According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.
THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-
LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024
SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG
- activities and major events-
note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)
.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.
ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
SECTION: LATEST INFORMATION ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES
EVENT RELATED INTERPLANETARY & GEOMAGNETIC DATA PLOTS IMAGES OR VIDEO SOURCES:
(1) SOLAR REAL TIME / CURRENT SATELLITE DATA AND EVENTS
REAL TIME images links for current views on the sun surface- click to enlarge
HOW SOLAR ACTIVITY REPORTS ARE COMMONLY MADE:
SOLAR (NEAR) REAL TIME images as provided by satellites such as SDO, STEREO and SoHO are the first main source on Solar activity data: Various telescopes imaging different levels of frequencies can make sun spots, active regions visoiblöe as well as coronal holes and solar eruptions: solar prominences, flares and associated CMEs ( one exception are proton emissions those remain invisible on any usal imagery. Protons emissions and storms can be measured withe certain instruments instead ( GOES)
Second step is the interplanetary space and solar magnetic field . The Advanced Composition Explorer ( ACE) is "situated" on an geosynchronous orbit outside the geomagnetic field . This satellite has only measurement instruments onboard those deliver various data about the composition of the solar wind. Solar winds blow and circulate regularly through the interplanatary space . Coronal mass ejections and other extraordinary solar events eruptions throw large amounts of solar matter into the interplanetary space . ACE can deliver first data , how strong a possibly earth directed CME might be 1 - 2 days before those CMEs impact and answer the first primary question associated to any CME: Has the main CMEa positive or negative "POLARITY "-( =AN ESPECIAL - PROTON or ELECTRON charge)? means: is the incoming CME NEUTRAL, has it higher accelerated PROTONs or ELECTRONS. THis first question (which one of the two antagonists- the proton or electrons arrives first) determines whether a CME can fully impact into the geomagnetic field or almost NOT AT ALL!
Last not least, in the third step, the GEOSTATIONARY GOES SATELLITES measure what INDEED IMPACTS INTO THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD, basic for all space weather forecasts and forceasts as this one on my page, how strong EARTH DIRECTED CMES might unfluence nature and human civilisation!
-Go to "SOLAR CONTROL CENTER to find out more about these solar observatories or click on the many links on this page to get fisst hand informations!-
SOLAR REAL TIME SAT IMAGES :
note also: SDO, SOHO C3 and STEREO (360° VIEW°) REAL TIME IMAGES ON TOP OF THAT PAGE!
the Earth`s geomagnetic field electrons might defend the Earth even against CMEs from a X 10 flare, what poses the likely only danger , is the attack "from the other side" know as "protons events"
ABOUT: SOLAR PROTON EMISSIONS (proton flares or storms etc. ) ARE RARE EVENTS . But- differently to the mostly of negative charged (electrons) CMEs , PROTON CMEs effect (finally by associated energetic events) until deep into the ground and the Earth`s interior. Proton emissions impact fully into the (negatively charged) geomagnetic field by their positive electric charge and add a positive component to it, what makes the geomag. field TEMPORARELY then also vulnerable especially for following negatively charged CMEs . The protons themselves have paradox effects: first they swallow many electrons (likely reacting with them to neutrons what causes first a "geomagnetic depression" with lower field density (lessactive, free electrons) and paradox ANTIENERGETIC effects (best describable as the "calm prior to the storm" ) .. read more in text box above
Long-range communications using high frequency (HF) radio waves (3 - 30 MHz) depend on reflection of the signals in the ionosphere. Radio waves are typically reflected near the peak of the F2 layer (~300 km altitude), but along the path to the F2 peak and back the radio wave signal suffers attenuation due to absorption by the intervening ionosphere.
Absorption is the process by which the energy of radio waves is converted into heat and electromagnetic (EM) noise through interactions between the radio wave, ionospheric electrons, and the neutral atmosphere (for a more extensive description of the absorption process see Davies, 1990). Most of the absorption occurs in the ionospheric D region (50–90 km altitude) where the product of the electron density and the electron-neutral collision frequency attains a maximum...
The precipitation of protons (as well as other ions) into the earth’s atmosphere during the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events can also create significant enhancements of ionospheric electron densities in the D region. Solar protons with energies between 1 to 200 MeV are primarily responsible for most of ionization of the D region and, consequently, for the ionospheric absorption of HF radio waves. Because of shielding of the earth by its magnetic field SEPs find easy access to the atmosphere only in high latitude regions around the earth’s geomagnetic poles. Such occurrences are therefore termed Polar Cap Absorption (PCA) events....read more...
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
( collecting of recommendable international news channels is still ongoing...): Note: This list is dedicated to get latest informations directly from regional news channels and sources all over the world . Alien-homepage does not take any responsibility for contents of websites posted on this list nor for their liability
The latest crater to appear in Siberia measures around 20 metres in diameter and around 25-to-30 metres in depth. Its sudden appearance in recent days close to Novokuznetsk region is around 3,500 kilometres from other craters found in Arctic Russia in recent months. Initial theories suggest mining subsidence caused the collapse, but locals remain concerned about methane gas in the disused shafts. They have been told to avoid fires amid concern over methane leaks. The hole was spotted by Rinat Sharifullin, whose house is 100 metres away. He immediately called to the Emergency Ministry. The gaping crevice was fenced and specialists have now filled it using soil from an adjacent hill. Despite this, the crater is causing concern among locals. Rinat's wife Natalia said: 'We need to move from here. Under our garden are mines, too, and the site nearby was once the entrance to a mine. In the 1990s it was closed and the ground was filled in.' There has been no comment from the Emergencies Ministry or the regional government on the cause of the hole. Apparently, another smaller hole is nearby which was filled with water. ...read more...
