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last updated on

2016

May 04 2016/ 04:40 UTC
ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!

important notices >

20160504: I am very busy at the moment, Updates may therefore be derlayed!

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2016 >

                   

2015 >

   

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

 

MAY 2016

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

for basic informations about this project scroll down to the bottom of this page!

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

scientific reviews of solar research (as far as available)

by NASA, MPI and others :

 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -
jjj

20160314/ 20160416. CONTINUED ALERT:

SIGNIFICANT BUT SLOW ELECTRON DISCHARGE INDICATES  MAJOR EARTHQUAKES  LIKELY TO OCCURE WITHIN  THE NEXT DAYS AND WEEKS . SINGLE EVENTS POSSIBLE WITH MAGNITUDES  EXCEEDING M 8!!

 

 

 

 

 

                 
(SECTION 1) SOLAR AND ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG:  
NEWS and special reports
   

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

MAY

2016

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
     
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
     
     

euronews/ 20160504:Fires threaten to engulf Canadian city >

Wildfires are threatening to engulf the remote city of Fort McMurray in western Canada. One neighbourhood of the city has already been destroyed. Local authorities say others have been badly damaged. Hot, dry winds have been forecast and the fear is they could fan the flames further. Nine air tankers, more than a dozen helicopters and around 150 firefighters are on the scene. The province of Alberta has asked for help to bring the blaze under control.... find more...

euronews/ 20160504:80,000 flee as inferno threatens Canadian oil hub >>

The entire population of Fort McMurray in Alberta, Canada, is fleeing in an evacuation ahead of a wall of flames now entering the city limits

     

(click here to see previous natural incident reports of the current month)

 

 

MAY 2016
                   

euronews/ 20160504:Fires threaten to engulf Canadian city >

Wildfires are threatening to engulf the remote city of Fort McMurray in western Canada. One neighbourhood of the city has already been destroyed. Local authorities say others have been badly damaged. Hot, dry winds have been forecast and the fear is they could fan the flames further. Nine air tankers, more than a dozen helicopters and around 150 firefighters are on the scene. The province of Alberta has asked for help to bring the blaze under control.... find more...

euronews/ 20160504:80,000 flee as inferno threatens Canadian oil hub >>

The entire population of Fort McMurray in Alberta, Canada, is fleeing in an evacuation ahead of a wall of flames now entering the city limits

     
                       
                       

 

 
           

SPECIALS

 

SAN ANDREAS FAULT

     
            Yellowstone streaming webcam:  
     

 

 
 

 

 

 

     
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
 

 

   
         
       
             
         
ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known REAL TSUNAMI event

  visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
 
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES:
click here for data/ links of ALL AFTERQUAKES (> M4)
 
DATA BY EMSC)              
   
click here for LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXTFORMAT:
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

 

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT : 20170417/ 2:56 UTC  
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

 

 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 

(click here to see the report of the latest known previous TSUNAMI EVENT

Inh

                 
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known REAL TSUNAMI event

20160417: visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
 
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES:
click here for data/ links of ALL AFTERQUAKES (> M4)
 
DATA BY EMSC) NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR
2016-04-16 23:58:36 UTC

0.38 N ; 79.88 W

M 7.4

unknown ( 10 km)

1 x ( M 5.4)  
   
click here for LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXTFORMAT:
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

20160417/ 00: 04 UTC

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT : 20170417/ 2:56 UTC  
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

(Update/ 20170417/ 2:56 UTC:) TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED --------------------------------- * THE TSUNAMI THREAT HAS NOW LARGELY PASSED.

( statement for Pacific and Hawaiion 20160416) BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A DESTRUCTIVE PACIFIC-WIDE TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED AND THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII.

( INITIAL ALERT/ 20160417/ 00: 04 UTC:) * HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA

 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
                       
                       
                       

alt

 

 
PREVIOUS (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
 

 

 

               

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20150917 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE > M 8.3 - OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2015-09-16 22:54:33 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
31.57 S ; 71.58 W
DEPTH >
30 km  
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON: 0535 UTC THU SEP 17 2015 ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): YES CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
000 WEHW40 PHEB 170025 TSUHWX HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-170225- /O.CON.PHEB.TS.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BULLETIN TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3 NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI 224 PM HST WED SEP 16 2015 TO - EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN THE STATE OF HAWAII SUBJECT - TSUNAMI WATCH SUPPLEMENT A TSUNAMI WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 1254 PM HST 16 SEP 2015 COORDINATES - 31.5 SOUTH 72.0 WEST LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE MAGNITUDE - 8.3 MOMENT MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL PER ------------------- ----- ------ ----- --------------- ----- VALPARAISO CL 33.0S 71.6W 2350Z 1.62M / 5.3FT 40MIN CHANARAL CL 26.4S 70.6W 0010Z 0.67M / 2.2FT 34MIN JUAN FERNANDEZ 33.6S 78.8W 0008Z 0.97M / 3.2FT 08MIN COQUIMBO CL 30.0S 71.3W 2339Z 3.11M / 10.2FT 20MIN BUCALEMU CL 34.6S 72.0W 2334Z 0.46M / 1.5FT 24MIN CALDERA CL 27.1S 70.8W 2343Z 0.50M / 1.6FT 30MIN SAN ANTONIO CL 33.6S 71.6W 2358Z 0.86M / 2.8FT 18MIN DART 32402 26.7S 74.0W 2326Z 0.12M / 0.4FT 36MIN LAT - LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH) LON - LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST) TIME - TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME) AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL. IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT. VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT). PER - PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT. NOTE - DART MEASUREMENTS ARE FROM THE DEEP OCEAN AND THEY ARE GENERALLY MUCH SMALLER THAN WOULD BE COASTAL MEASUREMENTS AT SIMILAR LOCATIONS. EVALUATION BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A TSUNAMI MAY HAVE BEEN GENERATED BY THIS EARTHQUAKE THAT COULD BE DESTRUCTIVE ON COASTAL AREAS EVEN FAR FROM THE EPICENTER. AN INVESTIGATION IS UNDERWAY TO DETERMINE IF THERE IS A TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII. IF TSUNAMI WAVES IMPACT HAWAII THE ESTIMATED EARLIEST ARRIVAL OF THE FIRST TSUNAMI WAVE IS 0311 AM HST THU 17 SEP 2015 FURTHER MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS WARRANT UNTIL THE THREAT TO HAWAII HAS PASSED..
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE no specific data LOCATION OF ORIGIN no specific data NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS > EXPECTED WAVE HEIGHTS>  
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR: CHILE, POLYNESIA> HAWAII ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
                   
ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known REAL TSUNAMI event

  visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
 
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES:
click here for data/ links of ALL AFTERQUAKES (> M4)
 
DATA BY EMSC)              
   
click here for LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXTFORMAT:
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

 

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT : 20170417/ 2:56 UTC  
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

 

 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 
       

ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here forEARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES and previous reports (CURRENT MONTH ONLY):

Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

BBC/ 20160416: Deadly earthquake hits Ecuador >

A powerful 7.8-magnitude earthquake has killed at least 28 people in Ecuador, Vice-President Jorge Glas says. A state of emergency was declared in six provinces and the National Guard has been mobilised. The quake, centred near the coastal town of Muisne, destroyed an overpass in the city of Guayaquil about 300km (190 miles) away, local media say. The tremor also shook buildings in the capital Quito, forcing residents to flee their homes. "We have 16 people dead in the city of Portoviejo, 10 in Manta and two in the province of Guayas," Mr Glas said at a news conference....read more...

euronews/ 20160416: Double earthquakes devastate southern Japan > video >>

earthquake- report/ 20150414: Deadly earthquake Kyushu, Japan - NEW violent aftershock - Tsunami advisories LIFTED

earthquake- report/ 20150413:Massive deep and dangerous earthquake below Myanmar - 2 persons killed

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
               

TURKEY

  earthquake swarm/ resumed on 20160110   EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION (incl. Capverdes)

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /mainly AFTER SEP- 3. activity phase (begin: 20131226)

"E"

EPICENTER      
  reports only after events exceed magnitude 2.0 > EPICENTER      
  >> see also my canary islands volcano blog EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA fault, magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. frequently continuing activity on fault

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SERIAL GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS 20150805: Earthquake swarm/ small antilles ( west indies)

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA Earthquake swarm/ begin: 20151107 (resuming)   EPICENTER      

PACIFIC PLATE

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC (click for reports) was felt on surface

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKEACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC

increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014)

"C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
  intensifying ( most of the shocks ARE FELT ON THE SURFACE !! 20160216 increase after proton event >   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
  continuing....     EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. volcanic quakes?

