M 2 M 4.4 - NORTHERN TERRITORY, AUSTRALIA - 2016-05-21 08:46:19 UTC  

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
               

TURKEY

  earthquake swarm/ resumed on 20160110   EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION (incl. Capverdes)

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /mainly AFTER SEP- 3. activity phase (begin: 20131226)

"E"

EPICENTER      
  reports only after events exceed magnitude 2.0 > EPICENTER      
  >> see also my canary islands volcano blog EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA fault, magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. frequently continuing activity on fault

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SERIAL GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS 20150805: Earthquake swarm/ small antilles ( west indies)

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA Earthquake swarm/ begin: 20151107 (resuming)   EPICENTER      

PACIFIC PLATE

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC (click for reports) was felt on surface

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC

increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014)

"C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
    Earthquake swarm   EPICENTER 03 M 2.4 - MOUNT HOOD AREA, OREGON - 2016-05-16 13:39:20 UTC  
        EPICENTER 02 M 2.5 - MOUNT HOOD AREA, OREGON - 2016-05-18 07:38:54 UTC  
  continuing....     EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. volcanic quakes?

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
  • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       

internal report/ uncorrected draft

Crash of Airbus 220 /Flight MS804: Terrorist on board or volcanic ash?

Again, after the air malaysia mashine some years ago, again, a plane "disasaperaed form the screens"  ( means: suddenly lost radio contact including the transponder signals) then suddenly and rapidly lost height until it-so first witnesses claim exploded over the miterranean sea in the region of ths Greece island of Crete.

Again. immidiately officials related to the airplane companiesasure the weather (so the wittness confirmed- on morning of May 19 observed in epypt) was good ( just none asked about air conditions in the night before over the mediterranean, when th plane crash) was good, the airplane was perfectly safe and any technical failure could be excluded. We remember the german wings accident and several other A 220/ 30 which were suddenly out of control.only in one case the pilot could switch out the autopilot and land safely in Munich/Germany .

volcano-discovery/ 20160519: A second paroxysm occurred at the Voragine summit crater this morning short time ago, i.e. less than 24 hours after yesterday's eruption. The activity is currently still going on but waning. The lava flow on the east side, from the base of the New SE crater, continues to be active, in the meanwhile. This time, visibility has been even worse and the event could only be inferred from the seismic signal and the ash plume (and ash falls) drifting towards the east (image). To add to yesterday's update: yet another new vent opened at the base of the North-East crater, at 12:09 local time, with week spattering and effusive activity"

>Dangerous volcanic eruptions are in Europe anything else than usual, resp just unknown. The only steady active volcano system in Southern Europe, is fed by the hot spot and former supervolcano below the campo flegrei near Napel,and normally just emits steam through the volcano stromboli on the Aeolian islands or hot fluid gasless mantle magna through the volcano Etna on Sicil. Etna`s eruptions create normally just lava flows those are sometimes dangerous for villages on Sicil but mostly can easily be contained, but seldom ashclouds as just on May 18 2016 when the first patradoxisms began in 2016 snedoing out an ashcloud that drfted towards the east ( just in direction of Crete)...read more...

here we have even an amazing video of the outbreak and the first cloud as produced on may 18 >>

   

While the french govermnet still lets open wthere iit was an accident or an attack , all official statements of the companies and the mainstream media focus now on a terrorist attack and the story they will likely bring out will by one similar to the one on 911 , but with the Te**orists bringing a bomb on board and to an explosion, since it seems anything else than likely that islamist would have equipment to shot down a plane in 11.00 meters height and if so- without any military station would have taken any notice of.

No doubt. Airbus despite those computer problems, are the with their large wings , those already allowed oftenlöy ermergency landings, other planes might not be able to perform is maybe the best relatively safest airplanes in the world.

But could it also take any flight through volcanic ashclouds? without any risk , these clouds could interrupt s radiosignals get into the engines and lead to an explosion? >>

The eruption still continued on May 19, so the ashcloud drifitng towards became rather long a type of ash and smoke banner. The sight on sicil is very bad. So it wonders why not anyone of these offivcials has jet taken notice of

However: in the recent years,.Etna regularly perfomed another unregular type of volcano eruption volcanologists call " paradoxysm"

what a paradoxism is explains us INGV. the Italian geophsyical institute that monitors the activities of the Italian volcanoes:

The general sense of the word "paroxysm" is "a sudden convulsion, the instantaneous increase of a symptom or a sudden emotion or action"; in theDictionary of the Italian Language of Sabatini Coletti also the volcanological significance is given as "during an eruption, [a paroxysm is] the whole of the explosive phenomena that constitute the most violent and dangerous phase".