Around 150 dolphins were found stranded on the Hokota beach in Ibaraki prefecture, about 100 km northeast of Tokyo, Japan on April 10, 2015. Some dolphins, mostly melon-headed whales (also known as electra dolphins) or blackfish were found alive, but were extremely weak. Rescuers were able to save only three of them before the darkness fell and local officials in Hokota called off the rescue efforts. The rest of the animals had either died or were dying. ABC news reports: A journalist at the scene said that despite efforts to get the dolphins into the water, some were being pushed back onto the beach by the tide soon after they had been released. The pod was stretched out along a roughly 10-kilometre-long stretch of beach in Hokota, Ibaraki, where they had been found by locals early on Friday morning [April 10, 2015]. "We see one or two whales washing ashore a year, but this may be the first time to find over 100 of them on a beach," a coastguard official said. A cetacean expert at the National Museum of Nature and Science told NHK television that the dolphins may have had a physiological or psychological problem and faced an unknown threat and panicked, before becoming stranded.... read more...
remark: the incident that occured during a major G" geomagnetic storm- indicates again, as many before- that most of the dolphinor whale strandings might be related to the current G2 gemomagnetic storm, by which whales and dolphiny loose orientation.
BOULDER – The Sun undergoes a type of seasonal variability, with its activity waxing and waning over the course of nearly two years, according to a new study by a team of researchers led by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). This behavior affects the peaks and valleys in the approximately 11-year solar cycle, sometimes amplifying and sometimes weakening the solar storms that can buffet Earth’s atmosphere.
The quasi-annual variations appear to be driven by changes in the bands of strong magnetic fields in each solar hemisphere. These bands also help shape the approximately 11-year solar cycle that is part of a longer cycle that lasts about 22 years.
“What we’re looking at here is a massive driver of solar storms,” said Scott McIntosh, lead author of the new study and director of NCAR’s High Altitude Observatory. “By better understanding how these activity bands form in the Sun and cause seasonal instabilities, there’s the potential to greatly improve forecasts of space weather events.... read more...
A “JET STREAM” IN THE SUN
The new study is one of a series of papers by the research team that examines the influence of the magnetic bands on several interrelated cycles of solar magnetism. In a paper last year in Astrophysical Journal, the authors characterized the approximately 11-year sunspot cycle in terms of two overlapping parallel bands of opposite magnetic polarity that slowly migrate over almost 22 years from high solar latitudes toward the equator, where they meet and terminate.
McIntosh and his co-authors detected the twisted, ring-shaped bands by drawing on a host of NASA satellites and ground-based observatories that gather information on the structure of the Sun and the nature of solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). These observations revealed the bands in the form of fluctuations in the density of magnetic fuel that rose from the solar interior through a transition region known as the tachocline and on to the surface, where they correlated with changes in flares and CMEs.
In the new paper, the authors conclude that the migrating bands produce seasonal variations in solar activity that are as strong as t... read more...
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
2014020: STRONGER M 6.6 SEAQUAKE NEAR TAIWAN/ stronger activity also in Mediterranean sea and near AZORES ISLANDS
One man died and another was hospitalised Monday after a fire caused by a powerful quake off Taiwan that set buildings shaking in the capital Taipei and sparked a short-lived tsunami warning in far southwestern Japan. Japanese forecasters had warned the 6.6 magnitude earthquake could cause a tsunami as high as one metre (three feet) affecting several islands in the Okinawa chain. But they lifted the alert around an hour later, with no abnormal waves recorded. No damage was reported in Japan, but a four-storey apartment building in New Taipei City caught fire after an electrical box outside the block exploded in the quake. A 65-year-old man who lived in the building "showed no signs of life" at the scene, the fire service said....read more...
Taipei - Mein erstes Erdbeben, aber auch die anwesenden Taiwanesen waren "unentspannt". Vom Tisch ist nichts gefallen, aber das Aquarium im Vorraum ist übergeschwappt. Beim Blick aus dem Fenster hat man ganz deutlich das Schwanken des Gebäudes gesehen. Wir waren nur im 4. Stock, aber es war sehr unangenehm.
this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.
increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014)
NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.
yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values
*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report
3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:
LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT
01- 04/ 14
Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.
Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./
Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.
HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>
INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!
STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS
The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"
REGION "E" (1)
REGION "E" (2)
REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>
EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST
JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL
ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII
WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA
GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST
, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST
CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA
INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR
20150407: Power surge with subsequent TRANSFORMER FIRE knocks out electrical service in parts of D.C. region
20150408" comparition of geomagnetic conditions during five recent air traffivc incidents 20150403: it already happened once and exactly in the same way! The similarities to LAM Mozambique Airlines Flight 470 that crashed with the speed of sound in 2013
20150403: Investigators say: First examination of FDR (Flight Data Recorder) confirms theory that Lubitz downed the plane intentedly...
WASHINGTON (WJLA/AP) - Widespread power outages affected the White House, the Capitol, Smithsonian museums, Metrorail stations, the University of Maryland and other sites across Washington and its Maryland suburbs Tuesday afternoon - all because of an explosion at an electrical station, officials said. Read more: http://www.wjla.com/articles/2015/04/breaking-news-major-power-outages-impacting-d-c-and-maryland-112984.html#ixzz3WhcHBQ4U Follow us: @ABC7News on Twitter | WJLATV on Facebook... read more...
A piece of metal breaking loose from a power line 43 miles southeast of the District momentarily knocked out electricity to the White House, State Department and wide swaths of the nation’s capital and Maryland suburbs early Tuesday afternoon.
But many in the city barely noticed.
The outage threw scores of public and private office buildings off the grid, but in most cases, the lights stayed on because backup generators kicked in.
That wasn’t true everywhere. A dozen people were trapped in stalled elevators, passengers were left searching for exits in darkened underground Metro stations, and a building full of Department of Energy employees and the main campus of the University of Maryland closed their doors. Thousands of visitors at Smithsonian museums on the Mall had to leave for hours. While the outage caused little more than a blip for many others, it took most of the afternoon to fully restore electricity.
COMPARITION OF GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS DURING 4 MAJOR AIRPLANE INCIDENTS BETWEEN 2013 and 2015: (click on graphs to enlarge them)
MOst complete coverage of the events I found on CNN : ( just run the first video until it ends! It will automatically continue with the previous report and so on:
Writing in the Times, Jennifer Wild, a psychologist at the University of Oxford, says that the irrational thinking evident from Lubitz's actions in the cockpit may have been triggered by depression, possibly caused by a recent traumatic episode. "Perhaps in his state he did not consider the consequences of his actions, or perhaps he did not care because he was consumed with ending his life," she writes, adding that drug-taking or a bout of extreme anger may also explain his actions.
The crash also raises questions about the cockpit door mechanism which Lubitz used to keep the pilot out. The system, which allows a pilot to over-ride the coded entry mechanism on the outside of the door, was designed in the event of a terrorist emergency. Airlines are going to have to balance those concerns against the possibility that individuals like Andreas Lubitz might decide to do harm, says the BBC's transport correspondent Richard Westcott.
based on the data of the airplane`s latest course and acceleration ( which considers and is based just on little part of the flight data) investigators say they have found evidence confirming their suspicion but also seem to have came yet also to their final conclusion
20150403: First examination sof Flight Data recorder confirms theory that Lubith downed the plane intentedly
Data from the second 'black box' flight recorder belonging to the Germanwings plane that crashed in the French Alps confirms that the co-pilot acted deliberately, investigators say. The French BEA crash investigation agency said Andreas Lubitz repeatedly accelerated the plane's descent. The second flight recorder from the plane was recovered on Thursday. All 150 people on board the flight from Barcelona to Duesseldorf on 24 March were killed. "A first reading shows that the pilot in the cockpit used the automatic pilot to put the airplane on a descent towards an altitude of 100ft (30m)," the BEA said in a statement on Friday. "Then several times the pilot modified the automatic pilot settings to increase the speed of the airplane as it descended," it added. Earlier findings from the cockpit voice recorder suggested Lubitz locked the pilot out of the cockpit. On Thursday, German prosecutors said the co-pilot had researched suicide methods and the security of cockpit doors on the internet the week before the crash....read more...
(by: CNN/ 20150327) Deliberate acts: 5 cases of pilots intentionally crashing( Mozambique Airlines Flight 470 (November 29, 2013) The lives of 27 passengers and six crew members were lost when the plane crashed in the Bwabwata game park in northeastern Namibia. The plane started losing altitude at 38,000 feet and went down swiftly, Namibia's Civil Aviation Department told CNN when the crash happened. The flight was en route from Maputo, Mozambique, to Angola. According to ASN, the crash happened after the co-pilot left the cockpit to go to the bathroom. The captain then manually changed the plane's settings to begin the rapid descent, ASN reported. The cockpit voice recorder captured the sounds of someone pounding on the cockpit door, according to ASN. The reasons behind the captain's actions remain unknown.
(wikipedia) Aircraft] The aircraft involved in the incident was an Embraer 190 with manufacturer serial number 581, registered as C9-EMC and named "Chaimite". Built in October 2012, it was first delivered to LAM Mozambique Airlines in November 2012 and had since accumulated 2905 flight hours in 1877 flight cycles. It was powered by two General Electric CF34-10E engines. The airframe and the engines were last inspected on 28 November 2013, one day before the crash.
INCIDENT: The aircraft was cruising at an altitude of 38,000 feet (11,600 m) over Botswana airspace about halfway between Maputo and Luanda when it began to lose altitude abruptly. The aircraft descended rapidly at a rate of about 100 feet (30 m) per second and was being tracked on radar. The aircraft's track was lost from screens at 3,000 feet (900 m) above sea level, after about six minutes of losing altitude. The last contact with air traffic control was made at 13:30 CAT (11:30 UTC) over northern Namibia during heavy rainfall. Weather was reported to be poor at the time of the incident with heavy rainfalls in the vicinity of the flight path.
20150402/ Flight 4U 9525: Flight Data Recorder (FDR) recovered says French prosecutor, no information available yet.
some comprehensive onlines sites I have found through my research:
Unlike Lufthansa Flight LH1172 before it, however, this MoD report continues, Germanwings Flight 9525, yesterday, wasn’t able to recover from its rapid descent…instead it was obliterated in tens-of-thousands of pieces of metal and human flesh upon the side of a mountain in southern France.
(cited) Apologising to customers Matt Rudling, from the firm, said: "The gas is still burning under there and until we can gain access to that particular area we won't understand what's caused it and what we can do."... read more...
Differently to that German State TV had reported the incident as a " cable fire"
20150330: GERMANWINGS ABSTURZ: keine TREIBSTOFFEXPLOSION KEINERLEI VERKOHLTEN TEILE - keine SPUR vom KEROSIN! IST DIE MASCHINE EINFACH ABGESTÜRZT WEIL DER SPRIT ZU ENDE WAR ?
Mit Geld lässt sich offenbar doch so manches an Trauer und Schmerz kompensieren aber: was wir da an angeblichen "Ermittlungen" erleben ist eine absprache zwischen Politik/ Justiz, Airlinebetreiber und der alleruntersten schmier und dreckwerfer presse die das land zu bieten hat, die in ihrer Art und Weise trotz aller schlimmen Hetzkampagnen die das Land bereits in der Vergangenheit auf dem kerbholz hat , mit zum ekelhaftesten zählt was ich mir hier je mitansehen musste)Ermittlungen die schamlos vor der ganzen Welt als Zeuge überhaupt nur nach solchen indizien sucht und nur noch solche bewertet (und seien sie auch noch so gering!!) welche die These des Selbstmordattentäters in gestalt des Copilioten Andreas Lobitz unterstützen, aber alle anderen offenkundigen Standardfragen und feststellungen die man selbst als fernsehzuschauer gewohnheitsmäßig abckeckt gar nicht erst nachgeht oder aber sie bewussst übergeht und ignoriert. So wurde gestern zwar eine weitere salamischeibe aus dem Voice recorder nachgereicht, nach der der Pilot an der verschlossenenn türe gesagt hätte " mach die verdammte Türe auf" Ein "aha" Gefühl kommt da lange noch nicht auf und man frägt sich nur was das alles letztlich für ein Zweck verfolgt. .Dieser ausschließich verfolgte Verdacht ist außer wenigen nicht eindeutigen Indizien derzeit in keiner Weise auch nur annähernd bewiesen und dürfte als solcher gar nicht erst geäußert werden solange die Daten des Flight Rekorders nicht zur Verfügung stehen und eindeutig beweisen dass die wesentlichen für den reibungslosen Flug erforderlichen Bestandteile des Flugzeug zum Zeitpunkt des Zwischenfalls auch wirklich funktionstüchtig waren. und funktionierten Trotzdem tut jeder so als ob es wahr bzw bewiesen wäre. und die Politik schlachtet den Vorfall bereits als eine art deutschen 911 aus. Doch kaum jemand hat vor lauter amok bemerkt , dass beim absturz keinerlei explosion des Treibstoffes auftrat - keines der Teile die man auf den zahlreichen Photos sieht weist irgendwelche Brandspuren auf Auch am Felsen selbst und am Boden ist nix zu entdecken , keine kokelnden Teile wie sonst üblich , das Flugzeug- sollte es ausreichend betankt gewesen sein hätte bein aufprall noch mindestens 2/ 3 des Treibstoffes in den Tanks haben müssen und die hätten bei der aufprallgeschwindigkeit einen gigantischen feuerball erzeugt. Dass der Treibstoff dabei nicht explodieren würde ist zu 99 % ausgeschlossen und würde u.A. voraussetzen, dass auch die Triebwerke abgeschaltet waren . man suchte auch gar nicht nicht nach kerosin im Boden um die Unglückstelle und in der knappe Woche die seit dem Absturz vergangen sind , wäre solches beim aufprall nicht explodierende Kerosin wohl längst verdunstet id. h die Spur bereits kalt . Pflanzen um die stelle müssten allerdings spuren zeigen und würde wohl in den nächsten wochen daran eingehen. Um in der schnellschußlogik der ermittler und presse zubleiben wäre das FLUGZZEUG ALSO PRAKTISCH ABGESTÜRZT WEIL ES KEINEN SPRIT MEHR HATTE- SO EI(NFACH!! ANMERKUNG das Flugzeug hatte nach 30 Minuten nicht einmal ein Drittel der Strecke zurückgelegt (Flugzeit optimal: ca 80 Minuten) was wohl bedeutet dass sie beim Anflug auf die Alpen stärkerern Gegenwind hatte uncorrected
20150329: Germanwings BILD und NS24 geben bekannt: " FLIGHT DATA RECORDER WIRD VIELLEICHT NIEMALS GEFUNDEN WERDEN" , ohne dendahintersteckenden Hokuspokus aber näher zu erklären...
l PS Now- the page is suddenly back online again. However i copied it yesterday while it was deleted or removed to have that proof for. so- if no human influence just another computer failure!!
I THINK: .The dual system of a computer would be the most perfect calculation machine theoretically unable to make a mistake. But its far away from anything suggested in startrek enterprise) the reason why it makes mistakes maybe hardware disfunctions ( means bad or shabby builtt hardware) some unexpected anomalies in the computers environment ( such as the missing of safety functions against overvoltages, electric shocks or electron accumulation) or software mistakes such as by microgates who same as the apple founder not even had completed their university IT studies before they started to builtt what experts still call the "largest virus in the world" all MS operating system one can use hardly one year after that more and more in it crashes or freezes in and the operating system has to be installed again..
The report about the function of the cockpit door at the end of that posting I found yesterday at euronews (and luckily copied at least the important parts of the text message. It was soon deleted when I yesterday evening tried to bring that to discussion at euronews and german State TV) Its in german .So I post it here originally that everybody sees that it is the original message: IT says, that: EVEN IF THE COPILOT INSIDE THE COCKPIT WOULD HAVE LOCKED THE DOOR by that switch (that disables the code entry by pilot and crew with an emergency code),THE DOOR WOULD EACH 5 Minutes later AUTOMATICALLY OPEN for 10 seconds. BUT OBVIOUSLY IT DIDN`T!!!!
THat would indicate cleary a computer failure.
however if information on that euronews page deleted yesterday would have been (un-) intendedly false, noone would delete such a page than but would be even obliged rather to correct the false information in it
So- lets summarize: As we know: (source: BBC) that briefing between pilot an co was finished at 9:20 GMT, Soon after- so the French prosecutor- the pilot went to the toilet (for how long exactl?) . So- if the Co pilot wants INTENDEDLY to lock him out, he would try to to that soon after the pilot had left .HOWEVER: the pilot came back minutes later and tried then until that time when the plane crashed to GET INSIDE : The plane crashed some after 9:40 UTC. this would be up to 20 MInutes (!!!) after the DOOR WAS LOCKED. So in this time , that door - due to the euronews report- would have been unlocked automatically ( and WITHOUT ANYONE ON THE PLANE COULD INFLUENCE THAT!) at least 3 times for 10 seconds proior to that tima when the plane than actually crashed BUT IT DID NOT A clear proof that all that was a COMPUTER Failure !!
( possibly and that theory is what I am following in my solar report on my homepage) by an electric charge caused by an electrons accumulation/ storm with an value for the > 2.0 MeV Electrons reaching 10.000 pfu on these days) such an electrone accumulation/ charge would change the potential and the current would drop: all devices could stop abruptly and at the same time.
Ask also whether a sinkng flight at that rate possible anyway Its seems rather to have been a plummet after a so called "Stall" thanks: here the original text from that page that was deleted yesterday after I tried to bring that to discussion:
Der geborgene Stimmrekorder enthält Geräusche, die nach Meinung der Ermittler darauf hindeuten, dass Besatzungsmitglieder in den letzten Minuten vor dem Absturz versuchten, die Cockpit-Tür gewaltsam zu öffnen. Nach den Flugzeugentführungen am 11. September 2001, bei denen die Terroristen die Cockpits stürmten, wurden zusätzliche Sicherheitsmaßnahmen installiert, um das Eindringen Unbefugter zu verhindern. Normalerweise gibt die Besatzung einen Code ein, um sich Zutritt zum Cockpit zu verschaffen. Von innen wird die Tür dann per Knopfdruck entriegelt. Wird die Tür nicht entriegelt, wird die Cockpit-Besatzung per Gegensprechanlage aufgefordert zu öffnen. Für den Fall, dass Pilot, Kopilot oder beide das Bewusstsein verloren haben oder aus einem sonstigen Grund die Tür nicht öffnen können, verfügt die Besatzung über einen Notfallcode. Wird dieser eingegeben, ertönt zunächst ein akustisches Signal. Anschließend ist die Tür für 30 Sekunden entriegelt. Allerdings kann diese Notfallautomatik im Cockpit ausgeschaltet werden. In diesem Fall kann die Tür fünf Minuten lang ausschließlich von innen geöffnet werden, danach ist sie für zehn Sekunden freigegeben :
WIESO MUSSTE MAN DANN- KURZ VOR DEM AUFPRALL ALSO NACH DEN 5 MINUTEN (??) VERSUCHEN GEWALTSAM ZU ÖFFNEN?
auch sehr interessant: Rätselhafte Äußerung von Lufthansa-Vizepräsidentin zu Unglücksflug 4U9525: Heike Birlenbach, Vizepräsidentin für Vertrieb und Marketing Europa, wurde von einer Journalistin mit offenbar spanischem Akzent auf Englisch gebeten, Informationen über das Flugzeug zu wiederholen, die auf einer Pressekonferenz von Germanwings gegeben worden waren. Ihre erste Antwort lautete „Beg your pardon?“ („Entschuldigen Sie bitte!“) Das kann sich auf die Akustik bezogen haben. Nachdem die Bitte um Informationen über das Flugzeug wiederholt wurde, antwortet sie: „I cannot comment on this“ (“Dazu kann ich keinen Kommentar abgeben”) und wandte sich an ihren Assistenten. Offenbar ohne zu bedenken, dass die Pressekonferenz aufgezeichnet wurde, sagte sie zu ihm: „Das war das, was er nicht sagen sollte!“ hier im O Ton: http://de.euronews.com/2015/03/24/ratselhafte-auaeerung-von-lufthansa-vizeprasidentin-zu-unglucksflug-4u9525/
Large areas of the Netherlands have been left without electricity. The north of the country has been mainly affected, with the Dutch electricity network operator saying the outage has been caused by a power grid overload.
The capital Amsterdam has been hit, along with the area around Schiphol Airport. Twitter has reported that some hospitals in Amsterdam have been left without power, while the tram and metro networks are also not running in the capital. Thousands of people have been stuck on public transport because the doors will not open as they are controlled electronically.
A giant power outage in Turkey paralyzed the country’s transportation system on Tuesday,forcing confused locals to ride the bus instead of the tramway and metro. Blackouts crippled dozens of cities including Istanbul and the capital Ankara. Local media said this was Turkey’s biggest power outage in over a decade. It started shortly after 10:30 in the morning local time, closing down tram and metro lines, switching off traffic lights and causing traffic jams. Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said it could be just a technical glitch but that all possible causes were being examined, including terrorism. The blackouts have forced millions of locals to find alternative itineraries, and the energy ministry has set up a crisis centre to look into the problem. >>
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
20150410: Tornadoes Rip Through Northern Illinois, Killing 1 and Injuring 7
20150402: Massive sandstorm hits Arabian Peninsula
TROPICAL STORMS/ DECEMBER 2014
note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!
America's worst severe weather outbreak so far in 2015 was Thursday, when a preliminary total of sixteen tornadoes touched down in Illinois, Iowa, and Missouri. Many of the tornado reports came from a single long-lived supercell in northern Illinois, about 80 miles northwest of Chicago, that spawned a large wedge-shaped tornado around 7 pm local time. Significant damage was reported near the town of Rochelle, and every structure in the tiny town of Fairdale was reportedly damaged or destroyed. At least one person was killed in Fairdale, and seven were injured.
A massive sandstorm has swept through Arabian Peninsula on April 1 and 2, 2015 severely reducing visibility, disrupting traffic and causing residents to suffer breathing difficulties. In many places the visibility was turned to zero. The sandstorm of the intensity never seen at least in recent years, enveloped large parts of Qatar all too suddenly by around 18:30 UTC last night (21:30 local time), ThePeninsulaQatar reports. Abdullah Al Mannai, veteran researcher and analyst at the Qatar weather bureau said that high pressure had built over large parts of the Arabian Peninsula and caused high wind which was kicking up sand from the deserts. "The seas were rough and in some places waves were rising up to 3.6 to 4.2 meters (12 to 14 feet), Al Mannai said. Winds reached 110 km/h (68.3 mph) at some places....read more...
>>Sandstorm as seen in Dubai, UAE on April 2, 2015 >>
SANTIAGO, April 22 (Reuters) - Volcano Calbuco in southern Chile erupted for the first time in more than five decades on Wednesday, sending a thick plume of ash and smoke nearly 20 kilometers into the sky.
Chile's Onemi emergency office declared a red alert following the sudden eruption at around 1800 local time (2100 GMT), which occurred about 1,000 kilometers (625 miles) south of Santiago, the capital, near the tourist town of Puerto Varas.
As night fell, about 4,000 people had so far moved out of the area, an evacuation radius of 20 kilometers has been established and classes have been canceled in surrounding towns, authorities said.
President Michelle Bachelet is scheduled to travel to the affected area on Thursday.
Nearly on the anniversary of the evacuation of 28 thousand camelids from its pastures, the Ubinas volcano erupts once again. The Ubinas volcano of the Moquegua region erupted this morning at 4:24 a.m. causing a layer of ash to fall over nearby villages minutes later, according to Perú21. On March 31, 2014, the volcano’s eruption caused Querapi residents to be evacuated as it sits just five kilometers from the volcano. Days later on April 21, Peru ordered the evacuation of the camelid animals, as the volcano posed a threat following further activity. Today the Ubinas volcano erupted after about four months of calm. The National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology of Peru (SENAMHI) calculated that the 2.5 km column of ash above the crater could reach more than 15 kilometers to the southeast. Escacha and Ubinas Valley therefore will be receiving a layer of ash on their homes, cars, sidewalks, and buidlings today following the eruption. Scientific institutions advise that the local populations protect themselves with masks and goggles and to protect water resources and food to prevent contamination.
20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html
1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS
S4392 on the Western limb obviously produced an SEP on 20150422 after 17 UTC. Values are currently slightly rising. even a minor protons storm will ve followed by another electron accumulation that will keep up climate distriubances and volcanism, as we hade it dutring the recent month and years
20150421: the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects. Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day. Allthough the > 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge) GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings. THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: Reasons are there to be careful especially in the regions of the EASTERN PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts
1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS
the integral electron flux dropped ( was compressed) after a major CME impacted on April 09 , that either contained protons or which was rotating and polarised, impacting with the + pole. The major CME had erupted on APril 06 from a central solar active region had impacted . Electron flux dropped by the event ( compression) on 20150409 but resumed on APril 17 again and exceeded again 1.000 pfu later on that day. On April 19, electron flux began to drop without solar influence, what indicated the final discharge of electrons makroing the end of previous SEPs effects.
Another - also positive charged CME from a filament eruption impacted early on April 21 causing a further depression but also a new electron accumulation later on that day.
Allthough the b> 2 Me V electron flux is again currently exceeding 1.000 pfu. it may soon drop in the next days due to the final discharge, I expect now while no further SEPs had occurred yet. IT would be the first with in the last two years, where one SEPs succeeded ,charging the earth with new protons before the effects of the porevious ones really could come to that end /final electron discharge)
GENERAL WARNING! What I call SEP phase III or final discharge indicates also, that the earth body and tectonics will cool down rapidly , whereby the magmatic intrusions during solar proton storms (SEP phase I) and the geomagnetic electron storms following each SEP ( phase II) will be replaced by the opposite effects with strong and sometimes major and catastrophic subduction quakes. I am observing the evolution closely and will issue warnings.
THE PROBABILITY FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THE NEXT DAYS: REasons are there to be careful especially in the ragions of the EASTENH PACIFIC INCLUDING ALL AMERICAS WEST COASTS
1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS
20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likely also the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise and has reached a maximum yet of 4 pfu. ( at time of this update)
20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9) SeeVideo by solar watcher>:
20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.
20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME was partial halo- what means: it has Earth- directed parts, those might arrive on March 11 >
20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)
^NASA D-RAP/ global heat absorption during proton storm ( SEP: begin: after 2 UTC) on 20150315
INTERNAL SEP TRACKING/ REPORT:
SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS
last update: 20140308
PROTON IMPACT (PHASE I)
ELECTRON ACCUMULATION (PHASE II)
FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
MINOR SEP/ 20150422, begin: 18UTC
20150421: > 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS> 1.000 pfu.
SOLAR ACCELERATED AND EMMITTED PROTONS IMMIGRATE THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD AND ITS POLAR ORBIT
THE PROTONS CREATE AN ADDITIONAL GRAVITY PULL> THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ATTRACKTS AN EQUIVALENT OF ENERGETIC ELECTRONS FROM THE SOLAR MAGNETIC FIELTO NEUTRALISE THIS + CHARGE
AFTER THE PROTONS NOW ALSO ELECTRONS HAVE LOST THEIR CINETIC ENERGY THROUGH HEAT FRICTION. THE ACCUMULATION COLLAPSES THE EARTH MANTLE - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.- COOLS DOWN AND CONTRACTS AGAIN.
HEAT EFFECTS ON EARTH CORE AND MANTLE: VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-)
TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC SURFACE ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere)
> MAJOR AND potential CATASTROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
1.2.3. SOLAR SEPs/ SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA/ weekly report:
EARLY WARNING! 20150208: the integral electron flux, that shortly rose again after another- but this time minor slow and uneffective SEP had occured in the only active nested region 12286, began significantly to drop on February 07: This now can mark for the first time since begin of 2014 , that all SEP effects those had ccumulated during this period within the geomagneti field might dcerease now and come to a preliminary end : Due to all collected data during previous SEPs, STRONG AND HEAVY DISASTROUS SUBDUCTION QUAKES MIGHT FOLLOW VERY QUICKLY when the remaining electron charge( accumulation in the geomagnetic field is discharching ( as it seems to be the case since 20150207 ) and tectonic plates and the mantle magma heated up by these SEPs will begin swiftly to cool down part to harden and to CONTRACT : NOTE: this forecast is based on data and analysis of previous socalled solar SEP (proton) events and is nevertheless ( as all foreecasts) WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR GUARANTEE! MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES THOSE ARE LIKELY MOGHT OCCURE DURING THE NEXT DAYS HAVE MOST LIKELY TO BE EXPECTED IN THE REGION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND MAINLY AROUND THE 180° LATITUDES MOST LIKELY AFFECTING THE AMERICAN PACIFIC COAST - Alaska down to California and beyond . with possible effects also to Japan and the east pacific subduction zones ( Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, Hawaii and NZL) ALL SEAQUAKES EXCEEDING MAGNITUDES oF M 8.0 are capable to trigger a widespread TSUNAMI in these regions!
20150406/ 19:11 a major LDE in AR 12297 produced a fully halo CME that will arrive some time between April 08 and 09 2015
PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES: ( read more in register panel below)
20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and Fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likelyalso the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio emission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.
1.3 SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS
20150409/ after 3 UTC : a medium strong CME impacted from a LDE flare in AR 12320, that erupted near the solar meridian. The CME impact reached a strenghth of 155 nT and caused minor geomagnetic storming. The impact also knocked down the integral electron flux , what indicates that the region produces positive ions or emitted pure protons .
20150421 > 2 MeV ELECTRONS again exceeding 1.000 pfu.
click here for previous weekly reports (APRIL2015)
20150315: AR 12297 , still near the central nmeridian produced an impressive LDE after midnight, which was likely the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.
20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9)
20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight (image 3) reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.
20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . (image 9, 10 ) The CME has aeart directed parts those might arrive on March 11
20150306: 20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the easternsolar limb and produced a stronger CME (image 7 below) and continued with an LDE for hours after that( img 8 below) . The region is not numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images 5 and 6 below)
20150304: Y 10 MeV Electrons increased above 1.000 pfu following recent minor proton events. Protons are the reference value for the total electrons charge . But with changing proton values also the electron flux on the measurment devices is kind of altered so the total load cannot really be estimated. after no stronger SEPs have occured since longer time a final discharge with the effects as researched and described in that report becomes more an more probable and would be the frist after one year with continuing and accumlating SEPs activities 20150303: The nested region as observed during the past year and described in the recent reports appeared end of February behind the eastern limb but is currently invisible) .NOAA therefore numbered it just as an spotted S 4254. It was active once with a strong prominence one week ago but seems currently to be inactive and might just have temporarely faded, resp sank deeper into the solar gas hull. This already was the case during 1 rotation period in the second half of 2014 . After it the AR reapperaed in an even larger size and produced X flares. Next rotation period will tell more.. While this region is currently inactive, AR 12290 was quite active during the past days with numerous M flares and CMEs those seem not to have larger earth directed parts.
20150302: solar X ray activity increased over the past days:(image 1 below) On March 01 there were several filament eruptions on different areas of the visible disc and the large RECURRENT CH 657 ( the only currently visible part of the large persistent configuration as described below) produces high speed solar winds . Both has crated a MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM.
(image 2, 3) The nested region as described below has not appeared yet and made have temporary faded below coronal gases as it already did several times in 2014. The region seems empty . Just the coronal hole 657 is still there where it was since this persistent configuration had envolved. AR 12290, which is already going to rotate out on the western limb is currently active and produced- one after another- two minor M flares on 20150202, those have no earth directed parts (image 4)
20150228: Another SEP must have begun late on February 26: Integral proton flux began to rise after 24 UTC on 20150226 and is currently ( at time of this update near to 1.0 pfu)( image 1: GOES Proton plot). This time I could not detect the typical side effect that SEPs accelerate gases upwards from the solar surface and corona on SoHO imagery, Thus this SEP was maybe a backside event. what I can`t proof as well, since both STEREO satellites are still ot of service.
If it was a front side event, ( the SEPs themselves are mostly invisible on light based telescopes anyway ) protons this time would have a rather slow acceleration what makes them rather ineffective in terms that they would heat up the earth mantle over their impact on earth. Nevertheless, the protons that immigrate the Earth,will- as ever - attrackt and accumulate an equivalent number of electrons from the solar magnetic field , those are energetic enough to produce these typical heat / temperature anomalies around an in the Northern pole those cause the weather tubulences wer are facing each time after an SEP on the Northern Hemisphere. THis - as expectable- continuing electron accumulation also supports further volcanic activities.
SDO shows a minor flare in AR and a filament eruption in the nested configuration which has not yet fully rotated in .( These events cannot be seen on a single standby picture and must be watched in a timeline video on SDOs website) and occurerd later , So the cannot be related to that SEP event
(special& continued report:) THE LARGE AND MYSTERIOUS SOLAR SURFACE REGION THAT HAS A CONFIGURATION THAT REMAINED WIDELY UNCHANGED SINCE at least ONE YEAR!
I yet just traced this large region covering at least a quarter of the solar disc back to May 2011. ( see previous archive reports) This review has shown , that the entire configuration remained almost unchanged since then. On 20141215, the main and mostly only active region on the entire disc, active region 12235 produced an extreme fast filament eruption , AR 12235 is a nested stationary sun spot cluster and forms with another active region and a large coronal hole a very active configuration that persists since at least one year( I have just not traced it further back yet) AR 12235 was AR12209 active during the last rotation period and was AR 12192 two rotation periods earlier, when it produced 4 strong X class flares in a row .The configuration covers more than a quarter of the solar disc and has a kind of gravity center with a coronal hole stretching towards the Northern pole an has also a low spotted area which is also but less active than AR 12235. which is situated 15- 30 ° further in the east . (> images 5 and 6 . During all that time this nested AR was and is only AR on the visible that produced flares and CMEs. Currently the entire configuration seems to be active and produces a type of flaring resp shoots out hot gazes all over the area it covers.. The most active AR in it- AR 12235 became smaller yet during previous periods and then began to grown again., Currently it appears rather small ) . What is it and what does this big are doe next ? Nobody knows...Allthough humans observe the Sun meanwhile day and night, much about our central star is still more a mystery and an still good for some surprises.
( image 4 >) satellite transmissions were repeatedly knocked out between 20141213 and 14 and there was a short rise in integral Proton flux on 20141213/ 6 UTC when values rose to 2,5 pfu until 20141216/ 00 , when vaklues were back again at +/- 0.1 pfu. as usual . But satellite imagery that needs light to make any image cannot cover those proton events and where these SEPs actually occure. However,: STEREO with its infra red usually can at least cover secondary events ( the protons do accelerate and heat up gazes on the solar surface those emit then ) such are gazes hgeated up after the proton explosion by highest accelerated protons. Butr also Stereo has a transmission blackout on December 13 and 14. theavailable images show an intensive flaring activity on the front side . STEREO also observed a strong type of filament eruption heading from the North Polar solar region ( image 4 >)
We might either get a new SEP soon ( an event that comes more or less out of nowhere) or the effects of the previous SEPs will come to an end: When the current electron accumulation ( which is still exceeding temporarely 1.000 pfu.) will drop, as now further SEP has occured during the past 6 weeks , the earth mantle heated up by these SEPs will cool down and STRONG SUBDUCTION quakes will accompony that process.however: magma intrusion creates something like holes ( aou also can call that underpresssure or defizits) within the earth mantle , So the intensive magma intrusion we can observe onm a global scalesince some years will be logically be always accomponied/ followed by subduction quakes, by those new material is pulled- "dives down" into the earth mantle is melted there and will equalize that defizit.( more see right column)>
( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal
DETAILED REPORT OF LATEST MAJOR SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES ( updated only during major events, such as major flares CMEs or SEPs)
AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !
means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013
none yet xx
< date refers to available event data and summaries
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).
ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>
* graph only during significant events
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep).
20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit-
meaning of background colors>
yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant
red= strong event
} orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects
CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS
May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks
20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.
The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.
might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!
20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space
20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks
20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.
Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes.
orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects
SEP EVENT HISTORY :
complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly
The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416
after 12 UTC
Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event
Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.
Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.
Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"
electron accumulation following minor proton event
update will follow
2-3 ( possible subduction!)
possible final electron discharge/high propability of strong subduction quakes!
* latent potential for earthquakes with magnitudes higher than M 9.0! Some major catastrophic earthquake might likely happen, when effects of accumulated SEPs diminuish /.> 10 MeV electron accumulation will be neutralised, what is indicated , when electron energy suddenly will sharply drop at its end
EFFECTING AS >
INCREASED VOLCANISM- STORMS, EARTHQUAKES: LOW
NOTES: ( +/- 1 M) . M 5.5- 6.0 with green brackgound is the default setting if no stronger or destructive Earthquakes are expectable
(In case of CME CLUSTERS). This forecast respects previous CME impacts but regards the latest CME arrival as dominant. Earthquake estimations made in this report are without warranty and are (intendedly) rather OVER EXAGGERATED . Real values might be up to 1 magnitude below!
20140620: remark: Currently I am examining whether also electron accumulations effect on hot spot or surface volcanism
3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obvioulsy something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:
A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:
Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>
Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.
However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!
July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.
January 25- 2014:
2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have signifiant and even strongest related geophysical effects.
Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I dont expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.
Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluationas as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research
Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ,this documentary has focussed on, as being the strongest and most geoeffective known type of solar event) do happen MOST frequently during the solar max, but are als present in the same strength all 11 years in between but just in lower number.
So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..
so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form: