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01.07.2015
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last updated on
2015

JULY 01 at: 05: 00 UTC

ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!
important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2015 >

               

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
    click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2014            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

JULY 2015

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

scientific reviews of solar research (as far as available)

by NASA, MPI and others :

TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
(1) LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG:  
NEWS and special reports
   

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

JULY

2015

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
     
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
     
 

euronews/ 20150701: Heavy rains cause widespread flooding in Costa Rica

Severe flooding due to heavy rain has caused widespread damage to roads and homes in Costa Rica. Landslides have collapsed bridges interrupted communications and forced more than 1500 people to seek alternative accommodation. Emergency shelters have been set up offering help to the flood victims. The Panamanian government has provided a helicopter to support search and rescue operations in flooded parts of Costa Rica’s Caribbean coast line. The president of Costa Rica, Luis Guillermo Solis has declared an emergency as heavy rainfall continues to flood the entire province of Limon and the cantons of Turrialba and Sarapiqui...read more...

euronews/ 20150630: Western Europe sizzles in first heatwave of summer, with no end in sight for some places

Western Europe is sweltering in the first big heatwave of the summer, with several days of +30 degree temperatures or more in many places, while in some areas the end cannot be predicted. Temperatures of +40 have been the norm in Spain for days, but Portugal, France, Belgium, Britain, the Netherlands, Switzerland and northern Italy are also in for a scorcher. Denmark and the whole of Scandinavia are also going to feel the heat, although a little less so. For Rome it is nothing exceptional, even if at this time of year it is normally several degrees cooler. Italian ice cream sellers are rubbing their hands together. However this flaming June is proving too hot to handle even for the Spanish, where temperatures have hit the over 40s this week, making electicity consumption spike as air conditioners work overtime....read more...

RECENT HEADLINES:

< JUNE 18- 22 : serial of 3 major CMEs, 2 filament eruptions and 2 stronger SEPs from large active AR 12371 while passing the solar meridian . strongest CME impact in years as well as one of the strongest SEP events in years! ( see more below)

BBC/ 20150624/ Pakistan heatwave: Death toll crosses 700 people in Sindh

The death toll from an ongoing heatwave in Pakistan's southern Sindh province has passed 700, local media said, as mortuaries reached capacity. Dawn newspaper said at least 744 people had died in Karachi and 38 in other areas, citing a government official. The Edhi Welfare Organisation told the AFP news agency that their morgues had received hundreds of corpses and were now full. Officials have been criticised for not doing enough to tackle the crisis. "More than 400 dead bodies have so far been received in our two mortuaries in past three days," Edhi spokesperson Anwar Kazmi told AFP. "The mortuaries have reached capacity." On Tuesday as temperatures reached 45C (113F), Pakistan's PM Nawaz Sharif called for emergency measures and the army was deploying to help set up heat stroke centres

(the watchers. com/ 201250621:(Reuters/ 20150614) Police hunt escaped zoo animals after floods in Georgian capital

 

(click here to see previous natural incident reports of the current month)

 

< JUNE 18- 22 : serial of 3 major CMEs, 2 filament eruptions and 2 stronger SEPs from large active AR 12371 while passing the solar meridian . strongest CME impact in years as well as one of the strongest SEP events in years! ( see more below)

(the watchers. com/ 201250621:(Reuters/ 20150614) Police hunt escaped zoo animals after floods in Georgian capital

Strong thunderstorms which swept through several provinces, in southern China, in the past week, have continued to battle the area. 18 people have died due to house collapses, landslides or lightning, and four more are currently missing.