^volcano discovery: Ash plume from the second paroxysm drifting towards Giarre on 20160518/ 19

(click here to see previous technical reports of the current month)

RT/ 20160309:Flydubai Boeing crash in Rostov-on-Don kills all 62 on board >>

Flydubai flight FZ981 has crashed in the southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don killing all 62 passengers and crew on board. The flight was en route from Dubai and crashed during its second landing approach amid poor weather conditions ...read more...

20160206:Statement from Governor Andrew M. Cuomo Regarding Indian Point Nuclear Facility

“Yesterday I learned that radioactive tritium-contaminated water leaked into the groundwater at the Indian Point Nuclear facility. The company reported alarming levels of radioactivity at three monitoring wells, with one well’s radioactivity increasing nearly 65,000 percent. The facility reports that the contamination has not migrated off site and as such does not pose an immediate threat to public health....read more...

   
         
                     
 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

the watchers/ 20ß160513: Severe Nor'wester leaves dozens dead in Bangladesh

the watchers/ 20160510: Southern China hit by prolonged heavy rainfall, at least 9 casualties reported

the watchers/ 20160511: Heavy rains, deadly floods and landslides hit drought-stricken Ethiopia

the watchers/ 20160508: must-see videos of Wray, Colorado tornado - May 7, 2016 >

 

   
 

(click here to see previous heavy weather reports of the current month)

 

the watchers/ 20160425: Extensive severe weather outbreak targets central United States

the watchers 20160425: Intense storm destroys over 1 100 homes and leaves at least 14 dead, Myanmar

floddlist/ 20160403: Pakistan – At Least 46 Killed After Floods in North

In Pakistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) reported earlier today that 46 people had died and 41 were injured as torrential rain and floods hit the province on Saturday 02 April, 2016. At least 60 houses have been damaged. Full damage assessments were still awaited from remote areas of the province. Many of the deaths are thought to have been caused by collapsing buildings. Other victims were swept away by flood water or struck by lighting. videos >>

 

   
 
       
                       

 

TROPICAL STORMS/

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

       

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
    EASTERN PACIFIC           TC    
                     
                     
    EASTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
    WESTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
    WESTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                2    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  

 

                   
                TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES -)

       

volcano-discovery/ 20160522:Sinabung volcano (Sumatra, Indonesia): larger-than-average pyroclastic flow claims at least 3 victims

A series of pyroclastic flows occurred yesterday afternoon - sadly, at least one of them was was much larger than most others during the past months and claimed several fatalities among local farmers who were working on their fields within the exclusion zone, approx. 4 km from the volcano. The latest update includes 7 dead and at least 2 badly bunt among the victims. The pyroclastic flows - turbulent avalanches of hot debris and ash, caused by partial collapses of the slowly growing lava dome and its over-spilling lava lobes on the upper steep flanks - occurred in a series at 14:28, 15:08 and 16:39 local time. The first of them appears to have been the largest in the series (although clouds obscured views after the first one). The flow reached 4500 m distance (significantly more than any other recent one, compared to averages of 2000-3500 m of similar flows during the past months). > video >> Sinabung live webcam

 

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(click here to see previous volcanism reports of the current month) including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS

Inhalt

volcano-discovery/ 20160513: Volcanic activity worldwide 13 May 2016: Stromboli volcano, Soputan, Awu, Dukono, Bardarbunga, Turri..

Stromboli (Eolian Islands, Italy): Following a phase of very low activity during most of March-April (often with several hours between small explosions only), activity has picked up again and strombolian-type explosions, mainly from the western and eastern vents in the crater terrace, have been more regular.

Bardarbunga (Central Iceland): Ever since the large Holuhraun fissure eruption (Aug 2014-Mar 2015), the volcano has remained restless. Over the past months, the volcano's seismic activity has been showing a slow increase.

Sakurajima (Kyushu, Japan): The activity at the volcano has been irregular. Only few, but sometime relatively strong vulcanian explosions have occurred recently, with ash plumes rising up to 17,000 ft (5 km) altitude.

