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DATE:
28.03.2015
last updated on
2014

MARCH 28 at: 19: 30 UTC

important notices >

 

 

 

 

     
click here for my linklist to all archived solar and terrestrial blogs back to 2010

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2015 >

                       

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            
    click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2014            
 

According to NASA, this 24th. 11 year sun spot cycle has probably a " twin peak"- the second in 2015. This project therefore will be prolongued.

THE 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

- activities and major events-

MARCH 2015

note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, less major events are expected at least in the next years. (next cycle minimum expected in 2019)

.Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

^CURRENT VIEW ON THE SUN (SDO)

                    ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)  
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG/ CONTENTS:
solar terrestrial blog/ START
solar terrestrial blog/ latest events
solar terrestrial blogs/ event logs/ 2014
related pages:
NASA/ SATELLITE PROGRAMM
Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
first evaluations (2010- 2012):
First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
first evaluations/ special reports
ARCHIVES:

CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B)

scientific reviews/ NASA solar project(as far as available)

NASA:

unknown
earlier:
 
 
 
TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

ESSENTIAL SOURCES ON SOLAR ACTIVITIES; Satellite Real Time images and data plots, weblinks etc....click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..
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3. LAST SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG: special reports    
- find previous events in the "recent event history" below and in myarchives!
 

 

 

 

 
    NOAA/ PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: Real time global Tsunami alert :  
LATEST EVENTS ( at time of this update)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

           

. HEADLINES & DATA

MARCH

2015

click on the tabs to widen collapsible panels!     find previous report in archive December 2014    
       
LATEST MAJOR EARTHQUAKES
         
20140301: none yet
Inhalt
LATEST (KNOWN) TSUNAMI EVENTS:
               
                   
                   

RELATED TSUNAMI EVENTS:

note: the Tsunami report on this site here is for documentary but rather not up to date. For latest informations, check out: NOAA/ PTWC TSUNAMI REAL TIME ALERTS  

update/ last known event

20140401 visit NOAA websitefor latest updates! >
LATEST NOAA REPORT IN TEXT FORMAT: ( at time of this update!)
 
INITIAL SEAQUAKE >  
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
   
 
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER: NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:   ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): NONE ( Default) CANCELLED AT :    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)
.
 
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE   LOCATION OF ORIGIN   NR OF WAVES   WAVE HEIGHTS    
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:     ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >  
                       
 
   
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG : click here for EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES/ CURRENT MONTH:
Inhalt

 

 

     
ENVIRONMENTAL BLOG
Rapid Earthquake viewer/ Univ. of CA EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC  
EARTHQUAKE DATA: EMSC NEIC   you find all previous reports in my blog archives  
                   

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - NORTHERN COLOMBIA - 2015-03-10 20:55:46 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
6.84 N ; 73.12 W
DEPTH >
178 km    

 

 

 

             

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 6.2 - KEPULAUAN BATU, INDONESIA - 2015-03-03 10:37:32 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
0.67 S ; 98.72 E
DEPTH >
37 km    

 

               

 

 

     
MAJOR EARTHQUAKES > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

 

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

 
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
 
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
 
DEPTH >
     

 

 

 

             

 

 

     

 

 

     

 

 

     
EARTHQUAKE REGIONS/ FROM 180° E ON WESTWARDS

TECTONICS:

FREQUENCY/ TYPE

REGION*

EPICENTER:

NUMBER ( 1 DAY)

EVENT ( link to ESMC)  

KAMCHATKA PENINSULA/ KURIL ISLANDS / JAPAN

N-AM. >< EUR. >< PAC.><PHIL.  

"B"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

- EASTERN PACIFIC/ NZL, FIJI, VANUATU ETC.

PAC. >< INDO- AUS  

"B"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

(REGION INDONESIA/ PHILIPPINES/ INDIA)

EUR.>< / INDO- AUS.  

"A"

EPICENTER      

(MEDITERRANEAN SEA REGION /ALL)

AFRICA >< EURASIA  

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

> WESTERN TURKEY

      EPICENTER      

ARABIC PLATE -SYRIA, IRAQ ETC. INCL. IRAN incl Asia minor)

AFR><ARAB >< EUR><INDO-AUS  

"F"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

- AFRICA AND ITS TECTONIC BOUNDARIES

EUR >< AFR>< AMER >< ANTAR.

 

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CONTINENTAL EURASIA INCLUDING ASIA

N-AM. ><EUR->< AFR.><PAC>  

"E"/"F

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

GERMANY / near to EIFEL VOLCANIC FIELD

EURASIA (volcanic)  

"E"

this section also refers to quake activities those typically occure since 2011 in a radius of 100- 200 km around the eifel volcano field, while the region in between stays rather calm. This typically indicates the possibiltiy of hot magma with in the area in between that radius where NO Seimic quakes occure .- Hot magma makes no seismic effects but causes tensions and seismic quakes just on its bondaries where it meets with colder rock formations  
    distance: < 100 miles   EPICENTER      

CANARY AND AZORES ISLANDS REGION

N & S -AM. >< AFR >< EURASIA HOT SPOT /AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

(Mnt Barbardunga/ iceland - NORTHERN ATLANTIC/ ARCTIC SEA

N & S -AM. ><EURASIA magmatic

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC

N& S -AM. >< AFRICA >< EUR. HOT SPOT / AFTER SEP

"E"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ PUERTO RICO REGION GULF OF MEXICO REGION/ CARIBIC

N & S -AM. >CARIBBEAN ><NASCA ><COCOS continuing since 2010-

"C"

EPICENTER      

PANAMERICA

N & S -AM. ><NASCA ><COCOS LIKELY VOLCANIC

"C"

EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

REGION ECUADOR/ PERU- BOLIVIA

PAC. >< SOUTH AM. >< NASZA POSSIBLY VOLCANIC

"D"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ TARAPACA (REGION CHILE / ARGENTINE ( SA/ NASCA PLATE)

SOUTH AMERICA >< NASZA     EPICENTER      

 

      EPICENTER      

CENTRAL AND EASTERN USA

NORTH-AMERICA><EUR/ ATLANTIC SERIAL SINCE FEB 2014

"D"

EPICENTER      

ANTARCTICA REGION

  magmatic ( on fault line) ALL EPICENTER      

YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC  

"C"

EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM/ OKLAHOMA REGION

 

UNCLEAR ACTIVITY "C" EPICENTER      
    INCREASE ON 20141110   EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM // CA/ SAN ANDREAS FAULT

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC magmatic. increasing since 20141102! "C" NOTICES: the swarm quake activity along the San Andreas fault had significantly increased in strength as well as in frequency since January- 04 2014. The swarm quake activity which as related to magma intrusion through the San Andreas fault is continuing since then on ausually low, but constant level . The r eport here will therefore be updated only , when the overall activity significantly increases or if the earthquake swarm activity shifts to other related regions near and along the San Andreas fault.  
        EPICENTER      

EARTHQUAKE SWARM- MAINLY NEVADA REGION >

N-AM./ SAN ANDREAS FAULT >< J. DE FUCA>< PACIFIC magmati swarm/ begin: 20141103 "C" EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

NORTHERN CANADA, ALASKA/ (CASCADIAN SZ)

NORTH-AMERICA ><EXPLORER P. SOMETIMES

"C"

EPICENTER      
        EPICENTER      

yellow background= activity increased in this region- compared to yesterdays`s values

*"REGION" AS LISTED IN " GEOGRAPHIC CME IMPACT REGIONS" see > todays report  
     
     
ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:            

3.3 EXPERIMENTAL EVENT FORECAST (2): GEOGRAPHIC IMPACT REGIONS WITH THE CONSIDERABLE HIGHEST CME EFFECTS BY THE LATEST CME IMPACT:

LATEST RELATED CME(SEP IMPACT 20140107/20140218-20/ 20140225 01- 04/ 14

 

EXPLANATIONS>

Green backcolored fields marks those regions where geomagnetic field density values during the CME impact was below 100 nT.

Yellow backcolored fields mark the regions with values above 100 nT./

Red backcolored field mark the regions , those were hit relatively strongest ( peak values) by the latest SEP/ CME . Colors from orange to light red mark GRADUAL IMPACTS OF MULTIPLE CMEs CLUSTERS.

 

HOW TO READ THIS FORECAST>

INCREASES IN VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES will - if- most probably occure - SOON AFTER CME impact- within the RED colored regions and between the red and yellow regions!

STORMS, ICE MELTINGS AN FLOODINGS might- if- then most probably occureSOON AFTER CME impacts-within the RED COLORED REGIONS

The relatively strongest EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITIES WILL MOST PROBABLY occure AFTER a LATENCY period due to CME IMPACT on the TECTONIC BOUNDARIES within the RED until the YELLOW (backcolored) REGIONS. Read "latency remarks"

 

REGIONS

REGION "A"

REGION "B"(1)

REGION "B"(2)

REGION "C"

REGION" D"

REGION "E" (1)

REGION "E" (2)

REGION "F"

 

REGIONS COVERED BY LATEST CME IMPACT>

EASTERN EURASIA-- INDONESIA-WESTERN PACIFIC PHILIPPINES--AUSTRALIA WEST JAPAN/EAST- AUSTRALIA/ (EAST), PNG. NZL ALEUT./ KAMCHATKA- EASTERN PACIFIC/ HAWAII

WESTERN USA+ WEST COAST- EASTERN PACIFIC- CANADA-ALASKA

GULF OF MEXICO/ PANAMERICA/CA./ CENTRAL USA/ SOUTH - AMERICA- WEST

, EASTERN ATLANTIC/ (CANARIES/ ICELAND)- N & S- AMERICA/ EAST

CENTRAL (WEST) EUROPE/ AFRICA

INDIA & INDIAN OCEAN- CENTR: EURASIA, AFRICA (EAST), ARABIA ASIA MINOR

 

RELATED TECTONIC BOUNDARIES>

WESTERN PACIFIC< EAST EURASIA>< INDO-AUSTRALIA

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC ><INDO-AUS

NORTH AMERICA (W) >< EURASIA (E) ><PACIFIC

NORTH AMERICA/ incl. Microplates ><PACIFIC

AFRICA >< CARRIBEAN >< SOUTH AMERIA >< NASCA>< COCOS

EURASIA <> N-AMERICA/ EASTCARRIBEAN ><AFRICA

N-AMERICA/WEST >< EURASIA >< ARABIA ><AFRICA

EURASIA><ARABIA ><INDO-AUSTRALIA

 

UTC TIME ZONES >

..

....

..

...

...

...

...

..

 

LONGITUDES>

135° E- 90° E

135° E- 180°

180° - 135° W

90° W- 135° W

45° W- 90° W

45° W - 00° W

00° W- 45° E

45° E- 90° E

 

     
             
 
             
MAJOR NATURAL AND TECHNICAL INCIDENTS        
20150326: Germanwings plane crash explanation stuns Europe

(RT/ 20150327) Major power outage throughout northern Holland

Large areas of the Netherlands have been left without electricity. The north of the country has been mainly affected, with the Dutch electricity network operator saying the outage has been caused by a power grid overload.

The capital Amsterdam has been hit, along with the area around Schiphol Airport. Twitter has reported that some hospitals in Amsterdam have been left without power, while the tram and metro networks are also not running in the capital. Thousands of people have been stuck on public transport because the doors will not open as they are controlled electronically.

   

 

 

(BBC/ 20150326) Flight 4U 9525: What happened in the final 30 minutes:

Investigators have listened closely to the audio and say the co-pilot, 28-year-old Andreas Lubitz, appears to have deliberately brought the plane down. So how did this final half hour unfold?

Germanwings flight 4U 9525 took off from Barcelona Airport heading for Duesseldorf, with 150 people on board, at 09:01 GMT on 24 March.

The Airbus 320 began travelling over the sea towards France, taking about half an hour to climb to 38,000ft (11,600m).

It should have been a two-hour flight.

At 09:30 GMT the plane made its final contact with air traffic control - a routine message about permission to continue on its route. Everything seemed to be going as planned.

A minute later at 09:31 GMT, the plane began its descent.

French prosecutor Brice Robin did not release the exact timings of the audio obtained from the recorder, but he said the pilots conversed normally for the first 20 minutes.However, Mr Robin said although the co-pilot's responses were initially courteous, they became "curt" when the captain began the mid-flight briefing on the planned landing. Shortly after this the captain left the cockpit, probably to go to the toilet, according to Mr Robin.

He can be heard asking the co-pilot to take control of the plane. A seat moves backwards, followed by the sound of a door closing. The co-pilot was left alone in control of the plane. He then pressed the buttons of the flight monitoring systems to send the aircraft into descent, Mr Robin said. "This action on the altitude controls can only be deliberate," said Mr Robin.

--- by BBC... read more...

 

 

image left: Cockpit voice recorder as found after th crash >

 

where is the flight data recorder??

image left side: first report after crash by BBC>>

(eigener noch nicht korrigierter Entwurf / Kommentar) :

Germanwings Flug 4U9525 SINKFLUG ODER STURZFLUG?

Technisches Versagen ausgeschlossen! 20 Jahre seitdem man relativ blindlings micorelektronik einsetzte, wo früher mal ein Mensch saß oder aber ein weniger empfindlicher Transistor, will man nicht mehr darauf verzichten oder aber 20 Jahre technische Entwicklung überarbeiten oder verschrotten. Was passiert. WAS TUN? wenn die überaus empfindliche Microelektronik so eines flight computer "stehenbleibt" (einfriert") , sei es aufgrund statischer elektrischer aufladung oder ( verg Costa Concordia) wenn das GPS signal unterbrochen wird, weil sich z B ein Satellite durch solare elektronen auflädt und der autopilot einfach stur weiter den letzten Kurs verfolgt und nicht mehr auf manuelle eingaben reagiert? Das ist nicht anders als zuhause am PC! da hilft nur: runterfahren/ besser : Strom zufuhr unterbrechen und neustarten. Bis dieser prozess , der mehrere Minuten dauert, dann abgeschlossen ist, hat das vollautomatische gesteuerte Kreuzfahrtschiff längst einen felsen gerammt bzw der Flieger befindet sich im nirgendwo über den Wolken die schadhafte Software ( hoffentlich nicht vion Microgates oder apple) veriegelt vielleicht die Türen, der Kabinendruck fällt ab ( Ohnmacht) , der Flieger fliegt im kreis oder eher: hat einen Strömungsabriss Der tritt auf (Quelle; MSFS ohne Gewähr ) sobald der horiziontale winkel des Fliegers entweder ca 20° überschreitet bzw ca 10 ° unterschreitet. das muss auch beim Sinkflug so eingehalten werden) Folge: der Flieger gerät sobald die Fluglage nicht mehr kontrolliert wird automatisch ( von selbst also) je nach Gewichtsverteilung in eine horizontale lage: es kommt dann zum Strömungsabriss und Sturzflug und der kann nur noch manuell "abgefangen" werden . GESPANNT lauschte man heute deshalb den Ausführungen des französischen Staatsanwaltes zu ersten /( und obwohl man die blackbox mit den Flugdaten noch nicht gefunden haben will) aber trotzdem auch bereits endgültigen Erkenntnissen zum Absturz des A 320. Fünf MInuten später . als ich nach dem Namen des Co Piloten suchte lief das Propaganda Bullhorn bereits auf Hochtouren , d. h. das netz quoll über vom geschlagenen Schaum gleichlautenden Meldungen abertausender onlineausgaben internationaler Gazetten, Am abend dann bereits die ersten TV Talkshows mit den üblichen Psychologen die jetzt das nächste jahr das Abendptrogrammm füllen werden ,(die "Anstalt" wurde abgesagt.) in welchen die Vermutungen des Ermittlers auf den Punkt :, bzw. gleichmal in Blei gegossen bzw. lange wiederholt werden, bis sie jedermann den deutschen 911 verinnerlicht hat :Andreas alleine im Cockpit ! Copilot Andreas Lubitz nutzte die Gelegenheit dass der Pilot die Toilette aufsuchte, um die gepanzerte Tür zum Cockpit von innen elektronisch zu verriegeln wie bei einem terroristischen Angriff um dann - so der Sta- “mittels eines Drehknopfes” am Frontpanel” den Sinkflug einzuleiten welchen die maschine dann bereits nach 8 minuten abschloss, in dem sie an einem Felsen der französischen Alpen zerbarst. das gasnze erst mal SInkflug zu nennen ( ein solcher geht nur ber hunderte Kilometer) ist ein schlechter Witz undv würde bedeuten dass die airline das regelmäßig so mittels eines ströumngsabrisses macht , Wie auch immer: Vergeblich klopfte der Pilot an die Cockpittüre und bat um EInlass, bis er schließlich vergeblich versuichte die gepanzerte Türe mit Gewalt zu öffnen. Zuerst hieß es, der Copilot hätte den ali baba code der Türe geändert, so dass der Codedes Pilot nicht mehr funktionierte, dann aber war es wieder nur ein schalter den man da umlegen muss von "normal" auf “Unlock bzw. "Lock", um den Piloten auszusperren ...
Die Passagiere ahnten angeblich zuerst nichts ( das ist bei einem Sturzfluig aber eher fraglich) , dass A L den "sinkflug eingeleitet hatte um selbstmord zu begehen.Geschrei war erst kurz vor dem aufschlag zu hören so der STA: und A L atmete bis zum schluss völlig normal und war praktisch nicht mal aufgeregt, obwohl er als einziger vom nahem Ende wusste. Ein Ohnmacht scheidet deswegen aus, weil AL um den Sinkflug einzuleiten einen Drehknopf am Frontpanel praktisch pausenlos drehen musste, behaupteten bald darauf gleichwohl "unisono angebliche Flugexperten" auf allen Kanälen und erfanden dazu einen Schallter den es so bzw zu diesem zwecke ( nämlich: um VORSÄTZLICH "den sinkflug einzuleiten) aber im A 320/ 21 offenbar gar nicht gibt ( quelle Microsoft flight simulator x)
WIe auch immer Das Flugzeug hatte- so die offizielle Verskion- gerade auf Reiseflughöhe erreicht das sind so etwa 10-000- 11.000 meter und schlug 8 Minuten nach “einleitung des Sinkfluges auf dem Boden, bzw Felsen auf.:
Bei einer Freifallgeschwindigkeit von ca 9,.8 meter pro sekunde ( das macht 9,8 mal 8 x 60) kommt man ( nach Newton usw) in 8 minuten gerade mal 4.704 Meter weit bzw. tief. . Hat der CO etwa die maschine mit vollem Schub in in einen sturzflug gebracht und in den Boden gerammt oder aber
r : geriet sie bzw die steuersoftware des zui 90% computerabhängigen Fluggeräters völlig außer kontrolle? war es der elektronensturm mit über 10.000 pfu der an diesen tagen herrschte?
Ich weiß nicht was ich vom Microsoft flug simulator halten soll. Ziemlich sicher bin ich allerdings, dass Piloten international so einen heutzutage allgemein üblichen vertraglichen Maulkorb haben der es bei höchsten Vertragsstrafen verbietet , ohne schriftliche Genehmigung der Fuggesellschaft irgendwas über diese Interna zu veröffentlichen . Im MSFS wird der der angebliche Drehknopf den man da betätigen muss “Altidude Hold Lock” genannt .Daneben ist ein zweiter Knopf
mit der Bezeichnung “Vertical speed Hold/select” Offenbar dienen die Schalter dazu, über den Bordcomputer die Flufbahn auf einer Höhe zu stabilisieren oder einen gleichmäßigen Steigflug zubgewährleisten . Mit aktivierrtem autopilot dürften diese ganzen schalter aber gar nicht funktionieren. Kann man den autopiloten aber deaktivieren frägt man sich wozu es sich der Copilot so komopliziert macht, um abzustürzen bräuchte er ja nur das "steuerknüppel" nach Vorne drücken (Höhenruder) . "runter kommen sie ja immer"

wie auch immer: die Theorie hängt an diesem Knopf,. der aber offenbar gar kein "Sinkflugknopf" ist (so einen gibt es im MS simulator zumindest nicht., wozu auch? wie soll man den Sinkflug auch genau berechnen?e Eine Ohnmacht des Copiloten scheidet damit automatisch deswegen aus , weil der sonst ja den “Sinkflugknopf nicht hätte über 8 Minuten betätigen können” , so die bestechende Logik des Staatsanwaltes. Am 26-3- 2015 um 13 uhr hatte MiPr H. Kraft bereits den "deutschen 911" konstatiert aber zu
erst die Schule in ? darüber informiert dass der Copilot Selbstmord begangen hätte und dabei 140 Menschen mit in den Tod riss, bevor dann um ca. 14 uhr der fr Staatsánwaltschaft welche dies der öffentlichkeit mitteilteund den internetsturm der propaganda bullhorns auslöste Als man 10 Minuten nach einem Piloten mit namen Andreas Lobitz googelte wurde ein facebook seite gelistet . Als man sie öffnen wollte kam nur noch die Meldung ” diese Seite wurde kürzlich gelöscht und existiert nicht mehr . hatten wir schon mal nach der Sache in WInnenden Hauptsache es gibt einen schuldigen bei höhererr Gewalt zahlt ja die versicherung auch nix…

dem Microsoft flugsimulator zufolge (ohne gewähr) bewträgt die direkte entfernung Barcelona/ Düsseldorf nur schlappe 700 km(oder sind es meilenO) die Flugzeit beträgt etwa 1 Stunde, 19 Minuten. also :; absolute KURZSTRECKE. das Flugzeug wird eine parabel fliuegen und gleich nach dem steigflug wieder in den Sinkflug übergehen... SCIO NESCIO ( Sokrates: "Ich weiß dass ich nichts weiß)

                       
 

20150326:Germanwings Flug 4U9525 SINKFLUG ODER STURZFLUG?

20150328: Major power outage throughout northern Holland 

   

RT/ 20150328) Major power outage throughout northern Holland

Large areas of the Netherlands have been left without electricity. The north of the country has been mainly affected, with the Dutch electricity network operator saying the outage has been caused by a power grid overload.

The capital Amsterdam has been hit, along with the area around Schiphol Airport. Twitter has reported that some hospitals in Amsterdam have been left without power, while the tram and metro networks are also not running in the capital. Thousands of people have been stuck on public transport because the doors will not open as they are controlled electronically.

 
 

 

Germanwings Flug 4U9525 SINKFLUG ODER STURZFLUG?

Technisches Versagen ausgeschlossen! 20 Jahre seitdem man relativ blindlings microelektronik einsetzte, wo früher mal ein Mensch saß oder aber ein weniger empfindlicher Transistor, will man nicht mehr darauf verzichten oder aber 20 Jahre technische Entwicklung überarbeiten oder verschrotten. Was passiert. WAS TUN? wenn die überaus empfindliche Microelektronik so eines flight computer "stehenbleibt" (einfriert") , sei es aufgrund statischer elektrischer aufladung oder ( verg Costa Concordia) wenn das GPS signal unterbrochen wird, weil sich z B ein Satellite durch solare elektronen auflädt und der autopilot einfach stur weiter den letzten Kurs verfolgt und nicht mehr auf manuelle eingaben reagiert? Das ist nicht anders als zuhause am PC! da hilft nur: runterfahren/ besser : Strom zufuhr unterbrechen und neustarten. Bis dieser prozess , der mehrere Minuten dauert, dann abgeschlossen ist, hat das vollautomatische gesteuerte Kreuzfahrtschiff längst einen felsen gerammt bzw der Flieger befindet sich im nirgendwo über den Wolken die schadhafte Software ( hoffentlich nicht vion Microgates oder apple) veriegelt vielleicht die Türen, der Kabinendruck fällt ab ( Ohnmacht) , der Flieger fliegt im kreis oder eher: hat einen Strömungsabriss Der tritt auf (Quelle; MSFS ohne Gewähr ) sobald der horiziontale winkel des Fliegers entweder ca 20° überschreitet bzw ca 10 ° unterschreitet. das muss auch beim Sinkflug so eingehalten werden) Folge: der Flieger gerät sobald die Fluglage nicht mehr kontrolliert wird automatisch ( von selbst also) je nach Gewichtsverteilung in eine horizontale lage: es kommt dann zum Strömungsabriss und Sturzflug und der kann nur noch manuell "abgefangen" werden . GESPANNT lauschte man heute deshalb den Ausführungen des französischen Staatsanwaltes zu ersten /( und obwohl man die blackbox mit den Flugdaten noch nicht gefunden haben will) aber trotzdem auch bereits endgültigen Erkenntnissen zum Absturz des A 320. Fünf MInuten später . als ich nach dem Namen des Co Piloten suchte lief das Propaganda Bullhorn bereits auf Hochtouren , d. h. das netz quoll über vom geschlagenen Schaum gleichlautenden Meldungen abertausender onlineausgaben internationaler Gazetten, Am abend dann bereits die ersten TV Talkshows mit den üblichen Psychologen die jetzt das nächste jahr das Abendptrogrammm füllen werden ,(die "Anstalt" wurde abgesagt.) in welchen die Vermutungen des Ermittlers auf den Punkt :, bzw. gleichmal in Blei gegossen bzw. lange wiederholt werden, bis sie jedermann den deutschen 911 verinnerlicht hat :Andreas alleine im Cockpit ! Copilot Andreas Lubitz nutzte die Gelegenheit dass der Pilot die Toilette aufsuchte, um die gepanzerte Tür zum Cockpit von innen elektronisch zu verriegeln wie bei einem terroristischen Angriff um dann - so der Sta- “mittels eines Drehknopfes” am Frontpanel” den Sinkflug einzuleiten welchen die maschine dann bereits nach 8 minuten abschloss, in dem sie an einem Felsen der französischen Alpen zerbarst. das gasnze erst mal SInkflug zu nennen ( ein solcher geht nur ber hunderte Kilometer) ist ein schlechter Witz undv würde bedeuten dass die airline das regelmäßig so mittels eines ströumngsabrisses macht , Wie auch immer: Vergeblich klopfte der Pilot an die Cockpittüre und bat um EInlass, bis er schließlich vergeblich versuichte die gepanzerte Türe mit Gewalt zu öffnen. Zuerst hieß es, der Copilot hätte den ali baba code der Türe geändert, so dass der Codedes Pilot nicht mehr funktionierte, dann aber war es wieder nur ein schalter den man da umlegen muss von "normal" auf “Unlock bzw. "Lock", um den Piloten auszusperren ...
Die Passagiere ahnten angeblich zuerst nichts ( das ist bei einem Sturzfluig aber eher fraglich) , dass A L den "sinkflug eingeleitet hatte um selbstmord zu begehen.Geschrei war erst kurz vor dem aufschlag zu hören so der STA: und A L atmete bis zum schluss völlig normal und war praktisch nicht mal aufgeregt, obwohl er als einziger vom nahem Ende wusste. Ein Ohnmacht scheidet deswegen aus, weil AL um den Sinkflug einzuleiten einen Drehknopf am Frontpanel praktisch pausenlos drehen musste, behaupteten bald darauf gleichwohl "unisono angebliche Flugexperten" auf allen Kanälen und erfanden dazu einen Schallter den es so bzw zu diesem zwecke ( nämlich: um VORSÄTZLICH "den sinkflug einzuleiten) aber im A 320/ 21 offenbar gar nicht gibt ( quelle Microsoft flight simulator x)
WIe auch immer Das Flugzeug hatte- so die offizielle Verskion- gerade auf Reiseflughöhe erreicht das sind so etwa 10-000- 11.000 meter und schlug 8 Minuten nach “einleitung des Sinkfluges auf dem Boden, bzw Felsen auf.:
Bei einer Freifallgeschwindigkeit von ca 9,.8 meter pro sekunde ( das macht 9,8 mal 8 x 60) kommt man ( nach Newton usw) in 8 minuten gerade mal 4.704 Meter weit bzw. tief. . Hat der CO etwa die maschine mit vollem Schub in in einen sturzflug gebracht und in den Boden gerammt oder aber
r : geriet sie bzw die steuersoftware des zui 90% computerabhängigen Fluggeräters völlig außer kontrolle? war es der elektronensturm mit über 10.000 pfu der an diesen tagen herrschte?
Ich weiß nicht was ich vom Microsoft flug simulator halten soll. Ziemlich sicher bin ich allerdings, dass Piloten international so einen heutzutage allgemein üblichen vertraglichen Maulkorb haben der es bei höchsten Vertragsstrafen verbietet , ohne schriftliche Genehmigung der Fuggesellschaft irgendwas über diese Interna zu veröffentlichen . Im MSFS wird der der angebliche Drehknopf den man da betätigen muss “Altidude Hold Lock” genannt .Daneben ist ein zweiter Knopf
mit der Bezeichnung “Vertical speed Hold/select” Offenbar dienen die Schalter dazu, über den Bordcomputer die Flufbahn auf einer Höhe zu stabilisieren oder einen gleichmäßigen Steigflug zubgewährleisten . Mit aktivierrtem autopilot dürften diese ganzen schalter aber gar nicht funktionieren. Kann man den autopiloten aber deaktivieren frägt man sich wozu es sich der Copilot so komopliziert macht, um abzustürzen bräuchte er ja nur das "steuerknüppel" nach Vorne drücken (Höhenruder) . "runter kommen sie ja immer"

wie auch immer: die Theorie hängt an diesem Knopf,. der aber offenbar gar kein "Sinkflugknopf" ist (so einen gibt es im MS simulator zumindest nicht., wozu auch? wie soll man den Sinkflug auch genau berechnen?e Eine Ohnmacht des Copiloten scheidet damit automatisch deswegen aus , weil der sonst ja den “Sinkflugknopf nicht hätte über 8 Minuten betätigen können” , so die bestechende Logik des Staatsanwaltes. Am 26-3- 2015 um 13 uhr hatte MiPr H. Kraft bereits den "deutschen 911" konstatiert aber zu
erst die Schule in ? darüber informiert dass der Copilot Selbstmord begangen hätte und dabei 140 Menschen mit in den Tod riss, bevor dann um ca. 14 uhr der fr Staatsánwaltschaft welche dies der öffentlichkeit mitteilteund den internetsturm der propaganda bullhorns auslöste Als man 10 Minuten nach einem Piloten mit namen Andreas Lobitz googelte wurde ein facebook seite gelistet . Als man sie öffnen wollte kam nur noch die Meldung ” diese Seite wurde kürzlich gelöscht und existiert nicht mehr . hatten wir schon mal nach der Sache in WInnenden Hauptsache es gibt einen schuldigen bei höhererr Gewalt zahlt ja die versicherung auch nix…

dem Microsoft flugsimulator zufolge (ohne gewähr) bewträgt die direkte entfernung Barcelona/ Düsseldorf nur schlappe 700 km(oder sind es meilenO) die Flugzeit beträgt etwa 1 Stunde, 19 Minuten. also :; absolute KURZSTRECKE. das Flugzeug wird eine parabel fliuegen und gleich nach dem steigflug wieder in den Sinkflug übergehen... SCIO NESCIO ( Sokrates: "Ich weiß dass ich nichts weiß)

 
 

euronews/ 20150327: Germanwings plane crash explanation stuns Europe

Grieving loved ones were taken close to the site in the southern French Alps where 150 people were killed in the tragic crash of a Germanwings Airbus on Tuesday. Italian RAI 3 focused on the families’ emotions.

French officials revealed chilling evidence from the plane’s flight recorder that the disaster appeared to have been caused deliberately. They said the copilot flew into the ground on purpose, locking the senior pilot out of the cockpit, France 3 reported.

The French poured resources into the crash zone, hundreds of gendarmes, firemen, medical staff and forensic experts — each one winched into steep ravines by helicopter. Nothing could land in the extreme terrain, France 2 television observed.

Among the many killed was a group of German exchange students and their teachers, returning from a week in Barcelona. Spanish TVE reported from their home town, Haltern.

   

 

 
           
LATEST MAJOR TROPICAL STORMS & HEAVY WEATHERS
       

20150313: Category 5 Cyclone Pam Bearing Down on Island Nation of Vanuatu- 20150315: Powerful Pacific cyclone devastates Vanuatu

 

TROPICAL STORMS/ DECEMBER 2014

note: from September 2014 on, this report will contain / collect only data about hurricanes with windspeeds above 50 MPH. For latest developing tropical storms, visit wunderground., com! datasets with a green background are hurricanes those are already over!

   

data by: wunderground.com

you find all previous reports in my blog archives

                 

Jeff Masters @wunderblog: Category 5 Cyclone Pam Bearing Down on Island Nation of Vanuatu

Residents of the South Pacific island nation of Vanuatu are bracing for the impact of Category 5 Tropical Cyclone Pam, one of the strongest tropical cyclones ever recorded in the waters east of Australia. Pam has rapidly intensified over the past two days and reached top sustained winds of 160 mph as of 2 pm EDT Thursday, making it one of only ten Category 5 storms ever recorded in the basin since satellite records began in 1970. The official tropical cyclone warning center for the area, the Fiji Meteorological Service, estimated that Pam had a central pressure of 918 mb at 2 pm EDT Thursday.

Impacts of Pam
Pam is likely to be one of the most destructive natural disasters in Vanuatu's history. The storm will likely pass over or very close to the three small, southernmost islands of Vanuatu on Friday, and these islands will suffer extreme devastation if a direct hit occurs. These islands are Erromango (population 2,000), Tanna (pop 29,000) and Aneiytum (pop 900). The 12Z Thursday run of the usually-reliable European model shows a direct hit occurring on the more northerly island of Efate, the most populated island in Vanuatu (66,000), where the capital city of Port Vila is located. Even if the islands miss a direct hit by Category 4 - 5 eyewall winds, hurricane-force winds will extend out 40 miles from the center, and will likely cause heavy damage to all of these islands. Regardless of Pam's track, its waves will cause major coastal damage; the significant wave height of the storm was 44 feet at 2pm EDT Thursday. Storm surge is also a concern, as well as extreme flash flooding from Pam's torrential rains. After passing Vanuatu, Pam is likely to weaken significantly, but the storm may still be capable of bringing tropical storm-force winds to New Zealand on Sunday. High surf causing erosion and coastal damage will be the main threat from Pam to New Zealand, though.

Pam has already caused significant flooding on the low-lying island of Tuvalu, located over 700 miles northeast of the storm, as documented by storm surge expert Hal Needham in his blog. Since Tuvalu is located in an area with very deep water offshore, this flooding was likely due to large waves crashing onshore and running up inland, rather than an actual storm surge from winds piling up water over a shallow coastal shelf....read more...

Links
Port Vila, Vanuatu webcam (thanks go to wunderground member Huracan94 for posting this link.)

<< Figure 1. The eye of Cyclone Pam as seen by the VIIRS instrument on the Suomi satellite at 10:11pm EDT March 11, 2015. At the time, Pam was a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds. Image credit:@NOAASatellites.

---------------

<<< euronews/ 20150315: Powerful Pacific cyclone devastates Vanuatu

One of the Pacific Ocean’s most powerful storms ever has ripped through Vanuatu. Buildings have been damaged, trees uprooted and roads cut off. Eight people are reported dead, but it is feared that number will rise substantially as the scale of devastation is established across the nation’s 83 islands.

Cyclone Pam, which hit on Friday night, packed winds of up to 340 kilometres per hour. It has left Vanuatu cut off and facing a looming threat of hunger. The United Nations was preparing a major relief operation and Australia said it was ready to offer its neighbour whatever help it can. Aid agencies said it is a disaster that needs an international response.

----------

the watchers/ 20150313: Massive flash floods hit Angolan city of Lobito

Massive flash floods caused by torrential rains hit Angolan city of Lobito destroying dozens of homes and city structures and causing the death of at least 62 people, according to initial reports from local authorities. The Angop state-run news agency reported that the flood water had reached three meters (9.8 feet) in some areas of the city since the rain started Wednesday, March 11, 2015. The Bairro Novo neighborhood of Lobito (population 800 000), located on the Atlantic coast some 500 km (300 miles) south of the capital Luanda, was worst affected, the agency added. The search for victims continues as many more people are believed to be still missing....read more...

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LATEST TROPICAL STORMS
           

 

                     
           
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NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED /updated :
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   

 

                   
EVOLUTION:                    
                     
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
             
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   
                     

Tropical Cyclone Pam

  SOUTHERN PACIFIC                
EVOLUTION: 20150313   165 MPH 16.9° N 168.9° E SSW > 100 km SSE OF VANUATU ISLANDS 5    
                     
                     
  EMERGED ON:                  

Tropical Cyclone Nathan

                   
EVOLUTION: 20150313 SOUTHERN PACIFIC 65 MPH -13.1° N 145.5° E ENE < 150 KM SOUTH OF NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA TC    
                     
                     
INDIAN OCEAN:
There are no tropical cyclones in this region
      600 Km NNE OF NAHA( NO    
NAME/ TRACKING LINK
EMERGED ON:
REGION
WIND SPEED
COORDINATES
DIRECTION
APPROXIMATE GEOGRAPHIC POSITION
TYPE/ CATH
   

Tropical Cyclone Olwyn

  SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN                
EVOLUTION: 20150313   95 MPH -23.6° N 113.6° E S LANDFALL ON WESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA 2    
                     
                     
               

 

 
         

LATEST MAJOR VOLCANO ACTIVITIES - including official reports (global volcanism program/ Smithsonian/ USGS)

       

20150313:BREAKING: Volcanic ash closes Costa Rica's Juan Santamaría International Airport

20150304: New strong eruption of Mount Sinabung (Sumatra, Indonesia) produces another large pyroclastic flow and a 9 km high plume into the sky

 

(ticotimes.com: last update: 20150313) BREAKING: Volcanic ash closes Costa Rica's Juan Santamaría International Airport

UPDATED at 7:00 p.m. with airport re-opening time.

Juan Santamaría International Airport will remain closed until at least 8:00 a.m. Friday, March 13, according to airport administration. Airport spokeswoman Silvia Chávez said that the Friday re-opening was conditional on overnight activity at Turrialba Volcano.

UPDATED at 5 p.m. with information on affected flights.

Falling ash from Costa Rica’s Turrialba Volcano closed the country’s Juan Santamaría International Airport on Thursday afternoon at approximately 4:00 p.m., according to airport management.

As of 5:00 p.m., there were 10 affected flights.

Seven flights are grounded: 1 Iberia flight, 2 Avianca flights, 1 Copa flights, 1 Air Canada flight, and 2 cargo flights.

Three flights are in the air and unable to land: 2 Copa flights and 1 FedEx cargo flight.

A list of the airport’s upcoming flight departures and their status can be found on itswebsite.

The Public Security Ministry’s Air Surveillance Service says ash poses a risk to planes because of obscured visibility and because it can interfere with the plane’s jets or propellers.

Turrialba Volcano erupted three times Thursday morning and early afternoon, sending volcanic ash more than a kilometer into the air. Winds carried the ash 67 kilometers from the crater to the capital, where it dusted cars and homes. The ash restricted visibility and irritated eyes in San José.

The tICO times.com/ VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS

The main international airport is closed until Friday morning, ash blankets San José, and Costa Ricans are wondering if Volcán Turrialba has more in store for us in the near future. In the meantime, here’s a collection of photos, videos, tweets and Facebook posts of Thursday’s eruptions.

< Turrialba webcam, by Instituto Meteorológico Nacional

 
       

(daily- mail/ UK/ 20150305) The fury of Mother Nature: Violent lightning storm erupts INSIDE ash cloud as Indonesian volcano spews lava towards villages

This is the jaw-dropping moment a lightning storm erupted in an ash cloud as a notorious volcano spewed hot lava towards villages below. Photographer Martin Rietze’s stunning photos of the volatile Sinabung volcano in Indonesia are a fascinating display of the raw beauty and frightening power of planet Earth. As the ash cloud billows into the night sky a barrage of lightning bolts crackle from deep within it – creating a mesmerising scene that looks like the entrance to the underworld.

It is believed that the collision of fine ash grains in the air creates huge amounts of static electricity, resulting in a spectacular electrical storm. While it is an amazing display the 8,000ft volcano, in North Sumatra, has proven to be deadly since it erupted in 2010 after being dormant for an estimated 400 years. On this occasion some small villages were wiped out by the lava flow and many acres of farmland were buried by ash, the photographer said. Known as a pyroclastic flow, the deadly mix of burning hot ash, gas and lava can quickly blanket large areas, exterminating anything and everything in its path. ..click here to read more( and see mor amazing pictures of this eruption ...

 

 
   
 

 

 

   
NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES

note: this report does NOT necessarely represent all currently global active volcanoes!

 
This section will be updated usually Thursdays, after the latest GVP Weekly Volcanic Activity Report was published. click on the buttons right for my internal volcano maps and statistics >
         
volcano-discovery/gadget

 

 
report by:
 

 

 

   
     

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 4 March-10 March 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Asosan Kyushu (Japan) New
Fuego Guatemala New
Popocatepetl Mexico New
Soputan Sulawesi (Indonesia) New
Villarrica Chile New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Santa Maria Guatemala Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Sinabung Indonesia Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 
       

 

 

 

Smithsonian Institution / USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

Activity for the week of 25 February-3 March 2015

The Smithsonian page is updated on Wednesdays. Please see the GVP Home Page for news of the latest significant activity.

 

NEW ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Ambrym Vanuatu New
Chikurachki Paramushir Island (Russia) New
Fuego Guatemala New
Popocatepetl Mexico New
Sangay Ecuador New
Villarrica Chile New

 

ONGOING ACTIVITIES/ UPDATES:

Aira Kyushu (Japan) Ongoing
Bardarbunga Iceland Ongoing
Chirinkotan Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Chirpoi Kuril Islands (Russia) Ongoing
Colima Mexico Ongoing
Karymsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Kilauea Hawaiian Islands (USA) Ongoing
Klyuchevskoy Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Nishinoshima Japan Ongoing
Reventador Ecuador Ongoing
Sheveluch Central Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing
Shishaldin Fox Islands (USA) Ongoing
Zhupanovsky Eastern Kamchatka (Russia) Ongoing

 

 
       

 

 

   

 

 

   

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
 
     

 

 

   
       
       
 

 

20141216: please note: NASA is currently reorganising their website contents: so all archived images , embedded contents and links posted on external websites such as mine will not work until NASA`s new website will be completed. If once completed- so NASA- all previous links will work again, resp lead/ forward automatically to the new pages. So long as this new website is under construction, NASA has "parked" all previous contents under the prefix "legacy-" So all previous linkred NASA contents can be found just by adding the word " legacy-" prior to the URL resp "www" : example: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html has to be changed into: http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/alerts/archive/current_month.html

 

 

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150328  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150222

 

 

latest RSGA hazard report >
DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
DECREASING             index 4 expected
back to normal since 20160319
(20150320) 10 MeV electrons (dropping) : > 10.000
20150324: Minor SEP
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:         major CMEimpact on 20150317 after 13 UZC:            
   
 
related satellite plots GOES(
                   
     

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

 

 

   
 

 

 

^NASA D-RAP/ global heat absorption during proton storm ( SEP: begin: after 2 UTC) on 20150315  
click here for previous solar and terrestrial events and alerts

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150322  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150222

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
DECREASING   TYPE II/ IV EMISSION         index 5 predicted
back to normal since 20160319
(20150320) 10 MeV electrons : > 10.000
20150315/after 1 UTC: NEW SEP likely from LED in AR 12297
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:         major CMEimpact on 20150317 after 13 UZC:            
   
 
                   
     

 

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150315  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
DECREASING   TYPE II/ IV EMISSION     20150312-15: impact of + (positive) proton charged CMEs   G 1 predicted
20150315/ 1 UTC: > 10 MeV Protons > 4 pfu.
(20150315) 10 MeV electrons : > DEPRESSION
20150315/after 1 UTC: NEW SEP likely from LED in AR 12297
 
latest related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
   
 
                   
     

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likely also the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise and has reached a maximum yet of 4 pfu. ( at time of this update)

20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9) SeeVideo by solar watcher>:

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME was partial halo- what means: it has Earth- directed parts, those might arrive on March 11 >

20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)

 

   
 

 

 

^NASA D-RAP/ global heat absorption during proton storm ( SEP: begin: after 2 UTC) on 20150315  

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150311  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
AR 12297/ 20150310/ 16:11 UTC: X 2.1 flare: > likely associated to proton event (SEP >) 20150307: AR 12297 produced two significant CMEs during LDE activities 20150311/ TYPE II/ IV EMISSION AND RADIO BURSTS 201503: Possible CME after X flare 20150313 20150312-15: impact of + (positive) proton charged CMEs   G 1 expected
------
(20150308) 10 MeV electrons : > DROPPING!
20150310/ after 21 UTC: Possible SEP associated to X flare in AR 12297
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
   
 
                   
     
 

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9) SeeVideo by solar watcher>:

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME was partial halo- what means: it has Earth- directed parts, those might arrive on March 11 >

20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)

 

   
 

 

 

   

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150310  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

LAST KNOWN MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
AR 12297/ 20150310: >flares >M 5 20150307: AR 12297 produced two significant CMEs during LDE activities 20150309- 10/ TYPE II/ IV EMISSIONS + RADIO BURSTS March 7: At least a partial halo CME was associated with the M9 event in AR 12297. 20150309/ 10 none yet 20150307: 452 - 563 km/s G 1 expected
------
(20150308) 10 MeV electrons : > 1.000 pfu.
20150227- 20150228( very low!)
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
   
 
                   
       
 

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME was partial halo- what means: it has Earth- directed parts, those might arrive on March 11 >

20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)

 

   
 

 

 

 

   

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

LAST UPDATE

20150308  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

real CME IMPACT /strength CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
AR 12297/ 20150309: M9 flare and CME AR 12297 produced two significant CMEs during LDE activities 20150303/ TYPE II March 6: A partial halo CME after the M3 /( AR 12297.
March 7: A fast partial halo CME associated with the M9 / AR 12297.
20150308/ 11   20150307: 452 - 563 km/s INDEX 4
(20150308) 10 MeV electrons : rising
20150227- 20150228( very low!)
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
   
   
                   
       
 

 

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150308:The active region on the easternlimb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . The CME

20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the eastern solar limb and produced a stronger CME and continued with an LDE for hours after that. The region is noit numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images below)

 

 

1. LATEST AND CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE SOLAR & TERRESTRIAL ALERTS

EVENT DATE

20150302  

- click here to find previous reports of this month/ click on " archives" below to find all avent logs back to 2011

 
         
1.1: CURRENT SPACE WEATHER ALERTS 20150209

 

 

DATE: see above
SOLAR PROTON EVENTS (SPE- also SEP (= solar energetic particles or: SAP (= solar accelerated protons)

NOAA/ SPACE WEATHER ALERTS (protons/ electrons)

 
X- RAY FLUX: FlARES/ CME/ SEP:

ERUPTIVE ACTIVITIES: RADIO BURSTS AND EMISSIONS

MAJOR EARTH DIRECTED CME EVENTS (M+):

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME

CME IMPACT S CH High Speed Solar winds (HSS). GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
protons
electrons
last solar SEP:
 
20150302. ( M level) DECREASING   20150303/ TYPE II         INDEX 5 expected
(20150303) 10 MeV electrons > 1.000 pfu.
 
related NOAA/ SWPC alerts:                      
     
   
                   
           
 

 

 
IMPORTANT REMARKS:

20150304: Y 10 MeV Electrons increased above 1.000 pfu following recent minor proton events. Protons are the reference value for the total electrons charge . But with changing proton values also the electron flux on the measurment devices is kind of altered so the total load cannot really be estimated. after no stronger SEPs have occured since longer time a final discharge with the effects as researched and described in that report becomes more an more probable and would be the frist after one year with continuing and accumlating SEPs activities

20150303: The nested region as observed during the past year and described in the recent reports appeared end of February behind the eastern limb but is currently invisible) .NOAA therefore numbered it just as an spotted S 4254. It was active once with a strong prominence one week ago but seems currently to be inactive and might just have temporarely faded, resp sank deeper into the solar gas hull. This already was the case during 1 rotation period in the second half of 2014 . After it the AR reapperaed in an even larger size and produced X flares. Next rotation period will tell more.. While this region is currently inactive, AR 12290 was quite active during the past days with numerous M flares and CMEs those seem not to have larger earth directed parts.

20150224: The permanent "nested" configuration of two active regions and a coronal hole which is on the same solar coordinates since at least one year and which is currently the only but also a constant active region on the solar disc became again visible behind the eastern solar limb and seems to be still very active ( see more below)

20150209: Electron is still elevated after the latest minor SEP on 20150128

 

 
INTERNAL SEP TRACKING/ REPORT:
SEP PARTICLE EVENT STATUS
last update: 20140308
PROTON IMPACT (PHASE I) ELECTRON ACCUMULATION (PHASE II) FINAL DISCHARGE (PHASE III) :
MAJOR SEP/ 20150315/begin: 2- 3 UTC 20160322: > 2 MeV Electrons > 10.000 pfu latent after new SEP
GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS: GEOPHYSICAL EFFECTS:
SOLAR ACCELERATED AND EMMITTED PROTONS IMMIGRATE THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD AND ITS POLAR ORBIT THE PROTONS CREATE AN ADDITIONAL GRAVITY PULL> THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ATTRACKTS AN EQUIVALENT OF ENERGETIC ELECTRONS FROM THE SOLAR MAGNETIC FIELTO NEUTRALISE THIS + CHARGE AFTER THE PROTONS NOW ALSO ELECTRONS HAVE LOST THEIR CINETIC ENERGY THROUGH HEAT FRICTION. THE ACCUMULATION COLLAPSES THE EARTH MANTLE - PREVIOUSLY HEATED UP BY THE PROTON IMPACT and ELECTRON EFFECTS.- COOLS DOWN AND CONTRACTS AGAIN.
HEAT EFFECTS ON EARTH CORE AND MANTLE: VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES / MAINLY ON HOT SPOTS( SOUTH POLAR TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (-) TORNADOES, THUNDERSTORMS, VOLCANIC SURFACE ACTIVITIES TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES (m. northern Hemisphere) > MAJOR AND potential CATASTROPHIC SUBDUCTION QUAKES with magnitudes (> M 8 or even > M 9 ) high enough to create a substantial and widespread Tsunami, if quakes occure subseas.
green = effects over yet yellow/ red = currently active orange= pending/ latent hazard
 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
     
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
ANALYSIS of solar/terrestrial data:
   
ANALYSIS: USAF - daily report on solar and geophysical activity
  NOAA- space weather prediction center

OTHER:

-CODES, TERMINOLOGY AND CLASSIFICATIONS of SUN SPOTS (SIDC)- -Mt Wilson/ Monthly Sunspot Report Legend-

NASA/ INTEGRATED SPACE WEATHER ANALYSIS SYSTEM- Home
click here to find out more about the current NASA/ ESA SOLAR OBSERVATORY PROGRAM (the largest ever in human history) on my page "SOLAR CENTER", that gives you an overview with many usefuls links to NASA/ ESA spacecrafts and webpages with all available archives.
 
 
 
 
 
 
             

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:
     
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 
 

 

     

1. 2. SOLAR EVENTS images and data:

               
1.2.1 GENERAL SOLAR EVOLUTION/ NOTICES:
     
               
             
             
                 

1.2.2 LATEST MAJOR FLARES, CMEs

find previous report in archive January 2015
   
LAST MAJOR EVENTS>
                     
             
           
 
To find d previous/ archive reports , click on the tab with my links list to archived reports above or click here to get to my general archive index of my homepage
       
1.2.3. SOLAR SEPs/ SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA/ weekly report:
             
EARLY WARNING! 20150208: the integral electron flux, that shortly rose again after another- but this time minor slow and uneffective SEP had occured in the only active nested region 12286, began significantly to drop on February 07: This now can mark for the first time since begin of 2014 , that all SEP effects those had ccumulated during this period within the geomagneti field might dcerease now and come to a preliminary end : Due to all collected data during previous SEPs, STRONG AND HEAVY DISASTROUS SUBDUCTION QUAKES MIGHT FOLLOW VERY QUICKLY when the remaining electron charge( accumulation in the geomagnetic field is discharching ( as it seems to be the case since 20150207 ) and tectonic plates and the mantle magma heated up by these SEPs will begin swiftly to cool down part to harden and to CONTRACT : NOTE: this forecast is based on data and analysis of previous socalled solar SEP (proton) events and is nevertheless ( as all foreecasts) WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OR GUARANTEE! MAJOR SUBDUCTION QUAKES THOSE ARE LIKELY MOGHT OCCURE DURING THE NEXT DAYS HAVE MOST LIKELY TO BE EXPECTED IN THE REGION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND MAINLY AROUND THE 180° LATITUDES MOST LIKELY AFFECTING THE AMERICAN PACIFIC COAST - Alaska down to California and beyond . with possible effects also to Japan and the east pacific subduction zones ( Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, Hawaii and NZL) ALL SEAQUAKES EXCEEDING MAGNITUDES oF M 8.0 are capable to trigger a widespread TSUNAMI in these regions!  

20150315: AR 12297 - still near the central meridian- was the source of an impressive LDE M 8 class flare associated to a major and Fully halo CME after 1:27 UTC, which was likelyalso the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.

 

 
NEW SEP: Begin: 20150315 between 2 and 3 UTC SDO/ 20150315/ 01:27 UTC SDO/ 20150315/ 1:43 UTC SDO/ 20150315/ 1:58 UTC SoHO/ Fully halo CME at 20150315: 4:06 UTC SoHO/ same fully halo CME at 20150315: 6:42 UTC       (4) AR and CH on 230150309 (by solen.info) (5) same region on Feb 17 during the last rotation period:  
       
   

PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES: ( read more in register panel below)

20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9)

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight (image 3) reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

 
                   
1.3 SOLAR/ TERRESTRIAL RELATIONS
                 

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies below. The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years.

The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
                     
                   
           
                   
click here for previous weekly reports (MARCH 2015)

20150315: AR 12297 , still near the central nmeridian produced an impressive LDE after midnight, which was likely the source of a fast SEP. A TYPE II/IV radio e mission was registered by NOAA at 1:27 UTC. First Protons reached the geomagnetic field between 2 and 3 UTC, when the integral protons flux began to rise reaching a maximum yet ( at time of this update) of 4 pfu.

20150311: AR 12297 continued with strong flaring and produced an X 2.1 class flare on March peaking at 16:11. (Image 8 below ). Integral proton flux on GOES began slightly to rise after 22 UTC and must be further observed. The proton increase might also be related to a major filament eruption close to AR 12297, that began after 23 UTC on March 11 (image 9)

20150309- 10:AR 12297 continued with strong flares while rotating through the Earth directed side of the Sun. The strongest of three M flares on 20150310 soon after midnight (image 3) reached M6 and produced another - but rather minor CME after 1:00 UTC: On SoHO images, that the this CME was partial halo . Minor earth directed parts will arrive around 20150312.

 
(1) GOES xrays- 20150308- 10_ (2) SDO/AR 12297 M6 flare on 20150309/ 23:55 UTC: (3) SDO/AR 12297 M6 flare on 20150310/ 00:11 UTC: (4) AR and CH on 230150309 (by solen.info) (5) same region on Feb 17 during the last rotation period: (6) SoHO/: minor CME on 20150310 at 2:52 UTC (7) SoHO/: minor CME on 20150308 at 0:30 UTC (8) SDO/ X 2.1flare in AR 12297 on 20150311/ 16:14 UTC: (9) SDO/ filament eruption on 20150311 after 23 UTC:      
     
   

20150308:The active region on the eastern limb-meanwhile numbered as AR 12297- is still on LDE activity and produced as double major M 9 flare with an associated CME on March 08 after 22 UTC . (image 9, 10 ) The CME has aeart directed parts those might arrive on March 11

20150306: 20150306: A new and very active region appeared on the easternsolar limb and produced a stronger CME (image 7 below) and continued with an LDE for hours after that( img 8 below) . The region is not numbered yet, but was there alrready during the past rotation period ( see images 5 and 6 below)

20150304: Y 10 MeV Electrons increased above 1.000 pfu following recent minor proton events. Protons are the reference value for the total electrons charge . But with changing proton values also the electron flux on the measurment devices is kind of altered so the total load cannot really be estimated. after no stronger SEPs have occured since longer time a final discharge with the effects as researched and described in that report becomes more an more probable and would be the frist after one year with continuing and accumlating SEPs activities 20150303: The nested region as observed during the past year and described in the recent reports appeared end of February behind the eastern limb but is currently invisible) .NOAA therefore numbered it just as an spotted S 4254. It was active once with a strong prominence one week ago but seems currently to be inactive and might just have temporarely faded, resp sank deeper into the solar gas hull. This already was the case during 1 rotation period in the second half of 2014 . After it the AR reapperaed in an even larger size and produced X flares. Next rotation period will tell more.. While this region is currently inactive, AR 12290 was quite active during the past days with numerous M flares and CMEs those seem not to have larger earth directed parts.

20150302: solar X ray activity increased over the past days:(image 1 below) On March 01 there were several filament eruptions on different areas of the visible disc and the large RECURRENT CH 657 ( the only currently visible part of the large persistent configuration as described below) produces high speed solar winds . Both has crated a MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM.

(image 2, 3) The nested region as described below has not appeared yet and made have temporary faded below coronal gases as it already did several times in 2014. The region seems empty . Just the coronal hole 657 is still there where it was since this persistent configuration had envolved. AR 12290, which is already going to rotate out on the western limb is currently active and produced- one after another- two minor M flares on 20150202, those have no earth directed parts (image 4)

 
(1) GOES x ray flux/ 20150228- 20150302 (2) active regions and coronal holes on 20150301/ by solen.info (3) coronal hole CH 657on 20150301/ by solen.info (4) SDO/ 20150302/ 15:41 UTC (5) AR and CH on 20150305 by solen.info (6) AR and CH on 20150206 by solen.info (7) SDO/ 20150305/ 05:12 UTC: (8) SDO/ 20150305/ 08:42 UTC: (09) SDO- 20150307/ 2:45    
   
   

PREVIOUS ACTIVITIES:

20150228: Another SEP must have begun late on February 26: Integral proton flux began to rise after 24 UTC on 20150226 and is currently ( at time of this update near to 1.0 pfu)( image 1: GOES Proton plot). This time I could not detect the typical side effect that SEPs accelerate gases upwards from the solar surface and corona on SoHO imagery, Thus this SEP was maybe a backside event. what I can`t proof as well, since both STEREO satellites are still ot of service.

If it was a front side event, ( the SEPs themselves are mostly invisible on light based telescopes anyway ) protons this time would have a rather slow acceleration what makes them rather ineffective in terms that they would heat up the earth mantle over their impact on earth. Nevertheless, the protons that immigrate the Earth,will- as ever - attrackt and accumulate an equivalent number of electrons from the solar magnetic field , those are energetic enough to produce these typical heat / temperature anomalies around an in the Northern pole those cause the weather tubulences wer are facing each time after an SEP on the Northern Hemisphere. THis - as expectable- continuing electron accumulation also supports further volcanic activities.

SDO shows a minor flare in AR and a filament eruption in the nested configuration which has not yet fully rotated in .( These events cannot be seen on a single standby picture and must be watched in a timeline video on SDOs website) and occurerd later , So the cannot be related to that SEP event

 
     

(special& continued report:) THE LARGE AND MYSTERIOUS SOLAR SURFACE REGION THAT HAS A CONFIGURATION THAT REMAINED WIDELY UNCHANGED SINCE at least ONE YEAR!

I yet just traced this large region covering at least a quarter of the solar disc back to May 2011. ( see previous archive reports) This review has shown , that the entire configuration remained almost unchanged since then. On 20141215, the main and mostly only active region on the entire disc, active region 12235 produced an extreme fast filament eruption , AR 12235 is a nested stationary sun spot cluster and forms with another active region and a large coronal hole a very active configuration that persists since at least one year( I have just not traced it further back yet) AR 12235 was AR12209 active during the last rotation period and was AR 12192 two rotation periods earlier, when it produced 4 strong X class flares in a row .The configuration covers more than a quarter of the solar disc and has a kind of gravity center with a coronal hole stretching towards the Northern pole an has also a low spotted area which is also but less active than AR 12235. which is situated 15- 30 ° further in the east . (> images 5 and 6 . During all that time this nested AR was and is only AR on the visible that produced flares and CMEs. Currently the entire configuration seems to be active and produces a type of flaring resp shoots out hot gazes all over the area it covers.. The most active AR in it- AR 12235 became smaller yet during previous periods and then began to grown again., Currently it appears rather small ) . What is it and what does this big are doe next ? Nobody knows...Allthough humans observe the Sun meanwhile day and night, much about our central star is still more a mystery and an still good for some surprises.

( image 4 >) satellite transmissions were repeatedly knocked out between 20141213 and 14 and there was a short rise in integral Proton flux on 20141213/ 6 UTC when values rose to 2,5 pfu until 20141216/ 00 , when vaklues were back again at +/- 0.1 pfu. as usual . But satellite imagery that needs light to make any image cannot cover those proton events and where these SEPs actually occure. However,: STEREO with its infra red usually can at least cover secondary events ( the protons do accelerate and heat up gazes on the solar surface those emit then ) such are gazes hgeated up after the proton explosion by highest accelerated protons. Butr also Stereo has a transmission blackout on December 13 and 14. theavailable images show an intensive flaring activity on the front side . STEREO also observed a strong type of filament eruption heading from the North Polar solar region ( image 4 >)

We might either get a new SEP soon ( an event that comes more or less out of nowhere) or the effects of the previous SEPs will come to an end: When the current electron accumulation ( which is still exceeding temporarely 1.000 pfu.) will drop, as now further SEP has occured during the past 6 weeks , the earth mantle heated up by these SEPs will cool down and STRONG SUBDUCTION quakes will accompony that process.however: magma intrusion creates something like holes ( aou also can call that underpresssure or defizits) within the earth mantle , So the intensive magma intrusion we can observe onm a global scalesince some years will be logically be always accomponied/ followed by subduction quakes, by those new material is pulled- "dives down" into the earth mantle is melted there and will equalize that defizit.( more see right column)>

 

(1) SDO/ 20141214/ 22:24 UTC
(3 GOES shows a slight increase of integral proton Flux during the events on 201212- 20121215:
 
 

(5) STAR MAP on 20121210 by solen.info

(6)STAR MAP on 2014121113 ( one rotation period earlier!)      
   
b                      
 
                   
PREVIOUS REPORTS AND DATA OF SOLAR SEPS (= Solar proton events) in the current month:
SEP EVENT LOGS
PHASE I ( Proton Emission and impact)
PHASE II > 10/ 100 MeV Electron acummulation
PHASE III (Final discharge
solar event date ( begin)
SEP(class / intensity)
source (AR, sun spot group)
geomagnetic Proton impact ( begin)
proton imact end
maximal intensity ( pfu)
max proton speed ( km/ second

electron actvity/ begin

electron actvity/ end
max intensity ( pfu)
kkk
electron discharge on:
20150128 longer duration SEP unknown 20150128/ 06 UTC ongoing ongiong unknown          
                   
                       
 
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY FEBRUARY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

 

 

               

 

 

 

 

DETAILED REPORT OF LATEST MAJOR SOLAR SUN SPOT ACTIVITIES ( updated only during major events, such as major flares CMEs or SEPs)

   

 

 

               
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND EVENTS
solar data by: solen.info NASA/  
latest data (external sources):
SUN OBSERVERS:
OTHERS:
 
                       

AUG 2014: DAILY SOLAR REVIEWS ARE BEING REDUCED TO SIGNIFICANT SOLAR ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENTS !

means: you find only full reports, that cover all related data, if stronger activities occure. Some monthly archives might therefor contain only one daily review,. others might contain more. depending on the evolution of solar sun spot activity after the peak was reached on 2013

 
     

 

 

               
                 

2015

MONTH

JANUARY

DAY:

none yet xx

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

201412

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

 

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)  

FLARES >

C

   

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

 

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:    

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

 

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:    

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity >    
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
                   
 
                   
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
             
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
               
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX back to normal

 

ELECTRON FLUX  

 

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES 3 day sat environment ( combined plot) GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* integral proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

         

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
       
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -06 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD +06 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

GOES (= Geostationary operative environmental satellites) are at geostationary orbit and measure influences / impacts on the geomagnetic field  
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA PARTICLE ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:
     

20141106

20141107

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

     
s 2 PROTON STORM;

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX           TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:
       

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

       

GEOMAGNETIC STORM/ K INDEX > 4

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

       
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS        
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
               
         
                       
PREVIOUS 1 DAY REPORTS / CURRENT MONTH ( updated during significant activities only)
                 

2014

MONTH

SEPTEMBER

DAY:

06

< date refers to available event data and summaries

click here for previous days reports  

TODAY`S SOLAR ACTIVITY DATA:

 

note: solar and terrestrial data are always yesterrday`s values!

20140905

ACTIVE REGIONS AND CORONAL HOLES AT 23:45 UTC (solen.info)  

SOLAR PARAMETERS

 

SOLAR ACTIVITIES

CLASS

TOTAL:

 

 

SUNSPOT NUMBER

124

 

AVERAGE SOLAR WIND SPEED (km/s)

340-419

FLARES >

C

22

 

SOLAR FLUX (sfu.)

144

 

X- RAY BACKGROUND FLUX:

C 1.1

 

M

   

PLANETARY "A" INDEX

06

 

GEOMAGNETIC . FIELD DENSITY:

80- 140 nT

CME IMPACT

X

 

 
                 
Today`s RSGA/ USAF - report on solar activity > IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was an M1 event observed at 06/1709Z from Region 2157 (S14E44). There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Sep, 08 Sep, 09 Sep).  
         

 

 

     

ACTIVE SUNSPOTS REGIONS INVOLVED IN MAJOR FLARE ACTIVITIES, CMEs OR SEPS ( other active regions are not posted)

EARTH DIRECTED CME (CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS):

CLICK HERE FOR LATEST EARTH DIRECTED CMES AND SEP EVENTS (archives)  

STATUS :

ACTIVE REGIONS:

LOCATION TODAY

       

ESTIMATED ARRIVAL:

SIDERIC DIRECTION

 

(SUNSPOTS AFTER 24 UTC)

LONGITUDE next 24 h.

LATITUDE

CLASS/ CONF.*

MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

CME ERUPTION TIME UTC

EXP. I. MPACT SIZE:

 
  12157 60° E 13° S DHC/ EKC          
 
  12158 68° E 14° N CKO/ DKC          
 

ERUPTIVE FILAMENTS/ PROMINENCES >

            ---
 
solen/info/ active regions>
           
             
 

CORONAL HOLES (CH)

 

 
NUMBER POSITION*: STATUS: FIRST OBSERVED: EARTH FACING MAG &remarks  
CH 634 CENTRAL/ NORTH GROWING   20140905- 06    
             
             
CH HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS>

 

SOURCE:

 

 
ABBREVIATIONS>
NORTH/ SOUTH POLAR CH EXTENSION (NP/ SP CH- EXT)
UNN.= UNNUMBERED CH
RECURR.= RECURRENT
T- EQU.= TRANSEQUATORIAL
 

 

 

               
INTERPLANETARY (SOLAR EM FIELD)- PARTICLE FLUX:
           
 
                     

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:

PARTICLE TYPE:

CURRENT : LAST SIGNIFICANT EVENT:    
PROTON FLUX INCREASED

RISING AFTER201408021/ o8 UTC and 05/ after 00 UTC

ELECTRON FLUX BACK to NORMAL

slight rise after 20140612/ after 10 UTC

   
               
BEGIN/ END:  

 

 

BEGIN/ END:    

 

 

   
   
ACE ( Advanced Composition Explorer) is on and L 1 orbit at the edge between solar and geomagnetic field and measures the intensity and composition of interplanetary solar winds
 
 

 

 

 

           

GEOMAGNETIC FIELD TODAY(2)

                 

STATUS:

Today`s GOEShp/ geomagnetometer

GOES/ 3- days sat environment /

GOES integral ELECTRON FLUX- past 3 days* proton flux- past 3 days  

QUIET

 

UNSETTLED

 
ACTIVE  
MINOR STORM  

MAJOR STORM

 
HIGH SPEED SOLAR WIND STREAMS  
CME IMPACT/ EFFECTS  
 
 
* see also report below!
 
USAF report on geophysical activity for previous day:>>        
* graph only during significant events
 
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 430 km/s at 06/2049Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 06/1531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 06/0512Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9 pfu at 06/0740Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 286 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (09 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (07 Sep), are likely to cross threshold on day two (08 Sep) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Sep).
     
                       
                     
GEOMAGNETIC Bz COMPONENT (2) SOUTHWARDS -09 nT (USAF) NEUTRAL NORTHWARD + 11 nT (USAF) The Bz component is the value, the geomagnetic field density fluctuates /shifts in North/ South direction such as during CME impacts  
EFFECTIVE PROTONS  

EFFECTIVE ELECTRONS

           
new: in cases of CME impacts, this value is taken from the USAF report and report that represents the highest N/ S amplitude of that day    
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

TODAY`S SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE IMPACTS AND SPACE WEATHER ALERTS ( NOAA):

         
INTEGRAL PARTICLE FLUX:   < NOAA ALERTS >

GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RADIATION ALERTS ( NOAA):

 
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

20140906

20140907

SOLAR ALERTS/ INFLUENCES

 

> 10 MeV PROTON FLUX

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

> 0.1 pfu. < 1,2 pfu.

+/- 0.1 pfu.

NONE

NONE

X RAY > M 5(FLARE ACTIVITY)

 
> 100 MeV PROTON FLUX back to normal back to normal back to normal   NONE TYPE II/ IV TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSION  
PARTICLE TYPE:

20140905

20140906

20140907

NONE

NONE

10 cm RADIO BURSTS

 

>0.8 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>1.000 < 25.000 pfu (+) >4.500< 30.000 pfu (+) dropping after new sEP  

G1 (expected)

NONE

GEOMAGNETIC STORM

 

>2.0 MeV ELECTRON FLUX (1)

>100< 450 (-) >220 > 750 () rising  
x ray alerts are peaks in solar x ray emissions those occure during flare activities )
 
NEUTRON SYNTHESIS (3) NO CURRENT DATA (3) NO CURRENT DATA UNKNOWN  
TYPE II AND IV RADIO EMISSIONS are typical indicators for Coronal Mass Ejections ( CME)
 
         
10 cm RADIO BURSTS are typical indicators for STRONGER ERUPTIONS- esp SEPs
 
^remark: orange background means: effect is latent or pending
 
treshold for S1 proton storm: > 10 MeV P. > 10 pfu
(1) treshold for S1 electron storm = >2.0 MeV E. > 1000 pfu
 
         
    < NOAA ALERTS >

CME IMPACTS / SUFDDEN IMPULSE ( NOAA):

 
       

 

NOAA/ SUDDEN IMPULSE

EARTH IMPACT ON

SOLAR EVENT :

TYPE OF RELATED SOLAR FLARE OR ACTIVITY

 
       

20140906/ 25: 24 UTC

20140904

LARGE FILAMENT ERUPTION ON NORTHERN SOLAR HEMISPHERE

 
         
                       
                       
alt
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

                 

 

 

       
         
         

 

 

       
click here for: LATEST SIGNIFICANT SOLAR EVENTS ( earth directed CMEs, SEPs, satellite images and data)
       
WEEKLY SATELLITE REVIEW OF SOLAR ACTIVITIES (AR, flares, CMEs, SEPs)
   
     
LAST MAJOR SOLAR EVENT/ EVOLUTION

SEPTEMBER 2014

                 
   
LOGS:                    
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 17:45 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

20140910/ 17:45 UTC ERUPTION TYPE: X 1 flare at 17:45 uTC FULLY HALO CME estimated CME arrrival: 20140912      
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR CME/ SEP EVENT LOG :  
       

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 

20140910/ 19:03 (NOAA*)

 
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
AR 12158.  
SUN COORDINATES:
  20140910/ 19:54 UTC 20140911/ 00:30 UTC         PROTON IMPACT: after 21 UTC   02° E- 16° N  
               
* SEP eruption time= time of 10 cm RADIO BURST
 
DATE and TIME: AR/images REPORT>

   
IMAGES:
PLOTS and OTHER:
 
20140901/ 18:59 UTC                    

CME (DATE/ TIME >>)

  ERUPTION TYPE:            
 
(01) SDO/ AIA (02) SOHO/ LASCO C3 (03) STEREO( Ahead (04) SDO/ AIA (05) SDO/ AIA NASA/ Dl RAP- PROTON AND X_RAY IMPACTS (07) SDO/ AIA GOES PROTON flux (1) GOES X-RAY flux (1) SOLAR SEP EVENT LOG :  
   

SEP (DATE AND TIME of SOLAR EVENT

 
20140901/prior to 11: 54?  
TRACKING NR.:  
   
ACTIVE REGION:  
NORTH POLAR SOLAR REGION  
SUN COORDINATES:
20140901/ 18:59 UTC (SEP) 20140901/ 12:42 20140901/ 10:51 UTC 20140902/ 08:36 UTC 20140901/ 11:54 UTC Proton impact on NASA D-RAP (20140902/ 23UTC)          
                   
     
 

 

 

 

       

LATEST AND CURRENTLY ACTIVE SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENTS (SEP)

             
LATEST SOLAR SEPS ARTICLE EVENTS: ACCELERATED PROTONS/ ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS : ( event logs)  
SEP EVENT/ event logs this log represents the latest event evolution of terrestrial SEP impacts- earlier events are archived here. NASA/ D-RAP-REAL TIME global (heat) impact of solar protons and x-rays  
 
 

ACTIVE SOLAR SEP/ LOG

latest significant SEP >> /20141101/ time: unknown MEDIUM > 1 > 10 pfu. ( 4 days) CURRENTLY EFFECTIVE PARTICLES >> PHASE I (PROTONS) PHASE II (> 10 MeV ELECTRONS)
PHASE III (DISCHARGE)
 
           
previous, accumulated SEPs >> 201400910/ after 18 UTC 20140825/ 18 UTC 20140405/ 12 UTC 20140227 ( X 1.2)  

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : REMARKS/ CURRENT STATE    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20141101/ time: unknown 201409011/ after 15UTC 20141106/ 00 UTC > 1 < 10 pfu. unknown      
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20141021/ 07 UTC ongoing   20141023/ 18.000 pfu exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141021/ 14 UTC    

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION /20140910/ after 11UTC 201409010/ 18:15 UTC 20140914/ 09 UTC > 1 < 100 pfu.        
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140922/ 10:30 ongoing     exceeding 1.000 pfu on 20141001    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION AR 12151/20140901/ after 11UTC 20140901/ after 21 UTC ongoing > 1 < 10 pfu. very low ( 1.000- 3000 km/ s first event in records with unusually extreme slow protons    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140901 ongoing > 10 MeV ELectrons Y 1.000 pfu fluctuating first time that proton and electrons both exceed treshold levels- interrupted by new SEP on 20140910    
                     

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::    
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION not evaluated yet 20140825/ after 18 UTC 20140827( 00 UTC low (+/- 1 pfu. ( 10 x)   electron breakdown    
                     
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >    
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
interrupted by new SEP latent ---- > 1.000 pfu. 20140831    
                     
 

 

 

   
PREVIOUS SOLAR SEPS AND SEP SERIALS, those are still active ( effective and interfer/ accumulate ):
ACCUMULATING ELECTRONS ACTIVITY/ BEGIN: END: LATEST VALUES: PEAK VALUES: reaching threshold on >
 
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160802      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160717      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140511/ 11 UTC repeatedly interupted (by new proton events NEW INCREASE ON 20160618      
INTEGRAL> 2.0 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 1.000 pfu)
20140423/ 17 UTC 20140429/00UTC knocked down by protons
20140429/ 00 UTC. E flux was knocked bylate proton activity (SEP/ 20140418)
20140425/ 13 UTC > 1.000 pfu

(20140425/ 13 UTC

 
INTEGRAL>0.8 MeV ELECTRONS : (treshold = E > 10.000 pfu)
(20140421/ 15 UTC rising
20140426/ 15 UTC > 100.000 pfu
---

(20140421/ 15 UTC

 

ACCELERATED PROTONS >

SOLAR EVENT:

IMPACT/ BEGIN

END

PEAK VALUES: APPR. SPEED : CURRENT STATE::  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140507/ 19 UTC 20140711 low ( > 01. < 0.8 pfu)   electron breakdown  
SEP event > 10 MeV PROTON EMISSION 20140418/ 13:19 UTC: M 7.8 LDE flare in AR 12036 20140418/ after 13 UTC 201404210/ 09 UTC > about 60 pfu. near the speed of light 20140430: protons appproached again from polar Earth orbit-  
             

meaning of background colors>

yellow= this particles are currently active/ dominant red= strong event        
} orange background = ACTIVE electrons/ but their effectivity is PENDING OR INTERFERED BY PROTONS/ or> PROTONS are still too fast to envolve significant effects
       
         
         
 

 

 

 
CURRENT SEP/ PROTON EFFECTS May 23- 2014: Protons- particulary from the high speed SEP on APR 18. partic. also from minor recent solar eruptions (AR 12071) are still active in the geomagnetic field with an increase of magmatic activities at the same time. At 22 UTC a sudden increase of electron density likely marked the end of the effectivity these protons had in the geomagneticmfield over the last days and weeks  
ELECTRON EFFECTS>

20140610: integral electrons flux signficantly began to rise and might reach tresholds soon in the coming days. The increase followed a strong depression of the electron flux by former SEP and solar protons effects and indicate that these protons effects those lasted for more than 1 month are over now. hot spot activities have again dcreased yet in the last weeks The electron accumulation now will bring again high temperatures and droughts to the Northern hemisphere, as welll as sudden tornadoes, thunderstorms . I am not sure, how the high tension of the integral electron fluxmight induce cururents into ships on high seas power grids and other electric devices but several servers ship incidents those occured during electron accumulations in the greomag field suggest that ea. are capable for.

The current state of particles within the geomag. field is after quite a dozen part. accumulating SEPs since autum 2013 is rather confusing and data plots dont`t allow exact results.

might persist for several weeks now after those these electrons will finally discharge. This last SEP phase expected in about 3 weeks sometime end of June 2014 ( if no further solar SEPs occures) with cooling down of and contraction effects on the affected tectonic plates those likely finally will trigger strong and CATASTROPHIC earthquakes with magnitudes above M 9!!

20140607: The integral electron flux dropped again into negative values and continued so since JUne 03. The source of the disturbance are likely protons still active either from previous events or from recent solar protons emissions into interplanetary space

20140523/ 22 UTC There was a sudden increase of the integral electron flux after 22 UTC. There was no similar related event found on ACE data , thus the increase seems not to be related to a solar event, but rather marks the end of the effectivity , solar protons had on the geomagnetic field during the last days and weeks

20140523: During the second half of May 2014 , electrons were first rising as expected following the strong high speed SEP on April 18 ( with protons almost at the speed of light) . After May 17, the electron energy was again neutralized by those still active and after May 23 also by newly incoming protons ( activities in AR 12071) and fell into minus values, what does not mean, that these electrons would lose their cinetic energy by that . They rather get compressed and electrically neutralised by protons circulating with the field lines , what at least temporarely hampers their ability to cause thunderstorms and strong tornadoes or induced currents.

Temperature anomalies around the Northern pole continue since end of 2013 and brought again climatical extremes to the medium latitudes.

 
orange background >means: The electron effects of the last SEO were overlapsed by new SEP eventand currently deactivated or: HIGH SPEED SEP. Protons are still to fastto envolve significant effects  
SEP EVENT HISTORY :
   
20140418/
13:19 UTC
complex nested solar region AR 12036 (35- 37 produced and M 7,.8 LDE flare peaking with a CME at 13:19 UTC. The event was associated with a medium strong SEP. First Protons arrived soon after 13 uTC- thus were accelerated near to the speed of light,due to the fact , that the eruption took place near the central solar meridian and the proton speed is highest radially to the eruption center. means, that some proton effects such as hot spot activities will delay resp takle place slowly
 
20140413- 16
 
The integral Electron flux began to increase after strongly been compressed by active protons. (20140415) Integral electron flux is expected to exceed treshold of 1.000 pfu on 20140416
 
20140405
after 12 UTC
Proton flux slightly increased to max 1.0 pfu after solar event
 
20140325
08 UTC
Integral,proton flux rose after CME event on 20140324 to values up to 1 pfu.
 
20140317
 
Integral proton flux has decreased to normal values after March 07. But the high amount of protons those impacted during this long lasting proton storm ist still effective with heat in the earth body and mantle .Hot spot activities are still present on the Canary islands. The proton influence also still knocks down the integral electron flux to zero and even into negative values. There is a slight recovery of the electron since March 17 . Values will further increase and exceed 100 pfu at any time in about 1 or two weeks ( SEP phase II) , if no new SEP occures.
 
     
20140228
 
Integral Proton flux increased further on February 28 and reached 100 pfu early in the morning. I have not reviewed the solar events yet. but protons storms/ eruptions are what I call " the invisible eruption"
 
                       
                       
 

 

 

   
                       
         
 

 

 

 

 
EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST FOR CME & SEP EVENTS: VOLCANISM EARTHQUAKES FORECAST FOR REGIONS- CLIMATICAL ANOMALIES, GLACIAL MELTDOWN METHANHYDRATES - ANIMALS STRANGE BEHAVIOURS
 

 

 

click here to find previous/ archived reports of this month    
 

 

 

 

 
for longer time I have not updated myself on the latest of NASA curiosity rover Mars mission. Now I found some articles with some indeed strange images Curiosity sent to Earth SPECIAL REPORTS: (MORE)FREAKY MARS IMAGES/ by NASA/ Curiosity find more in previous month`s archive your can try to find more on NASA jpl.(officially NASA seems not to be so interested...)    
"the Amazing Pumapunku Style Blocks Smashed Up On Mars - Curiosity Rover 2014" by: WhatsUpInTheSky The "Metronome" click on the original NASA image(below) to enlarge it and to find that object or: click here to watch a youtube video about it ( notice the links in the description box) 3. The "crocodile" This nosy crocodile once fully turned into stone , when it lurked up to the sky , when obvioulsy something strange happened, we might call " Medusa effect"    

 

 

 
my favourite ones: parts of destroyed buildings? Stone figures similar to the ones found on Eastern islands:      
 

A group of youtube people are just waiting for the next super high resolution image the rover sends home, most people as obviously also the NASA staff does oftenly not take much notice of. Curiosity`s images have such a high resolution that you can search and magnify on them each detail and its just incredible what people find on these images:

Just watch the video( right side): I just can`t prove whether the "vehicle" oin this photo might be a a fake!>

Beside the jokes made upon these discoveries like the video with " the green frog" that survived on Mars after its water channels had dried out, some of these dicoveries just knocked me out of my shoes. Best source for those images on youtube is the channel what`s up in the sky.

However: Its meanwhile in all news and obviously noone could approve yet , that those images would have been faked with an photo editing software!

   

 

 

VARIOUS:

 

 
( September 2014:) Aerial Iceland volcano footage: Lava fountains, huge smoke clouds

 

 

 

 
                       
                       

data for this reports and forecasts are eclusively taken by reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

 

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewähr!

provided by:

alien-homepage.de
Impressum/contact

 

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APPENDIX:

 

notices on this page and its development

changes 2014:

July 2014: note: as the solar sun spot activity is decreasing now, major events will get less at least until May June 2014 .Therefor, this project is also limited now to basic updates. In July 2014 I decided to update this page only after significant event and changes and to turn this page into an monthly page that will cover significant events and can be archived then in that form.

January 25- 2014:

2013, after 2 years after the second major> M 9 Earthquake had taken place within on decade and after two years of statistic evaluation and comparation of solar and terestrial data, it became clear , that socalled SEPS would be the solar feature I was looking , being that solar feature, that indeed can even have strongest related and signiciant geophysical effects.

Now in early 2014, the peak off the sun spots cycle seems to be over and related activity visibly have decreased . I dont expect many stronger and significant solar events for the next half year.

Recently I decided, to close the ongoing solar and terrestrial documentary at this point in this form , as it was made until now., whith complete data and event evaluationas as its required for any scientific work . This I did to get this project to a point, that its results would be available and evaluable for further report and can be also a basic for further scientics research

Nevertheless as observations and evaluations have shown , that esp. the socalled SEPs ,this documentary has focussed on, as being the strongest and most geoeffective known type of solar event) do happen MOST frequently during the solar max, but are als present in the same strength all 11 years in between but just in lower number.

So I will continue to watch over all these solar data and event and try to provide a full report and complete coverage in time if any furthe major event should take place ..

so the solar teerrestrial blog will be continued in another simplified and limited form:

 

H. Hummel Munich/ Germany