More than 203.2 mm (8 inches) of rain has fell in the last 48 hours (by late June 20). Thousands of homes have been overthrown by flood waters, and tens of thousands of residents had to move out of their homes, according to the Ministry of Civil Affairs. 10 people died and 66 4000 people were affected in the Hubei province alone, where the strongest storms were reported. 527000 people were affected in the Hunan province, 5 people died in the municipality of Chongqing, 2 in the Guizhou province and one person died in the Anhui province...read more

 

RECENT HEADLINES:

(the watchers. com/ 201250621:(Reuters/ 20150614) Police hunt escaped zoo animals after floods in Georgian capital

seattletimes/ T20150615: oxic algae bloom might be largest ever

(Reuters/ 20150614) Police hunt escaped zoo animals after floods in Georgian capital

(thanniem/20150614) Unusually fierce winds uproot 1,000 trees, claim 2 lives in Hanoi

(washintontimes 20150614) North Korea says it has been hit by worst drought in 100 years

 

       
 

(Reuters/ 20150614) Police hunt escaped zoo animals after floods in Georgian capital

(thanniem/20150614) Unusually fierce winds uproot 1,000 trees, claim 2 lives in Hanoi

Fierce winds uprooted around 1,000 trees in Hanoi on Saturday afternoon, killing two passers-by and injuring five others. The winds, coupled with rain and lighting, struck the capital city out of the blues at 5 pm and lasted for around 30 minutes. Dao Thi Oanh, 21, and Duong Quang Tho, 61, died after being crushed by falling trees while driving their motorbikes on Minh Khai and Nguyen Du streets in Hai Ba Trung District. Five others were injured by fallen trees, billboards and corrugated iron roofs while many left their bikes on the streets and sought shelter. At least 1,000 trees were uprooted, 139 houses unroofed, 21 utility poles damaged and 13 cars smashed, authorities said at a meeting on Sunday morning.

(washintontimes 20150614) North Korea says it has been hit by worst drought in 100 years

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — North Korea says it has been hit by its worst drought in a century, resulting in extensive damage to agriculture. The official Korean Central News Agency said the drought has caused about 30 percent of its rice paddies to dry up. Rice plants normally need to be partially submerged in water during the early summer. “Water level of reservoirs stands at the lowest, while rivers and streams (are) getting dry,” it said in a report Tuesday. An official from South Korea’s Unification Ministry, who asked not to be identified because of office rules, said precipitation in North Korea was abnormally low in May. Its production of rice and potatoes could decline by as much as 20 percent compared to average years if the shortage of rainfall extends to early July, he said.

       
 
           
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
       

(click here to see previous earthquake reports of the current month)

Inhalt
 
 
 

 

 
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 
   

ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES/ CURRENT MONTH:

Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA Earthquake swarm/ begin: 20150530

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

> WESTERN TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
               
               
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER 3    
        EPICENTER 3    
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER 01 M 5.0 - ICELAND REGION - 2015-07-01 02:25:42 UTC  

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS continuing since 2010-

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

"C"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

 

UNCLEAR ACTIVITY "C" EPICENTER      
    INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKEACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014) "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
  ^COAST OF OREGON ACTIVITY BEGIN: 20150601   EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
  • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       

euronews/ 20150630: Dozens killed as Indonesian military plane crashes on houses in Sumatra

An Indonesian military transport plane has crashed into a residential area in Sumatra, killing dozens of people according to reports. There was carnage as houses and a hotel were set on fire. Many of the casualties were on the ground. The C-130 Hercules plane came down shortly after takeoff on the Sumatran city of Medan. There is confusion over the number of victims – many of whom were on the ground – and indeed over the precise number of passengers. The head of the air force has been quoted as saying 113 people were on board. Another military spokesman spoke of 62. Earlier reports cited the military as saying 12 people were on the aircraft.

  euronews; 20150629:Space X rocket explodes en route to ISS  

(click here to see previous technical reports of the current month)

 

euronews/ 20150601: Chinese ferry sinks on Yangtze River with over 450 on board

A rescue operation is underway on China’s Yangtze River after a passenger ferry sank on Monday evening. There were reported to be at 450 people on board the vessel, when it ran into trouble in Hubei Province during a cyclone. The ferry, called the Eastern Star, was travelling from Nanjing in eastern China to Chongqing city. Chinese state media reported that only about a dozen people had been rescued, among them the ship’s captain and engineer who said the vessel sank quickly. The majority of those on board are said to be elderly tourists. China’s Premier Li Keqiang is due to arrive at the scene of the accident. ...find more...