Sinabung (Sumatra, Indonesia): The explosive / effusive eruption continues with little changes. Rising viscous lava accumulates in the summit crater where as a dome; intermittently, it produces small to moderate explosions (ash plumes rising 1-2 km) and incandescent rockfalls and/or small pyroclastic flows on the eastern side where the crater is breached.
Overall, the activity (which had started in late 2013) seems to be very slowly decreasing over time.

 

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NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
  volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by: GVP

GVP  

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 11 May-17 May 2016

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Name Location Activity
Awu Sangihe Islands (Indonesia) New
Ruapehu North Island (New Zealand) New




 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATE:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Alaid Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Cotopaxi Ecuador Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Langila New Britian (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Masaya Nicaragua Ongoing
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia Ongoing
Pavlof United States Ongoing
Sangay Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Telica Nicaragua Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoing

 



 

   
 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 4 May-10 May 2016

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Name Location Activity
Bristol Island South Sandwich Islands (UK) New
Nevados de Chillán Chile New
Ruapehu North Island (New Zealand) New
White Island North Island (New Zealand) New




 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATE:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Alaid Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Kerinci Indonesia Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Langila New Britian (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Masaya Nicaragua Ongoing
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia Ongoing
Sangay Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoi

 



 

   
 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 27 April-3 May 2016

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Name Location Activity
Kerinci Indonesia New
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) New
Rincon de la Vieja Costa Rica New
Santa Maria Guatemala New
White Island North Island (New Zealand) New




 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATE:

Alaid Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Masaya Nicaragua Ongoing
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia Ongoing
Sangay Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Tengger Caldera Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoing

 



 

   
 

 

 

     
 

 

 

     
         

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
 

HOT SPOT MONITORING

 

selected hot spots for monitoring SEP effects

       

LATEST NEWS:

           
20160519: with decreasing SEP actvity and effects, the global synchronously elevated activity at the selected monitored spots has significantly decreased, but seems not to be over yet. The global magma intrusion along with the strong SEP events of the last 11 year solar sun spot maximum 2012/ 13 continuing until 2015 has synchronously decreased or stopped at the same time but the magma in the related volcano systems is still hot. THis magma cannot flow back into the earth mantle, but atleast ciobntraction processes while colling down can lead to particular structure collapses.I have not the experience that I can predict further behaviors. There were only three minor SEPs events this year (the least one just occured was on May 17- 2016 but weas only short and did with less than 1 pfu.not reach threshold and may NOT have all heat effects in the earth mantle, that no major reaction from hot spots seesm to be expectablebut but at least cause an effective electron accumulation with typical climatical effects( see below)  
         
click here to see live webcams of selected hot spots for monitoring current SEP effects
 

 

 

 
(SECTION 2) SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY  
NASA data reports
   
                       

20141216: please note: NASA was recently again reorganising their website contents: So- some many or even all elder archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will maybe not work anymore . Updates are made in this report as soon as available, but i just cant look all trough to update the links. Thus: here just the links to the current NASA plot archives: NASA( space weather plots as archived since 1966

 

(1.1.) LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

   
1.1.2. (related) NASA AND NOAA REAL TIME DATA PLOTS:                  
current sun spots and AR (visible disc):   ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE/ 7 days Real TIime: geomagnetic field components and deformation:( Bz =North South/ By= Est- West ACE (Advanced Composition explorer); (7 days Real Time) SOLAR PROTON COMPONENT (in solar winds or CMEs) SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot ACE/ SIS: (7 days Real Time) INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX: NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot )  
   
 
click here for more REAL TIME FEATURES (NASA satellite data)
(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY JULY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 
     

 

 

             
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >> here you find elder reports and newer ones. Green background means : this event is over/ineffective

LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT /UPDATE >

20160504

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
             
solar activity by: solen.info/:

please note: this section is only updated after significant major events/ from Nov 2015 on, the text fields in the second row will contain all alerts of the current month as issued by NOAA

latest RSGA report of significant solar activities
DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS /SEP: *

*also named SPE (= SOLAR PROTON EVENT) or: SAP (= SOLAR ACCELERATED PROTONS )

 
           
CURRENT STATE: :
   
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> MAJOR - RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES  > M 5 / CMEs/ SEPs

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
PHASE III ( electron discharge)
PHASE II (electron accumulation)*
PHASE I (proton event) :
 
  <last event update > 20160527 20160504     REAL TIME 20160510
CURRENTLY>:
20160527/
20160515
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: last known event > ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 May 26 1359 UTC Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 May 04 1353 UTC     Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
SLOWLY ONGOING ELECTRON DISCHARGE (SEP PHASE III!)
20160527: dropping Electron 2MeV Integral Flux :

20160515/ after 21 UTC minor/ minimal SPE-> 10 MeV maximum: 2 pfu.

 
                     
  latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
latest event data and plots (GOES x-ray)- current month
Inhalt

2016

MAY

 

date

events/ activity changes

 
  www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

 
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 527
Issue Time: 2016 May 26 1418 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2016 May 26 1359 UTC

 
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22 ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 May 22 0922 UTC  
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latest radio bursts and emission

2016

MAY

   

date

Type II and IV radio emissions and 10 cm Radio bursts

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event

Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

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04 Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1044 Issue Time: 2016 May 04 1437 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 May 04 1353 UTC Estimated Velocity: 560 km/s  
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latest CME event data and plots (current month)

2016

APRIL

 
 

date

events/ activity changes

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18 20160418: Major CME Impact ( > 200 nT)
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halt
latest events (current month)

2016

January

 

date

events/ activity changes

 
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click here for latest GOES hp plots and data (current month):

2016

MAY

   

geomagnetic storms:

www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

date

events/ activity changes

   
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10 Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 2858 Issue Time: 2016 May 10 0552 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Extension to Serial Number: 2857 Valid From: 2016 May 07 2340 UTC Now Valid Until: 2016 May 10 1800 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence  
09 Space Weather Message Code: ALTK07 Serial Number: 103 Issue Time: 2016 May 09 0301 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 Threshold Reached: 2016 May 09 0259 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong  
08 Space Weather Message Code: WARK07 Serial Number: 65 Issue Time: 2016 May 08 0518 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected Valid From: 2016 May 08 0515 UTC Valid To: 2016 May 08 0900 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G3 or greater - Strong to Extreme
08 ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2016 May 08 1550 UTC Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor    
07 WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: May 08: None (Below G1) May 09: G1 (Minor) May 10: G1 (Minor) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT    
06 ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2016 May 06 2059 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor    
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click here for phase III alerts
Inha

2016

March

date

events/ activity changes

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19 20150319: ELECTRON DISCHARGE (slowly dropping electrons!
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16 continuing with 20150416: SLOW ONGOING ELECTRON DISCHARGE (continued)interruptions
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13 discontinued
12 slowly continuing with interruptions
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09 continuing with interruptions
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07 slowly continuing with interruptions
06 slowly continuing with interruptions
05 slowly continuing with interruptions
04 slowly continuing with interruptions
03 continuing with interruptions
02 continuing with interruptions
01 (slowly dropping electrons)
lt
click here for latest electron event data (current month)
Inhalt

2016

MAY

ELECTRON FLUX

www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

date

events/ activity changes

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24 higher Electron 2MeV Integral Flux : > 100 < 1.00 pfu.  
23 higher Electron 2MeV Integral Flux : > 100 < 1.00 pfu.  
22 Electron 2MeV Integral Flux : RISING  
21 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation  
20 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation  
19 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation Issue Time: 2016 May 19 1232 UTC ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Threshold Reached: 2016 May 19 1225 UTC
18 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation  
17 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation  
16 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation  
15 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation  
14 slowly dropping with strong fluctuation
13 Electron 2MeV Integral Flux : dropping with strong FLUCTUATIONS ( < 0.1- > 1.000 pfu)  
12 Electron 2MeV Integral Flux > 10.000 pfu  
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10 Electron 2MeV Integral Flux > 10.000 pfu
09

Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 2355
Issue Time: 2016 May 09 0931 UTC

 

CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu

Threshold Reached: 2016 May 09 0105 UTC
Continuation of Serial Number: 2354
Begin Time: 2016 May 09 0105 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2462 pfu

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05 Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3 Serial Number: 2352 Issue Time: 2016 May 05 0501 UTC CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Continuation of Serial Number: 2351 Begin Time: 2016 May 03 1040 UTC Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 5377 pfu
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03 Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3 Serial Number: 2350 Issue Time: 2016 May 03 1058 UTC ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Threshold Reached: 2016 May 03 1040 UTC Station: GOES-13
02 slowly dropping and flictuating  
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click here for latest proton event data (current month

2016

MAY

PROTON EVENTS

date

events/ activity changes

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencie
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previous SEP events ( protons)
 
20160515/ after 21 UTC minor/ minimal SPE-> 10 MeV maximum: 2 pfu.  
 
20160418/ after 09 UTC minor/ minimal SPE-> 10 MeV maximum:0.8 pfu.  
 
20160316/ after 9 UTC:/: MINOR SOLAR PROTON EVENT(> 1 < 10 pfu)  
 
20151228:/ after 14 UTC: SOLAR PROTON EVENT  
 
 
 
20151029
 
 
20151023-24 minor SEP : > 10 MeV Protons < = 1 pfu
 
 
20150618/20: 2 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!
 
 
 
PLANETARY A INDEX: (NEW) background informations>        
 
   

 

 

           

+ means protons ( in DC: "negative charge"

- means electrons (in DC "positiv charge"
   

1. 2. LATEST SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

MAY 2016

     
           
           
 

 

 

 

       
click here for images and data of previous major solar and terrestrial events

 

 
MAY 2016    

20160514: FILAMENT ERUPTIONS AND HIGH INTEGRAL ELECTRON FLUX: (uncorrected draft)

Three years, after the maximum of the 26 sun spot cycle in 2013, the number of  visible sun spots on the solar surface has significantly decreased, while coronal holes were growing larger. What is still falsely named/ decribed as "Coronal holes " are in real layers of heavier and more dense elements the sun produces maybe even mostly through flares and SEP activities during the sun spot cycles. Different to physics on earth, on the Sun,and mainly by its rotation, these heavier element are thrown towards the surface and likely wouldonly sink INTO the suns gaz hull if they have reached a certain density, such as sun spots have which seem to consist only out of hydrogen cores / protons.

However-  while these "Coronal holes cover large areas of the solar surface", the convection of the hot and lighter gazes below continues. The coronal holes create resistance to these processes, so the energy of the processes below accumulates ( what also effects as immense large magnetic loops reaching to the orbit of the earth any beyond) has to break its way through these layers. some times visible as if they would burn a holes inside. But very often thre enerxy accumulates to a high density breaking free then by sudden strong so called filament eruptions.

Lot of the noxious material that accumulated in CHs is then thrown as large CMEs into space, impacts- depending from its direction - on the earth magnetic field where it causes  minor to severe geomagnetic storms. There is not much resistance to these CMEs in the geomagnetic field , what indicates that the matter ejected with filament eruptions seems at least since 2014 consist out of "Positive ions" ( elements these have more protons than electrons) - what in the still contradictious and unclear physical terminations is then called a negative charge"

HIGH INTEGRAL ELCTRON FLUX(IEF)

the instruments on board of GOES measuring that IEF are generally made to measure the electron flux of the solar magnetic field through the earth and its magentic field. they can , allthough they are nor designed for.- measure the electron accumulations of these high enbergetic (!!) solar electrons in the geomagnetic field after impacts of socalled SEPs ( pure proton particle events ) those regularly follow each solar SEP. The behaviour of these electrons which cannot be directly monitored by observation, but indirectly through the IEF let conclude , that they move- like the protons of SEPs- on polar orbits along with the geomagnetic field lines, on those they- depending of their energy ( speed) by and by approach the eart, until they finally discharge likely by connecting again to a proton or +ion they finally form a neutron / isotope with.

 

The exact behavior of the initially impacting protons (SEP) can also not be monitored. But all instruments and statistic comparations and the possible observations show, that they likely immidiately impact through the SOUTHERN magnetic pole into the Earth , where they are rather quickly slown down by the Earth`s gravity and resistance . However- in this process their high cinetic energy (in SEPs those happen directyl on the solar meridian, protions reach almost the speed of light!!) is transformed into an tremendous amount of heat, that heats up the Earth mantle and leads to global magma intrusions through hot spots.

Depending on the intensity of the initial proton event, an equivalent of electron accumulates than in the geomagnetic orbit. The process while these electrons slow down can take months. and the cinetic energy transformed into heat is-as NASA could first time also confirm in 2014 , is so high that not only leads to intenisve tornadoes and thunderstorms but can put the world weather literally upside down for month , with droughts but also heaviest subsequent weathers as rainfalls floodings a.s.o.

Allthough the behavior of these solar particles within the geomag field cannot be monitored. new SEP events follöwing a previous one ( and there was one after another until 2014 when first time their number became less) also vchanmge the electron values on that electron instrument of GOES. this is an interactivity of protons and electroons that effects also in long lasting fluctuations when -as it is the case since middle of 2015 SEPs became much less and also weaker, when the earth body begins to coold down again ( this I call SEPphase III)

 

HOwever-there is no instrument that can show the actual amoount of energy accumulated by SEPs within the geomagnetic field : so my explanation for the strong rise of the IEF above 10.000 pfu as observed in the past week is that these are late effects of previous SEPs. This phase II after the cycle peaks takes longer as i had expected . But within an almost absolute vaccuum, the Earth is an perfectly insulated body . and so it cannmot wonder if accumuleted heat is so long stored within the Earth.die to the third law of thermodynamic not all heat can be transformed into cinetic energy.

 
     
MAJOR SOLAR ERUPTIONS and CMEs                    
(01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (1) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (2) GOES 13/ integral electron flux GOES 13/ integral electron flux(2) (4) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (5) SDO/ AIA/HMI:   (5) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (A2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (A3) SoHO (A5)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2:  
               
^CH and AR on 20160512   IEF rising on 20160508 ^electron flux (IEF) exceeding 10.000 pfu/ , suddenly dropping again on 20160514                
          GOES 13/ 15: xray flux:   SoHO SDO/ AIA/HMI: SoHO STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2  
LAST SOLAR SEP:                    
                       
)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info SDO/ AIA/HMI: STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: SoHO GOES 13/ integral proton flux ACE/ înterplanetary proton and + ion flux   05) NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP) NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data additionals additionals  
               
^CH and AR on 20160418 impulsive event in AR 12529 on 20160418/ 00:40 UTC SEP on 20160418/ after 00 UTC( likely backside event)   20160418              
                       
                       

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

MARCH 2016

         

 

 

 

 

           
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:

SEP EVENT LOGS

(detailled reports only for event > 10 pfu. )

PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)

PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron accumulation

PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP location
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton impact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20160202 Eastern solar limb (STEREO Ahead ) 20160101/ 23:30 UTC 20160102/shortly after 00UTC 20160103/ afterb12 UTC 12pfu 71333km/sec interfering with previous electronaccumulation ongoing about 4.000 pfu    
20151228/ after 10 UTC eastern limb   20151228:/ after 14 UTC   < 10 pfu         begin of new SPE serial!?  
20151109- 11         < 10 pfu            
20151029         < 10 pfu            
20151023-24         < 10 pfu            
20150702         < 10 pfu            
20150626/30 uncertain- STEREO A not funtiional likely AR 12371 20150622/ 19 UTC 20150702 1.000 pfu! unknwon          
20150512/ after 03 UTC: uncertain- likely western limb 12335(west) or 12339 20150512/ after 03 UTC ongoing 7 pfu. unknown/ trather high pending        
201504 1- 30 ° behind western limb S4392 20150422/ after 17 UTC 20160528/ 23 UTC > 1 pfu. unknown (LOW= < 30.000 km/s. ) continuing from previous SEPs ongoing > 1.000 pfu   pending!
20150315 near solar meridian AR 20150315 after 03 UTC 20160418 08 pfu high/ unknown 20150419 ongoing > 10.000 pfu accumulated electrons.. Values are likely higher than measured due to protons influcence ( altered potential) pending!
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                     
LAST SOLAR SEP:                    
                       
20160203: (01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) SDO/ AIA/HMI: SDO/ AIA/HMI: SoHO GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2:   GOES 13/ integral proton flux NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data ACE/ înterplanetary proton and + ion flux (05) NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP)  
             
    ^LDE flare in AR on 20160102 / peaking around 00: 10 UTC ^partial halo CME beginning on 20150101/ after 23:40 UTC   SEP outburst on 20160102/ atshortly after 23:30 UTC -images were updated after transmission had resumed-         ^global proton impact heat absorption during proton event on 20160102 after oo UTC  
                       
                       
 

 

 

 

 
(SECTION 3) EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
       

(EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST MAINLY BASED ON SEP EVENTS/ EFFECTS)

 

 

 

----------------------

 

 

OTHER NEWS / SOLAR SYSTEM:

LATEST NEWS FROM CURIOSITY MARS ROVER MISSION ( NASA, JPL)

          click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    

NASA/ 20151008/ NASA's Curiosity Rover Team Confirms Ancient Lakes on Mars

A new study from the team behind NASA's Mars Science Laboratory/Curiosity has confirmed that Mars was once, billions of years ago, capable of storing water in lakes over an extended period of time.

Using data from the Curiosity rover, the team has determined that, long ago, water helped deposit sediment into Gale Crater, where the rover landed more than three years ago. The sediment deposited as layers that formed the foundation for Mount Sharp, the mountain found in the middle of the crater today.

"Observations from the rover suggest that a series of long-lived streams and lakes existed at some point between about 3.8 to 3.3 billion years ago, delivering sediment that slowly built up the lower layers of Mount Sharp," said Ashwin Vasavada, Mars Science Laboratory project scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, and co-author of the new Science article to be published Friday, Oct. 9.

The findings build upon previous work that suggested there were ancient lakes on Mars, and add to the unfolding story of a wet Mars, both past and present. Last month, NASA scientists confirmedcurrent water flows on Mars.

     
         
click here for previous Curiosity updates and other news on pour planetary system

Inhalt

iopscience/ 20160120:EVIDENCE FOR A DISTANT GIANT PLANET IN THE SOLAR SYSTEM

Abstract Recent analyses have shown that distant orbits within the scattered disk population of the Kuiper Belt exhibit an unexpected clustering in their respective arguments of perihelion. While several hypotheses have been put forward to explain this alignment, to date, a theoretical model that can successfully account for the observations remains elusive. In this work we show that the orbits of distant Kuiper Belt objects (KBOs) cluster not only in argument of perihelion, but also in physical space. We demonstrate that the perihelion positions and orbital planes of the objects are tightly confined and that such a clustering has only a probability of 0.007% to be due to chance, thus requiring a dynamical origin. We find that the observed orbital alignment can be maintained by a distant eccentric planet with mass gsim10 m⊕ whose orbit lies in approximately the same plane as those of the distant KBOs, but whose perihelion is 180° away from the perihelia of the minor bodies. In addition to accounting for the observed orbital alignment, the existence of such a planet naturally explains the presence of high-perihelion Sedna-like objects, as well as the known collection of high semimajor axis objects with inclinations between 60° and 150° whose origin was previously unclear. Continued analysis of both distant and highly inclined outer solar system objects provides the opportunity for testing our hypothesis as well as further constraining the orbital elements and mass of the distant planet....read more...

 

     
                       

20151203: LOUNCH OF LISA PATHFINDER MISSION:

" Massive bodies near to black holes (likely- itsa a theory) produce GRAVITATIONAL WAVES"

( i don`t make any comments on that regarding the phenomenon of solar proton events as treated in this report...)

ESA PR 47-2015: LISA (= Laser Interferometry Space Antenna) Pathfinder en route to gravitational wave demonstration: 03 December 2015 ESA's LISA Pathfinder lifted off earlier today on a Vega rocket from Europe's spaceport in Kourou, French Guiana, on its way to demonstrate technology for observing gravitational waves from space.

(by ESA: )Mission LISA Pathfinder will test in flight the concept of low-frequency gravitational wave detection: it will put two test masses in a near-perfect gravitational free-fall, and control and measure their motion with unprecedented accuracy. LISA Pathfinder will use the latest technology to minimise the extra forces on the test masses, and to take measurements. The inertial sensors, the laser metrology system, the drag-free control system and an ultra-precise micro-propulsion system make this a highly unusual mission. LISA Pathfinder is an ESA mission, which will also carry a NASA payload....read more

for more informations. go toi LISA Pathfinder mission website>>

       

alien worlds: RT/ 210151016: Star in a  solar system of Cygnus/ Lyra constellation surrounded by irregular objects possibly of technical nature? >>>

Thunderbolts project on youtube: Veröffentlicht am 03.10.2015

Veröffentlicht am 03.10.2015 In the previous Space News episode, we discussed recent, astonishing images of the surface of the dwarf planet Pluto. Many other surprises have already been revealed in the data thus far released from NASA’s New Horizons mission. Today, physicist Eugene Bagashov discusses what we have learned thus far about Pluto’s atmosphere and the larger Plutonian environment.

         
Pluto in a Minute: How Similar are Pluto and Charon to the Earth and the Moon?            

 

   

 

 

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive

 

     

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
    Now we know, how the aliens those once constructed us, really looked like. "the Head of the statue":  
what`s up in the sky: Amazing Pyramid & Broken Wall Found On Mars! --- the extraterrists made also Yoga excercises: Statue Of Being In Lotus Position (Indian Style) On Mars Looks Human Possible Egyptian Queen Style Statue Imaged By The Curiosity Rover On SOL 796 ( found by: what`s up in the sky)    
click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item)    
     
click here for more/ previous alien discoveries on Mars:

 

"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obviously something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"      

 

 

     
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:          
 

 

       
                         
                         
                         
                         
                         
                         

 

   

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (OTHER) FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 
euronews/ 20160418/ Massive stone ball discovered in Bosnia still a mystery for scientists      
   
       

 

 

APPENDIX:

click here for notices on this page and its development
Inhalt

1. ABOUT ITS CONTENT:

first of all: some general information about the results of evaluation of the 26 solar sun spot cycle ( by the largest scientific project ever lounched in human history< - by NASA-to explore the sun).

resp about what especially my project is fucussed on ( while others don`t) .I am still- so far as I know- the only one in the entire web who publically observes/documents and researches the effects of solar SEPs :

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within one decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS (or SAP or: SPE-Solar proton event) thos cause a long enduring chain of physical effects would be the solar feature I was looking for , being that solar feature. All statistic comparations made since then yet showed had a 100 % coincidence with these and the results indicate, SEPs can even strongest related geophysical effects. (NASA simply noted: SEPS can do EVERYTHING)

CMEs ( Coronal mass ejections) are produced during solar flares ( those are nuclear reactions around a dark likely blackmassed sun spot ) are or socalled filament eruptions ( solar gases erupting by higher concentrated electromagnetic fields in regions with higher mass density - also falsely named aas "Coronal holes "( the name derived by the fact that earlier devices for observation just allowed to see them as regions darker then the rest of the solar surface . So first it was believed these would be solar regions with lower gaz concentration . Meanhwile its is knoewn that CHs are just the opposite. Regions covered by heavier oftenly positiv ions of elements- could be eveything form Lithium to lead gold or whatever ) ALso Prominences are solargaszes erupting by magnetic short circuits, when magnetic fields are compressed and contorted by the high gravity produced around/by sun spots .

However statistic evaluatioin showed ; these high energetic eruption do have somephysical effects on the earth; buts ths most of them are neglectable .

However. SEPS those theoretically and as Nasa previously rightly concluded could "DO EVERYTHING"can as differently as CMEs filament eruptions and solar flares are : SEPs als occur in active and spotted regions but for shure happen much deeper within the sun : As Analysis of 30- 50 SEPs - detectable only by the one and only suitable infrared telescope mounted on STEREO Ahead / Behind CORE2 , showed that proton particles during an SEP are emitted almost in all directions ( they just can`t move through the solar core) and their speed is highest in radial direction ( where they achieve speeds near to the speed of light) butthey get als slower a s highest the ancle is to the radial axis resp as more solar gases they have to penetrate until they are emitted into space

However SEPs have three major parameters , from those it depends how strong their chain of geophysical subnuclear effects will and how long these will last. SPEs occure in higher numbers during peaks of the 11 year solar sun spot cycle , but also in between at at times of their minimas. There is now theories about how SEP come to existence resp are produced . I believe SPEs occure if mainyl larger sunspots-those likely consist out of a pure superdense protons (matter similar to matter within a black hole )sink deeper into the solar gaz hull, until they reach regions with such high electromagnetic forces/ densities, that they are torn apart into their single particles and ejected from theSun. (electron/ proton reaction)

 

This is (1) the proton speed,-(2) ( the proton density( in pfu =particles per second and squaremeter) and (3) the duration of the proton impact into the geomagnetic field ( this is the duration , how long values exceed th normal proton background of 0.1-0.5 pfu.

-updated on 20160125-

-------------------

2. ABOUT ITS DESIGN:

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefore, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

 

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I don`t expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluation as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientific research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ( solar events with proton emissions) are the almost only geoeffective known type of solar event) those do even have extremely strong and complex effects on the earth body , those only and best can be described just with the phrase- used by NASA- "theoretically can do everything". This is- since the usually seldom SEPs turned out to be the only solar activities those were in all cases coincident with major catastrophic earthquakes such as 2014 and 2011 - what this documentary now focusses on. SEPs however do happen MOST frequently during the maximum of the 11 years solar sun spot cycle (last in 2012(13) , but occure also in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and events and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time, if any major event should take place ..

so the solar terrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany

   
   

 

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewaehr!

provided by:

 

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