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. open source research project - Start - since May 2011- daily updated
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DATE:
   
last updated on >>
NOVEMBER 13 2017/ -- UTC
click here for archives with previous monthly reports

important notices >

I am very busy at the moment, Updates may therefore be delayed!

 

20160716: CHANGES: due to a "html crash", I have to make changes on this page in the sense not to overload it.

From now on, you will find on this page only GENERAL INFORMATIONS and latest news and informations, as far as significant enough relevant to this project . These informations will be stored in an archive for the current month, that will contain 0nly data and information on this month but no general,informations m data plots and other material:

 

click here for the links list of archived previous monthly reports (back to 2010)

 

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2017>

       

2016 >

   

2015 >

   

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

 

NOVEMBER 2017

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

for basic informations about this project scroll down to the bottom of this page!

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

scientific reviews of solar research (as far as available)

by NASA, MPI and others :

 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

  USEFUL LINKS:  
 
ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:
(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY JULY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
click here for all (INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..

NEWS CHANNELS:

( collecting of recommendable international news channels is still ongoing...): Note: This list is dedicated to get latest informations directly from regional news channels and sources all over the world . Alien-homepage does not take any responsibility for contents of websites posted on this list nor for their liability

 

AUSTRALIA, INDONESIA, PHILIPPINES

AFRICA

ASIA

AMERICA

EUROPE:

 
THE HERALD SUN / AUSTRALIA africareview.com   MSNBC / US BBC.com  
globalpost.       www.euronews.com/  

BY COUNTRIES:

 

EUROPE:

ICELAND REVIEW ONLINE DER SPIEGEL ONLINE ( Germany) euronews.com/ englishrussia (Russia)  
  icenews.is (ICELAND)        

 

scotsman.com

ruvr.ru (Russia)

     

AUSTRALIA REGION:

THE HERALD SUN / AUSTRALIA .radioaustralianews.net.au (FIJI ISLANDS): fijivillage.com  

 

stuff.co.nz (NEW ZEALAND) solomontimes.com (SALOMON ISLANDS) fijitimes.com    

NORTHERN AMERICA

CNN. com TIME.com /SCIENCE (SCIENTIFIC) tgdaily.com  

 

UNITED PRESS INTERNATIONAL ABC- news GLOBAL NEWS (CANADA) winnipegfreepress.com  
  mlive.com/news        

 

washingtonpost.com channel6newsonline.com FAIRBANKS/ ALASKA/ newsminer.com alaskadispatch.com  

CENTRAL AMERICA>

INSIDE COSTA RICA ticotimes.net ( COSTA RICA) costaricantimes aztecanoticias.com ( MEXICO( Spanish language)  
  dominicantoday.com (Dominican Republik)        

SOUTHERN AMERICA>

peruthisweek (PERU) .andina.com (PERU)      

PACIFIC

bigislandvideonews (Hawaii)

       

AFRICA

www.aps.dz (ALGERIA) allafrica.com standardmedia.co.ke (KENIA) ZIMBABWE (Voice of America)  
        .thezimbabwean.co.uk  

> ARABIA

ARABIC EMIRATES omanobserver.om www.iranwpd.co (IRAN) IRAN/ ENGLISH presstv.ir/  

ASIA

Wijeya Newspapers Ltd.Colombo. Sri Lanka philippinenews.com english.ntdtv.com (CHINA) THE BORNEO POST- ONLINE  
  Thejakartapost.com (INDONESIA) philstar.com/(PHILIPPINES) zeenews.india.com (INDIA)

chinadaily.com.cn/ (China)

 
  pattayamail.com (Thailand) visayandailystar.com (PHIL.)

indianexpress.com ( INDIA)

mdn.mainichi.jp (JAPAN)  
  vietnamnet.vn (VIETAM) shanghaidaily.com (CHINA) thehindu.com blogs.wsj.com (JAPAN)  
  fukushima-diary.com (best news on Japan`s meltdown!) gmanetwork (PHILIPPINES) punemirror ( NORTHERN INDIA) focustaiwan (TAIWAN)  
      nation.com/- pakistan    
      greaterkashmir.com times of india. com  

ALL REGIONS>

REUTERS.COM wunderground.com/tropical storms Earth Observatory( NASA.    
  http://your-story.org        
           
GLÖBAL WATCH > thewatchers.adorraeli.com earthquake-report.com      
VARIOUS & RELATED SCIENTIFIC CHANNELS > spaceweather.com treehugger.com VOLCANO DISCOVERY EARTH SKY. ORG  
  ACCU WEATHER. COM wired.com/wired science WUNDERGROUND.com Nationalgeographic  
  science.nasa.gov spaceweather.com wired.com phys.org  
ORGANISATIONS NASA/earthobservatory http://www.greenpeace.de/   http://foodwatch.com.au/  
DIVERSE> 2012 Mysterious Mass Animal Death List (abovetopsecret.com) poleshift.ning.com naturalnews.com (food etc)  
  Volcano Webcams on wiredscience.com eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov Polar Science Center  

 

 

(SECTION 1) SOLAR AND ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG:  
NEWS and special reports
   

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

NOVEMBER

2017

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!        
       
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
       

the watchers/ 20171112: Solving the mystery of rapidly rising Indian Ocean sea level

Sea levels around the world have risen by 1.7 millimeters (0.07 inches) on average each year since 1880, but in recent years, scientists have observed a rapid increase in sea level in the north Indian Ocean. Tide gauge records and other datasets reveal the pace of sea level rise in the north Indian Ocean has accelerated to 3.1 millimeters (0.12 inches) per year within the last three decades....read more...

NRAO/ 20171107: IMAGE RELEASE: Shocking Results of Galaxy-Cluster Collisions >

A giant collision of several galaxy clusters, each containing hundreds of galaxies, has produced this spectacular panorama of shocks and energy. The collisions generated shock waves that set off a celestial fireworks display of bright radio emission, seen as red and orange. In the center of the image, the purple indicates X-rays caused by extreme heating. The region is collectively known as Abell 2744, some 4 billion light-years from Earth. The radio portion of the image comes from new observations made with the National Science Foundation’s Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array (VLA), and is combined with earlier data from NASA’s Chandra X-ray observatory. Both are overlaid on an image at visible-light wavelengths made with data from the Subaru telescope and the Very Large Telescope (VLT). The new VLA observations revealed previously undetected regions where shocks accelerated subatomic particles, causing radio emission....read more...

   
  ^Animated GIF cycles through the individual images (radio, X-ray, optical) of Abell 2744. Credit: Pearce et al.; Bill Saxton, NRAO/AUI/NSF; Chandra; Subaru; ESO.    
       
       
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
  find all elder reports in my archive    

HEADLINES

( by the watchers. com)

20171108: Tropical Storm "Rina" forms as rare 17th named storm this late in a season

20171104: Typhoon "Damrey" hits Vietnam, leaving at least 106 dead, 22 missing, 100 000+ houses under water >>
 

(20171109) At least 4 dead, 18 missing after major mudflow hits Corinto, Colombia

20171108: Severe storm sweeps through New Zealand, causing major power outages

20171108: Violent thunderstorms hit Queensland with hurricane-force winds

20171108: Tropical Storm "Rina" forms as rare 17th named storm this late in a season

20171106: Violent thunderstorms, golf-ball sized hail hits New South Wales, causing widespread damage

 

20171106: Record rainfall hits Penang, Malaysia, 7 dead in its worst flooding in history


20171104: Deadly monsoon rains hit Chennai, 74% of average seasonal rain in 8 days

20171102: Intense hailstorm hits Bogota, causing severe floods and traffic chaos

 

 
       

 

 

     
NEW TROPICAL STORMS
     
NEW: NASA earth data/ global satellite viewer
 

 

                     
           
ATLANTIC:
latest/ 20160914: TROPICAL STORM IAN  moving towards British islands/ windspeed: still below 50 MPH
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
last updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
PRESSURE
TYPE/ CATH
MEDIA LINK/ REMARKS:
world wide winds ( click to enlarge):  

 

                 
                   
 
last updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
DIRECTION
PRESSURE
TYPE/ CATH
MEDIA LINK/ REMARKS:
 

 

                 
                   
PACIFIC
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
last updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
MEDIA LINK/ REMARKS:
   
                     
         

 

 
 

 

 

 

     
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
 

 

   

earthquake.com/ 20171112: Massive deadly earthquake at the Iran-iraq Border - At least 136 people killed - November 12, 2017 >>

Present updated toll (which will almost surely increase the following hours) - 136 FATALITIES and 1691 INJURED PEOPLE
Update: Dr. James Daniell,  damage/loss expert at CEDIM Karlsruhe, Germany, has calculated that the expected median damage will be 200 million $. His calculations are resulting in a median of 100 fatalities
-

Update 23:41 UTC: Based on our experience we do fear that the toll will become much higher during the morning hours when daylight makes SAR and assistance easier. We also think that contrary to Iran, war torn Iraq has not a very developed earthquake response team and accordingly fatalities and injured numbers are underestimated at this time.

the watchers/ 20171019: Shallow M6.0 earthquake hits north of Franz Josef Land, Arctic Ocean

     
 

 

 

               
       
         
ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:
       
current Tsunami alerts >
NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
                       
               
 
       
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for archived significant EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES and previous reports (CURRENT MONTH ONLY):

 

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 5.0 - IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION - 2017-11-13 04:27:55 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
34.14 N ; 45.81 E
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

first major afterquake!

         

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.7 - COSTA RICA - 2017-11-13 02:28:22 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
9.60 N ; 84.55 W
DEPTH >
10 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 7.2 - IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION - 2017-11-12 18:18:17 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
34.83 N ; 45.84 E
DEPTH >
19km  

 

disastrous!

 

         

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 

 

 

     
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      
               
               
               
  swarm begin: 20171008   EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA e

"E"

EPICENTER      
               
    swarm   EPICENTER      
    swarm   EPICENTER      
               

TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS possibly volcanic

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
    near lake Laach   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
    near lake Laach   EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION (incl. Azores and Capeverdes)

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /mainly AFTER SEP- 3. activity phase (begin: 20131226)

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

 
reports only after events exceed magnitude 2.0 >        
>> see also my canary islands volcano blog EPICENTER      
      EPICENTER      

NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA  

"E"

       
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
               
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR.  

"E"

       

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SERIAL GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS  

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER    
               
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
               
    new earthquake swram   EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
               
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

PACIFIC PLATE

  earthquake swarm ( volvanic)   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC  

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

    ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC (click for reports) was felt on surface

"C"

REMARKS:  
    EPICENTER 20160917- 26_ continuing on lower pace    
    EPICENTER      
    EPICENTER      
           
               

EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC

increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014)

"C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
        EPICENTER      
    DECREASING   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
  intensive swarm quakes since December 28-  2016 intensifying  since 20170922   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. pre and after quakes

"C"

EPICENTER      
    pre and after quakes   EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

 

 

               
ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS/ TEMPLATE :
               
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known REAL TSUNAMI event

  visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
 
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES ( same day) AFTERQUAKES: ( ONLY > M 6.0)  
DATA BY EMSC)                
       
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

 

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): TEMPLATE FORM CANCELLED AT : 2300 UTC MON NOV 21 2016  
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

 

 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE
LOCATION OF ORIGIN ---------- GAUGE COORDINATES ---- TIME OF MEASURE:  > ----------- MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT > ------------- MAXIWAVE PERIDO ( Minute)  >> -----
LOCATION OF ORIGIN   GAUGE COORDINATES   TIME OF MEASURE:  >   MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT >   MAXIWAVE PERIDO ( Minute)  >>  
 
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVALS >
ESTIMATED TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL LOCATION >
-- -
REGION >
--------
 
COORDINATES>
-----
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >
----
ESTIMATED TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL LOCATION >
----E
REGION >
------
 
COORDINATES >
7-----
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >
----
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:  
                       
     
             

 

 
 

 

 

   
LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
     

the watchers/ 20171101: New strong explosion at Stromboli volcano, Italy

A new strong explosion took place at Stromboli volcano, Italy at 20:29 UTC on November 1, 2017, and lasted approximately 3 minutes. According to INGV Catania, the explosion was similar to that of October 23, 2017. "Surveillance camera image analysis showed that the explosive sequence started with an intense event from the southcentral crater and was followed by several smaller explosions in the following minutes," the observatory said. The explosion ejected abundant crude pyroclastic material on Sciara del Fuoco viewpoint and in the direction of Pizzo sopra la Fossa as well as dense ash plume which quickly dispersedta...read more...

     
 
               
             
click here for Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly GLOBAL Volcanic Activity Report
Inhal
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
report by: GPV
 
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!
 
  volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by: GPV

 
     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 1 November-7 November 2017

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.Activity for the

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Name Location Activity
Agung Bali (Indonesia) New
Aoba Vanuatu New
Kirishimayama Kyushu (Japan) New






 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATE:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Ebeko Paramushir Island (Russia) Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Langila New Britain (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Pacaya Guatemala Ongoing
Poas Costa Rica Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sabancaya Peru Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Stromboli Aeolian Islands (Italy) Ongoing
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
Turrialba Costa Rica Ongoing
Ulawun New Britain (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing




 

   
                       
                       
                       
                       
t
 
   

HOT SPOT MONITORING

 

selected hot spots for monitoring SEP effects

       
         
click here to see live webcams of selected hot spots for monitoring current SEP effects
Inhalt

HOT SPOT MONITORING

 

selected hot spots for monitoring SEP effects

       

LATEST NEWS:

           
20160519: with decreasing SEP actvity and effects, the global synchronously elevated activity at the selected monitored spots has significantly decreased, but seems not to be over yet. The global magma intrusion along with the strong SEP events of the last 11 year solar sun spot maximum 2012/ 13 continuing until 2015 has synchronously decreased or stopped at the same time but the magma in the related volcano systems is still hot. THis magma cannot flow back into the earth mantle, but atleast ciobntraction processes while colling down can lead to particular structure collapses.I have not the experience that I can predict further behaviors. There were only three minor SEPs events this year (the least one just occured was on May 17- 2016 but weas only short and did with less than 1 pfu.not reach threshold and may NOT have all heat effects in the earth mantle, that no major reaction from hot spots seesm to be expectablebut but at least cause an effective electron accumulation with typical climatical effects( see below)  
                       

click on images to enlarge them

                   
Live Panorama of Kīlauea Caldera from HVO Observation Tower GEONET/Australia( white island webcams crater floor: Yellowstone streaming webcam:

more hot spot webcams:

       
  Teide/ Tenerife/ Canary islands        
Canary Islands/ El HIerro / LasPuntas        
         
Santorini/ Greece        
Merapi/ Java/ Indonesia        
         

REPORTS:

       
         
         
Campi Flegrei( Napoli / Italy ( repor        
         
         
         
Sinabung webcam / Java Indonesia: INGV/ ITaly: STROMBOLI / Aeolian Islands/ Italy: Sakura Jiima webcam/ ( near ASU Hotspot Japan: Piton de la Fournesse/ Reunion/ Actualités et informations de l'OVPF        
       
ETNA/ SIcil: webcam: ETNA/ SIcil: webcam (2)   :        
           

CANARY ISLANDS

           
MNT TEIDE TENERIFE SPAIN: AVCAN / Seismicity around the Canary islands -last two days          

via GIPH

         
 
   

 

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

   
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

   
                       
                       
                       

 

 

 
MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       

euronews/ 20171110: Delhi air pollution hits danger levels

India's capital now suffering annual "smog-outs" as construction and car boom adds dust to fumes and smoke.

“So, I wake up in the morning with a big cough. So, we have to wear scarves over our mouths when we go around. Also, we hear that it’s very dangerous. It’s like smoking 50 cigarettes a day. So, we’re now thinking, we wanted to stay more time in Delhi, but we will have to go other place soon to get out of pollution,” said an Israeli tourist. “This is truly a health emergency and what the doctors are telling us today, that the hospitals in Delhi, they have noticed at least 20 percent increase in emergency hospital admissions related to respiratory and cardiac problems for the last two or three days,” said the Centre for Science and Environment’s Anumita Roychowdhury. –– ADVERTISEMENT –– Fire trucks will spray water to try and lay the dust this weekend with Delhi’s Chief Minister calling the city a “gas chamber”....read more...

   
   
   
 
SPACE WEATHER
                 
                       
NASA near real time satellite monitoring
                 
current sun spots and AR (visible disc):   ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE/ 7 days Real TIime: geomagnetic field components and deformation:( Bz =North South/ By= Est- West ACE (Advanced Composition explorer); (7 days Real Time) SOLAR PROTON COMPONENT (in solar winds or CMEs) SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot ACE/ SIS: (7 days Real Time) INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX: NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot )  
                       
   

 

 

             
 
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >>
here you find elder reports and newer ones. Green background means : this event is over/ineffective

LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT /UPDATE >

2017

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
             
solar activity by: solen.info/:

please note: this section is only updated after significant major events/ from Nov 2015 on, the text fields in the second row will contain all alerts of the current month as issued by NOAA

latest RSGA report of significant solar activities
DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS /SEP: *

*also named SPE (= SOLAR PROTON EVENT) or: SAP (= SOLAR ACCELERATED PROTONS )

 
           
CURRENT STATE: :
   
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> MAJOR - RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES  > M 5 / CMEs/ SEPs

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
PHASE III ( electron discharge)
PHASE II (electron accumulation)*
PHASE I (proton event) :
 
  <last event update > begin: 20170905 20171021>   CMEs associated to flares in AR  23673: REAL TIME 20170908
CURRENTLY>:
(begin:) 20171101 .
SPE serial/ begin: 20170904/ after 23 UTC
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: last known event >

20170910/ 15:35 :  X-ray Events in AR 23673/ exceeding X1/ X 82

Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2017 Oct 20 2335 UTC

201709112: minor CME flank from X 82 event on 20170910/ 15:35 in AR 23673 20170907/ 23:04 UTC: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse 20170909: G2 geomagnetic storm
SLOWLY ONGOING ELECTRON DISCHARGE (SEP PHASE III!)
20171110: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeding 10.000 pfu / Stronger Fluctuations!

220170904- 19: serial of 3 SPE: > 10 Me Protons > 1.000 pfu- since 20170914 (< 10 pfu) /17: back to normal

 
PLANETARY A INDEX: (NEW) background informations>  
 
                 
                     
 

MAJOR SOLAR SPE ACTIVITIES IN 2017:

^ Highlights: Five Years Viewing the Sun by SDO/NASA
 

update/ 20170910 after 3 UTC: Goes 15 measured a third and so far strongest Proton event form AR 23673. TIME: 220170910/after 15 UTC: new Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux > 1.000 pfu/ > 50 MeV Protons: > 100 pfu/ > 100 MeV Protons : > 10 pfu. The event was associated to an X 82 flare with a significant CME AR 23673 is out of sight now. The solar longitude where AR 23673 is located will turn into sight again end of September.THen we will see whether it has completely dissapeared or not.

update/ 20170910: after the two long duration proton events on Sep 04 and 08 , AR 23673 has further decayed, but is on Sep 10 rotating out on the western solar limb and gets out of sight now. . With the next rotating period ( 27, 25 days) on October 01 we will see what is left over from AR 23473. The proton storm decreased during the past days, but GOES 15 shows a new peak event just at time of this update (20170910/ 18 UTC)( see real time proton plot) THe 3 days plot of NOAA/ NASA is currently not available.

THe 8 2 sequake offshore mexico was the largest magmatic event following as expectable the proton events. With some days in  between some more major magmatic quakes or other volcanic events may happen the next days. The earthquake activity of the yellowstone Caldera, which has shifted at begin of September 2017 to its Southern part in Idaho, intensified after September 04 and again on September 09 and 10. I will see whether i can find a webcam that monitors the area.

update/ 20ß170908: Integral Proton flux: > 10 Me V Protons exceeded 8oo pfu at 00 UTC and were rapidly dropping since then below treshold of 10 pfu. But the effects are just beginning. An 8.2 Magnitude seaquake offshore the mexican pacific coast caused a minor tsunami in the nearby region. Tropical record storm Irma which formed in the night from Sep 04 to 05 had received much energy from the solar flares but more even through the polar temperature anomalies caused by the proton event after 22 UTC on Sep 4 is still devastating one island after another on its way direction to Miami/Florida where it is expected on Sunday morning ( 20170910)More magmatic quakes are likely to occure and one or more volcanoes near hot spots may have a surface eruption

update/ 20170907: The large AR 23673 is dying and continued with strong flaring  and e ray events exceeded X 1 level first time on September 07. Never I have seen so many radio bursts from just one single active region. The proton emission also increased above 100 pfu first time on September 05

 
 
click here to open register card with more detailled informations about most recent solar Proton event ( SPE)
Inhalt
new template for documentation of SPE ( solar proton event)                  
ISSUE serial of  solar SPEs 20170714- 20170910 active sun spot regions involved: 1 3 rotation periods              
event nr and ate ( ifserial) active solar region time of solar event (STEREO Ahead) :20170904 after 20 UTC time of first proton impact ( GOES 13) resulting time of Proton speed  ( km/ second) duration (> 10 Me Protons begin exceeding 1.0 pfu) maximum density ( pfu) electron accumulation begin of activity:
electron accumulation /end of activity:
highest values ( in pfu) / reached on: ( date)
event end (= all values back to normal)
 
event 1 of 3: 20170904 AR 23673 20170904/ 22:54 UTC 20170904/ 23:15 UTC not possible overlapsed by second event ( more or less) 200 pfu overlapsed by second event overlapsed by second event overlapsed by second event overlapsed by second event  
sun spots and active regions: NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission SDO( active regions and flares) images of active region involved ( solen . info) 20170904 PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ begin (GOES 13) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ end (GOES 13) electron accumulation/ begin ( GOES 145) electron accumulation( end (GOES 145)
event descriptions and comments:
    continued by second event ( beleow) interrupted by second proton event ( below)  
event nr and ate ( ifserial) active solar region time of solar event (STEREO Ahead) : time of first proton impact ( GOES 13) resulting time of Proton speed  ( km/ second) duration (> 10 Me Protons exceeding 1.0 pfu) maximum density ( pfu) electron accumulation begin of activity:
electron accumulation /end of activity:
highest values ( in pfu) / reached on: ( date)
event end (= all values back to normal)
 
event 2 of 3: 20170906/ 14: 24 UTC AR 23673 20170906/ 14:24 20170906/sfter 12 UTC unknown (overlapsed overlapsed by third event ( more or less) 800 pfu          
sun spots and active regions: NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission SDO( active regions and flares) images of active region involved ( solen . info)20170908 PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ begin (GOES 13) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ end (GOES 13) electron accumulation/ begin ( GOES 145) electron accumulation( end (GOES 145)
event descriptions and comments:
    continued by third event ( below) interrupted by third proton event ( below)  
event nr and ate ( ifserial) active solar region time of solar event (STEREO Ahead) : time of first proton impact ( GOES 13) resulting time of Proton speed  ( km/ second) duration (> 10 Me Protons exceeding 1.0 pfu) maximum density ( pfu) electron accumulation begin of activity:
electron accumulation /end of activity:
highest values ( in pfu) / reached on: ( date)
event end (= all values back to normal)
 
event 3 of 3: 20170906/ 16: 00 UTC AR 23673 STEREO Ahead/ 20170910/ 16:24 20170910/ 16 UTC not possible 20170910/ after 15 UTC -until 20170918 > 1.000 pfu! 20170915
ongoing
currently > 10.000 pfu.-
   
sun spots and active regions: NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission SDO( active regions and flares) images of active region involved ( solen . info) 20170910 PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ begin (GOES 13) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ end (GOES 13) 20170918 electron accumulation/ begin ( GOES 145) electron accumulation( end (GOES 15)
event descriptions and comments:
   
             
development of active region involved in SPE during following solar rotation periods ( images. solen/info:            
FURTHER ANALYSIS: solar region involved in initial SPE activity: the comparation of active region during succeeding rotation periods should bring an answer how active region change or an whether they dissolve by ( after solar SPEs ( solar proton events)    
  earlier flares on 20170904   images of active region 12637 involved ( solen.info) 20170904 images of active region 12637 involved ( solen . info) 20170906 images of active region 12637 involved ( solen . info) 20170908 active regions and CH on 20170904: images of active region involved ( solen . info) 20170909 images of active region involved ( solen . info) 20170910
sat environment after CME impact from X 7.9 flare during G 4 geomagnetic storm on 20170908:
 
 
^20170904/ 22:54 UTC ^20170906/ 14:24 20170910/ 16:24            
FURTHER ANALYSIS: same solar corrdinates of active region involved in initial SPE activity, on solar rotation pweriod later ( 27, 25 days)    
same solar ccordinates with active region - one rotation period later > ( as those archives are nor yet available now, this featzure can be updated on November 2017)
27 days after  first event:(= 1 solar rotation period after )- 20171001- 07:
               
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
 
                     
(SECTION 3) EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
       

(EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST MAINLY BASED ON SEP EVENTS/ EFFECTS)

 
VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKE FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES- GLACIAL MELTDOWN /b METHANHYDRATES -THUNDERSTORMS - INDUCED CURRENTS- ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
     
ORANGE BACKGROUND= " LATENCY" MEANS: THESE EFFECTS  ARE LATENT AND EXPECTABLE , BUT CURRENTLY / TODAY RATHER UNLIKELY  
             

SEP AND SOLAR IMPACT RELATED FORECAST

 

ALERT LEVEL:

  NOTICES:

ALERT LEVEL

TODAY`S EXPECTABLE IMMIDIATE SEP EFFECTS:  
20171110: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeding 10.000 pfu / Stronger Fluctuations!

ESTIMATED MAX. MAGNITUDES TODAY* :

ESTIMATED INTENSITY* :

REMARKS* :

  Stronger earthquakes can be expected to occure, when the integral electron flux is suddenly SHARPLY dropping or rising between </> 100- 1.000 pfu. and more than 1.000 pfu .

20171110: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeding 10.000 pfu / Stronger Fluctuations!    
VOLCANO SURFACE ACTIVITIES (+ )

NOVEMBER 13 2016:

integral electron flux (real time):   RADIO BLACKOUTS ( protons) (-)  

M 5.5 -   > 7.0 (DECREASING )

1-2 ( )

20171110: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeding 1.000 pfu / Stronger Fluctuations!

SPONTANOUSLY DISCHARGING ELECTRONS STRONG (THUNDER) STORMS/ TORNADOES ( MAINLY NORTHERN HEMISPHERE (+)  

NOVEMBER 14 -15 2017 (preliminary!)

WHALE/ DOLPHIN BEACHINGS (GEOMAGNETIC STORM)  

M 5.5 -   6.0 (LOW)

1-2 ( )

20171110: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeding 1.000 pfu / calm!

ELECTRON ACCUMULATION/SPONTANOUSLY DISCHARGING - INDUCTION OF HIGH CURRENTS AND VOLTAGES (POWER GRIDS A.O.) (+but rather low)  
(since 20160226): ACCUMULATED ELECTRONS (SEP phase III) SLOWLY DISCHARGING

further outlook:

  SUDDEN MELTDOWN OF PERMAICE including METHANHYDRATES (MAGMATIC)  
M 5.5. - > M X (LOW) 1- 3 (RATHER MAGMATIUC)

SEP PHASE II (HIGH ELECTRON ACCUMULATION) WITH (ELECTRO-) ENERGETIC EFECTS ON ATMOSPHERE AND SURFACE ( ALSO EARTH MANTLE?)

SEP EFFECTS:

PROTONS OR + ION IMPACT : ELECTRON DEPRESSION (-)  

ABOUT "LATENCY" (orange) >

HOT SPOTS > VOLCANIC HOT SPOT ACTIVITIES/ MAGMATIC INTRUSION ( -)  

 

PROTONS > PROTON IMPACT AT SOUTHERN POLE /INCREASING EARTH MANTLE TEMPERATURE (-)  
NOTES: ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 with green background is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable -. * Earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
EARTHQUAKES > MAGMATIC (MICRO-) QUAKES/ (+) SUBDUCTION QUAKES (-)  

+ means protons ( in DC: "negative charge"

- means electrons (in DC "positiv charge"

      NASA Earth/ surface temperature anomalies/last release : AUGUST 2016> ( service no more available!!)   Electron accumulation in Northern Hemisphere (+ )  
       
CLIMATE WEATHER >
PARADOX CIRCUMPOLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (NORTHERN HEMISPHERE ONLY): LATITUDENAL DIVIDED WEATHER: with COLD SNAPS IN NORTHERN , HEAVY RAIN IN CENTRAL and HEATWAVES, DROUGHTS , AT SOUTHERN EDGE()  
remarks> * latent potential for earthquakes with magnitudes higher than M 9.0! Some major catastrophic earthquake might likely happen, when effects of accumulated SEPs diminuish /.> 10 MeV electron accumulation will be neutralised, what is indicated , when electron energy suddenly will sharply drop at its end  
                 
LATEST CME IMPACT REGIONS/ =EXPECTABLE EVENT REGIONS- MAINLY AFFECTED BY LATEST PROTON EVENT (SEP)  
PRIMARY REGIONS/ PLATE BOUNDARIES (longitudenal): Latest SEP impact/ by coordinates:  
US WEST COAST , ALASKA/ KAMCHATKA N- AMERICA ><NASCA >< INDO AUS><PACIFIC 150° E- 150° W  
     

by longitude:

 
SOUTH AMERICA & EASTERN PACIFIC

S- AMERICA > < NASCA< > PACIFIC

global/ mostly in EASTERN PACIFIC
WESTERN EUROPE &ATLANTIC (CANARIES!)

N- AMERICA ><EURASIA ><AFRICA

by latitude:

CENTRAL AMERICA

ATLANTIC ><S & N- AMERICA >< CARRIBEAN >< COCOS

SOUTH- CENTRAL Hemisphere:
JAPAN- INDONESIA

EURASIA >< PACIFIC>< INDO/ AUS

ACCUMULATING SEPS!

^NASA D-RAP/ current real time image : global heat absorption after SEPS and x ray burst (example) ^NASA DRAP AFTER STRONGER PROTON EVENT (20140108 with > 10 MeV Protons > 100 pfu.)  
SECONDARY REGIONS : 1-2 < ESTIMATED EFFECT INTENSITY accumulating SEPs can create rising heat within the Earth mantle that leads to strong magmatic /volcanic events

how to interprate NASA D-RAP :

solar particles from SPEs (=solar proton events) impact always along the geomagnetic field lines towards and through the poles Protons always through the Southern pole, where their high cinetic energy is transformed into heat by friction:/ discoloration in this map then goes from green (=low heat)to red (=high heat) absorption.

Major solar x ray outbursts such as after major solar flares-if these are associated with CMEs (coronal mass ejections) always impact in the equatorial regions and cause discolorations on this map mainly in the spectrum from green to blue.

 

EASTERN EUROPE

AFRICA>< EURASIA><INDO/AUS><PAC  
CENTRAL & WESTEN PACIFIC AMERICA >< PACIFIC >< INDO/ AUS    
       
           

 

 

 

ABOUT SEPs:
LAST MAJOR PROTON IMPACT (PHASE I) ELECTRON ACCUMULATION (PHASE II) FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS:
SOLAR ACCELERATED AND EMMITTED PROTONS IMMIGRATE THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD AND ITS POLAR ORBIT THE PROTONS CREATE AN ADDITIONAL GRAVITY PULL> THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ATTRACKTS AN EQUIVALENT OF ENERGETIC ELECTRONS FROM THE SOLAR MAGNETIC FIELTO NEUTRALISE THIS + CHARGE AFTER THE PROTONS NOW ALSO ELECTRONS HAVE LOST THEIR CINETIC ENERGY THROUGH HEAT FRICTION. THE ACCUMULATION COLLAPSES THE EARTH MANTLE - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.- COOLS DOWN AND CONTRACTS AGAIN.
HEAT EFFECTS ON EARTH CORE AND MANTLE: VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-) TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC SURFACE ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere) > MAJOR AND potential CATASTROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
green = effects over yet yellow/ red = currently active orange= pending/ latent hazard
 
Significant SEPs (Solar proton events) since 2014: ( > 10 Me V protons exceeding 10 pfu.)
Inhalt
 

SOLAR SPE ACTIVITY IN 2017:

 
new template for documentation of SPE ( solar proton event)                  
ISSUE serial of  solar SPEs 20170714- 20170910 active sun spot regions involved: 1 3 rotation periods              
event nr and ate ( ifserial) active solar region time of solar event (STEREO Ahead) :20170904 after 20 UTC time of first proton impact ( GOES 13) resulting time of Proton speed  ( km/ second) duration (> 10 Me Protons begin exceeding 1.0 pfu) maximum density ( pfu) electron accumulation begin of activity:
electron accumulation /end of activity:
highest values ( in pfu) / reached on: ( date)
event end (= all values back to normal)
 
event 1 of 3: 20170904 AR 23673 20170904/ 22:54 UTC 20170904/ 23:15 UTC not possible overlapsed by second event ( more or less) 200 pfu overlapsed by second event overlapsed by second event overlapsed by second event overlapsed by second event  
sun spots and active regions: NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission SDO( active regions and flares) images of active region involved ( solen . info) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ begin (GOES 13) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ end (GOES 13) electron accumulation/ begin ( GOES 145) electron accumulation( end (GOES 145)
event descriptions and comments:
      continued by second event ( beleow) interrupted by second proton event ( below)  
event nr and ate ( ifserial) active solar region time of solar event (STEREO Ahead) : time of first proton impact ( GOES 13) resulting time of Proton speed  ( km/ second) duration (> 10 Me Protons exceeding 1.0 pfu) maximum density ( pfu) electron accumulation begin of activity:
electron accumulation /end of activity:
highest values ( in pfu) / reached on: ( date)
event end (= all values back to normal)
 
event 2 of 3: 20170906/ 14: 24 UTC AR 23673 20170906/ 14:24 20170906/sfter 12 UTC unknown (overlapsed              
sun spots and active regions: NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission SDO( active regions and flares) images of active region involved ( solen . info)20170908 PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ begin (GOES 13) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ end (GOES 13) electron accumulation/ begin ( GOES 145) electron accumulation( end (GOES 145)
event descriptions and comments:
    continued by third event ( below) interrupted by third proton event ( below)  
event nr and ate ( ifserial) active solar region time of solar event (STEREO Ahead) : time of first proton impact ( GOES 13) resulting time of Proton speed  ( km/ second) duration (> 10 Me Protons exceeding 1.0 pfu) maximum density ( pfu) electron accumulation begin of activity:
electron accumulation /end of activity:
highest values ( in pfu) / reached on: ( date)
event end (= all values back to normal)
 
event 3 of 3: 20170906/ 14: 24 UTC AR 23673 STEREO Ahead/ 20170910/ 16:24 20170910/ after 15 UTC   20170910/ after 15 UTC -until 20170918 > 1.000 pfu! 20170915
ongoing
currently > 10.000 pfu.-
   
sun spots and active regions: NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission SDO( active regions and flares) images of active region involved ( solen . info) 20170910 PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ begin (GOES 13) PROTON impact in geomagnetic field/ end (GOES 13) 20170918 electron accumulation/ begin ( GOES 145) electron accumulation( end (GOES 15)
event descriptions and comments:
   
development of active region involved in SPE during following solar rotation periods ( images. solen/info:            
27 days after  first event:(= 1 solar rotation period after ) solen/info :12681 (former 23673) on 20170924: SDO >
comment:
53 days after  first event:(= 2 solar rotation period after ) solen/info SDO > 27 days after  first event:(= 1 solar rotation period after ) solen /info SDO >  
 
20170924: AR 23673 is rotating in again on the eastern solar limb and is now number ed as AR 12681. It definitely has lost most of its area and mass and has only low activity, what indicates again that this active region ( in general most or all sun spots active regions) after a constant growth at the end of their "life time" dissapear/ dissolve (explode) finally with what we know as being "solar proton events (SPE)
             
                     
additioonal images: earlier flares on 20170904   images of active region involved ( solen . info) 20170909            
sat environment after CME impact from X 7.9 flare during G 4 geomagnetic storm on 20170908:
 
           
 
^20170904/ 22:54 UTC ^20170906/ 14:24 20170910/ 16:24          
   

20170714/ after 03 UTC: The first major proton event since 1014. The source of the event likely was AR 23655 which was increasingly active over the past days and weeks.

warming effects of incoming protons on earth mantle may lead to higher magmatic intrusion/ activities volcanic hot spots in the eastern and central pacific such as Hawaii. Rather nothing to worry about but with the low activity level in the last years the effects of the event might become unusual strong.

 
NASA/Stereo Ahead COR 2 Telescope: SOlar gases heated up by the proton emission ( The solar event started some earlier than 1: 54 UTC on 20170714: GOES Proton flux into earth orbit and GM field: NASA D_RAP/: Impact of protons from solar protons event / 20170714 on geomagnetic poles: SDO/ 20170714/ 02:05 UTC:          

         
<< The solar event started some earlier than 1: 54 UTC on 20170714. The center of the explosion- AR 23655 was not on the solar meridian, so protons emitted towards the earth are slown down by solor coronal gases - >> First protons (see GOES protons flux) on earth arrived about 1 hour later with about 1/ 7 of the speed of light, resp. with about 41.666 km/ second (150.000.000 km : 3600 sec.)    
 

 

 

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OTHER NEWS / SOLAR SYSTEM:

NASA JPL/ 20171107: Hot News from the Antarctic Underground

Study Bolsters Theory of Heat Source Under West Antarctica A new NASA study adds evidence that a geothermal heat source called a mantle plume lies deep below Antarctica's Marie Byrd Land, explaining some of the melting that creates lakes and rivers under the ice sheet. Although the heat source isn't a new or increasing threat to the West Antarctic ice sheet, it may help explain why the ice sheet collapsed rapidly in an earlier era of rapid climate change, and why it is so unstable today. The stability of an ice sheet is closely related to how much water lubricates it from below, allowing glaciers to slide more easily. Understanding the sources and future of the meltwater under West Antarctica is important for estimating the rate at which ice may be lost to the ocean in the future. Antarctica's bedrock is laced with rivers and lakes, the largest of which is the size of Lake Erie. Many lakes fill and drain rapidly, forcing the ice surface thousands of feet above them to rise and fall by as much as 20 feet (6 meters). The motion allows scientists to estimate where and how much water must exist at the base....read more...

     
NASA JPL/ 20170613: Five Years of Curiosity on Mars >   (ESA, 20170801:GRAVITY WAVES DETECTED IN SUN'S INTERIOR REVEAL RAPIDLY ROTATING CORE    
 Original air date: July 13, 2017 Nearly five years after its celebrated arrival at Mars, the Curiosity rover continues to reveal Mars as a once-habitable planet. Early in the planet’s history, generations of streams and lakes created the landforms that Curiosity explores today. The rover currently is climbing through the foothills of Mount Sharp, a 3-mile-high mountain formed from sediment brought in by water and wind. This talk will cover the latest findings from the mission, the challenges of exploration with an aging robot, and what lies ahead. Speakers:
James K. Erickson, Mars Science Laboratory Project Manager, JPL
Ashwin R. Vasavada, Mars Science Laboratory Project Scientist, JPL      
CASSINI: FIRST CLOSE UP IMAGES OF SATURN, ITS RINGS AND MOONS:          
 
Cassini/ Huygen Saturn: Bezeichnend, dass so oft weder NASA noch ESA in der Lage scheinen außer animationen auch wirklich gute HD Bilder und vernünftige Informationen von ihren sensationellen space trips zu liefern. Da wundert es nicht dass manche meinen , die ganze Raumfahrt fände nur ein einem Hollywood Studio statt . Schließlich leistete Europa einen- wenn nicht " den" wesentliche Beitrag zur ersten Raumfahrt- z.B Wernher v Braun, oder aber das MPI mit SOHO- dem Prototypen aller jetzigen Sonnenobserver der NASA , um nur einige zu nennen ) Hey guys- whats going on there? Was wirklich interessant ist scheint man eher zurückzuhalten. Die m M nach spektakulärsten entdeckungen machte vor über 20 Jahren der Orbiter Magellan mittels Radarphotographie von der Venus Oberfläche ..Nach ca 2 Monaten wurde DAMALS einfach behauptet, ( und das teilte mir niemand anders mit als Herr Von Däniken, der es offiziell so direkt von der nasa erfahren haben will als ich nach einem Vortrag in Ro darauf ansprach) Magellan sei "unerwartet ausgefallen und kaputt". Offiziell sei sie aber- so wiki- nach vollendeter Mission- also der Rasterung der gesamten Oberfläche- in der Venus atmospäre verglüht. Auf der Nasa Magellan webseite findet man aber bisn heute nur allenfalls 3 Bilder aus drei Gegenden davon. ( eistla region , die sog "Pancakes" und Maas MOns . ..) Von Zeit zu Zeit taucht aber woanders dann immer wieder mal noch der eine oder andere Schnappschuss ( have you got a whistleblower there?) von einer Venus Gegend auf, den man auf der Magellan seite noch nie gesehen hat wie z B hier: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DAtUFA77uvg hier eine computeranimation der NASA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xrMu3jq6P8. Momentan wird gerade die Cassini Mission gefeiert https://saturn.jpl.nasa.gov/galleries/raw-images/ Viel sensationelles ist auf dem verschwommenen Material nicht zu sehen. Saturn bleibe so NASA ein "Geheimnis" Bei dem, was man derzeit aber als photographie von einem Durchflug durch einer der Lücken zwischen den Saturnringen veröffentlicht, handelt es sich um ältere Aufnahmen des Saturn Südpoles. https://saturnraw.jpl.nasa.gov/multimedia/images/raw/casJPGFullS99/W00107026.jpg .Halbwegs brauchbare Zusammenfassungen fertigen dann meist andere an:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AyFMPdHU1n0 Anderes geht einfach in einem Wust unwichtiger technischer HIntergrundinformationen und dem patriotisch/ technischen Erfolgsjubel unter: Wie kann es z B sein dass auf dem Planeten Mars der so gut wie keine atmosphäre besitzt - auf angeblich "natürliche Weise so viele, verschiedene - und vor allem aber so genaue - meist an Teile von Gebäuden erinnernde- geometrische Formen on oft aus anderem Steinmaterial als man es in der Umgebung sieht - entstehen? Ich m glaube es war eine planetary flyby colission mit einem anderen Planeten( Phaeton/Venus) oder mond. Wioe auch immer Sicherlich wurde auch nicht alles was junge amateurforscher da entdecken , von von "Außeridischen" "Venusianern" oder aber früheren Irdischen Zivis geschaffen. Man muss sich dazu alle ansehen :hier nur ein paar davon, von jemandem der alle neu hereinkommenden hochauflösenden Curiosity Bilder analysiert ( mit quellenangaben und links zu den origional NASA Aufnahmen und seine Fundsachen in bereits dutzenden Videos dem staunenden Publikum zeigt : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Slc2ELp7vf4&t=346s    

 

  click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
         

 

 

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive

 

     

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth

your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)

Curiosity Rover Mars/ 2017 :

   
   
^^^^ ( Nov 2016) this latest freaky image shows something like an ancient mars robot, whose energy cells probably ran empty some thousand years ago ( click here for original NASA RAW image) >>> (original NASA image) click to enlarge note the object in the right upper corner, lokking like a machine part Now we know, how the aliens those once constructed us, really looked like. "the Head of the statue":  
         
EARIER ITEMS: --- the extraterrists made also Yoga excercises: Statue Of Being In Lotus Position (Indian Style) On Mars Looks Human Possible Egyptian Queen Style Statue Imaged By The Curiosity Rover On SOL 796 ( found by: what`s up in the sky)    
what`s up in the sky: Amazing Pyramid & Broken Wall Found On Mars! click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item)      

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (OTHER) FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 
euronews/20150507: US: mystery lake drains in Oregon - no comment RT/ 20160812: Genitalia-eating human-toothed’ fish pulled from Michigan lakes (PHOTO) Rare phenomena: giant ice balls form on a beach in Siberia  
       
euronews/ 20160418/ Massive stone ball discovered in Bosnia still a mystery for scientists        

 

 

APPENDIX:

   

 

data for this reports and forecasts are exclusively taken from reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewaehr!

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