 
 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

(click here to see previous heavy weather reports of the current month)

 

TROPICAL STORMS/ DECEMBER 2014

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

       

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  
                     
EVOLUTION:               TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
      600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO    
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Cyclone Quang

                   
EVOLUTION:

20150430

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN 130 MPH -17.9° N 109.8° E SSE > 500 KM N OF NORTH WESTERN AUSTRALIA 02    

ARCHIVED:

                   

Tropical Cyclone Joalane

                   
EVOLUTION:

20150411

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN 105 MPH -21.1° N 67.7° E SSE 500 KM EAST OF MADAGASKAR 02    
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES -)

       

(volcano-discorvery/ 20150623)Sinabung volcano (Sumatra, Indonesia) update: increasing pyroclastic flows

A series of larger pyroclastic flows occurred yesterday, reaching lengths of up to 4.5 km and producing ash plumes that rose up to approx. 4 km. Most likely, the now relatively large dome is currently again a phase of increased destabilization and more of such dangerous pyroclastic flows (hot block and ash flows) can be expected....read more...

 

(jakarta post/ 20150613) Mt. Sinabung erupts again, locals brace for the worst 

 

(click here to see previous volcanism reports of the current month) including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS

Inhalt

huffington post/ 20150529: Massive Eruption Of Japan's Mount Shindake Volcano Caught On Camera:

Japanese residents fled the remote southern island of Kuchinoerabu on Friday following the eruption of Mount Shindake -- and the spectacular eruption was captured on video. Mount Shindake spewed black clouds as high as 5.6 miles into the sky as authorities evacuated nearly 140 people from the island, with one man reportedly suffering minor burns but all others believed to be safe. Video captured by the Japan Meteorological Agency and published by the Japanese public broadcaster NHK shows the initial explosion mushrooming into a towering cloud of ash....read more...

 

   

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by:

GVP  

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 10 June-16 June 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Asamayama Honshu (Japan) New
Barren Island Andaman Islands (India) New
Concepcion Nicaragua New
Cotopaxi Ecuador New
San Cristobal Nicaragua New
Sinabung Indonesia New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bulusan Luzon (Philippines) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kerinci Indonesia Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Papandayan Western Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Ubinas Peru Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 3 June-9 June 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Barren Island Andaman Islands (India) New
Concepcion Nicaragua New
Cotopaxi Ecuador New
Karangetang [Api Siau] Siau Island (Indonesia) New
Kuchinoerabujima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) New
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia New
Pacaya Guatemala New
San Cristobal Nicaragua New
Sinabung Indonesia New
Telica Nicaragua New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Ruang Sangihe Islands (Indonesia) Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Ubinas Peru Ongoing
Villarrica Chile Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 27 May-2 June 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Calbuco Chile New
Concepcion Nicaragua New
Guallatiri Chile New
Karangetang [Api Siau] Siau Island (Indonesia) New
Kuchinoerabujima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) New
Lokon-Empung Sulawesi (Indonesia) New
Piton de la Fournaise Reunion Island (France) New
Semisopochnoi United States New
Sinabung Indonesia New
Telica Nicaragua New
Wolf Isla Isabela (Ecuador) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bagana Bougainville (Papua New Guinea) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Nevado del Ruiz Colombia Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Soputan Sulawesi (Indonesia) Ongoing
Villarrica Chile Ongoing

 

 

 

 

     

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 20 May-26 May 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Calbuco Chile New
Concepcion Nicaragua New
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) New
Piton de la Fournaise Reunion Island (France) New
Telica Nicaragua New
Wolf Isla Isabela (Ecuador) New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:


Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Batu Tara Komba Island (Indonesia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Fuego Guatemala Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kerinci Indonesia Ongoing
Krakatau Indonesia Ongoing
Kuchinoerabujima Ryukyu Islands (Japan) Ongoing
Marapi Indonesia Ongoing
Papandayan Western Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Raung Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Santa Maria Guatemala Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Slamet Central Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Tengger Caldera Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Ubinas Peru Ongoing
Villarrica Chile Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 

 

 

     
       

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
     

 

 

   
                     
                     
                     
 

 

20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

 

 

 

 

(1.1.) LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

   
1.1.2. (related) NASA AND NOAA REAL TIME DATA PLOTS:                  
current sun spots and AR (visible disc):   ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot)   NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o   SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot   NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot )  
         
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >>    

LAST MAJOR UPDATE

20150627/ 28

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
SOLAR ACTIVITY:  

 

 

latest RSGA report of significanr solar activities
DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)
 
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> X- RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
20150628) <date of last update > 20150625 20150625 20150624- 25 20150627 20150627 20150627
20150627
20150628
20150618/ 15 UTC -22/ 19 UTC
 
25 last known event >

20150625: > M 5 flare at 18 UTC

Impact of 2 FULLY HALO CMEs after M + 5 flare and filament eruption on 20150624- 25 solar wind shock after / 9:00 UTC ( > 250 nT *) HIGH (= < 700 km/s)

G 1 (predicted)

: > 10 MeV Proton flux > 1 < 10 pfu (dropping)
> 2.0 MeV Electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu /
2 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:  
 
97 sfu. (NEW) background informations>      
 
solen.info/ solar- terrestrial report :

links to site sources: (NASA/ NOAA / archives ) >

GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150624- 26: GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: * refers not to the deviation but to the total geomagnetic density   (GOES 13/ 15 ) Geomagnetic field density in nanoTesla ( nT)201614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150624- 28: (GOES 13/ 15) integral electron flux in pfu. 20150626- 28 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150618- 24:  
PLANETARY A INDEX:        
 
06  
Active solar sunspot regions (AR) and Coronal holes (CH)(20150628: satellite measurements plots >
previous measurements >          
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

update/ 20150626: AR 12371 is meanhile at about 60° West and will rotate out until the end of June. On June 26 however- AR 12371 produced another M 8 LDE event, which again was associated to an SEP. Integral proton flux rose again above 10 pfu after the event. The overall situation is of course very strange and difficult to predict : we have still an ongoing S1 protons storm but with > 2 MeV electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu. high electron values at the same time. The impact of the latest CME on June 25 was so strong, that it exceeded far the limits of the graphic

update: 20150622: NEW AND STRONG SEP EVENT!! STRONGEST SEP since September 2014

On 20150621, another stronger SEP followed the first one on June 18 and values are currently exceeding 100 pfu. what is a strong event. Unfortunately, both STEREO Satellites are not available, inoperative or damaged. Their objective can make infrared images of the sun and are therefor the only ones that can make it possible to localise from where about in the Sun and in which direction a SEP occured. The emitted protons are not visible on any telescope, but as they heat up and accelerate gases from the solar corona on that point where they break through it ( what leads to spectacular heat eruptions) these images make it possible to track back from where and at which time about the SEP was radially accelerated ( what for sure happens deeper within the sun , what makes them just totally different to any sun spot related flare activity which always occure on or near to the surface of the Sun)

At that time / sometime prior to 3 UTC) when the first SEP on June 18 occured, there is one hot flare and eruption visible on SoHOs LASCO 3 , which also covers the infrared spectrum. The AR producing the event is AR 12376 on the western solar limb. But no satellite has any image showing the eruption, that might have been the source of the second stronger SEP that occured then sometimes prior to 15 UTC on June 21 . So also the first theory might be false. and the complex structure with several fastly changing Coronal holes around AR 12371 might have been the source of both SEPs. The fact that this region was in an optimal earth facing position during the second SEP ( from where the radial emitted protons have then usually the highest speed up to almost light velocity) also explains why these protons have still no effect on the electron accumulation and flux : they just would be still too fast and therefore would circulate within the geomagnetic field around a wider polar orbit, where the don`t get in touch yet with the deeper laying and yet discharging electrons.

