1

please be patient ... this page contains much data and will need some time to load!

10.02.2016
 
alien-homepage.de / internal links: MYTH COMMENT UTC

LOAD RIGHT FRAME

REMOVE RIGHT FRAME

. open source research project - Start - since May 2011- daily updated
ws recommended: install Google toolbar with integrated translator  
background img.: WIKIPEDIA/ Commons/ Aurora Borealis Poster       solar-terrestrial blog/ last updates>  
click here for facebook comments
comment:
 
     
DATE:
 
last updated on

2016

FEBRUARY 10 2016
ALERT! FURTHERON HIGH PROBABILITY OF MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES!!
important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2016 >

                         

2015 >

   

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

 

FEBRUARY 2016

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

for basic informations about this project scroll down to the bottom of this page!

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

scientific reviews of solar research (as far as available)

by NASA, MPI and others :

 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
(INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

JANUARY 19- 2015: SUDDEN DEEP DROP IN INTEGRAL ELECTRON FLUX!

HIGH PROPABILITY OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES ( see below)in the next days and weeks!

 

 

 

 

 

                 
(SECTION 1) SOLAR AND ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG:  
NEWS and special reports
   

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

FEBRUARY

2016

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
     
MAJOR NATURAL INCIDENTS
     

ZIKA on the spread...

US departnment of Health and Human Services/ Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/ 20160203:

Zika virus is spread to people through mosquito bites. The most common symptoms of Zika virus disease are fever, rash, joint pain, and conjunctivitis (red eyes). The illness is usually mild with symptoms lasting from several days to a week. Severe disease requiring hospitalization is uncommon.

In May 2015, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) issued an alert regarding the first confirmed Zika virus infection in Brazil. The outbreak in Brazil led to reports of Guillain-Barré syndrome and pregnant women giving birth to babies with birth defects and poor pregnancy outcomes.

In response, CDC has issued travel notices for people traveling to regions and certain countries where Zika virus transmission is ongoing.

Countries and territories with active Zika virus transmission>>

again stranded during an intensive geomagnetic storm:

phys org./20160201 Eight dead sperm whales found on German beach

Eight dead sperm whales have washed up on a German beach, just weeks after 12 of the giant mammals were found dead at other sites on the North Sea, officials said Monday. (read more in collapsible panel below)

 

     
 

(click here to see previous natural incident reports of the current month)

 

 

again stranded during an intensive geomagnetic storm:

phys org./20160201 Eight dead sperm whales found on German beach

Eight dead sperm whales have washed up on a German beach, just weeks after 12 of the giant mammals were found dead at other sites on the North Sea, officials said Monday.

The eight whales found near the northern town of Friedrichskoog were young bulls, around the same age as the animals discovered three weeks ago at various North Sea spots. They were lying close to each other in the mudflats of a restricted area of the Wadden Sea national park, the Schleswig-Holstein regional environmental authority said in a statement. Since the 1990s, a total of 82 sperm wales have been found stranded in the Wadden Sea in Denmark, the Netherlands and Germany....read more...

>> beginning geomagnetic storm on January 31/ 2016 with fluctuations of geomagnetic field density and a strong disturbance of the solar integral electron flux (caused by several minor CMEs and filament eruptions on 20160128 those ejected protons and + ions towards the earth)

>>> increase of interplanatary proton/ + ion flux on 20160131(ACE)

     
 
       
                       

 

 
           

SPECIALS

 

SAN ANDREAS FAULT

     
            Yellowstone streaming webcam:  

greensboro.com/ 20160107 California governor declares gas leak a state of emergency

LOS ANGELES — California Gov. Jerry Brown declared a state of emergency over a massive natural-gas leak that has been spewing methane and other gases into a Los Angeles neighborhood for months, sickening residents and forcing thousands to evacuate. In a statement, Brown said Wednesday that he acted based on the requests of people in the community of Porter Ranch and the "prolonged and continuing" nature of the gas blowout at the underground storage facility.

     

 

 
 

 

 

 

     
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
 

 

   

euronews/ 20160205): Ten-day-old baby among dead after powerful quake hits southern Taiwan

A powerful earthquake has toppled a 17-storey apartment block in southern Taiwan, killing at least five people, including a 10-year-old girl. It triggered frantic efforts to rescue about 35 people feared trapped inside.

/earthquake.com/ 20160206: Very strong deadly earthquake below Southern Taiwan

 testimonies/EMSC
 
         
ASSOCIATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 

(click here to see the report of the latestknown previous TSUNAMI EVENT

Inh

                 
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20150917 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE > M 8.3 - OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2015-09-16 22:54:33 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
31.57 S ; 71.58 W
DEPTH >
30 km  
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON: 0535 UTC THU SEP 17 2015 ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): YES CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
000 WEHW40 PHEB 170025 TSUHWX HIZ001>003-005>009-012>014-016>021-023>026-170225- /O.CON.PHEB.TS.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ BULLETIN TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3 NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI 224 PM HST WED SEP 16 2015 TO - EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN THE STATE OF HAWAII SUBJECT - TSUNAMI WATCH SUPPLEMENT A TSUNAMI WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 1254 PM HST 16 SEP 2015 COORDINATES - 31.5 SOUTH 72.0 WEST LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE MAGNITUDE - 8.3 MOMENT MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL PER ------------------- ----- ------ ----- --------------- ----- VALPARAISO CL 33.0S 71.6W 2350Z 1.62M / 5.3FT 40MIN CHANARAL CL 26.4S 70.6W 0010Z 0.67M / 2.2FT 34MIN JUAN FERNANDEZ 33.6S 78.8W 0008Z 0.97M / 3.2FT 08MIN COQUIMBO CL 30.0S 71.3W 2339Z 3.11M / 10.2FT 20MIN BUCALEMU CL 34.6S 72.0W 2334Z 0.46M / 1.5FT 24MIN CALDERA CL 27.1S 70.8W 2343Z 0.50M / 1.6FT 30MIN SAN ANTONIO CL 33.6S 71.6W 2358Z 0.86M / 2.8FT 18MIN DART 32402 26.7S 74.0W 2326Z 0.12M / 0.4FT 36MIN LAT - LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH) LON - LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST) TIME - TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME) AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL. IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT. VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT). PER - PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT. NOTE - DART MEASUREMENTS ARE FROM THE DEEP OCEAN AND THEY ARE GENERALLY MUCH SMALLER THAN WOULD BE COASTAL MEASUREMENTS AT SIMILAR LOCATIONS. EVALUATION BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A TSUNAMI MAY HAVE BEEN GENERATED BY THIS EARTHQUAKE THAT COULD BE DESTRUCTIVE ON COASTAL AREAS EVEN FAR FROM THE EPICENTER. AN INVESTIGATION IS UNDERWAY TO DETERMINE IF THERE IS A TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII. IF TSUNAMI WAVES IMPACT HAWAII THE ESTIMATED EARLIEST ARRIVAL OF THE FIRST TSUNAMI WAVE IS 0311 AM HST THU 17 SEP 2015 FURTHER MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS WARRANT UNTIL THE THREAT TO HAWAII HAS PASSED..
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE no specific data LOCATION OF ORIGIN no specific data NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS > EXPECTED WAVE HEIGHTS>  
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR: CHILE, POLYNESIA> HAWAII ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
                       
                       
                       

alt

 

 
PREVIOUS (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 
   

ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here forEARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES and previous reports (CURRENT MONTH ONLY):

Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

greensboro.com/ 20160107 California governor declares gas leak a state of emergency

LOS ANGELES — California Gov. Jerry Brown declared a state of emergency over a massive natural-gas leak that has been spewing methane and other gases into a Los Angeles neighborhood for months, sickening residents and forcing thousands to evacuate. In a statement, Brown said Wednesday that he acted based on the requests of people in the community of Porter Ranch and the "prolonged and continuing" nature of the gas blowout at the underground storage facility.

     

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.3 - COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2016-02-10 00:33:05 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
30.58 S ; 71.58 W
DEPTH >
30 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.5 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-02-08 16:19:14 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
6.66 S ; 154.72 E
DEPTH >
40km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.4 - TAIWAN - 2016-02-05 19:57:27 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
22.93 N ; 120.54 E
DEPTH >
17 km    

 

 

 

             
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2016-02-01 19:00:44 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
30.94 S ; 179.96 W
DEPTH >
382 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
       

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
               

TURKEY

  earthquake swarm/ resumed on 20160110   EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic) distance: < 100 miles

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations. There are also regular microquakes along the river Rhine, thos are not respected here.  
    begin: 20151021:   EPICENTER   M 2.1 - GERMANY - 2016-02-07 10:21:33 UTC  
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP- 3 activity phase (begin: 20131226)

"E"

EPICENTER      
  reports only after events exceed magnitude 2.0 > EPICENTER      
  >> see also my canary islands volcano blog EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SERIAL GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS 20150805: Earthquake swarm/ small antilles ( west indies)

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA Earthquake swarm/ begin: 20151107 (resuming)   EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC (click for reports) was felt on surface

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKEACTIVITY / CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC

increased magmatic microquake activity ( since January 2014)

"C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
  Greater Los Angeles Area > 20151229: increase after proton event >   EPICENTER      
  20151026 intensifying ( most of the shocks ARE FELT ON THE SURFACE !!   EPICENTER      
  continuing....     EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. EARTRHQUAKE SWARM/ 20150805

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
  • MAJOR TECHNICAL INCIDENTS
       
         

(click here to see previous technical reports of the current month)

         
                     
 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

 

 

     

(click here to see previous heavy weather reports of the current month)

 

20151104: Strong convective system leaves parts of Spain under water

A big low pressure area that was affecting Iberian Peninsula since November 1, 2015, has brought heavy downpours to many parts of Spain, causing river overflows and flash floods across the country. 4 people have been reported dead and another 5 injured, as of November 3.

thewatchers/ 20151102:Major flooding hits parts of Texas, several tornadoes reported

Major floods hit parts of central and southeastern Texas, as of October 30, 2015, media reports. Several tornado events, some of which have yet to be confirmed, have been observed to inflict significant damage south and east of Houston, across the eastern Harris County and the cities of D'Hanis and Floresville. 6 people have died so far, and 2 have gone missing.

thewatchers/20151102:Severe thunderstorm and flash floods hit Portugal and Spain

Severe thunderstorm accompanied with heavy rains continues to sweep Iberian Peninsula, as of November 1, 2015. Severe flooding claimed one life so far, in Algarve region, Portugal. The weather system is currently wreaking havoc across Spain, where severe flash floods are expected to follow, as well. A big low pressure field has brought intense rainfall to the Iberian Peninsula, starting November 1, when the rains caused flooding across southern Portugal.>>

 
                       

 

TROPICAL STORMS/

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

       

 

 

             
LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
     
>
   
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
    EASTERN PACIFIC           TC    
                     
                     
    EASTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
    WESTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
    WESTERN PACIFIC                
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                2    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  

 

                   
                TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
           
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES -)

       
 

volcano-discovery/ 20160206:Soputan volcano (North-Sulawesi, Indonesia): strong explosion, ash to 23,000 ft

A larger explosive eruption was reported to have occurred about two hours ago (10:15 UTC). At 11:45 UTC, Darwin VAAC issued alerts to aviation about an ash plume that had risen to estimated 23,000 ft (7 km) altitude and has been drifting NW. Aviation color code was immediately raised to RED. According to a local newspaper article, there were two eruptions today: a presumably smaller one (which did not cause any alerts) in the morning at 10:00, and a "terrific" eruption at 18:15 local time (or 10:15 GMT), which sent a large ash plume into the sky. Ash fall was reported from the areas at the feet of the volcano, but there seems not to have been any damage reported.

Sakurajima (Kyushu, Japan-20160205): After several months of unusual calm, the volcano had a moderately strong vulcanian explosion from the Showa crater this morning. An ash plume rose to approx. 10,000 ft (3 km) altitude. >>>live webcam

Bardarbunga (Central Iceland-20160205): Over the past few months, seismic activity at the volcano, mainly under the volcano's large, ice-covered caldera has been increasing again, suggesting that magma might be filling the volcano's reservoir underneath the caldera.

xx

(click here to see previous volcanism reports of the current month) including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS

Inhalt
      xx

 

 

 

 

 

 

                 
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES
       
 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
  volcano-discovery/gadget

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 

report by: GVP

GVP  

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 20 January-26 January 2016

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

   

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Masaya Nicaragua New
Planchon-Peteroa Central Chile-Argentina border New
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) New

 




 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATE:

Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Copahue Central Chile-Argentina border Ongoing
Dukono Halmahera (Indonesia) Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Marapi Indonesia Ongoing
Momotombo Nicaragua Ongoing
Popocatepetl Mexico Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Rinjani Lombok Island (Indonesia) Ongoing
Semeru Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Tengger Caldera Eastern Java (Indonesia) Ongoing

 



 

   
 

 

 

     
 

 

 

     
         

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
 

 

 

 
(SECTION 2) SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY  
NASA data reports
   
                       

20141216: please note: NASA was recently again reorganising their website contents: So- some many or even all elder archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will maybe not work anymore . Updates are made in this report as soon as available, but i just cant look all trough to update the links. Thus: here just the links to the current NASA plot archives: NASA( space weather plots as archived since 1966

 

(1.1.) LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

   
1.1.2. (related) NASA AND NOAA REAL TIME DATA PLOTS:                  
current sun spots and AR (visible disc):   ^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE/ 7 days Real TIime: geomagnetic field components and deformation:( Bz =North South/ By= Est- West ACE (Advanced Composition explorer); (7 days Real Time) SOLAR PROTON COMPONENT (in solar winds or CMEs) SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot ACE/ SIS: (7 days Real Time) INTERPLANETARY PROTON FLUX: NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot )  
   
 
click here for more REAL TIME FEATURES (NASA satellite data)
(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY JULY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 
     

 

 

             
LATEST SPACE WEATHER ALERTS >> here you find elder reports and newer ones. Green background means : this event is over/ineffective

LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT /UPDATE >

20160202

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
             
solar activity by: solen.info/:

please note: this section is only updated after significant major events/ from Nov 2015 on, the text fields in the second row will contain all alerts of the current month as issued by NOAA

latest RSGA report of significant solar activities
DATE: see textbox >
SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS /SEP: *

*also named SPE (= SOLAR PROTON EVENT) or: SAP (= SOLAR ACCELERATED PROTONS )

 
           
CURRENT STATE: :
   
SUNSPOT NUMBER: SOLAR TERRESTRIAL EVENTS> MAJOR - RAY ACTIVITES/ FlARES  > M 5 / CMEs/ SEPs

RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

EXPECTED CME ARRIVALS /

last real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
PHASE III ( electron discharge)
PHASE II (electron accumulation)
PHASE I (proton event) :
 
  <last event update >       20160202/ REAL TIME 20160203
20160118
20151023
 
INTEGRAL X RAY FLUX: last known event >       minor CMEs from filament eruptions G1 (index of 5)
(PENDING ) ELECTRON DISCHARGE! (SEP- PHASEIII?? )
20160209 > 2.0 MeV Electron flux again increasing after disturbance

20160102- 04:/: NEW MAJOR SOLAR PROTON EVENT(> 10 pfu)

 
                     
  latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:
latest event data and plots (GOES x-ray)- current month
Inhalt

2015

DECEMBER

 

date

events/ activity changes

 
31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24    
23 (solen.info) M4.7/1F 00:40 S22E63 12473 GOES15 small, narrow CME, southeastwards directed
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15    
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09    
08    
07    
06    
05    
04    
03    
02    
01    
latest radio bursts and emission

2016

January

 

date

Type II and IV radio emissions and 10 cm Radio bursts

 

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event

31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24    
23    
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15 Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1037 Issue Time: 2016 Jan 15 0324 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 Jan 15 0241 UTC Estimated Velocity: 550 km/s
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09    
08    
07    
06    
05    
04    
03    
02    
01

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1036 Issue Time: 2016 Jan 01 2355 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 Jan 01 2322 UTC Estimated Velocity: 1019 km

. Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 523 Issue Time: 2016 Jan 01 2355 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2016 Jan 01 2324 UTC www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

 
 
latest CME event data and plots (current month)

2016

January

 
 

date

events/ activity changes

31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24 CME impact after 06 UTC higher than 150 nT source:
23    
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15    
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09    
08    
07    
06    
05 20160105: minor CME impact > 100 < 150 nT
04    
03    
02    
01 20160101/ after 03 UTC: impact of CME from LDE flare in AR 12437 on 20151228
halt
latest events (current month)

2016

January

 

date

events/ activity changes

 
31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24    
23    
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15    
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09    
08    
07    
06    
05    
04    
03    
02    
01    
click here for latest GOES hp plots and data (current month):

2016

February

 

geomagnetic storms:

www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

date

events/ activity changes

 
31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24    
23    
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15    
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09    
08    
07    
06    
05    
04 G1/ index of 5 (continued)
03 Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 1139 Issue Time: 2016 Feb 03 0525 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Valid From: 2016 Feb 03 0525 UTC Valid To: 2016 Feb 03 1000 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
02    
01 Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 1852 Issue Time: 2016 Feb 01 0002 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2016 Jan 31 2359 UTC Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC Active Warning: Yes Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
click here for phase III alerts
Inha

2016

January

date

events/ activity changes

31  
30  
29  
28  
27  
26  
25  
24  
23  
22  
21  
20  
19  
18  
17  
16  
15  
14 Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
13 (cancelled)
12 continued
11 continued
10 continued
09 POSSIBLE DISCHARGE (SEP- PHASEIII)
08  
07  
06  
05  
04  
03  
02  
01  
lt
click here for latest electron event data (current month)
Inhalt

2016

Fevruary

ELECTRON FLUX

www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

date

events/ activity changes

31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24  
23    
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15    
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09 20160209 > 2.0 MeV Electron flux again increasing after disturbance  
08 electron depression  
07 electron depression  
06 electron depression  
05 electron depression  
04 electron depression  
03 electron depression  
02 electron depression  
01 20160131:beginning electron depression
click here for latest proton event data (current month

2016

January

PROTON EVENTS

date

events/ activity changes

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencie
31    
30    
29    
28    
27    
26    
25    
24    
23    
22    
21    
20    
19    
18    
17    
16    
15    
14    
13    
12    
11    
10    
09    
08    
07    
06    
05    
04    
03    
02 Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1 Serial Number: 314 Issue Time: 2016 Jan 02 0446 UTC ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu Begin Time: 2016 Jan 02 0430 UTC NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor .
01    

 

previous SEP events ( protons)
 
20151228:/ after 14 UTC: SOLAR PROTON EVENT  
 
 
 
20151029
 
 
20151023-24 minor SEP : > 10 MeV Protons < = 1 pfu
 
 
20150618/20: 2 following SEP : > 10 MeV Protons > 1000 pfu!
 
 
 
PLANETARY A INDEX: (NEW) background informations>        
 
   

 

 

                 

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

JANUARY 2016

     

20160129-20160203:Several filament eruptions were observed on the solar disc-the major ones January 30/ after 16 UTC and on 20160203/ 8:08 UTC. ON January 31.a stronger incresase of protons and +charged ions was measured by ACE entering the geomagnetic orbit and those caused major geomagnetic storming and a strong depression of the integral electron flux.(images 1, 2 and 5 below)

20160129:solar flare activity is currently low, but increased over the past days again with some B and C flares on the Western limb-mainly in AR 12488-with two associated but minor CMEs( see mimages 1- 3 below), some filament activities and a wide prominence in an unspotted region below AR 1248. The activity might by the prelude for another proton event(SPE) to come.

 

 
     
MAJOR SOLAR ERUPTIONS and CMEs (3) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (04) SoHO (5)GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: (6)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: LAST SOLAR SEP:        
20160203: (01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (3) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (04) SoHO (5)GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: (6)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: (01) SoHO (6)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: (2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (4)GOES 13/ integral proton flux (05) NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP)  
     
  ^filament eruption on 20160130/ 16:11 UTC ^filament eruption on 20160203/ 8:08 UTC   înterplanetary proton and + ion flux on 20160129- 20160205   ^partial halo CME beginning on 20150101/ after 23:40 UTC SEP outburst on 20160102/ atshortly after 23:30 UTC -images were updated after transmission had resumed- ^LDE flare in AR on 20160102 / peaking around 00: 10 UTC ^first protons arriving at geomagnetic orbit on 20150102/ shortly after 00 UTC ^global proton impact heat absorption during proton event on 20160102 after oo UTC  
                       
 

 

 

 

       
click here for images and data of previous major solar and terrestrial events

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

JANUARY 2016

     
  significant solar events /descriptions:

20160124: an major CME impacted after 6 UTC pushing the geomagnetic field density shortly above 150.nT . ACE epam shows an increase in the interplanetary proton flux along with the event, which is the reason , why electrons at that time fell below 1.000pfu.

20160101/ after 22 UTC: AR produced another extraordinary large LDE with a peaking after 23: 28 ( see images SDO 1, 2 below). The event was associated with a proton enhancement measured by GOES arriving in the geomagnetic orbit after : the impact is ongoing, exceeeds now already 10 pfu. but has not yet reacjhed its peak level

20151228: what might become the begin of a new serial of solar proton events began on 20151228 after 10 UTC / event on STEREO) . > 2.0 MeV proton flux reaching the geomagnetic orbit after 14 UTC did not exceed 10.pfu. (for more details: see collapsible panel below). Usually flares are not necessarily the source for those SEPs, but are rather associated with and triggered by SPE as as secondary surface eruptions. However: STEREO Ahead spacecraft, which has the only infrared telescope on which the source for SEPs ( the gases accelerated and heated up by a SEP ) become visible has not transfered yet images of the event . So, the event can be deeper analysed localised, when these images will be available. If the LDE flare in AR 12437 (peaking shortly after 00 UTC on Jan 02) was the source for this proton eevent , protons however would have had a speed near to the speed of light, as protons arrived on the geomag. orbit about at the same time ( shortly after 00 UTC on Jan., 02

 
     
20151228: (01)STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (3)NASA D_RAP/ global 1 ABS heat absorption (4)GOES 13/ integral proton flux (5)GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: (6)STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: (07) SoHO NASA DRAP/ D REGION ABSORPTION PREDICTIONS (D-RAP) () SDO/ AIA/HMI: () SDO (2) GOEShp:  
         
  ^LDE flare in AR on 20160101/ after 22 UTC ^LDE flare in AR on 20160102 / peaking around 00: 10 UTC ^first protons arriving at geomagnetic orbit on 20150102/ shortly after 00 UTC > M 2 flare in AR 12437 on 20150102/ shortly after 00 UTC SEP outburst on 20160102( images wer eupdated aftertranmission jhad resumed ^partial halo CME beginning on 20150101/ after 23:40 UTC ^global proton impact heat absorption during proton event on 20160102 after oo UTC        
       

 

 

 

             

PREVIOUS MAJOR SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 

DECEMBER 2015:

     
  significant solar events descriptions:

20151228: A new short solar proton event occured on 20151228 shortly after 10 UTC. First protons arrived at STEREO AHEAD at 1209:07 UTC . Proton enhancement in the geomagnetic orbit was registered by GOES on 20151228 after 1s UTC. ITs not over yet but > 10 MeV proton integral flux yet not exceeded 10 pfu. The new proton event (SEP) will first intensify magmaintrusion from hot spots. With the expected electron accumulation temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere are likely to continue. If the proton storm should not exceed 10 pfu. these effects are likely to be not every strong

20151223: flare activity was very low over the past 3 month and increased no untypically higher just during the winter soltice ( when it was rather most calm in the past years) AR 12470 is past week the only major visible sun spotspot group on the solar disc but was not very active . On 20151222 , AR 12473 and 121472 appeared on the eastern solar limb . AR 12473 is larger in sunspots and is also very active in producing C flares . On December 23 , after 00:40 it produced a M4.7 flare with a radio burst and a major CME heading towards the Southeast which has some earth directed components, those will arrive around Dec 25. AR 12473 will accompony us for the next 20 days and could produce some more major events during that time. It might also be a candidate for a major SEP

20151218: Several filament eruptions were observed on the Sun, those ejected positive charger matter into space and towards the Earth. The impact on 20151220 was unexpected strong and caused a major geomagnetic storm . The geomagnetic field density ( hp values) on December 20 exceeded 200 nT ( nanoTesla)

 
     

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

 
images of one of the strongest proton events in decades on 20160618/ 20:/ STREO is no functional)
     
20151228: STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (3) SDO/ AIA/HMI: NASA D_RAP/ global 1 ABS heat absorption GOES 13/ integral proton flux GOES 13/ 15: xray flux: STEREO AHEAD/ CORE 2: 20151223: STAR Coronal hole map (solen.info) (1) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (2) SDO/ AIA/HMI: (1) SDO (2) GOEShp:  
 
  ^strong M+ LDE associuated to SPE on 20ß151228 ^Heat absoption around Southern poile during solar SEP on 20151228 proton impact during SEP on 20151228 ^LDE flare in AR 12437 on 20151228 ^(time of) proton emission on 20151228/ 10:02 UTC ^new AR 12473appeared on the easter solar limb ^M4.7/1F flare in AR 12473 on 20151223 AR 12473: second minor CME on 20151224/ 02:12 ^ one of several filament eruptions on 20151218: ^impact of CME on 20152020  

 

 

 

 

           
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:

SEP EVENT LOGS

(detailled reports only for event > 10 pfu. )

PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)

PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron accumulation

PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP location
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton impact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20160202 Eastern solar limb (STEREO Ahead ) 20160101/ 23:30 UTC 20160102/shortly after 00UTC 20160103/ afterb12 UTC 12pfu 71333km/sec interfering with previous electronaccumulation ongoing about 4.000 pfu    
20151228/ after 10 UTC eastern limb   20151228:/ after 14 UTC   < 10 pfu         begin of new SPE serial!?  
20151109- 11         < 10 pfu            
20151029         < 10 pfu            
20151023-24         < 10 pfu            
20150702         < 10 pfu            
20150626/30 uncertain- STEREO A not funtiional likely AR 12371 20150622/ 19 UTC 20150702 1.000 pfu! unknwon          
20150512/ after 03 UTC: uncertain- likely western limb 12335(west) or 12339 20150512/ after 03 UTC ongoing 7 pfu. unknown/ trather high pending        
201504 1- 30 ° behind western limb S4392 20150422/ after 17 UTC 20160528/ 23 UTC > 1 pfu. unknown (LOW= < 30.000 km/s. ) continuing from previous SEPs ongoing > 1.000 pfu   pending!
20150315 near solar meridian AR 20150315 after 03 UTC 20160418 08 pfu high/ unknown 20150419 ongoing > 10.000 pfu accumulated electrons.. Values are likely higher than measured due to protons influcence ( altered potential) pending!
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                   
                       
 

 

 

 

 
(SECTION 3) EXPERIMENTAL VOLCANO AND EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
       

(EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST MAINLY BASED ON SEP EVENTS/ EFFECTS)

 

 

 

----------------------

 

 

OTHER NEWS / SOLAR SYSTEM:

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    

iopscience/ 20160120:EVIDENCE FOR A DISTANT GIANT PLANET IN THE SOLAR SYSTEM

Abstract Recent analyses have shown that distant orbits within the scattered disk population of the Kuiper Belt exhibit an unexpected clustering in their respective arguments of perihelion. While several hypotheses have been put forward to explain this alignment, to date, a theoretical model that can successfully account for the observations remains elusive. In this work we show that the orbits of distant Kuiper Belt objects (KBOs) cluster not only in argument of perihelion, but also in physical space. We demonstrate that the perihelion positions and orbital planes of the objects are tightly confined and that such a clustering has only a probability of 0.007% to be due to chance, thus requiring a dynamical origin. We find that the observed orbital alignment can be maintained by a distant eccentric planet with mass gsim10 m⊕ whose orbit lies in approximately the same plane as those of the distant KBOs, but whose perihelion is 180° away from the perihelia of the minor bodies. In addition to accounting for the observed orbital alignment, the existence of such a planet naturally explains the presence of high-perihelion Sedna-like objects, as well as the known collection of high semimajor axis objects with inclinations between 60° and 150° whose origin was previously unclear. Continued analysis of both distant and highly inclined outer solar system objects provides the opportunity for testing our hypothesis as well as further constraining the orbital elements and mass of the distant planet....read more...

       

20151203: LOUNCH OF LISA PATHFINDER MISSION:

" Massive bodies near to black holes (likely- itsa a theory) produce GRAVITATIONAL WAVES"

( i don`t make any comments on that regarding the phenomenon of solar proton events as treated in this report...)

ESA PR 47-2015: LISA (= Laser Interferometry Space Antenna) Pathfinder en route to gravitational wave demonstration: 03 December 2015 ESA's LISA Pathfinder lifted off earlier today on a Vega rocket from Europe's spaceport in Kourou, French Guiana, on its way to demonstrate technology for observing gravitational waves from space.

(by ESA: )Mission LISA Pathfinder will test in flight the concept of low-frequency gravitational wave detection: it will put two test masses in a near-perfect gravitational free-fall, and control and measure their motion with unprecedented accuracy. LISA Pathfinder will use the latest technology to minimise the extra forces on the test masses, and to take measurements. The inertial sensors, the laser metrology system, the drag-free control system and an ultra-precise micro-propulsion system make this a highly unusual mission. LISA Pathfinder is an ESA mission, which will also carry a NASA payload....read more

for more informations. go toi LISA Pathfinder mission website>>

     

NASA/ 20151008/ NASA's Curiosity Rover Team Confirms Ancient Lakes on Mars

A new study from the team behind NASA's Mars Science Laboratory/Curiosity has confirmed that Mars was once, billions of years ago, capable of storing water in lakes over an extended period of time.

Using data from the Curiosity rover, the team has determined that, long ago, water helped deposit sediment into Gale Crater, where the rover landed more than three years ago. The sediment deposited as layers that formed the foundation for Mount Sharp, the mountain found in the middle of the crater today.

"Observations from the rover suggest that a series of long-lived streams and lakes existed at some point between about 3.8 to 3.3 billion years ago, delivering sediment that slowly built up the lower layers of Mount Sharp," said Ashwin Vasavada, Mars Science Laboratory project scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, and co-author of the new Science article to be published Friday, Oct. 9.

The findings build upon previous work that suggested there were ancient lakes on Mars, and add to the unfolding story of a wet Mars, both past and present. Last month, NASA scientists confirmedcurrent water flows on Mars.

     

alien worlds: RT/ 210151016: Star in a  solar system of Cygnus/ Lyra constellation surrounded by irregular objects possibly of technical nature? >>>

Thunderbolts project on youtube: Veröffentlicht am 03.10.2015

Veröffentlicht am 03.10.2015 In the previous Space News episode, we discussed recent, astonishing images of the surface of the dwarf planet Pluto. Many other surprises have already been revealed in the data thus far released from NASA’s New Horizons mission. Today, physicist Eugene Bagashov discusses what we have learned thus far about Pluto’s atmosphere and the larger Plutonian environment.

       
Pluto in a Minute: How Similar are Pluto and Charon to the Earth and the Moon?          

 

 

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive

 

     
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
    Now we know, how the aliens those once constructed us, really looked like. "the Head of the statue":  
       
     
         
what`s up in the sky: Amazing Pyramid & Broken Wall Found On Mars! --- the extraterrists made also Yoga excercises: Statue Of Being In Lotus Position (Indian Style) On Mars Looks Human Possible Egyptian Queen Style Statue Imaged By The Curiosity Rover On SOL 796 ( found by: what`s up in the sky)    
click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item) click here for the original NASA Photo showing this piece of rubble ( you must enhance the HR image to find the item)    
     
         
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obviously something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"  

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

SPECIAL REPORTS: FREAKY IMAGES & VIDEOS

 

 

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

 

 

 

APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

1. ABOUT ITS CONTENT:

first of all: some general information about the results of evaluation of the 26 solar sun spot cycle ( by the largest scientific project ever lounched in human history< - by NASA-to explore the sun).

resp about what especially my project is fucussed on ( while others don`t) .I am still- so far as I know- the only one in the entire web who publically observes/documents and researches the effects of solar SEPs :

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within one decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS (or SAP or: SPE-Solar proton event) thos cause a long enduring chain of physical effects would be the solar feature I was looking for , being that solar feature. All statistic comparations made since then yet showed had a 100 % coincidence with these and the results indicate, SEPs can even strongest related geophysical effects. (NASA simply noted: SEPS can do EVERYTHING)

CMEs ( Coronal mass ejections) are produced during solar flares ( those are nuclear reactions around a dark likely blackmassed sun spot ) are or socalled filament eruptions ( solar gases erupting by higher concentrated electromagnetic fields in regions with higher mass density - also falsely named aas "Coronal holes "( the name derived by the fact that earlier devices for observation just allowed to see them as regions darker then the rest of the solar surface . So first it was believed these would be solar regions with lower gaz concentration . Meanhwile its is knoewn that CHs are just the opposite. Regions covered by heavier oftenly positiv ions of elements- could be eveything form Lithium to lead gold or whatever ) ALso Prominences are solargaszes erupting by magnetic short circuits, when magnetic fields are compressed and contorted by the high gravity produced around/by sun spots .

However statistic evaluatioin showed ; these high energetic eruption do have somephysical effects on the earth; buts ths most of them are neglectable .

However. SEPS those theoretically and as Nasa previously rightly concluded could "DO EVERYTHING"can as differently as CMEs filament eruptions and solar flares are : SEPs als occur in active and spotted regions but for shure happen much deeper within the sun : As Analysis of 30- 50 SEPs - detectable only by the one and only suitable infrared telescope mounted on STEREO Ahead / Behind CORE2 , showed that proton particles during an SEP are emitted almost in all directions ( they just can`t move through the solar core) and their speed is highest in radial direction ( where they achieve speeds near to the speed of light) butthey get als slower a s highest the ancle is to the radial axis resp as more solar gases they have to penetrate until they are emitted into space

However SEPs have three major parameters , from those it depends how strong their chain of geophysical subnuclear effects will and how long these will last. SPEs occure in higher numbers during peaks of the 11 year solar sun spot cycle , but also in between at at times of their minimas. There is now theories about how SEP come to existence resp are produced . I believe SPEs occure if mainyl larger sunspots-those likely consist out of a pure superdense protons (matter similar to matter within a black hole )sink deeper into the solar gaz hull, until they reach regions with such high electromagnetic forces/ densities, that they are torn apart into their single particles and ejected from theSun. (electron/ proton reaction)

 

This is (1) the proton speed,-(2) ( the proton density( in pfu =particles per second and squaremeter) and (3) the duration of the proton impact into the geomagnetic field ( this is the duration , how long values exceed th normal proton background of 0.1-0.5 pfu.

-updated on 20160125-

-------------------

2. ABOUT ITS DESIGN:

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefore, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

 

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I don`t expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluation as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientific research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ( solar events with proton emissions) are the almost only geoeffective known type of solar event) those do even have extremely strong and complex effects on the earth body , those only and best can be described just with the phrase- used by NASA- "theoretically can do everything". This is- since the usually seldom SEPs turned out to be the only solar activities those were in all cases coincident with major catastrophic earthquakes such as 2014 and 2011 - what this documentary now focusses on. SEPs however do happen MOST frequently during the maximum of the 11 years solar sun spot cycle (last in 2012(13) , but occure also in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and events and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time, if any major event should take place ..

so the solar terrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewaehr!

provided by:

 

----------------------------