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06.03.2021
 
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    previous solar activity report 2010- 2012, archives, evaluations and observation history
ws         other related pages:
                                Canary Islands volcano event blog & Forum
.z tt rr ii qq oo uu zz ww ss aa pp ee       First evaluations of solar- terrestrial events
                                CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS and SAPS- archives
                                first evaluations/ special reports
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comment:
 
     
DATE:
 
last updated on >>

JANUARY 17 2021/ -- UTC

click here for archives with previous monthly reports

i

 

20201210: More and more sunspots become again visible on the solar surface The next 11 year sunspot maximum is expectet for 2022- 23. Time to resume observation. please be patient until January 2021, when this page will appear in a new shape

 

click here for the links list of archived previous monthly reports (back to 2010)

 

ARCHIVED REPORTS OF MY SOLAR TERRESTRIAL BLOG

2018 >

           

2017>

     

2016 >

   

2015 >

   

2014 >

   

2013 >

   

2012 >

 

 

2011 >

 

2010 >

remark: 2010 has no monthly archives but 1 archive of the entire year-
           
                 

SUB ARCHIVES:

click here for my archive with earth directed CMEs and SEPs 2013            

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: stereo behind .is no more functionable)

THE 25. 11 YEAR SUN SPOT CYCLE-

LAST MAXIMUM ACTIVITY IN: 2012/ 13 NEXT: APPR. in 2024

SOLAR AND TERRESTRIAL BLOG

 

SPECIAL REPORTS ON SOLAR PARTICLE EVENTS

(proton emissions and subsequent electron accumulations and their geophysical effects)
reports about hot spot volcanism, earthquakes,geomagnetic field , natural and technical events, paradox weather, anomalies a.s.o)
 
Note this report will only contain SIGNIFICANT Events as described below ! For general information and daily updates on solar activities and related issuesw select one of the links on the right frame

 

 

 

 

           
latest solar events: no significant events/ data jet
           
DATE KIND OF EVENT& SOLAR                    
                         
       
latest terrestrial events:
for all other previous events, click here: 2021        

 

               

NEW VOLCANO ACTIVITIES>

will be updated each Thursday!          

DATE AND UTC- TIME:

NAME

LOCATION (long/lat)

REGION:

ALERT LEVEL

LOCAL SURVEY

GOOGLE EARTH

OTHER SOURCES:

MAP:

WEBCAM

2.4. 2021

Soufrière St. Vincent
  • 16.72°N
  • 62.18°W
Barbados/ Carribbean Sea west indies red level 5 University of the West Indies SOUFRIERE ST. VINCENT   map windy
   
activity report by smithsonian institute > University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWI-SRC) and National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO) reported that the lava dome in Soufrière St. Vincent’s main crater continued to slowly grow during 31 March-6 April, expanding to the N and S. Gas-and-steam continued to rise from the top of the dome, as well as along the contact with the pre-existing 1979 dome. A swarm of volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes began at 0638 on 5 April. The number and frequency of the VTs increased until about 0830 and then stabilized. The rate declined at around 1400 and then significantly dropped at 1600, though small VT events continued to be detected through 1800. The events were located at depths of 6 km, slightly deeper than the swarm events recorded during 22-25 March, located at revised depths of 3-5 km. Several reports of felt events came from nearby communities, including Fancy and Chateaubelair. The largest event, a M 3.5, was recorded at 0920 and felt by local residents. The swarm was more intense than the previous one, with an average rate of about 50 earthquakes per hour compared with 1.5 per hour during 22-25 March. The Alert Level remained at Orange (the second highest level on a four-color scale).
further evelopments >
                 
>> VIDEOS    
further evelopments >
                     
                 
                 
MAJOR EARTHQUAKE > M 6.0 CURRENT MONTH
GLOBAL >M 6.0/ EUROPE: > M 5.0
DAMAGE/ CATHEGORY>

seaquake 1-2

 

EPICENTER/ MAP

   

 

 

       
EVENT MAGNITUDE/ REGION AND TIME
M 8.1 - KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND - 2021-03-04 19:28:35 UTC
LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE >
29.54 S ; 177.28 W
DEPTH >
25 km strong swarmquake

other informations: external links/ Videos

   
previous quakes afterquakes more than: 100 strength M 2.0 - M 7.5 damages

LATEST EARTHQUAKES/ USGS

LATEST EARTHQUAKES /ESMC

   

M 7.3 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2021-03-04 13:27:35 UTC

M 7.3 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2021-03-04 13:27:35 UTC

M 7.3 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2021-03-04 13:27:35 UTC

M 6.1 - VANUATU - 2021-03-04 16:53:10 UTC

M 7.4 - KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND - 2021-03-04 17:41:25 UTC

   
           
                   
INITIAL SEAQUAKE PARAMETERS: LOCATION TIME LATITUDE/ LONGITUDE MAGNITUDE: DEPTH : AFTERQUAKES ( same day) AFTERQUAKES: ( ONLY > M 6.0)    
DATA BY EMSC) KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND 2021-03-04 19:28:35 UTC 29.54 S ; 177.28 W M 8.1 25 km   more than 20    
    reports by: US TSUNAMI WARNING CENTERS    
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER ( ISSUED WARNINGS : NOAA/ PTWC REPORT ISSUED ON:

2023 UTC THU MAR 4 2021

ACTIVE WARNING ( YES/ NO): none CANCELLED AT : 1322 UTC FRI MAR 5 2021    
EVALUATION BY NOAA/ PTWC ( DETAILS)

 

   
STRONGEST MEASURED ("INITIAL) TSUNAMI WAVE
LOCATION OF ORIGIN ---------- GAUGE COORDINATES ---- TIME OF MEASURE:  > ----------- MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT > 1- 3 meters MAXIWAVE PERIOD ( Minute)  >> -----
LOCATION OF ORIGIN   GAUGE COORDINATES   TIME OF MEASURE:  >   MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT >   MAXIWAVE PERIOD ( Minute)  >>  
   
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVALS >
ESTIMATED TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL LOCATION >
-- -
REGION >
--------
 
COORDINATES>
-----
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >
----
ESTIMATED TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL LOCATION >
----E
REGION >
------
 
COORDINATES >
7-----
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES >
----
WARNINGS ISSUED FOR:    
                         
                         
     

read about this project:

The project startet as a documentary comparing and evaluating data of all typical sun spot features with geophysical events during the last 11 year sun spot cycly peaking in 2012- 14, using data images and measurements from the huge solar satellite based observation project the NASA had started at begin of this 24. observed solar sunspot cycle.

 

this huge research projct could not solve the basic questions about the phenomenon of sunspots and raised as always more question than those those cpoud be answered . At least it delivered what it should . solar and geophzsical data to establish a first space weather report necessary to protect high sensitive instruments built into satellites and airlanes as well as ground based ailway and electrivity networks (compare Carrington event.

posible effects on weather volcanism earthquakes activity were not part of the NASA mission, but became an interesting object for me, where bz the data provided by were very useful

You can find this documentary by clicking on erchives above.

Main objects of observation were>

solar flares

solar prominences and filament eruptions

coronal holes

solar particle events

To make it short After all , some theories about strong effects sunspot activities such as strong x class solar flares would have on the Earth turned out to be rather NECTLECTABLE RESP.MUCH weaker than expected , while others such as solar particle events * SPE could put the earth upside down. NASA first commented in a report called " a new type of solar eruption" a serial of proton events beginning on Nov 11 2004 with the last strong eruption in February 2005 with " they can do everything". The theories about them are rather poor, They had to delete that comment afterwards But meanwhile new satellites were put in place for better eobservations.

To give an example : Intensive comparation of stronger solar Proton events and earthquake volcanism data and reports showed there is a clear "coincidencc" ( a term that does not include or require further theories) between the two disastrous Tsunamis on 20041226 on Java as well as the 9.o magnitude earthquake and Tsunami near Fukushima Japan on 20110311. The deadly Tsunami 2004 near Java was likely caused by a strong magma intrusion from the Hot spot on java (Thomson Jule effect= that liftet the seaground up for 100o meters along a st5retch of 1000 km!!

At the end of the 24-. sun spot cycle this statistical ecvaluation and documentary had turned into a project that focusses on these Solar particle events ( Proton eruptions and subsequent electron accumulations)

   

O

                  ^REAL TIME SOLAR CORONA (SoHO)    
research and documentary of the 24th solar cycle with evaluation of certain geoeffective Solar activities (esp. polarised rotating CMEs and SEPs) with coincident terrestrial events such as :
VOLCANO / HOTSPOT ACTIVITIES- EARTHQUAKES- (THUNDER- )STORMS- RAPIDE (PERMAICE) MELTDOWNS/ METHANHYDRATES- INDUCED CURRENTS (TECH) - WHALE BEACHINGS- OTHER...

 

 

^ 360° NEAR REAL TIME VIEW ON THE SUN ( STEREO A & B (update, June 2015: both sat. are currently out of service)

TRAFFIC LIGHT ALERT SYSTEM:
WATCH/ ATTENTION LOW: RISING HIGH DECREASING:

 

  USEFUL LINKS:  
 
ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:
(2.0) ALL SOLAR / TERRESTRIAL (NEAR TO) REAL TIME DATA AND PLOTS:

HEAVY EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

update yourself!

!if the integral electron flux / plot below) should SUDDENLY SHARPLY DROP, STRONGER MAJOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES become most probable! (globally!) You won`t believe that? Then test it!

Rising integral proton (= proton stotrm) = magmatic and hot spot intrusion with minor earthquakes

 
       
^NOAA/ GOES solar x- ray flux ( 3 days data plot) current sun spots and AR (visible disc): solen.info/ solar sun spot x- ray activity and A index/last 12 months: NASA/ISWA/animation of interplanetary CME evolution a.m.o ACE epam / interplanetary protons and electrons: SoHO/ current solar wind speed NOAA/ GOES (geo-) magnetometer- 3 days plot NOAA/ GOES integral proton flux (3 days data plot ) ^NOAA/ GOES Integral electron flux ( 3 days data plot  
 

 

 

 

     
                     
1.3.1.RELATED REAL TIME SATELLITE PLOTS AND OTHER FEATURES: TERRESTRIAL              
MONTHLY PLOT: NEAR REAL TIME PLOT NEAR REAL TIME PLOT DAILY PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
REAL TIME PLOT:
 

LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY JULY 2015)

NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ ATLANTIC NOAA( (inter) national HURRICANE CENTER/ PACIFIC

MODVOLC/ near real time monitoring of global hotspots

REV- "Rapid Earthquake viewer/ University of S- California: ^NASA/ global D_RAP: impact of solar protons and x- rays  
 
only available for the previousmonth- click here for daily and today`s view   click here for CENTRAL PACIFIC ` MODVOLC REAL TIME IMAGE Canary Islands      

( see " NASA earth observatory / land surface temperature anomalies above). The temperature anomalies on the Northern hemisphere became more intensive in February 2015 , with Hudson Bayas in the past years still representing the coldest area and with temperatures in Sibiria in Russia exceeeding those in central and Southern Europe. Part of this anomalies are created by solar SEPs . But scientists also noted an increased shifting of the magnetic poles. Noting the last available report it seems however unlikely, that the Northern magnetic pole shifts towards Siberia as this official report claimed. Its rather likely or seems so, that it has already mainly shifted into Hudson |Bay * where we also have the relatively coldest region on the Northern hemisphere since years. The phenomenon of megnetic field shifting is known since the 60th and was since then observed by a group of american researchers,whonfirst came to the conclusion that the Northern magnetic field would move with expontial speeed/means first just some centimeters per year , than meters ...( but the official scientist still said, that those fluctuations would be quite normal

 
RELATED REAL TIME ONLINE SOURCES:
       
satellite data sources:
SOLAR OBSERVERS>  
  SoHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory)
  SDO (Solar Dyamics observatory) /AIA
  STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory)
INTERPLANETARY: ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer)
GEO Satellites: GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
click here for all (INTERNAL) find all known volcanoes worldwide on my internal GLOBAL VOLCANO MAPS - including webcams and other features- click here to expand and close the collapsible panel -

INTERACTIVE REGIONAL VOLCANO MAPS by: alien-homepage.de

all volcanoes worldwide, weekly updated global activity status ( GVP) with webcams and many informations!

 

 
NORTHERN AMERICA Central America, Mexico and Caribic South America- Northern part

South America- Southern part

 

Africa and Arabic peninsula

 

Europe, Western Asia Kamchatka peninsula, Aleutian islands

Indonesia and Philippines

Japan, Mariana Islands- Kyril islands

S- W-Pacific region/ Australia

 
 
click here, to get to an interactive GLOBAL volcano map with names and labels  
   
CLICK HERE FOR INTERNATIONAL MEDIA AND NEWS SOURCES & OTHER EXTERNAL LINKS- DAILY NEWS FROM WHERE IT HAPPENS!..click here to expand and close the collapsible panel to read all..

NEWS CHANNELS:

( collecting of recommendable international news channels is still ongoing...): Note: This list is dedicated to get latest informations directly from regional news channels and sources all over the world . Alien-homepage does not take any responsibility for contents of websites posted on this list nor for their liability

 

AUSTRALIA, INDONESIA, PHILIPPINES

AFRICA

ASIA

AMERICA

EUROPE:

 
THE HERALD SUN / AUSTRALIA africareview.com   MSNBC / US BBC.com  
globalpost.       www.euronews.com/  

BY COUNTRIES:

 

EUROPE:

ICELAND REVIEW ONLINE DER SPIEGEL ONLINE ( Germany) euronews.com/ englishrussia (Russia)  
  icenews.is (ICELAND)        

 

scotsman.com

ruvr.ru (Russia)

     

AUSTRALIA REGION:

THE HERALD SUN / AUSTRALIA .radioaustralianews.net.au (FIJI ISLANDS): fijivillage.com  

 

stuff.co.nz (NEW ZEALAND) solomontimes.com (SALOMON ISLANDS) fijitimes.com    

NORTHERN AMERICA

CNN. com TIME.com /SCIENCE (SCIENTIFIC) tgdaily.com  

 

UNITED PRESS INTERNATIONAL ABC- news GLOBAL NEWS (CANADA) winnipegfreepress.com  
  mlive.com/news        

 

washingtonpost.com channel6newsonline.com FAIRBANKS/ ALASKA/ newsminer.com alaskadispatch.com  

CENTRAL AMERICA>

INSIDE COSTA RICA ticotimes.net ( COSTA RICA) costaricantimes aztecanoticias.com ( MEXICO( Spanish language)  
  dominicantoday.com (Dominican Republik)        

SOUTHERN AMERICA>

peruthisweek (PERU) .andina.com (PERU)      

PACIFIC

bigislandvideonews (Hawaii)

       

AFRICA

www.aps.dz (ALGERIA) allafrica.com standardmedia.co.ke (KENIA) ZIMBABWE (Voice of America)  
        .thezimbabwean.co.uk  

> ARABIA

ARABIC EMIRATES omanobserver.om www.iranwpd.co (IRAN) IRAN/ ENGLISH presstv.ir/  

ASIA

Wijeya Newspapers Ltd.Colombo. Sri Lanka philippinenews.com english.ntdtv.com (CHINA) THE BORNEO POST- ONLINE  
  Thejakartapost.com (INDONESIA) philstar.com/(PHILIPPINES) zeenews.india.com (INDIA)

chinadaily.com.cn/ (China)

 
  pattayamail.com (Thailand) visayandailystar.com (PHIL.)

indianexpress.com ( INDIA)

mdn.mainichi.jp (JAPAN)  
  vietnamnet.vn (VIETAM) shanghaidaily.com (CHINA) thehindu.com blogs.wsj.com (JAPAN)  
  fukushima-diary.com (best news on Japan`s meltdown!) gmanetwork (PHILIPPINES) punemirror ( NORTHERN INDIA) focustaiwan (TAIWAN)  
      nation.com/- pakistan    
      greaterkashmir.com times of india. com  

ALL REGIONS>

REUTERS.COM wunderground.com/tropical storms Earth Observatory( NASA.    
  http://your-story.org        
           
GLÖBAL WATCH > thewatchers.adorraeli.com earthquake-report.com      
VARIOUS & RELATED SCIENTIFIC CHANNELS > spaceweather.com treehugger.com VOLCANO DISCOVERY EARTH SKY. ORG  
  ACCU WEATHER. COM wired.com/wired science WUNDERGROUND.com Nationalgeographic  
  science.nasa.gov spaceweather.com wired.com phys.org  
ORGANISATIONS NASA/earthobservatory http://www.greenpeace.de/   http://foodwatch.com.au/  
DIVERSE> 2012 Mysterious Mass Animal Death List (abovetopsecret.com) poleshift.ning.com naturalnews.com (food etc)  
  Volcano Webcams on wiredscience.com eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov Polar Science Center  

 

 

So first of all I want to explain, what this report is all about

1 What is a solar particle event?

(wikipedia)A solar particle event or solar proton event (SPE), or prompt proton event, occurs when particles (mostly protons) emitted by the Sun become accelerated either close to the Sun during a flare or in interplanetary space by coronal mass ejection shocks. The events can include other nuclei such as helium ions and HZE ions. These particles cause multiple effects. They can penetrate the Earth's magnetic field and cause ionization in the ionosphere. The effect is similar to auroral events, except that protons rather than electrons are involved. Energetic protons are a significant radiation hazard to spacecraft and astronauts.

medical research (NASA)

archive of solar particle events since 1796 (NASA)

Harvard

>explanation follows

what do we need to detect solar particle (proton) events?

protons do not have electric energy and do not sprtead electrons or photons , Thus the protons events themselves v when on the occure on the sun are not visible within the frequency range of the most satellite teslecsopes images on board of SDO and SOHO. This is why Proton events are easily overseen.

 

What becomes visible on SOGHO and SDO images are the protons thrown into interplanetary space when they hit the objectives of telesscopes where they leave light traces or "snow" on the images

 

While STEREO BEHIND is dead since years , STEREO AHEAD still sends signals. It has with LASCO 2 as the only satellite also an infrared telescope that can show the the huge amounts of hot sun gazes accelerated by the proton explosion itself , that happens below the solar surface . The highly accelerated protons can reach the speed oF light and cause strong SECONDARY eruptions AND FLARES , while they penetrate the outer solar gas hull.

 

the other instruments are on the geostationary GOES 13 and 15 satellites those measure the integral proton flux into our geomagnetic field as well as the subsequent electron accumulation following each proton event:

 

 

NASA STEREO HEAD / near real time=
NASA- Integral Proton Flux / near real time=
NASA- Integral Electrone Flux / near real time=

 

----------------------

 

 

 

 

data for this reports and forecasts are exclusively taken from reliable sources such as NASA, NOAA and others.

all forecasts are without guarantee! Alle Vorhersagen sind ohne Gewaehr!

provided by:

 

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