CHECKING out the activities on hot spot volcanoes after the event, first of all Sinabung but also the the canary hotspot seems ( due to my current knowledge) to be the only one those have reacted yet on that. Since June 21 , magmatic quakes near to the hot spot south of El Hierro itself increased again. On June 21, also ith 4 km below sea surface also the MOST shallow quake was registered below EL Teide and near to teneriffe since that new activity phase had begun in December 2013! Until June 25, here where two quakes more at the same location . But IGN couldn`t ( or does not want) tell in which depth these magmatic boosts have occured.Means nothing else thans that magma levels in the volcanic system below the Teide massive first time have reached a level of less than 4 km below sealavel- what is - AS I BELIEVE- very CRITICAL!

 

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

           
SoHO / LASCO C 2/ 20150618/ 01:25 UTC SoHO / LASCO C 3/ 20150618/ 05:06 UTC SoHO / LASCO C 3/ 20150625/ 12:06 UTC NASA SDO/ AIO, SoHO and others: SDO/ 20150625/ 08:21   NASA D-RAP/ 20150622/ 14:11 UTC: : 20150622/ 02:53 UTC 20150622/ 18:24 uTC 20150623/ 08:08 UTC  
   
^ on 20150618 after 1 UTC as possibe( but rather unlikely ) source of SEP Full halo CME in JUne 21 ^partial- full halo CME after ;M8 flare on June 25 structure of AR 12371 and the surounding coronal holes ^M 8 LDE flare in AR 12371 on 20150625   ^global heat absorption after second SEP with values exceeding 100 pfu. beautiful flare from AR 12371 on June 22 that triggered NO CME ^M 5 flare- later on 20150622, that triggered another fully halo CME ^This event was soon followed by a major filament eruption around AR 12371  
^M flare and CME on 20150618                      
 

 

 

 

       
click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >>    

LAST MAJOR UPDATE

20150618- 24

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
SOLAR ACTIVITY: 20150620)  

 

 

DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)
 
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> X- RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
89 last known event >

20150622:2 Fully halo CME after + M 5 flare in AR 12371 and 1^filament eruption afterwards 20150618: M3 event in AR 12371/ 20150619: filament eruption; 20150621: M flare - AR 12371

Impact of 2 FULLY HALO CMEs after M + 5 flare and filament eruption on 20150624- 25 2o150622/ 5:45 UTC ( > 250 nT *) HIGHER (= < 700 km/s) on 20150624

20150623- G3 (predicted)

20150623: > 10 MeV Proton flux > 10 pfu (dropping)
20150623:> 2.0 MeV Electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu /beginning disturbance by protons
20150622/ 19 UTC: second SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:  
 
135 sfu. (NEW) background informations>      
 
solen.info/ solar- terrestrial report :

links to site sources: (NASA/ NOAA / archives ) >

GOES 137 !%. Integral X ray flux/ 20150624- 26: GOES 13/15:hp component/ geomagnetic field density: * refers not to the deviation but to the total geomagnetic density   (GOES 13/ 15 ) Geomagnetic field density in nanoTesla ( nT)201614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150624- 26: (GOES 13/ 15) integral electron flux in pfu. 20150614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150618- 24:  
PLANETARY A INDEX:        
 
02  
Active solar sunspot regions (AR) and Coronal holes (CH)(20150619: satellite measurements plots >
previous measurements >            
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

update/ 20150626: AR 12371 is meanhile at about 60° West and will rotate out until the end of June. On June 26 however- AR 12371 produced another M 8 LDE event, which again was associated to an SEP. Integral proton flux rose again above 10 pfu after the event. The overall situation is of course very strange and difficult to predict : we have still an ongoing S1 protons storm but with > 2 MeV electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu. high electron values at the same time. The impact of the latest CME on June 25 was so strong, that it exceeded far the limits of the graphic

update: 20150622: NEW AND STRONG SEP EVENT!! STRONGEST SEP since September 2014

On 20150621, another stronger SEP followed the first one on June 18 and values are currently exceeding 100 pfu. what is a strong event. Unfortunately, both STEREO Satellites are not available, inoperative or damaged. Their objective can make infrared images of the sun and are therefor the only ones that can make it possible to localise from where about in the Sun and in which direction a SEP occured. The emitted protons are not visible on any telescope, but as they heat up and accelerate gases from the solar corona on that point where they break through it ( what leads to spectacular heat eruptions) these images make it possible to track back from where and at which time about the SEP was radially accelerated ( what for sure happens deeper within the sun , what makes them just totally different to any sun spot related flare activity which always occure on or near to the surface of the Sun)

At that time / sometime prior to 3 UTC) when the first SEP on June 18 occured, there is one hot flare and eruption visible on SoHOs LASCO 3 , which also covers the infrared spectrum. The AR producing the event is AR 12376 on the western solar limb. But no satellite has any image showing the eruption, that might have been the source of the second stronger SEP that occured then sometimes prior to 15 UTC on June 21 . So also the first theory might be false. and the complex structure with several fastly changing Coronal holes around AR 12371 might have been the source of both SEPs. The fact that this region was in an optimal earth facing position during the second SEP ( from where the radial emitted protons have then usually the highest speed up to almost light velocity) also explains why these protons have still no effect on the electron accumulation and flux : they just would be still too fast and therefore would circulate within the geomagnetic field around a wider polar orbit, where the don`t get in touch yet with the deeper laying and yet discharging electrons.

CHECKING out the activities on hot spot volcanoes after the event, first of all Sinabung but also the the canary hotspot seems ( due to my current knowledge) to be the only one those have reacted yet on that. Since June 21 , magmatic quakes near to the hot spot south of El Hierro itself increased again. On June 21, also ith 4 km below sea surface also the MOST shallow quake was registered below EL Teide and near to teneriffe since that new activity phase had begun in December 2013! Until June 25, here where two quakes more at the same location . But IGN couldn`t ( or does not want) tell in which depth these magmatic boosts have occured.Means nothing else thans that magma levels in the volcanic system below the Teide massive first time have reached a level of less than 4 km below sealavel- what is - AS I BELIEVE- very CRITICAL!

HOT SPOT BEHAVIOUR

NASA however published an image that seem to show a magnetic structure around AR 12371, which embraces a quarter of the Sun ( image 3 below)

20150618/ after 3:30 UTC: I have almost overseen that a new medium strong SEP event occured on this day. The density of integral protons rose sharply above 10 pfu soon after the event, dropped first back almost to normal levels late on June 21 ( 20150621) but remained than at an increased level of o.8- 1.0 pfu 24 hours later at time of this update ( 20150621). It can currently also be observed, that the intgegral electron flux and the protons flux are ate higher valires AT THE SAME time, But however: The electron flux is expected to drop on the next days (at least on the instruments) as active protons just neutralize the effects of electrons for a while ..

20150618: a new and unexpected large and active region (AR 12371) has rotated in on the Eastern limb: The AR contains many and relative large sun spots and developed three groups each with with a significant prenumbras, and produced several flares during the past day A major earth directed CME was unleashed during an explosive event that occured on 20150618 after 17: 50 UTC. Another fully halo (= earth directed) CME was produced, while the AR has reached the solar meridian and flaring in this region again exceeded M level on 20150621, shortly before this update. No of both M flares and cMEs was the source of both protons events as decribed above

on 20150619:a large filament eruption occured form the edge of the large Coronal hole just Southwest of Ar 12371 and produced another Earth direceted CME. so there are at least three major CME impacts excpected for June 21, 22 u and 23, those likely will cause major geomagnetic disturbances

20150606: the active sunspot group 12361/62 rotated in on the eastern limb and is producing major flares those are currently- due to the low background x ray flux still on c level but expected to increase in strength

 
SDO/ 20150618/ 17:45 UTC SDO/ 20150619: 08:07 UTC SDO/ 20150621/ 02:08 UTC NASA SDO/ AIO, SoHO and others: SoHO / LASCO C 2/ 20150618/ 01:25 UTC   NASA D-RAP/ 20150622/ 14:11 UTC: : 20150622/ 02:53 UTC 20150622/ 18:24 uTC 20150623/ 08:08 UTC  
   
^M flare and CME on 20150618 ^filament eruption on 20150619 ^M class event of 20150621 structure of AR 12371 and the surounding coronal holes ^ on 20150618 after 1 UTC as possibe( but rather unlikely ) source of SEP   ^global heat absorption after second SEP with values exceeding 100 pfu. beautiful flare from AR 12371 on June 22 that triggered NO CME ^M 5 flare- later on 20150622, that triggered another fully halo CME ^This event was soon followed by a major filament eruption around AR 12371  

^M flar

 

e and CME on 20150618

                     
SOLAR ACTIVITY: 20150615) LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >>

 

 

DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> X- RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST MAJOR CME EVENT / ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
107 last known event > C level (20150615)     20150607/ after 6 UTC: > 150 nT 466 - 573 km/ sec. ( on 20150615) 20150616: 61 (predicted)
201504514: > 10 MeV Protons > back to normal
20150616:> 2.0 MeV Electrons exceeding 1.000 pfu
201504512/ after 3 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 7 pfu
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:    
 
134.8 sfu. (NEW) background informations>        
 
solen.info/ solar- terrestrial report :

links to site sources: (NASA/ NOAA / archives ) >

        (GOES 13/ 15 ) Geomagnetig field density in nanoTesla ( nT)201614- 16   (GOES 13/ 15) integral electron flux in pfu. 20150614- 16 GOES 13 : INTEGRAL SOLAR PROTON FLUX- in pfu. during last proton event(/ 20150514:  
PLANETARY A INDEX:          
 
12  
Active solar sunspot regions (AR) and Coronal holes (CH)(20150615: satellite measurements plots >
previous measurements >                
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150606: the active sunspot group 12361/62 rotated in on the eastern limb and is producing major flares those are currently- due to the low background x ray flux still on c level but expected to increase in strength

 
 

 

 

     

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150606  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150606

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
increasing C level       unclear   G 1 expected
201504514: > 10 MeV Protons > back to normal
> 2 MeV ELECTRONS low/ disturbance by ip.protons
201504512/ after 3 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 7 pfu
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
 
             
   
            electron flux/ 20150604- 06    
         
 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150606: the active sunspot group 12361/62 rotated in on the eastern limb and is producing major flares those are currently- due to the ölow background flux on c level but expected to increase

 
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
SEP EVENT LOGS
PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)
PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron acummulation
PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP location
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton impact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150512/ after 03 UTC: uncertain- likely western limb 12335(west) or 12339 20150512/ after 03 UTC ongoing 7 pfu. unknown/ trather high pending        
201504 1- 30 ° behind western limb S4392 20150422/ after 17 UTC 20160528/ 23 UTC > 1 pfu. unknown (LOW= < 30.000 km/s. ) continuing from previous SEPs ongoing > 1.000 pfu   pending!
20150315 near solar meridian AR 20150315 after 03 UTC 20160418 08 pfu high/ unknown 20150419 ongoing > 10.000 pfu accumulated electrons.. Values are likely higher than measured due to protons influcence ( altered potential) pending!
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                   
                       
 

 

 

 

 
(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 
(3.0) EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EFFECTS:
 

 

 

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 
         
^Barcelona airport/ 20140707 ^Taipeh pLane Crash/ 2014 BBC/ 20150224/ Video: Sinkhole in South Korea 'swallows' 2 pedestrians - BBC News    
 

 

 

 

     
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obviously something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"    

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

 

VARIOUS:

 

 
( September 2014:) Aerial Iceland volcano footage: Lava fountains, huge smoke clouds

 

 

 

 
                       
                       

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

provided by:

alien-homepage.de
Impressum/contact

 

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APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have signifiant and even strongest related geophysical effects.

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I don`t expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluation as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ( solar events with proton emissions) are the almost only geoeffective known type of solar event) those do even have extremely strong and complex effects on the earth body , thos only and best can be descroved described just with the phrase "theoretically can do everything". This is- since SEPs turned out to be the possible cause also for catastrophic earthquakes such as 2014 and 2011 - what this documentary now focussed on. SEPs however do happen MOST frequently during the maximum of the 11 years solar sun spot cycle (last in 2012(13) , but occure also in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany