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DATE:
25.11.2014
last updated on
2014

NOVEMBER 25 at: 16: 00 UTC

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click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

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remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
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According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

NOVEMBER 2014

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B)

scientific reviews/ NASA solar project(as far as available)

NASA:

unknown
earlier:
 
 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

 

 

    NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
LATEST EVENTS ( at time of this update)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

NOVEMBER

2014

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!          
       
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
         

20141112- 18 Unexpected increase in global earthquake activity/

20141104: SAN ANDREAS FAULT: INTENSIVE MAGMATIC EARTHQUAKE SWARM IN NEVADA REGION/

 

                       
DISASTROUS AND DANGEROUS EARTHQUAKES AND DEVELOPMENTS
               
                       

DATE

included report by :

       
MEDIA SOURCES
MEDIA SOURCES
VIDEO SOURCES  
                   
 

November 12- 18 2014: Unexpected serial of major earthquakes ( earthquake- report. com)

Slightly damaging double earthquake in Greece (felt in Athens)

November 18, 2014 – A strong double earthquake (2 M5.2 earthquakes with 4 minutes difference) hit the Prokopios area in Greece. The Greece Institute of Geodynamics did locate the epicenters near the shoreline

Very Strong earthquake out of the coast East of Gisborne, New Zealand – NO tsunami recorded

November 16, 2014 – A very strong earthquake occurred in the subduction area east of Gisborne, New Zealand. The shaking was felt in big parts of the North Island

Moderately damaging /injuring massive earthquake below the Molucca Sea (Indonesia)

November 15, 2014 – A massive earthquake struck at an intermediate depth below the Moluccas Sea generating some minor tsunami waves towards the Indonesian Islands. Due to the depth of the hypocenter, there was never a real shaking danger from this earthquake

Strong damaging earthquake in Kyrgyzstan (Lake Issyk Kul Region)

November 14, 2014 – A strong shallow earthquake had inflicted a lot of damage at the shores of Lake Issyk Kul in Kyrgyzstan. Preliminary reports are luckily only talking about material damage

Strong and slightly damaging earthquake in Kansas/Oklahoma

November 12, 2014 – A strong earthquake has surprised and scared the Wichita, Kansas area. This is probably one of the strongest earthquakes since a long time.

 

 

 

 

 

       
20141106                  

(internal) 20141105: SAN ANDREAS FAULT: INTENSIVE MAGMATIC EARTHQUAKE SWARM IN NEVADA REGION

the magmatic Earthquake swarm along the San Andreas intensified on 20141105 with a serial of 47 magmatic quakes with an average stranghth of M 3.0 peaking with an M 4.6 quake. The San Andreas fault is a spreading zone, caused by the northamerican plate that turns into NorthWest direction with an agle point near the peninsula of Yucatan . THe Wewstern side of the San andreas fault belongs to the pacific and the Cocos plate, such a continental fault reaches down to the earth mantle and if there is an increased magma intrusion , magnma rises up through the fault and expands the fault to both sides with the enormous gravitational decompression ir suffers while rising up form depth of the earth mantle where its was once deposited by subduction processes under enorumous graviational prsssure. The San andreas fault seems not really connected to the Yellowstone caldera but magma intrusion - as all recent records show- seems to happen if- then ( its not a daily event) simultanoulsy all over the world , with just some regional differences and pecularities . THus - simultanoulsy to the magma intrusions there, magma also rises up through the Yellowstone hotspot and mantle plume; mainly geysir activity and steam eruptions there is continously increasing since about January 2014, conincidently to the intensified eartzhquakes in the San Andreas fault , those increased in number as well as in intensity artr the same time

(earthquake report. com/ 20141105) Continuous earthquake swarm (Nr 30 today) near Darmstadt (Germany) scares residents

It began with a minor earthquake of M 3.2 in March. A quake, which was not unusual for a tectonic active region like Darmstadt, which is located on the eastern rim of Upper Rhine Graben. Although it was the strongest quake for several years in the south of German Bundesland (federal state) Hesse and caused some minor damage, it was not concerning. No aftershocks were felt in the next days, and life went on. Until May 17th … football fans in Darmstadt (and everywhere else in Germany) were preparing for the final game of German Football Cup (DFB-Pokal), Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund, when the quake hit in the early evening. Magnitude 4.2, the strongest quake in Germany for three years, the strongest in Hesse for decades. The epicenter was located in Mühltal, a little municipality 8 km south of Darmstadt. More than 100 homes were damaged here and the economical loss exceeded 1 million US-$. Even people in Frankfurt / Main and Stuttgart felt the shocks....read more...

 

internal remark. also these quakes are most likeley related to an magma intrusion into the Eiffel volcano field.

image/ right side Area of shaking – M 4.2 earthquake on May 17th

 
20141105
               
 

university of Nevada/ 20141105) For immediate release: Nov. 5, 2014

Ongoing earthquake swarm in northwestern Nevada Nevada Seismological Laboratory at University of Nevada, Reno joins with other federal, Washington and Oregon agencies to provide update RENO, Nev.

A swarm of earthquakes in a sparsely populated area of far northwest Nevada that began on July 12, 2014, has increased in intensity over the past several days. This activity is located about 40 miles southeast of Lakeview, Ore., and 40 miles northeast of Cedarville, Calif. During the past three months the Nevada Seismological Laboratory, in collaboration with the U.S. Geological Survey and seismic networks in Washington and Oregon, has recorded 42 earthquakes larger than Magnitude 3, and about 550 earthquakes larger than Magnitude 2. Three Magnitude 4+ events have occurred since Oct. 30, with the largest event of the sequence, Magnitude 4.6, at 11:23 p.m., Nov. 4, 2014 (PST).

This activity resembles the 1968 Adel, Ore., swarm, which also lasted several months and included three events of approximately Magnitude 5; the Adel swarm caused moderate damage. Another analog is the 2008 Mogul-Somersett swarm in west Reno. This swarm also consisted of an increasingly vigorous series of earthquakes over a two-month period, leading to a Magnitude 5 event. The Mogul sequence also caused moderate local damage. Following any sequence of earthquakes similar to what is occurring in northwest Nevada, there is a small increase in the probability of a larger event. Whether a larger event will occur in the northwest Nevada swarm cannot be predicted or forecast. However, large earthquakes can happen anywhere in Nevada, and we encourage citizens to take steps to prepare for the potential for strong ground shaking. For earthquake preparedness information, visit http://www.seismo.unr.edu or http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/preparedness.php. The Nevada Seismological Laboratory at the University of Nevada, Reno, the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network at the University of Washington, the Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries and the U.S. Geological Survey are closely monitoring the earthquake activity in northwest Nevada. Real-time earthquake information on this sequence is available at http://www.seismo.unr.edu, and http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/. For more information on Nevada earthquake activity, contact the Nevada Seismological Laboratory, 775-784-4975.

 

 

 
       
 
             
MAJOR NATURAL AND TECHNICAL INCIDENTS        

20141122: Outbreak of the plague in Madagascar kills 40/ Morocco: flash floods cause casualties in south

                     
 

20141122/ Outbreak of the plague in Madagascar kills 40

The World Health Organisation has sounded the alarm over an outbreak of the plague in Madagascar. It says 40 people have died since August, out of a total of some 120 cases. The WHO says there is a risk of the disease spreading rapidly, and not everyone is aware of the crisis. One resident said: “I don’t know anything about a disease outbreak. I really do not know what you’re talking about.” There is concern that cases may start to spread in the capital, which has a dense population and a lack of good healthcare facilities. Another resident said: “Our hospital can’t treat serious illnesses; they don’t have the facilities. They don’t even have medicine to deal with small cases.” The plague is a deadly infectious disease spread between rodents, mainly by fleas, and humans infected can develop a bubonic form of plague....read more...

 

(BBC/ 20141124): Morocco: flash floods cause casualties in south

Flooding in southern Morocco has killed 32 people and six others are missing after the heavy rains, officials say. A girl of nine was among those who had been swept away by the raging waters of the Tamsourt River, media reports said. Around 100 mud-brick homes were partly or totally destroyed and 100 roads, including six national highways, were cut off in the floods, officials said. ...read more...

   
                     
                     
 

<< (euronews/ 20141105) Italy swamped by flash floods

After flash floods hit the Italian regions of Tuscany, Liguria and Venice, Rome is now on red alert. Heavy rains left the Tuscan city of Carrara submerged on Wednesday, but the situation has improved. Authorities report that two-thirds of the flood water have subsided.

>>(BBC/ 20141105) Volunteers save pilot whales beached in New Zealand 5 November 2014

Last updated at 10:59 GMT Volunteers and residents in New Zealand managed to help free some pilot whales which had become beached in Ohiwa Harbour in the Bay of Plenty. In total 21 whales were saved but 35 died. It is believed the group were following a sick whale which had gone into the harbour.

   
       
       
                       
                       

 

 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

20141104: Remarkable Super Typhoon Nuri Maintains 180 mph Winds for 24 Hours

 

TROPICAL STORMS/OCTOBER 2014
 

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

                     

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Hurricane Vance

                   
EVOLUTION: 20141104 EASTERN PACIFIC 110 MPH (+) 110.4° W 18.0° N NNE 600 km SW of BAJA CALIFORNIA/ NEW MAXICO TS (2)    
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     

Super Typhoon Nuri

                   
EVOLUTION: 20141104 WESTERN PACIFIC 150 MPH (-) 135.0° E 21.3° N NE 1300 KM NE OF PHILIPPINES TS (4)    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  
                     
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
      600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO    
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
           

 

 

         
                     
20141104                

 

(wunderground/ 20141104) Remarkable Super Typhoon Nuri Maintains 180 mph Winds for 24 Hours

In the Western Pacific, Super Typhoon Nuri exploded into a mighty Category 5 storm with 180 mph winds on Sunday, and has maintained that strength for a remarkable 24 hours. Nuri intensified from a Category 1 storm with 85 mph winds to a very high-end Category 5 with 180 mph winds on Sunday. The central pressure dropped 65 mb in 24 hours, down to 910 mb, as estimated by the Japan Meteorological Agency. Nuri is tied with Super Typhoon Vongfong for strongest tropical cyclone sustained wind speed of 2014; both had sustained winds estimated at 180 mph by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Vonfong hit Japan's Okinawa Island on October 11 as a Category 1 storm, and killed 9 people and caused $68 million in damage. However, Vongfong was slightly more intense as rated by minimum pressure--the Japan Meteorological Agency put Vongfong's central pressure at 900 mb at peak intensity, 10 mb lower than Nuri's. Nuri may pass close enough to Japan on Thursday to bring them heavy rain, but a direct hit is unlikely.

Nuri is Earth's fifth Category 5 storm of 2014 Nuri is Earth's fifth Category 5 storm of the year, and the third in the Western Pacific. In addition to Super Typhoon Vongfong, the other Western Pacific Cat 5 in 2014 was Super Typhoon Halong, which topped out at 160 mph winds on August 3, eventually making landfall in Japan on August 10 as a tropical storm. Another Western Pacific Super Typhoon, Rammasun, was only rated a Cat 4 when it hit China's Hainan Island on July 17, killing 195 people and causing over $7 billion in damage.

Hurricane Vance a heavy rainfall threat to Mexico
Hurricane Vance in the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Mexico has likely peaked in intensity and should steadily weaken as high wind shear of 20 knots tears into the storm. Satellite images show that Vance has an impressive area of spiral bands and heavy thunderstorms, except on its southwest side, where strong upper-level winds are disrupting the storm. Vance was getting pulled to the north by a trough of low pressure on Monday, will turn to the northeast on Tuesday, but might not make it all the way to Mexico. 

...read more...

 
               
                     
                   
       
               
                       

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES - including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS)

       

20141123 ff. : Fogo volcano (Cape Verde Islands): Mount Fogo live webcam and new video of ongoing eruption

 

                 

(volcano-discovery/ 20141124: Fogo volcano (Cape Verde): New video of ongoing eruption

The recent eruption of the Pico do Fogo continues to produce lava fountains from two vents on the volcano's flank. The erupted lava collects in rapidly growing flows that destroy roads and houses near the caldera, as shown in the new BBC footage below. Fortunately, this new eruption has not yet made any casualties, but many locals are forced to abandon there homes and move to houses constructed for the refugees of the 1995 eruption or to newly constructed temporary shelter. A large ash plume can be seen from Praia, the capital of Cape Verde on one of the neighbouring islands. The eruption also caused the closure of the local airport. ...read more...

 

(BBC/ 20141125) Cape Verde residents evacuated as Pico do Fogo volcano erupts

A volcano has erupted in the Cape Verde islands, causing hundreds of residents living in the vicinity to be evacuated and a local airport to be closed. A large plume of smoke was seen rising over the Pico do Fogo volcano, starting on Sunday. It is the first time the volcano on the island of Fogo has erupted since 1995.The Cape Verde government said civil protection workers and military were being sent to Fogo to help. There have been no reports of casualties. Officials said the signs were that the eruption was bigger than the last one, 19 years ago....read more...

>>>NOTICE by webcam owner: Because of the volcano eruption today, the Internet connection to our webcam has been destroyed by the lava. Here you see the last received image from the eruption today.

 

 

 

ORANGE/WATCH (AVO/ 2014-11-17 13:07:10 - Daily Update

Seismic activity at Pavlof remains at low levels since the sharp decrease on the evening of Saturday, November 15. The eruption has paused or is greatly diminished in intensity. Elevated surface temperatures on the volcano's upper northwest flank are consistent with a flow of lava and/or hot debris. Views of the volcano from the Cold Bay webcam are currently obscured by clouds. 

Pauses of days to weeks are common during eruptive episodes at Pavlof and increased activity could occur with little warning.
Complete report text

 (AVO( 2014-11-15 13:21:24 - Daily Update

The eruption of Pavlof Volcano that began on November 12 has intensified and the Aviation Color Code was raised to RED and the Volcano Alert Level to WARNING earlier today. 

The intensity of seismic tremor remains at high levels and pilot reports though 12:30 AKST (21:30 UTC) indicate that the ash cloud height has increased to 30,000 ft above sea level. Satellite, pilot reports, and wind data show the ash cloud moving towards the northwest over the Bering Sea. Ash cloud height and direction will vary significantly through an eruption and aviation users should refer to the National Weather Service for updated SIGMETs on the ash cloud hazard (http://aawu.arh.noaa.gov/sigmets.php).

"(see latest report at AVO))

< Pavolf volcano/ Lava fountain on Nov 12 2014 ( by wired. com)

 

NOVEMBER 01- 2014:

magmatic intrusion indeed increased again after the proton impact from a solar SEP on 20141101:

About 20 geysirs were active at the time of this update  in the upper geysir basin ( old faithful") of the Yellowstone natural park in Wyoming USA. A Lava stream from Kilauea still proceeds into habitated areas on its way to the coast.

A stronger - likely also  magmatic quake occured offshore near the  Madeira islands, which is the central volcanic feature on the Azores  not far North from the Canaries: (depth: 30 km)

M 4.5 - MADEIRA ISLANDS, PORTUGAL REGION - 2014-11-03 03:39:41 UTC

an our discrete Canary hotspot, had two magmatic quakes, the first in a depth of now just 7 km below sea level, Activity can be exspected to rise in the coming days

Evento Fecha Hora(GMT)* Latitud  Longitud  Prof.
(km)
Int. Máx. Mag. Tipo Mag. (**) Localización Info
1304593 02/11/2014 18:32:03 27.7115 -18.0204 15 2.0 mbLg W EL PINAR.IHI [+]
1304565 02/11/2014 16:57:46 27.6941 -18.0624 7 1.7 mbLg W EL PINAR.IHI [+]

Magma intrusion in that intensity is anything els than a daily or usual event. Comparing the depth of  the magmatic intrusion on several hot spots and continental ridges , the suggestion comes up, that there is a global magma  level if then that rises simultanously and  seems now on those places where data are available  to have reached a  depth of around 5 km below sealevel what is already pretty  close to the surface

The magmatic quakes on the  midatlantic ridge ( that also reaches down to the Earth mantle) continued with another M 5.5. in 5 km depth:


M 5.5 - CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2014-11-03 08:23:56 UTC

another l.kikely magmatic activity on the Mid indian ridge was measured in a depth of 10 km:

M 6.2 - MID-INDIAN RIDGE - 2014-11-03 08:48:30 UTC

the 5.4 quake below Iceland, that announces that the activity in the large bardarbunga caldera will also resume resp increase again soon

and the earthquak swarm near  the San Andreas fault ( just another spreading zone along the western coast of the uSA that  reaches down to the earth mantle) shows an increase in magnitude and frequence after the solar SEP on 20141101. The magmatic swarm quakes had increased in January 2014 as well as activity of the Yellowstone caldera - as the USGS confirmed  2014 . the fluctuating quake activity  along the san Andreas fault however   always were coincident  since then with an jncrease of steam emissions in the Yellowstone caldera soon after., which can ba just calm on some days but made 2014 hundredfeet high steam eruptions,

Strongest quake that was registered there today at time of this update:

M 4.0 - OFF COAST OF OREGON - 2014-11-03 05:54:07 UTC ( depth: 10 km) click here for the Old Faithful Geyser Streaming Webcam

So the situation might become more and more harzardous but nobody should really worry on the Canaries. Before any Magma would reach the surface for sure warning signs would become visible such as steam emissions such as on the slopes of Teide , The   ground might vibrate a bit or stronger and become warmer .As AVCAN repeats again and again, if  the staff there  would have sure indicators for an upcoming  surface eruption, there would be still enough time to leave or evacuate the island if necessary.

 
     

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

 Activity for the week of 12 November-18 November 2014

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) New
Pavlof United States New
Popocatepetl Mexico New
Sinarka Shiashkotan Island (Russia) New
Turrialba Costa Rica New
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Asosan Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Copahue Central Chile-Argentina border Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Mayon Luzon (Philippines) Ongoing
Ontakesan Honshu (Japan) Ongoing
Poas Costa Rica Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing

 

 
       

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 5 November-11 November 2014

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Cerro Negro de Mayasquer Colombia-Ecuador New
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) New
Popocatepetl Mexico New
Turrialba Costa Rica New
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) New

 

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Ambrym Vanuatu Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Mayon Luzon (Philippines) Ongoing
Ontakesan Honshu (Japan) Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing

 

 
       

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 29 October- 06November 2014

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

 

 
       
     
     
     

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
     

 

 

   
 
   
 

 

 

 

     

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20141122- 23  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
               
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS  

 

 

LATEST RSGA REPORT ON SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITIES:>
DATE: 20141115
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)
 
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY MAJOR X- RAY EVENTS:

LATEST MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS:

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME:

exp. IMPACT SIZE LATEST CME ARRIVALS:: CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS: (internal report only )
PROTONS (PHASE I) ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II) FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
NEW SEP (20141101/ after 12 UTC) INCREASING > 2 MeV Electrons > 1.000 pfu PREVIOUS ALERT LEVEL!
GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS:
VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-) TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere)

COOLING DOWN & CONTRACTION OF THE EARTH MANTLE AND TECTONIC - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.

NOAA/ SWPC ALERTS (protons/ electrons) > MAJOR AND potential CATATROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
no NOAA warning available!
 
LOW         20141109- 10   (20141123) G 1- 2  
NOAA/ SWPC alerts NOAA/ SWPC report:           NOAA/ SWPC report :  
       
PREVIOUS ALERTS:                
major previous events> X 1.5 LDE Flare / 20141107 X 1.5 LDE Flare / 20141107 AR 12192 on 2014127: M 6.7 at 9: 59 UTC/ X 2.0(LDE) at 14: 02UTC AR 12192 on 2014126: X 1.0(LDE) at 10:04 UTC AR 12192 on 2014125: X3.1 (LDE) at 21: 41 UTC AR 12192 on 20141024: X3.1 (LDE) at 21: 41 UTC NOAA/ SWPC (protons/ electrons)>  
   
                 
             

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
1.1 .RELATED NASA/ NOAA REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS:                  
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE/ interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 
other related online sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)

 

ANALYSIS/ online sources:
   
ANALYSIS: USAF - daily report on solar and geophysical activity
  NOAA- space weather prediction center

OTHER:

-CODES, TERMINOLOGY AND CLASSIFICATIONS of SUN SPOTS (SIDC)- -Mt Wilson/ Monthly Sunspot Report Legend-

NASA/ INTEGRATED SPACE WEATHER ANALYSIS SYSTEM- Home
click here to find out more about the current NASA/ ESA SOLAR OBSERVATORY PROGRAM (the largest ever in human history) on my page "SOLAR CENTER", that gives you an overview with many usefuls links to NASA/ ESA spacecrafts and webpages with all available archives.
     
RELATED ONLINE SOURCES:
       

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

               
1.2.1 GENERAL SOLAR EVOLUTION/ NOTICES:
solar sun spot related HF activity is currently very low
     
               
             
             
                 

1.2.2 LATEST MAJOR FLARES, CMEs

   
   

20141119: Sorry I had a computer failure last week and was offline for some days . Meanwhile, I have a new machine and I am back for latest updates:

Since last week again the active region 12192 from the previous rotation period is rotating over the visible solar disc and was numbered as AR 12214 by NOAA: AR 12214 is smaller now but still active with minor flares and produced a serial of M class LDE flares on Nov 16 and 17. The regions is a nestled region ( I just tracked it back to May 2014 yet) which already lost size and faded from the disc and reappeared later again and growing in size.

The protons from the last SEP on 20141101 were active until Nov 15 and the usual electron accumulation following each solar SEP became effective on Nov 16: > 2 MeV Electrons reached 10.000 pfu on Nov 17 and are still above 1.000 pfu on Nov 19 at time of this update. Electrons accumulating above the Northern Pole have- as long as they are active- warm up effects on the polar region what then leads to complete weather anomalies on the Northern hemisphere with cold and hot air fronts and extreme rainfalls in between as described in previous articles and in the text box above ( see: SEP effects phase II/ electron accumulation)

Its time now to publish a PREVIOUS warning: over a period of almost two years SEPs have followed one another succeeded by just the next one without that all these long term effects really came to an end, resp. what I call " final discharge". The sun seems to be rather quiet now and if no further SEP will follow the next days and weeks, the final discharge ( what I call Phase III) wil, become very likely within the next days and weeks

This final electron discharge happens- if- then rather abruptly and can be observed on the GOES plot as a sudden and SHARP drop of the integral electron flux. As described in the text below "SEP phase III" above, heavy and even extreme strong SUBDUCTION earthquakes become likely soon after these electrons loose their energy and react with the protons in the geomagnetic field to neutrons. These earth quakes if they occure subseas might trigger strong and catastrophic Tsunamis

You can observe the "real time GOES electron plot" above by yourself as I will possibly not be able to issue warning right in time. Earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9 cannot be excluded if this SEP Phase IIIshould really set in the next days or weeks ( that lasts itself just not more than 2- 3 days) and should be- due to all data I have collected to the previous relevant SEP events- expected in the region of the EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN, including - resp. at least affecting - the US the entire AMERICAN WEST COASTS.

To finf d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
ARE 12214 on 20141119:
same region ( AR 12192) on 20141022:
     
 
 
                   
                   
click here for previous solar events logs and reports (none yet for November 2014)

 

20141105- 07: AR 12205 continued to produce strong flares during th past days. Thee activity peaked yet with an X 1.5 LED flare on 20141107 after 15 UTC . The event was on SoHO images associated with an earth directed, partial halo CME, that will arrive appr. on 20141109 (imag 2 >)

201411104: AR 12205 continued and intensified its flaring activities on 20141105 with an major M7.9/1N flare at 9:47 and an M2.9/1N (LDE) after 19: 45 . Both events were associated to CMEs those both were not Earth directed- so solen. info. Nevertheless, some previous recent CMEs from this region HAD earth directed parts . GOES registered a strong CME impact on 20141104 with a peak value of more than 180 nT at 19:30 UTC ( which is the west coast of USA) ,, which likely also supports volcano along the american west coast , the Earthquake swarm activities along the San Andreas fault . The impact also led to an major geomagnetic storm. what likely is the cause why again about 20 whales stranded ate the coast of New Zealand on the same day

To finf d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
     
 
   
                   

20141104: The proton storm from the SEP on 20141101 is menawhile decreasing and was peaking on Nov 02 at 21 UTC with 10 pfu. The active region that produces just minor flares but all with associated CMEs those mainly headed towards VENUS meanwhile appeared today at the eastern solar solar limb. the AR was number as AR 12105 and may be located just diametral opposite to the nested AR 12192, which was active end of Octoberwith 5 x flares but not any CME . Its seems, that there is a phenomenon that CH regions (as a gravity or + pole? ) sometimes are located just oppositeand interact with active region those produce more solar winds and CMEs ( negative energetic + pole) on the diametral opposite. , This phenomenon is not exactly explored yet and I will try to verify the next days wether AR 12105 is really exactly opposite to AR 12192 which is now rotating over the backside of the Sun

20141101: Another minor SEP ( solar event with proton emission ) occured on November 1st 2014. The SEP was longer expected- indicated by the high X ray background flux and the fact that AR 12192. which was extremely active with flares until it rotated out on October 23th but did not produce any significant CME. These indicates temporary higher GRAVITY with an increasing ENERGY PRESSURE on the Sun , what then seems to be the initial cause for such a proton event. SEPS mostly occure in serials, so more SEPs might occure within the next days and weeks

To finf d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
AR and CH on 20141105 by: solen.info    
 
 
   
b                      
                       

 

                       
 
                   
1.2.3. SOLAR SEPs/ SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA::
             

latest update/ 20141123:

Until  November 15. protons were still active within the geomagnetic field area. On November 17. the electron accumulation following each proton event ( SEP) became the dominant particle effect and will still be active for the next 1- 3 weeks, until (SO FAR AS NO FURTHER SEP OCCURS what just would switch the effects back to phase I) their final discharge ( proton electron reaction to neutrons) ends the latest SEP effects.

WARNING: This short third SEP phase likely will be accomponied by major subduction quakes with magnitudes those can reach M 8 or even M 9 and more and are ( due to my collected data ) expectable in the region of the EASTERN PACIFIC and AMERICA WESTCOAST, including the Southamerican one.

But now electrons are active and &gt; 10 MeV Electron flux  rose up to almost  10.000 pfu. on November 17 and fluctuates since then between values of 100 and 10.000 pfu.

( click on images below to see them in original size)sequence of an LDE in the almost unspotted solar region S 3957 AR 12201 asssociated to a solar proton event/ emission/ SEP on 20141101 sometimes between 3 or 4 UTC. First protons arrived in the geomagnetic field after 15 UTC . . But usually the source and proton eruption itself ( in some sense , events of the of dark side) are paradox event those are absolutely invisible for the instruments mojunted on solar space craft observatories which are designed to detect light sources . SEPS are only measurable , happen likely deep within the Sun and are therefore only so far related to visible events on the sun as they cause strong secondary effects such as strong flares associated to major CMEs..

How strong such a SEP really is. one can see best on STEREO images, those show mainly the infrared sprectrum which can best reflect the heat effects of the emitted extremely fast proton particles have onto the nearby solar corona ( (img 7). These images also show pretty well, that an SEP emmits protons through the entire surface and accelerates gazes on the solar entire surface to intensive solar wind streams and CME like features,. what is significant evidence that SEPs occurs deep with the sun ( someway als womthing like a "solar quake") and NOT on the surface, as mostn publications assume..

STEREO Images show ( img. 7) of the SEP on November 01 show , that most solar gazes were emitted through the Southern polar region * where is currently a larger coronal hole ) and stereo eimagery are the only halfway reliablesatelliteb features, those can inmdicate where about in the Sun and also when this SEP actually has occured

14, 2015. STEREO Ahead continues to operate nominally, and is currently providing our only views of the far side of the sun. Attempts to reestablish communications with the STEREO Behind spacecraft are ongoing.

 
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
20141101 MEDIUM STRONG SOLAR SEP: integral proton flux maximum: 10 pfu. duration:20141101/ 19:30 UTC- 20141115/ 24 UTC  
 

SoHO once constructed by the MPI in Germany and launched in 1997 is still the most reliable spacecraft for sun observations> It shows since days intensive flaring with associated CMEs on the backside of the Sun.. Th CMEs all seems to head towards the planet Venus, another evidence that nearby planets and esp Venus seem to play a keyrole resp seem to support , that CMEs get lose from the solar surface. Flaring there intensified after 08 UTC and later after 18 UTC but also on SoHO there is no event visibleat the reight time that might be surely related to the SEP proton eruption * image 8

But as This image taken at 21:06 UTC is unfortunately the only one STEREO A yet submitted from the entire day yet the real time of the SEP cannot be evaluated unless image transmission should resume in the next days. I have not checked out STEREO since about oine week, , so I dont know. But that malefunction of STEREO "A" already might last for days, after STEREO B was under bombardment by AR 12192 with hundreds of X bursts unleashed with the solar flares in that region .

AS NASA reports , STEREO B is completely out of service since October 01 2014: Here the original NASA report >

The STEREO Ahead spacecraft is currently operating on the first side lobe of the high gain antenna. See this important notice for more information. Communications with the STEREO Behind spacecraft were interrupted on October 1, 2014 immediately after a planned reset of the spacecraft performed as part of a test of solar conjunction operations. The spacecraft telemetry indicated an anomaly in the guidance and control system, but this is still being evaluated. No further communications have been successful since Oct. 1st. The STEREO Ahead spacecraft has already successfully tested the transition into and out of solar conjunction operations. Actual solar conjunction operations will take place between March 22 and July

 
     
     
 
(1) SDO/ 20141101/ 03: 37 UTC (2) 20141101/ 04:38 UTC (3) SDO/ 20141101/ 5:24 UTC (4) SDO/ 20141101/ 5:37 UTC
(7) STEREO Ahead/ 20141101/21:06)
*8( solen info shows large coronal holes on the Sun on 20141101
solen in fo shows onlz few small sun spots but large CHs on the Sun on 20141101> 8 SoHO 20141101& 08>04 UTC      
     
 
         

 

 

               
1.3 SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS
                 
                     
NASA D-RAP/20131102: global 2 Db Absorption/ polar impact of protons after SEP on 20141101: (5) integral proton flux 20141031- 20141102 (GOES) (6)integral xray flux/ 20141031- 20141102 (GOES)          
         
                   

 

 

                   
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY OCTOBER- 2014)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previous month- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ^click on this map to open it in a new tab, then click on the requested region : a more detailled view of the region will be loaded...      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
3. LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG: special reports    
- find previous events in the "recent event history" below and in myarchives!
 

 

 

 

 
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for LATEST EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMI EVENTS

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
   

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN - 2014-11-22 13:08:17 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
36.70 N ; 137.85 E
DEPTH >
2 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - WESTERN SICHUAN, CHINA - 2014-11-22 08:55:27 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
30.36 N ; 101.85 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.6 - MOLUCCA SEA - 2014-11-21 10:10:21 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
2.29 N ; 127.14 E
DEPTH >
46 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - PRINCE EDWARD ISLANDS REGION - 2014-11-17 16:52:47 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
46.48 S ; 33.89 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

               

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.7 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2014-11-16 22:33:20 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
37.69 S ; 179.79 E
DEPTH >
20 km    

 

               

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 7.1 - MOLUCCA SEA - 2014-11-15 02:31:43 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
1.93 N ; 126.52 E
DEPTH >
51 km    

 

               

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 7.1 - MOLUCCA SEA - 2014-11-15 02:31:43 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
1.93 N ; 126.52 E
DEPTH >
51 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - FIJI REGION - 2014-11-13 10:24:17 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
15.23 S ; 173.15 E
DEPTH >
3 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.6 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2014-11-07 03:33:55 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
6.02 S ; 148.24 E
DEPTH >
50 lm    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - MID-INDIAN RIDGE - 2014-11-03 08:48:30 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
41.72 S ; 79.94 E
DEPTH >
10 km*    

 

               

 

 

     

 

 

  remark. values reported by EMSC with a depth of 10 km ase mostly just an estimation!  
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

most likely magmatic

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - BALLENY ISLANDS REGION - 2014-11-02 17:17:07 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
61.02 S ; 154.08 E
DEPTH >
10 km*    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

unknown

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 7.1 - FIJI REGION - 2014-11-01 18:57:22 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
19.80 S ; 177.80 W
DEPTH >
430 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

most likely magmatic

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.0 - EASTER ISLAND REGION - 2014-11-01 10:59:58 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
31.83 S ; 111.17 W
DEPTH >
30 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

               

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. magmatic?

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

  SWARMQUAKE /VOLCANIC?   EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER   M 5.3 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2014-11-01 19:04:01 UTC  
    MAGMATIC > TAUPO CALDERA/ white island?   EPICENTER   M 5.6 - KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND - 2014-11-10 21:37:58 UTC  

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/BABUYAN ISL REGION (REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. BEGIN: 20141117

"A"

EPICENTER 07 x> M 2 M 5.3 - BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES - 2014-11-17 14:13:40 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER 03 x> M 2 M 5.8 - PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION - 2014-11-21 03:29:11 UTC  

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. 20140531

"A"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ GREECE (MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA earthquake SWARM

"E"

EPICENTER 01 x> M 5 M 5.2 - GREECE - 2014-11-08 23:15:43 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 x> M 5/ 30 X > M 2 M 5.3 - GREECE - 2014-11-17 23:09:03 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER 43 X > M 2 M 4.0 - GREECE - 2014-11-19 00:37:27 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

> WESTERN TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS FREQUENT

"F"

EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

sometimes

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC> 20141122

"E"/"F

EPICENTER 1 M 5.6 - ROMANIA - 2014-11-22 19:14:17 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) SELDOM

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations  
    distance: about 100 miles   EPICENTER 01 y > M 2 M 3.5 - GERMANY - 2014-11-15 11:35:32 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER 2 x > M 2 M 3.2 - AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL - 2014-11-01 00:04:10 UTC  
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

          for more updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  

- NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER 3 x > M 4 M 5.3 - NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2014-11-02 09:03:03 UTC  

 

  new increase   EPICENTER 01 x > M 5 M 5.4 - ICELAND - 2014-11-02 16:05:46 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER 20141113 Earthquake swarm is continuing with magnitudes below M 5.0  
        EPICENTER 01 x > M 5 M 5.4 - ICELAND - 2014-11-14 11:25:49 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 x > M 5 M 5.3 - ICELAND - 2014-11-16 01:37:16 UTC  

