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DATE:
27.01.2015
last updated on
2014

JANUARY 27 at: 21: 00 UTC

important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2015 >

                           

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
    click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2014            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

JANUARY 2015

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B)

scientific reviews/ NASA solar project(as far as available)

NASA:

unknown
earlier:
 
 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
3. LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG: special reports    
- find previous events in the "recent event history" below and in myarchives!
 

 

 

 

 
    NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
LATEST EVENTS ( at time of this update)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

JANUARY

2015

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     find previous report in archive December 2014    
       
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
         
20141222: NEVADA( San Andreas fault) Swarm quake activity resumed and intensified in magnitude yet up to M 4.7 ( no damage report see terrestrial blog below)
Inhalt
 
   
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for LATEST EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMI EVENTS
Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
   

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.7 - VANUATU - 2015-01-23 03:47:26 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
17.02 S ; 168.57 E
DEPTH >
216 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.4 - SOUTH OF PANAMA - 2015-01-07 05:07:07 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
5.82 N ; 82.66 W
DEPTH >
2 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
find previous report in archive November 2014
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

               

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL. magmatic?

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

  SWARMQUAKE /VOLCANIC?   EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS FREQUENT

"B"

EPICENTER      
    MAGMATIC > TAUPO CALDERA/ white island?   EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. BEGIN: 20141117

"A"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS. 20140531

"A"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ NORTHERN ITALY (MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA 209150123

"E"

EPICENTER 53 x > M 2 M 4.2 - NORTHERN ITALY - 2015-01-23 06:51:20 UTC  
        EPICENTER      

> WESTERN TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS FREQUENT

"F"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - SOUTHERN IRAN - 2015-01-01 08:49:54 UTC  
        EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - SOUTHERN IRAN - 2015-01-10 17:03:08 UTC  

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

sometimes

"E"

EPICENTER 02 x > M 5 M 5.4 - CARLSBERG RIDGE - 2015-01-02 08:25:53 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC> earthquake swarm

"E"/"F

EPICENTER 9 x > M 4.0 M 4.8 - BURYATIYA, RUSSIA - 2015-01-03 12:29:42 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) SELDOM

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations  
    distance: < 100 miles   EPICENTER 01 x > M 2 M 2.0 - GERMANY - 2015-01-10 00:22:17 UTC  

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER 6 x > M 2! M 2.9 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2015-01-12 22:13:55 UTC  
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

          for more updates on the CANARY ISLANDS; visit my google blogspot Canary" hotspot5  

(Mnt Barbardunga/ iceland - NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER 01 M 4.5 - ICELAND - 2015-01-02 17:39:09 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER 01 M 5.1 - SVALBARD REGION - 2015-01-11 20:34:31 UTC  
        EPICENTER   M 5.1 - GREENLAND SEA - 2015-01-22 00:39:15 UTC  

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS continuing since 2010-

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ TARAPACA (REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER 01    

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

"C"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

 

UNCLEAR ACTIVITY "C" EPICENTER      
    INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC magmatic. increasing since 20141102! "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
        EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM- MAINLY NEVADA REGION >

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC magmati swarm/ begin: 20141103 "C" EPICENTER 17 x > M 20 M 4.1 - NEVADA - 2015-01-04 09:56:42 UTC  
        EPICENTER ( 05 x yet at time of this update) M 4.7 - NEVADA - 2015-01-22 09:09:16 UTC  

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
MAJOR NATURAL AND TECHNICAL INCIDENTS        

20150121: Asteroid 2004 BL86 to sweep close on January 26

(earthsky.com) Asteroid 2004 BL86 to sweep close on January 26

Are you ready to witness an asteroid flyby? Although there’s no danger of impact, this one is huge; twice as big as a cruise ship! The asteroid, called 2004 BL86 by astronomers, will sweep safely past Earth on January 26, 2015. It will be the closest of any known space rock this large until asteroid 1999 AN10 flies past Earth in 2027, and it’ll be the closest this particular asteroid will come to Earth for at least the next 200 years. This asteroid is estimated from its reflected brightness to be about 500 meters in diameter (about a third of a mile, or 0.5 km)....read more...

 

<<(wikipedia) (357439) 2004 BL86provisionally known as 2004 BL86, is a near-Earth asteroid estimated to be 0.440–1.000 km (0.3–0.6 mi) in diameter that will pass 3.1 lunar distances (1.2 million km) from Earth on 26 January 2015 at 16:20 UT.[1][5] It was discovered on 30 January 2004 by LINEAR.[2]

       
                       
                       

 

 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

20150126: Extreme weather - Major nor'easter to affect northeastern US

 

TROPICAL STORMS/ DECEMBER 2014

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

20150126
               
>) the still most reilai
The stage is being set for a major nor'easter to affect parts of the Northeast US Monday through Wednesday, January 26 - 28, 2015. This system, named Winter Storm "Juno", will be responsible for heavy snowfall and strong winds, with blizzard conditions possible along coastal areas from New Jersey to Massachusetts. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio warned it could be one of the biggest storms the city has ever seen. "Do not underestimate this storm, assume conditions will be unsafe and that you do not want to be out in this storm. When you can stay indoors, stay indoors. When you can stay off the roads, stay off the roads. Use mass transit, or make plans to travel another day. Try, with everything you have, to avoid being in the middle of this storm," de Blasio said. Peak impacts are expected late Monday through Tuesday night.
 
                     
                   
     
                     
                   
     
                     
                   
     
               

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   

 

                   
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  
                     
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
      600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO    
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES - including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS)

       

20150120: FOGO on capverde islands still active/ M 1.6 magmatic quake - just 1 km below sea surface- registered in the south of Teneriffe- the most shallow quake since the new magma intrusion began on December 26- 2013

20150115Mde:teorological Agency “Eruptive activity is becoming intense at Mount Aso. Volcanic tremor continues 24h/day”

 

 
   

201450121 (internal report) activities on the most hot spots worldwide significantly decreased over the past weeks. after also no more solar SEP has occured since about 2 month: The steam eruptions in the yellowstone park have significantly decreased in strength inthe first half of January 2015.

But the electron accumulation, still following th latest SEPs in October 2014 (!!) is still ongoing and I have still the suspicion (but not much reference yet) that the energy of the electrons accumulating after each of these strange solar SEPs might transform to the upper surface . better said: such an electron accumulation might just like the proton storms (SEP) ( those impact deep into the magnetic field and heat up the earth core and mantle) have the capability to trigger (surface) volcano activities...

January 20- 2015: The most shallow magmatic quake since the end of the first activity phase/ Fogo update:

I have no proof that the Fogo volcano is also feeded from the El Hierro hotspot The activity at Fogo however is tightly related to the one on the canaries asnd Fogo likely was the valve where the hot magma mixed with waterby whereby the uprising magma could first found its way up to the surface. Luck for the Canaries as it seems but as the shallow quake just on January 20 in a depth of now JUST 1 KM (below sea surface !)is also an indicator that tha magma there is also nor more far from the surface and and eruptive event cannot be excluded , Especially that the hot magma will anytime mix with water at any point would create the explosive mixture what could lead to a surface eruption of unknown strength . Expecially the fact that this most shallow magmatic quake since the end of the first activity phase near El Hierro ( that ended early in 2012) an 1. 6 magmatic quake occured just in the south of Teneriffe near to the densely populated Playa de las Americas should be a reason for the Spanish authorities and the IGN at least to publish some kind of statement but more even: to watch the next time evolution very closely now!

After a serial of rather tectonic quake between Gran Canaria and Tenerife on January 12 and 13 , the region was again calm for over one week., On January 20, 2 new magnatic quakes were registered on the mantle plume below El Hierro, indicating the magma intrusion is still ongoing .On January 20- 2015 . now, the yet most shallow earth quake since the end of the 1. activity phase in early 2012 was registered just 1 km below sea surface in the Region North of the highly populated tourist resort of Playa de las Americas on Teneriffe! The Spanish IGN and AVCAN made yet no comments on that .

FOGO/ Capeverdes:

I could find no update for the past week about Fogo volcano on the capverde islands: Earthquake. com has a good scientific coverage of the latest activities there.

<< The Hawaii MODVOLC thermal image taken on 20150121 however shows  again the red colorisation after the volcanos heat signature had already had  changed to yellow in the 3. part of December

>>>the MODVOLC Thermal image of the Canaries does not show a sgnificant change one could distinguish with the free eye and remains unchanged now  since about one year  :

 

 

Fukusihima diary/ teorological Agency “Eruptive activity is becoming intense at Mount Aso. Volcanic tremor continues 24h/day”

Mount Aso, an active volcano of Kumamoto prefecture, is starting to be active, according to Japan meteorological agency. From their monthly report published on 1/13/2015, the eruptive activity has become intense since 11/25/2014. Intermittent eruption is observed and warned of volcanic cinders in 1km radius area from one of the central cone craters. According to Fukuoka district meteorological observatory, volcanic fumes were observed to reach 1,300m above the crater, volcanic glow was also captured by camera during the night of 1/10/2015. Volcanic tremor has been also measured for 24 hours a day since 1/9/2015. Clinometer is showing it’s been rising around the crater since 1/5/2015.

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/volcano/info_05_20150113160044.html

http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/press/1501/13a/1412jishin.pdf

http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/press/1501/13a/1412jishin.html

<< ASU Live Camera : http://www.data.jma.go.jp/svd/volcam/data/volc_img.php

 
         
 

volcano_discovery/ 20150103: ETNA/ SICIL: Ash Emissions from the New SE Crater and Strombolian Activity at the Voragine Crater

Yesterday a dense pulsating ash column was emitted by deep-seated strombolian activity at the New SE Crater. The emissions produced a plume bended over by wind towards the SW and forcing the closure of Catania's airport. This morning ash emissions from the New SE Crater ended. With the return of good weather it has been possible to observe two eruptive fissures opened during last paroxysm: one on the southern side of the New SE Crater and one on its eastern flank. The fissure on the southern side produced a lava flow that descended directed toward the western side of mount Frumento Supino splitting into 2 branches and reaching an altitude of about 1900 metres above sea level. The fissure on the eastern side produced a lava flow that reached the base of the Valle del Bove. They are not active now

<< etna webcames ( embedded real time images) <<

 
                   

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 14 January-20 January 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

 

Colima Mexico New
Etna Sicily (Italy) New
Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Tonga Islands New
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) New
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) New
Pacaya Guatemala New
Sangay Ecuador New
Soputan Sulawesi (Indonesia) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 7 January-13 January 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) New
Colima Mexico New
Etna Sicily (Italy) New
Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Tonga Islands New
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) New

 

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Asosan Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Fogo Cape Verde Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Kuchinoerabujima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Santa Maria Guatemala Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Sinarka Shiashkotan Island (Russia) Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 
       

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 31 December-6 January 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) New
Etna Sicily (Italy) New
Fogo Cape Verde New
Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Tonga Islands New
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) New
Soputan Sulawesi (Indonesia) New
Tangkubanparahu Western Java (Indonesia) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Slamet Central Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 
       

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 24 December-30 December 2014

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 
 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) New
Colima Mexico New
Etna Sicily (Italy) New
Gamalama Halmahera (Indonesia) New
Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Tonga Islands New
Sabancaya Peru New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Asosan Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Manam Papua New Guinea Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 
       

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
     

 

 

   
       
       
 

 

20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

 

 

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150122  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
            find previous report in archive December 2014  
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150122

 

 

latest RSGA hazard report >
DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

CME IMPACT S CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
increasing ( 20150121)   RADION BURST ( 20150113)         20150121 ( G2 )
+/- 0.1
> disturbance
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:        
source: South polar CH
       
     
 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

The permanent "nested" configuration of two active regions and a coronal hole which is on the same soloar coordinates since at least one year ( I have just not tracked it back further than to May 2014)and which is currently the only but also a constant active region on the solar disc ,is again rotating into view on the Eastern solar limb and is still active and seems to be the source of the protons those now disturb( depress again the integral electron flux and already cause geomagnetic storming. On 20150121 appeared the first of its two major active region ( located near the equator) and was numberd this time provisionally as S 4162 (img 1 >) . S 4162 is still blistering with minor solar flares, those seem to emit now more protons than during the last rotation period , while its major active region further Southeast is already "blinking" with flares behind the eastern limb .

 
click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

CME IMPACT S CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
> M 5 ( 20150113)   RADION BURST ( 20150113)         20150111 ( > index 4)
+/- 0.1
> 100 < 1.000 pfu.
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:        
source: South polar CH
       
     
 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:
20150115: solar activity is low. The electron accumulation from previous solar SEPs in the earth`s magnetic field is still active. Values as measured the electrometers might not represent the real charges, since protons impacts also change the potential of the ground parameter. However- as it seems , since more than one year (!) the long term effects/ potential energies those accumulated with all previous SEPs are first time now nbear to their final discharge . As the hot spots earth tectonic plates are getting cooler now, volcanic acitivities are dercfreasing ( example: Yellowstone caldera)ONE OR SEVERAL STRONG SUBDUCTION QUAKES might likely follow the final discharge, those could reach magititudes up to M 9 and higher That final discharge can be observed on GOES a final sharp drop of the integral electron flux . AI hope,. I will be able this time again to predict the time when the major earthquake events must be expected with an accuracy of 1- 7 days.
 
            find previous report in archive December 2014  
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150114

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

CME IMPACT S CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
> M 5 ( 20150113)   RADION BURST ( 20150113)         20150111 ( > index 4)
+/- 0.1
> 100 < 1.000 pfu.
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:        
source: South polar CH
       
     
 
                     
INTERNAL SEP REPORTS:
SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS
last update: 20140114
PROTONS (PHASE I) ACTIVE ELECTRONS (PHASE II) FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
MINOR SEP on 20141228( > 0.1 > 1,0 pfu.) >disturbance by unknown source ( solar activities?) PRELIMINARY ALERT !
GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS:
VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-) TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere)

COOLING DOWN & CONTRACTION OF THE EARTH MANTLE AND TECTONIC - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.

  > MAJOR AND potential CATATROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
    no NOAA warning available!
 
                 
other related online sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 
SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:    
             

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 
 

 

ANALYSIS/ online sources:
   
ANALYSIS: USAF - daily report on solar and geophysical activity
  NOAA- space weather prediction center

OTHER:

-CODES, TERMINOLOGY AND CLASSIFICATIONS of SUN SPOTS (SIDC)- -Mt Wilson/ Monthly Sunspot Report Legend-

NASA/ INTEGRATED SPACE WEATHER ANALYSIS SYSTEM- Home
click here to find out more about the current NASA/ ESA SOLAR OBSERVATORY PROGRAM (the largest ever in human history) on my page "SOLAR CENTER", that gives you an overview with many usefuls links to NASA/ ESA spacecrafts and webpages with all available archives.
     
RELATED ONLINE SOURCES:
       

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

               
1.2.1 GENERAL SOLAR EVOLUTION/ NOTICES:
     
               
             
             
                 

1.2.2 LATEST MAJOR FLARES, CMEs

find previous report in archive December 2014
   
LAST MAJOR EVENTS>
                     

20150126

20150127: SDO meanwhile transmitted images from the M1 flare in AR 12286on on 20150126 at 16:58 UTC. The event produced a minor but likely proton/ + ion charged CME (image 2 >)

20150126: nested region AR 12286 continues its strange behavior producing short minor proton charged flares all over the day on 20150126. as noted in the recent report, AR 12286 was in September still producing x class flares, those were more or less neutral, but then more and more turned into a proton resp positive ion spewing region . Protons flares are not spectacular as protons just emit no light. But the + charge emitted from AR 12286 is strong enough to hammer again the electron flux down into negative values ( see left side)

onm 20150126 after 18 UTC at time of this updatem a larger M flare was measured by GOES, but SDO has no images yet from the event . STEREO Ahead has mostly blackouts during the past days and STEREO Behind ist again totally out of function and service. the only image STEREO Ahead has submitted in the past days was a larger flare from the Solar Southern polar region late on 20150124 (image 3 right side). SoHO ( Image 4) - still the most reliable solar observer in space submitted images of the event late on Jnauary 24. those show a long duratiion event with a wide angled slow CME emitting form the Southern polar region that also send some comonents towards the Earth. This event might have caused the " electron depression on 20150126.

x- ray flux on 20150126
(2) SDO/ 20150126/ 17:58 UTC:
STEREO ahead/ 20150124/ 23:41 UTC:
   
 

20150122:

The permanent "nested" configuration of two active regions and a coronal hole which is on the same soloar coordinates since at least one year ( I have just not tracked it back further than to May 2014)and which is currently the only but also a constant active region on the solar disc ,is again rotating into view on the Eastern solar limb and is still active and seems to be the source of the protons those now disturb/ depress again the integral electron flux (< img 1) and already cause geomagnetic storming.

On 20150121 appeared the first of its two major active region ( located near the equator) and was numbered this time provisionally as S 4162 (img 2 >) . S 4162 ) is still active with minor solar flares, while its major active region (AR 12286) further Southeast is already "crackling " with flares behind the eastern limb

This region had produced 6 X flares in a row in September 2014, began then- some rotation period later- to emit more and more protons or positive charged ions and seems to emit now more protons than during the last rotation period.This nested region (observed and active since more than 1 year) is an ideal object to study the long time evolutionof such a configuration . This current evolution supports the theory that Sun spots indeed are the source of these mysterious SEPs . They likely consists out of protons- and represent a kind of dark matter thatcould origin from remnant of exploded dead starts or dissolving black holes likely an only can exist in that form in the interplanetary spaceor within the physical environment of a star but not on its planets . If so, AR 12286 would at any time also explode ( being torn apart by the stronger magnetic forces on the sun) what would ( refering to the size and high activity of that region) produce than a major and strong SEP then . Further observation will show wether that theory is true>>

(2) solen.info/ AR and CH on 20150122
GOES/ x ray flux/ 20150120- 22:
(4) AR 12222 on 20141127:
(5)AR 12248 on 20141224
 

 
 

20150115:

20150115: The electron accumulation from previous solar SEPs in the earth`s magnetic field is still active. Values as measured the electrometers might not represent the real charges, since protons impacts also change the potential of the ground parameter. However- as it seems , since more than one year (!) the long term effects/ potential energies those accumulated with all previous SEPs are first time now nbear to their final discharge . As the hot spots earth tectonic plates are getting cooler now, volcanic acitivities are dercreasing ( example: Yellowstone caldera)ONE OR SEVERAL STRONG SUBDUCTION QUAKES might likely follow the final discharge, those could reach magititudes up to M 9 and higher That final discharge can be observed on GOES a final sharp drop of the integral electron flux . AI hope,. I will be able this time again to predict the time when the major earthquake events must be expected with an accuracy of 1- 7 days.
GOES electron flux/ 20150113- 15:
       
         
   

(special& continued report:) THE LARGE AND MYSTERIOUS SOLAR SURFACE REGION THAT HAS A CONFIGURATION THAT REMAINED WIDELY UNCHANGED SINCE at least ONE YEAR!

I yet just traced this large region covering at least a quarter of the solar disc back to May 2011. ( see previous archive reports) This review has shown , that the entire configuration remained almost unchanged since then. On 20141215, the main and mostly only active region on the entire disc, active region 12235 produced an extreme fast filament eruption , AR 12235 is a nested stationary sun spot cluster and forms with another active region and a large coronal hole a very active configuration that persists since at least one year( I have just not traced it further back yet) AR 12235 was AR12209 active during the last rotation period and was AR 12192 two rotation periods earlier, when it produced 4 strong X class flares in a row .The configuration covers more than a quarter of the solar disc and has a kind of gravity center with a coronal hole stretching towards the Northern pole an has also a low spotted area which is also but less active than AR 12235. which is situated 15- 30 ° further in the east . (> images 5 and 6 . During all that time this nested AR was and is only AR on the visible that produced flares and CMEs. Currently the entire configuration seems to be active and produces a type of flaring resp shoots out hot gazes all over the area it covers.. The most active AR in it- AR 12235 became smaller yet during previous periods and then began to grown again., Currently it appears rather small ) . What is it and what does this big are doe next ? Nobody knows...Allthough humans observe the Sun meanwhile day and night, much about our central star is still more a mystery and an still good for some surprises.

( image 4 >) satellite transmissions were repeatedly knocked out between 20141213 and 14 and there was a short rise in integral Proton flux on 20141213/ 6 UTC when values rose to 2,5 pfu until 20141216/ 00 , when vaklues were back again at +/- 0.1 pfu. as usual . But satellite imagery that needs light to make any image cannot cover those proton events and where these SEPs actually occure. However,: STEREO with its infra red usually can at least cover secondary events ( the protons do accelerate and heat up gazes on the solar surface those emit then ) such are gazes hgeated up after the proton explosion by highest accelerated protons. Butr also Stereo has a transmission blackout on December 13 and 14. theavailable images show an intensive flaring activity on the front side . STEREO also observed a strong type of filament eruption heading from the North Polar solar region ( image 4 >)

We might either get a new SEP soon ( an event that comes more or less out of nowhere) or the effects of the previous SEPs will come to an end: When the current electron accumulation ( which is still exceeding temporarely 1.000 pfu.) will drop, as now further SEP has occured during the past 6 weeks , the earth mantle heated up by these SEPs will cool down and STRONG SUBDUCTION quakes will accompony that process.however: magma intrusion creates something like holes ( aou also can call that underpresssure or defizits) within the earth mantle , So the intensive magma intrusion we can observe onm a global scalesince some years will be logically be always accomponied/ followed by subduction quakes, by those new material is pulled- "dives down" into the earth mantle is melted there and will equalize that defizit.( more see right column)>

 

(1) SDO/ 20141214/ 22:24 UTC
(2) 20121212/ 05:08 UTC
(3 GOES shows a slight increase of integral proton Flux during the events on 201212- 20121215:
(4) STEREO AHEAD: strong filament eruption on 20121212/ 06:51 UTC:
 
 

(5) STAR MAP on 20121210 by solen.info

(6)STAR MAP on 2014121113 ( one rotation period earlier!)      
   
 
To find d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
       
                   
click here for previous solar events logs and reports ( December 2014)
     
   
b                      
 
                   
1.2.3. SOLAR SEPs/ SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA::
        find previous report in archive December 2014    

20140115: The solar surface was yet very quite in January 2015. Solar activities those are significant for the sun spot cycle max have further decreased since the activity had its last max in March 2013. AR 12260 and 12262 on the western limb became some active during the last days and one single flare exceeding M 5 class on 20150113/ after 03 UTC ( images 1- 3 below)

 
(1) SDO/ 20150113/ 04:38 UTC (2) SDO/ 20150113/ 04:53 IUTC GOES/ x ray flux/ 20150113- 20150115:              
               
                     

 

 

               
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
 

 

 

               
1.3 SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS
                 
   
           
                     
                   
                   
                     
               

 

 

                   
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY NOVEMBER- 2014)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previous month- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ^click on this map to open it in a new tab, then click on the requested region : a more detailled view of the region will be loaded...      

 

 

 

 

 

 

DETAILED REPORT OF LATEST MAJOR SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES ( updated only during major events, such as major flares CMEs or SEPs)

   

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       

AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !

means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013

 
     

 

 

               
                 

2015

MONTH

JANUARY

DAY:

none yet xx

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

201412

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

 

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)  

FLARES >

C

   

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

 

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:    

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:    

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity >    
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
                   
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
               
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX back to normal

 

ELECTRON FLUX  

 

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES 3 day sat environment ( combined plot) GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* integral proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

         

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
       
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD +06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field  
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA PARTICLE ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:
     

20141106

20141107

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

     
s 2 PROTON STORM;

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX           TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:
       

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

       

GEOMAGNETIC STORM/ K INDEX > 4

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

       
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS        
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
               
         
                       
PREVIOUS 1 DAY REPORTS / CURRENT MONTH ( updated during significant activities only)
                 

2014

MONTH

SEPTEMBER

DAY:

06

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140905

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

124

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

340-419

FLARES >

C

22

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

144

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

C 1.1

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

80- 140 nT

CME IMPACT

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12157 60° E 13° S DHC/ EKC          
 
  12158 68° E 14° N CKO/ DKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH 634 CENTRAL/ NORTH GROWING   20140905- 06    
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX INCREASED

RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -09 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 11 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

20140906

20140907

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal back to normal   NONE TYPE II/ IV TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1.000 < 25.000 pfu (+) >4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) dropping after new sEP  

G1 (expected)

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>100< 450 (-) >220 > 750 () rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
       

20140906/ 25: 24 UTC

20140904

LARGE FILAMENT ERUPTION ON NORTHERN SOLAR HEMISPHERE

 
         
                       
                       
alt
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

 

       
         
         

 

 

       
click here for: LATEST SIGNIFICANT SOLAR EVENTS ( earth directed CMEs, SEPs, satellite images and data)
       
WEEKLY SATELLITE REVIEW OF SOLAR ACTIVITIES (AR, flares, CMEs, SEPs)
   
     
LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT/ EVOLUTION

SEPTEMBER 2014

                 
   
LOGS:                    
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 17:45 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

20140910/ 17:45 UTC ERUPTION TYPE: X 1 flare at 17:45 uTC FULLY HALO CME estimated CME arrrival: 20140912      
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR CME/ SEP EVENT LOG :  
       

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 

20140910/ 19:03 (NOAA*)

 
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
AR 12158.  
SUN COORDINATES:
  20140910/ 19:54 UTC 20140911/ 00:30 UTC         PROTON IMPACT: after 21 UTC   02° E- 16° N  
               
* SEP eruption time= time of 10 cm RADIO BURST
 
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 18:59 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

  ERUPTION TYPE:            
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (04) SDO/ AIA (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR SEP EVENT LOG :  
   

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 
20140901/prior to 11: 54?  
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
NORTH POLAR SOLAR REGION  
SUN COORDINATES:
20140901/ 18:59 UTC (SEP) 20140901/ 12:42 20140901/ 10:51 UTC 20140902/ 08:36 UTC 20140901/ 11:54 UTC Proton impact on NASA D-RAP (20140902/ 23UTC)          
                   
     
 

 

 

 

       

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             
LATEST SOLAR SEPS ARTICLE EVENTS: ACCELERATED PROTONS/ ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS : ( event logs)  
SEP EVENT/ event logs this log represents the latest event evolution of terrestrial SEP impacts- earlier events are archived here. NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays  
 
 

ACTIVE SOLAR SEP/ LOG

latest significant SEP >> /20141101/ time: unknown MEDIUM > 1 > 10 pfu. ( 4 days) CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE PARTICLES >> PHASE I (PROTONS) PHASE II (> 10 MeV ELECTRONS)
PHASE III (DISCHARGE)
 
           
previous, accumulated SEPs >> 201400910/ after 18 UTC 20140825/ 18 UTC 20140405/ 12 UTC 20140227 ( X 1.2)  

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS/ CURRENT STATE    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20141101/ time: unknown 201409011/ after 15UTC 20141106/ 00 UTC > 1 < 10 pfu. unknown      
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20141021/ 07 UTC ongoing   20141023/ 18.000 pfu exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141021/ 14 UTC    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20140910/ after 11UTC 201409010/ 18:15 UTC 20140914/ 09 UTC > 1 < 100 pfu.        
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140922/ 10:30 ongoing     exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141001    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION AR 12151/20140901/ after 11UTC 20140901/ after 21 UTC ongoing > 1 < 10 pfu. very low ( 1.000- 3000 km/ s first event in records with unusually extreme slow protons    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140901 ongoing > 10 MeV ELectrons Y 1.000 pfu fluctuating first time that proton and electrons both exceed treshold levels- interrupted by new SEP on 20140910    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION not evaluated yet 20140825/ after 18 UTC 20140827( 00 UTC low (+/- 1 pfu. ( 10 x)   electron breakdown    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
interrupted by new SEP latent ---- > 1.000 pfu. 20140831    
                     
 

 

 

   
PREVIOUS SOLAR SEPS AND SEP SERIALS, those are still active ( effective and interfer/ accumulate ):
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >
 
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160802      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160717      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160618      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140423/ 17 UTC 20140429/00UTC knocked down by protons
20140429/ 00 UTC. E flux was knocked bylate proton activity (SEP/ 20140418)
20140425/ 13 UTC > 1.000 pfu

(20140425/ 13 UTC

 
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
(20140421/ 15 UTC rising
20140426/ 15 UTC > 100.000 pfu
---

(20140421/ 15 UTC

 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140507/ 19 UTC 20140711 low ( > 01. < 0.8 pfu)   electron breakdown  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140418/ after 13 UTC 201404210/ 09 UTC > about 60 pfu. near the speed of light 20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit-  
             

meaning of background colors>

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event        
} orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects
       
         
         
 

 

 

 
CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks  
ELECTRON EFFECTS>

20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.

The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.

might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!

20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space

20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks

20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.

Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes.

 
orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects  
SEP EVENT HISTORY :
   
20140418/
13:19 UTC
complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly
 
20140413- 16
 
The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416
 
20140405
after 12 UTC
Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event
 
20140325
08 UTC
Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.
 
20140317
 
Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.
 
     
20140228
 
Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"
 
                       
                       
 

 

 

   
                       
         
 

 

 

 

 
EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EVENTS: VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKES FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES, GLACIAL MELTDOWN METHANHYDRATES - ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
 

 

 

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
 

 

 

 

 
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obvioulsy something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"    

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

 

VARIOUS:

 

 
( September 2014:) Aerial Iceland volcano footage: Lava fountains, huge smoke clouds

 

 

 

 
                       
                       

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

provided by:

alien-homepage.de
Impressum/contact

 

----------------------------

 

 

APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have strongest related and signiciant geophysical effects.

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I dont expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluationas as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ,this documentary has focussed on, as being the strongest and most geoeffective known type of solar event) do happen MOST frequently during the solar max, but are als present in the same strength all 11 years in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany