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21.05.2013
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SOLAR: ( LATEST SIGNIFICANT EVENT)ACTIVE REGION 11748 PRODUCES THE HIGHEST FLARE ACTIVITY OBSERVED DURING THIS 24. SOLAR SUN SPOT CYCLE! UPDATE/ MAY- 17- 2013: AR 11748 produced at all 4 X + class x flares until May 15, when a powerful X 1.7 LDE flare unleashed strong wide and FULLY HALO CME towards the Earth (more see below under CME event Nr 13, 1,b,c. While the overall high sun activity decreased just to B 8 level, also t he frequency of flares in AR 11748 became lower then,. The next M 3 flare followed 50 hours later on May 17 at 12 UTC. Just after 19 UTC another strong M flare occured, GOES has not even measured yet. AR 11748 will pass the central Meridian on May 19and is at least still capable for producing M+ or even single X flares and associated earth directed CMEs...
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MAY- 14- 2013 AR 11748 appeared right behindvery active AR 11745and surprisingly produced THREE impulsive X flares yet during the past 24 hours! MAY- 13: An X 1 flare at 2:00 UTCwas associated to a strong wide CME that appeared partial halo on SoHO- AR 11748 rotated in on May 14(N11E81) just behind and interacts with aneighbored AR 11745. An impulsive M flare followed at 12:03 UTC from AR 11748. Shortly after that. AR 11748 produced another X 2.8 flare at 16:14 UTC The associated CME was also very wide and formed with the earlier M event a FULL HALO CME. LAST NOT LEAST. AR 11748 produced yet ANOTHER X 3 flare early on MAY 14 ( around 01 UTC). (No images were yet available from that event). ALSO A PROTON INCREASE WAS OBSERVED WITHIN THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD (GOES) after May 13/ 23 UTC. . |
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RELATED INTERNAL PAGES ( LATEST EARTHQUAKE AND VOLCANO ACTIVITY- ARCHIVES
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TERRESTRIAL:MAY- 17. 2013: CME CLUSTER IMPACT IN THE COMING DAYS >>> The extreme activity in AR 11748 is associated to a major continuing PROTON STORM, that began shortly after the first X flare on May 13 and is with > 10 Me V Protons between 10 and 100 pfu alos the strongest and longest so far in 2013. The flancs of the first CMEs were noticable on Earth on May 15, while the( at least and currently 3 ) following ones- with AR 11476 approaching the central solar merdian- always come closer to FULLY HALO CME
MAY- 09-15. 2013: Popocatépetl volcano (Mexico)- due to media reports " cooking" : strong ash emissions and increase of activity. On MAY 15 firrst time evacuation plans were considered, as the volcanoe is psossibly near to a strong lave eruption that might esp endanger the capital M. City. |
. HIGHEST ALERT LEVEL? . HIGHEST ALERT MUST BE CONSIDERED FOR ANY ACTIVE VOLCANO IN THE WORLD MIGHT SUDDENLY ENHANCE ITS ACTIVITY NOW AND IN THE FURTHER ( 14) DAYS AND WEEKS. RADIO BLACKOUTS MIGHT OCCURE IN TERRESTRIAL GRIDS OVER THE NEXT DAYS ( from MAY 17 on) AS WELL AS HIGH INDUCED CURRENTS ON POWER GRIDS, THOSE LEAD TO TRANSFORMER FIRE AND WORSE!. MAJOR WARNING ALSO FOR SUDDEN STORMS AND THUNDERSTORMS! MAY- 17- 2013: HE CURRENT RISK FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKE IS RATHER LOW AND WILL MOST LIKELY CONTINUE BE lOW IN THE COMING 1.2 WEEKS! MAJOR ARTHQUAKES POSSIBLY EXCEEEDING MAGNITUDES OF M 9.0 MIGHT OCCURE DUE TO THE STRONG ( PROTON) ACTIVITIES AFTER A LONGER LATENCY PERIOD (exact time: currently only estimatable depending on further solar activity- sometimes TOWARDS END OF May .Follow my daily updates!
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GREAT PROGRESS IN MY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST! ALL THREE MAJOR QUESTIONS LIKELY RESOLVED! WHAT CAUSES ESP. THE LARGE EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS? WHERE WILL THEY OCCURE? 3. WHEN WILL THEY OCCURE ( +/- 1 - 2 days)? read more about that in my blog of April- 06- 2013 ff. JAN- FEB- 2013: INCREASING NUMBER OF (STILL MINOR) SOLAR PROTON EVENTS ( FLARES. STORMS) |
ARE SOLAR PROTON STORMS RESPONSIBLE FOR MEGAQUAKES/ TSUNAMIS SUCH AS 2004 ( SUMATRA) and 2011 ( JAPAN?) GENERAL REMARKS TO THE LONG TERM EFFECTS OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS/ STORMS ( by: alien-homepage.de) : : Several stronger earthquakes happen regularly immidiately during/ after Proton Storms (those themselves likely are also caused by kinds of solar quakes. Otherwise during that first phase, more exactly: DURING the proton storms when proton flux is elavated- as a typical antienergetic effect Protons have, everything that requires cinetic energies to work such as storms or volcanic activities are rather very low. |
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2013 |
MONTH: |
MAY |
BRIEF INFOS | DAY: |
20 |
TODAY`S LATEST : |
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TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS |
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. |
SOURCES>> | NASA/ GOES | EUMETSAT | METEOSAT (EUROPE) | METEOALARM |
usno.navy.mil | NOAA | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| REPORT BY: | NAME/ TRACKING LINK | EMERGED ON: | REGION | WIND SPEED | COORDINATES | appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS | DIRECTION | STORM CATHEGORY | MEDIA REPORTS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2013 |
MONTH: |
MAY |
DAY: |
20 |
EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY: |
alien-homepage |
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this day`s update is under procedure.-... |
click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed! |
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- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG |
TODAY`s EVENTS |
REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED | ||||||||||||||
| RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: | ||||||||||||||||
GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS |
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA | EARTHQUAKE DATA: | EMSC | NEIC | NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS > | |||||||||||
|
EPICENTER/ MAP | TSUNAMI WARNINGS | ||||||||||||||
| Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! | click here for MEDIA report | ISSUED AT: | CANCELLED: | |||||||||||||
highest global measured Earthquake magnitude: |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> | REPORTS > | FOR REGIONS: | ||||||||||||
| EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > | LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > | DEPTH > |
WAVE/HEIGHT | FREQUENCY | ||||||||||||
|
note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website! | |||||||||||||||
| listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on. | ||||||||||||||||
| NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0! | ||||||||||||||||
TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS : |
FREQUENCY/ SINCE: | REGION* | EPICENTER: | NUMBER | TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0): |
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WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS: |
NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS | numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0. |
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| LOW MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKES THOSE ARE RATHER SWARMS OR VOLCANIC TREMORS: | ||||||||||||||||
| GENERAL LIST OF OTHER MAIN EARTHQUAKE REGIONS as observed and monitored in this report: ( listed from longitude 180 ° E on WESTWARDS). Events: > M 2.0 < M 5.0 | ![]() |
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| EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS | FREQUENCY/ SINCE | REGION* | EPICENTER: | NUMBER | TECTONICS: | |||||||||||
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN |
FREQUENT | "B" |
N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. | |||||||||||||
PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. |
FREQUENT | "B" |
PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA | |||||||||||||
REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA |
FREQUENT | "A" |
EURASIA >< / INDO AUSTRALIA | |||||||||||||
ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN |
FREQUENT | "F" |
AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS | |||||||||||||
AFRICA- MAINLY RED SEA REGION & INDIAN OCEAN |
SELDOM | "F" |
EURASIA>< AFRICA>< N-AMERICA ><ARABIA >< INDO-AUS >< ANTARCTICA | |||||||||||||
EASTERN TURKEY / Near city of VAN |
PERMANENT | "F" |
ARABIA><EURASIA | |||||||||||||
WESTERN TURKEY |
PERMANENT( higher since 2011) | "F" |
ARABIA>< EURASIA | |||||||||||||
DODOCANESE ISLAND- N of SAMOS ISL: |
JULY 2012 |
"F" |
EURASIA >< ARABIA >< AFRICA | |||||||||||||
CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA |
SELDOM | "E"/"F |
EURASIA>< AFRICA >> ARABIA | |||||||||||||
GERMANY / NEAR TO KOBLENZ ( EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD) |
SELDOM | "E" |
EURASIA (volcanic) | ^NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS | ^internal: LATEST CME IMPACT MAP | |||||||||||
MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION (ALL) |
FREQUENT | "E" |
AFRICA >< EURASIA | ![]() |
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NORTHERN ITALY |
SINCE MAR 2012 | "E" |
AFRICA >< EURASIA | |||||||||||||
AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES |
SELDOM | "E" |
EURASIA >< AFRICA>< AMERICA >< ANTARCTICA | |||||||||||||
CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION |
NOVEMBER - 14-2012 | "E" |
N-AMERICA >< AFRICA >< EURASIA | |||||||||||||
REGION PERU- BOLIVIA |
FREQUENT | "D" |
PACIFIC >< SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA | |||||||||||||
REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) |
FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012 | "D" |
SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA | |||||||||||||
GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION |
VARYING | "D" |
CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA | |||||||||||||
PANAMERICA |
FREQUENT SINCE 2012 | "D" |
N & SOUTH AMERICA >< COCOS | |||||||||||||
REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS) |
AUGUST- 28- 2012 | "C" |
SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA | |||||||||||||
CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ) |
SOMETIMES | "C" |
NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER PLATE | |||||||||||||
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values |
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report | ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA | ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia) | |||||||||||||
![]() |
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| 20130520/ 16:24 UTC | 20130520/ 13:54 UTC | 20130520/ 06:13 UTC | 20130520/ 16:27 UTC | 20130520/ 15:12 UTC | ||||||||||||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
no image yet available | |||||||||||
| STEREO-"AHEAD" | (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | (3) STEREO-"Behind" | (4) SDO /AIA-comp | (5) SDO /AIA-comp | (6) SDO /AIA-comp | SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | ||||||||||
maps > |
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NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES> |
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
< statistics |
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TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS |
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. |
SOURCES>> | NASA/ GOES | EUMETSAT | METEOSAT (EUROPE) | METEOALARM |
usno.navy.mil | NOAA | ||||||||
VARIOUS REPORTS:_ |
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HEADLINES: DEADLY TORNADO RIPPED THROUGH OKLAHOMA KILLING AT LEAST 80 |
20130521 |
report by: |
usatoday.com | |||||||||||||
20 children among the dead in OklahomaAt least 51 people were killed, including at least 20 children, after a massive tornado roared through Oklahoma City on Monday afternoon, flattening entire neighborhoods and crushing two elementary schools packed with children.President Obama declared a major disaster in Oklahoma late Monday as search-and-rescue efforts continued throughout the night. More than 120 people were being treated at hospitals, including about 50 children. Catastrophic damage was reported in Moore, which was flattened by another killer tornado that tracked the same path 14 years ago. Several children were pulled alive from the rubble of Plaza Towers Elementary, but some of their classmates were killed. About a mile away, the walls tumbled down at Briarwood Elementary. Miraculously, no one there died....read more... |
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- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
solar data by: solen.info |
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|||||||||||||
SOLAR PARAMETERS |
SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
|||||||
SUNSPOT NUMBER |
113 |
AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) |
350-426 |
FLARES > |
C |
11 |
CH UNN. |
> 60° NORTH |
QUICKLY GROWING | MAY- 18- 2013 |
MAY- 24- 2013? |
|||||
SOLAR FLUX |
132.0 |
X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX: |
B 7.0 |
M |
01 |
CH UNN. |
> 60° SOUTH |
GROWING (LARGE) | MAY- 15- 2013 |
MAY- 20- 2013? |
||||||
PLANETARY "A" INDEX |
05 |
GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: |
70- 120 nT |
CME/ Protons |
X |
|||||||||||
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC): |
CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS): |
|||||||||||||||
STATUS |
ACTIVE REGIONS: |
LOCATION TODAY |
ACTIVITIES/ CONF.* | appr. EARTH FACING ON: |
CME ERUPTION TIME UTC |
SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME: |
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: |
NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) | JAN/ 14 | FADED | ||||||
LONGITUDE |
LATITUDE |
SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) | MARCH- 06 | FADING | ||||||||||||
| CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> | NONE | |||||||||||||||
| faded again(MAY 19) | 11743 |
75° - 89° W |
23 ° N |
AXX |
RECURR.= RECURRENT |
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL | ext= extended |
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH | ||||||||
11744 |
64 ° - 78° W |
03 ° N |
CAO/ CRO |
OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) : |
||||||||||||
11745 |
40 ° - 54° W |
13 ° N |
CAO |
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>> | DECREASING |
X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS |
||||||||||
11746 |
37 ° - 51° W |
27 ° S |
DSO/CSO |
LAST MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
unclear |
< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.) | |||||||||
11747 |
44 ° - 58° W |
18 ° S |
HRX/ CRO |
PREVIOUS MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
20130430 ( MAX) |
||||||||||
11748 |
04 ° - 18° W |
11 ° N |
FAO/ DAI |
|||||||||||||
| rotated out > | 11749 |
78 ° - 92° W |
23 ° S |
BXO |
abbreviations and markups ( solar section left): |
red letters = currently most active region | ||||||||||
11750 |
69 ° - 83° W |
11 ° S |
DAI/CAI |
abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class |
alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type** | |||||||||||
| faded (MAY 18) | 11751 |
00 ° - 14° W |
24 ° S |
AXX |
*==according to Zurich sun spot classification | **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson | ||||||||||
| faded (MAY 19) | 11752 |
50 ° - 64° W |
17 ° N |
CRO/ BXO |
MAY- 17 |
|||||||||||
| NEWLY EMERGED | S2427 |
78° E |
104° N |
C 9.8 flareat 17:50 UTC |
MAY- 26 |
17:50 UTC | LEO | NONE | ||||||||
NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S) |
04 |
INTERPLANETARY. | REMARKS | |||||||||||||
ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES > |
PROTON FLUX | HIGHTENED |
strong increase after X class activities on May 13/04 UTC- dropping again since MAY 17/ 16 UTC. | |||||||||||||
^CME Nr. |
ELECTRON FLUX | HIGHTENED | strong increase after X class activities on May 13/04 UTC- dropping again since MAY 17/ 16 UTC. |
|||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
PROTON STORM | ENDED | DECREASING | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | ||||||||||||
| USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity: | 2013 | NOAA/ RSGA | ||||||||||||||
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 20/0525Z. There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (21 May, 22 May, 23 May). |
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| TODAY` S EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME): | this section will always appear, when a significant CME event was noticed and data have to be updated. You find more information about recent CME events in " today`s preliminary report" |
|||||||||||||||
| - NONE YET- | ||||||||||||||||
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL |
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS |
![]() |
||||||||||||||
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below! |
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EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||||||
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>> |
20130515- 21 |
int. CME Nr. >> |
CME cluster Nr 23 a-d / 13 | EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||
TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS: |
PRIMARY REGIONS | CME STRENGTH: |
IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS WiTH THE ESTIMATED MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY- |
||||||||||||
ALERT LEVEL |
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS | ATLANTIC |
MULTIPLE CME CLUSTER | LONGITUDES : | 30° - 60°/120° W | ALERT LEVEL |
* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable |
|||||||||
| INCREASING ELECTRONS | SUDDEN (THUNDER- STORMS |
ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA | MAIN HEMISPHERE: |
EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
INCREASING ELECTRONS | ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES | ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) | |||||||||
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS |
SECONDARY REGIONS : | CENTERED AT: 33° S- 57° N | SECONDARY REGIONS : | 20. MAY 2013 |
||||||||||||
METHANHYDRATE RELEASES |
NORTH AMERICA WEST | These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp |
LONGITUDES: | 135°W- 45° E | M 5.5- 6.5 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 (CME IMPACT) |
||||||||||
| INDUCED CURRENTS | SOUTH AMERICA/ WEST | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N & S AMERICA |
21. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
| MINOR RADIO BLACKOUTS | WESTERN PACIFIC | LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- 6.5 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 (LATENCY) |
|||||||||||
| WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) | EURASIA EAST | PACIFIC ><EURASIA >< ARABIA >INDO-AUS |
22. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM |
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS | LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS: | M 5.5- >6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 LATENCY(preliminary) | ||||||||||||
OTHER: |
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION |
GLOBAL | *REGIONS> see definition below | LONGITUDES : | ALL | LATENCIES: | ||||||||||
LATE EFFECTS |
EARTHQUAKES |
ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: | LIKELY LOW! | EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > | ACTIVE ELECTRONS | PROTON INFLUENCE | ||||||||||
TECTONICS |
COOLING DOWN AFTER PROTON/CME IMPACT | COOLING DOWN (LATENCY/ ENDING) | UNCERTAIN | EFFECTING AS > | INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW | PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS) | ||||||||||
| * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weasther alerts are oftenly BACKDATED! | ||||||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY |
Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer |
GOES/ 3- days sat environment: |
NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!) |
ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES | ||||||||||||
QUIET |
ALERTS: |
SOLAR INFLUENCES |
CURRENT |
PAST 24 h |
REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA |
|||||||||||
UNSETTLED |
FLARES |
X RAY EVENT |
NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
ACTIVE |
CME | TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS: | NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
MINOR STORM (CME) |
RADIO BLACKOUT | 10 cm RADIO BURSTS |
NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
MAJOR STORM |
GEOMAGNETIC STORM |
G1 | G1 | |||||||||||||
SOLAR STORMS: |
SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS |
|||||||||||||||
CME IMPACT |
> 0.8 MeV | ELECTRON STORM |
< 1000 pfu.(CME DISTURBANCE ) |
< 1000 pfu.(CME DISTURBANCE ) |
||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (PROT.) |
> 2.0 MeV |
ELECTRON STORM |
< 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
< 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS |
> 10 MeV | PROTON STORM | >1.0 pfu decreasing |
>10 pfu S 1 | . | |||||||||||
EFFECTIVE PROTONS |
Bz | GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT | POSITIVE (ACTIVE PROTONS) | NEUTRAL | NEGATIVE ( ACTIVE ELECTRONS | |||||||||||
P/E |
NEUTRONS-SYNTHESIS | < -09 > -10 rising | < -10 > -11 dropping | < significant changes only (no alerts) | ||||||||||||
Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >> |
PROTON STORM | * compared to " normal" values | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | |||||||||||||
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 493 km/s at 19/2257Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 19/2256Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 20/1953Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4 pfu at 19/2255Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (21 May, 22 May) and unsettled to active levels on day three (23 May). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (21 May, 22 May, 23 May). |
||||||||||||||||
| LAST DAYS MAJOR CME IMPACTS: ( final report to Nr 23 a-d /13) | ||||||||||||||||
| X CLASS EVENTS AND CME CLUSTER/ 20130513-17 | ||||||||||||||||
ONGOING CME ARRIVALS CLUSTER!!) |
CME/ Nr.: |
23- a-d /13 |
CME TRACKING > |
APPROACHING > |
ARRIVAL AT SAT (UTC): |
TERRESTRIAL IMPACT > |
SEASONAL MAIN IMPACT LATITUDES: | 60° N- 60° S |
STRENGTH: | 2-3 | ||||||
ARRIVAL DATE: |
AR | LONG | LAT. | SOLAR CME EVENT |
CME ERUPTION TIME /SUN) |
PEAK VALUE |
> 100 nT |
MAIN/ UTC | POLARITY: | REL. MASS VALUE | MAIN GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS | |||||
20130515- 20 |
AR 11748 |
87° - 24° E | 11° N | 4 X+ CLASS EVENTS/ CME CLUSTER | MAY 13/04 UTC- MAY 17( 1:11 UTC | CLUSTER | after 09 UTC | 140 nT* ( | influenced by proton storm | 15- 60° /120° W | associated to longest proton storm measured in the last two years! | HIGH* | ATLANTIC/ | KAMCHATKA | ||
| REMARKS: | STRRONG geomagnetic depression caused by > 10 pfu protopn storm( MAY 13- 21- dim.) | lowered by proton influence!) | total impact: appr. 40 hours* | 165° W- 15° E | E | WESTERN AMERICA & PACIFIC / | INDONESIA/ INDIAN OCEAN | |||||||||
MULTIPLE CME EVENTS ( CLUSTERS) AND LATENCY EFFECTS: |
t MULTIPLE CME CLUSTER ASSOCIATED TO PROTON STORM/ estimated IMPACT duration: APRIL 23- 25 |
CMEs/ APPROACHING: |
CLUSTER |
* (incalculable because of proton storm |
LATENCIES > |
EASTERN EURASIA |
GLOBAL |
|||||||||
3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT: |
||||||||||||||||
EXPLANATIONS> |
Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT. |
Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./ |
orange= medium impact | Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest CME. Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS. |
||||||||||||
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST> |
INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions! |
STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS |
The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks" |
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REGIONS |
REGION "A" |
REGION "B"(1) |
REGION "B"(2) |
REGION "C" |
REGION" D" |
REGION "E" (1) |
REGION "E" (2) |
REGION "F" |
RELATED CME EVENT |
|||||||
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT> |
EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST | JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL | ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII | WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA | GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST |
, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST | CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA | INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR |
CME CLUSTER FROM AR 11748 MAY 13- 17
|
|||||||
RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES> |
WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA |
NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS | NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC |
NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC |
AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS |
EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA |
N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA | EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA |
associated to PROTON STORM (> 10 <100 pfu) | |||||||
UTC TIME ZONES > |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
ARRIVAL DATE: MAY- 15- 20 (CLUSTER) | |||||||||
LONGITUDES> |
135° E- 90° E |
135° E- 180° |
180° - 135° W |
90° W- 135° W |
45° W- 90° W |
45° W - 00° W |
00° W- 45° E |
45° E- 90° E |
Nr. 23/13 |
|||||||
GENERAL REMARKS TO THE LONG TERM EFFECTS OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS/ STORMS ( by: alien-homepage.de) : : Several strong earthquakes happen regularly immidiately during/ after Proton Storms (those themselves likely are also caused by kinds of solar quakes. Otherwise during that first phase, more exactly: DURING the proton storms when proton flux is elavated- as a typical antienergetic effect Protons have, everything that requires cinetic energies to work such as storms or volcanic activities are rather very low. Entire storms systems as statistics indicate seem to can come to a stillstand by such a proton impact. Other data show that protons can even swallow electrons ( memory charges) from harddiscs as more as if these ar plugged to the grid or connected to the web. and surely proton storms do interrupt all kinds of radio transmissions. After the proton storm itself has decreased regularly an electron storms sets in that last again for some days. During that time, all kind of cinetic effects set in: Mainly sudden thundestorms, and increasing volcano activities preferently those of hot spot volcanoes. Induced currents effecting down to the Earth surface with potential of heavy damage to power grids are seldom, but TYPICALLY OCCURE ESPECIALLY AFTER PROTON EVENTS when the proton and succeeding electron storms( impact reaches certain strength. This phase now last normally not more than 10 days until the affected tectonic plates would cool down again and contract, what leads to the second and final phase with the chance for another STRONG EARTHQUAKES. The described single phase are prolongued amplified or mindered WHEN NEW CME events occure , those might contain more protons or electrons. Its hardly then to forecast but current data show, that by the fact that protons shift the geomagnetic charge temporarely to positive values, that short circuit that lets flow solar energies right through the magnetic field lines (MPI MUnich) into the Earth core, the Earth can likely sum up and even store these energies for a long time ( by forming neutrons) what includes the risk of a concentrated energetic breakouts in different forms. |
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|
||||||||||||||||
2013 |
MONTH: |
MAY |
DAY: |
19 |
EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY: |
alien-homepage |
||||||||||
this day`s update is under procedure.-... |
click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed! |
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- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG |
TODAY`s EVENTS |
REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED | ||||||||||||||
| RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: | ||||||||||||||||
GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS |
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA | EARTHQUAKE DATA: | EMSC | NEIC | NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS > | |||||||||||
|
EPICENTER/ MAP | TSUNAMI WARNINGS | ||||||||||||||
| Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! | click here for MEDIA report | ![]() |
ISSUED AT: | CANCELLED: | ||||||||||||
highest global measured Earthquake magnitude: |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> | REPORTS > | FOR REGIONS: | ||||||||||||
| EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > | M 6.0 - OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2013-05-19 18:44:10 UTC | LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > | 52.30 N ; 160.20 E |
DEPTH > |
10 km |
WAVE/HEIGHT | FREQUENCY | |||||||||
|
note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website! | |||||||||||||||
| listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on. | ||||||||||||||||
| NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0! | ||||||||||||||||
WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS: |
NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS | numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0. |
||||||||||||||
AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES |
SELDOM | "E" |
MAP | 01 |
EURASIA >< AFRICA>< AMERICA >< ANTARCTICA | M 5.1 - NORTHERN ALGERIA - 2013-05-19 09:07:28 UTC | ||||||||||
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ EARTHQUAKE SWARM |
MAY- 19- 2013 | "B" |
MAP | 25 (10x> M5) | N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. | M 5.5 - OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2013-05-19 22:40:25 UTC | ||||||||||
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values |
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report | ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA | ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia) | |||||||||||||
maps > |
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NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES> |
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
< statistics |
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TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS |
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. |
SOURCES>> | NASA/ GOES | EUMETSAT | METEOSAT (EUROPE) | METEOALARM |
usno.navy.mil | NOAA | ||||||||
VARIOUS REPORTS:_ |
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TEXAS TORNADOS |
20130516 | report by: |
nytimes.com | |||||||||||||
<< A Tornado’s Mad Dash, and Then RuinsWayne McKethan, Granbury’s city manager, pointed at a bare slab surrounded by debris, all that was left Thursday after a tornado tore through the Rancho Brazos subdivision. It was one of at least 10 tornadoes that hit North Texas overnight, but this one killed at least six people and left 97 of the 110 houses and trailer homes in the neighborhood badly damaged or destroyed. Hunks of sheet metal had molded themselves around splintered trees and could be seen hanging from power lines, and the only question for some of the officials here is how anyone escaped alive....read more... |
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- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
solar data by: solen.info |
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|||||||||||||
SOLAR PARAMETERS |
SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
|||||||
SUNSPOT NUMBER |
113 |
AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) |
348-442 |
FLARES > |
C |
09 |
CH UNN. |
> 60° NORTH |
QUICKLY GROWING | MAY- 18- 2013 |
MAY- 24- 2013? |
|||||
SOLAR FLUX |
135.3 |
X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX: |
B 5.8 |
M |
CH UNN. |
> 60° SOUTH |
GROWING (LARGE) | MAY- 15- 2013 |
MAY- 20- 2013? |
|||||||
PLANETARY "A" INDEX |
10 |
GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: |
49- 130 nT |
CME arrival |
X |
|||||||||||
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC): |
CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS): |
|||||||||||||||
STATUS |
ACTIVE REGIONS: |
LOCATION TODAY |
ACTIVITIES/ CONF.* | appr. EARTH FACING ON: |
CME ERUPTION TIME UTC |
SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME: |
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: |
NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) | JAN/ 14 | FADED | ||||||
LONGITUDE |
LATITUDE |
SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) | MARCH- 06 | FADING | ||||||||||||
| CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> | NONE | |||||||||||||||
| faded (MAY 13) | 11742 |
27° - 41° W |
29 ° N |
BXO |
RECURR.= RECURRENT |
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL | ext= extended |
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH | ||||||||
| reemerged (MAY 16) | 11743 |
75° - 89° W |
23 ° N |
AXX |
OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) : |
|||||||||||
11744 |
51 ° - 65° W |
03 ° N |
DAO/ CRO |
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>> | DECREASING |
X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS |
||||||||||
11745 |
27 ° - 41° W |
13 ° N |
DAO/CAO |
LAST MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
unclear |
< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.) | |||||||||
11746 |
25 ° - 39° W |
27 ° S |
DSO/CSO |
PREVIOUS MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
20130430 ( MAX) |
||||||||||
11747 |
33 ° - 47° W |
18 ° S |
CAO/ CRO |
|||||||||||||
11748 |
10 ° E- 04° W |
11 ° N |
DAO |
MAY- 19 |
abbreviations and markups ( solar section left): |
red letters = currently most active region | ||||||||||
| rotating out > | 11749 |
78 ° - 92° W |
23 ° S |
BXO |
abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class |
alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type** | ||||||||||
11750 |
54 ° - 68° W |
11 ° S |
DAO/DAI |
*==according to Zurich sun spot classification | **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson | |||||||||||
| faded (MAY 18) | 11751 |
00 ° - 14° W |
24 ° S |
AXX |
||||||||||||
11752 |
50 ° - 64° W |
17 ° N |
CRO/ BXO |
MAY- 17 |
||||||||||||
NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S) |
03 |
INTERPLANETARY. | REMARKS | |||||||||||||
ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES > |
PROTON FLUX | HIGHTENED |
strong increase after X class activities on May 13/04 UTC- dropping again since MAY 17/ 16 UTC. | |||||||||||||
^CME Nr. |
ELECTRON FLUX | HIGHTENED | strong increase after X class activities on May 13/04 UTC- dropping again since MAY 17/ 16 UTC. |
|||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
PROTON STORM | ENDED | DECREASING | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | ||||||||||||
| USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity: | 2013 | NOAA/ RSGA | ||||||||||||||
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C9 event observed at 19/1750Z. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (20 May, 21 May, 22 May). |
||||||||||||||||
| TODAY` S EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME): | this section will always appear, when a significant CME event was noticed and data have to be updated. You find more information about recent CME events in " today`s preliminary report" |
|||||||||||||||
| - NONE YET- | ||||||||||||||||
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL |
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS |
![]() |
||||||||||||||
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below! |
||||||||||||||||
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||||||
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>> |
20130423- 25/ May 06 |
int. CME Nr. >> |
21/13 minor update: 22/13 | EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||
TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS: |
PRIMARY REGIONS | CME STRENGTH: |
IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS WiTH THE ESTIMATED MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY- |
||||||||||||
ALERT LEVEL |
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS | CENTRAL AMERICA |
MULTIPLE CME CLUSTER | LONGITUDES : | 90° - 105° W | ALERT LEVEL |
* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable |
|||||||||
| ACTIVE PROTONS | SUDDEN (THUNDER- STORMS |
CALIFORNIA | MAIN HEMISPHERE: |
EURASIA><AFRICA ><CARIBB. ><AMERICAS >< COCOS |
PROTON STORM | ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES | ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) | |||||||||
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS |
SECONDARY REGIONS : | CENTERED AT: 33° S- 57° N | SECONDARY REGIONS : | 19. MAY 2013 |
||||||||||||
METHANHYDRATE RELEASES |
WESTERN EUROPE & AFRICA | These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp |
LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- 6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 (LATENCY) |
||||||||||
| INDUCED CURRENTS | ATLANTIC WEST | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
20. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
| MINOR RADIO BLACKOUTS | ALL AMERICAS | LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- 6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 (LATENCY) |
|||||||||||
| WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) | PACIFIC | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
21. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM |
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS | LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS: | M 5.5- >6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 LATENCY(preliminary) | ||||||||||||
OTHER: |
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION |
GLOBAL | *REGIONS> see definition below | LONGITUDES : | ALL | LATENCIES: | ||||||||||
LATE EFFECTS |
EARTHQUAKES |
ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: | LIKELY LOW! | EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > | ACTIVE ELECTRONS | PROTON INFLUENCE | ||||||||||
TECTONICS |
COOLING DOWN AFTER PROTON/CME IMPACT | COOLING DOWN (LATENCY/ ENDING) | UNCERTAIN | EFFECTING AS > | INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW | PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS) | ||||||||||
| * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weasther alerts are oftenly BACKDATED! | ||||||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY |
Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer |
introgeomagnetic PROTON FLUX |
NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!) |
ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES | ||||||||||||
QUIET |
ALERTS: |
SOLAR INFLUENCES |
CURRENT |
PAST 24 h |
REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA |
|||||||||||
UNSETTLED |
FLARES |
X RAY EVENT |
NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
ACTIVE |
CME | TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS: | NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
MINOR STORM (CME) |
RADIO BLACKOUT | 10 cm RADIO BURSTS |
NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
MAJOR STORM |
GEOMAGNETIC STORM |
G1? | G1 | |||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (PROT.) |
SOLAR STORMS: |
SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS |
||||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS |
> 0.8 MeV | ELECTRON STORM |
< 1000 pfu.(CME DISTURBANCE ) |
< 1000 pfu.( PROTON INFLUENCE ) |
||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE PROTONS |
> 2.0 MeV |
ELECTRON STORM |
< 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
+/- 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
||||||||||||
CME IMPACT (STRONG!) |
> 10 MeV | PROTON STORM | >10 pfu S 1 |
>10 pfu S 1 | . | |||||||||||
| Bz | GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT | POSITIVE ( ACTIVE PROTONS) | NEUTRAL | NEGATIVE ( ACTIVE ELECTRONS | ||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
P/E |
NEUTRONS-SYNTHESIS | < -10 > -11 dropping | < -9 > -10 dropping | < significant changes only (no alerts) | |||||||||||
Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >> |
PROTON STORM | * compared to " normal" values | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | |||||||||||||
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 446 km/s at 19/0021Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 18/2101Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 18/2258Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 7 pfu at 18/2130Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels on day one (20 May), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (21 May) and quiet to active levels on day three (22 May). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (20 May, 21 May, 22 May). |
||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||
2013 |
MONTH: |
MAY |
DAY: |
18 |
EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY: |
alien-homepage |
||||||||||
this day`s update is under procedure.-... |
click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed! |
|||||||||||||||
- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG |
TODAY`s EVENTS |
REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED | ||||||||||||||
| RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: | ||||||||||||||||
GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS |
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA | EARTHQUAKE DATA: | EMSC | NEIC | NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS > | |||||||||||
|
EPICENTER/ MAP | TSUNAMI WARNINGS | ||||||||||||||
| Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! | click here for MEDIA report | ![]() |
ISSUED AT: | CANCELLED: | ||||||||||||
highest global measured Earthquake magnitude: |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> | 2 | REPORTS > | FOR REGIONS: | |||||||||||
| EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > | M 6.0 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2013-05-18 05:48:01 UTC | LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > | 37.79 N ; 141.51 E |
DEPTH > |
52 km |
WAVE/HEIGHT | FREQUENCY | |||||||||
|
note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website! | |||||||||||||||
| listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on. | ||||||||||||||||
| NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0! | ||||||||||||||||
TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS : |
FREQUENCY/ SINCE: | REGION* | EPICENTER: | NUMBER | TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0): |
||||||||||
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN |
LIKELY VOLCANIC! | "B" |
MAP | 03 |
N-AMERICA >< EURASIA >< PACIFIC><PHIL. | M 5.0 - NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2013-05-18 22:39:47 UTC | ||||||||||
PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. |
LIKELY VOLCANIC! | "B" |
MAP | 01 |
PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA | M 5.0 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2013-05-18 17:19:29 UT | ||||||||||
WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS: |
NUMBER= ALL EVENTS > M3 AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS | numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0. |
||||||||||||||
AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES |
SELDOM | "E" |
MAP | 01 |
EURASIA >< AFRICA>< AMERICA >< ANTARCTICA | M 5.7 - SOUTH OF AFRICA - 2013-05-18 04:05:44 UTC | ||||||||||
ARABIC PLATE -AFTERQUAKES / SERIAL QUAKE - SOUTHERN IRAN |
CONTINUED | "F" |
MAP | 09 |
AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS | M 5.6 - SOUTHERN IRAN - 2013-05-18 10:03:19 UTC | ||||||||||
REGION OF CALIFORNIA SAN ANDREAS FAULT (USGS) |
FREQUENT | "C" |
MAP | 02 |
SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< JUAN DE FUCA | M 4.3 - OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2013-05-18 13:46:07 UTC | ||||||||||
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values |
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report | ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA | ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia) | |||||||||||||
| STEREO-"BEHIND" | (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | (3) STEREO-"Behind" | SDO /AIA-comp | SDO /AIA-comp | SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | ||||||||||
maps > |
||||||||||||||||
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES> |
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
< statistics |
||||||||||||||
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS |
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. |
SOURCES>> | NASA/ GOES | EUMETSAT | METEOSAT (EUROPE) | METEOALARM |
usno.navy.mil | NOAA | ||||||||
- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
solar data by: solen.info |
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|||||||||||||
SOLAR PARAMETERS |
SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
|||||||
SUNSPOT NUMBER |
146 |
AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) |
358-459 |
FLARES > |
C |
06 |
CH UNN. |
> 60° SOUTH |
GROWING | MAY- 15- 2013 |
MAY- 20- 2013? |
|||||
SOLAR FLUX |
132.1 |
X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX: |
B 4.8 |
M |
||||||||||||
PLANETARY "A" INDEX |
17 |
GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: |
35- 115 nT |
X |
||||||||||||
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC): |
CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS): |
|||||||||||||||
STATUS |
ACTIVE REGIONS: |
LOCATION TODAY |
ACTIVITIES/ CONF.* | appr. EARTH FACING ON: |
CME ERUPTION TIME UTC |
SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME: |
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: |
NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) | JAN/ 14 | FADED | ||||||
LONGITUDE |
LATITUDE |
SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) | MARCH- 06 | FADING | ||||||||||||
| CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> | NONE | |||||||||||||||
| faded (MAY 13) | 11742 |
27° - 41° W |
29 ° N |
BXO |
RECURR.= RECURRENT |
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL | ext= extended |
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH | ||||||||
| reemerged (MAY 16) | 11743 |
53° - 67° W |
23 ° N |
DAO/ CRO |
OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) : |
|||||||||||
11744 |
38 ° - 52° W |
03 ° N |
DAO/ DAI |
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>> | DECREASING |
X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS |
||||||||||
11745 |
12 ° - 26° W |
13 ° N |
CKO/ DAO |
LAST MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
unclear |
< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.) | |||||||||
11746 |
12 ° - 26° W |
27 ° S |
CSO/ |
PREVIOUS MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
20130430 ( MAX) |
||||||||||
11747 |
16 ° - 30° W |
18 ° S |
DAO/ DRO |
|||||||||||||
11748 |
25 ° - 11° E |
11 ° N |
DAI/DAO |
MAY- 19 |
abbreviations and markups ( solar section left): |
red letters = currently most active region | ||||||||||
11749 |
64 ° - 78° W |
23 ° S |
CRO/ BXO |
abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class |
alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type** | |||||||||||
11750 |
41 ° - 55° W |
11 ° S |
CAO/DAI |
*==according to Zurich sun spot classification | **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson | |||||||||||
11751 |
00 ° - 14° W |
24 ° S |
AXX |
|||||||||||||
11752 |
37 ° - 51° W |
17 ° N |
CRO/DRO |
MAY- 17 |
||||||||||||
NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S) |
03 |
INTERPLANETARY. | REMARKS | |||||||||||||
ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES > |
PROTON FLUX | HIGHTENED |
A strong increase in all proton spectrum followed after 04 UTC strong X class activities on May 13. | |||||||||||||
^CME Nr. |
ELECTRON FLUX | HIGHTENED | LATEST:INCREASE ON MAY 13- 2013 after 12 UTC/ MAY15/ 10 UTCdue to strong flare activity |
|||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
PROTON STORM | ENDED | DECREASING | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | ||||||||||||
| USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity: | 2013 | NOAA/ RSGA | ||||||||||||||
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at 18/0345Z from Region 1748 (N12E11). There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (19 May, 20 May, 21 May). |
||||||||||||||||
| TODAY` S EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME): | this section will always appear, when a significant CME event was noticed and data have to be updated. You find more information about recent CME events in " today`s preliminary report" |
|||||||||||||||
| - NONE YET- | ||||||||||||||||
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL |
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS |
![]() |
||||||||||||||
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below! |
||||||||||||||||
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||||||
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>> |
20130423- 25/ May 06 |
int. CME Nr. >> |
21/13 minor update: 22/13 | EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||
TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS: |
PRIMARY REGIONS | CME STRENGTH: |
IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS WiTH THE ESTIMATED MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY- |
||||||||||||
ALERT LEVEL |
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS | CENTRAL AMERICA |
MULTIPLE CME CLUSTER | LONGITUDES : | 90° - 105° W | ALERT LEVEL |
* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable |
|||||||||
| CME IMPACT! | SUDDEN (THUNDER- STORMS |
CALIFORNIA | MAIN HEMISPHERE: |
EURASIA><AFRICA ><CARIBB. ><AMERICAS >< COCOS |
PROTON STORM & CME IMPACT | ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES | ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) | |||||||||
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS |
SECONDARY REGIONS : | CENTERED AT: 33° S- 57° N | SECONDARY REGIONS : | 18. MAY 2013 |
||||||||||||
METHANHYDRATE RELEASES |
WESTERN EUROPE & AFRICA | These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp |
LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- >6.5 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 ( EFFECTIVE PROTONS) |
||||||||||
INDUCED CURRENTS |
ATLANTIC WEST | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
18. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
MINOR RADIO BLACKOUTS |
ALL AMERICAS | LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- 6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 (LATENCY) |
|||||||||||
| WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) | PACIFIC | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
20. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM |
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS | LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS: | M 5.5- >6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 LATENCY(preliminary) | ||||||||||||
OTHER: |
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION |
GLOBAL | *REGIONS> see definition below | LONGITUDES : | ALL | LATENCIES: | ||||||||||
LATE EFFECTS |
EARTHQUAKES |
ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: | HIGHER | EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > | ACTIVE ELECTRONS | PROTON INFLUENCE | ||||||||||
TECTONICS |
COOLING DOWN AFTER PROTON/CME IMPACT | COOLING DOWN (LATENCY/ ENDING) | UNCERTAIN | EFFECTING AS > | INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW | PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS) | ||||||||||
| * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weasther alerts are oftenly BACKDATED! | ||||||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY |
Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer |
introgeomagnetic PROTON FLUX |
NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!) |
ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES | ||||||||||||
QUIET |
ALERTS: |
SOLAR INFLUENCES |
CURRENT |
PAST 24 h |
REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA |
|||||||||||
UNSETTLED |
FLARES |
X RAY EVENT |
NONE | |||||||||||||
ACTIVE |
CME | TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS: | NONE | |||||||||||||
MINOR STORM (CME) |
RADIO BLACKOUT | 10 cm RADIO BURSTS |
NONE | |||||||||||||
MAJOR STORM |
GEOMAGNETIC STORM |
G1 | WARNING (G1- G2 EXPECTED) | |||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (PROT.) |
SOLAR STORMS: |
SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS |
||||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS |
> 0.8 MeV | ELECTRON STORM |
< 1000 pfu.(CME DISTURBANCE ) |
< 10.000 pfu.( PROTON INFLUENCE ) |
||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE PROTONS |
> 2.0 MeV |
ELECTRON STORM |
+/- 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
> 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
||||||||||||
CME IMPACT (STRONG!) |
> 10 MeV | PROTON STORM | >10 pfu S 1 |
>10 pfu S 1 | . | |||||||||||
| Bz | GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT | POSITIVE ( ACTIVE PROTONS) | NEUTRAL | NEGATIVE ( ACTIVE ELECTRONS | ||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
P/E |
NEUTRONS-SYNTHESIS | < -9 > -10 dropping | < -8 > -9 dropping | < significant changes only (no alerts) | |||||||||||
Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >> |
PROTON STORM | * compared to " normal" values | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | |||||||||||||
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 476 km/s at 18/0911Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 18/0244Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -13 nT at 18/0146Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 32 pfu at 17/2245Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 131 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels on day one (19 May), quiet to active levels on day two (20 May) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (21 May). Protons are likely to cross threshold on day one (19 May) and have a chance of crossing threshold on days two and three (20 May, 21 May). |
||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||
2013 |
MONTH: |
MAY |
DAY: |
17 |
EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY: |
alien-homepage |
||||||||||
this day`s update is under procedure.-... |
click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed! |
|||||||||||||||
- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG |
TODAY`s EVENTS |
REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED | ||||||||||||||
| RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: | ||||||||||||||||
GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS |
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA | EARTHQUAKE DATA: | EMSC | NEIC | NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS > | |||||||||||
|
EPICENTER/ MAP | TSUNAMI WARNINGS | ||||||||||||||
| Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! | click here for MEDIA report | ![]() |
ISSUED AT: | CANCELLED: | ||||||||||||
highest global measured Earthquake magnitude: |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> | REPORTS > | FOR REGIONS: | ||||||||||||
| EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > | M 5.7 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2013-05-17 06:43:16 UTC | LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > | 11.06 S ; 165.06 E |
DEPTH > |
WAVE/HEIGHT | FREQUENCY | ||||||||||
|
note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website! | |||||||||||||||
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values |
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report | ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA | ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia) | |||||||||||||
maps > |
||||||||||||||||
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES> |
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
< statistics |
||||||||||||||
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS |
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. |
SOURCES>> | NASA/ GOES | EUMETSAT | METEOSAT (EUROPE) | METEOALARM |
usno.navy.mil | NOAA | ||||||||
REPORT BY: |
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS |
DIRECTION | STORM CATHEGORY | MEDIA REPORTS |
|||||||
| wunderground.com | Tropical Storm Alvin | MAY-13- 2013 | EASTERN PACIFIC | 40MPH (+) |
110.8° W |
9.8° N |
600 KM SOUTHWEST OFF GUADALAJARA/ MEXICO | WNW | TD | |||||||
VARIOUS REPORTS:_ |
||||||||||||||||
ENVIRONMENTAL HEADLINES/ MAY 15- 18- 2013 |
20130516 |
report by: |
bbc.co.uk | |||||||||||||
(nbc) Drought, cold cripple wheat crop The winter wheat crop is expected to be far smaller this season compared to last, particularly for hard red varieties used in bread, the U.S. Department of Agriculture reported Friday. ..The government's forecast comes amid a season marked by drought and late spring freezes in the Midwest's major wheat growing areas, particularly in Kansas — the nation's biggest wheat-producing state.(Chron.com/ 20130516): Fire burns 3,800 acres in Calif. national forest FRAZIER PARK, Calif. (AP) — Cooler temperatures and lighter winds gave hundreds of firefighters a breather from a wildfire that has blackened hills near Interstate 5 north of Los Angeles. The fire that broke out Wednesday in the Los Padres National Forest charred 3,800 acres of dry, thick trees in torrid conditions.(australia network.com/)UNICEF provides drought aid to Marshall Islands The UN children's fund UNICEF has joined the Marshallese Government in providing emergency assistance to the nation's severely drought-affected areas. More than 5,000 people in the north of Marshall Islands have limited access to clean and safe drinking water, proper sanitation and nutritious food. The emergency response is focusing attention on health and hygiene with reports of an increase in diarrhoea and other infections among children.
|
(ap) More Rain Forecast After Deadly Storms Hit China Chinese authorities say rainstorms that battered southern China this week have killed 33 people and left 12 people missing. The Chinese Ministry of Civil Affairs website says at least nine provinces have had storms and some flooding and landslides since Tuesday. It says Guangdong province has been hit the hardest with 19 deaths and 11 missing people.minivan - news/ 20130515)Extreme weather compels emergency relief from Maldives’ government Maldivian government authorities are providing emergency services and relief funds to island communities battered by three weeks of “extreme weather”. The National Disaster Management Centre (NDMC) issued a statement today (May 15) urging island and atoll councils to report any damage caused by the “harsh weather” as soon as possible. |
Nasa's Kepler telescope hobbled by faulty wheel The planet-hunting space telescope Kepler has been hobbled by a broken wheel, say scientists at Nasa. Two of four reaction wheels are now faulty. At least three are needed to orient the telescope correctly. "I wouldn't call Kepler down and out just yet," said Nasa administrator John Grunsfeld, saying scientists were working on the problem. Kepler was launched in 2009 and last month identified two distant planets that Nasa said could be habitable. So far, the $600m (£395m) mission has identified 132 "exoplanets" outside our solar system, and another 2,700 possible candidates.But last July one of the spacecraft's four reaction wheels broke down, leaving scientists aware that a further failure was likely and would prevent the telescope operating as it should....read. more... |
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- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
solar data by: solen.info |
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|||||||||||||
SOLAR PARAMETERS |
SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
|||||||
SUNSPOT NUMBER |
198 |
AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s) |
346-476 |
FLARES > |
C |
02 |
CH UNN. |
NORTH |
FADED |
MAY- 14- 2013 |
MAY- 16- 2013? |
|||||
SOLAR FLUX |
136.4 |
X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX: |
M |
01 |
CH 570 |
CENTRAL |
FADED |
MAY- 13- 2013 |
MAY- 14- 2013 |
|||||||
PLANETARY "A" INDEX |
07 |
GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY: |
X |
CH UNN. |
> 60° SOUTH |
GROWING | MAY- 15- 2013 |
MAY- 20- 2013? |
||||||||
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS TODAY (as observed at 00:00 UTC): |
CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS): |
|||||||||||||||
STATUS |
ACTIVE REGIONS: |
LOCATION TODAY |
ACTIVITIES/ CONF.* | appr. EARTH FACING ON: |
CME ERUPTION TIME UTC |
SIDERIC DIRECTION OF CME: |
ESTIMATED ARRIVAL: |
NORTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP CH- EXT) | JAN/ 14 | FADED | ||||||
LONGITUDE |
LATITUDE |
SOUTHERN POLAR CH EXTENSION (SP - CH- EXT) | MARCH- 06 | FADING | ||||||||||||
| CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS> | NONE | |||||||||||||||
| faded (MAY 13) | 11742 |
27° - 41° W |
29 ° N |
BXO |
RECURR.= RECURRENT |
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL | ext= extended |
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH | ||||||||
| reemerged (MAY 16) | 11743 |
40 ° - 64° W |
23 ° N |
CSO/ ESO |
OBSERVED OVERALL SOLAR SURFACE ACTIVITY (EVOLUTION) : |
|||||||||||
11744 |
24 ° - 38° W |
03 ° N |
CAO/ DAI |
ERUPTIVE ACTIVITY TODAY>> | VERY HIGH |
X-RAY/ SOLAR ERUPTIONS |
||||||||||
11745 |
01 ° E- 13° W |
13 ° N |
CKI/ CKO |
MAY- 17 |
LAST MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
unclear |
< LAST MAXIMUM (appr.) | ||||||||
11746 |
01 ° E- 13° W |
27 ° S |
CSO/ |
MAY 17 |
PREVIOUS MINIMUM (appr.)> | 20130421 |
20130430 ( MAX) |
|||||||||
11747 |
04 ° - 18° W |
18 ° S |
CAO/ DSO |
MAY- 16 |
||||||||||||
| M3.2 solar flare & CME | 11748 |
38 ° - 24° E |
11 ° N |
DKI/ DAI |
MAY- 19 |
08:57 | LIBRA | MAY- 19-20 | abbreviations and markups ( solar section left): |
red letters = currently most active region | ||||||
11749 |
51 ° - 65° W |
23 ° S |
BXO/ DRO |
abbreviations: ( example.: Hax, CDO, BXO, etc. ) = Sun spot class |
alpha , beta gamma, delta = Sun spot type** | |||||||||||
11750 |
26 ° - 40° W |
11 ° S |
BXO/ DRO |
*==according to Zurich sun spot classification | **sun spot types (Mt. Wilson | |||||||||||
11751 |
13 ° E- 01° W |
24 ° S |
BXO |
MAY- 17 |
||||||||||||
| NEWLY EMERGED | 11752 |
25 ° - 39° W |
17 ° N |
CRO/ DRI |
MAY- 17 |
|||||||||||
NEWLY SPOTTED REGIONS (S) |
03 |
INTERPLANETARY. | REMARKS | |||||||||||||
ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES > |
PROTON FLUX | HIGHTENED |
A strong increase in all proton spectrum followed after 04 UTC strong X class activities on May 13. | |||||||||||||
^CME Nr. |
ELECTRON FLUX | HIGHTENED | LATEST:INCREASE ON MAY 13- 2013 after 12 UTC/ MAY15/ 10 UTCdue to strong flare activity |
|||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
PROTON STORM | ENDED | DECREASING | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | ||||||||||||
| USAF/NOAA Report on solar activity: | 2013 | NOAA/ RSGA | ||||||||||||||
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3 event observed at 17/0857Z from Region 1748 (N12E23). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (18 May, 19 May, 20 May). |
||||||||||||||||
| TODAY` S EARTH DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (CME): | this section will always appear, when a significant CME event was noticed and data have to be updated. You find more information about recent CME events in " today`s preliminary report" |
|||||||||||||||
| - NONE YET- | ||||||||||||||||
20130517 |
CMEs at: | 08:57 UTC |
ARRIVAL: | MAY19-20 |
POLARITY: | ALPHA | BETA | UNKNOWN | GOES/ GEOMAG. PROTON FLUX |
GOES / X- RAY (nuclear activity/ solar flares) | ||||||
TRACKING NR.: |
23 d/13 |
20130517/ 11:09 UTC | 20130517/ 09:13 UTC | 20130517/ 11:09 UTC | ![]() |
|||||||||||
ACTIVE REGION: |
11748 |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||||||||||||
Earth directed? |
FULLY HALO | |||||||||||||||
SUN COORDINATES: |
||||||||||||||||
38 ° - 24° E |
11 ° N |
|||||||||||||||
ERUPTION TYPE: |
X-RAY CLASS: |
|||||||||||||||
impulsive flare/ LDE |
M 3.2 | |||||||||||||||
| PROTON EMISSION/ STORM! | (1) STEREO-"AHEAD" | (2) SDO /AIA-comp | (3) SDO /AIA-comp | (4) SoHO/ LASCO C 3 |
||||||||||||
| TYPE II RADIO EMISSION | << RADIO BLACKOUT WARNINGS | Abbreviations |
LDE= | Long Duration Event |
try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed! |
|||||||||||
| TYPE IV RADIO EMISSION | EVENT REPORTS: | 2013 |
alien-homepage.de |
|||||||||||||
| 10 cm RADIO BURST | ||||||||||||||||
- 3 - TERRESTRIAL |
(INTERNAL RESEARCH PROJECT) : CMEs and RELATED TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS |
![]() |
||||||||||||||
NOTES: (In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Also note, that earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intentedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below! |
||||||||||||||||
EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||||||
LAST FORECAST RELATED CME ARRIVAL>> |
20130423- 25/ May 06 |
int. CME Nr. >> |
21/13 minor update: 22/13 | EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: |
||||||||||||
TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE CME EFFECTS: |
PRIMARY REGIONS | CME STRENGTH: |
IMPACT LONGITUDES & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | ORANGE BACKGROUND =INTERN. "WATCH" ALERT= LARGER EVENTS WiTH THE ESTIMATED MAGNITUDES ARE EXPECTABLE WITH LATENCIES, BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER INLIKELY- |
||||||||||||
ALERT LEVEL |
VOLCANO ACTIVITIES / TREMORS | CENTRAL AMERICA |
MULTIPLE CME CLUSTER | LONGITUDES : | 90° - 105° W | ALERT LEVEL |
* note: estimated magnitudes are intendedly OVERESTIMATED ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable |
|||||||||
| NEW PROTON STORM | SUDDEN (THUNDER- STORMS |
CALIFORNIA | MAIN HEMISPHERE: |
EURASIA><AFRICA ><CARIBB. ><AMERICAS >< COCOS |
NEW PROTON STORM | ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES | ESTIMATED INTENSITY ( 1-3) | |||||||||
SUDDEN (GLACIAL) MELTDOWNS |
SECONDARY REGIONS : | CENTERED AT: 33° S- 57° N | SECONDARY REGIONS : | 17. MAY 2013 |
||||||||||||
METHANHYDRATE RELEASES |
WESTERN EUROPE & AFRICA | These forecasts are based on CME and solar wind impact data and the related charge of the geomagnetic field as measured by ACE and GOEShp |
LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- >6.5 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 ( EFFECTIVE PROTONS) |
||||||||||
INDUCED CURRENTS |
ATLANTIC WEST | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
18. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
MINOR RADIO BLACKOUTS |
ALL AMERICAS | LONGITUDES: | 15°W- 180° W | M 5.5- >6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 ( POSSIBLE DURING CME IMPACT!)) |
|||||||||||
| WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (MAG) | PACIFIC | EURASIA >< AFRICA ><S & N- AMERICA |
18. MAY 2013 |
|||||||||||||
ELECTRON STORM AFTER PROTON STORM |
LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS | LOWER AFFECTED REGIONS: | M 5.5- >6.0 ( POTENTIAL= > M 9.0) |
1-3 CME impact (preliminary) | ||||||||||||
OTHER: |
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION |
GLOBAL | *REGIONS> see definition below | LONGITUDES : | ALL | LATENCIES: | ||||||||||
LATE EFFECTS |
EARTHQUAKES |
ESTIMATED DESTRUCTIVE EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITY: | HIGHER | EARTHQUAKES DELAYED BY > | ACTIVE ELECTRONS | PROTON INFLUENCE | ||||||||||
TECTONICS |
COOLING DOWN AFTER PROTON/CME IMPACT | COOLING DOWN (LATENCY/ ENDING) | UNCERTAIN | EFFECTING AS > | INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW | PARADOX ANTIENERGETIC EFFECTS (PROTONS) | ||||||||||
| * note: Due to the necessary evaluation of incoming data, NOAA space weasther alerts are oftenly BACKDATED! | ||||||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY |
Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer |
introgeomagnetic PROTON FLUX |
ALERTS |
NOAA/ CURRENT SPACE WEATHER PREDICTION:(oftenly backdated!) |
ABOUT SPACE WEATHER CODES | |||||||||||
QUIET |
NOAA ALERTS: |
SOLAR INFLUENCES |
CURRENT |
PAST 24 h |
REGULARLY UPDATES ISSUED BY NOAA |
|||||||||||
UNSETTLED |
FLARES |
X RAY EVENT |
NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
ACTIVE |
CME | TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS: | NONE | NONE | ||||||||||||
MINOR STORM (CME) |
RADIO BLACKOUT | 10 cm RADIO BURSTS |
0848 UTC | NONE | ||||||||||||
MAJOR STORM |
GEOMAGNETIC STORM |
WARNING (G1- G2 EXPECTED) | WARNING (G1- G2 EXPECTED) | |||||||||||||
GEOMAGNETIC DEPRESSION (PROT.) |
SOLAR STORMS: |
SOLAR STORMS ARE INTENSIVE PARTICLE EMISSIONS |
||||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS |
> 0.8 MeV ELECTRONS |
+/- 10.000 pfu.( PROTON INFLUENCE ) |
< 10.000 pfu.( PROTON INFLUENCE ) |
|||||||||||||
EFFECTIVE PROTONS |
2 MeV ELECTRONS |
+/- 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
> 100 pfu. (PROTON INFLUENCE) |
|||||||||||||
CME IMPACT |
>10 MeV PROTONS | >10 pfu S 1 |
>10 pfu S 1 | . | ||||||||||||
| GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT | POSITIVE ( ACTIVE PROTONS) | NEUTRAL | NEGATIVE ( ACTIVE ELECTRONS | |||||||||||||
internal remarks: |
NEUTRONS- P/E SYNTHESIS | < -8 > -9 dropping | < -7 > -8 dropping | < significant changes only (no alerts) | ||||||||||||
GENERAL REMARKS TO THE LONG TERM EFFECTS OF SOLAR PROTON EVENTS/ STORMS ( by: alien-homepage.de) : : Several strong earthquakes happen regularly immidiately during/ after Proton Storms (those themselves likely are also caused by kinds of solar quakes. Otherwise during that first phase, more exactly: DURING the proton storms when proton flux is elavated- as a typical antienergetic effect Protons have, everything that requires cinetic energies to work such as storms or volcanic activities are rather very low. Entire storms systems as statistics indicate seem to can come to a stillstand by such a proton impact. Other data show that protons can even swallow electrons ( memory charges) from harddiscs as more as if these ar plugged to the grid or connected to the web. and surely proton storms do interrupt all kinds of radio transmissions. After the proton storm itself has decreased regularly an electron storms sets in that last again for some days. During that time, all kind of cinetic effects set in: Mainly sudden thundestorms, and increasing volcano activities preferently those of hot spot volcanoes. Induced currents effecting down to the Earth surface with potential of heavy damage to power grids are seldom, but TYPICALLY OCCURE ESPECIALLY AFTER PROTON EVENTS when the proton and succeeding electron storms( impact reaches certain strength. This phase now last normally not more than 10 days until the affected tectonic plates would cool down again and contract, what leads to the second and final phase with the chance for another STRONG EARTHQUAKES. The described single phase are prolongued amplified or mindered WHEN NEW CME events occure , those might contain more protons or electrons. Its hardly then to forecast but current data show, that by the fact that protons shift the geomagnetic charge temporarely to positive values, that short circuit that lets flow solar energies right through the magnetic field lines (MPI MUnich) into the Earth core, the Earth can likely sum up and even store these energies for a long time ( by forming neutrons) what includes the risk of a concentrated energetic breakouts in different forms. |
||||||||||||||||
Today`s USAF report on geophysical activity >> |
PROTON STORM | * compared to " normal" values | INTERNAL REPORT / GOES DATA | |||||||||||||
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 431 km/s at 17/0120Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 17/1927Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 16/2126Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 41 pfu at 17/1720Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 203 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (18 May), quiet to major storm levels on day two (19 May) and quiet to active levels on day three (20 May). Protons are expected to continue above threshold levels on days 1-3 (18-20 May). |
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|
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2013 |
MONTH: |
MAY |
DAY: |
16 |
EXPERIMENTAL STATISTICAL EARTHQUAKE FORECAST BY: |
alien-homepage |
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this day`s update is under procedure.-... |
click on images to enlarge them/ try to reload/refresh the page, if images should not be displayed! |
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- 1 - ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG |
TODAY`s EVENTS |
REPORTS , DATA, IMAGES, VIDEOS ETC MAY BE ADDED AT ANY TIME, RESP WHEN RECEIVED | ||||||||||||||
| RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS: | ||||||||||||||||
GLOBAL WATCH: EARTHQUAKES- AFTERQUAKES & SWARMS |
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA | EARTHQUAKE DATA: | EMSC | NEIC | NOAA TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS > | |||||||||||
|
EPICENTER/ MAP | TSUNAMI WARNINGS | ||||||||||||||
| Note:, as earthquake data are oftenly revised the next day by EMSC,this section will mostly be completed later this day . ! | click here for MEDIA report | ![]() |
ISSUED AT: | CANCELLED: | ||||||||||||
highest global measured Earthquake magnitude: |
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0 |
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY> | REPORTS > | FOR REGIONS: | ||||||||||||
| EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME > | M 5.7 - SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2013-05-16 05:57:01 UTC | LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE > | 57.64 S ; 6.90 W |
DEPTH > |
9 km |
WAVE/HEIGHT | FREQUENCY | |||||||||
|
note: Tsunami alert here might mostly not be up to date! check out NOAA website! | |||||||||||||||
| listed in this section: Earthquake activities with single Earthquakes exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0- the number represents all related regional measured quakes above M 2.0. MAINLAND EURASIAN QUAKES are listed from 1 magnitude below on. | ||||||||||||||||
| NOTE. Earthquake data were first collected on a more sensible scale ( first : above M 3.0, then above M 4.0) as evidence/ to prove coincidences with solar events . From FEBRUARY 22 on, only events will be listed here exceeding magnitudes of M 5.0! | ||||||||||||||||
TODAY`S MAIN EARTHQUAKES AND REGIONS : |
FREQUENCY/ SINCE: | REGION* | EPICENTER: | NUMBER | TECTONICS & PLATE BOUNDARIES: | HIGHEST MAGNITUDE MEASURED IN THIS REGION TODAY (> M 5.0): |
||||||||||
PACIFIC/MAINLY WEST/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC. |
FREQUENT | "B" |
MAP | 02 |
PACIFIC >< INDO AUSTRALIA | M 5.3 - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION - 2013-05-16 22:38:21 UTC | ||||||||||
WATCHING: EXTRAORDINARY AND NEW EVENTS AND REGIONS: |
NUMBER= ALL EVENTS AS LISTED BY EMSC OR USGS | numbered are events > M 2.0 with single events exceeding magnitude M 4.0. |
||||||||||||||
GULF OF MEXICO (GOM)/ MAINLY PUERTO RICO REGION |
20130516 |
"D" |
MAP | 01 |
CARIBBEAN><ATLANTIC >< AFRICA | M 5.0 - CARIBBEAN SEA - 2013-05-16 16:29:14 UTC | ||||||||||
REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE) |
FREQUENT/ OCT- 2012 | "D" |
MAP | 01 |
SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA | M 5.0 - WEST CHILE RISE - 2013-05-16 23:13:28 UTC | ||||||||||
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values |
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report | ^ Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of CA | ^ TECTONIC PLATES (Wikipedia) | |||||||||||||
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| STEREO-"BEHIND" | (2) SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | (3) STEREO-"Behind" | SDO /AIA-comp | SDO /AIA-comp | SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | SoHO/ LASCO C 3 | ||||||||||
maps > |
||||||||||||||||
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES> |
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics > |
< statistics |
||||||||||||||
TODAY`S s TROPICAL STORMS |
There are no tropical cyclones at this time. |
SOURCES>> | NASA/ GOES | EUMETSAT | METEOSAT (EUROPE) | METEOALARM |
usno.navy.mil | NOAA | ||||||||
REPORT BY: |
NAME/ TRACKING LINK |
EMERGED ON: |
REGION |
WIND SPEED |
COORDINATES |
appr. GEOGRAPHIC POSITION/ /REMARKS |
DIRECTION | STORM CATHEGORY | MEDIA REPORTS |
|||||||
| wunderground.com | Tropical Storm Alvin | MAY-13- 2013 | EASTERN PACIFIC | 45MPH (+) |
105.9° W |
9.0° N |
600 KM SOUTHWEST OFF THE COAST OF S- MEXICO | WNW | TD | |||||||
| wunderground.com | Tropical Cyclone Mahasen | MAY- 10- 2013 | INDIAN OCEAN | 55 MPH (+) |
89.9° E |
20.5 ° N |
100 km South OFFSHORE of BANGLADESH/ MYANMAR BORDER REGION lANDFALL! |
WNW |
TS |
|||||||
VARIOUS REPORTS:_ |
||||||||||||||||
| 20130516 | report by: |
edition.cnn.com | ||||||||||||||
Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy |
North Texas picks up the pieces after tornadoes kill 6(CNN) -- Chainsaws wailed Thursday in Granbury, Texas, as some residents began to clear fallen trees and whittle down the mounds of household goods strewn across the landscape, a testament to the ferocity of the previous night's tornadoes. But other residents, those from the hardest-hit neighborhoods, had to wait, hoping to hear when they could go back to their damaged and leveled homes to see what remains. Ronna Cotten said she has been told she can't re-enter her subdivision to "check to see if we have any belongings left" for at least two days, maybe as many as seven.Power is expected to be down for the next three weeks, Cotten said she was told. Cotten stayed in the home of a woman who picked her up from the rescue center Wednesday night and worked the phones Thursday trying to find hotel rooms for her family. She still considers herself fortunate.read more... |
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- 2- SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA: |
solar data by: solen.info |
CORONAL HOLES (CH) |
|||||||||||||
SOLAR PARAMETERS |
SOLAR ACTIVITIES |
CLASS |
TOTAL: |
NUMBER |
POSITION*: |
STATUS: |
FIRST OBSERVED: |
EARTH FACING |
MAG &remarks |
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