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS continuing since 2010-

"C"

EPICENTER new increase on 20141103 ( 7 x > M 2) M 3.2 - PUERTO RICO REGION - 2014-11-03 15:08:53 UTC  

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER 2 x > M 5 M 5.6 - EASTER ISLAND REGION - 2014-11-01 10:05:43 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.5 - OFF COAST OF ECUADOR - 2014-11-12 11:16:50 UTC  
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER EPICENTER 23 X > M 2 M 4.8 - KANSAS - 2014-11-12 21:39:59 UTC

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER 01 M 6.0 - BALLENY ISLANDS REGION - 2014-11-02 17:17:07 UTC  
        EPICENTER 02 X > M 5 M 6.2 - MID-INDIAN RIDGE - 2014-11-03 08:48:30 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - MID-INDIAN RIDGE - 2014-11-03 12:36:17 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.2 - WESTERN INDIAN-ANTARCTIC RIDGE - 2014-11-09 07:12:04 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - OWEN FRACTURE ZONE REGION - 2014-11-12 19:59:42 UTC  

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

"C"

EPICENTER   M 3.3 - WYOMING - 2014-11-15 22:02:39 UTC  

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

 

UNCLEAR ACTIVITY "C" EPICENTER   this swarm is continuing since early 2014 and is believed to be related rather to fracking operations  
    INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER 5x at time of this update M 3.4 - OKLAHOMA - 2014-11-10 02:30:57 UTC  

EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC magmatic. increasing since 20141102! "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
        EPICENTER 5 x > M 3 M 4.0 - OFF COAST OF OREGON - 2014-11-03 05:54:07 UTC  

EARTHQUAKE SWARM- MAINLY NEVADA REGION >

  magmatic/ begin: 20141103 "C" EPICENTER 47 X > M 2 M 4.6 - NEVADA - 2014-11-05 07:23:05 UTC  
        EPICENTER 53 X > M 2 M 4.5 - NEVADA - 2014-11-06 08:34:47 UTC  
        EPICENTER 34 X > M 2 M 4.7 - NEVADA - 2014-11-07 08:05:56 UTC  
        EPICENTER 21X > M 2 M 3.2 - NEVADA - 2014-11-08 05:29:31 UTC  
        EPICENTER 21X > M 2 M 3.6 - NEVADA - 2014-11-09 13:40:47 UTC  
        EPICENTER 15X > M 2 M 3.6 - NEVADA - 2014-11-10 02:43:13 UTC  
        EPICENTER 12 X > M 2 M 3.9 - NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2014-11-11 08:35:32 UTC  
        EPICENTER 22 X > M 2 M 4.1 - NEVADA - 2014-11-12 14:42:55 UTC  
        EPICENTER 19 X > M 2 M 4.5 - NEVADA - 2014-11-13 06:36:09 UTC  
        EPICENTER 10 X > M 2 M 4.0 - GULF OF CALIFORNIA - 2014-11-14 15:24:35 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER 10 X > M 2 M 3.8 - NEVADA - 2014-11-15 13:58:38 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 4.0 - NEVADA - 2014-11-17 08:16:13 UTC  
    20141121: swarm shifted to lonhg valley area   EPICENTER   M 3.0 - LONG VALLEY AREA, CALIFORNIA - 2014-11-21 19:22:33 UTC  

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER   20141119: current state:; DECREASING!  
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME. Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 

 

 

 

 

DETAILED REPORT OF LATEST MAJOR SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES ( updated only during major events, such as major flares CMEs or SEPs)

   

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       

AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !

means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013

 
     

 

 

               
                 

2014

MONTH

NOVEMBER

DAY:

06-07

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20141105

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

107

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

451-544

FLARES >

C

08

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

135.5

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

B 9.9

 

M

03  

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

48- 100 nT

 

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M5 event observed at 06/0346Z from Region 2205 (N15E46). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Nov, 08 Nov, 09 Nov).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  AR 12205 80- 66 ° E 30° N EKC only solar region producing flares M5.4 LDE/ 22:16 partial halo 20141108 Aquarius?
 
                   
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH 641 NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GROWING   20141029- 30 recurrent  
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX back to normal

RISING AFTER20141019/ 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX NORMAL

 

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES 3 day sat environment ( combined plot) GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* integral proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 575 km/s at 05/2123Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 06/1137Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 06/2047Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (07 Nov, 08 Nov, 09 Nov). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (07 Nov, 08 Nov, 09 Nov).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD +06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field  
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA PARTICLE ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

20141105

20141106

20141107

20141106

20141107

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 < .4 pfu (-)

+/- 0.1 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.
s 2 PROTON STORM;

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX > 0.01 < 0.1 pfu. > 0.01 < 0.1 pfu. > 0.01 < 0.1 pfu.     TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

20141105

20141106

20141107

 

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1150< 18.000 pfu (+) >3.000 < 30.000 pfu (+) increasing  

GEOMAGNETIC STORM/ K INDEX > 4

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>-xx< 60 pfu ( depression by activw protons) > - xx< 115 pfu( depression by activw protons) increasing  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
               
         
                       
PREVIOUS 1 DAY REPORTS / CURRENT MONTH ( updated during significant activities only)
                 

2014

MONTH

SEPTEMBER

DAY:

06

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140905

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

124

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

340-419

FLARES >

C

22

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

144

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

C 1.1

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

80- 140 nT

CME IMPACT

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12157 60° E 13° S DHC/ EKC          
 
  12158 68° E 14° N CKO/ DKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH 634 CENTRAL/ NORTH GROWING   20140905- 06    
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX INCREASED

RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -09 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 11 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

20140906

20140907

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal back to normal   NONE TYPE II/ IV TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1.000 < 25.000 pfu (+) >4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) dropping after new sEP  

G1 (expected)

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>100< 450 (-) >220 > 750 () rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
       

20140906/ 25: 24 UTC

20140904

LARGE FILAMENT ERUPTION ON NORTHERN SOLAR HEMISPHERE

 
         
                       
                       
alt
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

 

       
         
         

 

 

       
click here for: LATEST SIGNIFICANT SOLAR EVENTS ( earth directed CMEs, SEPs, satellite images and data)
       
WEEKLY SATELLITE REVIEW OF SOLAR ACTIVITIES (AR, flares, CMEs, SEPs)
   
     
LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT/ EVOLUTION

SEPTEMBER 2014

                 
   
LOGS:                    
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 17:45 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

20140910/ 17:45 UTC ERUPTION TYPE: X 1 flare at 17:45 uTC FULLY HALO CME estimated CME arrrival: 20140912      
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR CME/ SEP EVENT LOG :  
       

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 

20140910/ 19:03 (NOAA*)

 
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
AR 12158.  
SUN COORDINATES:
  20140910/ 19:54 UTC 20140911/ 00:30 UTC         PROTON IMPACT: after 21 UTC   02° E- 16° N  
               
* SEP eruption time= time of 10 cm RADIO BURST
 
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 18:59 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

  ERUPTION TYPE:            
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (04) SDO/ AIA (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR SEP EVENT LOG :  
   

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 
20140901/prior to 11: 54?  
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
NORTH POLAR SOLAR REGION  
SUN COORDINATES:
20140901/ 18:59 UTC (SEP) 20140901/ 12:42 20140901/ 10:51 UTC 20140902/ 08:36 UTC 20140901/ 11:54 UTC Proton impact on NASA D-RAP (20140902/ 23UTC)          
                   
     
 

 

 

 

       

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             
LATEST SOLAR SEPS ARTICLE EVENTS: ACCELERATED PROTONS/ ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS : ( event logs)  
SEP EVENT/ event logs this log represents the latest event evolution of terrestrial SEP impacts- earlier events are archived here. NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays  
 
 

ACTIVE SOLAR SEP/ LOG

latest significant SEP >> /20141101/ time: unknown MEDIUM > 1 > 10 pfu. ( 4 days) CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE PARTICLES >> PHASE I (PROTONS) PHASE II (> 10 MeV ELECTRONS)
PHASE III (DISCHARGE)
 
           
previous, accumulated SEPs >> 201400910/ after 18 UTC 20140825/ 18 UTC 20140405/ 12 UTC 20140227 ( X 1.2)  

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS/ CURRENT STATE    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20141101/ time: unknown 201409011/ after 15UTC 20141106/ 00 UTC > 1 < 10 pfu. unknown      
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20141021/ 07 UTC ongoing   20141023/ 18.000 pfu exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141021/ 14 UTC    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20140910/ after 11UTC 201409010/ 18:15 UTC 20140914/ 09 UTC > 1 < 100 pfu.        
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140922/ 10:30 ongoing     exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141001    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION AR 12151/20140901/ after 11UTC 20140901/ after 21 UTC ongoing > 1 < 10 pfu. very low ( 1.000- 3000 km/ s first event in records with unusually extreme slow protons    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140901 ongoing > 10 MeV ELectrons Y 1.000 pfu fluctuating first time that proton and electrons both exceed treshold levels- interrupted by new SEP on 20140910    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION not evaluated yet 20140825/ after 18 UTC 20140827( 00 UTC low (+/- 1 pfu. ( 10 x)   electron breakdown    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
interrupted by new SEP latent ---- > 1.000 pfu. 20140831    
                     
 

 

 

   
PREVIOUS SOLAR SEPS AND SEP SERIALS, those are still active ( effective and interfer/ accumulate ):
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >
 
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160802      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160717      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160618      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140423/ 17 UTC 20140429/00UTC knocked down by protons
20140429/ 00 UTC. E flux was knocked bylate proton activity (SEP/ 20140418)
20140425/ 13 UTC > 1.000 pfu

(20140425/ 13 UTC

 
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
(20140421/ 15 UTC rising
20140426/ 15 UTC > 100.000 pfu
---

(20140421/ 15 UTC

 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140507/ 19 UTC 20140711 low ( > 01. < 0.8 pfu)   electron breakdown  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140418/ after 13 UTC 201404210/ 09 UTC > about 60 pfu. near the speed of light 20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit-  
             

meaning of background colors>

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event        
} orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects
       
         
         
 

 

 

 
CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks  
ELECTRON EFFECTS>

20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.

The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.

might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!

20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space

20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks

20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.

Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes.

 
orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects  
SEP EVENT HISTORY :
   
20140418/
13:19 UTC
complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly
 
20140413- 16
 
The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416
 
20140405
after 12 UTC
Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event
 
20140325
08 UTC
Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.
 
20140317
 
Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.
 
     
20140228
 
Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"
 
                       
                       
 

 

 

   
                       
         
 

 

 

 

 
EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EVENTS: VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKES FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES, GLACIAL MELTDOWN METHANHYDRATES - ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
 

 

 

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
 

 

 

 

 
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
1. The" traffic light"- Once marsians had traffic lights out of stone- similar to the ones in "The "Flintstones" 2 That hurts! The UK daily mails asks: Who played oncewith that ball once on Mars? ( or is it a canon ball?) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obvioulsy something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

 

VARIOUS:

 

 
( September 2014:) Aerial Iceland volcano footage: Lava fountains, huge smoke clouds

 

 

 

 
                       
                       

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

provided by:

alien-homepage.de
Impressum/contact

 

----------------------------

 

 

APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have strongest related and signiciant geophysical effects.

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I dont expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluationas as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ,this documentary has focussed on, as being the strongest and most geoeffective known type of solar event) do happen MOST frequently during the solar max, but are als present in the same strength all 11 years in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany