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23.04.2015
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last updated on
2014

APRIL 23 at: 19: 30 UTC

ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!
important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2015 >

                     

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
    click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2014            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

APRIL 2015

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B)

scientific reviews/ NASA solar project(as far as available)

NASA:

unknown
earlier:
 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
3. LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG: special reports    
- find previous events in the "recent event history" below and in myarchives!
 

 

 

 

 
    NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
LATEST EVENTS ( at time of this update)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

APRIL

2015

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     find previous report in archive December 2014    
       
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
         

20150420: New giant crater appears in Siberia

20150410: Around 150 dolphins stranded northeast of Tokyo, Japan

                 

Sibirian-. times/ 20150420: New giant crater appears in Siberia

The latest crater to appear in Siberia measures around 20 metres in diameter and around 25-to-30 metres in depth. Its sudden appearance in recent days close to Novokuznetsk region is around 3,500 kilometres from other craters found in Arctic Russia in recent months. Initial theories suggest mining subsidence caused the collapse, but locals remain concerned about methane gas in the disused shafts. They have been told to avoid fires amid concern over methane leaks. The hole was spotted by Rinat Sharifullin, whose house is 100 metres away. He immediately called to the Emergency Ministry. The gaping crevice was fenced and specialists have now filled it using soil from an adjacent hill. Despite this, the crater is causing concern among locals. Rinat's wife Natalia said: 'We need to move from here. Under our garden are mines, too, and the site nearby was once the entrance to a mine. In the 1990s it was closed and the ground was filled in.' There has been no comment from the Emergencies Ministry or the regional government on the cause of the hole. Apparently, another smaller hole is nearby which was filled with water. ...read more...

<< Very large and spectacular earthflow in Russia

/the watchers/ 20150421) Lyrid meteor shower peaks on April 23, 2015

 

the watchers/ 20150410: Around 150 dolphins stranded northeast of Tokyo, Japan

Around 150 dolphins were found stranded on the Hokota beach in Ibaraki prefecture, about 100 km northeast of Tokyo, Japan on April 10, 2015. Some dolphins, mostly melon-headed whales (also known as electra dolphins) or blackfish were found alive, but were extremely weak. Rescuers were able to save only three of them before the darkness fell and local officials in Hokota called off the rescue efforts. The rest of the animals had either died or were dying. ABC news reports: A journalist at the scene said that despite efforts to get the dolphins into the water, some were being pushed back onto the beach by the tide soon after they had been released. The pod was stretched out along a roughly 10-kilometre-long stretch of beach in Hokota, Ibaraki, where they had been found by locals early on Friday morning [April 10, 2015]. "We see one or two whales washing ashore a year, but this may be the first time to find over 100 of them on a beach," a coastguard official said. A cetacean expert at the National Museum of Nature and Science told NHK television that the dolphins may have had a physiological or psychological problem and faced an unknown threat and panicked, before becoming stranded.... read more...

remark: the incident that occured during a major G" geomagnetic storm- indicates again, as many before- that most of the dolphinor whale strandings might be related to the current G2 gemomagnetic storm, by which whales and dolphiny loose orientation.

BOULDER – The Sun undergoes a type of seasonal variability, with its activity waxing and waning over the course of nearly two years, according to a new study by a team of researchers led by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). This behavior affects the peaks and valleys in the approximately 11-year solar cycle, sometimes amplifying and sometimes weakening the solar storms that can buffet Earth’s atmosphere.

The quasi-annual variations appear to be driven by changes in the bands of strong magnetic fields in each solar hemisphere. These bands also help shape the approximately 11-year solar cycle that is part of a longer cycle that lasts about 22 years.

“What we’re looking at here is a massive driver of solar storms,” said Scott McIntosh, lead author of the new study and director of NCAR’s High Altitude Observatory. “By better understanding how these activity bands form in the Sun and cause seasonal instabilities, there’s the potential to greatly improve forecasts of space weather events.... read more...

A “JET STREAM” IN THE SUN

The new study is one of a series of papers by the research team that examines the influence of the magnetic bands on several interrelated cycles of solar magnetism. In a paper last year in Astrophysical Journal, the authors characterized the approximately 11-year sunspot cycle in terms of two overlapping parallel bands of opposite magnetic polarity that slowly migrate over almost 22 years from high solar latitudes toward the equator, where they meet and terminate.

McIntosh and his co-authors detected the twisted, ring-shaped bands by drawing on a host of NASA satellites and ground-based observatories that gather information on the structure of the Sun and the nature of solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). These observations revealed the bands in the form of fluctuations in the density of magnetic fuel that rose from the solar interior through a transition region known as the tachocline and on to the surface, where they correlated with changes in flares and CMEs.

In the new paper, the authors conclude that the migrating bands produce seasonal variations in solar activity that are as strong as t... read more...

 

 
           
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
         
2014020: STRONGER M 6.6 SEAQUAKE NEAR TAIWAN/ stronger activity also in Mediterranean sea and near AZORES ISLANDS
Inhalt

20150420/ Powerful quake hits Taiwan and Japan, tsunami warning lifted

One man died and another was hospitalised Monday after a fire caused by a powerful quake off Taiwan that set buildings shaking in the capital Taipei and sparked a short-lived tsunami warning in far southwestern Japan. Japanese forecasters had warned the 6.6 magnitude earthquake could cause a tsunami as high as one metre (three feet) affecting several islands in the Okinawa chain. But they lifted the alert around an hour later, with no abnormal waves recorded. No damage was reported in Japan, but a four-storey apartment building in New Taipei City caught fire after an electrical box outside the block exploded in the quake. A 65-year-old man who lived in the building "showed no signs of life" at the scene, the fire service said....read more...

             

 

Earthquake report/ 20150420:          
PTWC Apr 20 01:51 6.6 0 MAP I Felt It
WCATWC Taiwan Region Apr 20 01:43 6.6 1 MAP I Felt It
  • Taipei - Mein erstes Erdbeben, aber auch die anwesenden Taiwanesen waren "unentspannt". Vom Tisch ist nichts gefallen, aber das Aquarium im Vorraum ist übergeschwappt. Beim Blick aus dem Fenster hat man ganz deutlich das Schwanken des Gebäudes gesehen. Wir waren nur im 4. Stock, aber es war sehr unangenehm.
  • Taipei - Keine Schäden bekannt
  • USGS Hualian, Taiwan Apr 20 01:43 6.6 1 MAP I Felt It
    USGS Su'ao, Taiwan Apr 20 01:42 6.4 29 MAP I Felt It
    EMSC Taiwan Region Apr 20 01:42 6.6 30 MAP I Felt It INFO
  • Taipei - Slow rocking back and forth. Lasted about 60-90 seconds.
  • taipei - No property damage. Some light structural damage - water leaking from ceiling.
  • New Taipei City - Comme une souris dans une boîte qu'on secourait très fort de droite à gauche. Aucun dommage matériel au alentour, circulation reprise normal, juste après l'arrêt de la secousse 
  •                        
                           
                           
                           

     

     
    LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
                   
                       
                       

    RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

    note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

    update/ last known event

    20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
    LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
     
    INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
    LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
     
    DEPTH >
       
     
    TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
    EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
    .
     
    STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
    WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                           
     
       

    ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES/ CURRENT MONTH:

    Inhalt

     

     

         
    ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
    Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
    EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                       

     

     

         
    MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
    GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
    DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

     

     

    EPICENTER/ MAP

     
    EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
    M 6.6 - TAIWAN REGION - 2015-04-20 01:42:59 UTC
    LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
    24.18 N ; 122.44 E
    DEPTH >
    30 km    

     

     

     

                 
    MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
    GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
    DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

     

     

    EPICENTER/ MAP

     
    EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
    M 6.3 - TONGA - 2015-04-07 00:46:18 UTC
    LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
    15.30 S ; 173.31 W
    DEPTH >
    10 km    

     

     

     

                 
    MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
    GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
    DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

     

     

    EPICENTER/ MAP

     
    EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
    M 6.0 - FIJI REGION - 2015-04-02 04:10:08 UTC
    LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
    17.93 S ; 178.47 W
    DEPTH >
    539 km    

     

     

     

                 
    MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
    GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
    DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

     

     

    EPICENTER/ MAP

     
    EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
     
    LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
     
    DEPTH >
           

     

     

     

                 

     

     

         

     

     

         

     

     

         
    EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

    TECTONICS:

    FREQUENCY/ TYPE

    REGION*

    EPICENTER:

    NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

    EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

    KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

    N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

    "B"

    EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    - EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

    PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

    "B"

    EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

    (REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

    EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

    "A"

    EPICENTER      

    (MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

    AFRICA >< EURASIA  

    "E"

    EPICENTER 01 M 3.4 - BALEARIC ISLANDS, SPAIN - 2015-04-09 11:31:32 UTC  
            EPICENTER more than 10 x > M 2 (in entire mediterranean sea) M 4.6 - CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA - 2015-04-19 22:09:43 UTC  

    > WESTERN TURKEY

          EPICENTER      

    ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

    AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

    "F"

    EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

    - AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

    EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

     

    "E"

    EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

    N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

    "E"/"F

    EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

    EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

    "E"

    this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
            EPICENTER 01 M 2.6 - GERMANY - 2015-04-06 02:01:06 UTC  
        near Koblenz   EPICENTER 01 M 2.1 - GERMANY - 2015-04-14 21:28:33 UTC  
                   

    CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

    N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

    "E"

    EPICENTER 01 M 2.5 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2015-04-07 23:53:12 UTC  
            EPICENTER 01 M 2.7 - CANARY ISLANDS, SPAIN REGION - 2015-04-07 15:58:04 UTC  
            EPICENTER 3x > M 3.0 M 4.6 - AZORES ISLANDS, PORTUGAL - 2015-04-19 22:02:20 UTC  

     

          EPICENTER      

    (Mnt Barbardunga/ iceland - NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

    N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

    "E"

    EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

    CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

    N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

    "E"

    EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

    N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS continuing since 2010-

    "C"

    EPICENTER      

    PANAMERICA

    N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

    "C"

    EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

    PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

    "D"

    EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

    SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

     

          EPICENTER      

    CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

    NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

    "D"

    EPICENTER      

    ANTARCTICA REGION

      magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

    YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

    N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

    "C"

    EPICENTER      

    EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

     

    UNCLEAR ACTIVITY "C" EPICENTER   20150411: CONTINUIUNG WITH 2- 3 quakes per day with magnitudes around M 3  
        INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER      

    EARTHQUAKEACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

    N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014) "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
            EPICENTER 06 x > M 2.0 M 4.3 - BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO - 2015-04-08 19:23:15 UTC  
            EPICENTER 2 x M 3.1 - GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIF. - 2015-04-04 14:54:45 UTC  
            EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

    NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

    NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

    "C"

    EPICENTER      
            EPICENTER      

    yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

    *"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
         
         
    ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

    3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

    LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

     

    EXPLANATIONS>

    Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

    Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

    Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

     

    HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

    INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

    STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

    The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

     

    REGIONS

    REGION "A"

    REGION "B"(1)

    REGION "B"(2)

    REGION "C"

    REGION" D"

    REGION "E" (1)

    REGION "E" (2)

    REGION "F"

     

    REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

    EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

    WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

    GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

    , EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

    CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

    INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

     

    RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

    WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

    NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

    NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

    NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

    AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

    EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

    N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

    EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

     

    UTC TIME ZONES >

    ..

    ....

    ..

    ...

    ...

    ...

    ...

    ..

     

    LONGITUDES>

    135° E- 90° E

    135° E- 180°

    180° - 135° W

    90° W- 135° W

    45° W- 90° W

    45° W - 00° W

    00° W- 45° E

    45° E- 90° E

     

         
                 
     
                 
    • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
           

    20150407: Power surge with subsequent TRANSFORMER FIRE knocks out electrical service in parts of D.C. region

    20150408" comparition of geomagnetic conditions during five recent air traffivc incidents 20150403: it already happened once and exactly in the same way! The similarities to LAM Mozambique Airlines Flight 470 that crashed with the speed of sound in 2013

    20150403: Investigators say: First examination of FDR (Flight Data Recorder) confirms theory that Lubitz downed the plane intentedly...

     

    ABC/ 20150408:Transformer explosion caused electric grid surge, triggered outages across D.C. and Md.

    WASHINGTON (WJLA/AP) - Widespread power outages affected the White House, the Capitol, Smithsonian museums, Metrorail stations, the University of Maryland and other sites across Washington and its Maryland suburbs Tuesday afternoon - all because of an explosion at an electrical station, officials said. Read more: http://www.wjla.com/articles/2015/04/breaking-news-major-power-outages-impacting-d-c-and-maryland-112984.html#ixzz3WhcHBQ4U Follow us: @ABC7News on Twitter | WJLATV on Facebook... read more...

    Washington Post/ 20150408:Power surge knocks out electrical service in parts of D.C. region

    A piece of metal breaking loose from a power line 43 miles southeast of the District momentarily knocked out electricity to the White House, State Department and wide swaths of the nation’s capital and Maryland suburbs early Tuesday afternoon.

    But many in the city barely noticed.

    The outage threw scores of public and private office buildings off the grid, but in most cases, the lights stayed on because backup generators kicked in.

    That wasn’t true everywhere. A dozen people were trapped in stalled elevators, passengers were left searching for exits in darkened underground Metro stations, and a building full of Department of Energy employees and the main campus of the University of Maryland closed their doors. Thousands of visitors at Smithsonian museums on the Mall had to leave for hours. While the outage caused little more than a blip for many others, it took most of the afternoon to fully restore electricity.

    COMPARITION OF GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS DURING 4 MAJOR AIRPLANE INCIDENTS BETWEEN 2013 and 2015: (click on graphs to enlarge them)

     

     

     

    MOst complete coverage of the events I found on CNN : ( just run the first video until it ends! It will automatically continue with the previous report and so on:

    (CNN/ 20140324- 20150403) Germanwings 'black box' shows co-pilot Andreas Lubitz sped up descent

    BBC/ 20150327: Germanwings: Crash leaves many unanswered questions

    Why did Lubitz do this?

    Writing in the Times, Jennifer Wild, a psychologist at the University of Oxford, says that the irrational thinking evident from Lubitz's actions in the cockpit may have been triggered by depression, possibly caused by a recent traumatic episode. "Perhaps in his state he did not consider the consequences of his actions, or perhaps he did not care because he was consumed with ending his life," she writes, adding that drug-taking or a bout of extreme anger may also explain his actions.

    The crash also raises questions about the cockpit door mechanism which Lubitz used to keep the pilot out. The system, which allows a pilot to over-ride the coded entry mechanism on the outside of the door, was designed in the event of a terrorist emergency. Airlines are going to have to balance those concerns against the possibility that individuals like Andreas Lubitz might decide to do harm, says the BBC's transport correspondent Richard Westcott.

    ... read all...

    based on the data of the airplane`s latest course and acceleration ( which considers and is based just on little part of the flight data) investigators say they have found evidence confirming their suspicion but also seem to have came yet also to their final conclusion

    20150403: First examination sof Flight Data recorder confirms theory that Lubith downed the plane intentedly

    (from BBC/ 20150403)

    Data from the second 'black box' flight recorder belonging to the Germanwings plane that crashed in the French Alps confirms that the co-pilot acted deliberately, investigators say. The French BEA crash investigation agency said Andreas Lubitz repeatedly accelerated the plane's descent. The second flight recorder from the plane was recovered on Thursday. All 150 people on board the flight from Barcelona to Duesseldorf on 24 March were killed. "A first reading shows that the pilot in the cockpit used the automatic pilot to put the airplane on a descent towards an altitude of 100ft (30m)," the BEA said in a statement on Friday. "Then several times the pilot modified the automatic pilot settings to increase the speed of the airplane as it descended," it added. Earlier findings from the cockpit voice recorder suggested Lubitz locked the pilot out of the cockpit. On Thursday, German prosecutors said the co-pilot had researched suicide methods and the security of cockpit doors on the internet the week before the crash....read more...

    the similarities to LAM Mozambique Airlines Flight 470

    (by: CNN/ 20150327) Deliberate acts: 5 cases of pilots intentionally crashing( Mozambique Airlines Flight 470 (November 29, 2013) The lives of 27 passengers and six crew members were lost when the plane crashed in the Bwabwata game park in northeastern Namibia. The plane started losing altitude at 38,000 feet and went down swiftly, Namibia's Civil Aviation Department told CNN when the crash happened. The flight was en route from Maputo, Mozambique, to Angola. According to ASN, the crash happened after the co-pilot left the cockpit to go to the bathroom. The captain then manually changed the plane's settings to begin the rapid descent, ASN reported. The cockpit voice recorder captured the sounds of someone pounding on the cockpit door, according to ASN. The reasons behind the captain's actions remain unknown.

    (wikipedia) Aircraft] The aircraft involved in the incident was an Embraer 190 with manufacturer serial number 581, registered as C9-EMC and named "Chaimite". Built in October 2012, it was first delivered to LAM Mozambique Airlines in November 2012 and had since accumulated 2905 flight hours in 1877 flight cycles.[6] It was powered by two General Electric CF34-10E engines.[7] The airframe and the engines were last inspected on 28 November 2013, one day before the crash.

    INCIDENT: The aircraft was cruising at an altitude of 38,000 feet (11,600 m) over Botswana airspace about halfway between Maputo and Luanda when it began to lose altitude abruptly. The aircraft descended rapidly at a rate of about 100 feet (30 m) per second and was being tracked on radar.[8] The aircraft's track was lost from screens at 3,000 feet (900 m) above sea level, after about six minutes of losing altitude.[8] The last contact with air traffic control was made at 13:30 CAT (11:30 UTC) over northern Namibia during heavy rainfall.[9] Weather was reported to be poor at the time of the incident with heavy rainfalls in the vicinity of the flight path.

     

    To the explanation of Lufthansa Flight LH1172 plummeting towards earth in southern France barely a fortnight ago, we can further read from the Airliner Reporter article titled Catching a Lufthansa Airbus A321’s Rapid Descent Live which, in part, says:

    “There were a few moments where I thought I may have been watching a crash of some sort occur in real-time, from thousands of miles away. But thankfully, the pilots were just quick acting, and diverted to a nearby airport.

    Lufthansa confirmed to AirlineReporter.com that LH1172 had 151 passengers on board and the captain decided to stopover in Nantes (NTE), France, “due to a medical case (sick passenger).” They confirmed that there was no emergency requested and that the aircraft landed safely.”

    Unlike Lufthansa Flight LH1172 before it, however, this MoD report continues, Germanwings Flight 9525, yesterday, wasn’t able to recover from its rapid descent…instead it was obliterated in tens-of-thousands of pieces of metal and human flesh upon the side of a mountain in southern France.

    OTHER TECHNICAL INCIDENTS:

    LONDON UNDERGROUND GAS FIRE:

    (BBC) Holborn fire: Firemen will work 'most of the night'

    (cited) Apologising to customers Matt Rudling, from the firm, said: "The gas is still burning under there and until we can gain access to that particular area we won't understand what's caused it and what we can do."... read more...

    Differently to that German State TV had reported the incident as a " cable fire"

     

    20150330: GERMANWINGS ABSTURZ: keine TREIBSTOFFEXPLOSION KEINERLEI VERKOHLTEN TEILE - keine SPUR vom KEROSIN! IST DIE MASCHINE EINFACH ABGESTÜRZT WEIL DER SPRIT ZU ENDE WAR ?

    Mit Geld lässt sich offenbar doch so manches an Trauer und Schmerz kompensieren aber: was wir da an angeblichen "Ermittlungen" erleben ist eine absprache zwischen Politik/ Justiz, Airlinebetreiber und der alleruntersten schmier und dreckwerfer presse die das land zu bieten hat, die in ihrer Art und Weise trotz aller schlimmen Hetzkampagnen die das Land bereits in der Vergangenheit auf dem kerbholz hat , mit zum ekelhaftesten zählt was ich mir hier je mitansehen musste)Ermittlungen die schamlos vor der ganzen Welt als Zeuge überhaupt nur nach solchen indizien sucht und nur noch solche bewertet (und seien sie auch noch so gering!!) welche die These des Selbstmordattentäters in gestalt des Copilioten Andreas Lobitz unterstützen, aber alle anderen offenkundigen Standardfragen und feststellungen die man selbst als fernsehzuschauer gewohnheitsmäßig abckeckt gar nicht erst nachgeht oder aber sie bewussst übergeht und ignoriert. So wurde gestern zwar eine weitere salamischeibe aus dem Voice recorder nachgereicht, nach der der Pilot an der verschlossenenn türe gesagt hätte " mach die verdammte Türe auf" Ein "aha" Gefühl kommt da lange noch nicht auf und man frägt sich nur was das alles letztlich für ein Zweck verfolgt. .Dieser ausschließich verfolgte Verdacht ist außer wenigen nicht eindeutigen Indizien derzeit in keiner Weise auch nur annähernd bewiesen und dürfte als solcher gar nicht erst geäußert werden solange die Daten des Flight Rekorders nicht zur Verfügung stehen und eindeutig beweisen dass die wesentlichen für den reibungslosen Flug erforderlichen Bestandteile des Flugzeug zum Zeitpunkt des Zwischenfalls auch wirklich funktionstüchtig waren. und funktionierten Trotzdem tut jeder so als ob es wahr bzw bewiesen wäre. und die Politik schlachtet den Vorfall bereits als eine art deutschen 911 aus. Doch kaum jemand hat vor lauter amok bemerkt , dass beim absturz keinerlei explosion des Treibstoffes auftrat - keines der Teile die man auf den zahlreichen Photos sieht weist irgendwelche Brandspuren auf Auch am Felsen selbst und am Boden ist nix zu entdecken , keine kokelnden Teile wie sonst üblich , das Flugzeug- sollte es ausreichend betankt gewesen sein hätte bein aufprall noch mindestens 2/ 3 des Treibstoffes in den Tanks haben müssen und die hätten bei der aufprallgeschwindigkeit einen gigantischen feuerball erzeugt. Dass der Treibstoff dabei nicht explodieren würde ist zu 99 % ausgeschlossen und würde u.A. voraussetzen, dass auch die Triebwerke abgeschaltet waren . man suchte auch gar nicht nicht nach kerosin im Boden um die Unglückstelle und in der knappe Woche die seit dem Absturz vergangen sind , wäre solches beim aufprall nicht explodierende Kerosin wohl längst verdunstet id. h die Spur bereits kalt . Pflanzen um die stelle müssten allerdings spuren zeigen und würde wohl in den nächsten wochen daran eingehen. Um in der schnellschußlogik der ermittler und presse zubleiben wäre das FLUGZZEUG ALSO PRAKTISCH ABGESTÜRZT WEIL ES KEINEN SPRIT MEHR HATTE- SO EI(NFACH!! ANMERKUNG das Flugzeug hatte nach 30 Minuten nicht einmal ein Drittel der Strecke zurückgelegt (Flugzeit optimal: ca 80 Minuten) was wohl bedeutet dass sie beim Anflug auf die Alpen stärkerern Gegenwind hatte uncorrected

    20150329: Germanwings BILD und NS24 geben bekannt: " FLIGHT DATA RECORDER WIRD VIELLEICHT NIEMALS GEFUNDEN WERDEN" , ohne dendahintersteckenden Hokuspokus aber näher zu erklären...

    l PS Now- the page is suddenly back online again. However i copied it yesterday while it was deleted or removed to have that proof for. so- if no human influence just another computer failure!!

     

    I THINK: .The dual system of a computer would be the most perfect calculation machine theoretically unable to make a mistake. But its far away from anything suggested in startrek enterprise) the reason why it makes mistakes maybe hardware disfunctions ( means bad or shabby builtt hardware) some unexpected anomalies in the computers environment ( such as the missing of safety functions against overvoltages, electric shocks or electron accumulation) or software mistakes such as by microgates who same as the apple founder not even had completed their university IT studies before they started to builtt what experts still call the "largest virus in the world" all MS operating system one can use hardly one year after that more and more in it crashes or freezes in and the operating system has to be installed again..

    The report about the function of the cockpit door at the end of that posting I found yesterday at euronews (and luckily copied at least the important parts of the  text message. It was soon deleted when I yesterday evening tried to bring that to discussion at euronews and german State TV)  Its in german .So I post it here originally that everybody sees that it is the original message: IT says, that: EVEN  IF THE COPILOT INSIDE THE COCKPIT WOULD HAVE  LOCKED THE DOOR by that switch (that disables the code entry by pilot and  crew with an emergency code),THE DOOR WOULD EACH 5 Minutes later AUTOMATICALLY OPEN for 10 seconds. BUT OBVIOUSLY IT DIDN`T!!!!

    THat would indicate cleary a computer failure.

    however if information on that euronews page deleted yesterday would have been (un-) intendedly false, noone would delete such a page than but would be even obliged rather to correct the false information in it

    So- lets summarize: As we know: (source: BBC) that briefing between pilot an co  was finished at 9:20 GMT, Soon  after- so the French prosecutor- the pilot went to the toilet (for how long exactl?) . So- if the Co pilot wants INTENDEDLY to lock him out,  he would try to to that soon after the pilot had left .HOWEVER:  the pilot came back minutes later and tried then until that time when the plane crashed to GET INSIDE : The plane crashed some after 9:40 UTC. this would be up to  20 MInutes (!!!) after the DOOR WAS LOCKED. So in this time , that door - due to the euronews report-  would have been unlocked automatically ( and WITHOUT ANYONE ON THE PLANE COULD INFLUENCE THAT!) at least 3 times for 10 seconds proior to that tima when the plane than actually crashed   BUT IT DID NOT A clear proof that all that was a COMPUTER Failure !!

    ( possibly and that theory is what I am following in my  solar report on my homepage)  by an electric charge caused by an electrons accumulation/ storm with an value for the > 2.0 MeV Electrons  reaching 10.000 pfu on these days) such an electrone accumulation/  charge would change the potential and the current would drop: all devices could stop abruptly and at the same time.

    ihttp://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/plots/electron/20150325_electron.gif

    Ask also whether a sinkng flight at that rate  possible anyway Its seems rather to have been a  plummet after a so called "Stall" thanks: here the original text from that page that was deleted yesterday after I tried to bring that to discussion:

    Der geborgene Stimmrekorder enthält Geräusche, die nach Meinung der Ermittler darauf hindeuten, dass Besatzungsmitglieder in den letzten Minuten vor dem Absturz versuchten, die Cockpit-Tür gewaltsam zu öffnen. Nach den Flugzeugentführungen am 11. September 2001, bei denen die Terroristen die Cockpits stürmten, wurden zusätzliche Sicherheitsmaßnahmen installiert, um das Eindringen Unbefugter zu verhindern. Normalerweise gibt die Besatzung einen Code ein, um sich Zutritt zum Cockpit zu verschaffen. Von innen wird die Tür dann per Knopfdruck entriegelt. Wird die Tür nicht entriegelt, wird die Cockpit-Besatzung per Gegensprechanlage aufgefordert zu öffnen. Für den Fall, dass Pilot, Kopilot oder beide das Bewusstsein verloren haben oder aus einem sonstigen Grund die Tür nicht öffnen können, verfügt die Besatzung über einen Notfallcode. Wird dieser eingegeben, ertönt zunächst ein akustisches Signal. Anschließend ist die Tür für 30 Sekunden entriegelt. Allerdings kann diese Notfallautomatik im Cockpit ausgeschaltet werden. In diesem Fall kann die Tür fünf Minuten lang ausschließlich von innen geöffnet werden, danach ist sie für zehn Sekunden freigegeben :

    http://de.euronews.com/2015/03/26/wie-konnte-sich-der-kopilot-im-cockpit-einschliessen//

    WIESO MUSSTE MAN DANN- KURZ VOR DEM AUFPRALL ALSO NACH DEN 5 MINUTEN (??) VERSUCHEN GEWALTSAM ZU ÖFFNEN?

    auch sehr interessant: Rätselhafte Äußerung von Lufthansa-Vizepräsidentin zu Unglücksflug 4U9525: Heike Birlenbach, Vizepräsidentin für Vertrieb und Marketing Europa, wurde von einer Journalistin mit offenbar spanischem Akzent auf Englisch gebeten, Informationen über das Flugzeug zu wiederholen, die auf einer Pressekonferenz von Germanwings gegeben worden waren. Ihre erste Antwort lautete „Beg your pardon?“ („Entschuldigen Sie bitte!“) Das kann sich auf die Akustik bezogen haben. Nachdem die Bitte um Informationen über das Flugzeug wiederholt wurde, antwortet sie: „I cannot comment on this“ (“Dazu kann ich keinen Kommentar abgeben”) und wandte sich an ihren Assistenten. Offenbar ohne zu bedenken, dass die Pressekonferenz aufgezeichnet wurde, sagte sie zu ihm: „Das war das, was er nicht sagen sollte!“ hier im O Ton: http://de.euronews.com/2015/03/24/ratselhafte-auaeerung-von-lufthansa-vizeprasidentin-zu-unglucksflug-4u9525/

    (RT/ 20150327) Major power outage throughout northern Holland

    Large areas of the Netherlands have been left without electricity. The north of the country has been mainly affected, with the Dutch electricity network operator saying the outage has been caused by a power grid overload.

    The capital Amsterdam has been hit, along with the area around Schiphol Airport. Twitter has reported that some hospitals in Amsterdam have been left without power, while the tram and metro networks are also not running in the capital. Thousands of people have been stuck on public transport because the doors will not open as they are controlled electronically.

    20160331/ euronews: Turkey hit by biggest blackout in decade

    A giant power outage in Turkey paralyzed the country’s transportation system on Tuesday,forcing confused locals to ride the bus instead of the tramway and metro. Blackouts crippled dozens of cities including Istanbul and the capital Ankara. Local media said this was Turkey’s biggest power outage in over a decade. It started shortly after 10:30 in the morning local time, closing down tram and metro lines, switching off traffic lights and causing traffic jams. Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said it could be just a technical glitch but that all possible causes were being examined, including terrorism. The blackouts have forced millions of locals to find alternative itineraries, and the energy ministry has set up a crisis centre to look into the problem. >>

     

       

     

                           
     
               
    LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
           

    20150410: Tornadoes Rip Through Northern Illinois, Killing 1 and Injuring 7

    20150402: Massive sandstorm hits Arabian Peninsula

     

    TROPICAL STORMS/ DECEMBER 2014

    note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

       

    data by: wunderground.com

    you find all previous reports in my blog archives

    wunderground.com/ 20150410:Tornadoes Rip Through Northern Illinois, Killing 1 and Injuring 7

    America's worst severe weather outbreak so far in 2015 was Thursday, when a preliminary total of sixteen tornadoes touched down in Illinois, Iowa, and Missouri. Many of the tornado reports came from a single long-lived supercell in northern Illinois, about 80 miles northwest of Chicago, that spawned a large wedge-shaped tornado around 7 pm local time. Significant damage was reported near the town of Rochelle, and every structure in the tiny town of Fairdale was reportedly damaged or destroyed. At least one person was killed in Fairdale, and seven were injured.

         
                       

    The watchers/ 20150402:Massive sandstorm hits Arabian Peninsula

    A massive sandstorm has swept through Arabian Peninsula on April 1 and 2, 2015 severely reducing visibility, disrupting traffic and causing residents to suffer breathing difficulties. In many places the visibility was turned to zero. The sandstorm of the intensity never seen at least in recent years, enveloped large parts of Qatar all too suddenly by around 18:30 UTC last night (21:30 local time), ThePeninsulaQatar reports. Abdullah Al Mannai, veteran researcher and analyst at the Qatar weather bureau said that high pressure had built over large parts of the Arabian Peninsula and caused high wind which was kicking up sand from the deserts. "The seas were rough and in some places waves were rising up to 3.6 to 4.2 meters (12 to 14 feet), Al Mannai said. Winds reached 110 km/h (68.3 mph) at some places....read more...

    >>Sandstorm as seen in Dubai, UAE on April 2, 2015 >>

           
                         

    Super Typhoon Maysak

      WESTERN PACIFIC                
    EVOLUTION: 20150331   160 MPH 10.2! N 139.9° E W appr 800 km SEE OF NORTHERN PHILIPPINES 5    
                         
                         

     

     

                 
    LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
               

     

                         
               
    There are no tropical cyclones in this region
         
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          600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO    
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    Tropical Cyclone Joalane

                       
    EVOLUTION:

    20150411

    SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN 105 MPH -21.1° N 67.7° E SSE 500 KM EAST OF MADAGASKAR 02    
                         
                         
                   

     

     
             

    LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES - including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS)

           

    20150422: Chile's Calbuco Volcano Erupts, 1,500 People Evacuated

    20150415: Moquegua: Ubinas volcano explodes, spreads ashes over nearby village

    Inhalt
     

    huffington post/ 20150422: Chile's Calbuco Volcano Erupts, 1,500 People Evacuated

    SANTIAGO, April 22 (Reuters) - Volcano Calbuco in southern Chile erupted for the first time in more than five decades on Wednesday, sending a thick plume of ash and smoke nearly 20 kilometers into the sky.

    Chile's Onemi emergency office declared a red alert following the sudden eruption at around 1800 local time (2100 GMT), which occurred about 1,000 kilometers (625 miles) south of Santiago, the capital, near the tourist town of Puerto Varas.

    As night fell, about 4,000 people had so far moved out of the area, an evacuation radius of 20 kilometers has been established and classes have been canceled in surrounding towns, authorities said.

    President Michelle Bachelet is scheduled to travel to the affected area on Thursday.

     

    peruthisweek/ 20150415: Moquegua: Ubinas volcano explodes, spreads ashes over nearby village

    Nearly on the anniversary of the evacuation of 28 thousand camelids from its pastures, the Ubinas volcano erupts once again. The Ubinas volcano of the Moquegua region erupted this morning at 4:24 a.m. causing a layer of ash to fall over nearby villages minutes later, according to Perú21. On March 31, 2014, the volcano’s eruption caused Querapi residents to be evacuated as it sits just five kilometers from the volcano. Days later on April 21, Peru ordered the evacuation of the camelid animals, as the volcano posed a threat following further activity. Today the Ubinas volcano erupted after about four months of calm. The National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology of Peru (SENAMHI) calculated that the 2.5 km column of ash above the crater could reach more than 15 kilometers to the southeast. Escacha and Ubinas Valley therefore will be receiving a layer of ash on their homes, cars, sidewalks, and buidlings today following the eruption. Scientific institutions advise that the local populations protect themselves with masks and goggles and to protect water resources and food to prevent contamination.

    ...read more...

    OTHER NEWS:

    the watchers/ NASA/ 20150413: Sleeping giant Mount Baegdu (Changbaishan) close to eruption, North Korea/China

    the watchers, 20150415: JMA issues alert for possible eruption of Mount Zaosan, Japan

     
     

     

     

       
    NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
           
     
    This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
             
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    note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

     

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    Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

    Activity for the week of 8 April-14 April 2015

    The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

     

    NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

    Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) New
    Semeru Eastern Java (Indonesia) New
    Tungurahua Ecuador New
    Villarrica Chile New

     

    ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


    Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
    Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
    Colima Mexico Ongoing
    Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
    Etna Sicily (Italy) Ongoing
    Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Kerinci Indonesia Ongoing
    Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
    Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
    San Miguel El Salvador Ongoing
    Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
    Slamet Central Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
    Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
    Ubinas Peru Ongoing
    Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

     

     
           

    Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

    Activity for the week of 1 April-7 April 2015

    The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

     

    NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

    Batu Tara Komba Island (Indonesia) New
    Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) New
    Semisopochnoi United States New
    Tungurahua Ecuador New
    Turrialba Costa Rica New
    Villarrica Chile New

     

    ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

    Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
    Ambrym Vanuatu Ongoing
    Asosan Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
    Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
    Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
    Colima Mexico Ongoing
    Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
    Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
    Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Kuchinoerabujima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
    Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
    Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
    Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
    Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
    Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

     

     
           

    Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

    Activity for the week of 25 March-31 March 2015

    The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

     

    NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

    Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) New
    Villarrica Chile New

     

    ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

    Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
    Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
    Colima Mexico Ongoing
    Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
    Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
    Kuchinoerabujima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
    Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
    Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
    Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
    Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

     

     
           

    INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

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    NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

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    Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

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    S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

     
     
    click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
       
     
         

     

     

       
                         
                         
                         
     

     

    20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

     

     

    1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

    LAST UPDATE

    20150422  

    - click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

     
             
    1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150421

     

     

    latest RSGA hazard report >
    DATE: see above
    SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

    NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

     
    X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

    ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

    LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

    real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
    protons
    electrons
    last solar SEP:
     
    (20150421) HIGHER     filament eruption on 20150419   20150420/ filament eruption on 20150419   index 4 expected
    INCREASING
    (20150421) > 2 MeV ELECTRONS AGAIN > 1.000 pfu (dropping>)
    20150422/ after 18 UTC: Minor SEP
     
    latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
         
       
    departing S4392 produced serial of M flares:
    active solar regions and coronal holes ( by solen.info):
              electron flux/ 20150419- 21 minor SEP, begin: 20160422/ after 18 UTC  
               
     
    IMPORTANT REMARKS:

    20150422:

    S4392 on the Western limb obviously produced an SEP on 20150422 after 17 UTC. Values are currently slightly rising. even a minor protons storm will ve followed by another electron accumulation that will keep up climate distriubances and volcanism, as we hade it dutring the recent month and years

       
    20150421: the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects. Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day. Allthough the > 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge) GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings. THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: Reasons are there to be careful especially in the regions of the EASTERN PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
     

     

     

         
    click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts

    1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

    LAST UPDATE

    20150421  

    - click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

     
             
    1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150421

     

     

    DATE: see above
    SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

    NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

     
    X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

    ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

    LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

    real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
    protons
    electrons
    last solar SEP:
     
          filament eruption on 20150419   20150420/ filament eruption on 20150419   index 4 expected
    back to normal since 20150319
    (20150421) > 2 MeV ELECTRONS AGAIN > 1.000 pfu after CME
    20150324: Minor SEP
     
    latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
         
       
              electron flux/ 20150419- 21    
                 
     
    IMPORTANT REMARKS:

    the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects.

    Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day.

    Allthough the b> 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge)

    GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings.

    THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: REasons are there to be careful especially in the ragions of the EASTENH PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS

     

       

    1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

    LAST UPDATE

    20150410  

    - click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

     
             
    1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150410

     

     

    DATE: see above
    SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

    NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

     
    X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

    ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

    LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

    real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
    protons
    electrons
    last solar SEP:
     
    LOW/ INCREASING    20150407/ 0018 UTC (TYPE II)     20150408/ medium/ 155 nT   G2 in progress
    back to normal since 20150319
    (20150408) 10 MeV electrons (HIGHER!) : > 100 < 1.000
    20150324: Minor SEP
     
    latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
       
       
                     
                     
     

    1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

    LAST UPDATE

    20150322  

    - click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

     
             
    1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150222

     

     

    DATE: see above
    SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

    NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

     
    X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

    ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

    LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

    real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
    protons
    electrons
    last solar SEP:
     
    DECREASING   TYPE II/ IV EMISSION         index 5 predicted
    back to normal since 20160319
    (20150320) 10 MeV electrons : > 10.000
    20150315/after 1 UTC: NEW SEP likely from LED in AR 12297
     
    latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:         major CMEimpact on 20150317 after 13 UZC:            
       
       
                       
                   

     

    1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

    LAST UPDATE

    20150315 NEW SEP!

    - click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

     
             
    1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

     

     

    DATE: see above
    SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

    NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

     
    X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

    ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

    LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

    real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
    protons
    electrons
    last solar SEP:
     
    DECREASING   TYPE II/ IV EMISSION     20150312-15: impact of + (positive) proton charged CMEs   G 1 predicted
    20150315/ 1 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 4 pfu.
    (20150315) 10 MeV electrons : > DEPRESSION
    20150315/after 1 UTC: NEW SEP likely from LED in AR 12297
     
    latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
       
       
                       
               

     
    IMPORTANT REMARKS:

    20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likely also the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise and has reached a maximum yet of 4 pfu. ( at time of this update)

    20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9) SeeVideo by solar watcher>:

    20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

    20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME was partial halo- what means: it has Earth- directed parts, those might arrive on March 11 >

    20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)

     

       
     

     

     

    ^NASA D-RAP/ global heat absorption during proton storm ( SEP: begin: after 2 UTC) on 20150315  
    INTERNAL SEP TRACKING/ REPORT:
    SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS
    last update: 20140308
    PROTON IMPACT (PHASE I) ELECTRON ACCUMULATION (PHASE II) FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
    MINOR SEP/ 20150422, begin: 18UTC 20150421: > 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS> 1.000 pfu.  
    GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS:
    SOLAR ACCELERATED AND EMMITTED PROTONS IMMIGRATE THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD AND ITS POLAR ORBIT THE PROTONS CREATE AN ADDITIONAL GRAVITY PULL> THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ATTRACKTS AN EQUIVALENT OF ENERGETIC ELECTRONS FROM THE SOLAR MAGNETIC FIELTO NEUTRALISE THIS + CHARGE AFTER THE PROTONS NOW ALSO ELECTRONS HAVE LOST THEIR CINETIC ENERGY THROUGH HEAT FRICTION. THE ACCUMULATION COLLAPSES THE EARTH MANTLE - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.- COOLS DOWN AND CONTRACTS AGAIN.
    HEAT EFFECTS ON EARTH CORE AND MANTLE: VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-) TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC SURFACE ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere) > MAJOR AND potential CATASTROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
    green = effects over yet yellow/ red = currently active orange= pending/ latent hazard
     
    RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
         
    satellite data sources:
    SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
      SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
      SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
      STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
    INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
    GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
    ANALYSIS of solar/terrestrial data:
       
    ANALYSIS: USAF - daily report on solar and geophysical activity
      NOAA- space weather prediction center

    OTHER:

    -CODES, TERMINOLOGY AND CLASSIFICATIONS of SUN SPOTS (SIDC)- -Mt Wilson/ Monthly Sunspot Report Legend-

    NASA/ INTEGRATED SPACE WEATHER ANALYSIS SYSTEM- Home
    click here to find out more about the current NASA/ ESA SOLAR OBSERVATORY PROGRAM (the largest ever in human history) on my page "SOLAR CENTER", that gives you an overview with many usefuls links to NASA/ ESA spacecrafts and webpages with all available archives.
     
     
     
     
     
     
                 

    HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

    update yourself!

    !if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

    Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

     
    SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:
         
    ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
     
     

     

         

    1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

                   
    1.2.1 GENERAL SOLAR EVOLUTION/ NOTICES:
         
                   
                 
                 
                     

    1.2.2 LATEST MAJOR FLARES, CMEs

    find previous report in archive January 2015
       
    LAST MAJOR EVENTS>
                         
                 
               
     
    To find d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
           
    1.2.3. SOLAR SEPs/ SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA/ weekly report:
                 
    EARLY WARNING! 20150208: the integral electron flux, that shortly rose again after another- but this time minor slow and uneffective SEP had occured in the only active nested region 12286, began significantly to drop on February 07: This now can mark for the first time since begin of 2014 , that all SEP effects those had ccumulated during this period within the geomagneti field might dcerease now and come to a preliminary end : Due to all collected data during previous SEPs, STRONG AND HEAVY DISASTROUS SUBDUCTION QUAKES MIGHT FOLLOW VERY QUICKLY when the remaining electron charge( accumulation in the geomagnetic field is discharching ( as it seems to be the case since 20150207 ) and tectonic plates and the mantle magma heated up by these SEPs will begin swiftly to cool down part to harden and to CONTRACT : NOTE: this forecast is based on data and analysis of previous socalled solar SEP (proton) events and is nevertheless ( as all foreecasts) WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR GUARANTEE! MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES THOSE ARE LIKELY MOGHT OCCURE DURING THE NEXT DAYS HAVE MOST LIKELY TO BE EXPECTED IN THE REGION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND MAINLY AROUND THE 180° LATITUDES MOST LIKELY AFFECTING THE AMERICAN PACIFIC COAST - Alaska down to California and beyond . with possible effects also to Japan and the east pacific subduction zones ( Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, Hawaii and NZL) ALL SEAQUAKES EXCEEDING MAGNITUDES oF M 8.0 are capable to trigger a widespread TSUNAMI in these regions!  

    20150406/ 19:11 a major LDE in AR 12297 produced a fully halo CME that will arrive some time between April 08 and 09 2015

     
    SDO/ 20150406/ 19:11 UTC                      
                         
    ^major LDE in AR 12320                      
       
    20150122 20150218 20150317 selen.info/ CH and AR on 20150408                
                   
       

    PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES: ( read more in register panel below)

    20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and Fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likelyalso the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio emission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.

     
                       
    1.3 SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS
                     

    20150409/ after 3 UTC : a medium strong CME impacted from a LDE flare in AR 12320, that erupted near the solar meridian. The CME impact reached a strenghth of 155 nT and caused minor geomagnetic storming. The impact also knocked down the integral electron flux , what indicates that the region produces positive ions or emitted pure protons .

     
      electron flux/ 20150408- 10 CME impact on 20150409/ after 3 UTC (GOES): electrons on 20150515 ( disturbance after CME impact) electron flux/ 20150416- 18 20150420 SUDDENLY DROPPING ELECTRONS! > 20150421 > 2 MeV ELECTRONS again exceeding 1.000 pfu.        
           
               
                       
    click here for previous weekly reports (APRIL2015)

    20150315: AR 12297 , still near the central nmeridian produced an impressive LDE after midnight, which was likely the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.

    20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9)

    20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight (image 3) reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

     
    (1) GOES xrays- 20150308- 10_ (2) SDO/AR 12297 M6 flare on 20150309/ 23:55 UTC: (3) SDO/AR 12297 M6 flare on 20150310/ 00:11 UTC: (4) AR and CH on 230150309 (by solen.info) (5) same region on Feb 17 during the last rotation period: (6) SoHO/: minor CME on 20150310 at 2:52 UTC (7) SoHO/: minor CME on 20150308 at 0:30 UTC (8) SDO/ X 2.1flare in AR 12297 on 20150311/ 16:14 UTC: (9) SDO/ filament eruption on 20150311 after 23 UTC:      
         
       

    20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . (image 9, 10 ) The CME has aeart directed parts those might arrive on March 11

    20150306: 20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the easternsolar limb and produced a stronger CME (image 7 below) and continued with an LDE for hours after that( img 8 below) . The region is not numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images 5 and 6 below)

    20150304: Y 10 MeV Electrons increased above 1.000 pfu following recent minor proton events. Protons are the reference value for the total electrons charge . But with changing proton values also the electron flux on the measurment devices is kind of altered so the total load cannot really be estimated. after no stronger SEPs have occured since longer time a final discharge with the effects as researched and described in that report becomes more an more probable and would be the frist after one year with continuing and accumlating SEPs activities 20150303: The nested region as observed during the past year and described in the recent reports appeared end of February behind the eastern limb but is currently invisible) .NOAA therefore numbered it just as an spotted S 4254. It was active once with a strong prominence one week ago but seems currently to be inactive and might just have temporarely faded, resp sank deeper into the solar gas hull. This already was the case during 1 rotation period in the second half of 2014 . After it the AR reapperaed in an even larger size and produced X flares. Next rotation period will tell more.. While this region is currently inactive, AR 12290 was quite active during the past days with numerous M flares and CMEs those seem not to have larger earth directed parts.

    20150302: solar X ray activity increased over the past days:(image 1 below) On March 01 there were several filament eruptions on different areas of the visible disc and the large RECURRENT CH 657 ( the only currently visible part of the large persistent configuration as described below) produces high speed solar winds . Both has crated a MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM.

    (image 2, 3) The nested region as described below has not appeared yet and made have temporary faded below coronal gases as it already did several times in 2014. The region seems empty . Just the coronal hole 657 is still there where it was since this persistent configuration had envolved. AR 12290, which is already going to rotate out on the western limb is currently active and produced- one after another- two minor M flares on 20150202, those have no earth directed parts (image 4)

     
    (1) GOES x ray flux/ 20150228- 20150302 (2) active regions and coronal holes on 20150301/ by solen.info (3) coronal hole CH 657on 20150301/ by solen.info (4) SDO/ 20150302/ 15:41 UTC (5) AR and CH on 20150305 by solen.info (6) AR and CH on 20150206 by solen.info (7) SDO/ 20150305/ 05:12 UTC: (8) SDO/ 20150305/ 08:42 UTC: (09) SDO- 20150307/ 2:45    
       
       

    PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES:

    20150228: Another SEP must have begun late on February 26: Integral proton flux began to rise after 24 UTC on 20150226 and is currently ( at time of this update near to 1.0 pfu)( image 1: GOES Proton plot). This time I could not detect the typical side effect that SEPs accelerate gases upwards from the solar surface and corona on SoHO imagery, Thus this SEP was maybe a backside event. what I can`t proof as well, since both STEREO satellites are still ot of service.

    If it was a front side event, ( the SEPs themselves are mostly invisible on light based telescopes anyway ) protons this time would have a rather slow acceleration what makes them rather ineffective in terms that they would heat up the earth mantle over their impact on earth. Nevertheless, the protons that immigrate the Earth,will- as ever - attrackt and accumulate an equivalent number of electrons from the solar magnetic field , those are energetic enough to produce these typical heat / temperature anomalies around an in the Northern pole those cause the weather tubulences wer are facing each time after an SEP on the Northern Hemisphere. THis - as expectable- continuing electron accumulation also supports further volcanic activities.

    SDO shows a minor flare in AR and a filament eruption in the nested configuration which has not yet fully rotated in .( These events cannot be seen on a single standby picture and must be watched in a timeline video on SDOs website) and occurerd later , So the cannot be related to that SEP event

     
         

    (special& continued report:) THE LARGE AND MYSTERIOUS SOLAR SURFACE REGION THAT HAS A CONFIGURATION THAT REMAINED WIDELY UNCHANGED SINCE at least ONE YEAR!

    I yet just traced this large region covering at least a quarter of the solar disc back to May 2011. ( see previous archive reports) This review has shown , that the entire configuration remained almost unchanged since then. On 20141215, the main and mostly only active region on the entire disc, active region 12235 produced an extreme fast filament eruption , AR 12235 is a nested stationary sun spot cluster and forms with another active region and a large coronal hole a very active configuration that persists since at least one year( I have just not traced it further back yet) AR 12235 was AR12209 active during the last rotation period and was AR 12192 two rotation periods earlier, when it produced 4 strong X class flares in a row .The configuration covers more than a quarter of the solar disc and has a kind of gravity center with a coronal hole stretching towards the Northern pole an has also a low spotted area which is also but less active than AR 12235. which is situated 15- 30 ° further in the east . (> images 5 and 6 . During all that time this nested AR was and is only AR on the visible that produced flares and CMEs. Currently the entire configuration seems to be active and produces a type of flaring resp shoots out hot gazes all over the area it covers.. The most active AR in it- AR 12235 became smaller yet during previous periods and then began to grown again., Currently it appears rather small ) . What is it and what does this big are doe next ? Nobody knows...Allthough humans observe the Sun meanwhile day and night, much about our central star is still more a mystery and an still good for some surprises.

    ( image 4 >) satellite transmissions were repeatedly knocked out between 20141213 and 14 and there was a short rise in integral Proton flux on 20141213/ 6 UTC when values rose to 2,5 pfu until 20141216/ 00 , when vaklues were back again at +/- 0.1 pfu. as usual . But satellite imagery that needs light to make any image cannot cover those proton events and where these SEPs actually occure. However,: STEREO with its infra red usually can at least cover secondary events ( the protons do accelerate and heat up gazes on the solar surface those emit then ) such are gazes hgeated up after the proton explosion by highest accelerated protons. Butr also Stereo has a transmission blackout on December 13 and 14. theavailable images show an intensive flaring activity on the front side . STEREO also observed a strong type of filament eruption heading from the North Polar solar region ( image 4 >)

    We might either get a new SEP soon ( an event that comes more or less out of nowhere) or the effects of the previous SEPs will come to an end: When the current electron accumulation ( which is still exceeding temporarely 1.000 pfu.) will drop, as now further SEP has occured during the past 6 weeks , the earth mantle heated up by these SEPs will cool down and STRONG SUBDUCTION quakes will accompony that process.however: magma intrusion creates something like holes ( aou also can call that underpresssure or defizits) within the earth mantle , So the intensive magma intrusion we can observe onm a global scalesince some years will be logically be always accomponied/ followed by subduction quakes, by those new material is pulled- "dives down" into the earth mantle is melted there and will equalize that defizit.( more see right column)>

     

    (1) SDO/ 20141214/ 22:24 UTC
    (3 GOES shows a slight increase of integral proton Flux during the events on 201212- 20121215:
     
     

    (5) STAR MAP on 20121210 by solen.info

    (6)STAR MAP on 2014121113 ( one rotation period earlier!)      
       
    b                      
     
                       
    PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
    SEP EVENT LOGS
    PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)
    PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron acummulation
    PHASE III (Final discharge
    solar event date ( begin)
    SEP(class / intensity)
    source (AR, sun spot group)
    geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
    proton imact end
    maximal intensity ( pfu)
    max proton speed ( km/ second

    electron actvity/ begin

    electron actvity/ end
    max intensity ( pfu)
    kkk
    electron discharge on:
    20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                       
                           
     
                         
    1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
    MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
    REAL TIME PLOT:
    REAL TIME PLOT:
     

    LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MARCH 2015)

    NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

    MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

    REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
     
    only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

    ( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

     

     

     

     

     

    DETAILED REPORT OF LATEST MAJOR SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES ( updated only during major events, such as major flares CMEs or SEPs)

       

     

     

                   
    SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
    solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
    latest data (external sources):
    SUN OBSERVERS:
    OTHERS:
     
                           

    AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !

    means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013

     
         

     

     

                   
                     

    2015

    MONTH

    JANUARY

    DAY:

    none yet xx

    < date refers to available event data and summaries

    click here for previous days reports  

    TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

     

    note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

    201412

    ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

    SOLAR PARAMETERS

     

    SOLAR ACTIVITIES

    CLASS

    TOTAL:

     

     

    SUNSPOT NUMBER

     

     

    AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)  

    FLARES >

    C

       

    SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

     

     

    X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:    

    M

       

    PLANETARY "A" INDEX

     

     

    GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:    

    X

     

     
                     
    Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity >    
             

     

     

         

    ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

    EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

    CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

    STATUS :

    ACTIVE REGIONS:

    LOCATION TODAY

           

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

    SIDERIC DIRECTION

     

    (SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

    LONGITUDE next 24 h.

    LATITUDE

    CLASS/ CONF.*

    MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

    CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

    EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

     
                       
     
                       
     

    ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                ---
     
    solen/info/ active regions>
               
                 
     

    CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     

     
    NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
                 
                 
                 
    CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

     

    SOURCE:

     

     
    ABBREVIATIONS>
    NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
    UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
    RECURR.= RECURRENT
    T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
     

     

     

                   
    INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
                   
                         

    PARTICLE TYPE:

    CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

    PARTICLE TYPE:

    CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
    PROTON FLUX back to normal

     

    ELECTRON FLUX  

     

       
                   
    BEGIN/ END:  

     

     

    BEGIN/ END:    

     

     

       
       
    ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
     
     

     

     

     

               

    GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                     

    STATUS:

    Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

    GOES 3 day sat environment ( combined plot) GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* integral proton flux- past 3 days  

    QUIET

             

    UNSETTLED

     
    ACTIVE  
    MINOR STORM  

    MAJOR STORM

     
    HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
    CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
     
     
    * see also report below!
     
    USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
    * graph only during significant events
     
           
                           
                         
    GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD +06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
    EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

    EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

    GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field  
    new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    

     

    TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

             
    INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA PARTICLE ALERTS >

    GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

     
    PARTICLE TYPE:
         

    20141106

    20141107

    SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

     

    > 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

         
    s 2 PROTON STORM;

    X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

     
    > 100 MeV PROTON FLUX           TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
    PARTICLE TYPE:
           

    10 cm RADIO BURSTS

     

    >0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

           

    GEOMAGNETIC STORM/ K INDEX > 4

     

    >2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

           
    x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
     
    NEUTRON SYNTHESIS        
    TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
     
             
    10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
     
    ^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
     
    treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
    (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
     
             
        < NOAA ALERTS >

    CME IMPACTS / SUDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

     
           

     

    NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

    EARTH IMPACT ON

    SOLAR EVENT :

    TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

     
                   
             
                           
    PREVIOUS 1 DAY REPORTS / CURRENT MONTH ( updated during significant activities only)
                     

    2014

    MONTH

    SEPTEMBER

    DAY:

    06

    < date refers to available event data and summaries

    click here for previous days reports  

    TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

     

    note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

    20140905

    ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

    SOLAR PARAMETERS

     

    SOLAR ACTIVITIES

    CLASS

    TOTAL:

     

     

    SUNSPOT NUMBER

    124

     

    AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

    340-419

    FLARES >

    C

    22

     

    SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

    144

     

    X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

    C 1.1

     

    M

       

    PLANETARY "A" INDEX

    06

     

    GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

    80- 140 nT

    CME IMPACT

    X

     

     
                     
    Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).  
             

     

     

         

    ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

    EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

    CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

    STATUS :

    ACTIVE REGIONS:

    LOCATION TODAY

           

    ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

    SIDERIC DIRECTION

     

    (SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

    LONGITUDE next 24 h.

    LATITUDE

    CLASS/ CONF.*

    MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

    CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

    EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

     
      12157 60° E 13° S DHC/ EKC          
     
      12158 68° E 14° N CKO/ DKC          
     

    ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

                ---
     
    solen/info/ active regions>
               
                 
     

    CORONAL HOLES (CH)

     

     
    NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
    CH 634 CENTRAL/ NORTH GROWING   20140905- 06    
                 
                 
    CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

     

    SOURCE:

     

     
    ABBREVIATIONS>
    NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
    UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
    RECURR.= RECURRENT
    T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
     

     

     

                   
    INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
               
     
                         

    PARTICLE TYPE:

    CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

    PARTICLE TYPE:

    CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
    PROTON FLUX INCREASED

    RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC

    ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

    slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

       
                   
    BEGIN/ END:  

     

     

    BEGIN/ END:    

     

     

       
       
    ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
     
     

     

     

     

               

    GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                     

    STATUS:

    Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

    GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

    GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

    QUIET

     

    UNSETTLED

     
    ACTIVE  
    MINOR STORM  

    MAJOR STORM

     
    HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
    CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
     
     
    * see also report below!
     
    USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
    * graph only during significant events
     
    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep).
         
                           
                         
    GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -09 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 11 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
    EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

    EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

               
    new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
     

     

     

     

     

     

                     

     

    TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

             
    INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

    GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

     
    PARTICLE TYPE:

    20140905

    20140906

    20140907

    20140906

    20140907

    SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

     

    > 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

    > 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

    > 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

    +/- 0.1 pfu.

    NONE

    NONE

    X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

     
    > 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal back to normal   NONE TYPE II/ IV TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
    PARTICLE TYPE:

    20140905

    20140906

    20140907

    NONE

    NONE

    10 cm RADIO BURSTS

     

    >0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

    >1.000 < 25.000 pfu (+) >4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) dropping after new sEP  

    G1 (expected)

    NONE

    GEOMAGNETIC STORM

     

    >2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

    >100< 450 (-) >220 > 750 () rising  
    x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
     
    NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
    TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
     
             
    10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
     
    ^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
     
    treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
    (1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
     
             
        < NOAA ALERTS >

    CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

     
           

     

    NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

    EARTH IMPACT ON

    SOLAR EVENT :

    TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

     
           

    20140906/ 25: 24 UTC

    20140904

    LARGE FILAMENT ERUPTION ON NORTHERN SOLAR HEMISPHERE

     
             
                           
                           
    alt
     
     

     

     

     

     

     

                     

     

     

           
             
             

     

     

           
    click here for: LATEST SIGNIFICANT SOLAR EVENTS ( earth directed CMEs, SEPs, satellite images and data)
           
    WEEKLY SATELLITE REVIEW OF SOLAR ACTIVITIES (AR, flares, CMEs, SEPs)
       
         
    LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT/ EVOLUTION

    SEPTEMBER 2014

                     
       
    LOGS:                    
    DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

       
    IMAGES:
    PLOTS and OTHER:
     
    20140901/ 17:45 UTC                    

    CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

    20140910/ 17:45 UTC ERUPTION TYPE: X 1 flare at 17:45 uTC FULLY HALO CME estimated CME arrrival: 20140912      
     
    (01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR CME/ SEP EVENT LOG :  
           

    SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

     

    20140910/ 19:03 (NOAA*)

     
    TRACKING NR.:  
       
    ACTIVE REGION:  
    AR 12158.  
    SUN COORDINATES:
      20140910/ 19:54 UTC 20140911/ 00:30 UTC         PROTON IMPACT: after 21 UTC   02° E- 16° N  
                   
    * SEP eruption time= time of 10 cm RADIO BURST
     
    DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

       
    IMAGES:
    PLOTS and OTHER:
     
    20140901/ 18:59 UTC                    

    CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

      ERUPTION TYPE:            
     
    (01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (04) SDO/ AIA (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR SEP EVENT LOG :  
       

    SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

     
    20140901/prior to 11: 54?  
    TRACKING NR.:  
       
    ACTIVE REGION:  
    NORTH POLAR SOLAR REGION  
    SUN COORDINATES:
    20140901/ 18:59 UTC (SEP) 20140901/ 12:42 20140901/ 10:51 UTC 20140902/ 08:36 UTC 20140901/ 11:54 UTC Proton impact on NASA D-RAP (20140902/ 23UTC)          
                       
         
     

     

     

     

           

    LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

                 
    LATEST SOLAR SEPS ARTICLE EVENTS: ACCELERATED PROTONS/ ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS : ( event logs)  
    SEP EVENT/ event logs this log represents the latest event evolution of terrestrial SEP impacts- earlier events are archived here. NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays  
     
     

    ACTIVE SOLAR SEP/ LOG

    latest significant SEP >> /20141101/ time: unknown MEDIUM > 1 > 10 pfu. ( 4 days) CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE PARTICLES >> PHASE I (PROTONS) PHASE II (> 10 MeV ELECTRONS)
    PHASE III (DISCHARGE)
     
               
    previous, accumulated SEPs >> 201400910/ after 18 UTC 20140825/ 18 UTC 20140405/ 12 UTC 20140227 ( X 1.2)  

    ACCELERATED PROTONS >

    SOLAR EVENT:

    IMPACT/ BEGIN

    END

    PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS/ CURRENT STATE    
    SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20141101/ time: unknown 201409011/ after 15UTC 20141106/ 00 UTC > 1 < 10 pfu. unknown      
                         
    ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20141021/ 07 UTC ongoing   20141023/ 18.000 pfu exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141021/ 14 UTC    

    ACCELERATED PROTONS >

    SOLAR EVENT:

    IMPACT/ BEGIN

    END

    PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
    SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20140910/ after 11UTC 201409010/ 18:15 UTC 20140914/ 09 UTC > 1 < 100 pfu.        
                         
    ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20140922/ 10:30 ongoing     exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141001    
                         

    ACCELERATED PROTONS >

    SOLAR EVENT:

    IMPACT/ BEGIN

    END

    PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
    SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION AR 12151/20140901/ after 11UTC 20140901/ after 21 UTC ongoing > 1 < 10 pfu. very low ( 1.000- 3000 km/ s first event in records with unusually extreme slow protons    
                         
    ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20140901 ongoing > 10 MeV ELectrons Y 1.000 pfu fluctuating first time that proton and electrons both exceed treshold levels- interrupted by new SEP on 20140910    
                         

    ACCELERATED PROTONS >

    SOLAR EVENT:

    IMPACT/ BEGIN

    END

    PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
    SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION not evaluated yet 20140825/ after 18 UTC 20140827( 00 UTC low (+/- 1 pfu. ( 10 x)   electron breakdown    
                         
    ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    interrupted by new SEP latent ---- > 1.000 pfu. 20140831    
                         
     

     

     

       
    PREVIOUS SOLAR SEPS AND SEP SERIALS, those are still active ( effective and interfer/ accumulate ):
    ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >
     
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160802      
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160717      
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160618      
    INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
    20140423/ 17 UTC 20140429/00UTC knocked down by protons
    20140429/ 00 UTC. E flux was knocked bylate proton activity (SEP/ 20140418)
    20140425/ 13 UTC > 1.000 pfu

    (20140425/ 13 UTC

     
    INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
    (20140421/ 15 UTC rising
    20140426/ 15 UTC > 100.000 pfu
    ---

    (20140421/ 15 UTC

     

    ACCELERATED PROTONS >

    SOLAR EVENT:

    IMPACT/ BEGIN

    END

    PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::  
    SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140507/ 19 UTC 20140711 low ( > 01. < 0.8 pfu)   electron breakdown  
    SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140418/ after 13 UTC 201404210/ 09 UTC > about 60 pfu. near the speed of light 20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit-  
                 

    meaning of background colors>

    yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event        
    } orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects
           
             
             
     

     

     

     
    CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks  
    ELECTRON EFFECTS>

    20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.

    The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.

    might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!

    20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space

    20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks

    20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.

    Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes.

     
    orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects  
    SEP EVENT HISTORY :
       
    20140418/
    13:19 UTC
    complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly
     
    20140413- 16
     
    The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416
     
    20140405
    after 12 UTC
    Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event
     
    20140325
    08 UTC
    Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.
     
    20140317
     
    Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.
     
         
    20140228
     
    Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"
     
                           
                           
     

     

     

       
                           
             
     

     

     

     

     
    EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EVENTS: VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKES FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES, GLACIAL MELTDOWN METHANHYDRATES - ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
     

     

     

    click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
    SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

     

     
             
    ^Barcelona airport/ 20140707 ^Taipeh pLane Crash/ 2014 BBC/ 20150224/ Video: Sinkhole in South Korea 'swallows' 2 pedestrians - BBC News    
     

     

     

     

         
    for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
    "the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obvioulsy something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"    

     

     

     
    my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
     

    A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

    Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

    Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

    However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

       

     

     

    VARIOUS:

     

     
    ( September 2014:) Aerial Iceland volcano footage: Lava fountains, huge smoke clouds

     

     

     

     
                           
                           

    data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

     

    all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

    provided by:

    alien-homepage.de
    Impressum/contact

     

    ----------------------------

     

     

    APPENDIX:

     

    notices on this page and its development

    changes 2014:

    July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

    January 25- 2014:

    2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have signifiant and even strongest related geophysical effects.

    Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I dont expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

    Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluationas as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research

    Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ,this documentary has focussed on, as being the strongest and most geoeffective known type of solar event) do happen MOST frequently during the solar max, but are als present in the same strength all 11 years in between but just in lower number.

    So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

    so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

     

    H. Hummel Munich/ Germany