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
  • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       
       

(click here to see previous technical reports of the current month)

RT/ 20160309:Flydubai Boeing crash in Rostov-on-Don kills all 62 on board >>

Flydubai flight FZ981 has crashed in the southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don killing all 62 passengers and crew on board. The flight was en route from Dubai and crashed during its second landing approach amid poor weather conditions ...read more...

20160206:Statement from Governor Andrew M. Cuomo Regarding Indian Point Nuclear Facility

“Yesterday I learned that radioactive tritium-contaminated water leaked into the groundwater at the Indian Point Nuclear facility. The company reported alarming levels of radioactivity at three monitoring wells, with one well’s radioactivity increasing nearly 65,000 percent. The facility reports that the contamination has not migrated off site and as such does not pose an immediate threat to public health....read more...

   
         
                     
 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       
       
 

(click here to see previous heavy weather reports of the current month)

 

the watchers/ 20160425: Extensive severe weather outbreak targets central United States

the watchers 20160425: Intense storm destroys over 1 100 homes and leaves at least 14 dead, Myanmar

floddlist/ 20160403: Pakistan – At Least 46 Killed After Floods in North

In Pakistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) reported earlier today that 46 people had died and 41 were injured as torrential rain and floods hit the province on Saturday 02 April, 2016. At least 60 houses have been damaged. Full damage assessments were still awaited from remote areas of the province. Many of the deaths are thought to have been caused by collapsing buildings. Other victims were swept away by flood water or struck by lighting. videos >>

 

   
 
       
                       

 

TROPICAL STORMS/

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

       

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
    EASTERN PACIFIC           TC    
                     
                     
    EASTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
    WESTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
    WESTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                2    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  

 

                   
                TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES -)

       
      xx

(click here to see previous volcanism reports of the current month) including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS

Inhalt

the watchers/ 20160425: Extensive severe weather outbreak targets central United States

the watchers 20160425: Intense storm destroys over 1 100 homes and leaves at least 14 dead, Myanmar

floddlist/ 20160403: Pakistan – At Least 46 Killed After Floods in North

In Pakistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) reported earlier today that 46 people had died and 41 were injured as torrential rain and floods hit the province on Saturday 02 April, 2016. At least 60 houses have been damaged. Full damage assessments were still awaited from remote areas of the province. Many of the deaths are thought to have been caused by collapsing buildings. Other victims were swept away by flood water or struck by lighting. videos >>

 

   
 

volcano-discovery/ 20160308: Tungurahua volcano (Ecuador): large explosion this morning, ash to 36,000 ft (11 km altitude)>

The activity of the volcano has strongly increased since last weekend - a new surge of magma has been arriving at the summit vent and is producing a violent eruption from the summit crater. Its climax so far occurred this morning, at 07:51 local time, when a powerful explosion generated an eruption column that rose approx. 6 km above the crater and reached an altitude of estimated 36,000 ft (11 km). Pyroclastic flows (generated by partial column collapse) descended over 2000 m towards the Mandur and Achupashal areas....read more...  webcam >

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NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
  volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by: GVP

GVP  

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 20 April-26 April 2016

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Name Location Activity
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) New
Cleveland Chuginadak Island (USA) New
Kerinci Indonesia New
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) New
Langila New Britian (Papua New Guinea) New
Nyiragongo DR Congo New
Pavlof United States New
San Cristobal Nicaragua New
Santa Maria Guatemala New




 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATE:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Alaid Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Asosan Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Masaya Nicaragua Ongoing
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Soputan Sulawesi (Indonesia) Ongoing
Suwanosejima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
Tengger Caldera Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing

 



 

   
 

 

 

     
 

 

 

     
         

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
 

 

 

 
(SECTION 2) SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY  
NASA data reports
   
                       

20141216: please note: NASA was recently again reorganising their website contents: So- some many or even all elder archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will maybe not work anymore . Updates are made in this report as soon as available, but i just cant look all trough to update the links. Thus: here just the links to the current NASA plot archives: NASA( space weather plots as archived since 1966

 

(1.1.) LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

   
1.1.2. (related) NASA AND NOAA REAL TIME DATA PLOTS:                  
current sun spots and AR (visible disc):   ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE/ 7 days Real TIime: geomagnetic field components and deformation:( Bz =North South/ By= Est- West ACE (Advanced Composition explorer); (7 days Real Time) SOLAR PROTON COMPONENT (in solar winds or CMEs) SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot ACE/ SIS: (7 days Real Time) INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX: NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot )  
   
 
click here for more REAL TIME FEATURES (NASA satellite data)
(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY JULY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 
     

 

 

             
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >> here you find elder reports and newer ones. Green background means : this event is over/ineffective

LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT /UPDATE >

20160418

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
             
solar activity by: solen.info/:

please note: this section is only updated after significant major events/ from Nov 2015 on, the text fields in the second row will contain all alerts of the current month as issued by NOAA

latest RSGA report of significant solar activities
DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS /SEP: *

*also named SPE (= SOLAR PROTON EVENT) or: SAP (= SOLAR ACCELERATED PROTONS )

 
           
CURRENT STATE: :
   
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> MAJOR - RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES  > M 5 / CMEs/ SEPs

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
PHASE III ( electron discharge)
PHASE II (electron accumulation)*
PHASE I (proton event) :
 
  <last event update >         REAL TIME 20160427
CURRENTL>:
20160503
20160418
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: last known event >   Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 May 04 1353 UTC     Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
INTERRUPTED: SLOWLY ONGOING ELECTRON DISCHARGE (SEP PHASE III!)
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu

20160418/ after 09 UTC minor/ minimal SPE-> 10 MeV maximum:0.8 pfu.

 
                     
  latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
latest event data and plots (GOES x-ray)- current month
Inhalt

2016

APRIL

 

date

events/ activity changes

 
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Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
Serial Number: 143
Issue Time: 2016 Apr 18 0044 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2016 Apr 18 0014 UTC
Maximum Time: 2016 Apr 18 0029 UTC
End Time: 2016 Apr 18 0039 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.7
Location: N10W62
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

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latest radio bursts and emission

2016

MAY

   

date

Type II and IV radio emissions and 10 cm Radio bursts

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event

Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

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04 Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1044 Issue Time: 2016 May 04 1437 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 May 04 1353 UTC Estimated Velocity: 560 km/s  
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latest CME event data and plots (current month)

2016

APRIL

 
 

date

events/ activity changes

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18 20160418: Major CME Impact ( > 200 nT)
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halt
latest events (current month)

2016

January

 

date

events/ activity changes

 
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click here for latest GOES hp plots and data (current month):

2016

APRIL

 

geomagnetic storms:

www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

date

events/ activity changes

 
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17 ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4  
16 Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 1872 Issue Time: 2016 Apr 16 2103 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
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13 Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 952 Issue Time: 2016 Apr 13 0052 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2016 Apr 13 0047 UTC Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
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11 WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted  
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08 ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2016 Apr 08 0259 UTC  
07 ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2016 Apr 07 2200 UTC
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03 ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4  
02 WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor
01 WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted  
click here for phase III alerts
Inha

2016

March

date

events/ activity changes

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19 20150319: ELECTRON DISCHARGE (slowly dropping electrons!
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16 continuing with 20150416: SLOW ONGOING ELECTRON DISCHARGE (continued)interruptions
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14 discontinued
13 discontinued
12 slowly continuing with interruptions
11 continuing with interruptions
10 continuing with interruptions
09 continuing with interruptions
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07 slowly continuing with interruptions
06 slowly continuing with interruptions
05 slowly continuing with interruptions
04 slowly continuing with interruptions
03 continuing with interruptions
02 continuing with interruptions
01 (slowly dropping electrons)
lt
click here for latest electron event data (current month)
Inhalt

2016

MAY

ELECTRON FLUX

www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

date

events/ activity changes

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03 Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3 Serial Number: 2350 Issue Time: 2016 May 03 1058 UTC ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu Threshold Reached: 2016 May 03 1040 UTC Station: GOES-13
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click here for latest proton event data (current month

2016

APRIL

PROTON EVENTS

date

events/ activity changes

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencie
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previous SEP events ( protons)
 
20160418/ after 09 UTC minor/ minimal SPE-> 10 MeV maximum:0.8 pfu.  
 
20160316/ after 9 UTC:/: MINOR SOLAR PROTON EVENT(> 1 < 10 pfu)  
 
20151228:/ after 14 UTC: SOLAR PROTON EVENT  
 
 
 
20151029
 
 
20151023-24 minor SEP : > 10 MeV Protons < = 1 pfu
 
 
20150618/20: 2 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!
 
 
 
PLANETARY A INDEX: (NEW) background informations>        
 
   

 

 

           

+ means protons ( in DC: "negative charge"

- means electrons (in DC "positiv charge"
   

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

APRIL 2016

     

20160418/ a type II and IV radio emission a radio burst and a M 6. 2 class X- ray event were reported by NOAA shortly after midnight on 20160518. The source was a strong impulsive/ explosive event in AR 12529. The AR has already reached the western solar limb and will rotate out the next days. The events were associated to a minor p roton emission (SEP /SPE) , which likely occured at the same time and also took place in AR 12529 . STEREO however shows only one significant eruption/ outburst of solar gazes beginning almost exactly at 00 UTC midnight. While STEREO BEHIND is lost since more than one year, STEREO Ahead has changed its orbit to a different ancle around the western limb of the Sun. Earth directed events, those prior appeared towards the right side of the image, appear now on the left side. First protons however arrived after 09 UTC. The proton event reached only 0.8 pfu during the day and was minimal.

 
     
MAJOR SOLAR ERUPTIONS and CMEs                    
(01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (1) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (2) GOES 13 hp ( geomagnetic field) (3) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (4) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (5) SDO/ AIA/HMI:   (5) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (A2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (A3) SoHO (A5)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2:  
                   
^CH and AR on 20160418 impulsive event in AR 12529 on 20160418/ 00:40 UTC                    
          GOES 13/ 15: xray flux:   SoHO SDO/ AIA/HMI: SoHO STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2  
LAST SOLAR SEP:                    
                       
)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info SDO/ AIA/HMI: STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: SoHO GOES 13/ integral proton flux ACE/ înterplanetary proton and + ion flux   05) NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP) NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data additionals additionals  
               
^CH and AR on 20160418 impulsive event in AR 12529 on 20160418/ 00:40 UTC SEP on 20160418/ after 00 UTC( likely backside event)   20160418              
                       
 

 

 

 

       
click here for images and data of previous major solar and terrestrial events

 

 
APRIL 2016    

 

20160411: AR 12529 ( images 4-5 below) is very active and produced two brilliant prominences- on April 11 and 12 but does notptroduce major flares. With its appearance also the background flare activitiy rose slightly to C level- but is still very low.The activity was associated to a radio sweep and a 10 cm radio burst. This all however indicates that the region might likely be capable to produce a major SPE(SEP) within the next days.

20160406:another filament eruption on 20160406/ after 16:26 has sent another negative (+ ions) charged CME towards the earth which - combined with some minor HSS streams below 600 km/ s, impacted witgh more than 150 nT (total) late on 20160417 causing minor geomagnetic storming and a major deopression in integral electron flux since early 20160308.(images 1- 3 below)

-AR 12529 rotated in on 20160407 ( image 3 below) and is currently the only active region on the visible disc. the size of this sunspot group and its penumbra let expect further activities. Theww AR is is -due to solen.info- capable for M flares.

 
     
MAJOR SOLAR ERUPTIONS and CMEs                    
(01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (1) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (2) GOES 13 hp ( geomagnetic field) (3) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (4) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (5) SDO/ AIA/HMI:   (5) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (A2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (A3) SoHO (A5)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2:  
         
^AR and CH on 20160407 ^filament eruption on 20160406   ^AR 12529 on 20150507 ^major prominence activity inAR 12529 on 20160411/2:24 UTC ^major prominence activity in AR 12529 on 20160411/7:51 UTC   minor flare with radio emission on 20160416/ 20:27UTC        
MAJOR SOLAR ERUPTIONS and CMEs                    
(01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info)                      
                     
^AR and CH on 20160304                      
                       
LAST SOLAR SEP:                    
                       
20160203: (01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) SDO/ AIA/HMI: SDO/ AIA/HMI: SoHO GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2:   GOES 13/ integral proton flux NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data ACE/ înterplanetary proton and + ion flux (05) NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP)  
             
    ^LDE flare in AR on 20160102 / peaking around 00: 10 UTC ^partial halo CME beginning on 20150101/ after 23:40 UTC   SEP outburst on 20160102/ at shortly after 23:30 UTC -images were updated after transmission had resumed-         ^global proton impact heat absorption during proton event on 20160102 after oo UTC  
                       

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

MARCH 2016

         

 

 

 

 

           
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:

SEP EVENT LOGS

(detailled reports only for event > 10 pfu. )

PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)

PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron accumulation

PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP location
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton impact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20160202 Eastern solar limb (STEREO Ahead ) 20160101/ 23:30 UTC 20160102/shortly after 00UTC 20160103/ afterb12 UTC 12pfu 71333km/sec interfering with previous electronaccumulation ongoing about 4.000 pfu    
20151228/ after 10 UTC eastern limb   20151228:/ after 14 UTC   < 10 pfu         begin of new SPE serial!?  
20151109- 11         < 10 pfu            
20151029         < 10 pfu            
20151023-24         < 10 pfu            
20150702         < 10 pfu            
20150626/30 uncertain- STEREO A not funtiional likely AR 12371 20150622/ 19 UTC 20150702 1.000 pfu! unknwon          
20150512/ after 03 UTC: uncertain- likely western limb 12335(west) or 12339 20150512/ after 03 UTC ongoing 7 pfu. unknown/ trather high pending        
201504 1- 30 ° behind western limb S4392 20150422/ after 17 UTC 20160528/ 23 UTC > 1 pfu. unknown (LOW= < 30.000 km/s. ) continuing from previous SEPs ongoing > 1.000 pfu   pending!
20150315 near solar meridian AR 20150315 after 03 UTC 20160418 08 pfu high/ unknown 20150419 ongoing > 10.000 pfu accumulated electrons.. Values are likely higher than measured due to protons influcence ( altered potential) pending!
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                     
LAST SOLAR SEP:                    
                       
20160203: (01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) SDO/ AIA/HMI: SDO/ AIA/HMI: SoHO GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2:   GOES 13/ integral proton flux NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data ACE/ înterplanetary proton and + ion flux (05) NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP)  
             
    ^LDE flare in AR on 20160102 / peaking around 00: 10 UTC ^partial halo CME beginning on 20150101/ after 23:40 UTC   SEP outburst on 20160102/ atshortly after 23:30 UTC -images were updated after transmission had resumed-         ^global proton impact heat absorption during proton event on 20160102 after oo UTC  
                       
                       
 

 

 

 

 
(SECTION 3) EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
       

(EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST MAINLY BASED ON SEP EVENTS/ EFFECTS)

 

 

 

----------------------

 

 

OTHER NEWS / SOLAR SYSTEM:

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    

iopscience/ 20160120:EVIDENCE FOR A DISTANT GIANT PLANET IN THE SOLAR SYSTEM

Abstract Recent analyses have shown that distant orbits within the scattered disk population of the Kuiper Belt exhibit an unexpected clustering in their respective arguments of perihelion. While several hypotheses have been put forward to explain this alignment, to date, a theoretical model that can successfully account for the observations remains elusive. In this work we show that the orbits of distant Kuiper Belt objects (KBOs) cluster not only in argument of perihelion, but also in physical space. We demonstrate that the perihelion positions and orbital planes of the objects are tightly confined and that such a clustering has only a probability of 0.007% to be due to chance, thus requiring a dynamical origin. We find that the observed orbital alignment can be maintained by a distant eccentric planet with mass gsim10 m⊕ whose orbit lies in approximately the same plane as those of the distant KBOs, but whose perihelion is 180° away from the perihelia of the minor bodies. In addition to accounting for the observed orbital alignment, the existence of such a planet naturally explains the presence of high-perihelion Sedna-like objects, as well as the known collection of high semimajor axis objects with inclinations between 60° and 150° whose origin was previously unclear. Continued analysis of both distant and highly inclined outer solar system objects provides the opportunity for testing our hypothesis as well as further constraining the orbital elements and mass of the distant planet....read more...

 

   

20151203: LOUNCH OF LISA PATHFINDER MISSION:

" Massive bodies near to black holes (likely- itsa a theory) produce GRAVITATIONAL WAVES"

( i don`t make any comments on that regarding the phenomenon of solar proton events as treated in this report...)

ESA PR 47-2015: LISA (= Laser Interferometry Space Antenna) Pathfinder en route to gravitational wave demonstration: 03 December 2015 ESA's LISA Pathfinder lifted off earlier today on a Vega rocket from Europe's spaceport in Kourou, French Guiana, on its way to demonstrate technology for observing gravitational waves from space.

(by ESA: )Mission LISA Pathfinder will test in flight the concept of low-frequency gravitational wave detection: it will put two test masses in a near-perfect gravitational free-fall, and control and measure their motion with unprecedented accuracy. LISA Pathfinder will use the latest technology to minimise the extra forces on the test masses, and to take measurements. The inertial sensors, the laser metrology system, the drag-free control system and an ultra-precise micro-propulsion system make this a highly unusual mission. LISA Pathfinder is an ESA mission, which will also carry a NASA payload....read more

for more informations. go toi LISA Pathfinder mission website>>

     

NASA/ 20151008/ NASA's Curiosity Rover Team Confirms Ancient Lakes on Mars

A new study from the team behind NASA's Mars Science Laboratory/Curiosity has confirmed that Mars was once, billions of years ago, capable of storing water in lakes over an extended period of time.

Using data from the Curiosity rover, the team has determined that, long ago, water helped deposit sediment into Gale Crater, where the rover landed more than three years ago. The sediment deposited as layers that formed the foundation for Mount Sharp, the mountain found in the middle of the crater today.

"Observations from the rover suggest that a series of long-lived streams and lakes existed at some point between about 3.8 to 3.3 billion years ago, delivering sediment that slowly built up the lower layers of Mount Sharp," said Ashwin Vasavada, Mars Science Laboratory project scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, and co-author of the new Science article to be published Friday, Oct. 9.

The findings build upon previous work that suggested there were ancient lakes on Mars, and add to the unfolding story of a wet Mars, both past and present. Last month, NASA scientists confirmedcurrent water flows on Mars.

     

alien worlds: RT/ 210151016: Star in a  solar system of Cygnus/ Lyra constellation surrounded by irregular objects possibly of technical nature? >>>

Thunderbolts project on youtube: Veröffentlicht am 03.10.2015

Veröffentlicht am 03.10.2015 In the previous Space News episode, we discussed recent, astonishing images of the surface of the dwarf planet Pluto. Many other surprises have already been revealed in the data thus far released from NASA’s New Horizons mission. Today, physicist Eugene Bagashov discusses what we have learned thus far about Pluto’s atmosphere and the larger Plutonian environment.

       
Pluto in a Minute: How Similar are Pluto and Charon to the Earth and the Moon?          

 

 

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive

 

     
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
    Now we know, how the aliens those once constructed us, really looked like. "the Head of the statue":  
euronews/ 20160418/ Massive stone ball discovered in Bosnia still a mystery for scientists      
       
what`s up in the sky: Amazing Pyramid & Broken Wall Found On Mars! --- the extraterrists made also Yoga excercises: Statue Of Being In Lotus Position (Indian Style) On Mars Looks Human Possible Egyptian Queen Style Statue Imaged By The Curiosity Rover On SOL 796 ( found by: what`s up in the sky)    
click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item)    
     
         
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obviously something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"  

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

 

 

 

APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

1. ABOUT ITS CONTENT:

first of all: some general information about the results of evaluation of the 26 solar sun spot cycle ( by the largest scientific project ever lounched in human history< - by NASA-to explore the sun).

resp about what especially my project is fucussed on ( while others don`t) .I am still- so far as I know- the only one in the entire web who publically observes/documents and researches the effects of solar SEPs :

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within one decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS (or SAP or: SPE-Solar proton event) thos cause a long enduring chain of physical effects would be the solar feature I was looking for , being that solar feature. All statistic comparations made since then yet showed had a 100 % coincidence with these and the results indicate, SEPs can even strongest related geophysical effects. (NASA simply noted: SEPS can do EVERYTHING)

CMEs ( Coronal mass ejections) are produced during solar flares ( those are nuclear reactions around a dark likely blackmassed sun spot ) are or socalled filament eruptions ( solar gases erupting by higher concentrated electromagnetic fields in regions with higher mass density - also falsely named aas "Coronal holes "( the name derived by the fact that earlier devices for observation just allowed to see them as regions darker then the rest of the solar surface . So first it was believed these would be solar regions with lower gaz concentration . Meanhwile its is knoewn that CHs are just the opposite. Regions covered by heavier oftenly positiv ions of elements- could be eveything form Lithium to lead gold or whatever ) ALso Prominences are solargaszes erupting by magnetic short circuits, when magnetic fields are compressed and contorted by the high gravity produced around/by sun spots .

However statistic evaluatioin showed ; these high energetic eruption do have somephysical effects on the earth; buts ths most of them are neglectable .

However. SEPS those theoretically and as Nasa previously rightly concluded could "DO EVERYTHING"can as differently as CMEs filament eruptions and solar flares are : SEPs als occur in active and spotted regions but for shure happen much deeper within the sun : As Analysis of 30- 50 SEPs - detectable only by the one and only suitable infrared telescope mounted on STEREO Ahead / Behind CORE2 , showed that proton particles during an SEP are emitted almost in all directions ( they just can`t move through the solar core) and their speed is highest in radial direction ( where they achieve speeds near to the speed of light) butthey get als slower a s highest the ancle is to the radial axis resp as more solar gases they have to penetrate until they are emitted into space

However SEPs have three major parameters , from those it depends how strong their chain of geophysical subnuclear effects will and how long these will last. SPEs occure in higher numbers during peaks of the 11 year solar sun spot cycle , but also in between at at times of their minimas. There is now theories about how SEP come to existence resp are produced . I believe SPEs occure if mainyl larger sunspots-those likely consist out of a pure superdense protons (matter similar to matter within a black hole )sink deeper into the solar gaz hull, until they reach regions with such high electromagnetic forces/ densities, that they are torn apart into their single particles and ejected from theSun. (electron/ proton reaction)

 

This is (1) the proton speed,-(2) ( the proton density( in pfu =particles per second and squaremeter) and (3) the duration of the proton impact into the geomagnetic field ( this is the duration , how long values exceed th normal proton background of 0.1-0.5 pfu.

-updated on 20160125-

-------------------

2. ABOUT ITS DESIGN:

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefore, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

 

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I don`t expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluation as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientific research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ( solar events with proton emissions) are the almost only geoeffective known type of solar event) those do even have extremely strong and complex effects on the earth body , those only and best can be described just with the phrase- used by NASA- "theoretically can do everything". This is- since the usually seldom SEPs turned out to be the only solar activities those were in all cases coincident with major catastrophic earthquakes such as 2014 and 2011 - what this documentary now focusses on. SEPs however do happen MOST frequently during the maximum of the 11 years solar sun spot cycle (last in 2012(13) , but occure also in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and events and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time, if any major event should take place ..

so the solar terrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewaehr!

provided by:

 

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